ITC Limited Weekly Chart – Wave Y Targets Support ClusterITC has been trending lower since the ₹498.85 peak, carving out what appears to be a complex W-X-Y correction. The first leg (W) found support near ₹391.20, followed by a corrective bounce into X at ₹444.20. The decline since then has kept price under a descending trendline, respecting the larger corrective rhythm.
Wave Count
Wave W: Completed into the ₹391.20 low.
Wave X: Counter-trend rally capped at 444.20.
Wave Y: Now unfolding, with sub-wave (C) still incomplete.
The broader structure hints that ITC may continue toward the support cluster (₹350–375) before this correction runs its course.
Indicators
Volume : Muted on upticks – rallies lack buying strength.
RSI (~44) : Mid-zone, leaving space for further downside before oversold conditions.
Weekly 50/100 MA crossover : Adds weight to the ongoing corrective bias.
Invalidation
A decisive break above ₹422.45 and sustained strength beyond 427 would question this bearish view, hinting at a possible shift back to bullish sequences.
Summary
Unless ITC reclaims higher ground above 422.45, the bias stays toward a Wave Y completion in the support cluster zone.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
M-oscillator
State Bank of India – Breakout, but With CheckpointsWeekly Chart View
State Bank of India has staged a strong breakout above the consolidation zone near ₹835, with weekly RSI showing healthy momentum and no bearish divergence yet. This breakout suggests that Wave 3/C is in progress , keeping the short-term outlook bullish.
Key Observations:
Wave 2/B: The recent sideways move looks like a triangle. While triangles are unusual for Wave 2, they are common in Wave B — raising the possibility that this could be part of a larger corrective flat.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance sits at the Wave B high (₹875.45) , followed by the all-time high (₹912). The ATH retest will be critical in determining whether the structure continues impulsively or morphs into a flat.
Support & Invalidation: The breakout remains valid as long as price stays above ₹786.55 (Wave 2/B low). A decisive break below this level would invalidate the current bullish structure and force reevaluation.
Momentum: RSI is supportive, showing strength and no sign of divergence yet.
Summary:
The bias remains bullish in the short term , but this rally will be tested at the higher resistance levels. If the stock pushes through the ATH, we may confirm an impulsive sequence. If not, a 3-3-5 flat could be in play. Either way, this is a key checkpoint zone for SBI.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Jubilant Foodworks: Wave 2 Near End?After peaking at ₹796.75, Jubilant Foodworks entered a corrective A–B–C decline, completing Wave 2 near ₹575 — right at the 0.618 retracement of Wave 1. Price has since held above this key support, suggesting the corrective phase may be complete.
The setup is now simple:
Entry Zone: Around ₹608 (0.5 retracement)
Stop-Loss / Invalidation: Below ₹575
Target: Initial confirmation above ₹796, with Wave 3 potential extending higher
Momentum check: RSI correctly flagged the earlier bearish divergence between Wave 3 and Wave 5, leading to the current correction. At present, RSI sits near 43, capped by a falling trendline. A decisive breakout in RSI above 50 would provide the green light for Wave 3’s bullish acceleration.
If the trendline support holds and momentum follows through, Wave 3 could push well beyond the prior peak at ₹796, opening the door to fresh highs.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BASF India – 53% Correction Nearing Wave 5 SupportBASF India, a leading chemicals producer, has witnessed a sharp correction from its euphoric highs of ₹8,750. In just a few months, the stock retraced nearly 53%, wiping out more than half its gains.
Wave count
From the ATH, price unfolded into a 5-wave impulse decline, bottoming near ₹4,065. This completed the Wave A of the zigzag.
The subsequent recovery to ₹5,424 shaped up as a clear A-B-C corrective rally.
Since then, the stock has been carving out another 5-wave decline, now progressing towards its final leg (Wave 5 and eventually Wave C of the zigzag).
The support zone around ₹4,000 remains crucial — a likely area for Wave 5 to bottom.
Momentum Check
RSI sits near 43, showing weakness.
No strong bullish divergence yet, which hints at the possibility of one last dip before a reversal attempt.
