Silver MCX: Downtrend Presents Potential Shorting Opportunity
Silver MCX is in a downtrend and could be sold around 70,555. Targets are 68,750 and 67,500. Place a stop-loss above the recent swing high.
Please note that this is just a trading idea and not a financial recommendation. It is crucial to conduct your own research and consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Metals
Gold MCX Short Opportunity: Key Levels to WatchPotential Gold MCX Short Setup: A short position may be considered in Gold MCX if the price falls below 60620, with a stop loss set at 61150. Please note that this trade setup is only valid if the price does not breach 61120 before activating the short.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and this is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD Key Level for Intraday As per price action we can see that price is falling from the weekly open and printed 3 big bearish candles and bulls not able to push it above the pivot level, today also price trading under the daily pivot which is in bears favour.
For bulls watch current price zone (1945-52) it is support zone as per VP.
Next support level is at 1933 (Fib retracement Level).
on HTF there is no confirmation of buy and bulls have to wait for rejection/confirmation from lower levels and bears can keep selling till pivot level is safe on daily close
silver value buying levels the 3rd oct uptrend is more likely a pullback from the previous downtrend that we had analysed and played well
currently the price has reached to the fib golden zone of 0.6 and 0.7 and there is another confluence of previous rejection zone
price started making lower high and lower low
68000 - 67000 will be area of order blocks
lets wait for the price to react on this
Gold price today: Reduce shock?Samson, Hello every one!
The gold price did not surpass the resistance level of $1,990/ounce last night and had to decline. As of 6:00 AM on November 7th, today's gold price was trading at $1,977, a decrease of $8 compared to the previous opening price, and it has continued to decline to $1,970 at the time of writing.
In this context, the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points has caused the gold price to decline. This has led to the strengthening of the USD against six other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, and CHF.
The rise in the 10-year US bond yield to 4.64% per year has motivated many people to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been restricted, making them less attractive and causing a sudden decrease in their prices.
Outlook and trend analysis:
Gold is expected to continue declining with a projected decrease to $1,953 before any motivating factors drive the price back up.
What are your thoughts on this matter?
Gold price recovers slightly after the shock reduction!The price of gold is currently experiencing a gentle recovery after receiving support at the $1965 USD level, and is now trading at $1970 USD at the start of the morning session.
In terms of news impacting gold:
The new influx of US dollars has caused XAU/USD to drop to $1,956.65 per troy ounce on Tuesday, with the precious metal trading in the red at around $1,965 USD.
The US dollar is rebounding as the market becomes more uncertain, with Federal Reserve officials warning that tightening monetary policy due to speculative interest rates may not be over.
Speaking at various events, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) agreed that inflation has eased but may require additional measures to bring it back to 2%. The financial market remains cautious despite the looming risks to economic growth at a record pace, putting pressure on gold and causing its price to decline!
In terms of technical analysis on the 4-hour chart:
Gold quickly dropped from the support level of $1980 and swiftly reached $1965 USD. Currently, the precious metal is bouncing back from the $1965 support level after forming a new bottom in that area, limiting the possibility of further price declines.
Latest gold update todayGold continues to decline, moving further away from the 2005 USD level since yesterday's trading session. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 1983 USD, providing clear evidence of the downward trend.
Forecast: The upward momentum of gold is being hindered by various factors, including loose monetary policies implemented by several countries worldwide.
The expected level for this decline is 1960 USD. Before any catalysts emerge to support a strong upward momentum once again.
Latest gold update today, should note what?Gold prices fell today in the context of the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points. This has given impetus to the USD to appreciate against 6 other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY (Japanese Yen), GBP (British Pound), CAD (Canadian Dollar), SEK (Swedish Krona), and CHF (Swiss Franc).
Meanwhile, the 10-year US bond yield reaching 4.64% per year has prompted many to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been limited. Today, gold prices faced additional downward pressure.
On the other hand, investor sentiment is highly optimistic as most central banks are believed to have completed their interest rate tightening cycle. Additionally, the temporary easing of military conflict between Israel and Hamas has encouraged capital outflow from safe haven assets, including gold.
Exiting the uptrend channel has led to an impressive price decrease at the time of writing, with gold trading at $1974. In the near future and according to the 4-hour chart, the next target level could potentially be the support level at $1965.
Bull flag challenges Gold sellers, Fed Chair Powell eyedGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in two weeks, down for the third consecutive day, as market players await Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech. That said, a downside break of the 100-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful. However, a bull flag chart formation defends the commodity buyers unless the quote stays beyond the $1,960 level comprising the stated flag’s lower line. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,960, the 200-SMA level surrounding $1,921 will act as the final defense for the buyers.
On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery needs validation from the 100-SMA level of around $1,975. However, a confirmation of the next bull run could only be made if the XAUUSD manages to defy the short-term bearish channel pattern, forming part of the bull flag, by crossing the $2,000 round figure. Even so, the monthly high of around $2,010 and the $2,050 round figure might test the commodity’s upside before pushing them toward the yearly peak of $2,067.
Overall, the Gold fades bullish momentum ahead of the week’s key event. However, the chart formation can surprise the markets with a fresh run-up if Powell advocates one more rate hike in 2023.
Gold continues to show the strength of price increaseSamson, hello everyone!
Last week, we received a lot of significant news, including the Fed's interest rate decision. Despite that, gold has maintained its strong upward momentum, trading around $1985 per ounce in the past week, with a few small touches of $2000. Currently, gold has paused at $1992 and shows no signs of stopping its price rally, indicating its long-term growth potential is still intact.
The previous uptrend was broken at $1987, but gold quickly formed a new uptrend channel and is still operating well within that trend. The next target for this precious metal will be to reach the $2005 level in the coming week and conquer the weekly high at $2010.
What changes in gold price at the beginning of the new week?Hello everyone!!
Today: Gold prices touched the $1990-1991 mark at the beginning of Monday and performed well in an upward trend on the 4-hour chart.
Instead of worrying about the Israel-Hamas conflict, the market will now shift its focus to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with the only question being when and how much. The catalyst for gold's sustained recovery will be lower interest rates in the US and a weaker USD, both of which are gradually taking shape. Difficulties in the bond market and hesitation from the Fed could significantly increase the price of gold.
Gold continues to increase? XAU!!At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), the value of USD against a basket of global currencies, fluctuated around 106.17 after rebounding from a weekly low of 105.81. US Treasury bond yields remain low, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield at 4.663%, the lowest since October 13.
The market is confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its tightening cycle, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it clear that financial conditions will need to be tightened to avoid further interest rate hikes. This puts pressure on the Greenback and supports gold priced in USD.
Upcoming Gold News: Attention on Friday will focus on the US Non-Farm Payrolls data. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings for October will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and look for trading opportunities around the price of gold.
Samson's perspective is that gold will continue its upward trend, currently consolidating around the $1980-$1990 range. It is possible that this Friday, there could be a significant increase in gold prices during the US session.
GOLD Key Levels to watch Price facing resistance at 2000,currently trading inside high volume range (1970-2000)
Best scenario For sell:Price need to trade under daily and weekly Pivot Average
Best scenario For Buy: Price need to trade above daily and weekly Pivot Average
Overall it is good for buy the dip till 1970 is safe , on breakdown of 1970 price can extend the decline towards fib support level
Audusd decreases with trendsDear friends, AUDUSD continues to decline after failing to break out of the previous downtrend, and it is currently trading around 0.6345.
The 4-hour chart indicates an extended downward trend, suggesting that the price may continue to decrease within the stable trend on the 4-hour timeframe.
The next target for this currency pair could be a drop towards the trendline at 0.6220. Do you agree with my analysis?
Gold recovered in the short termSamson greets everyone!
Similar to yesterday, gold experienced significant fluctuations after the evening news and quickly returned to trading around $1987, with little change compared to the same time yesterday. Gold prices are seeking support from the weak performance of the US dollar and low interest rates on US Treasury bonds as they try to stabilize after significant losses caused by uncertain policies of the Federal Reserve.
In Samson's personal opinion, the low level of $1977 may be tested once again and then be considered an important support level to push gold prices back up.
XauUSD - Maintain a good increase in 1980 USDHello everyone!
Today, gold has seen a slight increase in price as people speculate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will have a softer monetary policy. As a result, the value of the USD has cooled off a bit.
However, the upward momentum of gold has been restrained as the USD continues to rise due to the challenging economic conditions in many countries and the tendency of their central banks to loosen monetary policies.
At the time of writing, the price of gold is trading at $1988. The resistance level is seen at $1992, and there is a possibility that gold will retreat from this level and seek support around $1972. If it respects this support level, there is a potential for gold to increase towards the medium-term target of $2005 by next year.
GOLD: Gold technical analysis todayYesterday, the D1 gold frame created a spinning candle, it can be seen that the dispute between buyers and sellers is taking place very fiercely. Today there will be very important news about the USD and these nonframe payrolls news will have a very strong impact. big enough to be golden. Yesterday the SPDR fund did not trade and it is possible that they are waiting for news today to buy or sell. The H4 stochastic indicator is going up even though the histogram is growing negative for a very short time. On the daily chart, the stochastic is trending down and the histogram is also getting lower, showing that the buying impulse has begun to weaken. According to today's technical analysis, gold will continue sideways in the range of 1990-1983 and we should close our orders before the news happens.
XauUSD - Continue to decreaseHello everyone! Gold has cooled down after yesterday's news, moving away from the $2000 mark and trading around $1980 at the start of today's session, a decrease of 0.18% throughout the day.
Gold declined under pressure from a strong US dollar index, a decrease in crude oil prices, and a slight increase in US Treasury bond yields. Additionally, precious metals faced selling pressure from short-term futures traders after a recent strong rally.
In the short term outlook, the US Dollar Index (DXY) opened at 106.67 points. Therefore, there is a possibility of gold declining in the short term.
Samson's view is that prices could find support at $1966 and even $1955. Afterward, we can expect gold to increase in value from this resistance level.
Gold pares weekly loss below $2,000 on NFP dayGold price edges higher after bouncing off 50-EMA as markets brace for the US employment report for October. In doing so, the XAUUSD rises for the second consecutive day but remains on the way to posting the first weekly loss in four. That said, the steady RSI and sluggish MACD suggest a gradual recovery in the metal’s price. The bulls, however, need validation from a six-week-old rising resistance line surrounding $2,015. Ahead of that, the $2,000 threshold guards the immediate recovery of the bullion while a clear upside break of $2,015 will allow buyers to challenge the yearly high marked in May at around $2,067.
On the contrary, the 50-EMA level of around $1,980 restricts the immediate downside of the Gold price. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone around $1,953-48 will be a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the precious metal manages to keep the reins past $1,948, the mid-September bottom of near the $1,900 psychological magnet will act as the final defense of the commodity buyers before leaving the battle zone.
Overall, Gold lacks bullish momentum ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day while snapping a three-week uptrend. The bears, however, need to conquer $1,948 and gain support from a firmer US employment report for conviction.
Impressive target 2050 USD, gold increased sharplyHello dear brothers and sisters!
The Gold weekend trading has concluded with a complete victory for the bull side as the price reached $2000, in line with market expectations. Overall, Gold maintained a relatively stable upward trend around $1990 - $1970 throughout the week, although there were no significant breakthroughs.
The support level of $1980 acted as a catalyst to push the gold price higher, with an expected increase to $2050, with some short-term corrective declines. The only question now is how long it will take to reach this figure. The upcoming week promises to be an interesting and exciting trading week. What is your perspective?
Short -term analysis of gold todayDear friends, Gold is currently narrowing its price range, indicating a significant decline in the near future. However, in my opinion, this adjustment is only temporary as the conflict in the Middle East is considered noteworthy and the current trend of Gold depends on it.
This decline could bring Gold back to its support level around $1950. Maintaining a strong hold above this support level will drive Gold to a robust growth around $2000 before any further catalysts push it to continue rising.
Gold MCX Long Strategy with Key PointsConsider a long position in Gold MCX around the current price of 61160.
Initiate 30% of your standard position size.
Add to your position within the 60960-61000 range.
Set a stop loss at 60550 for risk management.
Potential profit targets are at 61380, 61600, and potentially 61800 or higher.
Please note that this is a suggested approach and not financial advice. Make informed decisions and conduct your own analysis.