Nifty50 Crosses Head and Shoulder Pattern, Resistance at 23895Details:
Asset: Nifty50 Index
Breakout Level: Nifty50 crossed the head and shoulder pattern
Current Level: 24472
Potential Resistance: 23895
Stop Loss: Based on risk tolerance or technical analysis
Timeframe: Short-term, dependent on market sentiment and election outcomes
Rationale: Nifty50 has broken through a head and shoulder pattern, a typically bearish indicator. The next significant resistance level appears at 23895. The market may see further downside unless positive developments, such as favorable election results, provide relief.
Market Analysis:
Bearish Pattern: The head and shoulder pattern indicates potential further downside. Nifty50 may continue to decline unless a reversal is triggered by positive news or market catalysts.
Election Impact: Election results could play a crucial role in determining the market’s direction, especially in a sensitive period like this.
Price Target:
Resistance is likely at 23895. If Nifty50 fails to break this level, it may see continued bearish momentum.
Risk Management:
Adjust stop losses based on individual risk tolerance and technical analysis, especially given the uncertainty around political outcomes.
Timeframe:
The timeframe for reaching resistance at 23895 could be short-term, but broader market trends and election outcomes may impact the index's movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup leans bearish, with the head and shoulder pattern indicating downside risk. Ensure stop-loss levels are adjusted for volatility.
Monitoring the market's response to political and macroeconomic factors will be key for Nifty50's near-term outlook.
Nifty50short
Nifty daily analysis for 28/07/23.A bearish engulfing candle on the daily time frame is showing some negative mood in the market but it is taking support from 19630 levels.
Not a single green candle is formed on the hourly charts and market fell around 200+ points from the day high, closing 120 points lower or 0.6%.
On the hourly charts, market is trading around the 20 ema and has again closed below the level after a nice gap up opening.
RSI indicator is too showing bearish divergence on the daily charts. Even on the smaller time frame, there was a divergence and the option premium on the Put side increased by 9 times from the day low.
Support :- 19630, 19570
Resistance :- 19700, 19860
The monthly expiry day gave a nice trending market and was a day of option buyers. From the first hour candle there was a fall and it continued till the close of the market.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty50On Friday a 50 bps increase in the repo rate this week, the fourth consecutive rise since May 2022. This takes the repo rate to 5.90 percent – the highest level since April 2019 – from 5.40 percent.
Nifty moved upward and closed +270 points in positive near to its 17100 the resistance level of 17200 is the upcoming Target from Nifty. Although it tried to achieve that level on 30 September, Friday but closed 100 points below it. We can see some movement in the upward direction for 2-3 days.
Later it can face Resistance at 17200 to 17400 where it can try to consolidate or try to hold that level as 17500 is a strong resistance level we can see a short position or reversal from that level.
NOTE - As this week is only 4-day trading we have to trade with less as most markets try to hold their support and a slow steady move upward can be seen.
Advice- Try to take trade-in ATM .
_ We can see support at 17000 the point it breaks that we can look for 16800 to 16750. (This is when Nifty faces some resistance at 17200 or comes back from the 17400 level. As it will try to make the Double bottom from 16800 which shows bullish momentum and if it fails to make it the Short position will gonna start.)
_ We can go Short once the Support 1 - 16750 breaks down we hold the option for another day that can give us a good move in a single day.
Technical Indicator I used was the Moving average and on a 1Day time frame, Nifty took the support of 100DMA, and now 20DMA is trying to cross the 100DMA which is trying to indicate SELLING.