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Bitcoin: BTCUSD tests 7-Week uptrend as September wraps upAfter three weeks of gains, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) kicks off the NFP week on a down note. It’s testing the 50-SMA support and approaching the lower end of its seven-week uptrend. Along with the US employment report for September, including the key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Monday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be crucial for market watchers. Stay tuned! Buyers are struggling to gain traction, while sellers are still holding back Whether it's pre-event nerves or month-end consolidation, Bitcoin buyers are struggling to gain market acceptance as the key week begins. Bearish MACD signals and the price's inability to hold above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from July to August are tempting short-term sellers. However, a quick drop in the RSI (14) and strong support levels below make it tough for bears to regain control. Technical levels to watch In the short term, the bottom of the bullish channel around $64,050 is a key support level for potential sellers. Below that, the 200-SMA near the $60,000 mark acts as the last line of defense for buyers. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) falls below $60,000, a gradual decline toward the monthly low around $52,500 could be on the horizon. For a rebound, Bitcoin needs to break past the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at about $65,650. If successful, the monthly high of $66,500 and the upper boundary of the bullish channel around $68,900 will attract buyers. If Bitcoin moves past $68,900, it could quickly surpass $70,000 and aim for the yearly high of around $73,800 set in March. Pullback in prices expected Looking ahead, a potential bounce in the US Dollar and some price consolidation could lead to a pullback in BTCUSD. However, the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls keep control ahead of ECB Minutes, US dataEURUSD pares the biggest daily gains of the week while posting mild losses early Friday. Even so, the Euro pair remains on the way to posting a four-week uptrend as traders prepare for the European Central Bank (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, also known as the ECB Minutes, as well as the preliminary readings of the US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations. It should be noted that upbeat RSI and MACD conditions keep the buyers hopeful but a downward-sloping resistance line from early March, close to 1.0790 at the latest, guards the immediate upside of the pair. Apart from the oscillators like RSI and MACD, the looming “Golden Cross”, a bullish moving average crossover, also keep the buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside of the 5.5-month-old descending resistance line, near 1.0825 as we write, becomes necessary for the bulls to retake control. In that case, the gradual run-up toward March’s high of 1.0980 and then to the 1.1000 threshold can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a pullback move remains uninteresting beyond the 50-SMA support of 1.0735. Following that, the lows marked in April and February, respectively around 1.0725 and 1.0695, could test the EURUSD bears before directing them to the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600. It’s worth noting that the Euro pair’s sustained weakness past 1.0600 makes it vulnerable to challenge the previous yearly bottom surrounding 1.0450-45 but the same needs validation from the strong US fundamentals, as well as downbeat EU catalysts. Overall, EURUSD bulls are likely to retake control after staying off the grid for some time. However, the fundamentals need to back the pair’s bullish technical details to support the upside bias.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD sellers attack 1.2540 key support ahead of UK/US dataGBPUSD fades bounce off the yearly low, marked the previous day, following its failure to cross the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ahead of top-tier UK/US data on Friday. Apart from the failure to cross the key EMA hurdle, the bearish MACD signals and lackluster RSI (14) line also suggest a continuation of the Cable pair’s south-run. However, a daily closing beneath an upward-sloping support line stretched from December 2023, close to 1.2540 at the latest, becomes necessary for the bears to tighten the grip. Even so, February’s low of 1.2520 and late 2023 trough surrounding the 1.2500 threshold could challenge the Pound Sterling’s further downside. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 1.2500 will make it vulnerable to plunge toward mid-November 2023’s low of near 1.2375. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s recovery needs a daily closing beyond the 200-EMA level of 1.2567 to convince short-term buyers. Even so, a five-week-old descending resistance line and the monthly high will challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside around 1.2645 and 1.2710 in that order. It’s worth noting that the pair’s upside beyond 1.2710 enables it to confront a four-month-long horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.2790-2805. Following that, the Cable buyer’s ability to renew the yearly high, currently around 1.2900, can’t be ruled out. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is on the way to bear’s platter as a slew of monthly UK data dump and the US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index occupy Friday’s economic calendar.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers attack 200-SMA to revisit 0.6525 key supportAUDUSD appears well-set for biggest weekly loss in seven while extending the previous week’s U-turn from a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6675-80. The Aussie pair currently pokes the 200-SMA support near 0.6565 amid an impending bear cross on the MACD and a retreat in the RSI (14) line, which in turn suggests slower grind toward the south. Hence, the quote is likely to break the adjacent SMA support of 0.6565 and aim for an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, close to 0.6525 at the latest. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 0.6525, the monthly bottom of 0.6477 and the yearly trough surrounding 0.6442 will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, AUDUSD rebound needs validation from late February swing high of 0.6595, as well as the 0.6600 round figure. Following that, multiple swing highs marked so far during 2024 near 0.6625-30 could test the buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the Aussie pair’s further advances remain elusive unless the quote offer a daily closing beyond the aforementioned multi-month-old horizontal resistance zone near 0.6675-80. Should the bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6680, the 0.6700 and 0.6750 might entertain them before highlighting the late 2023 swing high of 0.6871. Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to decline further and can challenge the key support line as traders await a few more US consumer-centric data ahead of the next week’s FOMC monetary policy meeting.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold stays range-bound ahead of US Retail Sales Gold fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the weekly low as market players await the US Retail Sales for February. In doing so, the spot Gold price, namely the XAUUSD, seesaws within a $48 trading range comprising an ascending resistance line stretched from May 2023 and the previous yearly top. It’s worth noting that the sluggish oscillators and the pre-data anxiety suggest a continuation of the sideways range. However, the bulls appear to have run out of fuel hence sellers are likely to benefit more on a downside break of $2,148 support. In that case, a quick fall toward the $2,100 round figure will be imminent but a 3.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding $2,090 could challenge the XAUUSD sellers afterward. Alternatively, an upside clearance of the aforementioned multi-month-old rising resistance line, close to $2,186 could recall the Gold buyers. However, the $2,200 threshold and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s October-December 2023 moves, near $2,240, will challenge the XAUUSD’s upside momentum afterward. Following that, the 100% FE level of $2,313 and the $2,500 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, Gold stays within a long-term bullish trend but the short-term view appears to favor a pullback in prices should the scheduled data allow the US Dollar to defend the first weekly gain in four.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6770AUDUSD confirmed a falling wedge bullish chart pattern during the early days and is keeping the breakout so far during Wednesday. The RSI (14) line’s gradual rebound from the oversold territory adds strength to the upside bias. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 DMAs, around 0.6770 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Aussie buyers to keep the reins. Following that, tops marked during December 2022 and mid-February 2023, respectively around 0.6895 and 0.7030, could act as intermediate halts during the theoretical target of 0.7240. On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6640 level, comprising the stated wedge’s top line, could negate the bullish bias. Even so, the latest swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, close to 0.6560 and 0.6545 in that order, could test the AUDUSD sellers before giving them control. Also acting as a downside filter is the lower line of the aforementioned bullish chart formation, near 0.6515 as we write. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to rise further toward the previous monthly peak. However, the key DMA convergence challenges the buyers as top-tier Aussie data looms, up for publishing on Thursday.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD holds onto bullish bias targeting 1.2450GBPUSD retreats from a one-month-old broad resistance area surrounding 1.2210-40 as the Cable traders brace for the UK data dump on Friday. The quote’s sustained trading beyond the convergence of the 50-SMA and 100-SMA, around 1.2070-65 at the latest, joins upbeat oscillators to keep the pair buyers hopeful of overcoming the key horizontal resistance zone. Following that, the previous monthly high surrounding 1.2450 could lure the bulls. It should be noted, however, that the pair’s successful trading above 1.2450 enables the bulls to aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of the pair’s moves between November 2022 and early January 2023, close to 1.2645. Meanwhile, GBPUSD sellers will need a clear downside break of the aforementioned SMA confluence, near 1.2070-65, for conviction. In that case, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and the monthly low of 1.1841 should lure the bears. If at all the Cable pair remains bearish past 1.1841, a downward trajectory towards the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s November-December 2022 moves, near 1.1800 and 1.1645 respectively, can be expected. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain on the front foot unless the price stays beyond 1.2065 levels.
by MTradingGlobal
SOLANA- Just thinking out loud.Given the macro conditions, it feels possible that there's gonna be a rather long cooldown on everything, even after the bleeding stops. A deep cleansing on everything is the need of the moment. If this is to play out, then it might take us 6-7 months to come back to the prices we recently broke down from. That feels like hell, trust me. Time capitulation >> Price capitulation, and this scenario might be a combination of both. More than 90% of the participants will leave. Even the strong believers would be flushed out. I can go on and on, but chart>>words. This, if it plays out, will bring a great opportunity to the faithful. The whole world is trying to shut Crypto down. But the cat is out of the box, and we had a lot of attention this cycle. Solana in particular, has matured quite well in such a short span. I will be buying all the SOLANA I can below $20, If we get. All you got to do is stay. See you on the other side! ~ZER0
by Degengambleh
EURUSD Macro and Technical ViewPoor macros, #Gas prices continue to rise and the risk of rationing and high prices continue to haunt the continent. European gas contract are near to click a fresh all time high. On technical terms we can see multiple descending trendlines pushing the pair down . The fall below parity and quick 3 day short covering pushed #EURUSD to 1.02700. Current trading range for the pair is 1.02700 - 1.02000 and a break above or below that will decide further action. Technical Structure and Macro factors are signaling bearish action for upcoming days.
