Gold: Pullback remains elusive beyond $2,570, US data, Fed eyedGold snaps three-day winning streak while retreating from an all-time high, marked the previous day, as traders await the US Retail Sales and monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve (Fed), scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the precious metal eases from the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its July-September moves.
Buyers remain optimist
Gold’s recent dip comes as the RSI (14) moves back from the overbought zone and marked failure to break through the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension level on prices. Sellers are also eyeing a potential bear cross on the MACD. Despite this, gold remains above the two-month-old resistance line near $2,570, keeping buyers hopeful with dovish expectations from the Fed.
Technical levels to watch
For intraday sellers, the $2,570 level is key as it has turned into support. If gold continues to decline, the 50% and 38.6% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,560 and $2,540 could be next obstacles. Below these, the bears might target the month-old resistance line and an upward trend line from early August, near $2,525 and $2,515, respectively. However, gold buyers will stay optimistic unless the price clearly falls below the 200-SMA level at $2,487.
On the flip side, if gold breaks above recent peaks around $2,590, it could target the $2,600 level before approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,610. If gold buyers push past $2,610, the focus will shift to the 100% Fibonacci Extension near $2,650 and then the $2,700 mark.
Sellers need a strong motive to retake control
Overall, gold remains bullish despite the recent pullback. For sellers to gain control, they would need not only a drop below the 200-SMA but also strong US data and a hawkish stance from the Fed.
Metals
Gold is a totally save stock to invest money for long timeGold is a totally save stock to invest money for long time
Support and resistance levels are important concepts in technical analysis,
commonly used by traders to make informed
decisions about buying and selling assets
Here are the current support and resistance levels for gold (XAUUSD):
Support Levels:
$1,910: This level has shown strong buying interest recently.
$1,880: Another significant support level where buyers have stepped in.
Resistance Levels:
$1,950: This level has been a strong resistance point.
$1,980: Another key resistance level where selling pressure has been observed
Gold Hits Record High Above 2,570 USDXAUUSD is trading around 2,578 USD after breaking through a key resistance level.
The upward trend remains strong with solid support at 2,560 USD.
There is a possibility of a pullback to this support zone before continuing the rise toward 2,612 USD.
In terms of news: The 10-year US Treasury yield remains in the red, below 3.7%, as markets reassess the likelihood of significant Fed rate cuts, which is boosting XAUUSD higher.
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July.
A bumpy road for the bulls ahead…
Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic.
Technical levels to watch…
To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively.
If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines.
What next?
Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
Gold Hits 2,570 USD Peak, Support at 2,521 USDGold is currently trading around its all-time high near 2,570 USD after a strong rally fueled by rising expectations of a significant Fed rate cut.
The 34 and 89 EMA lines show that the upward trend is still intact, though a short-term correction is possible.
Key support levels lie at 2,501 USD and 2,521 USD, where investors may find buying opportunities.
Gold could rise to the 1.618 level, where it will face psychological resistance before continuing upward towards the next target at 2.618.
XAUUSD: Breaking the Resistance Zone!Gold prices are currently fluctuating within a clear resistance and support range. At present, the price is positioned between the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, indicating a tug-of-war in the trend.
The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are converging, signaling a potential trend breakout as the price moves out of this range.
The key resistance level is around 2,525, a zone where prices have previously been rejected, indicating strong selling pressure.
There are two main support levels: one near 2,470 (Support 1) and another closer at 2,489 (Support 2). The price has tested Support 2 once and is showing signs of retesting it.
If the price holds above the 2,489 support level and shows signs of a rebound, it may retest the resistance zone at 2,523.48. If this level is breached, the next target could be 2,538.21.
Trading Strategy: Wait for clear signals from price action as it reaches the critical resistance and support zones. If the price breaks out of these zones, consider trading in the direction of the new trend.
XAUUSD Awaits Break of $2,530 Resistance Under CPI PressureXAUUSD is in a mild uptrend, trading around $2,517 with a key resistance level at $2,530.
If the price breaks above this level, the uptrend could continue. However, failure to breach it may lead to a correction toward the $2,501 support level.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still supporting the current uptrend, but if the price falls below them, a downtrend might resume.
U.S. economic news, especially the CPI report, will heavily impact gold prices, as a higher-than-expected inflation rate could strengthen the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease
Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart
- Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure
- Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed
- The target area of wave 2 I measured at the area of 2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3
- At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of 2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down
- I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491
Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505
SL: 2498
TP1: 2516
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2532
BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491
SL: 2484
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2508
TP3: 2520
SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541
SL: 2548
TP1: 2531
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2517
CPI news: Will it reach a new peak or maintain a sideways range?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading on September 11, 2024:
The trading session on September 10, 2024, continued the upward trend of gold, with corrective movements unable to change the direction. However, the H4 timeframe is currently in a sideways range; the area between 2525 - 2531 remains very strong. It is highly likely that during the Asian session, this resistance zone will not be broken.
Today's trading trend is: BUY.
Key price areas to note:
BUY zone: 2500 - 2505 and 2510 - 2513.
SELL zone: 2525 - 2531 and 2538 - 2542.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2510 - 2512
SL 2507
TP 2515 - 2520 - 2525 - 2530.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2500 - 2502
SL 2497
TP 2505 - 2510 - 2515 - 2525.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2525 - 2527
SL 2530
TP 2522 - 2517 - 2512 - 2505.
Wishing you all a successful trading day.😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘
Gold for the week starting 9th September 2024Gold is on the downward trend in 1,2,3,4 hr time frame, but on uptrend in day time frame.
Seems to be in consolidation mode between 2460 & 2530. Break on either side will give 100 points.
Buy if one hour candle closes ABOVE 2511 for a target of 2522 to 2525
Sell around 2500 to 2505 for a target of 2465 to 2460.
Disclaimer: This is my own view and is only for educational purpose. please do your analysis before taking any position.
Gold poised to surge on NFP and U.S. inflation data.Tonight, key figures for NFP, Employment Change, and the U.S. Unemployment Rate will be released. The labor market outlook is predicted to be negative, with Nonfarm Payrolls expected to reach only 164K and the unemployment rate to drop to 4.2%.
Average hourly earnings are forecasted to increase from 0.2% to 0.3%, indicating rising inflation pressure. This could cause significant volatility for the USD and push gold prices higher.
The 4H XAUUSD chart shows a breakout from the downtrend channel, with gold surpassing resistance at 2,526 USD and support from EMA 34 (2,505 USD) aiding the upward move.
Interestingly, after this breakout, gold is likely to continue toward the target of 2,550 USD, a level many investors are anticipating.
Stay updated with market news for more accurate trading. Wishing everyone successful trades.
Gold: Edges higher within bullish channel, focus on $2,530 & NFPGold buyers are gearing up for potential weekly gains as the metal rebounds from a resistance-turned-support level that's been holding steady for seven weeks. With the crucial US August jobs report, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), on the horizon, traders are cautious before the release.
A smoother road for bulls
Gold's recent bounce from past resistance and a 2.5-month-old bullish trend channel suggest more gains ahead. That said, supportive RSI and weakening bearish MACD signals also favor buyers.
Important technical levels to watch
A 13-day-old descending trend line, close to $2,530 at the latest, guards immediate upside of the gold price ahead of the all-time high surrounding $2,532 marked in August. Following that, the aforementioned bullish trend channel’s upper line, close to $2,558, and the $2,600 round figure will gain attention of the buyers.
On the contrary, sellers will wait for a clear downside break of the multi-day-old previous resistance line, near $2,470 as we write, for taking fresh entries. Even so, a convergence of the 50-SMA and bottom line of previously stated bullish channel, near $2,439, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears before taking control. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA level around $2,388 acts as an additional downside filter.
What Next?
Gold buyers are poised for potential new highs, but gains might be limited before the key US jobs data is released.
XAUUSD 6/9/2024 Where will the uptrend end?
Looking at H1 we are seeing a 5-wave bullish structure forming,
- Currently looking at the price data, the wave 4 structure is forming, the completion of wave 4 and wave 5 are confirmed when the price breaks through 2523, then we have the confirmation of wave 5.
- After a 5-wave structure will be an adjustment according to the 3-wave ABC structure.
- I have estimated the wave 5 target at the price range of 2530 - 2533, which is also our SELL target
- Then the ABC correction structure has a target to end at the price range of 2500 - 2497, which will be our BUY target.
- I still do not rule out the possibility that the big correction wave has not been completed yet, then the target of wave C that I mentioned in the previous plan is the price zone of 2464 - 2467, which will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2472
Our trading plan will trade according to the ABC downtrend and wait for the ABC downtrend structure to complete, then we will BUY up
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2530 -2533
SL: 2540
TP1: 2523
TP2: 2518
TP3: 2509
BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2497
SL: 2400
TP1: 2518
TP2: 2523
TP3: 2530
BUY ZONE: 2467 - 2464
SL: 2457
TP1: 2482
TP2: 2493
TP3: 2518
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended?
Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave.
- With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend.
- Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones
- Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY
Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467
- Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL
- Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479
SL: 2472
TP1: 2492
TP2: 2582
TP3: 2499
BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482
Gold Nears Peak, Awaiting Breakout at 2,530Gold prices rose in the Asian session on Thursday, nearing record highs as the dollar cooled ahead of key inflation data that could influence rate cut prospects.
XAUUSD is in an uptrend, supported by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines. The price is currently fluctuating around 2,515, showing signs of a continued uptrend.
Support 1 at 2,440 and Support 2 at 2,490 serve as key support levels. These levels align with the EMA lines, indicating strong support.
The main resistance zone is around 2,530, where the price may struggle to break through. If this resistance is clearly breached, a strong breakout could occur, and the price may continue to rise to higher levels.
A clear break above the 2,530 resistance could signal a good buying opportunity. The next target could be higher levels around 2,550 or beyond.
Gold: Buyers await triangle breakout, Fed inflationGold prices are currently stable within a triangle pattern that's been forming for a week. Traders are waiting for the US Core PCE Price Index data for August, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Gold prices have been fluctuating around last week’s record high, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest mixed signals.
Buyers are optimistic…
Even though gold doesn’t have strong upward momentum right now, last week’s rebound from a key support level, combined with weak US data and a dovish Fed outlook, keeps buyers hopeful. Uncertainty about the global economy and central banks cutting rates also supports this optimism.
Key technical levels to watch…
Gold’s movement is currently limited between $2,530 and $2,504. If it breaks above $2,530 and stays above the recent peak of $2,532, it could move towards $2,600. The triangle pattern suggests an intermediate target of around $2,590.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to $2,504, will need validation from the $2,500 psychological magnet and the previous resistance line stretched from mid-July, now support around $2,472, to convince Gold sellers. Even so, a two-month-old ascending trend line surrounding $2,427 will act as the final defense of the buyers.
What next?
Gold is on a positive path and could reach new highs, especially amid the dovish Fed outlook. Even if the upcoming US inflation data is strong, it might only cause a short-term dip, which could be a new buying opportunity.
XAUUSD 3/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price has reached the target of wave 4 that we expected and then decreased near TP3. Once again I would like to congratulate all of us on continuing to have a big win near Full TP3.
- So now the price is completing the down wave 5 to then continue to increase
- Looking at the overall correction, we can easily identify that this is a complex correction with many intertwined correction structures.
- In a complex correction trend, it is difficult for us to determine when the new trend starts. But with real trading, we only care about the setups that qualify for our trading, I will not try to predict each wave accurately
- Currently, I expect the target of wave 5 to end at the price zone of 2487 - 2484 and this is also our BUY target
- Above, I see 2 large supply concentration zones, which are the 2507 - 2510 zone, this zone is the target zone, the last time the price approached this zone, it was pushed down very quickly, and the 2525 - 2528 zone, looking at the chart, we see that the price was pushed down very deeply after approaching this zone last Friday. and these 2 zones are also our SELL target zones
BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484
SL: 2477
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2507
TP3: 2518
BUY ZONE: 2471 - 2469
SL: 2461
TP1: 2485
TP2: 2499
TP3: 2510
SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510
Sl: 2517
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2487
TP3: 2470
SELL ZONE: 2525 - 2528
SL: 2535
TP: 2518
TP2: 2510
TP3: 2500
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.
1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$.
2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range.
Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$.
3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$
The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels .
However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$.
Be careful
XAUUSD 9/2/2024 price continues to decrease?
Looking at H1, we see a sharp decline on Friday last week to the 2494 area, signaling that this is wave 3 in the red 5-wave trend above.
- According to the 5-wave structure, the price is currently completing wave 4 and then the price will continue to move in a downward trend to complete wave 5. The target is measured for wave 4 at the price range of 3507 - 2510, this will be our SELL target price range.
- After reaching the target of wave 4, the price continues to move to complete the target of wave 5. Then we measure the target of wave 5 at the range of 2487 - 2484, this is our BUY target price range.
Trading Plan
SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510
SL: 2517
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2493
TP3: 2487
BUY ZONE: 2487 -2484
SL: 2477
TP1: 2494
TP2: 2499
TP3: 2509