XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280.
The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement.
If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not.
If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely.
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
Metals
#Silver Alert: Double Top Breakdown Incoming?🚨 Double Top on XAGUSD daily chart:
1️⃣ First Top: Bearish Engulfing
2️⃣ Second Top: Dark Cloud Cover
Pattern confirms DCB 🔻 below $45.55 , 🎯 targeting $36.71 .
🚧 Resistance: $52.32 - $54.49
🛡 Support: $50.62, $49.38 - $48.91, $47.17 - $46.90
⚠️ Major sell-off potential. Longs only above Double Top high after 2 consecutive closes.
#Silver #XAGUSD #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #ChartPatterns #CandlestickPatterns #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
$Gold: Breakdown or Bounce?🔻 #Gold Breakdown or Bounce? 🔺
Price tested a critical level (upward sloping trendline - Breakdown Retest ) after a bearish engulfing and is now pulling back. Will the breakdown continue, or can bulls reclaim control? 👀
Trendline break 🚨
Breakdown retest ⚠️
Key levels to watch:
🚧 Resistance: $4099.40 - $4126.08 / $4185.91 - $4195.21 / $4355.80 - $4381.44
🛡 Support: $4024.53 / $3932.10 - $3930.62 / $3953.00
Below $3953 → opens downside toward $3500.20–$3432.84 📉
Between ATH & $3953 → market likely stays trendless/choppy ⚖️
TVC:GOLD #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #BearishEngulfing #CandleStickPatterns #BreakdownRetest #BearishReversal #PriceAction #ForexTrading
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Silver Mini Futures (Nov 2025) – Accumulation to Distribution Silver Mini Futures on the 15-min chart clearly showcases a complete market cycle structure — transitioning from accumulation → uptrend → distribution → downtrend, providing an excellent study in price behavior and volume confirmation.
The move began with accumulation around ₹1,55,000, followed by a strong uptrend breakout, leading to a sharp rally. However, as price entered the ascending triangle near the ₹1,66,000 zone, momentum weakened, signaling distribution.
An exhaustion gap and a failed retest confirmed a reversal, leading to a steep downtrend, which remains active after a minor pullback.
📊 Phase Breakdown:
Accumulation Phase: ₹1,54,800 – ₹1,55,800
Sideways base formation with increasing volume at lows.
Uptrend Phase: Breakout above ₹1,56,000 triggered momentum.
Distribution Phase: Formed an ascending triangle with weak breakout follow-through.
Retest failure at ₹1,65,000 signaled exhaustion.
Downtrend Phase: Sharp decline with heavy volume, currently finding support near ₹1,57,000.
🎯 Key Technical Zones:
Resistance: ₹1,64,400 – ₹1,66,000 (supply zone)
Immediate Resistance (Retest Box): ₹1,58,200 – ₹1,58,800
Support Zone: ₹1,56,800 – ₹1,57,100
Major Support: ₹1,54,500
🧠 View:
Silver Mini Futures is currently in a downtrend continuation phase after a distribution top. A minor retest near ₹1,58,800 could invite short opportunities, while only a sustained move above ₹1,60,000 may signal trend reversal strength.
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147.
Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum.
• A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones.
• A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels.
🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1)
• Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070).
• Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB.
• Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+).
• Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab.
• Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top.
Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes.
Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based)
🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138
Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block).
Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250
🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252
Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction.
Targets: 4180 → 4150
📌 Summary
Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum.
Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure Despite 4245 Rejection We have seen a sharp rejection from the 4245 level yesterday, forming a red candle . However,. Gold found solid support at the weekly R3 level around 4147 and managed to close above it, which is a significant technical development. Currently, we're witnessing a strong recovery rally on lower tf that suggests the bulls aren't ready to give up just yet.
When we zoom in to the daily timeframe, yesterday's downward move appears to be just a normal bearish candle rather than a trend reversal signal. The key factor supporting this view is that price was trading well above the weekly R3 level throughout the session. In a healthy uptrend, these kinds of pullbacks are quite normal and often provide opportunities for fresh entries. The overall bullish structure on the daily chart remains intact, which gives me confidence that this isn't the beginning of a major correction.
Looking at the current setup, the first critical support level at 4140-4150. This zone has proven its importance multiple times, and as long as price holds above this area, I'm maintaining a bullish bias. A daily close below 4140-4150 would be the first warning sign that we might be heading back into consolidation territory. That scenario would require a reassessment of the trend direction.
However, if gold continues to respect the 4140-4150 support zone and builds on today's recovery momentum, we could see price pushing toward higher levels in the coming sessions. The bulls have shown their presence at key support areas, and with the daily structure still favoring upside, the path of least resistance appears to be upward for now.
GOLD RECOVERS STRONGLY – BUYERS RETURN AFTER EARLY MORNING SWEEP2️⃣ MARKET CONTEXT
• Asian session saw gold drop to 4,17x, sweeping liquidity before surging to 4,208.
• Price action indicates buying pressure returning at the OB M30 + FVG, showing a strong reaction.
• USD Index and yields are flat → market awaits Producer Price Index (PPI) news.
🎯 Today's Direction:
→ Prioritise Buy – following the short-term uptrend, unless price breaks down 4,188.
→ Reason: H1 uptrend structure remains intact, new HL formed, upward momentum is dominant.
3️⃣ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
• 4,188–4,195 → short-term support (OB M30 + new HL).
• 4,225–4,238 → intraday resistance (liquidity + FVG H1).
• 4,255–4,265 → strong resistance (OB H4 + extended fibo).
• 4,240 → key breakout level H1.
4️⃣ INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIOS
🔵 BUY MAIN:
4,190–4,198 → TP 4,225–4,235 → SL 4,182
📝 Reason: OB M30 + new HL + maintaining uptrend structure.
🔵 BUY SCALP:
4,202–4,207 → TP 4,225 → SL 4,195
📝 Reason: Strong Asian session momentum → minor pullback is a good entry.
🔵 BREAKOUT BUY:
H1 > 4,240 → Buy follow → TP 4,255–4,265 → SL 4,228
📝 Reason: intraday peak break → opening extended H1 wave.
🔴 SELL SCALP:
4,230–4,238 → TP 4,205 → SL 4,245
📝 Reason: liquidity sweep at resistance area – expecting short reaction.
🔴 SELL MAIN:
4,255–4,265 → TP 4,230 → SL 4,275
📝 Reason: OB H4 + extended fibo – strong distribution area.
🔻 BREAKOUT SELL:
H1 < 4,188 → Sell follow → TP 4,175–4,165 → SL 4,198
📝 Reason: breaking uptrend structure → opening deep correction wave.
5️⃣ SUMMARY
Gold maintains a short-term uptrend after a strong rebound from 4,096.
Today's main trend leans bullish, but levels 4,230–4,240 may see reactions.
🎯 Priority: Buy pullback – Buy breakout.
⚠️ Sell only on reaction or clear breakdown below 4,145.
6️⃣ NEWS TO WATCH
• 19:30 – US PPI (🔥 crucial):
Low PPI → supports gold; High PPI → downward pressure.
• Fed Bowman's speech tonight (🧭 affects interest rate expectations).
• USD Index narrow range → likely to break out when news is released.
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations.
• A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels.
• A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250.
Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle.
• Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper.
• Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,255 – 4,253
• Stop-Loss: 4,265
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,182 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,110 (discount reaction zone)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,166 – 4,168
• Stop-Loss: 4,156
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket)
→ 4,248 (imbalance fill zone)
→ 4,255 (final liquidity target)
📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades.
• Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone.
• Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup.
Summary
Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area)
Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time Smart Money updates ⚡
GOLD: Big Pullback Loading Before a 4400 Rally?Bias: Bullish – Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Approach: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🌐 Market Context
Gold continues to show a strong recovery, maintaining a clear bullish structure across the H1, H4, and Daily timeframes.
Institutional order flow remains firmly on the buy-side as:
Liquidity on H1/H4 highs is being swept consistently
Pullbacks are respecting Demand Order Blocks (OBs)
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish continuation
However, the region 4280 – 4330 (FVG + major trap zone) has historically triggered strong distribution – making it a likely area for liquidity hunts and fake breakouts before any corrective move.
🎯 Key Price Levels
🔴 Resistance Zones (Potential Distribution Areas)
4274 – 4295
4330 – 4345 (FVG + Biggest Trap Zone)
Expect volatility and sharp reactions here – suitable for partial profit-taking, not for chasing buy entries.
🟢 Support / Buy Zones (Institutional Demand Areas)
1️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Shallow Pullback (High Probability)
Entry: 4170 – 4190 (H4 OB + BOS retest)
SL: Below 4170
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ This is today’s primary setup. Requires clear bullish confirmation on entry.
2️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Deep Pullback (High R:R Setup)
Entry: 4100 – 4120 (Deep OB + liquidity sweep level)
SL: Below 4100
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ Best scenario if the market retraces deeply — exceptional Risk:Reward.
📉 Why Selling Is Not a Priority
Despite resistance overhead, the market remains:
Bullish in structure
Supported by demand zones
Without a confirmed Market Structure Shift (MSS) → Bearish BOS
Therefore, selling remains counter-trend and not part of the main trading plan today.
📈 Institutional Technical Outlook (H1/H4)
1. Price approaching 4280 – 4330 trap zone
Expect:
Liquidity sweeps
Wick-driven false breakouts
Short-term corrections back into OB before continuing upwards
2. Liquidity Map
4170 liquidity pool below current price → likely target for engineered pullback
4300 – 4350 equal highs → attractive upside draw for smart money
🧠 Professional Trade Plan Summary
✔️ Do not chase breakouts near resistance
✔️ Wait for price to retrace into:
4170 – 4190
4100 – 4120
✔️ Main targets:
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
✔️ At TP1:
Secure 50%
Move SL to Break-Even
✔️ Plan invalidation if price closes below 4100
📌 Notes for Large-Capital Traders (UK/EU)
Today’s environment is ideal for high-quality, low-frequency entries at institutional demand zones.
Avoid buying at highs; patience will deliver the best setups.
This plan follows a clean institutional trend-following methodology — suitable for accounts prioritising consistency and low drawdown.
📊 Daily Bias: Strong BUY
⏳ Waiting for pullback towards 4170 – 4190 or 4100 – 4120
🚀 Targeting 4360 – 4400 over the next sessions
Gold Bulls Eye Major Resistance – Can They Break Through?Gold continues to trade in an upward trend, recovering strongly from recent lows. On the 4-hour chart, price is moving closer to a falling resistance trendline, which has acted as a major barrier in the past. This makes the upcoming resistance zone very important for short-term traders.
The next key resistance lies between $4250–$4265, where profit booking can be expected. This area has multiple technical confluences, and traders should monitor how price reacts here. A successful breakout and close above this zone could lead to an extended rally toward $4320–$4350.
However, if price faces rejection from this trendline, a short-term pullback toward the $4120–$4080 support zone would be normal and healthy for the trend. Despite the short-term caution, the overall market structure for Gold remains bullish as long as the price stays above support.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
Gold Holds Firm Near $4,180 as Markets Await Fed Signal Gold prices are holding steady around $4,184 per ounce, maintaining strong momentum after last week’s sharp rebound of nearly $250 from the $3,930 low. On the 4-hour chart, the uptrend remains intact with multiple Fair Value Gaps acting as key support zones. The nearest support is seen between $4,150–4,120, while resistance lies at $4,220–4,260.
According to Kitco and Reuters, the rally is largely supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates in December, amid signs of a cooling U.S. economy. The reopening of the U.S. government after a 35-day shutdown means crucial data such as CPI, NFP, and GDP will soon be released — which could reinforce the market’s belief that a dovish shift is near.
Adding to the intrigue, the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review former President Donald Trump’s authority to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook in early 2026. Analysts warn that if this threatens the Fed’s independence, it could trigger a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar and push gold up by as much as $500 per ounce.
Meanwhile, UBS forecasts global gold demand in 2025 could reach its highest level since 2011, as central banks continue increasing reserves. Heightened geopolitical risks — including the upcoming U.S. election in 2026, the Middle East conflict, and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions — are further strengthening gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
In the near term, gold could correct slightly towards $4,150–4,120 before resuming its advance towards $4,260. A decisive break above that level could open the path to $4,300–4,340. With a weakening dollar, potential rate cuts, and global uncertainty, gold appears well-positioned for the next medium-term bullish cycle.
While everyone is worried about CPI, gold has already 'leapt ahe1️⃣ PREVIOUS SESSION DEVELOPMENTS
Gold surged from 4,095 → 4,211, due to:
US CPI being lower than expected, USD weakening, yields dropping below 4.5%.
Stoploss for Sell positions around 4,150 was triggered → creating a FOMO buying effect.
Technical: OB H4 (4,095–4,105) maintains the trend, H1 CHoCH increases → confirming a medium-term bullish trend.
“It's not gold flying – but USD... losing steam.”
2️⃣ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Main trend: Bullish.
Support: 4,175–4,185 (OB M30 + FVG H4).
Resistance: 4,210–4,235 (peak liquidity + FVG D1).
RSI H1 is high, a slight correction might occur before the trend continues.
“As long as 4,175 holds, gold remains king. Losing this area is when we talk about a pullback.” 👑
3️⃣ DAILY SCENARIOS (OPTIMAL PRICE ZONES)
🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUYING WITH THE TREND (BUY BIAS)
MAIN BUY:
Entry: 4,175–4,185 → TP1: 4,210 → TP2: 4,235 → SL: 4,165
🧭 Reason: Retest FVG H4 + OB M30, confluence with rising CHoCH.
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 4,190–4,195 → TP: 4,210 → SL: 4,180
🧭 Reason: Light liquidity sweep at the start of the European session, in line with the US session rebound.
BREAKOUT BUY:
If H1 closes >4,215 → Buy follow → TP 4,240–4,265 → SL: 4,200
🧭 Reason: Breaking D1 peak → confirms an extended wave.
🔻 SCENARIO 2 – SHORT SELL (TECHNICAL SCALP)
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 4,210–4,220 → TP: 4,185 → SL: 4,230
🧭 Reason: RSI overbought + liquidity trap at the peak of FVG D1.
MAIN SELL:
Entry: 4,230–4,240 → TP: 4,175 → SL: 4,250
🧭 Reason: OB D1 + Fibo extension 1.272 – high probability of strong reaction.
4️⃣ OVERALL OUTLOOK
“Gold is in an exciting phase, but not yet overextended.
Holding 4,175 means continued rise – breaking 4,215 opens wave 4,240–4,265.” 🚀
“If there's a correction, it's just to gain momentum before the actual CPI session.”
GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility.
• A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone.
• A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200.
Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range.
• Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys.
• Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,201 – 4,199
• Stop-Loss: 4,210
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,140 (first liquidity pocket)
→ 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,083 (discount zone confluence)
📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,102
→ 4,140
→ 4,199
📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup.
• Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise.
• Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops.
• Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area)
The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts.
FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time SMC updates ⚡
XAUUSD H1 – Double Tap Liquidity & Reentry Setup🕊️ Market Context
Gold just delivered a beautiful liquidity sweep from the highs at 4148, after multiple CHoCH–BMS transitions confirmed structural bullish intent.
We are now seeing price forming equal lows, tapping the buy zone (4090–4085) — a clean H1 demand block aligned with the 0.618 retracement.
💎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure:
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, following multiple BMS breaks to the upside.
Current pullback is corrective — a typical liquidity sweep to rebalance inefficiency.
BUY ZONE: 4090 – 4085 (SL 4080)
→ H1 Demand (OB) + 0.618 Fib confluence.
→ Watching for M15 CHoCH confirmation before entering long.
Target: 4148
→ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above previous highs — likely magnet for the next push.
🪶 Trading Plan
I’ll wait patiently for a clean sweep + M15 confirmation around 4085–4090 to re-enter long.
As long as price respects 4080, my bias remains bullish, targeting the next BSL @ 4148.
No trade if price fails to confirm on lower timeframe — patience over impulse. 💛
💭 Karina’s Note
This setup perfectly reflects the essence of SMC — liquidity engineering before continuation.
It’s not about catching every move; it’s about aligning with the story the market is telling.
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
✨ Like & Follow for daily London session updates ✨
Gold H1 – 5-Wave Complete Amid Fed Rate Hopes & Dollar Rebound🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 12/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold appears to have completed a clear 5-wave impulsive advance on the H1 chart, with wave 5 reaching into the premium zone around 4,149–4,151. Concurrently, macro news is supporting bullion: weaker US labour data and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have bolstered safe-haven flows.
Now price is retracing from the highs, suggesting that a classic corrective ABC sequence may be forming.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initiation rally from ~3,965
• Wave 2: Shallow pull-back to near ~4,000
• Wave 3: Strong impulse past ~4,080 → extended
• Wave 4: Controlled correction holding trend-line support
• Wave 5: Final push topping near ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
With the 5-wave impulse complete, the market is likely shifting into:
Wave A → bear leg
Wave B → corrective rebound
Wave C → deeper decline
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A projection:
• Likely break below the 2-4 trend-line
• First reaction zone: ~4,081 (Fibonacci 0.382)
• Main downside target: ~4,059 (BUY ZONE)
Wave B projection:
• Corrective rebound toward either ~4,108 or ~4,149 (upper premium)
Wave C projection:
• Key downside targets:
o ~4,037 (Fibo 0.618)
o ~4,025–4,010 (trend-line support)
Wave C often equals Wave A in length → aligns with ~4,059 zone for potential cycle end.
Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-based)
Scenario 1 – SELL the corrective wave (A–B–C)
Preferred strategy given completed impulse.
Entry: After H1 candle breaks below 2-4 trend-line, or on Wave B retest into ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
Stop Loss: Above wave-5 high: ~4,155
Take Profit zones:
• TP1: ~4,081
• TP2: ~4,059
• TP3: ~4,037
Scenario 2 – BUY only if correction invalidates
If gold refuses to break the 2-4 trend-line and pushes above ~4,155 → wave 5 may extend.
Entry: Above ~4,155
SL: ~4,149
TP: ~4,175–4,200
📌 Summary
For 12/11, gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now ripe for a corrective ABC pattern. With macro forces (Fed rate-cut expectations, weaker dollar) providing backdrop, the highest-probability trade is to sell the Wave B retest and ride Wave C toward deeper support near ~4,059. Stay patient, let the structure confirm the impulse → correction transition before committing.
XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025
📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution
🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection
🟡 MARKET CONTEXT:
Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place.
The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation.
🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997)
BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness.
Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas:
• 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket
• 3957–3955 → main intraday demand
• 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone
🎯 TRADING PLAN:
SELL Setup
• Entry: 3995 – 3997
• Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3970 / 3968
• Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation
BUY Setup
• Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive)
• Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3988 / 3995
• Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS
📊 BIAS:
Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend.
Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
GOLD LOSES MOMENTUM – BUYERS PAUSE AHEAD OF CPI STORM1️⃣ CONTEXT & PREVIOUS SESSION DEVELOPMENTS
On 11/11, gold surged to the 4,149 region, but was rejected at the H4 liquidity peak + D1 OB, indicating that short-term buying power has started to weaken.
By this morning (12/11), prices consistently formed Lower Highs on H1, showing that adjustment pressure is gradually increasing.
The 4,145–4,165 area showed a clear bearish rejection, creating a short-term “double top” pattern on the M30 frame.
Capital flow is trending towards profit-taking ahead of tomorrow's CPI news, as market sentiment remains cautious.
The USD Index slightly rebounded, and the 10-year bond yield rose again → exerting downward pressure on gold.
In summary: gold enters a short-term technical adjustment phase, with the risk of a deeper drop before the CPI news.
2️⃣ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TECHNICAL INSIGHT)
Current structure:
H1 confirms a downward CHoCH, after losing the 4,120 region.
The short-term support at 4,105 is being tested for the second time, indicating a high likelihood of breaking.
The FVG H4 balance area remains empty below 4,095–4,075, which is a reasonable adjustment target if the downtrend continues.
Key confluences:
4,145–4,165: D1 OB + unfilled FVG + peak liquidity → Main Sell Zone.
4,105–4,115: H1 OB + CHoCH structure → confirmation of decline zone.
4,065–4,075: H4 OB + old bottom liquidity → short-term Buy reaction zone (scalp).
“If the price stays below 4,120 and breaks through 4,105, the probability of retesting the 4,075–4,065 area before the CPI is very high.”
3️⃣ INTRADAY TRADING SETUP
SELL MAIN:
Entry: 4,135–4,145 → TP1: 4,105 → TP2: 4,075 → SL: 4,155
🧭 Reason: D1 OB + H4 peak liquidity, clear candle rejection pattern on H1.
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 4,120–4,125 → TP: 4,095 → SL: 4,132
🧭 Reason: H1 CHoCH retest + reaction at minor resistance area in Asian session.
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 4,065–4,075 → TP: 4,095 → SL: 4,055
🧭 Reason: H4 OB + bottom liquidity, technical reaction zone before CPI.
BREAKDOWN FOLLOW:
If H1 closes <4,065 → Sell follow → TP 4,045–4,025 → SL 4,080
🧭 Reason: breaking H1–H4 structure, opening medium-term downtrend.
4️⃣ SUMMARY & TECHX OUTLOOK
“Gold is in an adjustment phase after last week's strong rise.
Buyers temporarily withdraw before the CPI news, and the 4,145–4,165 area currently acts as a strategic resistance.
