A Short Term to Long Term Investment Opportunity in Reliance IndHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought a stock which has formed a pull back and retest pattern in weekly chart stock name is Reliance Industry, it is most famous and most valuable company in india. Reliance was founded by Dhirubhai Ambani and is now promoted and managed by his elder son, Mukesh Dhirubhai Ambani. Ambani's family has about 50% shareholding in the conglomerate.
Stock is really giving good entry at this price as it has already corrected 19%, and now it is showing some strenght, There was huge volatility in market due to USA Election. Today vix has been cool almost 7% means volatility is going to reduce in market. Well if i talk about reliance i think this is giving best entry for long term investment as well as short term to medium term. For short term i already have mention the targets. But i feel it will cross these targets which i mention here and it will give 100% returns in next 2-3 years. So if anybody wants to hold this for long term can hold from these levels.
Technically and fundamentally it is very strong company there is no doubt about it. Now le't discuss about some fundaments.
Strenghts:-
Effectively using its capital to generate profit - RoCE improving in last 2 years
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Company with Low Debt
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Market Cap
₹ 17,82,145 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,317
High / Low
₹ 1,609 / 1,149
Stock P/E
26.2
Book Value
₹ 606
Dividend Yield
0.38 %
ROCE
9.61 %
ROE
9.25 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
17.9
Debt
₹ 3,57,525 Cr.
EPS
₹ 50.2
Promoter holding
50.2 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 523
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
11.5
Change in Prom Hold
-0.09 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
12.0 %
Sales growth 5Years
9.61 %
Return over 5years
14.7 %
Debt to equity
0.44
Net profit
₹ 77,652 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
8.73 %
Profit growth
-0.59 %
Earnings yield
6.17 %
PEG Ratio
2.19
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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Nifty50stocks
ICICI Bank set to Dethrone HDFC Bank!Attached: ICICIBANK/ HDFCBANK Weekly Chart as of 5th May 2023
The above Ratio Chart is Significantly Bullish and suggests that in the coming Weeks/ Months you will see Money flow from HDFC Bank to ICICI Bank (which means ICICI Bank will relatively Outperform HDFC Bank and you are better off going own ICICI Bank instead of HDFC Bank)
Bullish Evidence as follows:
- Massive Inverted Head & Shoulder Bottom Pattern has formed implying Upside for the Chart
- RSI in a Bullish regime since October 2017
- The RSI Bullish Divergence that started in October 2017 also marked a Trend Reversal point for the Chart, prior to which the Trend was Down
- Higher Highs and Higher Lows clearly point to an Up Trend in this Ratio Chart
- Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank too is confirming with this Chart
As an Investor,
you are better off Owning ICICI Bank and Dumping HDFC Bank
And as a Trader,
Long ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK and Short HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK makes for a Highly Profitable Pair Trade
BAJFINANCE Set to Outperform Index Nifty 50 Attached: BAJFINANCE/ NIFTY 50 Daily Chart as of 18th May 2023
A Double Bottom/ Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern Breakout is Clear in this Chart
Price is also moving in a Channelized/ Impulsive Manner
And so it is Set the Measured Move Target indicated by the Up Arrow
Similarly, on the Price Chart of Bajaj Finance, Price can head to 7400 as that is the Pattern Target for the same. It is an OUTPERFORMANCE/ BULLISH Setup!
MARUTI Set to Outperform Nifty 50Attached: MARUTI/ NIFTY 50 Daily Chart as of 5th May 2023
This Ratio Chart has just given a Fresh Breakout Buy Signal implying that for the coming days/ few weeks NSE:MARUTI is all ready to Outperform and take Leadership for Nifty 50
Buy Strength and Sell Weakness
Hence, expect Buying Action in MARUTI Stock from here on is what the Charts say!
HEROMOTOCO- Set to Outperform the Auto Index!Attached: HEROMOTOCO/ NIFTY AUTO Weekly Chart as of 28th April 2023
The Chart is Clearly indicating a Terminal Wave in the form of an Ending Diagonal with a Massive Bullish RSI Divergence
So long Hero MotoCorp has been ignored by the Market and Underperforming within the Auto Index
Get Ready Now because the Stock will see a Change in Trend from Down to UP
and INVESTOR Money is expected to start flowing into this Stock
Makes a Case to Buy an Outperforming Stock
See my Related Idea on HEROMOTOCO Outperforming Index Nifty 50, that is another evidence that supports the Bullish View
HEROMOTOCO- Relative Strength says BUY!Attached: HEROMOTOCO/ NIFTY 50 Weekly Chart as of 28th April 2023
The above Ratio Chart also called a Relative Strength Chart shows that the Stock HEROMOTOCO is set to Outperform the Index Nifty 50 and has given a Buy Signal on this Ratio Chart based on Elliot Wave Theory
Wave 1/ A was a 5 wave Impulse
Ratio retraced to 0.786 in Wave 2/ B as a 3 wave Corrective
AND NOW,
Wave 3/ C to the Upside is set to start/ has started already and this means the Stock is expected to Outperform the Market from here, making it a BUY as you always buy Outperformers because that is where the Strength is!
Note: The Stock has Earnings on 4th May, Thursday
TITAN- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Titan/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart Live Market Hours as of 18th April 2023
The Ratio Chart signals that TITAN has completed Wave A/ 1 and done a retracement in Wave 2/ B and now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave Down is to Start
This implies that on a Relative Basis, TITAN is likely to MASSIVELY Underperform Nifty 50 Index
Today Titan is also One of the Top Losers from the Nifty 50 Index Top 20 Heavyweights
So as they Sell Weakness and Buy Strength
Hence, Look for Short Opportunities in Titan
TITAN- Hidden Bearish Divergence SELL!Attached: TITAN Daily Price Chart as of 22nd March 2023
Price has triggered a SELL Signal today on account of the following reasons:
1) Hidden Bearish RSI Divergence as RSI puts in a Higher High but Price puts in a Lower High
2) Price has come back to Retest a Prior Support Zone which now can act as Resistance
3) Dow Theory Structure of Lower Highs and Lower Lows still intact so it is a Down Trend and NO Trend Reversal yet
4) Elliot Wave Count suggest Price is ready to start Wave Z down of its complex correction
Our Plan of Action is:
Short at Current Market Price= 2508
Stop Loss > 2550
for Downside Target Open to 2270
BPCL- Bullish HARMONIC Buy Signal!Attached: BPCL Weekly Chart as of 17th March 2023
Going by Harmonics:
A Bullish Anti Bat Pattern has got activated with this Week's Bullish Power Candle Close above 350. This is a BUY signal!🚀
Going by Dow Theory:
We see that Price has also put in its First Higher Low of 314 since the Lows of 288 back in October 2022. This is a Sign of a Trend Reversal Structure.
The Prior Trend was DOWN on the Weekly TF. Now it appears the Trend is turning on the UPSIDE.
Coming back to the Harmonic Pattern, our Plan of Action for a Positional Trade is:
Buy Entry triggered at Current Market Price of 351✅
Stop Loss can be placed below 52 week low which is ~ < 288⚠️
Upside Targets🎯 as follows:
T1= 380 to 400
T2= 480 to 500
T3= extension beyond 500 level, towards Prior ATH / New ATH
(Also do check out my related idea on BPCL which looks at the Daily TF)
...........
If I were to talk about some Fundamentals,
then BPCL also has a 4.5% Dividend Yield which is quite Attractive in a Rising Interest Rate Environment that the Global Economy currently is in
And so it is also a Buy if you consider the Dividend along with a Capital Appreciation potential📈
Can we see the new ATH in NIFTY?No doubt that market will be highly volatile ahead of Budget
Summary
1) As of now you can see that Nifty is trading in one particular (white) channel in which it had given a breakout in past and made an ATH of 18604.45
Channel width is 1,566 points.
2) In the chart there are 3 EMA's 10 is red, 20 is green, 50 is blue.
3) There is also a Red channel which has a width of 430 points which given a breakdown and achieved the target easily in 3 trading sessions.
4) Biggest technical support of Nifty is the channel line in which it is trading and Physcological support, for now, is 17K closing basis.
5) On a daily timeframe nifty is weak. Reason- 10 EMA given a negative divergence and crossed 20 and 50 Ema.
On the other side, Bannifty is very strong and has seen very good buying volumes in all banking stocks.
6) Nifty IT is oversold and expecting some recovery in it and Banknifty is so strong that it can also pull nifty up.
7) This view will fail if nifty gives 2 consecutive below the channel. Till that time Nifty is buy on dips and ready to make a new ATH.
Note: Please don't create postions according to this view. This is just aview trade on levels.
ADANIENT SHORT-TERM SWING TRADE!Hi everyone, Adani Enterprises short-term swingtrade consider buy above above 1,720 target 1,785 stoploss 1,690.
LOGIC BEHIND TRADE : Stock recently given breakout of it`s all time high & price strucutre gives buying oppourtinity breakout of W pattern, target identified from harmonic xabcd pattern level 1.131 and stoploss identified from ATR indicator value 33 points. NSE:ADANIENT