Breakout ReTest StrategyI see my GBPUSD short setup with the supply zone marked and stop-loss above the rejection area.
👉 A few thoughts on this trade:
I respected my zone + rejection entry rule (good).
Strong bearish impulse followed after my entry, so the idea was correct.
The sharp drop suggests momentum was in my favor, likely news-driven or liquidity sweep.
My stop placement looks safe above structure (not too tight).
✅ This looks like an A+ setup execution — clean zone, rejection confirmation, and follow-through.
M-forex
Bullish trend intact, waiting for PMI to spark the next waveCaptain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Waves 🌍
The USD continues to weaken as investors grow more confident that the FED will cut rates in the coming months. With the greenback losing appeal, large flows are leaving cash and moving into safe-haven assets → gold stands out as the number one choice .
👉 This supports gold’s sustainable bullish trend . If USD selling pressure persists, the market could see fresh breakouts into year-end.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
H2 Chart: gold just created a Higher High after BOS , confirming bullish dominance.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,450 – 3,452): aligned with previous FVG , heavy liquidity zone.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB ~3,470): intermediate support, ideal for quick pullback entries.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,538 – 3,540): resistance at Fibo 0.618 – 0.786 , strong chance of profit-taking if tested.
Intraday bias: Wait for pullback to Buy. Short-term Sell only if price hits Storm Breaker.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3,450 – 3,452
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB Support): 3,470
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone): 3,538 – 3,540
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,450 – 3,452
SL: 3,444
TP: 3,455 → 3,458 → 3,462 → 3,465 → 34xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3,538 – 3,540
SL: 3,548
TP: 3,535 → 3,532 → 3,529 → 35xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold sail is still filled with bullish wind, but Storm Breaker 🌊 above may create counter waves. Stay patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ for precise entries, and watch the PMI at 21:00 – the catalyst for the next wave.”
High probability 1:7 Gold buy scenario.Gold is developing nice scenario for upside move. Currently it is under consolidation. We are expecting manipulation toward FVG (1 and 15m overlapping) and then upward movement after liquidity sweep. Below is detail
1. Price has created Break of Structure.
2. Displacement happened, which created FVGs in 5 and 15m overlapping.
3. FVGs are formed in Discount and OTE zone.
4. FVGs are overlapping BB on 5m.
5. HTF bias is also upside.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:7) trade scenario.
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Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
All-Time High Achieved: Can Gold Hold Above 3500?Gold has successfully tested the 3500 level, printing a fresh all-time high, and momentum remains strong. However, looking at the H4 chart, price action appears slightly stretched, hinting at the possibility of a short-term pullback. A retest toward the previous month’s high / previous week’s high zone (around 3450–3460) cannot be ruled out, and that level will be key to watch for a bullish bounce. As long as gold manages to hold above the 3400 daily close support, any retracement can be seen as a healthy dip-buying opportunity within the broader bullish trend. For now, 3500 stands as immediate resistance, while 3450 is short-term support, and 3400 remains a major level to defend. A sustained daily close above 3500 will open the door for further upside continuation and fresh breakout territory.
XAU USD 1 HRS BULLISH CHART Xau USD given a very decent move in last some days from 3383 to 3480 , There is Round number Resistance near 3500 if crossed 3500 with volume or Bullish Candle then Rally can continue. Otherwise there may be some retracement up to 3350-55. Be Cautious & careful. But Still it's bullish . Any Retracement will be Good opportunity.
Xau USD Bullish Structure Xau USD is making Higher High pattern . From 3325 it's moving upward with Higher High pattern . It's moving up . From here I m seeing again 10 -15 point movement . It's bullish Structure at higher level . We can wait for retracement if you are safe player. Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ...
1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well.
2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area.
3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP.
4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario.
Note – if liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025: Gold reversed its decline and surged to its weekly target, boosted by U.S. PCE data and concerns about Fed independence.
Fundamentals: Gold prices reversed course in the U.S. trading session last week, erasing all losses and rising to a new high. After the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report largely met expectations, the precious metal traded near $3,454, its highest level since June 16. The weakening dollar supported gold prices, while traders continued to bet on the Federal Reserve's monetary easing measures in September.
