XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
M-forex
XAUUSD: Support Broken? Bearish Trend Continues!XAUUSD is currently trading in a clear downward channel on the H4 timeframe . After failing to break the resistance at 3,360 , the price reversed and is now testing the important support level at 3,320 . This support level has been tested multiple times in the past weeks. If this support is broken, the bearish trend could continue, with the next targets at 3,300 and 3,280.
The market structure remains weak, with lower highs and lower lows , confirming that the selling pressure is dominant. If the price fails to hold the 3,320 support level, the likelihood of further declines towards lower support levels is very high. It’s crucial to closely monitor price action at these support levels.
Stay tuned to market developments and prepare your trading strategy accordingly, as everything is shifting towards a stronger bearish move !
Gold Update: Range Trading with Bearish UndertoneAfter last week decline,gold has entered a consolidation phase within a well-defined range. The current support is at around 3330, which coincides with last week's low and also serves as the monthly pivot point, providing a strong foundation for short term. On the upside, resistance is at 3350-3355, which aligns with the current week's pivot level, creating a ceiling that sellers are defending.
The price action within this tight range suggests that market participants are taking a breather after the recent selling pressure, with both bulls and bears showing restraint as they assess the next move. The way gold is trading within these boundaries gives the impression that energy is building up, much like a coiled spring ready to release. This type of consolidation pattern often precedes a significant directional move, as market forces accumulate before choosing their next path.
The technical setup indicates that we're likely approaching a critical range where gold will need to make a decisive break either above or below this range. A breakout above the 3350-3355 resistance zone could signal renewed bullish momentum and attract fresh buying interest, while a breakdown below the 3330 support level might open the door for further downside pressure.Looking at the weekly and daily price action, the bears seem to have the upper hand in the current scenario. The recent decline from higher levels has created a bearish tone, and importantly, we haven't seen any major reversal signals that would suggest a strong buying opportunity at these current range levels
EUR/USD holds its upward momentum – Targeting the 1.1700 zoneLooking at the EUR/USD daily chart, the pair continues to maintain a solid medium-term uptrend. Currently, price action is consolidating around 1.1650 – 1.1670, trading above the Ichimoku cloud and resting on a cluster of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), signaling that bullish pressure remains intact.
If EUR/USD sustains this range, the pair is likely to retest the 1.1700 level — a key short-term resistance and a strong psychological barrier. A successful breakout here could pave the way towards the 1.1760 – 1.1800 area.
On the macro side, investors are closely watching developments at the Jackson Hole symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide policy guidance. Expectations for a Fed rate cut in September remain elevated — a factor that supports the euro as the USD shows signs of weakening (Reuters).
Additionally, recent progress in U.S.-EU trade negotiations has lifted sentiment, as import tariffs were revised from 30% down to 15%, easing market uncertainty and further supporting the euro.
Wishing you all a profitable trading week ahead.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025:
Gold prices fell 1.79% last week, although Trump and Putin failed to reach an agreement on the key issue, with the focus this week on the Jackson Hole conference.
Basic news: Gold traders are closely watching the developments of the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Zelensky today to set the terms of a potential peace deal that Trump agreed with Putin in Alaska on Friday. CME's "Fed Watch" report released today, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 15.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84.6%.
Technical analysis: Gold prices have rebounded after approaching the support zone of 3325 - 3330. Currently, the bullish pattern of gold prices has not been broken, the possibility of gold prices having a strong increase in the near future. RSI on H1 and H4 frames is showing signs of entering the buying zone, combined with MA tending to expand after the previous sideways movement. Liquidity zones such as 3375 - 3380 and 3395 - 3400 could be profit-taking zones for this growth.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330 and 3300 - 3305.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3326 - 3328
SL 3323
TP 3331 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3365 - Open.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300.
Wish you a new week of safe, successful and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
GBP/USD: Bulls eye 1.3650 as momentum holds steadyThe pound has extended its recovery from 1.3200 and buyers remain in control. Price is consolidating near 1.3540–1.3560, just under the psychological 1.3600 barrier. Holding above 1.3480 keeps the bullish case intact, with 1.3650 — the former swing high — as the next key target. Supporting this view, stronger-than-expected UK inflation figures fuel speculation that the Bank of England will keep rates elevated longer, while the dollar softens as markets await clearer signals from the Fed regarding its rate cut path.
EURUSD: Bearish OutlookFrom the chart, EURUSD is currently trading in an ascending price channel, but signs of a pullback have emerged from the 1.17300 level, suggesting a potential continuation of the decline in the short term. Recent economic data, particularly the PPI index from the U.S., has put significant pressure on the EUR, strengthening the USD and weakening the Euro. This may continue to maintain bearish pressure on EURUSD.
