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Gold sellers are ready to break $1,900 but road to the south is Gold stays on the way to post the third consecutive weekly loss even as the one-month-old falling trend line prod XAUUSD sellers around $1,900 of late. Also challenging the quote’s further downside is the nearly oversold RSI (14) line. However, the bullion’s sustained trading beneath the fortnight-long falling trend line and the 200-SMA, respectively near $1,918 and $1,956, joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the sellers hopeful of witnessing further downside. In a case where the quote crosses these hurdles, the monthly top will join the late May’s swing high, around $1,983-85, to act as the last defense of the bears. Meanwhile, the Gold seller’s dominance past the $1,900 round figure will need validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its June 09-23 moves, near $1,898. Following that, the 78.6% and 100% FE, close to $1,887 and $1,873, should be quick to lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth observing that the precious metal’s weakness past $1,873 will have the early March high of $1,856 as an intermediate halt before dragging prices toward the yearly low marked in February around $,804. Overall, Gold price is likely to remain bearish but the south run is less likely to be smooth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold Price gradually declines towards $1,900Gold Price breaks a month-old bearish channel towards the south and suggests further downside past the latest three-month low surrounding $1,920. However, the oversold RSI conditions keep offering intermediate bounces as the bullion drops towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 15 to June 16 moves, near $1,907. Following that, the $1,900 round figure may test the XAUUSD bears before highlighting the 78.6% FE level of around $1,890. In a case where the precious metal remains weak past $1,890, the June 2022 peak of near $1,880 and early March 2023 high close to $1,858 will act as the last stops for the bulls to leave the throne and give control to the bears. On the contrary, the bottom line of the stated bearish channel, close to $1,925 at the latest, can escalate the corrective bounce toward the $1,940 hurdle. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and a three-week-old descending trend line, near $1,960, appears a tough nut to crack for the Gold buyers afterward. Even if they manage to cross the $1,960 resistance, the top line of the aforementioned falling trend channel, close to $1,970, will be the final battle before welcoming the bulls. Overall, the Gold price is likely to decline further but the downside appears slow and steady.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Copper Set to Outperform Silver!Attached: COPPER/ SILVER Daily Chart as of 20th June 2023 The Ratio has given a Breakout from a Cup & Handle/ VCP Pattern today Within the Commodity space it appears that Base Metals are doing better than Precious Metals And so this Ratio can head higher to retest the 0.5 Fibo retracement level as the 1st Upside Target (marked on chart with arrow) Technical Indicators also confirm the BO: - RSI above 60 - MACD in Buy Mode and Above 0 line - DMI in Buy Mode and ADX starting to Turn up
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by T_Harth
Market Reactions to Fed’s “Hawkish Pause” Market Reactions to Fed’s “Hawkish Pause” Today the Federal Reserve chose not to proceed with an 11th consecutive interest rate hike, opting instead to assess the effects of the previous 10 hikes. However, the Fed announced that it anticipates implementing two additional quarter percentage point increases before the year concludes. While the pause was largely expected, the fact that policy makers see rates at 5.6% at year-end was what caught the market off-guard. The combination of the pause with the suggestion of two more 25 basis points hikes has been dubbed the “hawkish pause”. Following the decision, stock market closing results were mixed. The Dow Jones closed more than 230 points lower, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq experienced gains of 0.1% and 0.4% respectively. The Nasdaq Composite was primarily bolstered by the gains made in AI-adjacent stocks of Nvidia and AMD. The day began with Bitcoin surpassing $26,000. However, it has since retraced to a 24-hour low of $25,791. Some analysts are predicting an inevitable drop to $25,000 based on recent cryptocurrency news that is dominated by discussions on regulation. Meanwhile, gold prices initially rose to touch $1959 per ounce in the session but later trimmed gains, trading around $1945. The dollar has weakened across the board, with the DXY down 0.32%. The NZD is the biggest mover, rising by more than one percent to a 3-week high of $0.6211. Gains in EUR and GBP were more modest, at +0.39% each.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold hovers above $1,940 critical support on Fed dayGold again bounces off the 100-DMA after five consecutive attempts to break an important moving average that has been pushing back bears since late May. Adding strength to the said DMA support is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its late February to May upside, near $1,940. It’s worth noting, however, that the oscillators portray a grim picture for the XAUUSD buyers and the Fed also can surprise markets, amid dovish hopes and softer US inflation. As a result, the probabilities favoring the metal’s fall to $1,914 and the $1,900 round figures are high, a break of which could recall the early March swing high of around $1,858 and the latest February lows of near $1,804 that act as the last defense of the buyers. On the flip side, another recovery by the Gold price remains elusive unless it breaks the lower-high pattern established since late May. To do so, the bullion needs a daily close beyond the $1,984 mark. Even so, the 50-DMA hurdle of around $1,990 and the $2,000 threshold could play their roles to challenge the XAUUSD bulls. Following that, multiple levels around $2,020 and $2,050 can challenge the metal’s upside momentum before crossing the latest peak of around $2,080. Overall, Gold buyers appear to run out of steam as the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision looms.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal