GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD capitalizing on the weakening of the US dollar and heading towards the areas of interest and liquidity at 2635 - 2639. But! There are signs that a flag pattern is forming. Theoretically, any attempt for gold prices to rise could be limited. PCE, GDP, and the resistance ahead...
Meanwhile, sellers pause slightly amid concerns about trade wars, geopolitical risks, expectations that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, recently declining US bond yields, and the USD falling overnight to a two-week low. However, ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US, namely PCE and GDP, after a relatively quiet news week, volatility is likely to be unpredictable. The question now is whether the downward momentum will continue as the price reacts to a critical support zone.
Technically, gold remains range-bound and is heading towards areas of interest from which a retracement could form. But this reaction also partly depends on the news....
The focus is on the imbalance zone, fibo 0.618 and fibo 0.5. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
Longsetup
Marico | Bullish SetupMarico chances of moving 5% in coming days.
Back to back green candle
Increasing volume
Strong RSI
Sustain Above 650 might give 3-5% returns in 2-3 days.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purpose. No trade/ buy/ sell signal is suggested or advised. Do your own analysis before buying or selling any stock/options.
Gold Prices Rise Steadily, Testing the 2,658 USD/oz LevelGold prices increased for the third consecutive session, reaching a one-week high of 2,647.43 USD/oz on November 20, supported by its role as a safe-haven asset amid escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine. However, the rally was capped by a recovering USD, making gold more expensive for international buyers.
The 2,551 level has been confirmed as strong support after two successful tests, prompting a sharp rebound. The 2,658 level is the next immediate target for prices to break, while the 2,789 zone is the next potential peak if the bullish trend persists.
Following a significant correction from the previous high, gold may form a double-bottom pattern around 2,551, signaling strong buying pressure. Currently, prices are testing the 2,658 resistance level and show signs of continuing the upward trend if this level is breached. If a pullback occurs, the 2,652 zone (EMA 34) will serve as an essential support level to watch.
Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Samson here!
Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal.
Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553.
Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).
Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum.
Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors...
Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
My Analysis of EURUSD (1 Hour Chart)Hello everyone,
Ascending Channel Formation:
Price is moving within a clear ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming along the way. This structure suggests a temporary upside correction within the overall downtrend.
EMA Dynamics:
The 34 EMA (purple) is currently acting as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to break higher, as indicated by the red arrows.
The 89 EMA (pink) is closely aligned, consolidating the resistance zone and signaling bearish momentum when the price is below these levels.
Key Resistance Zone:
The upper boundary of the channel, near 1.0525, is a key resistance zone. This zone is consistent with the rejection from the EMA and is expected to limit upside momentum.
Near-term Price Movement:
I expect price to retest this resistance level and potentially fake out in the short term before moving lower. A break of the ascending channel to the downside would confirm a continuation of the decline.
Target Level:
The initial downside target is around 1.0450, near the middle of the previous range.
If the decline continues, I expect the price to fall further towards the support level of 1.0352, which marks the lower boundary of my expected price.
Risk Zone:
A sustained break above 1.0550 would invalidate my bearish outlook and signal further upside.
Conclusion:
For now, I am watching how the price reacts at the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the EMA resistance zone. Any rejection or bearish candlestick pattern would confirm my short bias, focusing on the downside targets.
HAL 28Nov | HourlyHAL is in bullish setup
Higher High Higher Low
Leading Diagonal Formation
Alert: MACD divergence
Previous day high can be a good entry for 4534-50-84 SL 4435
Disclaimer: Not Buy/Sell recommendation or advice. Just for educational/entertainment purpose.
For any market related decisions contact your financials advisor.
#Angelone - Stock outlook !!NSE:ANGELONE
Key Points:
Trends:
Two trendlines are plotted:
Upward trendline (dotted line): Displays the earlier uptrend in the stock's graph (higher lows).
Downward trendline (descending resistance): indicates the resistance level that forms when the stock starts to drop from its recent highs.
Important Information:
Support Level at ₹2701.45: This flat black line shows an important area where the stock went back up or stayed the same before. It's a strong place where buyers are active.
Resistance Zone at ₹3367.80 – ₹3393.00: It is the highest zone. It is the targeted range as indicated on the chart. This has been an important resistance in the context of previous price actions.
Fake-Out Indication:
There is a fake-out noted just below the horizontal support line of ₹2701.45. That means that the price did fall briefly below the support but quickly reverted, and hence the bearish breakout is not valid.
Breakout.
The stock seems to be going above the downward trendline, which could mean a possible upward breakout if it continues.
Future Expectations:
Bullish Scenario (Orange Rectangle): If the breakout stays above the downward trendline, it may drive the stock up to the resistance zone of ₹3367.80–₹3393.00.
Bearish Scenario (Arrow pointing down): If the breakout does not work and the price goes back below ₹2701.45, it might show a strong trend downward toward the next support levels (for example, ₹2025.00).
Explanation:
Trend Reversal:
Stock, breaking the downward trendline above indicates that the stock is on a changing pattern, from the decline, and probably into an uptrend.
Artifactual Meaning:
The fake-out close to ₹2701.45 shows how important support zones are. It shows that buyers took charge again after a first drop in price.
Possible Risk and Benefit:
Traders could expect a bounce towards the orange area, or resistance zone, if the breakout is valid. Stop-loss levels are likely set below ₹2701.45 to risk manage.
Useful Information:
For a bull trade, Wait for confirmation of the breakout, like the daily close above the trendline. Target: ₹3300–₹3393 range. Stop Loss: ₹ 2700. For a bearish trade: It could again begin a downtrend if prices go back into ₹2701.45. Target: ₹2300 or less. Stop Loss: Above ₹2800. This chart shows a mix of price movements with false signals, trendline breaks, and important levels. It gives positive and negative scenarios based on how the stock acts around these levels.
Ps note: NOT A SEBI REGISTERE.
ANY QUERIES @thetradeforecast :)
Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hi guys,
Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark.
Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations.
Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday.
Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663
Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600
If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Momentum ResumesEUR/USD is dominated by a long-term downtrend, with technical factors and market sentiment leaning towards the sellers. The possibility of the price breaking the 1.0430 support is not small, especially in the context that traders are waiting for clear signals from upcoming major economic events.
Investors need to closely follow the price movements at important technical zones to make appropriate decisions, as EUR/USD is approaching a pivotal moment of the trend.
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?Hi guys,
OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing...
Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed.
The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets.
This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week.
Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically:
Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650
Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750
Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750...
Havells - Low Risk IdeaCMP 1614 on 05.11.24
The chart is self-explanatory. Since 2021, the blue-colored parallel channel has been turned into a support ( if works like ). If the price bounces back from the support, may go into a bullish phase. targets may be 1700/1800/1900.
MACD histogram also shows some reversal.
The setup goes weak if sustains below 1550.
Keep your position size according to the stop loss and your trading strategy.
All this illustration is my own view, only for learning and sharing purposes, not a trading recommendation in any form.
All the best.
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD The breakout of the local downtrend channel has disadvantaged sellers. The fundamental background is changing, despite continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-off environment, which overall favors gold as a safe-haven asset during times of crisis.
The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities.
Despite the optimism around the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions may consolidate for sellers before further strengthening.
Technically, gold has every opportunity to retest the boundaries of the previously broken channel. However, based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
KPIT - at 1 YEAR SUPPORT LEVEL Can Enter at 1330
if again falls then you need to average at 1230 level
Target - 1800,1930
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
LTIM - Getting ReadyThe chart is self explanatory. Since Nov. 21, the price has been forming a Triangular pattern. Already given a breakout of that.
Since Jan. 24, A Cup & Handle pattern is formed and a breakout is seen on the charts.
At present time, we can observe the retest of the both breakouts.
If the price gives a bounce back from present range of 6000-5800 and sustains above, may see a bullish run upto 7000/7500 and even more.
If sustains below 5600, the setup goes weak.
One should mind the position size according the risk-management.
The above illustration is my own view, only for learning and sharing purposes, not a trading advice in any form.
All the best.
USDJPY Awaits a Breakout at 155.878
USDJPY is currently trading in a short-term uptrend but is being held back by a descending trendline and the resistance level at 155.878. After bouncing from the strong support at 153.350, the price is now fluctuating around EMA 34 (154.850) and EMA 89 (153.995), reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Rising U.S. bond yields and the Bank of Japan's dovish policies continue to support the USD, while the Japanese Yen remains under pressure.
The RSI at a neutral level of 51.52 indicates unclear market momentum. If the price breaks above 155.878, the uptrend could strengthen with a target near 157.000. Traders should closely monitor key levels to make informed decisions.
EURUSD Under Pressure, Support at 1.05151 Awaits TestEURUSD is currently continuing its downward trend, dominated by the descending channel and EMA lines.
After bouncing off the strong support level of 1.05151, the price is now testing resistance at 1.05663 but remains under selling pressure as it stays below the EMA 34, confirming that the main trend has not changed.
Risk-off sentiment has driven capital into the USD, increasing pressure on EURUSD due to the greenback's strength. At the same time, positive CPI data supporting the British Pound has reduced the Euro's appeal, further intensifying downward pressure on the pair.
If the price fails to break above 1.05663, it is highly likely to retest the support at 1.05151 and potentially decline further.
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders,
EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution.
Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
USDJPY: Uptrend Faces Challenges at 156.65 ResistanceUSDJPY is currently trading at 155.68, reflecting a significant upward momentum in recent sessions. After successfully testing the strong support area at 153.40—a confluence of the 89 EMA and an ascending trendline—the pair surged sharply toward the key resistance zone at 156.65.
However, the 156.65 – 157.00 zone is considered a "pressure area," with the potential to trigger a short-term correction. If the price fails to break above this resistance, USDJPY could pull back to test support at 154.70 or even deeper at 153.40.
On the news front, the USD remains strong, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its accommodative policy. Investors should pay close attention to key U.S. economic data, such as PMI figures and speeches from Fed officials this week, as these factors will strongly influence USDJPY's price action.
Strategy: Monitor price reactions at the 156.65 resistance zone. A breakout could target 157.50, while rejection at this level increases the likelihood of a pullback toward support levels.
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark.
Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure.
Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
EUR/USD: Bearish Trend Continues to PrevailEUR/USD is in a strong downtrend with momentum from both price action and technical indicators. The sellers continue to control the market and the main target is still the $1.0449 area, followed by $1.0300. Traders need to monitor price action at support/resistance zones to find suitable entry points and manage risk carefully.
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically...
The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.