BAJAJ_AUTO 1D Time frame📍 BAJAJ_AUTO – 1D Important Levels (Current)
🔹 Support Zones
9,050 – 9,100 → Immediate daily support
8,800 – 8,900 → Strong support; buyers likely to defend this zone
8,500 – 8,600 → Major support; breakdown here may shift trend bearish
🔹 Resistance Zones
9,300 – 9,400 → Immediate daily resistance
9,550 – 9,650 → Strong resistance zone; breakout may extend upside momentum
9,800 – 10,000 → Major psychological resistance; if crossed, bullish trend strengthens further
⚖️ Daily Trend Outlook
Bajaj Auto is in a bullish structure on the daily chart, forming higher lows.
As long as price stays above 9,050, the stock remains positive.
A breakout above 9,400 – 9,650 can take it towards 9,800 – 10,000.
A breakdown below 9,050 could drag it towards 8,900 – 8,600.
M-forex
TATAMOTOR 1H Tata Motors – 1 Hour Chart Analysis
🔹 Trend Overview
On the 1-hour chart, Tata Motors is currently showing bullish momentum with higher highs and higher lows.
However, price is also facing some resistance near the upper range, so intraday swings are possible.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support Zone: around ₹706 – ₹709
Stronger Support: near ₹700
Immediate Resistance Zone: around ₹717 – ₹721
Major Resistance: around ₹734 – ₹735
🔹 Intraday Trading View
If price holds above ₹709, bulls may push towards ₹721 – ₹734.
If price slips below ₹706, a retest of ₹700 – ₹695 is possible.
Consolidation is likely in the ₹709 – ₹721 range before any major breakout.
🔹 Indicators (1-Hour Chart)
Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and 50 EMA, showing short-term strength.
RSI → Near the 60–65 zone, still bullish but close to overbought.
Volume → Slightly increasing on up-moves, showing buyers are active.
🔹 Summary
Bias: Bullish to range-bound
Support Levels: ₹706 / ₹700
Resistance Levels: ₹721 / ₹734
Intraday traders should watch the ₹709 – ₹721 band for breakout or breakdown trades.
XAUUSD 1H📍 XAUUSD – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
$1925 – $1927 → Immediate intraday support
$1918 – $1920 → Stronger short-term support
$1910 – $1912 → Major support zone, breakdown could trigger deeper fall
🔹 Resistance Zones
$1935 – $1937 → First intraday resistance
$1945 – $1947 → Strong resistance area where sellers may re-enter
$1955 – $1960 → Major resistance; breakout above this can fuel a larger rally
⚖️ Quick Summary
Above $1935, bulls may push toward $1945 – $1960.
Below $1920, bears could drag price back to $1910 – $1900.
Range to monitor: $1920 – $1935 (decisive breakout will set next trend).
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Trend Overview
On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently showing short-term bullish bias but with nearby resistance.
Price action is making higher lows, but upside moves are facing supply zones.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support Zone: $1918 – $1922
Major Support: $1910 – $1912
Immediate Resistance Zone: $1935 – $1940
Stronger Resistance: $1950
🔹 Indicators (1H Chart)
Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and near 50 EMA, showing short-term strength.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) → Around 60–65, leaning bullish but not overbought.
MACD → Positive crossover, momentum favoring buyers.
Volume → Buying volume spikes at dips, showing accumulation.
🔹 Intraday Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case
If price sustains above $1935, upside can extend to $1945 – $1950.
Breakout above $1950 opens path toward $1960+.
Bearish Case
If price drops below $1922, retracement towards $1912 – $1910 is possible.
Strong breakdown below $1910 may test $1900.
🔹 Summary
Bias: Mildly Bullish (as long as above $1920 support)
Support Levels: $1922 / $1910
Resistance Levels: $1935 / $1950
Traders should watch the $1920 – $1935 zone for the next decisive move.
