XAU/USD: Ready for a Breakout or Awaiting a Pullback?The XAU/USD chart is revealing a dramatic story. Gold prices are currently fluctuating around $2,669.635 after touching a strong resistance at $2,685.180.
The bulls are defending the critical support level at $2,649.955, with two solid defensive shields — the EMA 34 and EMA 89 positioned at $2,639.497 and $2,594.206 — keeping the upward momentum intact for gold.
However, the real challenge lies at the $2,685.180 resistance level. Should the price break through, the door will open to new highs, with the next target set at $2,699.470 — a crucial resistance zone.
As waves of economic news from the U.S. and key statements from the Fed roll in, this is the moment for savvy and alert traders to take action.
Metals
Technical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott WavesTechnical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott Waves
The information provided in this response is based on the analysis of the Elliott Wave chart and does not constitute financial advice. The author is not responsible for any investment gains or losses incurred by individuals who rely on this information.
Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that identifies recurring patterns in financial markets. These patterns, known as Elliott Waves, are based on the idea that human psychology and behavior drive market movements.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
Five-Wave Impulse: A five-wave pattern that represents an uptrend or downtrend.
Three-Wave Correction: A three-wave pattern that represents a pause or reversal in the trend.
Fibonacci Relationships: Numerical relationships between different waves, often expressed as ratios (e.g., 0.618, 1.618).
Analysis of the LME INDEX Chart:
Based on the provided Elliott Wave chart, it appears that the LME INDEX is currently in the early stages of an impulse wave structure. This suggests a strong uptrend is underway.
Specific Observations:
Wave 1: The initial upwave has likely been completed.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback also looking done.
Wave 3: The next wave is expected to be a powerful extension of the uptrend.
Impact on Commodities and Indian Metal Stocks:
The LME INDEX is a crucial benchmark for the metals market. Its price movements can significantly impact the prices of individual metals and related commodities. Indian metal stocks, such as Vedanta, NALCO, and Hindustan Zinc, are directly influenced by the LME INDEX.
Educational Purpose:
It's important to emphasize that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. The financial markets are volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
GOLD - LongThe chart analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/Oz) shows a breakout pattern indicating a strong upward movement. Key observations include:
Long-term Ascending Triangle: The chart depicts a long-term ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern, indicating a potential further rise.
Breakout and Target: A breakout from the triangle suggests a target price of approximately $3,142.47, which represents a move of about 45.60% from the recent level of $2,648.66.
Support Levels: Historical support levels are clearly visible, with $720.67 and $250.23 as key areas where price consolidated in past decades.
This suggests that gold is in a strong upward trend with bullish sentiment, especially following the breakout from the long-term triangle. The price target and volume indicate possible further gains.
For deeper analysis, one could evaluate macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, central bank policies, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
SONACOMS (TF|W|) Bullish view .SONACOMS stock analysis Potential breakout opportunity
Chart Analysis : SONACOMS is displaying a strong breakout chart , indicating the upward movement in it's stock price.
CUP & HANDLE Pattern : The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
VOLUME BUILDUP: volume buildup near the breakout zone . Increased trading volume is a positive indicator, suggesting more interest in stock and potential momentum
Gold approaches key upside hurdle ahead of US PCE InflationAfter hitting an all-time high, gold prices are losing momentum as buyers await the US September Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation.
Bulls may slow down, but are still in the game
On Thursday, FOMC Chair Jerome Powell's reluctance to discuss monetary policy joined the market’s dovish bets on the US central bank to propel the Gold price, especially amid the rush for a haven amid uncertain markets. Technically, the bullish MACD signals add strength to the upside bias for the precious metal. However, the overbought RSI (14) and nearness to an upward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, close to $2,695 at the latest, challenge the bullion’s further advances.
Technical levels to watch
With the overbought RSI indicating a $2,695 hurdle for gold buyers, the $2,700 level serves as an additional barrier to monitor for better trading opportunities. Beyond that, a potential surge toward the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of February-June moves, near $2,757, can’t be ruled out.
Gold sellers should watch for a clear break below the four-month resistance line at $2,620. If this occurs, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,578 and $2,522 could draw in bears. Key targets below $2,522 include $2,467 and $2,399. That said, a break below the convergence of the 200-SMA and a year-long support line at $2,288 could signal a trend change for traders.
What next?
A positive surprise from the US Core PCE Price Index could spark the anticipated pullback in gold prices. However, the dovish Fed stance and strong technical support may prevent XAUUSD bears from gaining control.
XAU/USD: Awaiting a Breakthrough at $2,720 or Correction?The XAU/USD chart on September 26 tells an exciting story of gold's bullish momentum. After hitting $2,661, gold is steadily advancing, shielded by two strong supports—EMA 34 at $2,540 and EMA 89 at $2,448.
These support levels act as fortresses, holding buyers firm and allowing gold to continue climbing.
However, all eyes are now on the key psychological resistance near $2,720, a critical barrier that, if broken, could pave the way for new highs.
Upcoming FOMC statements could significantly impact XAU/USD.
Banknifty , Crude oil and Copper Divergence Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator move in opposite directions. It's a sign that the price of an asset may be reversing, and it can help traders recognize and react to price changes.
Here are some things to know about divergence:
#Types of divergence
There are two types of divergence: negative and positive. Negative divergence happens when the price of a security is rising, but an indicator is falling. Positive divergence happens when the price of a security is falling, but an indicator is rising.
#When to use divergence
Divergence can help traders make decisions like tightening stop-loss or taking a profit.
#How to confirm reversals
Divergence can occur over a long period of time, so traders can use other tools like trendlines and support and resistance levels to confirm reversals.
#When to use convergence
Convergence is when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index
VEDL Chandi Jaisa Rang Hai Tera Ghode Jaise Chal VEDANTA (Shines like Silver & runs like a Horse)
VEDL is in a Bullish impulse wave since Covid bottom & did a golden retracement in wave 2 in from 440.75 in April 2022 to 208 in Sept 2023 now Wave (3) has started & we are about to complete wave 1 of (3) what should follow is Wave 2 correction in Wave (3) so 560-570 should be levels to be cautious on upside for a pullback of the impulse started from Sept 2023 bottom.
The larger structure remains bullish a 3 wave or 7 wave pullback will be the zone to create fresh longs.
(Note VEDL is positively correlated with silver which is also in bullish structure)
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher.
Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
Vedanta for 20% gainsDate: 25 Sept’24
Stock: Vedanta
Timeframe: Daily chart
In my earlier analysis of Vedanta in May this year, I had mentioned the stock is heading to over 800+. I have now reviewed my analysis for a target of around 580 (20% from its current price).
Vedanta seems to be in Wave V of 5 and could attain a target of about 585 as seen in the chart.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah.
At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in.
Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
Tata Steel for 25% gainDate: 24 Sept’24
Stock: Tata Steel
Timeframe: Daily
Tata Steel seems to be in Wave V of 5 which has a likely target of around 200 (25% from current price of 160) as seen in the chart. Volume is high and RSI is strong. Even if this price is achieved in next 3 to 6 months, it is a safe bet.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices.
Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains.
However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
XAU/USD: Climbing Ahead of Psychological Resistance at $2661XAU/USD is climbing strongly, holding steady at $2619 with support from EMA 34 and EMA 89.
The biggest challenge lies at the psychological resistance of $2661.470 – if broken, the next target could reach $2683.706.
Traders can buy if the price breaks resistance or sell if it pulls back to support.
Currently, the USD is struggling due to increased risk appetite and dovish expectations from the Fed. Traders are awaiting PMI data from both Europe and the US for new direction.
copper next movecopper can make small correction for fill FVG on down side for make uptrend
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Weekend #btc & #gold Price Action Analysis | Market Insights &📈 Welcome to Alzubair FX! In this video, we dive into the latest price action for Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold, analyzing key levels, market trends, and potential movements for the upcoming week. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, our insights will help you stay ahead in the market.
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Gold Awaits Fed's MoveXAUUSD is currently trading at $2,586, near the critical resistance level of $2,588.972.
The upward momentum is still supported by the EMA 34 ($2,561.747) and EMA 89 ($2,536.316). However, if this resistance is not broken, the price may retrace to the support zone at $2,554.101.
If the price holds above this level, gold could continue rising, aiming for the $2,614 mark.
With the FOMC meeting scheduled for later today, the market is awaiting key interest rate decisions, which could cause significant short-term volatility in gold prices.
Traders should closely monitor macroeconomic news signals to make informed trading decisions.
Gold Long from 2600 Range.The potential upside is strongly indicating that gold prices are no way going to settle below 2600 $ on immediate basis.
The fundamental cause for this rise is was already portrayed last year on 4th December 2023.
The sharp drop in gold prices on December 4, 2023, was the result of a few key factors converging to drive significant market volatility.
Profit Taking: Gold had reached an all-time high in early December due to geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East, which drove safe-haven demand. When gold touched this high, it triggered a wave of profit-taking, as many investors sought to lock in gains, leading to a sell-off. This marked a major pivot from the price surge(
Interest Rate Expectations: Around that time, there were shifting market expectations regarding U.S. interest rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve had previously hinted at potential interest rate cuts in 2024, which initially supported gold prices. However, as markets began reassessing the timeline and pace of those rate cuts, sentiment changed. Investors became more cautious, and the anticipation of delayed cuts led to a stronger U.S. dollar, which inversely impacts gold prices, contributing to the fall
Economic Data: Economic indicators released around the same period were not showing signs of the expected weakness. This further dampened investor optimism about an imminent rate-cutting cycle, causing a reassessment of risk positions and leading to additional selling pressure on gold.
The combination of profit-taking, shifting interest rate expectations, and economic data that did not support continued bullish sentiment drove the significant decline in gold prices starting on December 4.
Now as we are today at Sept 20th, 2024, we can see the first interest rate cut from Fed has clearly been on rise for GOLD. Gold is currently on the rise due to fresh investing and this may continue for a pottential longer time than usual previous movements.
Bitcoin and Gold Price Action: Key InsightsIn this video, we analyze the latest price movements of Bitcoin and Gold. Discover key trends, factors driving the market, and practical trading tips. Stay informed and make smarter investment decisions!
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XAUUSD Hits Resistance, Awaiting Fed SignalXAUUSD is currently trading around $2,573, approaching a key resistance level at $2,587.
If it fails to break through, the price may correct towards the support zone at $2,536 before a potential strong recovery.
The EMA 34 ($2,557) and EMA 89 ($2,530) continue to support the uptrend, but with the RSI at 67.87, the market shows signs of being overbought, increasing the likelihood of a correction.
Gold has attracted some dip-buying on Wednesday as rising bets on a 50 bps rate cut from the Fed test the recovery of the US dollar.
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562