BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Analysis📊 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Analysis
Current Structure
• Market has been in a downtrend with a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
• Price recently broke above the descending trendline and is now testing it for support.
• Key horizontal levels marked in white and red provide both breakout and rejection opportunities.
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation)
• Trigger: If price holds above 116,000 – 116,200 and closes 1H above trendline.
• Entry Zone: 116,500 – 116,800 (post retest confirmation)
• Targets:
• TP1: 117,340 (immediate resistance)
• TP2: 118,165 (strong supply zone)
• Extended: 119,810 – 122,800 (major liquidity zone)
• Stop Loss: Below 115,980 (trendline break + support fail)
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📉 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown)
• Trigger: If price fails to hold above the trendline and breaks below 115,980.
• Entry Zone: 115,800 – 115,500 (after breakdown retest)
• Targets:
• TP1: 115,238 (previous demand)
• TP2: 114,656 (strong support)
• Extended: 112,000 – 111,984 (major demand)
• Stop Loss: Above 116,700 (fakeout invalidation)
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💡 Summary:
• Bulls need a clean hold above the trendline to reverse the downtrend structure.
• Bears regain control if support breaks and price returns inside the descending channel.
• Watch volume closely — a breakout with weak volume may lead to a fakeout.
Longsetup
BTCUSDT – pressure building before the breakoutMarket context:
US trade policy eases restrictions for certain major tech companies → risk appetite improves.
Expectations of a more dovish Fed → capital flows return to the crypto market.
Sentiment & flows:
Short-term Bitcoin holdings increase by around 20 billion USD → trading activity is heating up, but profit-taking pressure is also building.
Investors are closely watching the 116,000 USDT level before adding aggressive long positions.
8H technicals:
Support: 112,600 USDT – a zone that has repeatedly triggered rebounds, maintaining the bullish structure.
Resistance: 116,000 USDT – the “gate” that could open the way to 123,000 USDT.
Bullish scenario remains favored if price closes above 116,000 USDT with confirming volume.
Key takeaway:
The market feels like it’s “winding the spring” – tight consolidation before a potential breakout.
A break below 112,600 USDT would invalidate the short-term bullish view and increase the risk of a deeper pullback.
EURUSD – recovery aiming to test resistance zoneThe euro is benefiting from the weakening pressure on the US dollar as the market expects the Fed to loosen its monetary policy, combined with positive signals of trade cooperation between the US and Europe. This risk-on sentiment is supporting the short-term uptrend of EUR/USD.
The price is moving within a short-term bullish structure and is approaching the resistance zone around 1.1770 , after rebounding strongly from the support area near 1.1630 . Recent pullbacks have been shallow and quickly absorbed, indicating that buyers still hold the upper hand.
Base scenario: EUR/USD may consolidate in a tight range before breaking above 1.1770, opening room for further upside. As long as the 1.1630 support holds, any pullback can be seen as an opportunity to add long positions in line with the prevailing trend.
XAUUSD – consolidating within range, awaiting breakout momentumGold is currently receiving strong support from news that the PBOC has been buying gold for nine consecutive months , bringing reserves close to 74 million troy ounces . This is a strategic move aimed at strengthening financial security and r educing reliance on the US dollar , which has created a positive sentiment in the market.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD remains range-bound between 3,344 and 3,408 , with strong rebounds from the lower support zone. The price structure suggests that selling pressure is weakening , while buying momentum is building a base.
The preferred scenario is that the price will continue consolidating in a narrow range , then retest 3,344 before rising toward the 3,408 resistance and potentially higher if a breakout occurs. As long as support holds firm , the mild uptrend is likely to continue.
Bitcoin targets $133,000 with institutional capital inflowsBitcoin is currently trading in an upward channel, forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Capital inflows from major financial institutions like JPMorgan and Citigroup are increasing into BTC, combined with expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, providing positive momentum for the price. The Trump administration's cryptocurrency policies and Syz Capital reopening its BTC Alpha fund with 2,000 BTC have driven strong participation from institutional investors.
Technically, BTC has bounced off the support at $112,816 and could continue toward the resistance at $119,249. A break above this level could set the next target at $133,000 by the end of 2025. Investors should carefully monitor signals and manage risk accordingly.
EUR/USD – Uptrend Strengthens as USD WeakensMacro backdrop is favoring the euro:
Weaker U.S. labor market (only 73,000 new jobs) is boosting expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Political pressure on the Fed raises concerns about its independence → USD loses credibility.
EU–US trade deal eases tensions and supports confidence in the euro.
Technical Outlook
On the H4 chart, price has broken the downtrend line from July , forming a classic higher low structure – a hallmark of an uptrend.
Price is moving within a short-term ascending channel , targeting the 1.1780 resistance zone.
RSI has broken above 70, indicating strong buying momentum but also signaling a potential short-term pullback.
Suggested Trading Strategy
Prefer to Buy on dips toward the 1.1570–1.1600 support zone.
Near-term target: 1.1780
Stop loss: Below 1.1520
XAUUSD – Gold stays hot, bullish trend still intactGold continues to be in the spotlight as a combination of macroeconomic factors and technical structure supports further upside momentum.
Market Overview:
- Analysts have revised gold price forecasts upward to the $3,500–$3,600/oz range, driven by a weaker USD and concerns over slowing US growth.
- Labour market data from the US is showing weakness, with rising jobless claims – increasing expectations that the Fed may cut rates in September.
- Geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainties are boosting gold's appeal as a safe haven asset.
- Strong investor interest: Trading volumes in gold futures have risen significantly, indicating heavy participation from big money.
Technical Analysis:
- Price is clearly moving within an ascending channel, reflecting a stable medium-term uptrend.
- Gold is currently testing the short-term resistance around $3,408 , with potential for a minor correction toward support near $3,350 , which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel.
- As long as price remains inside the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains valid.
Trading Strategy
Look for long entries near the $3,350 support zone on a pullback.
Short-term target: $3,408 – Mid-term target: $3,500+
Stop-loss: Below $3,320
In summary , gold is receiving strong support from both fundamentals and technicals. Buying the dips remains the preferred strategy in the current setup.
BTCUSDT – Institutional Money Returns, Signs of a Strong ReboundBitcoin is showing positive recovery signals as major capital flows are re-entering the market. Notably, Syz Capital has successfully raised $200 million to invest in BTC – a strong indicator of growing long-term confidence from institutional investors.
On the H8 chart, BTC remains in a downtrend channel but is forming an accumulation pattern around the 111,000 USDT support area. Previous FVG zones have been filled, suggesting buying pressure is absorbing supply well. Volume is also slightly increasing at the lows – indicating selling pressure is weakening.
If BTC holds above 111,000, a move toward 117,500 is likely, with potential to reach 120,000 if it breaks above the descending channel. This would confirm a clearer medium-term uptrend.
EURUSD – Bottoming out, poised for breakoutAfter a sharp decline since late July, EURUSD is consolidating around the key support zone of 1.1520–1.1580. On the H4 chart, price remains within a descending channel but is beginning to form a compression pattern — often a precursor to a strong breakout. Bullish momentum is building as price rebounds from the 1.1480 low and holds a modest upward bias.
On the macro front, the USD is weakening as markets increasingly expect the Fed to cut interest rates in September, especially after a string of weak labor data. In contrast, the EUR is supported by stable inflation and the ECB’s persistent hawkish stance. If the current support zone holds, EURUSD could break out of the descending channel and target the resistance levels at 1.1680 and 1.1770.
Gold Explodes: Will the Uptrend Continue?News Background:
Recent weak U.S. job data has fueled expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, weakening the USD and bond yields, making gold more attractive. Additionally, trade tensions between the U.S. and India have increased uncertainty, driving capital flows into gold.
Technical Chart:
Resistance: 3,450 USD is a key resistance level. If broken, the price could continue to rise towards 3,500 USD.
Support: 3,360 USD is the nearest support level. A drop below this could lead to a pullback to 3,320 USD.
RSI: Currently at 64.11, close to overbought territory, but not yet too high, suggesting the uptrend could still continue.
Outlook:
Bullish scenario: If 3,450 USD is broken, the price could reach 3,500 USD.
Bearish scenario: If 3,360 USD cannot hold, a pullback to 3,320 USD is possible.
Asian Paints | Cup & Handle Breakout Building Momentum
Description:
Asian Paints is forming a classic cup and handle on the daily chart, supported by a rounded bottom structure on the weekly. Price is attempting to breakout above ₹2500, with positive EFI and upward momentum.
📌 Breakout Level: ₹2500
📉 Stoploss: ₹2449 (ATR-based)
🎯 Targets: ₹2749 → ₹2886 → ₹3108 (Fibonacci extension)
🧭 Macro Context:
- Stable inflation and INR
- Improving margin outlook for the sector
- Paint stocks showing strength post consolidation
Strong price-action setup supported by fundamentals and structure.
JSWENERGY | Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in Progress?Description:
JSW Energy is forming a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart after a downtrend — resembling a potential bearish pennant, but price structure, sloping EMAs, rising momentum, and positive EFI hint at bullish strength.
📌 Breakout Level: ₹534
📉 Stoploss: ₹519 (ATR-based)
🎯 Targets: ₹563 → ₹597 → ₹694 (as per Fib projections)
🧭 Macro Context:
- Infra & Energy sectors improving
- Govt push for renewables
- Dollar weakening, risk-on tone aiding sentiment
Structure, volume, and macro are aligned — tracking this breakout closely.
UltraTech Cement | Pullback Opportunity after Breakout?Description:
- After breaking out of a consolidation zone, UltraTech Cement is showing a controlled throwback towards prior resistance, now acting as support.