Technical analysis: Gold prices, after breaking the 3,420 - 3,425 area, rose sharply to the 3,485 area and are heading towards the old ATH area of 3,500. We will now trade in an uptrend, waiting for a trading point at the combined support zones of MA, Fib and FVG.
Important price zones today: 3,420 - 3,425 and 3,445 - 3,450.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3445 - 3447
SL 3442
TP 3450 - 3460 - 3480 - 3500.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422
SL 3417
TP 3425 - 3435 - 3455 - 3500.
Wish you a new week of safe, effective trading and lots of profit.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Awaits Fed Signals: Will 3,350 USD Determine the Next Move?Hi everyone, the gold market is currently at a very sensitive stage. Gold is trading around 3,345 USD, approaching the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3,340 – 3,350 USD, and it’s showing signs of consolidation within a narrow range. This phase is highly anticipatory of important news from the Fed and senior officials. So, where will gold head before and after these statements? Let’s break it down.
Gold is currently facing strong resistance at 3,350 USD, a key level that could confirm the next direction. The chart shows that the FVG between 3,340 – 3,350 USD is a region where gold might test again. If it breaks above this level, the chances of continuing the uptrend are very high. On the other hand, if it fails to break 3,350 USD, gold could pull back to test the 3,320 USD support level.
The current trading volume indicates that the bulls are gaining control. However, with significant news soon to be released from the Fed, statements from Jerome Powell and other FOMC members could be decisive factors, especially if there are further signals about potential rate cuts from the Fed. This would weaken the USD and fuel further upside for gold.
Gold Trend Prediction:
If gold breaks 3,350 USD, I expect it to continue rising, with the next target around 3,370 USD. However, if it fails to break this resistance level, gold might adjust back towards 3,320 USD or lower.
Let’s continue to monitor the market and prepare for upcoming trading opportunities!
XAU/USD – Gold Targets 3,440 USDHello traders, gold has successfully broken through the key resistance at 3,400 USD and is now approaching the 3,420 USD zone. A decisive move above this level could open the way toward 3,440 USD. On the downside, the 3,375–3,380 USD support range remains effective, helping the bullish structure to hold.
From the macro side, US Q2 GDP grew by 3.3%, beating forecasts and confirming a solid economic recovery. Yet, this also fuels inflation concerns, reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal. Additionally, the upcoming PCE data for August is expected to rise, limiting the chances of early Fed rate cuts, which continues to support gold prices.
What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts below.
EURUSD – Wave 5 Long SetupIdea: EURUSD has completed a clean Elliott Wave (1-2-3-4) structure on the 1H chart and is now setting up for the final Wave (5) push to the upside. Price has broken above short-term resistance and is aiming for the next liquidity zone.
🔹 Entry: 1.16609
🔹 Target: 1.17015 🎯
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.16271 ❌
✅ Reasons for Long Bias:
Clear Elliott Wave progression with Wave 5 in play.
Strong recovery from Wave 4 support zone.
Next resistance aligns with Wave 5 target around 1.1700 psychological level.
Favorable R:R ratio, keeping risk well defined.
⚠️ Risk Management: Always trade with position sizing that suits your account. Stop loss is placed below Wave 4 to protect from invalidation.
📌 Disclaimer
This is purely for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please do your own research before entering any trades.
NZDUSD – Breakout Confirmation with Upside Potential🔹 Pair: NZDUSD (1H, Heikin Ashi)
🔹 Entry: 0.58789
🔹 Target: 0.59084 🎯
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.58634 🛑
🔑 Trade Rationale:
✅ Double Bottom Formation – Price respected key support twice, signaling potential reversal.
✅ Breakout Above Resistance – Clean breakout above horizontal resistance (blue line).
✅ 200 EMA Retest – Price is now pushing above the EMA, adding strength to the bullish case.
✅ Volume Spike – Recent surge in buying volume supports the upside move.
📊 Trade Plan:
I’m going long from 0.58789, looking for a quick move toward 0.59084. Risk is limited with a tight SL at 0.58634.
This setup offers a favorable R:R with a technical confluence of breakout + pattern confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always use proper risk management.
Steady Climb: Gold Confirms Breakout, Support Shifts to 3400We have seen impressive strength on gold with a slow but steady breakout above 3400, confirming a bullish tone in the market. Price has also cleared the previous swing high near 3410, turning this zone into fresh support (3400–3410). Alongside this, the rising trendline support (black line) continues to guide the uptrend, adding confidence to the move.
From a price action perspective, this breakout looks healthy and signals that buyers are gaining control. The next big level to watch is the 3450 zone, which stands as the key breakout area for a larger move higher. On the flip side, as long as 3400–3410 holds, the bullish outlook remains intact.
With both the monthly and weekly closing happening today, the candle close will be crucial in setting the tone for the next leg. A strong close above 3410 would further validate the bullish breakout, while any failure to hold above support could bring some profit-taking. For now, the overall structure favors the bulls.
Dow Jones (DJI) – 4H Chart AnalysisMarket Structure:
Price grabbed liquidity (Liq) below recent lows.
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred, confirming bullish intent.
Price rallied strongly after liquidity sweep, indicating smart money accumulation.
Entry Zone:
Entry placed near 45,305.93 (demand zone after MSS).
This aligns with bullish order block / demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
Stop Loss:
SL at 44,566.45 (below liquidity sweep).
Protects against deeper liquidity hunts.
Target / Take Profit:
TP at 45,764.89 (recent swing high).
Clear liquidity resting above, providing a logical target.
Risk-to-Reward (RR):
Approx 1:2 RR (Risking ~740 points for a potential gain of ~460 points).
Good balance between safety and profitability.
Gold Holds Uptrend – Eyes on 3.395 BreakHello everyone,
Observing the latest chart, gold’s uptrend remains firmly in place. The price moves consistently above the Ichimoku cloud, while the forward cloud thickens and tilts slightly upward, forming a supportive cushion for the next leg higher. Below, the recently formed FVG demand zone at 3.372–3.380 has been lightly tested multiple times and rebounded, showing solid absorption by buyers. Conversely, above, the thin FVG supply around 3.395–3.405 acts as the “gate” for the market to enter a new upward leg.
Volume data also reinforces the bullish scenario: green candles often come with higher volumes than red ones, especially after the breakout on 27–28/8. The “higher highs – higher lows” structure since the 22/8 rebound indicates buyers remain in control.
Moreover, news factors are creating a tailwind. US tariff tightening, temporary halts on international mail in several countries, and supply shortage risks have sparked inflation and supply chain concerns, supporting gold as a safe-haven asset.
Trend-following strategy: prefer buying while price holds above 3.372–3.380 (both FVG zone and Ichimoku cloud edge), targeting 3.413 first, then 3.433. This scenario fails if price closes below 3.360, losing the cloud cushion and breaking the recent low. The 3.395–3.405 zone is a key confirmation: a clean breakout here often leads to a smoother, stronger upward move.
Do you think gold has enough strength to break 3.395 in the coming sessions?
XAUUSD: Maintaining Support, Gold Aims for New Highs!Based on the latest data and chart for XAUUSD, it can be seen that gold is in an uptrend after holding strong above the key support level at 3,373.70. The chart indicates that if gold maintains above this support zone, the next target will be 3,413.00, with the potential to continue rising higher if the current support area is not broken.
Technical Analysis: XAUUSD is currently trading near the support zone at 3,373.70 and resistance at 3,413.00. If the price remains above 3,373.70, the uptrend will continue with the target at 3,413.00. The nearest support levels are 3,373.70 and 3,362.00.
Fundamental Signals: Weaker economic data from the U.S., especially the higher-than-expected PCE index and lower-than-expected jobless claims, have increased expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates. This has put pressure on the USD and supported gold’s recovery.
Gold Holds Trendline All Eyes on 3400 & GDP DataGold continues to move higher , on H4 we can see that price respecting the rising trendline support that has been guiding the move since last week’s breakout. Yesterday, bulls made an attempt to push through the 3400 level, but failed to sustain above it, confirming this zone as the immediate resistance for now. On the downside, supports remain unchanged first at the previous week high (3378), followed by the weekly pivot (3353).
For today, the key focus will be on the GDP data release, which could trigger volatility and provide the needed catalyst for gold to either break above 3400–3410 resistance or slide back towards its support zones. Until then, price action suggests a slow but steady bullish bias, with sellers only likely to gain momentum if the trendline breaks decisively.
XAU/USD – Bulls Eye $3,400 as Technicals and Ichimoku Support HoHello friends, on the H1 chart, gold has rebounded sharply from the $3,360 support and is now testing the $3,380–$3,385 resistance zone. The FVG areas at $3,375 and $3,380 are creating short-term barriers, but a clean break above them could reinforce the uptrend.
The Ichimoku cloud remains supportive, with Senkou Span A staying above Span B, confirming that buyers still hold control. Trading volumes also remain healthy, indicating strong buying interest. As long as the price stays above $3,360–$3,375, this zone should act as a solid base for further gains.
From the news side, traders await the US PCE index, a key inflation gauge. A stronger-than-expected reading could weigh on the dollar and boost gold further. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to fuel safe-haven demand.
If gold breaks $3,385, the next target is $3,400, and possibly higher levels. On the flip side, any pullbacks to $3,375–$3,360 would likely be healthy corrections to strengthen the bullish structure.
Do you believe gold is ready to break $3,385 and head toward $3,400?
XAUUSD Price Action Analysis Current Market Overview
Price is trading at 3,371.67 🟢, showing bullish momentum after bouncing from the highlighted support zone (purple box).
The support zone (3,358 – 3,348) is currently holding strongly, converting old resistance into support 🔄.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone (3,358 – 3,348) 🛡️ → Price respected this area, confirming it as a demand zone.
Immediate Support: 3,358.65 🟪
Secondary Supports: 3,348.60 📉 | 3,325.99 📉 | 3,311.63 📉
📈 Bullish Scenario
If buyers maintain momentum above 3,358, price may attempt a move toward 3,380+ 🚀.
Break above 3,380 could signal continuation to new highs 📊✨.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A strong break back below 3,358 could re-test 3,348 → 3,325 → 3,311 ⬇️.
Failure to hold support may trigger deeper correction.
✅ Professional Takeaway
Market sentiment is bullish as long as price stays above 3,358 support zone 🟩.
Traders may look for buy opportunities on dips near support with targets toward 3,380 – 3,390 🎯.
Watch price reaction closely at the purple zone for confirmation before entering.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025: Gold prices remain in the rising price channel, trading opportunities for investors.
Basic news: CB Consumer Confidence Report (August) is 97.4, higher than the forecast of 96.4 but lower than last month's 98.7. News that President Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook still has a strong impact on the US Dollar, creating upward momentum for gold.
Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to fluctuate in the rising price channel, however, after approaching the 3395 area, gold prices are currently adjusting. MA lines, liquidity zones combined with Fib frames and price channels are still supporting the upward momentum for gold prices. We continue to wait for transactions in these support areas. There is a high possibility that spot gold prices will approach the 3410 - 3420 area and continue to be held.
Important price zones today: 3358 - 3363 and 3347 - 3352.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3358 - 3360
SL 3355
TP 3363 - 3373 - 3393 - 3410.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3347 - 3349
SL 3344
TP 3352 - 3362 - 3382 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3418 - 3420
SL 3423
TP 3415 - 3405 - 3395 - 3380 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
XAU/USD H4 – Short-Term Cool-Off, Gap Fill in FocusHello everyone,
After the Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted potential rate cuts but stressed a cautious approach due to rising employment risks. This stance boosted September rate cut expectations in the interest rate derivatives market. Early this week, the USD rebounded slightly and gold paused around 3,355–3,360 as profit-taking followed last week’s spike – a typical “good news priced in, then back to balance” reaction.
This week, U.S. economic data such as New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, preliminary GDP, Personal Income/Spending, and especially Core PCE will act as key catalysts, potentially amplifying short-term gold volatility.
Last week’s rally was absorbed near the 3,372–3,378 supply/FVG zone (long wicks, lower closes), while a bullish FVG 3,355–3,345 formed below – often attracting price back to equilibrium before the next directional move. With price still below the cloud edge and candles weakening after the spike, the short-term bias is bearish. I favor a retracement toward 3,355 → 3,345, possibly extending to 3,340–3,338 to fully fill the gap.
What’s your take on this scenario? Share your thoughts below.