Axis bank looking bearish on higher time frame.
Axis bank has been trading around the higher level and is forming a base near 1030 zone. Both side movement can be there in the stock and confirmation is need for the entry to trigger.
But the stock on the weekly chart is showing some bearish RSI divergence and the dropping strength can be the initial signal of a bearish move.
On the daily charts, it is around the 200 ema. Either it will breach the levels or take support from the same. Watch for the levels and price action.
If the stock starts trading below the 1028 level and even close below it, next month expiry derivatives can be traded for the bearish momentum in the stock.
Major bearish target levels :- 980, 950.
Entry :- Close below 1028 levels.
Positional/ swing trade can be initiated in the stock for the next month expiry and trailing SL must be kept to limit the lose and capture the move.
Wait for the price action near the level before entering the trade.
Moving Averages
Positional Trading Idea on Cantabil RetailNSE:CANTABIL
If stock crosses above 220 which is above Super Trend reversal level as well as Break Out level then the 1st target is around 233 level and 2nd target near 248 level on 1 Hour chart. Trailing Stop Loss below 20 period Moving Average and Super Trend support whichever is low.
Indus Tower Ltd Stock AnalysisThe chart is self-explanatory and shared for educational purposes.
1. Indus Tower Stock: The stock of Indus Towers Limited is being discussed.
2. Technical Indicators:
o Moving Average: The stock is trading above its moving average.
o Trendline Support: It has support from a trendline.
o Breakout: There has been a breakout, indicating potential upward movement.
3. Cautionary Note: While the technical analysis suggests a positive outlook, it’s essential to conduct thorough research, consider broader market conditions, and be aware of potential risks before making any investment decisions.
FinNifty weekly expiry analysis for 16/04/24.Finnifty weekly expiry levels
Major support levels :- 21130, 21000
Resistance :- 21330, 21500
The market is looking bearish and chance of a gap down opening is there as the closing is around the day's low.
On the hourly charts, the market is trading between both the moving averages. A support around 200 ema can be seen.
In case of a flat to slight gap down opening, a consolidation in a range and break down in the second half can give a nice trending move this expiry.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty weekly expiry analysis for 16/04/24.The market has reacted to the war situation and has given a fall of around 800 points.
Banknifty has taken support from the 20 ema on the daily charts and the support zone around 47740 level.
Even on the hourly charts, the market is trading between both the moving averages and chances of taking support around 200 ema is there.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and there is chance of a trending expiry move in the market as last few expiry were side ways.
Major support level :- 47750, 47400.
The market is looking bearish and the closing is below 38.2% fib levels. 50% fib level can be tested and a support around the level can be seen.
If there is a gap down opening, a recovery can be seen as many will be booking profits. Flat opening and a break down in the second half can keep the market trending.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty prediction for tomorrow 12 APR 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
the market is trading ATH in the zone where it got heavy selling from this region. NIFTY is going to be sideways unless it breaks the GREEN trendline to the downside. The inside marked region (22617-22766) is sideways.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.21, which indicates the bullish market. 23200 CE have been written heavily. Other strike prices do not have significant writing. Everyone is in the waiting phase. As you can see in FII and DII data, actively also, options are indecisive.
If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways.
There can be three possible cases:
Case 1: Low probability Bullish case -> market breaks to the upside
Case 2: The market is going to be sideways in (22617-22766).
Case 3: If it breaks the trendline, then it can give a good bearish momentum.
Reasons:
Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak.
RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways.
Nifty is trading in the resistance zone.
PCR = 1.21 shows bullishness. but FII and DII activity is totally indecisive.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 22750 CE and Sell 22650 PE(Hedge it with 15/- premium)
All time high breakoutGood volume buildup in the past few candles both in daily and weekly timeframe.
All time high breakout with good volume, if breaks the high of current candle then good opportunity for long or else wait for retest conformation.
Price has taken support twice from 200EMA, good sign for bullishness.
NOTE: i do my analysis, do your before trade.