- Weekly structure remains intact with sloping EMAs and positive momentum.
- Daily & Hourly charts show minor weakness but no structural breakdown.
- EFI suggests lower TF selling pressure, while weekly remains stable.
📌 Entry Zone: ₹12,037
📉 Stoploss: ₹11,850 (ATR-based)
🎯 Targets: ₹12,937 → ₹13,139 → ₹13,427
Cement sector is gaining strength in the broader infra rally — watching for confirmation on bounce from support.
#Dabur ending correction soon?Dabur can be a good pick if you are looking for some medium-term investment in sometime, as the ongoing correction looks to be in the last stage of it impulse.
We may then possible see it soaring higher.
P.S. Always trade on price confirmation.
**This is an educational market outlook, not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any investment decisions.**
Is gold back on track?Gold is making a strong recovery from the 3,365 USD support zone and is now hovering around 3,380 USD. After a brief correction, the price has bounced back and is heading toward the key resistance area at 3,396 USD. A breakout above this level would likely open the door for a further move toward the 3,428 USD target.
The bullish sentiment is supported by weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data, which has raised expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates sooner. This is boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The short-term trend now leans bullish, as long as the price holds above the 3,365 support. A confirmed breakout above 3,396 could be the signal for the next leg higher.
EURUSD – bearish trend remains dominantEURUSD is trading within a clearly defined descending channel. After a slight rebound from the 1.14800 support zone, the price is now retesting the resistance area around 1.16000 – a zone filled with multiple previous Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). If the price fails to break above this level, the bearish trend is likely to continue with a potential move down toward 1.14000.
Latest news:
Weaker-than-expected US job data initially pressured the USD, but growing expectations that the Fed will maintain its tightening stance are helping the dollar recover – putting downward pressure on the euro.
Summary:
If EURUSD fails to break above 1.16000, a continuation of the downtrend toward 1.14000 is likely in the coming days.
BTCUSDT – Bullish trend remains intactBitcoin is still trading within a long-term ascending channel. After a mild pullback to the FVG zone around 112,100 USDT, the price rebounded and is now consolidating above the ascending trendline support. If this level holds, BTC is likely to continue toward the upper channel target at 122,500 USDT.
Recent news supporting the uptrend:
Fidelity and BlackRock have continued accumulating Bitcoin-related ETF shares.
Weak US jobs data has fueled expectations of a Fed rate cut, drawing capital back into crypto.
Ethereum's upcoming hard fork upgrade is boosting overall market sentiment.
With both technical structure and fundamentals aligned, BTC remains bullish as long as it stays above 112,100.
EURUSD remains in a downtrendEUR/USD continues to move within a descending channel, with the 1.1600 area acting as strong resistance. Recent price action suggests the current rebound may be just a retest before the downtrend resumes. The next bearish target is around the 1.1390 support zone.
On the news front, although a strong U.S. PMI puts slight pressure on EUR, the USD faces mixed forces:
Weak NFP data increases expectations of a Fed rate cut.
The new US–EU trade deal imposing a 15% tariff has sharply weakened the euro.
Eurozone PMI improved but remains below 50, indicating a still-fragile recovery.
XAUUSD awaits breakout at confluence zoneGold is consolidating around 3,361 USD after a strong rebound from the key support zone at 3,284 USD — previously a major swing low in the existing bullish structure. Recent price action on the H4 timeframe is forming a potential Cup and Handle pattern, indicating that buying pressure remains present after each retracement.
The 3,351 USD resistance area now acts as a confluence zone, where the descending trendline from July intersects with a key horizontal level. Price behavior at this zone will likely determine the next directional move. A successful breakout would confirm the bullish continuation structure, with room to revisit the previous highs.
Current technical signals suggest that buyers are gradually regaining control, as higher lows emerge and upward momentum builds from the major support area.
maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Reliance (RIL) Long Trade SetupReliance looks very promising on the daily chart. The stop loss is very close and the target is very far off. Though it has not given a buy signal yet, but I am still jumping on to it because once the buy signal is confirmed, everybody will jump in, the algos will jump in and the buy price then would not be as good as now. Use your discretion if following this.
XAUUSD – Gold accelerates: Is the 3,600 target within reach?Gold has made an impressive rally of nearly 720 pips, surging from the recent bottom near 3,260 up to 3,365, following a deeply disappointing U.S. jobs report. Non-Farm Payrolls came in at just 106K, far below expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% — a clear sign that the U.S. economy is slowing down. In this context, the expectation that the Fed will pause rate hikes has become more solid, paving the way for gold to break higher.
Technical analysis on the D1 timeframe shows that XAUUSD remains in a well-established ascending channel that has persisted since late 2024. The recent bounce from the 3,260 support zone was strong, with yesterday's bullish candle confirming that buyers are regaining control.
As long as price holds above the 3,260 support area, the next target lies at the psychological resistance around 3,500, and beyond that — the ambitious 3,600 mark.