Without an H1 candle closing above 4,125, prioritise Sell on retracements – avoid early Buy.
The technical adjustment target of 4,075–4,065 still has room in the next 24 hours.”
5️⃣ NEWS TO WATCH (LATEST UPDATE)
US CPI (13/11 – 19:30 VN): 🔥 Main news – determines gold's direction.
CPI lower than expected → Weak USD → Gold surges.
CPI higher → Strong USD → Gold drops sharply.
Fed Watch Tool: Probability of Fed rate cut in December drops to 48% → Short-term USD support.
SPDR Gold Trust: Maintains holdings → indicates capital flow awaiting reaction post-CPI.
Gold Holding Above 4100$ Market Prepares for Next Wave ExpansionGold continues to sustain momentum above 4,100$, maintaining its bullish market structure as traders price in expectations of a Fed rate cut in December.
While the US Dollar shows brief recovery, the underlying flow still supports safe-haven demand — especially as global risk sentiment remains fragile and the US government moves closer to reopening.
📊 Technical Overview (H1 – MMFLOW Structure)
Price is currently consolidating within the 4,108$–4,113$ liquidity pocket, where prior breakout demand aligns with short-term Fibonacci retracement (0.382–0.5).
This zone continues to attract buy-side liquidity, suggesting accumulation rather than exhaustion.
As long as 4,085$ remains protected, the bias stays bullish toward 4,172$ – 4,203$ (Fibo 1.272–1.618). However, failure to break above 4,172$ may trigger a short-term reaction sell before the next impulsive leg resumes.
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Setup
🌸 BUY Scenario (Liquidity Retest)
Buy Zone: 4,086 – 4,084
Stop Loss: 4,080
Targets: 4,090 → 4,095 → 4,100 → 4,110 → 4,120 → 4,130 → 4,150+
🔥 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Reaction Zone)
Sell Zone: 4,172 – 4,174
Stop Loss: 4,180
Targets: 4,165 → 4,160 → 4,150 → 4,140 → 4,130 → 4,120
🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Price is language — liquidity is intent. The market is not random; it’s engineered to test conviction before expansion.”
Bias remains bullish above 4,085$ – any dip into the liquidity base could offer the last accumulation before the next breakout.
XAUUSD / GOLD Analysis – Buy Opportunity Ahead!Gold has formed a strong double-bottom support zone at 4095 – 4090, signaling potential bullish momentum. As long as Gold remains above 4080, the bias stays bullish for short-term buyers.
🧭 Trading Plan:
Buy Zone: 4095 – 4090
Stop Loss: Below 4080 (close basis)
Targets: 🎯 4010, 4030, 4040
💡 Technical Reasoning:
Double-bottom pattern confirmation on 1H/4H timeframe
RSI bouncing from oversold area
Price rejecting key support zone multiple times
Potential bullish divergence forming
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper risk-to-reward management and position sizing. Gold can move fast during high volatility sessions — keep your stops tight and targets realistic.
🔔 Conclusion:
If Gold holds above 4080, buyers could dominate the next leg. Watch price action closely near 4095 – 4090 for entry confirmation.
XAG/USD Set for Decline After Finishing Wave YSilver has completed a clear 5-wave upward move, ending near the 51.23 zone, which likely marks the completion of Wave C of the corrective structure. Price action shows rejection from the upper trendline, signaling that buying momentum is fading. This suggests the start of a new A–B–C corrective decline, where Silver could first drop toward 48–47 levels before any temporary bounce. The overall structure remains bearish in the short term unless the price breaks above the 52.76 invalidation zone. In simple terms: rally looks complete → downside correction likely ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart Pattern..GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart with Ichimoku Cloud, and my marked resistance and two target points.
Here’s the analysis based on what’s visible:
Current price: Around $4,141 (based on my chart labels).
Resistance zone: Around $4,140 – $4,150, which is where price is currently testing.
Upper target point (minor correction target): Around $4,123 – $4,125.
Lower target point (major correction target): Around $4,066 – $4,070.
📊 Interpretation:
If price fails to break resistance (4,150) and forms rejection candles, it could retrace toward:
Target 1: $4,123 (short-term support)
Target 2: $4,066 (cloud base and major support zone)
If price breaks and holds above 4,150, then the bullish trend can extend further upward, possibly toward $4,180–$4,200.






















