GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview
Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area.
Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703).
Liquidity Zones
Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area)
Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone)
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703
Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617
🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup)
Entry: 3595–3592
Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3615
TP2: 3625
TP3: 3635
TP4: 3645
Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target)
🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade)
Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3690
TP2: 3680
TP3: 3670
TP4: 3660
Open TP: 3650
⚡ Scalping Strategy
Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones.
Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance.
Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Conclusion
Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region.
At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
Metals
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
Fresh Highs, Hot Headlines , Is a Pullback Next?Gold broke out of its recent range yesterday and is now trading at new all-time highs, showing strong follow-through momentum. On the weekly pivot chart, price is currently testing Weekly R1, with the next key level being the psychological 3700 resistance.
While the technical structure remains bullish, today’s headlines from major gold newsletter are a reminder that sentiment is running extremely hot. When you start seeing mainstream media comparing gold rally to 1979 and celebrating retail traders wins, it often signals that we’re entering a frothy phase.
With the FOMC decision approaching, the risk of a short-term shakeout or healthy correction is definitely on the table. A close back below the breakout zone could trigger profit-taking, while holding above R1 would keep the path open for 3700 and beyond.
For now, 3625–3650 remains the key support area, and as long as price holds above this zone, the trend stays firmly bullish but we should stay cautious and avoid chasing too aggressively at these levels until we get clarity from the Fed.
Personally I am expecting some cool down after FOMC .
Gold Stuck in 3620–3655 Range – All Eyes on Fed DecisionGold is still consolidating between 3620–3625 support and 3650–3655 resistance, respecting this week’s pivot level around 3632. As highlighted in the weekly outlook, this week’s trading action is likely to remain muted until the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
Until then, we can expect price to stay range-bound, with quick scalps working better than trend trades.
Once the Fed outcome is out, we should see a clearer short-term direction.
A higher-timeframe close above 3655 could open the door for a move toward 3675+ and potentially new highs.
On the flip side, a break below 3620 could trigger a deeper pullback, but so far there’s no sign of reversal pressure bulls remain firmly in control on higher timeframes.
GOLD LONG IDEA AT BOTTOM 1400PIPS IN NONFARM
BUY GOLD 3314 +900PIPS
BUY GOLD 3344 +500PIPS
📊 Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
✅ 0.3% (same as forecast and previous).
→ Wage growth is steady, no extra inflation pressure.
Non-Farm Employment Change:
❌ Actual: 22K vs Forecast: 75K vs Previous: 79K
→ Job creation has fallen sharply, showing slowdown in the US economy.
Unemployment Rate:
✅ Actual: 4.3% (as expected, higher than 4.2% previous).
→ Labour market conditions are getting weaker, unemployment rising.
🔎 Market Impact
US Dollar (USD):
Weak NFP data is negative for the dollar.
Higher unemployment increases chances of the Fed cutting rates earlier.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Positive for gold: Weak USD supports higher gold prices.
If the Fed turns dovish, safe-haven demand for gold will strengthen.
Gold may gain strong momentum on expectations of rate cuts.
Equities:
Wage inflation is stable, so no fresh inflation worries.
Equity markets may take it positively as Fed could soften policy.
📌 Key Takeaway
NFP weak → Bearish USD
Gold bullish, upside momentum possible
EUR, GBP likely to gain on USD weakness
Equities may stay supported
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range.
The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zones
3,686.88 (Immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns.
Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely.
Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk.
Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day.
The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes.
Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region.
Trading setups for consideration:
Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744
Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650
Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time
Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities.
This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Bullish Structure, Eyeing 3,700Hello everyone, gold is heading into a very sensitive week with the upcoming FOMC decision on rates and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke out to 3.68xx with a strong candle and improved volume, now consolidating just below 3,690–3,700 – a psychological barrier and session high. The broader trend remains upward as gold trades above a rising Ichimoku cloud, while clear support steps form below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest floor, 3,648–3,642 as a deeper defense, and the 3,635–3,625 cloud zone as intraday trend protection. As long as gold holds above 3.66x, I favour a high-probability accumulation setup to retest 3,690–3,700; if H1/H4 candles close above 3,700, the next target could extend to 3,715–3,730.
On the news side, the midweek FOMC is the key trigger. A dovish Powell and dot-plot could soften USD and yields, giving gold a chance to break 3,700. A hawkish tone, however, may spark profit-taking and pull gold back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test demand. Labour data, manufacturing reports, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With US figures lately underwhelming, markets lean toward a softer Fed stance, which underpins gold. I tilt bullish, watching reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 as FOMC headlines hit.
Do you think the Fed will sound dovish or hawkish this week? Drop your thoughts!
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases.
Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket.
Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend.
Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602
SL 3597
TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620
SL 3615
TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum BuildsHey traders, what’s your take on OANDA:XAUUSD right now?
Gold is holding strong, and the momentum today is clearly bullish. U.S. economic data shows inflation pressure remains sticky, while the labor market is losing steam. That combination boosts expectations that the Fed will keep rates steady—or even cut them soon. The result? A weaker USD and stronger safe-haven demand for gold.
Looking at the chart, XAUUSD is moving right in line with the Elliott Wave structure. Wave (3) looks complete, and we’re now in the corrective wave (4). If support at 3,525 – 3,550 USD holds, the setup points toward a push higher into wave (5), with a key target sitting in the 3,780 – 3,800 USD zone.
Bottom line: Fundamentals are backing the bulls, and technicals are lining up for more upside in the medium term.
How do you see gold playing out from here? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Trade smart, stay disciplined, and good luck!
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level.
🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens.
📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction
Entry: 3,572 – 3,574
Stop Loss: 3,565
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,585
TP2: 3,595
TP3: 3,605
👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction
Entry: 3,530 – 3,528
Stop Loss: 3,537
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,520
TP2: 3,510
TP3: 3,500
👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 12, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 12, 2025: Gold rebounded strongly, fully supported by US economic data and trend technical conditions.
Fundamental news: On Thursday (September 11) in the New York trading session, gold prices fluctuated strongly due to the influence of the US CPI index and initial data on unemployment claims. Gold prices recovered strongly in today's Asian session and are currently trading at $3,650/oz.
Technical analysis: Gold prices increased sharply after the CPI news was released. Currently, gold prices have increased sharply but are still fluctuating in the 3,600 - 3,660 range and there are no signs of a breakout. We still prioritize trading according to the main trend and waiting for trading at the confluence of MA and FVG.
Important price zones today: 3635 - 3640, 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3635 - 3637
SL 3632
TP 3640 - 3650 - 3660 - 3690.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602
SL 3597
TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630. (small volume).
Wish you a successful, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Bulls Back in Action Next Stop 3700?Gold finally waking up after a quick nap and it’s breaking out of triangle it was stuck in. Eyes on 3650, the key level to watch. A strong higher-timeframe (H4 or daily) close above this level can open doors for the next leg up, with this week’s high around 3675 as the first target or higher 3700 for main target. Support at 3620–3625 looks solid, giving bulls a strong base to defend. No rejection signals yet, trend still looks healthy and bulls clearly aren’t ready to let go of control just yet.
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone,
The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge.
My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone.
In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region.
What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move.
Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe.
If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today.
Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week.
Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle.
Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617
SL 3612
TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597
SL 3592
TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,650
TP2: 3,665
TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,640+
👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.