NIFTY1!📍 NIFTY1! – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
22,450 – 22,500 → Immediate intraday support
22,350 – 22,400 → Stronger support, buyers likely active here
22,200 – 22,250 → Major support zone, breakdown can invite selling pressure
🔹 Resistance Zones
22,650 – 22,700 → Immediate resistance on 1H chart
22,800 – 22,850 → Strong resistance area, breakout may fuel rally
23,000 → Psychological and major resistance zone
⚖️ Quick Summary
Above 22,700, momentum may push Nifty Futures towards 22,850 – 23,000.
Below 22,450, weakness could drag price back to 22,350 – 22,200.
Current 1H trend bias is mildly bullish, but range-bound moves are possible between 22,450 – 22,700 before a breakout.
BTCUSD📍 BTCUSD – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
$55,200 – $55,500 → Immediate intraday support
$54,500 – $54,800 → Strong support zone, buyers likely to defend here
$53,800 – $54,000 → Major support, breakdown here could trigger deeper correction
🔹 Resistance Zones
$56,800 – $57,000 → Immediate 1H resistance
$57,800 – $58,200 → Strong resistance, breakout can fuel further upside
$59,000 – $59,500 → Major resistance, likely to act as a supply zone
⚖️ Quick Summary
As long as BTCUSD trades above $55,500, short-term bias remains bullish.
Breakout above $57,000 may push price towards $58,200 – $59,500.
Breakdown below $54,800 may drag price back towards $54,000 – $53,800.
Current 1H bias: Range-bound to bullish, waiting for a breakout from $55,500 – $57,000 zone.
BANKNIFTY 1Hour Time frame📍 Bank Nifty – 1H Important Levels (Current)
🔹 Support Zones
47,800 – 47,900 → Immediate intraday support
47,400 – 47,500 → Strong support; buyers expected to defend here
47,000 – 47,100 → Major support; breakdown here can invite heavy selling
🔹 Resistance Zones
48,400 – 48,500 → Immediate 1H resistance
48,800 – 48,900 → Strong resistance zone
49,200 – 49,300 → Major resistance; breakout here may fuel a rally
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Range-bound with a bullish tilt as long as Bank Nifty trades above 47,800.
Breakout above 48,500 can push towards 48,900 – 49,300.
Breakdown below 47,800 can drag the index to 47,400 – 47,000.
Current watch zone: 47,800 – 48,500.
USDJPY 1H📍 USDJPY – 1H
🔹 Support Zones
147.80 – 148.00 → Immediate intraday support
147.30 – 147.50 → Strong support; buyers likely active
146.80 – 147.00 → Major support; breakdown here may extend bearish momentum
🔹 Resistance Zones
148.50 – 148.70 → Immediate intraday resistance
149.00 – 149.20 → Strong resistance; breakout can trigger further rally
149.70 – 150.00 → Major psychological resistance
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Currently range-bound with a bullish tilt as long as price stays above 147.80.
Breakout above 148.70 may open the way towards 149.20 – 150.00.
Breakdown below 147.80 may drag price back to 147.30 – 147.00.
Current watch zone: 147.80 – 148.70.
NIFTY 1H Important Levels 📍 NIFTY – 1H Important Levels
🔹 Support Zones
22,350 – 22,400 → Immediate intraday support
22,200 – 22,250 → Strong support zone
22,000 – 22,050 → Major support; breakdown here may trigger deeper selling
🔹 Resistance Zones
22,600 – 22,650 → Immediate resistance on 1H chart
22,800 – 22,850 → Strong resistance; breakout can push momentum higher
23,000 → Major psychological resistance
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Mildly bullish as long as Nifty trades above 22,350.
Breakout above 22,650 may extend the rally towards 22,850 – 23,000.
Breakdown below 22,350 may drag it towards 22,200 – 22,000.
Current watch zone: 22,350 – 22,650.
Gold: Eyeing a Break Above 3,600Hello everyone, gold is approaching a critical juncture where both fundamentals and technicals appear aligned in favour of further upside.
Weak US labour data combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have weighed on yields and the dollar, creating a supportive backdrop for gold. The next key catalysts lie in US inflation prints (CPI/PPI). As long as easing expectations dominate, the metal enjoys a clear tailwind.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud with solid demand layers at 3,565–3,555 and 3,545–3,535. The 3,595–3,600 zone is the immediate psychological barrier, yet selling pressure looks insufficient to derail the trend.
My view: gold is likely to push through 3,600 soon, extending towards 3,615–3,630, with potential to reach 3,650 if momentum holds.
Do you think gold will clear 3,600 decisively this week? Share your thoughts below.
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs.
For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital Market Shift
1. Introduction
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has recently undertaken a significant step—fast-tracking Initial Public Offering (IPO) approvals. Traditionally, IPO approval in India has been a lengthy process, often stretching to six months. But SEBI’s new measures aim to cut this time nearly in half, potentially bringing it down to three months or less.
This shift comes at a time when India’s equity markets are booming, with record levels of fundraising expected in 2025. After raising around $20.5 billion through IPOs in 2024, analysts predict that 2025 could surpass this figure. According to reports, $8.2 billion has already been raised so far in 2025, with an additional $13 billion in IPOs already approved and nearly ₹18.7 billion pending approval.
2. Why SEBI is Expediting IPO Approvals
Several factors are driving SEBI to accelerate the IPO pipeline:
Surging Investor Appetite
Indian retail participation in stock markets has seen an explosion in recent years.
Over 11 crore Demat accounts are active as of 2025, compared to just 3.6 crore in 2019.
More retail investors mean more demand for IPOs, making faster approvals essential.
Global Capital Flows
India is seen as one of the fastest-growing large economies.
With global investors diversifying away from China, India is attracting billions in Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs).
A streamlined IPO process will help India capture this liquidity flow before it moves elsewhere.
Boosting Startup Ecosystem
Unicorns like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, and WeWork India are preparing for listings.
Startups require quicker capital-raising routes to compete globally.
Regulatory Efficiency and AI Adoption
SEBI is now deploying AI-powered document screening tools to check IPO filings.
This reduces human delays and allows faster compliance checks.
Collaboration with merchant bankers and exchanges has also been strengthened.
Record Fundraising Target
SEBI expects India to break the $20B mark again in 2025, possibly setting an all-time record.
Expedited approvals are central to making this happen.
3. How the New Approval System Works
Traditionally, IPO approvals involved multiple manual steps:
Filing of Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP).
SEBI reviews disclosures, company financials, risk factors, and governance.
Queries are raised with the company, leading to back-and-forth communication.
Final approval takes 4–6 months.
Now under the fast-track mechanism:
AI Pre-Screening: Automated checks scan filings for missing data, compliance issues, and inconsistencies.
Concurrent Review: Instead of sequential reviews, SEBI, merchant bankers, and exchanges review documents simultaneously.
Time-Bound Queries: Companies are given strict deadlines to respond to SEBI’s queries.
Standardization: Risk disclosure formats and governance checks are now standardized across sectors.
This is expected to cut approval timelines by 40–50%.
4. IPO Pipeline for 2025
Some big-ticket IPOs in the pipeline include:
PhysicsWallah (₹3,820 crore) – Edtech unicorn expanding into AI-driven education.
Urban Company – Already raised ₹854 crore from anchor investors; IPO opening soon.
LG Electronics India – Large consumer electronics brand targeting India’s growing tech-savvy population.
WeWork India – Despite global challenges, the Indian arm remains profitable and expansion-focused.
Credila Financial Services – Education loan subsidiary of HDFC, a high-demand financial segment.
The SME IPO market is equally hot with listings like Goel Construction debuting at a 15% premium and Prozeal Green Energy getting SEBI approval.
5. Benefits of Faster IPO Approvals
For Companies
Quicker access to capital for expansion.
Ability to capitalize on favorable market sentiment without delays.
Reduced costs of prolonged regulatory processes.
For Investors
More frequent and diverse IPO opportunities.
Increased transparency due to standardized disclosures.
Higher liquidity as more firms enter the public market.
For Indian Markets
Strengthened image of India as an investment hub.
Alignment with global best practices (US SEC and Hong Kong’s IPO process are faster).
Improved global competitiveness for Indian startups.
6. Risks and Challenges
Speed vs. Quality
Faster approvals must not compromise on due diligence.
Weak companies slipping through could hurt investor trust.
Market Saturation
Too many IPOs in a short span could lead to oversupply, reducing listing gains.
Retail Investor Overexposure
Retail investors may flock to IPOs without understanding fundamentals, increasing risk of losses.
Global Volatility
Geopolitical tensions, US interest rate decisions, or oil price shocks can derail IPO plans.
7. Global Context
Globally, IPO markets have been mixed:
US Markets: Tech IPOs are recovering but still face valuation pressure.
China: Tighter regulations have slowed down IPO fundraising.
Middle East: Saudi Arabia and UAE continue to see large IPOs in energy and infrastructure.
In this scenario, India is positioning itself as a global IPO leader, especially in the tech and services sector.
8. Investor Strategy for 2025 IPOs
For investors, the IPO rush creates both opportunities and challenges. Some strategies include:
Focus on Fundamentals
Look for companies with strong financials, governance, and growth potential.
Avoid IPOs driven purely by hype.
Anchor Investor Signals
Strong anchor participation (like Urban Company’s ₹854 Cr funding) signals institutional confidence.
Sector Plays
Edtech, Renewable Energy, Fintech, and Consumer Services are hot sectors.
Traditional sectors like construction and manufacturing are also showing resilience.
Listing Gains vs. Long-Term Holding
Some IPOs (like Goel Construction SME) deliver quick listing pops.
Larger IPOs (like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company) may be better for long-term growth.
9. Case Study: Urban Company IPO
Urban Company is a prime example of SEBI’s faster approval ecosystem.
Filed DRHP earlier in 2025.
Received SEBI approval within 12 weeks.
Raised ₹854 crore from anchors before IPO launch.
Price band set at the higher end, reflecting strong demand.
Market analysts project strong long-term growth given India’s rising demand for home services.
This showcases how SEBI’s new process benefits both issuers and investors.
10. Conclusion
SEBI’s decision to expedite IPO approvals is a game-changer for India’s financial markets. By cutting approval times, using AI-driven compliance, and standardizing processes, SEBI is creating a faster, more transparent, and investor-friendly IPO environment.
With major companies like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, Neilsoft, and Prozeal entering the market, and regulatory support from SEBI, 2025 is poised to be a record-breaking year for IPO fundraising in India.
However, investors must balance enthusiasm with caution—choosing fundamentally strong IPOs, monitoring global market conditions, and avoiding blind bets driven by hype.
In essence, SEBI’s move reflects India’s ambition to emerge as a global capital-raising hub, connecting domestic growth stories with global capital at unprecedented speed and scale.
NIFTY50 index levelsKey Levels & Swing Trade Outlook (1-Hour Timeframe)
Resistance & Support (Broader Technical View)
Key Resistance Zones:
24,900–25,000 range (daily level)—a critical breakout area
Slightly higher potential if breakout occurs, toward 25,200+
Immediate Support Zones:
24,750–24,800 level
Broader range support at 24,620–24,700
More defensive base near 24,400 (longer-term)
Intraday Pivot Levels (Based on latest derived pivots)
From Moneycontrol, for the current trading session:
Classic Pivot R1: 24,855 | R2: 24,937 | R3: 24,989
Classic Pivot S1: 24,721 | S2: 24,669 | S3: 24,587
1-Hour Swing Trading Perspective
Although explicit 1-hour pivot data is not readily available, we can infer swing strategies using the broader technical context and typical indicators:
1-Hour Swing Fundamentals:
Use short-term moving averages (e.g., 20/50 EMA) to gauge trend direction. The index is trading above these on shorter timeframes, suggesting intraday bullish bias
Common indicators: RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, etc.
Gold: Positive Momentum with Room Towards 3,700Gold continues to draw strength from supportive fundamentals. Rate cut expectations in the US remain strong, while steady inflows into low-cost ETFs are reinforcing the longer-term bullish case. In Asia, weaker GDP data from Japan and disappointing trade numbers from China have added to safe-haven demand.
On the 2H chart, the uptrend is visible: price trades above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with successive FVG blocks offering a “ladder” of support. The nearest resistance stands around 3,645–3,650. Below, support is layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and further down at 3,580–3,565.
The likely path is sideways accumulation below 3,650 before another push higher towards 3,670–3,685. If momentum persists, 3,700–3,715 becomes achievable. Weakness would only show if the 2H candle closes under 3,595, and a decisive break of 3,565 would expose 3,540–3,525. CPI and PPI prints from the US, alongside 10Y yield movements, remain the key variables to watch.
Gold (XAUUSD) 1:4 intraday buy scenario.Gold is in up move and forming a good buy scenario on 30/15-minute chart. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. 30/15m bullish FVG is pending and price is showing pull back towards it.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. Order flow confirming bullish bias.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:4) trade scenario.
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Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.
Gold Breaks New Highs, Momentum Still Favouring BullsHello everyones,
The past week has been quite rewarding for gold as it surged through major resistance levels and printed fresh highs. On the H4 chart, the trend looks very clear: price action is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan sitting comfortably above Kijun, and the cloud slope widening further. Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled below, showing that buying momentum is powerful and liquidity is being left behind — a signature of a strong rally, not just a short-term move.
In terms of price action, the immediate resistance lies between $3,535–3,560. A clean H4 close above this area may unlock the next natural expansion towards $3,580–3,600. On the downside, layered supports are found at $3,520–3,505, then $3,485–3,470, and deeper at $3,440–3,420, coinciding with the upper edge of the cloud, often tested during medium-term uptrends.
Fundamentally, the environment still favours buyers: safe-haven demand is rising, the Fed is expected to ease policy sooner, and the USD is weakening, all adding fuel to the bullish case. Unless gold closes back into the cloud and loses the $3,440–3,420 zone, the probability of trend continuation remains high.
Do you think gold can stretch further from here? Share your thoughts below!
Gold Marks New ATH at 3600 – Bulls Still in ControlGold closed last week on a very strong note, posting its highest daily and weekly close and also printing a new all-time high at 3600, which now stands as an important psychological resistance Level. The overall price action structure continues to favor the bulls, with no major signs of reversal visible on any time frame.
For this week, the weekly pivot at 3541 will be going to act as the first line of support, followed by the previous ATH at 3500 as the secondary and more critical level to hold. While some consolidation or pullback from current levels cannot be ruled out given the stretched rally and overbought conditions (daily,H4) these dips can be viewed as healthy rather than bearish. As long as gold holds above 3500 on a closing basis, the broader trend remains bullish, and any corrective moves are likely to attract buying interest.
In short, unless bears can force a decisive break below 3500 (Daily close or week), gold bullish momentum remains intact, with scope for continuation above 3600 once consolidation is done.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025: Gold rebounds after correction, market eyes on NFP data and Donald Trump's surprise statement for the week.
Fundamentals: Spot gold prices experienced extreme volatility on Thursday, with intraday swings reaching $53 before closing lower, currently trading at $3,557/oz, representing a gain of about $11 on the day. Gold's slight decline also reflects traders taking profits from the recent incredible rally. Investor focus now shifts to today's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's strong decline showed investors' short-term profit-taking, but the current gold price is still trading above 3500. We continue to trade according to the main trend, waiting for support areas for long-term trading.
Important price zones today: 3525 - 3520 and 3495- 3500.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3515 - 3517
SL 3512
TP 3520 - 3530 - 3550 - 3580.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3498 - 3500
SL 3495
TP 3503 - 3513 - 3530 - 3550.
Wishing you a safe, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Buying is slow and weak.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Gold: Profit-Taking Before NFP, Main Trend Still BullishHello everyone, after a strong rally, gold has seen a short-term pullback. On the daily chart, this looks more like profit-taking at historical highs rather than a reversal. The broader structure remains intact: price holds above the Ichimoku cloud, the Kijun is sloping upwards, and layered demand FVG zones sit right below—typical of a healthy uptrend.
In terms of levels, immediate resistance is 3,555–3,565; a clear daily close above would naturally open the path towards 3,600–3,620. On the downside, the key buffer lies at 3,525–3,510 (clustered FVG + upper edge of the cloud). Only a decisive daily close below 3,510 would raise risks of a deeper correction towards 3,480–3,450.
News flow also explains the pause: ETF outflows and caution ahead of NFP have capped momentum. Yet, with safe-haven demand still present (as labour data and PMI suggest economic risks), I see this more as profit-locking than a trend reversal.
NFP scenarios: if the numbers are strong (USD/yields ↑), gold could retreat to 3,525–3,510; losing this zone would expose 3,480–3,450. If data is weak (USD/yields ↓), odds of breaking 3,565 are high, opening the way to 3,600+.
Overall, the main trend stays bullish as long as 3,525–3,510 holds. After NFP, a daily close above 3,565 would clearly confirm continuation.
Do you think gold will break 3,565 right after NFP and aim for 3,600+, or pull back once more to test support first? Share your view below.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025: New all-time high of $3,578, gold eases to $3,536/oz as US ADP data takes center stage.
Fundamentals: Spot gold hit a record high on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected US jobs data weighed on the US dollar. Gold bulls are betting on further gains. The US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Wednesday, showing that job vacancies, an indicator of labor demand, fell by 176,000 to 7.181 million on the last day of July. Economists surveyed by Reuters had previously forecast the number of vacant jobs in the United States at 7.378 million in July.
Technical analysis: After creating the latest ATH of 3578, the gold price corrected strongly to the 3511 area and then continued to increase; this can be considered a short-term profit-taking wave of the gold price. However, the selling pressure is still not strong. The multi-frame RSI is in the overbought area and shows signs of entering the buying zone. We continue to wait at the support areas combined with MA, Fib and FVG zones.
Important price zones today: 3495 - 3500 and 3475 - 3480.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended order:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3495 - 3497
SL 3492
TP 3500 - 3510 - 3530 - 3550 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3475 - 3477
SL 3472
TP 3480 - 3490 - 3520 - 3550 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3549 - 3551
SL 3554
TP 3546 - 3536 - 3516 - 3500. (small volume, effective before US session).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD – Gold Stalls as USD Regains StrengthThe ISM Services PMI was reported at 50.9, higher than the previous 50.1 and still above the 50 threshold – indicating that the U.S. services sector remains in expansion. This is a sign that the U.S. economy is still resilient, and the USD immediately benefited. With a stronger dollar, it’s natural for gold to come under corrective pressure.
On the 8H chart, after a sharp rally, XAUUSD was capped at the 3,579 USD resistance . From there, price showed a reversal signal and started to retreat. The nearest support lies around 3,465 USD, and if this level is broken, the probability of a deeper decline increases significantly – especially as the fundamentals continue to favor the greenback.
In the short term , I favor a bearish scenario: sell while price stays below 3,579, targeting 3,465. Only a clear close above 3,579 would bring the bullish outlook back, but for now, gold looks set for a correction.
BreakOut Retest Strategy Price came back to a fresh supply zone.
First candle went bullish, second candle (50% wick / 50% body) showed rejection + sellers entering.
You entered sell after confirmation.
Stop above zone, TP far below → 1:8 RR achieved.
Key: fresh zone + rejection + patience → high probability trade.