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Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Samson here! Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553. Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement). Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum. Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors... Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
3
Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hi guys, Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark. Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations. Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday. Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form. Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663 Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600 If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
Gold Started the week with Big Bearish Engulfing As predicted in last week posts and on weekly analysis also , gold is moving down and started the week with a big bearish engulfing on daily time frame .On Intraday the resistance area is at 2630-50 (Fib Golden Zone) and under this area we can expect more decline in lower side , In lower side the first support area is at 2562-70 (HVN)(First TP for Sell) and next support area is at Bullish Imbalance zone @ 2530-40 (Second TP for Sell), so selling seems to more favourable for Intra day as of now.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Fluctuates: Geopolitical and Inflation ImpactThe 4-hour gold chart clearly shows the volatility caused by geopolitical and economic events. Gold prices have recovered from lows due to inflation concerns from the new US tax policy, indicating that safe-haven demand for gold remains strong. Currently, the key support level is at $2,603/oz, with resistance at $2,634/oz. Any break of these two levels will indicate the next direction for gold prices. Market Comment: Based on technical analysis and current situation, I expect gold prices to increase in the short term. Inflation concerns from the new US tax measures could weaken the USD, supporting gold prices. If prices hold above $2,603/oz and continue to react positively, I expect a further rally, possibly reaching or exceeding $2,634/oz.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?Hi guys, OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing... Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed. The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets. This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week. Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically: Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650 Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750 Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
3
Gold at Resistance : A sell opportunity ?Yesterday, gold traded higher and closed the day in the positive territory . Today, Gold price climbs extending its gains for the fourth straight day. On the Intra day chart, Gold is now trading above weekly Resistance 1 (2653). Technically price is at resistance area and trading near to Fib golden zone , this area is perfect reversal zone but the geopolitical evens (War) currently pushing the price higher , for sell we need good confirmation from these resistance area. Today Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise from 217K to 220K for the week ending November 16 and that can add volatility so we have to watch the reaction accordingly. Selling seems to be more favourable now for Intra day and for buy we have to look for lower levels but selling need to be assessed with good money management as gold is currently getting safe-haven demand for buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
New Gold Mine in China: Aftershocks in the Gold MarketWhen analyzing the daily gold chart, I noticed that a long-term uptrend has been reversed with a clear break below the rising channel line. This tells me that the market may be preparing for a new bearish phase. This decline occurred even as there was news from the US and other major economies on inflation and monetary policy, which would normally have a strong impact on gold prices. In addition, China's discovery of a gold mine with estimated reserves of over 1,000 tonnes in Hunan province is not only a geological event but could also be a major mover in the global gold market. With gold prices failing to hold the 34 EMA and falling further, the next support area I see is around $2,520 to $2,560/ounce. This will be a key point to see if gold will continue its downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,725 / Sell Below 2,694 Current Price: 2,716.335 USD Key Levels: Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,725 on the one-hour candle, it indicates an upward momentum, suggesting a good time to consider buying. Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,694 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a downward momentum, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 2,750 and 2,766 Support: 2,684 and 2,662 Market Analysis: The current price is around 2,716.335 USD, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish activity based on the key levels. Pay close attention to the range between 2,694 to 2,725 for support and resistance levels. Recommendations: Buy: If the price sustains above 2,725 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book partial profits at 2,735 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,750 and 2,766. Sell: If the price breaks below 2,694 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book partial profits at 2,785 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,680 and 2,662. Disclaimer: This trading strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets, including gold, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite before making any trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and seek advice from a qualified financial advisor before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD The breakout of the local downtrend channel has disadvantaged sellers. The fundamental background is changing, despite continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-off environment, which overall favors gold as a safe-haven asset during times of crisis. The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities. Despite the optimism around the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions may consolidate for sellers before further strengthening. Technically, gold has every opportunity to retest the boundaries of the previously broken channel. However, based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue. Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
Gold Rebounds Strongly After US ElectionThe current chart shows that gold has made an impressive recovery after two consecutive weeks of losses, with a clear increase, marking an increase of $135/ounce in the past week. This comes amid a gradual replacement of the pessimism following Donald Trump's election victory by renewed optimism among traders and experts. Through chart analysis, it is clear that gold is in a strong recovery process. The short-term EMA has crossed above the long-term EMA, indicating a positive trend reversal. This is in line with the results of the latest Kitco News survey, where the majority of experts (89%) and retail traders (66%) predict that gold prices will continue to rise in the coming week. Looking ahead, I expect this optimism to continue to support gold prices, at least in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Surges: Political Momentum and New OutlookAmid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold witnessed a sharp increase in price, closing at $2,716/ounce, reflecting strong demand for safe-haven assets. This recovery was evidenced by the price of gold breaking above both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating a reversal from the previous downtrend and opening up a positive outlook for prices in the short term. I assess that global political factors along with the upcoming US economic policy will continue to be the main factors affecting gold prices. Investors should pay attention to these developments when making investment decisions in the current context.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Will $2,640 Hold Amid Volatility?After a strong rally, gold is facing some downside pressure from its new highs. Specifically, the daily chart shows that gold has hit a key resistance level at $2,678/oz and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery. Personally, I believe that gold is still in the accumulation phase after a strong rally, and the selling pressure may not be over yet. The next important support level to watch is $2,640, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This will be the deciding point whether gold continues its downtrend or starts to recover. If gold fails to hold this support level, we could see a deeper decline towards $2,600/oz. Overall, given the current situation, I advise investors to be cautious and prepare for a scenario where gold could fall further if the next support levels are not held. At the same time, investors should also closely monitor market developments to quickly update and respond promptly to changes in gold price trends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark. Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure. Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
1
Gold Price Increases for 3 Consecutive SessionsWorld gold prices continued to increase for the third consecutive session, currently trading around 2,650 USD/ounce, up a total of 88 USD in the past three days. The main driving force of the uptrend comes from safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, along with the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies. On the 1-hour time frame, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are providing good support for the uptrend, showing the strength of the buyers. The nearest short-term resistance is at 2,670 USD/ounce, if broken, the gold price may continue to increase to 2,680 - 2,690 USD/ounce. The current strong support is around 2,640 USD/ounce, if broken, it may pull the price down to 2,620 USD/ounce. Personal opinion: The current uptrend is still maintained thanks to the positive sentiment in the gold market. However, the $2,650 - $2,670/ounce area is an important resistance level to watch. If the buyers cannot maintain the pressure, the price may correct slightly to accumulate before continuing the uptrend. Note that the US interest rate policy in December may create a short-term correction period, but in the long term, gold is still very attractive due to geopolitical and macroeconomic instability. Personal opinion: If the price breaks the resistance, this is a good opportunity to consider continuing to buy orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Price Approaches Important Resistance ZoneGold is currently trading around $2,638/ounce, continuing its strong rally after rising $48 in the previous session. The main drivers of the rally are geopolitical tensions and the stability of the USD. Gold is in a strong recovery phase from its low around $2,580. However, the medium-term downtrend has not been broken yet as the EMA 89 is still acting as resistance. Resistance and support: Nearest resistance: The $2,650-2,660 area, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important area to confirm a bullish reversal. Support: The $2,600 area, if broken, gold could retest the old low around $2,580. Price pattern: On the 4-hour chart, gold is approaching an important resistance zone. If there is a price rejection signal, the possibility of correction will be very high. Personal opinion: Gold price is likely to test the $2,650-2,660 zone in the short term. However, with current technical indicators, selling pressure at the resistance zone will be very high. If the price fails to break through this zone, the possibility of correction back to $2,600 is quite high. On the contrary, if it breaks through, the next target will be $2,700. Trading strategy: Sell at the $2,650-2,660 resistance zone, set Stop Loss at $2,670, Take Profit at $2,600. Buy when the price breaks through $2,660, set Stop Loss at $2,640, Take Profit at $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically... The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook. Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
Gold Rebounds: Focus on 2,546 Support & Russia-Ukraine TensionsGold prices rose on Monday (November 18) after six consecutive losing sessions as the rally in the USD paused and escalating uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine conflict spurred safe-haven demand. Currently, gold is recovering after successfully testing strong support at $2,546, where the long-term uptrend intersects with potential buying zones. This positive signal reflects strong buying momentum, pushing prices back towards $2,620, near the EMA 34 and EMA 89, key dynamic resistances. If prices break above the $2,620 level, the next target could be the resistance zone at $2,791, where significant selling pressure awaits. With the Russia-Ukraine tensions showing no signs of de-escalating, gold prices could climb even higher in the future. Traders should closely monitor developments in this situation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vanna-Cris
Strong Recovery After Prolonged DowntrendGold prices have recovered strongly to $2,610/ounce in today's trading session, up $48 in just the past 24 hours. This move shows increased bottom-fishing demand after the precious metal fell a total of more than $120/ounce in the previous five trading sessions. Technical Analysis Looking at the gold price chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 still show a medium-term downtrend. However, the current strong bullish candle is challenging these dynamic resistance levels. If gold continues to surpass $2,620, the uptrend could extend to the resistance zone near $2,650. On the contrary, if it fails to stay above $2,600, the possibility of a reversal back to the support zone of $2,560 is quite high. Fundamentals Support Geopolitical situation: Escalating tensions in the Ukraine region with the participation of long-range weapons from the US and military moves from Russia and North Korea have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Bullish forecast: A report from Goldman Sachs with a forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000/ounce by the end of 2025 is creating positive sentiment for the market. Bargain hunting demand: After a series of sharp declines, large financial institutions have started to increase purchases, pushing gold prices up rapidly. Review Based on the above factors, I expect gold prices to retest the important resistance zone at $2,650 in the short term. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the market's reaction at the $2,620 area. If the breakout fails, selling pressure may reappear.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa