Darvas Box formed in a Pharma Stock (Swing setup for 5 to 6%)Cipla, the price is trading below the long-term group of ema's also we have a bearish cross of ema bands. The degree and nature of separation of both bands indicates price consolidation on these levels. So, we use Darvas Box to trade the instrument.
Short Trade Setup
The breakdown of 1145 will open the lower levels of 1080 which is about 5%
Also we have a confirmation from ema bands.
Long Trade Setup
The breakout of 1200 will open the levels of 1270 which is about 6%
But we need a confirmation from ema bands to trade the uptrend.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell. This material is only for educational purposes.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
Moving Averages
Banknifty daily analysis for 19/10/23.After many weekly expiry this expiry was the one which was in favour of the option buyers.
Banknifty has closed 520 points lower moving the market more then 1% down. It was struggling to sustain above 20 ema and today being the weekly expiry it gave a nice move in the first half and consolidated in the second.
On the hourly charts, the market took resistance from 20 ema and came for selling, giving 422 points in single candle.
The market has consolidated after a fall in the second half which shows that the market has halted. If the market fall below 43800 levels, it can test 42800 levels soon.
On 15 minute chart, it has formed a bearish moving averages cross over and has closed below both the moving averages.
Support :- 43870, 43680
Resistance :- 43980, 44210
Wait for the price action near the level before entering the market.
Nifty weekly analysis for 19/10/23.Today there was a nice fall in the indian markets and nifty has given closed 140 points lower forming a nice bearish candle.
It has closed below the 20 ema which is round 19700 level. There are chance of nifty holding the market as there was less fall in the index as compare to banknifty.
On the hourly charts, it has closed below both the moving averages and there are high chances of market following the fall.
There is also a bearish moving averages cross over, on smaller time frame, which also show there can be a fall in coming days.
RSI indicator is showing some bearish divergence on the higher intraday time frame.
Watch for option premiums as tomorrow is the weekly expiry. Only one more week will be left in the october month.
Support :- 19580, 19480-500
Resistance :- 19720, 19780
Market were in the consolidation phase and after few days it has given a nice trending move. If the global sentiment also align with today's move, there are high chance of market testing 18900 levels soon.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Will Reliance continue its Downtrend ?The price declined about 13% from the high of 2631. Also the degree and nature of separation of ema bands indicates a downtrend. If the price is rejected from the level of 2362 then it will continue its downtrend. And for an uptrend the price has to break the resistance zone with momentum. It's important to consider, the long-term band is in the resistance zone. So wait for the price to clear its trend. Currently we are at make or break levels.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell. This material is only for educational purposes.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
Get ready for a move of 8%After making a low of 168 the price rebounds with a good momentum. Now the price has entered the resistance zone. The breakout of 178 will open the levels of 190.
GMMA Indicator for Trend Signs:
1. The degree and nature of separation in the long-term group of EMAs indicates a pause in the long term trend.
2. The degree and nature of separation in the long-term group of EMAs indicates a trend reversal.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
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Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
Banknifty weekly expiry analysis for 18/10/23.Banknifty on the daily time frame has given a red candle after a gap up opening and closing 180 points higher.
It opened above the 20 ema but couldn't sustain above the level and closed below the level and constantly faced resistance from 44500 level.
On the hourly charts, banknifty traded between both the moving averages, taking resistance from the 200 ema and support from 20 ema.
Today, there was a nice sell in the market in the second half after a consolidation forming a bearish flag and pole pattern.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and last expiry has also been in the consolidation phase. If there is a trend move it can be captured by booking 80% on the target and trailing SL for the remaining 20%.
On 15 minute charts, the market closed around both the moving averages. The market took support from the 200 ema and respected the 44350 level.
Support :- 44330, 44210
Resistance :- 44450, 44550, 44730
Wait for the price action near the level before entering the market.
Nifty daily analysis for 18/10/23.Nifty is still unable to trade above the resistance levels of 19850. After a gap up opening the market came for selling and consolidated around the level.
There was a sell off in the second half, taking support around the support level as well as the 20 ema on the hourly charts.
Market gave a nice move but there was no follow through in the markets. The markets are holding on the higher levels which signifies there will be a break out trade in the coming days.
Of the major trend the market has crossed and sustain above the 50% fibonacci level but it is unable to test 61.8% levels.
On the 15 minute charts, the market tried to sustain the higher levels and in the second half it started trading below the 20 ema.
Support :- 19780, 19730
Resistance :- 19840, 19900
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Finnifty weekly expiry for 17/10/23.Finnifty has been consolidating in a range for few days. It has formed a doji candle on the daily time and closed below the 20 ema.
Indian markets have been consolidating in a range for few days. Break out or break down can give good targets.
On the hourly charts, the market has given a bearish moving averages cross over. It took resistance from the 20 ema and closed below both the moving averages.
The market can be a trending one this week as there is good consolidation going on in the market.
Watch for the break out or break down in the market and trade with a Stop loss.
On 15 minute time frame, the market has closed around both the moving averages. There is a positive sentiment on the smaller time frame. If the market starts trading above 19850, it can test 19950-20000 levels.
Support :- 19740, 19680
Resistance :- 19860, 19960
In the second half the market has consolidated. Watch for a break out as tomorrow is a weekly expiry and market has given good consolidation.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty daily analysis for 17/10/23.Banknifty is still trading below the 20 ema and has formed another doji candle at the day close.
It has given a nice move both side. In the opening it tested the lower levels and also tested the higher levels.
On the hourly charts, the market tested the 20 ema, facing resistance from the levels and closed almost flat.
Ongoing market is for the option seller as there is time decay whole in option premiums.
On 15 minutes charts, the market has closed below both the moving averages.
Support :- 44190, 44060, 43860
Resistance :- 44560, 44740
Banknifty is volatile and there are chances of a trending move in the market. There is a good consolidation going on in the market a powerful break out or break down is about to be seen.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty daily analysis for 17/10/23.Nifty on the daily charts has formed an inside candle and closed flat forming a doji candle.
It consolidated in a narrow range of 60 points after the first hour candle. There were no movement in the index.
On the hourly charts, nifty traded around the 20 ema and closed between both the moving averages.
Markets are not giving any option buying opportunity in the market. It is consolidating and moving in a sideways trend after gap up or gap down opening.
The closing range of the market is getting smaller and a trending move can be seen in the coming days.
Support :- 19720, 19670
Resistance :- 19780, 19840
Nifty has not given a significant move in recent which is a good thing for a powerful break out or break down.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Granules Demand ZoneThe short term group of ema's shows some contraction in ema's indicates a pause in the uptrend. The price will resume its trend on the breakout of 365. It could be a good opportunity for a fresh entry in the demand zone of 345 to 350 with a stoploss level 335.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
CarTrade looks very attractive and bright for mid-long termWeekend Pick 3: CarTrade
Fundamentals : Bright, Decent Sales and Profits. Increase in EPS, Strong Reserves Vs No Debt. DII stake increased slightly !
Technicals : at Trend Reversal Trendline, Above MAs with volume increase .
R 1: 770
R 2: 865
R 3: 980+
Avg small btw 620-580 if falls, SL : 530
Banknifty weekly analysis for 16/10/23.Banknifty on the weekly time frame has given a doji candle and has closed almost flat below the 20 ema.
On the daily charts, market has formed a gravestone doji candle and closed below the 20 ema after taking a resistance from the level.
It is showing some negative build up on the intraday front and is consolidating on the higher time frame.
Banknifty has been closing in a narrow range and is facing a serious resistance from 44740 level.
On the hourly time frame, during the last trading session, it has formed a tweezer top or bearish engulfing candle. There are chance of banknifty testing the low again.
Banknifty is consolidating around the recent low and if the low is broken there are chances of fear selling.
The global consents are negative and the ongoing Israel Palestine war may also contribute to the sell off.
Major Support :- 43820-850
Resistance :- 44740
For intraday trading levels.
Support :- 44190, 44060, 43860
Resistance :- 44560, 44740
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty weekly analysis for 16/10/23.Nifty on the weeekly charyts has given a nice bullish candle and has closed around 100 points higher.
After the gap up opening on Monday due to the international news it recovered and took support from 50% fibonacci level.
It is holding the higher levels but is still trading below the major resistance level of 19900.
On the daily charts, there are gap up and gap down and nifty has closed above the 20 ema. No clear view is there in the market.
Less option buying opportunities are there. Last 2-3 weeks has been for option seller as it is trading in a range.
The markets have consolidated and a break out/down can be seen with a proper follow through in the markets.
On the hourly charts, it took support around the 200 ema and closed between both the moving averages.
Nifty consolidated for 2 days in a range and took the opportunity as it opened gap down.
Major Support :- 19250-300
Resistance :- 19840-900
For intraday trading levels.
Support :- 19730, 19670, 19580
Resistance :- 19780, 19840
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
BHEL ltd,.; min 30% Return ; right time to investFundamentally good stock,
For long term investment.
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Entry: 102
target: 104 -119 - 130
sl: 97
major stoploss/ support: 87
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Enter only after breaking & close above " Yellow box" mentioned.
Or else wait for some time.
'
;good for long term investment.
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'
Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency 💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
.
refer old ideas attached below
Banknifty daily analysis for 13/10/23.Banknifty on the daily time frame has formed an inside candle. It has closed above the 20 ema on the daily charts.
On the hourly charts, the market has remained in the first hour candle and closed just between both the moving averages and the moving averages are close enough.
The market has consolidated whole day and closed only 82 points higher killing option buyers.
There is a sideway cycle in the market and there are less opportunity for the option buyers.
On 15 minutes charts, the market has closed between both the moving averages and has closed around the 20 ema.
Support :- 44450, 44340
Resistance :- 44740, 44970
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty daily analysis for 13/10/23.What a weekly expiry this has been?
Nifty on the weekly expiry remained a 50-60 points range and closed 19 points lower.
On the hourly charts, the market remained in the first hour candle and closed above both the moving averages.
Today expiry was for option seller and total time decay was the gain as there was no opportunity for the option buyer.
On 15 minutes charts, it traded around the 20 ema and closed just below the levels.
Support :- 19770, 19720
Resistance :- 19840, 19900
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.