Outlook
If Wave 5 completes around the ₹4,000 zone, this could complete the ABC zigzag and BASF India could set the stage for a larger rebound sequence into 2026. If price breaks below 4000 convincingly and continues the downtrend, then we are in for a further deep correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Trent Ltd – Double Zigzag Correction in PlayAfter topping out at ₹8,345, Trent has been locked in a larger corrective structure that now appears to be unfolding as a W–X–Y double zigzag on the weekly chart.
Wave Count
Wave W bottomed at ₹4,715 as a clear ABC.
The rally to ₹6,261 completed Wave X.
Price is now progressing in Wave Y, where:
Wave A has unfolded,
Wave B topped at ₹5,674,
Wave C is expected to continue lower.
Key Levels
Target 1 (1.0 extension): ₹4,370
Target 2 (1.618 extension): ₹3,565
Stop-loss / Invalidation:
Trading level: ₹5,674 (Wave B high)
Structural level: ₹6,261 (Wave X high)
RSI Check
RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum.
Conclusion
The correction appears incomplete with scope for another leg down before a larger recovery can begin. While the working invalidation sits at ₹5,674, structurally the bearish count holds until ₹6,261 is broken.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
D’Mart (Consumption) Possible Throwback to breakout levelD’Mart (Consumption)
Chart Context:
D’Mart after its breakout near ₹4524 with EMAs aligned bullishly d'Mart Start Weakening and possible throwback to the breakout level. RSI is above 69, indicating strength. Fib levels highlight potential upside to ₹4,885 → ₹5,145.
Post Caption:
"D’Mart sustaining above ₹4,524 breakout zone.
Upside levels: ₹4,885 → ₹5,145.
Stop near ₹4,540.
🛒 Consumption theme continues to show leadership."
Short Term SPX to hit a target of ~6800 post current correctionSPX is in a small time correction phase.
Is the correction ended ?
May not be, for it to prove correction has ended, price should show break out above current short term range.,
What are possibilities ?
a) Price does a break out of current range and flows blue line to ~6800 target
b) Price carries out ABC (RED ABC as marked) and bottom out around ~6200, then rise in impulse to hit a target of ~6800.
When ?
The view is time agnostic, so it may take weeks to months time.
INTU next target around 850 once correction is overINTU has been correcting after finishing an Impulse sub wave.
It will end the correction in the Price band of 745-715.
Why such a big Price band to end the correction ?
Because it has to correct till 4th wave of earlier sub wave
and or resolve technical divergence with the price and RSI so the large band.
How can we trade then for a target of 850 ?
Wait for the price to enter the correction band of 745-715, the price may for the pattern as indicated by Yellow 1-2-3-4-5 wave pointing downwards.,
Wait for good candle stick formation in this band, like morning star pattern, pin bar+bullish candle or piercing candle pattern, now combine this with minimum back to back two positive divergences in RSI with price, entry should be with all condition met so that you are in high probability party., or any of the entry principles one has already developed and practicing.,
How to know if the current rise is impulsive or part of bigger B after entry is made with conditions met?
Once entered, if you can inspect in lower time frame to see if its impulsive(Elliott Wave impulsive pattern), then it is confirmed that price is impulsive towards the target, else one can exit with some profits., and again wait for the price to enter the band and enter with above said conditions.,
How much time it will take for correction to get over and target to reach ?
Time calculation is not part of this view , so the whole thing may take few weeks to couple of months to play out!
PS: This view is fundamental agnostic and it is price action view with Elliott Wave theory applied.,
I will make best efforts to call out if the rise is impulsive or not.,
How to Use The Stochastic RSI Indicatorthe stochastic rsi is a momentum oscillator that applies the stochastic formula to the relative strength index (rsi) values, rather than price. this creates an indicator that is more sensitive to market movements, helping traders identify potential overbought and oversold zones faster than traditional indicators.
🔍 how it works
stochastic rsi generates values between 0 and 100 . it is calculated using the rsi value instead of price and then applying the stochastic oscillator formula. this means you're looking at the momentum of momentum!
📊 key levels to watch
* above 80 = overbought 🚨
* below 20 = oversold 💡
these levels suggest potential reversals, but not guarantees. combining them with price action or trend direction increases effectiveness.
⚙️ how traders use it
* entry signals: look for the indicator crossing above 0.2 (bullish) or below 0.8 (bearish)
* exit signals: when stochastic rsi returns from extreme levels
* divergence: just like rsi, divergence between stochastic rsi and price can hint at trend reversals
🛠️ tips for better results
* use with other indicators like moving averages, macd, or trendlines
* adjust the rsi and stochastic settings to fit your trading style
* avoid using it alone in sideways markets — it may give too many false signals
📌 final thoughts
stochastic rsi is a powerful tool when used correctly. it helps traders get early signals and adds depth to momentum analysis. always backtest and combine with proper risk management!
Disclaimer :
This idea post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
Dr. Reddy’s Breakout + Bullish Stochastic + Volume Surge = ₹1307🔍 TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:
📉 DESCENDING WEDGE BREAKOUT:
Price has decisively broken above the wedge resistance, signaling a trend reversal.
🚀 GAP-UP OPENING:
Signals aggressive buyer interest and bullish sentiment.
🔄 STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR:
Fast %K line has crossed above the slow %D line in the oversold zone, indicating momentum is shifting to the upside.
🔊 VOLUME SURGE:
Heavy volume during breakout confirms strong buying pressure and likely institutional participation.
🎯 TRADE SETUP:
✅ PROFIT TARGET : ₹1307
❌ STOP LOSS: ₹1221
📌 CONCLUSION:
All indicators align for a potential bullish rally. With pattern confirmation, momentum support, and volume validation, this setup looks promising. Watch for follow-through price action and volume consistency.
Master Institutional Trading🎯 Introduction
Master Institutional Trading is the advanced art and science of trading the financial markets the way big institutions do — with deep capital, strategic precision, and unmatched risk management.
Unlike retail trading, which often relies on basic indicators and emotions, institutional trading follows a rule-based, data-driven, and psychology-controlled framework. Mastering this approach means stepping into the mindset and strategy of hedge funds, mutual funds, proprietary desks, and investment banks.
If you want to trade with consistency, clarity, and capital preservation, mastering institutional trading is the next step.
💡 What is Institutional Trading?
Institutional trading refers to the activities of large financial entities that control significant capital and influence market movement through their trades.
Examples include:
Hedge Funds
Mutual Funds
FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors)
DIIs (Domestic Institutional Investors)
Pension Funds
Proprietary (Prop) Trading Desks
These institutions operate based on in-depth research, order flow analysis, macroeconomic models, and advanced risk frameworks.
🧠 What Does “Master Institutional Trading” Mean?
It means gaining the skills, tools, mindset, and techniques to:
Analyze market movements through institutional logic
Identify smart money footprints
Build trades based on volume, order flow, and positioning
Manage risk with capital preservation like pros
Avoid retail traps and fakeouts set by institutions
You’re not just reacting to the market—you’re reading what the big players are doing and aligning with them.
🧩 Core Concepts in Master Institutional Trading
1. Market Structure Analysis
Understand liquidity zones, order blocks, and institutional S/R
Learn why institutions build positions over time, not all at once
2. Volume & Open Interest Analytics
Spot unusual volume spikes
Understand Open Interest traps in options
Decode what institutions are betting on
3. Smart Money Concepts
Accumulation and Distribution phases
Wyckoff Theory in modern application
Spotting manipulation and liquidity grabs
4. Advanced Risk Management
Never risk more than 1–2% per trade
Use position sizing based on volatility
Focus on capital efficiency, not revenge trading
5. Price Action + Institutional Candle Patterns
Recognize imbalance zones, breaker blocks, and engulfing traps
Use tools like VWAP, Delta Volume, and Footprint Charts
6. Trade Execution Techniques
Partial entries
Scaling in/out like funds
Managing trade lifecycle like a desk trader
🛠 Key Strategies in Master Institutional Trading
A. Liquidity Hunting
Institutions place orders where most retail SLs are placed
Then reverse price after triggering retail orders
B. Options Positioning & IV Play
Use of Straddles/Strangles for theta decay
Selling volatility pre-event, buying it post-event
C. Delta Neutral & Gamma Scalping
Market-neutral strategies hedged with futures or stocks
Designed to profit from volatility swings
D. Accumulation/Distribution Mapping
Long consolidation = institutional entry/exit
Price reacts to volume shifts more than indicator signals
🔥 Institutional Footprint Examples (Nifty/Bank Nifty)
ATM Straddle OI surge with no move in price
→ Market makers hedging aggressively = big move coming
Sudden OTM Put buying with high IV on a flat day
→ Institutions betting on downside volatility = potential crash setup
VWAP deviation rejection
→ Institutions use VWAP as a fair value; moves away from it often reverse
👨🏫 How to Master Institutional Trading?
✅ Step-by-step Learning Path:
Study Market Microstructure
Understand how orders get matched, what limit/market orders do.
Learn Option Greeks & Institutional Strategies
Especially delta, gamma, and IV crush.
Use Volume Profile, VWAP, OI data together
Build your view based on multi-layered confirmation.
Follow FIIs/DII Data Daily
Learn how they position in equities, derivatives, and sectors.
Backtest Institutional Setups
Focus on risk-reward, not just accuracy.
Use Trading Journals
Analyze what works, improve continuously.
⚠️ Common Mistakes Traders Make (That Institutions Don’t)
Chasing trades emotionally
Overtrading low-conviction setups
No journaling or review process
Relying on random indicators instead of structure
Ignoring risk-to-reward or capital management
🧘♂️ Mindset of Institutional Traders
"Protect capital first, profits will follow."
Trade like a sniper, not a machine gun.
Think in terms of probabilities, not guarantees.
Never marry your analysis; adapt to new information.
💼 Who Should Learn Master Institutional Trading?
Intermediate to advanced traders
Full-time traders or those planning to go full-time
Derivatives traders (Nifty, Bank Nifty, Options)
Students of technical analysis who want a deeper, real-world edge
🔚 Final Words
Master Institutional Trading is the next-level evolution of your trading journey. It’s about stepping away from noise and hype, and embracing how real money trades.
You don’t need a hedge fund job to trade like one—you just need the knowledge, tools, and discipline. When you think and act like an institution, you stop being prey and start playing the game with the big players.
Option Trading Advanced Strategies📌 Introduction: Why Go Beyond Basic Options?
Basic option strategies like buying calls or puts, or even covered calls, offer simplicity—but they don’t fully unlock the potential of options as a strategic tool.
When you enter the advanced territory, you gain the power to:
Profit in sideways markets
Neutralize directional risks
Create high-probability income
Minimize drawdowns
Take advantage of volatility shifts
Advanced strategies require you to understand multi-leg positions, greeks, risk/reward shaping, and market timing.
Let’s break it all down into clear, real-life explanations.
🧩 1. Iron Condor – Profit in Range-Bound Markets
🔍 What is it?
An Iron Condor involves selling a call spread and a put spread at the same time, expecting the stock/index to stay in a tight range.
🔧 Construction:
Sell 1 OTM Call
Buy 1 further OTM Call
Sell 1 OTM Put
Buy 1 further OTM Put
All with same expiry.
🎯 Ideal Market View:
Market is range-bound
You expect low volatility
No major event expected
💰 Max Profit:
Occurs when stock expires between the two short strikes
⚠️ Max Loss:
Happens when stock moves beyond outer strikes
✅ Why use it?
Generates monthly income
Defined risk
High probability if used smartly
⚖️ 2. Butterfly Spread – Profit from Precision
🔍 What is it?
The Butterfly Spread is a neutral strategy where the trader expects the stock to close near a specific price.
🔧 Construction (Call Butterfly):
Buy 1 ITM Call
Sell 2 ATM Calls
Buy 1 OTM Call
All with same expiry.
🎯 Ideal Market View:
You expect stock to move very little
Great for expiry day setups or low-volatility trades
💰 Max Profit:
When stock closes exactly at strike price of sold calls
⚠️ Max Loss:
When price moves significantly up or down
✅ Why use it?
Cheap entry cost
Controlled risk
Can return 200–300% with precise movement
🌀 3. Calendar Spread – Play on Time and Volatility
🔍 What is it?
A Calendar Spread profits from time decay and implied volatility expansion.
🔧 Construction:
Sell 1 Near-Term Option
Buy 1 Longer-Term Option
Same strike, same type (Call or Put)
🎯 Ideal Market View:
Expect stock to stay around strike price in short term
Expect volatility to increase
💰 Max Profit:
When the short-term option decays and stock remains near the strike
⚠️ Max Loss:
If stock makes a strong move or IV drops unexpectedly
✅ Why use it?
Good for earnings events
Plays time + volatility
Low capital strategy
💡 4. Ratio Spread – When You Want a Controlled Gamble
🔍 What is it?
A Ratio Spread involves selling more options than you buy (like buying 1 Call and selling 2 Calls). It’s directional but nuanced.
🔧 Construction (Call Ratio Spread):
Buy 1 ATM Call
Sell 2 OTM Calls
You can reverse for puts if bearish.
🎯 Ideal Market View:
Expect a mild bullish move, not a breakout
Moderate volatility
💰 Max Profit:
When stock closes near the short strike
⚠️ Max Risk:
If stock moves too much upward, losses can be unlimited (unless hedge is applied)
✅ Why use it?
High reward-to-risk if market behaves
Can be converted into a risk-free structure using debit/credit adjustments
🏹 5. Straddle and Strangle – Playing Big Moves
🔍 What is it?
Straddle and Strangle are volatility-based strategies.
Straddle = Buy Call + Buy Put at same strike
Strangle = Buy OTM Call + Buy OTM Put
🎯 Ideal Market View:
Expect a big move but unsure of direction
Perfect for events: earnings, budget, Fed announcements
💰 Max Profit:
When market makes a big move, either up or down
⚠️ Max Loss:
When market stays flat
✅ Why use it?
Useful before news or big breakout
Non-directional but aggressive
🧮 6. Delta-Neutral Trading – Profit Without Direction
🔍 What is it?
Delta-neutral trading aims to neutralize directional risk (delta = 0) using a combination of options and/or futures.
💡 Example:
Sell ATM Call + Buy underlying stock in proportion so total delta = 0
Or balance long and short options across strikes
🎯 Ideal Market View:
Expect volatility or time decay
No strong directional bias
✅ Benefits:
Income generation regardless of market direction
Hedged and flexible
🔁 7. Rolling Strategies – Actively Adjust for Profit
🔍 What is it?
Rolling means shifting an existing position to a new strike or expiry to manage risk or lock profit.
Use Cases:
Roll down puts in falling market
Roll up calls in bull trend
Roll to next expiry to extend time decay
✅ Benefits:
Dynamic control
Prevents stop-loss triggers
Protects profits in trending markets
🛑 Risk Management Tips for Advanced Traders
Always define max loss – Use spreads, not naked trades
Check IV before trading – High IV = sell premium; Low IV = buy premium
Position sizing – Never go all-in on a strategy
Use alerts and automation – Advanced strategies need fast reaction
Avoid illiquid options – Stick to Nifty, Bank Nifty, liquid stocks
Paper trade first – Test complex strategies without real money
📈 Real-Life Example – Iron Condor on Nifty
Let’s say Nifty is at 24,300 and expiry is 7 days away. You expect Nifty to stay between 24,000 and 24,600.
Trade Setup:
Sell 24,000 Put
Buy 23,800 Put
Sell 24,600 Call
Buy 24,800 Call
Net credit: ₹50–60
Max Profit: ₹50 if Nifty stays between 24K–24.6K
Max Loss: ₹150 if market breaks either side
This gives a 1:3 risk-reward with 70%–75% probability.
💬 Final Thoughts
Advanced option strategies aren’t about gambling—they’re about precision, hedging, and income generation with structure. They offer you more control than simple buying/selling.
But with more power comes more responsibility:
Know your market view
Know the structure of your strategy
Know when to adjust or exit
Once you understand how to read volatility, manage risk with Greeks, and construct defined-risk trades, options can become your most flexible and profitable tool in the market.
SMCI short term Target of 54SMCI has been correcting in a complex zig-zag correction.
It has completed triple Zig-Zag, correction seems over as per Wave-3 max pull back and seems to be headed towards 54 in short time, provided some conditions are met.
Conditions:
a) Correction should stop at around this level or can go max till ~38.23, what it means is, price damage should stop, we may still correct in horizontal way not breaking price of approx 38.23.
b) We need fast re-tracement of price towards ~44.40
If above is satisfied, entry at 44.40 for a target of 54 is a good probabilistic trade.
When set up gets invalid ?
When price breaks and closes below 38.23 on 4hr closing candle basis.