GNFC Best Swing Idea! 🔥Greetings traders!📈 Today, I'm thrilled to present an intriguing setup on GNFC, showcasing a positional breakout scenario complemented by volume analysis. Here's a closer look at the setup:
📈 Setup: HORIZONTAL BREAKOUT SETUP
🔍 Analysis: Extensive analysis across various timeframes confirms the breakout potential.
📊 Indicator Support: Momentum indicators are providing robust backing to the bullish momentum.
📈 Keywords: Strong volume participation, comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis, bolstered by momentum indicators.
Stay tuned as GNFC gears up for potential bullish momentum! Remember to conduct your own analysis and deploy effective risk management techniques.
#GNFC #VolumeAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #StockMarket 🚀
🚀ZIL is showing a bullish idea with a W pattern💎 Paradiser, #ZIL is currently displaying a bullish market structure, characterized by the formation of a W pattern and the presence of Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break Of Structure (BOS).
💎Furthermore, #ZILUSDT has successfully broken above the 200 EMA, indicating potential bullish momentum. However, it's crucial to await confirmation before making any trading decisions.
💎If the price manages to break above the resistant level, it may signal further upward movement, targeting the next resistance levels.
💎In the event of a pullback, we could anticipate a bounce from our key level. However, it's advisable to set smaller targets in such scenarios.
💎Nevertheless, If the price break down below all key levels, it may be considered bearish. However, it's recommended to wait for clearer market signals before taking any action.
Swing Trading Gem:(ZEEL Set to Soar 10-15 % in a Month or Two*ZEEL is ready to offer returns ranging from 10-15% within a timeframe of one to two months*. Please note that terms and conditions apply.
Reasons to Consider Taking a Trade:
- A crucial Supply/Support zone has been pinpointed within the range of 140-145
- The trendline break.
- Price has surged above the 50 Moving Average, which is now acting as a support level.
Targets:
I think Target 1: Will be achieved in a week or two and then 174 Target 2 will be achieved in a month and if ZEEL Blast then 191 Target 3 in 2 months.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Banknifty around ATH, trading levels for intraday 05/04/24.Banknifty has given a hammer candle around the higher levels after a gap up opening above 48k levels.
The index came for profit booking after a good gap up and closed round 48k levels.
Now the market is around the last resistance zone of 48300 and then there is the ATH.
After a 3 day consolidation there was a gap up and it took the opportunity of making money in the up move.
In case of another gap up, bullish trades on the retest can be made around 48300 levels .
If there is a flat to slight gap down, bullish trades above 48250 can be created.
Major Resistance levels :- 48250, 48530-590
The market has created highs after gap up openings. In the scenario too, it seems market will show some gap up if it wants to create new ATH.
Support levels :- 47700, 47430
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
AMB is poised for a potential bounce from key support levels! 📈💎 Paradisers, #AMB is currently undergoing a retracement, and we anticipate a potential bounce from the previously broken resistance, which can now act as support.
💎This support level is further reinforced by the presence of the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and a supportive trendline, enhancing its bullish prospects.
💎NOTE- Confirmation is needed.
💎However, should the price break below this support level, it may signal a bearish move. In such a scenario, I would recommend exercising caution and considering smaller position sizes, as the overall trend remains bullish at this time.
Falling Knife stocks-How to identify them?I have discussed in previous post about what exactly falling knife stock is with a case study.
The next question would be how would an investor know that stock is a part of falling knife category?
To identify such stocks, I feel you should know about 2 concepts/indicators which are Moving averages and Fibonacci retracement. I will try to make you understand these concepts and also the levels where averaging/investing can be started.
1. Fibonacci(Fib) is a mathematical concept which governs the entire universe, even our stock markets. I can't explain the entire scientific concept here so just sticking to stock market.
Fib retracements help investors identify support and resistance for stock. There are 2 golden ratios which every investor must know, 38.2%(0.382) and 61.8%(0.618).
When a stock is in uptrend, 38.2% is the level where most stocks retrace upto. 61.8% is considered as last ray of hope for bounce in retracement. Any stock which has fallen below 61.8% is considered weak.
2. Moving averages(MA) are indicators which are continuously changing with moving stock market. These are an average of prices over a time period, hence Time frame is important.
There are many types of moving average, we use mostly simple and exponential.
When I say 20 Day EMA, it is Exponential average of 20 days of closing price of stock or when I say 200 week SMA, it is simple average of 200 weeks closing price.
Exponential is more used than Simple moving average which has scientific reason behind it so if you are curious, you can search for it.
200 Week moving average is considered as last ray of hope for investment. A fall below 200 Week moving average or 50 Month EMA indicates strong bearishness.
3. I have seen stocks reach from top to bottom and top again. Tata motors, HDFCAMC being few famous examples. Even, Most of real estate, PSU banks stocks are reversing. So, equity is beautiful, wild and highly unpredictable. However, A stuck investor should wait for monthly closing above 61.8% to start averaging in such stocks. Also, a closing above 200 Week EMA will slightly indicate return of bullishness and that's where reversal traders should think of investing
I feel this much knowledge is enough for now. If you have got some enlightenment from above information, lets apply this knowledge on one stock where I know many many investors are stuck, Rajesh Exports.
How do I know? I saw the shareholding pattern and that's where I was shocked to see the number of shareholders increase from 45000 odd to over 2 lakhs in the past 9 months!
Starting with fundamentals, Rajesh Exports Ltd is 4 decade old manufacturer of Gold and Gold Products available at a PE of around 9 and sales growth of 20% in last 3 years. All the ratios feel nice to me except the operating margin which is below 2% consistently which has led to drop in EPS which is major concern in the stock.
Technically, stock had a 52 week high of 1030 in Feb 2023 and it is now available at 360 odd which is more than 60% wealth destroyed. And as I said, the number of shareholders have grown 5x in the same time. (Note that FII, DII holding has reduced in same period).
If i see now from a non-investors perspective(psychology explains that investor can never see the bearishness), the stock has formed a beautiful double top and broken its neckline which was 61.8% of fib retracement all ready for a further fall and I see no support till 270-300 zone(sorry investors). It is also below 200 week moving average-red wavy line(if you check monthly chart, it is below 200 month moving average as well). A perfect example of Falling knife.
What next? If I were an investor, My last SL would have been 525 which is 50% retracement. Since, the stock is below 61.8% retracement , there is no chance of averaging at this moment. Hence, I feel investors should wait & watch until stock moves above 440 before averaging/entering. Don't jump in it. Wait for a big bullish monthly candle before averaging.
Also....
As promised,, I am sharing you names of stock which i have identified to be part of this unloved category. As an homework, do check fundamentals and reversal levels based on what we have discussed above.
The stocks are GRINFRA, TCNSClothing, Metropolis, Luxindustries, Polyplex, HLEGlasscoat, Deltacorp, Barbequenation.
If you are a curious investor, even you can find such stocks and do let me know in the comments below.
I would like to discuss any doubts regarding the concepts, idea or anything related to stock market so feel free to comment.
Keep investing, keep minting. India has a very big future ahead so these are the best few years to invest in India.Be a smart investor because it is important that you choose the right stock to meet your financial goals.
"Long Rajesh Exports"As we can see from the pattern the stock has shown a nice reversal today showing that the buyers are still active in this and it can get even more bullish above 315
and also fundamentally if we see the company has much higher production than the entire consumption of India and it is an export based company which is helping India to grow so we can keep this for long term for better growth
#swingtrading
Crude Oil Analysis - Triangle Breakout 📊 Technical Analysis:
- Triangle breakout with minor consolidation
- MA supporting the bullish trend
📈 Trade Setup:
- Long position initiated at breakout
- Trade with Stop-loss
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a financial advisor.
GBPINR Analysis GBPINR Currency Analysis
The chart is self-explanatory and shared for educational purposes.
📉 Support Level: The price has recently been tested and held a key support level within the channel.
📈 Moving Average: The price is above the moving average (50-150-200-day MA), indicating bullish momentum.
📊 Trade Idea: Consider long positions near the support level, Set a tight stop-loss below the support.
🚫 Risk Management: Always manage risk by adjusting position size and using appropriate stop-loss levels.