Investment_ UPLTrading and investing are completely different in nature.
In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not.
We buy high and sell even higher.
But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically.
"Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company."
So here I am with a stock named UPL. According to Sir Benjamin Graham's method of calculating Intrinsic Value, it is worth around ₹ 815 a share.
Coming to the charts, UPL has been consolidating near weekly resistance for around 70 days. It could've already given a breakout if this "corona wave 2" didn't hit the market. Rs 700 is a major hurdle which will act as a resistance. Beyond that, I think my targets will be achieved. Well, this will not happen overnight. It will take months to even years.
Some questions answered:
Q: At what price should I buy?
A: Well, this stock looks undervalued and I suggest to start accumulating shares NOW.
Q: Should I buy shares tomorrow, at on go?
A: Nope. Divide your capital in at least 3 lots. You buy first lot tomorrow, second and third lot after in time gap of 2-3 weeks (as you like).
Disclaimer: The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes. This must not be taken as an investment advise.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Will 21500 act as a RESISTANCE..?As we can see NIFTY had been rallying every since it broke out of its ATH. Now we can see it had been following a trendline and rejecting exactly from that zone and the psychological level of 21500 can add further fuel to the fire acting as a RESISTANCE hence any signs of rejection around the given trendline could a good opportunity to sell keeping SL at last swing high and riding the whole rally so plan your trades accordingly
Strong upmove as analysed! 48000 coming upAs we can see BANKNIFTY rallied over 400++ points after opening strong and went sideways! Now BANKNIFTY can continue its further upmove till 48000 which is its next eminent psychological level and any signs of rejection around given levels could lead to a good fall so plan your trades accordingly
Looks like BANKNIFTY is heading for another strong upmove As we can see despote the weakness BANKNIFTY managed to RECOVER close to ending up in green and has formed more like double bottom pattern showing signs of strength hence if BANKNIFTY beaches the levels mentioned and susatins itself above the given level then we can see a new ATH for BANKNIFTY so plan your trades accordingly
Balrampur Chini short-term bullish swing trade opportunityHello All,
I am presenting my analysis and approach for a short-term bullish positional trade opportunity in BALRAMCHIN. There is a good short-term bullish swing trading opportunity presenting itself in this fundamentally strong scrip.
Trade validity: Week of 11th December 2023
Entry: 388
I will watch how the stock reacts to the green trendline on the hourly timeframe by end of the session on Monday, 11th Dec'23.
So I'll wait and watch to let the dust settle by the end of the day on 11th Dec'23.
I will then look for a positional entry in the following sessions on or after Tuesday, 12th Dec'23. If the green trendline is respected, and the red trend above it is broken and the break is sustained, then the downtrend of last week could be reversing. For this, there has to be an hourly green candle that closes above 395 level. I will then wait for the price to come back down for a retest of the 388 level, just around the green trendline in the following days of the week.
Stop: 385
The stop will be 385 at the green horizontal line. This will be a hard stop as I do not want to wait for the candle to close below this.
(I usually set the entry and stops as trigger-limit orders for auto executions.)
Target: 403
The expected target is 403 at the horizontal red line.
I may exit there fully, partially, or, wait and see how the price reacts at that level for further upside with a hard trailing stop at 397. Targets beyond 403 are seen as per the thicker blue lines at 408, 416, and so on..
RRR: 5
This is a good short-term trade with a RRR of just above 5.
Let's see how this plays out.. :)
This is based on multi-timeframe support and resistance, trend, strength, volume, volatility, confluence, and a bit of fundamental analysis. If this looks good to you, please consider a follow.
Thanks!
(Disclaimer: For educational and analysis purpose only. No recommendations. I am not a SEBI registered advisor. Please make your own decisions at your own responsibility.)
REJECTED as analysed As we can see BANKNIFTY got rejected as analysed and fell unidirectionally despite the inverted head and shoulders breakout which was pretty easily assumed by many hence it was bound to fail hence we may expect more of downfall to create panic for buyers hence every rise could be selling opportunity so plan your trades accordingly
Has BANKNIFTY just turned BULLISH..?As we can see despite the rejection in bigger time frame, it managed to recover almost till its ATH close on it. Watching it on a smaller time frame we can see it being in a inverted in a head and shoulders pattern which shows further uptrend hence any closing above last trading day could show huge upmove so plan your trades accordingly.
BANKNIFTY getting weaker..?As we can see BANKNIFTY had been sideways to volatile throughout the day but ended with good recovery. Now we can still see BANKNIFTY being weak unless it breaches recent ATH swing hence unless it is broken and sustained above, it looks weak so plan your trades accordingly
Time of get CAUTIOUS fellas!As we can see BANKNIFTY has again shown sideways to negative market as we analysed in our previous post which was presumed by indecision. Now we can see BANKNIFTY is unable to hold and sustain itself at higher levels and hence we can expect some good downfall so every rise could be an opportunity to sell so plan your trades accordingly
BANKNIFTY showing signs of indecision As we can see BANKNIFTY opened strong and remained more like sideways to volatile throughout the day as analysed in our previous analysis. Now BANKNIFTY can be seen showinh signs of indecision at its ATH which is a sign of concern as unless this doji like candle’s high is taken out, we can expect some retracement in coming sessions which could be filled with volatility so plan your trades accordingly everyone
BIG MOVE DONE as analysed ! what’s next..?As we can see BANKNIFTY rallied over 2000++ points in couple of days after breaking out of inverted head and shoulders pattern. Though this move was influenced with sentiments which arose due to exceotional win of BJP in few states but it could be shortlived. As we had previously analysed that despite the results, market started to rally beforehand which shows that the supposed move was already factored in hence this could be a potential trap as now we can expect some sideways to negative market in coming trading sessions if opens below our zone unless BANKNIFTY sustains above our given zone so plan your trades accordingly everyone.
BANKNIFTY getting READY for another big rally..?As we can see BANKNIFTY showed a unidirectional move as analysed in our previous post as it held up and sustained itself with the strong opening. Now watching thebgloval scenarios, we can again expect BANKNIFTY to open strong and hence until we are above the zone, every dip will be a BUYING OPPORTUNITY. There might be some volatility due to oncoming elections results which I think is already factored in so plan your trades accordingly.
Short term Buy Edelweiss Financial Services LtdAs per Short Term Trading Analysis Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd Looks Buy side.
As per Data available on NSE Promoters are Increasing. and Volume is also Increasing.
Buy This Stock Near 45-46 Level stop loss 37, target 70,80
Time Frame 7-8 Months
Only For Educational Purpose.
REJECTION seen exactly as analysed! As we analysed in our previous post that we may see some breather being taken by BANKNIFTY before finally breaking out and we did see that as it got rejected exactly from our levels and had been sideways to negative throughout the day. now watching the global scenarios, we can expect a strong opening which could be followed up if BANKNIFTY manages to sustain itself with the strong opening leading to unidirectional move so plan your trades accordingly
BANKNIFTY will take a BREATHER here..As we can see BANKNIFTY rallied over 700++ points which was much expected as we said BANKNIFTY has formed a doji and break on either side could show a unidirectional move and it did that. Now that BANKNIFTY has already rallied, we can see it closing at important supply zone which is not expected to be broken very easily. Hence, we can expect BANKNIFTY to take a breather as a halt until it finally breaks off heading towards its new ALL TIME HIGH so plan your trades accordingly.
BANKNIFTY managed to sustain itself above the zone! As we can see despite the weakness in first half ! BANKNIFTY managed to break and sustain above the resistance following NIFTY but in a daily time frame it can be seen making a Doji candle in right at the zone making a zone of indecision hence now if in coming days if BANKNIFTY manages to sustain itself above the candle we may see a new ATH else we can witness another fall from here so plan your trade accordingly