Technically, the key support level to watch is 1.16264. If this level breaks, EURUSD could continue to decline towards lower support levels such as 1.16000. Bearish signals from technical indicators also support this pullback.
Trading Strategy:
Sell: Wait for a break below 1.16264 to enter a short position, with the next target at 1.16000.
Stop-loss: Set a stop-loss above the resistance at 1.17300 to protect the account in case of a reversal.
Gold on the Verge of a Breakout – Is $3,425 the Next Target?Hi everyone, looking at the XAU/USD 4H chart, gold is showing a tight consolidation after several sessions moving sideways between $3,330 – $3,350. This kind of price action often signals that a big move is coming. The Ichimoku cloud is narrowing, reinforcing the idea that the market is preparing to choose a clear direction.
One key factor is the green FVG zone around $3,310 – $3,320, which is acting as a strong support base. If prices dip, this zone is likely to hold and keep the bullish trend intact. At the same time, trading volume has been ticking higher, hinting that buying pressure is quietly building up.
On the news side, safe-haven demand remains solid after the Trump–Putin meeting ended without concrete results. Adding to that, Citi has forecasted gold could head toward the $3,500 – $3,600 range in the medium term, which strengthens the bullish outlook.
Main Scenario: As long as gold stays above $3,335, a breakout above $3,365 – $3,385 looks likely, which could pave the way toward the $3,425 – $3,450 zone.
In my view, this might be the real breakout instead of just another false move. What do you think – will gold finally reach new highs next week?
XAUUSD Continues Bearish Trend, Testing Key SupportGold is currently trading around 3,335 USD, closing near an important support zone, as highlighted in the chart. The precious metal continues its bearish trend, pressured by the 0.9% increase in the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July. This indicates persistent inflationary pressure, reinforcing the Fed's stance on maintaining high interest rates, which weakens gold's appeal.
Technical Levels:
The current price is approaching a key support zone between 3,328 USD – 3,273 USD, where a potential bounce could occur if price action confirms a reversal.
The trend remains bearish as long as the price stays below the 3,370 USD resistance, consistent with the pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
A break below the 3,328 USD support could trigger further downside, with the next target at 3,273 USD.
Conclusion:
With the PPI data adding pressure, and the price nearing a crucial support zone, the outlook remains bearish for gold. Traders should monitor price action at the support levels for potential sell opportunities.
XAUUSD – Gold under pressure after US retail sales and UoM dataHello traders, today let’s take a look at the XAUUSD chart following the latest news and clear technical signals.
On the H4 timeframe, price is moving within a descending wedge pattern, with multiple rejections at the trendline resistance (red arrows). The 3,346 – 3,373 USD area is acting as the main resistance, while the nearest support is around 3,310 USD. The current market structure leans bearish, with lower highs forming and buying momentum fading.
From a news perspective, Core Retail Sales m/m came in at 0.3% (below the 0.5% forecast), indicating weaker consumer spending. However, UoM Consumer Sentiment rose to 61.9 and inflation expectations surged to 4.5%, leading the market to believe the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer — strengthening the USD and putting pressure on gold.
If price continues to be rejected around 3,346 – 3,373 USD, XAUUSD is likely to break below 3,310 USD and move toward the deeper support area near 3,285 USD.
A suggested strategy is to prioritize SELL setups if price retests 3,346 – 3,373 USD with strong rejection signals, place stop-loss above 3,380 USD, and target profits around 3,310 and 3,285 USD.
Do you think gold will break 3,310 USD in this move, or will it make one more pullback before heading lower?
EURUSD – Continuing the Uptrend, New Targets AheadEURUSD is experiencing a strong recovery after testing the 1.16600 support level. The chart shows price moving within an ascending channel, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows, with the near-term target at 1.18000 and further at 1.18600. Buying pressure has returned as the price failed to break below the 1.16600 support, driving the uptrend momentum.
In terms of news, although U.S. Core Retail Sales came in weaker than expected (0.3% vs 0.5%), indicating slower consumer spending, this provides an opportunity for EURUSD to rise. However, the overall sentiment remains tilted toward a weaker USD, which supports the uptrend for EURUSD.
If price continues to hold above 1.16600 and breaks through 1.18000, EURUSD could continue its upward momentum towards higher levels. However, if the price breaks the 1.16600 support, the uptrend will be at risk.
XAUUSD consolidates, awaiting a reboundFollowing last night’s US PPI data coming in higher than expected (0.2% vs. 0.0%), XAUUSD faced strong selling pressure as markets priced in expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. This boosted the US Dollar and Treasury yields, pushing gold down to around 3,346 USD.
Technically, price is still moving within a wide sideways range between 3,284 and 3,450 USD, but the short-term trend remains capped by a descending trendline from recent highs. The 3,346 USD zone is acting as a trendline touchpoint, potentially leading to a sideways accumulation around 3,312 – 3,346 before a mild rebound.
If the 3,284 USD support holds, the probability of a technical bounce toward 3,346 – 3,379 USD is high, especially as buyers may use the range’s lower boundary to accumulate positions. Conversely, a break below 3,284 USD could trigger stronger selling pressure toward 3,254 USD.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025:
Gold prices continued to rise in the European session on August 13, 2025 as mild US inflation data raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, while a weaker US dollar also boosted demand for gold.
Fundamental news: The US labor market report earlier this month initially weighed on the greenback, but the latest US CPI data added pressure as it did not show a clear acceleration in inflation due to tariffs in July. The inflation data reinforced the possibility that the Fed will take a more dovish stance in September, which is what the market is expecting.
Technical analysis: After a deep correction to the 3330 area, gold prices showed signs of increasing again. On the H1 frame, an upward price channel has been formed, but the current MA lines are still moving sideways, not showing a clear trend. The 3350 - 3355 area will be the important area to decide whether this uptrend channel can hold or not. RSI on H1 and H4 timeframes has entered the buy zone, this is a very good condition for us to trade. We will trade at the support zones and large liquidity zones of gold prices.
Important price zones today: 3350 - 3355, 3335 - 3340.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3350 - 3352
SL 3347
TP 3355 - 3365 - 3375 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3335 - 3337
SL 3332
TP 3340 - 3350 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3388 - 3390
SL 3393
TP 3385 - 3375 - 3365 - 3355 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Recovery Stalls at Fibonacci Resistance - Key Levels to WatWe have seen a strong recovery from the monthly pivot point, which acted as solid support. However, the price is now facing significant resistance in the Fibonacci golden zone between 3,370-3,379, based on the recent decline from 3,409 to 3,331. This resistance level presents the main challenge for bulls at this point.
For the bullish momentum to continue, buyers need to push the price above 3,379, which would confirm the upward trend and signal further strength. The positive sign is that gold has been holding steady above the 3,350 level, showing some underlying support at this price point.
Looking at key levels to watch, 3,350 serves as the immediate support level . If this level fails to hold, the next major support comes in at 3,331. A breakdown below these support levels could trigger further selling pressure and lead to additional declines in gold price.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025:
Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal.
Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months.
Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again.
Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369
SL 3372
TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389
SL 3392
TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342
SL 3337
TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
Strong USD, Gold "Holding Its Breath" at Key ResistanceYesterday, gold prices continued to trade within a tight range of 3,340–3,355 USD , reflecting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Selling pressure is still present but not strong enough to break the key support level.
On the news front: Both the U.S. Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m are forecast to rise 0.2% (vs. 0.0% previously), while unemployment claims are expected to dip from 226K to 225K . This signals inflationary pressure from the production side and a resilient labor market , which could prompt the Fed to maintain a tight monetary policy. A stronger USD puts short-term downward pressure on gold.
From the chart: Gold is moving within a sideway range of 3,340 – 3,363 USD after being rejected at the 3,363 USD resistance zone. The price structure shows consolidation with minor technical pullbacks. The 3,312 USD support remains intact; if it holds, buyers may step back in.
Suggested strategy:
Look for buy opportunities around 3,312 – 3,320 USD if support holds, with a target at 3,363 USD. Place stop-loss below 3,305 USD to limit risk.
Question: Do you think gold has enough momentum to break 3,363 USD and start a new bullish leg this week?
BTCUSDT – Bulls Maintain Control, Upside Scenario IntactOver the past two days , the crypto market has been supported by a series of positive developments: yesterday, U.S. PPI data cooled, easing inflationary pressure and strengthening expectations that the Fed may soon cut interest rates; today, global risk sentiment improved as U.S. and European stock indices rebounded; and most recently, Bitcoin ETF inflows continued to post net gains, signaling that institutional investors remain confident in the bullish trend.
On the daily chart , BTC is still moving within an ascending channel, with a strong resistance zone around 121,000 – 122,000 USDT. Currently, the price is consolidating right near the upper boundary of the channel, showing that buying pressure remains in control. The strong support zone lies between 112,000 – 110,000 USDT, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary.
Preferred strategy: look for buying opportunities if the price pulls back toward 112,000 – 110,000 USDT, targeting a return to 121,000 USDT and potentially new highs. The bullish trend remains intact as long as the price stays within this ascending channel.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.
XAUUSD Drops $55, Bearish Trend Continues!Yesterday, XAUUSD plummeted from $3,398 to $3,342 , losing more than $55 in just one trading session. This sharp decline pushed XAUUSD below a crucial support level , signaling significant weakness .
This drop confirms that gold is under strong selling pressure , with the market struggling to maintain upward momentum .
Additionally, the m/m CPI came in at 0.3% , higher than the expected 0.2% . This indicates inflation is rising faster than anticipated, increasing expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates.
This outcome could strengthen the USD , which typically leads to a drop in gold prices. This factor further supports the bearish outlook for XAUUSD.
The price is now approaching a near resistance level at $3,362 , a key point that may limit further upside potential. The near support is located at $3,310, and this will be tested if the price breaks through the resistance at $3,362.
Conclusion: With the combination of strong bearish price action, a stronger USD driven by CPI data, and technical structure supporting the downtrend, XAUUSD appears to be in a strong bearish trend. Risk management should be a priority as the price could test new lows near $3,310, and if this level breaks, the bearish trend could accelerate.
Gold Retreats to Range Zone: CPI Data Could Spark Next MoveGold has encountered strong resistance around the 3400 level and pulled back. The price has now re-entered the range zone again.
The technical picture shows gold ltaking support at 3340 support, while the 3400 level continues to act as a concrete resistance barrier above.
Yesterday's correction saw prices close below 3350, which raises some concern about near-term weakness. Today's CPI data release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. For gold price structure, a pullback would be healthy to establish a lower high pattern as indicated on the chart, particularly if the gold intends to move lower.
On the upside, the weekly pivot at 3384 now is critical level to monitor, followed by the 3400 resistance zone. To the downside, we have to watch the 3330-3335 support area as the next key level that could determine golds immediate direction.
EUR/USD – Bullish Momentum Still DominatesIn July, the USD rose sharply by around 3.2% thanks to strong GDP data and tax-cut expectations, but this momentum is now fading quickly. Weak employment figures and concerns over the independence of the BLS, following Trump’s dismissal of its head, have undermined confidence in the USD. Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Barclays remain bearish, projecting that EUR/USD could reach the 1.20 area in the medium term.
EUR/USD has maintained an upward trendline since early August, rebounding strongly from 1.1450–1.1500, breaking through FVG, and consolidating above 1.1627. The HH–HL structure confirms the bullish trend. Above 1.1630, price could target 1.1750; a breakout above 1.1750 would open the way to 1.1780–1.1800 (top of the long-term channel).
Trading Plan:
Main Trend: Bullish
Potential Buy Zone: 1.1630 – 1.1650 (upon confirmation signal)
Short-term Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1780
Medium-term Targets: 1.1900 and potentially 1.2000
Sop-loss: Below 1.1600
Gold is about to break out – Big buying opportunity!The chart shows that gold is trading in a clearly defined uptrend channel , with successive higher highs and higher lows, strengthening the solid bullish trend . Price action indicates strong support around 3,300 USD , and if it remains above 3,360 USD , the potential for gold to continue towards the target of 3,450 USD is highly likely. 3,450 USD is a key resistance level; if broken, gold could continue rising strongly to 3,480 USD , reinforcing the market's upward momentum.
News supporting the bullish trend:
The rumor that the U.S. would impose a 39% tax on gold imports from Switzerland triggered a strong buying wave, pushing gold above 3,400 USD . Although the rumor was later denied, the strong reaction still supports market sentiment and maintains the upward momentum.
Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates in the near future are easing the pressure on gold, a non-yielding asset, making it an attractive investment option in a low-interest-rate environment.
Forecast and trading strategy:
Main Scenario (Bullish Trend): As long as gold stays above 3,360 USD, the upward trend will continue. The next target is 3,450 USD, with the possibility of extending to 3,480 USD if this level is broken.
Entry conditions: Confirmation signals from price action, such as breaking resistance or a bullish candlestick pattern, will be strong entry points. Watch for the breakout of 3,400 USD as a potential buying opportunity.
Risk management: Place a stop-loss below the key support level at 3,360 USD to protect your capital in case the market unexpectedly reverses.
GBPJPY GJ is continuing its decline and is approaching a key demand zone around 194.800, which previously initiated bullish order flow.
I’ll definitely be monitoring this area closely for potential buy setups, as I’m anticipating a possible retracement. As always, confirmation will come from observing the 15-minute structure—once that aligns, I’ll adapt accordingly.