by karan_bagri
GOLD: Where is it headed?I don't trade this script digitally but just hoard spot gold and add more when cheap. Stars look to be aligning for this one. There have been so many setups of this style on the markets lately, >run to ATH >sweep it/tease it >break the lows which gave us the artificial breakout. (so many equal lows and untapped liquidity in gold charts. >Enter/bid. We may or may not get that bounce before running lower. High probability setup if it does not bounce significantly. And when/if $XAU reaches these levels, I believe that $ES and all risk assets will botttom too, with $DXY pulling back. You need these to align before going in heavy.\ Good luck.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Degengambleh
1
200-DMA tests USDCAD bears ahead of Canada GDPUSDCAD bears keep reins around a five-week low, attacking the 200-DMA ahead of the key Canada Q1 GDP. Given the likelihood of a softer growth number, as well as considering nearly oversold RSI, the Loonie pair may rebound from the stated moving average surrounding 1.2660. In a case where the quote refrains from respecting the RSI and the DMA, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2021 to May 2022 upside and an upward sloping support line from late 2021, respectively near 1.2585 and 1.2500, will be important to watch during the additional south-run. Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially aim for the 1.2700 threshold and then the 1.2760 hurdle before challenging a 13-day-long resistance line surrounding the 1.2800 round figure. It’s worth noting that the USDCAD pair’s run-up beyond 1.2800 won’t hesitate to challenge March’s high of 1.2900 and December 2021 peak close to 1.2965. To sum up, USDCAD bears battle with the key support and may retreat a bit should the scheduled data disappoint.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD rebound appears interesting if it stays beyond 0.6960AUDUSD managed to rebound from a two-year low on Friday, snapping a six-day downtrend and portraying a falling wedge bullish chart pattern. However, downbeat data from China and fresh fears of covid resurgence push the risk-barometer pair to reverse the previous day’s recovery moves during early Monday. Even so, the RSI’s bullish divergence, confirmation of the falling wedge seems more likely, which in turn could gain recovery strength on staying beyond the 0.6960 hurdle. Following that, a run-up towards the downward sloping trend line from early April, surrounding 0.7150 can’t be ruled out. However, the 0.7000 and the 0.7100 thresholds may offer intermediate halts during the anticipated rally. If at all the pair buyers keep reins past 0.7150, the 200-SMA level near 0.7280 will act as the last defense for the bears. Meanwhile, fresh declines can initially target the latest multi-month low around 0.6830 ahead of challenging the 0.6800 round figure, also comprising the lower line of the aforementioned wedge. It’s worth noting that the AUDUSD pair’s sustained downtrend past 0.6800 will aim for an early 2020 peak close to 0.6685 before targeting the sub-0.6600 area. Overall, AUDUSD bears are running out of steam and a corrective pullback is more likely.
by MTradingGlobal
Falling wedge at two-year low teases GBPUSD buyers, UK GDP eyedGBPUSD remains guarded, despite all the difficulties, ahead of the preliminary readings of UK Q1 2022 GDP. In doing so, the cable pair portrays a falling wedge bullish chart pattern at the lowest levels since June 2020. Given the likelihood of firmer UK growth numbers and anticipated positive news from Brexit, not to forget the wedge near multi-month low, the cable has brighter odds of consolidating recent losses. However, a clear upside break of 1.2415 becomes necessary to the ball rolling in favor of buyers. Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2850 may probe the theoretical upswing towards 1.3200. It’s worth noting that the 1.3000 psychological magnet and April’s high near 1.3165 can act as additional upside filters to watch. Alternatively, a disappointment may drag the quote initially towards the latest bottom near 1.2260, a break of which could propel GBPUSD prices towards the stated wedge’s support line, close to 1.2200. In a case where the cable pair remains on the back foot past-1.2200, May 2020 low around 1.2075 might test the bears on the way to the 1.2000 round figure. Overall, GBPUSD bears seem running out of steam ahead of the key UK data and the falling wedge near the two-year top appears cherry on the top. Though, it all depends upon the British GDP, which in turn requires caution on the part of buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers attack 0.7365-60 support zone on China dataAUDUSD renews its monthly low during early Monday as mixed data from the biggest customer China joins the risk-off mood. However, a five-week-old horizontal support area surrounding 0.7365-60 tests the pair sellers. Adding to the downside filters is an upward sloping trend line from late February, around 0.7310 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that a clear downside break of the 0.7310 will need validation from the 0.7300 threshold before directing bears toward the early March swing low. On the contrary, the 200-SMA level of 0.7410 guards the quote’s recovery moves ahead of the 100-SMA, at 0.7485 at the latest. During the quote’s successful break of 0.7485, AUDUSD could aim for 0.7540 and the 0.7600 resistance level. Moving on, successful trading past-0.7600 enables the Aussie pair to renew the yearly top close to 0.7665 by approaching the 0.7700 round figure. It should be noted that oversold RSI and multiple key supports to the south can challenge the bears going forward. However, sour sentiment and a clear break below the key SMAs keep sellers hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal