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Niftyanalysis

NIFTY Cup and handle in making (bullish swing + positional)Hello Everyone, Nifty apot 24160-180 cup and handle pattern in making in 2 hours timeframe, also resistance around neear 24400-24550 breaking upside will give momentum of upto 24800,25000,26300++ RSI having strength and prices are taking support of EMA 200 and EMA50 once bullish cross done then there is long bullish trend possible is wasing peactalk and war situation. oveall volume, strength supporting for bullish. if situations worse then below 23800 it can be 23400,23000
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finvestalgo
Nifty Stuck in Range: Momentum Fading Before the Next Big Move?On paper, it was a steady week. The Nifty 50 moved within a 588-point range and closed with a modest 0.42% gain. But if you look a little deeper, the momentum is not as strong as it seems. April gave confidence. May brings the test April surprised everyone with an ~8% rally, making it one of the strongest months since Dec’23. Historically, May also leans positive. But markets do not move on history alone. They move on current positioning and fresh triggers. And right now, the market feels undecided. What the market is telling us The index is currently stuck in a broad range. It is not breaking down. It is also not breaking out. That usually means one thing: 👉 Momentum is fading and the market is waiting for direction Even the India VIX at 18.5 remains elevated, despite cooling slightly. This signals underlying nervousness. Key levels to watch this week On the upside: • 24,200 to 24,300 as the first hurdle • 24,500 to 24,600 as strong resistance On the downside: • 23,800 to 23,700 as immediate support • 23,500 to 23,400 as a strong base Right now, the index is sitting in the middle. This is usually the least rewarding place to trade. What could move the market next? This week brings multiple triggers: • Over 250 Q4 results, including L&T, M&M, Titan, Bajaj Auto • Any update around Iran tensions, which can impact crude and sentiment • FII flows, still the biggest swing factor What should you do now? This is not a market to go aggressive. It is a market to stay selective and patient. • Focus on strong sectors • Avoid chasing weak setups • Reduce exposure if supports break • Add only if Nifty sustains above 24,350 • Keep position sizes small Because in markets like this, 👉 Big bets often get punished, while patience gets rewarded
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
NIfty Inverse Cup and handle pattern..Swing hello everyone, Nifty spot 24000 got pullback rejection from 100ema resistance now below 23800-850 its looking to free fall till 23000 as previous gap was there and also if trend contunies to downside then its fibbo extention of 1.61% previous swing around 22900 overall bearish view in both smaller and higher timeframe. as peacetalk stall crude gaining 5-6% in 2 days indicataes more volatility ahead also FED rate decision is tommarow last 2 times its kept unchanged while before that 6 times were rate cut ..most probably this time rates can be hiked ... overall its negative view till spot is below 24500.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finvestalgo
Nifty50 EMA 200 Bearish pullback tetestHello everyone, as shown in chart nifty at 24400 retrace 61% from previous swing low at the same there is 200EMA resistance nifty range 24400 and 24000 crucial for upcoming momentum as US iran Ceasefire from last couple of week market bounce aroud 10% from the low 22182 to 24400. pullback failure and breaking range below 24000 along with any geopolitical conflict may lead to again at lower levels towards 23000,22000,21000. while sucessfull peacetalk ...ceasefire going to end 22nd april may lead fresh upside momentum for 25000,25500,26000. view is bearish.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finvestalgo
Nifty Rallies 6%. Is This Real Strength or a Trap?After six straight weeks of pain, the market finally gave some relief. The Nifty 50 surged nearly 6%, closing back above 24,000. At the same time, fear dropped sharply, with India VIX falling almost 26%. On the surface, it feels like confidence is back. But here is the uncomfortable reality The Structure Is Still Weak Yes, the bounce is strong. But the index is still trading below its trendline. That means this could be: • A temporary relief rally • Or the start of a real reversal Right now, it is too early to call it strength. Levels That Matter This Week Support Zones • 24,000 - 23,900 (immediate) • 23,500 - 23,400 (strong base) Resistance Zones • 24,400 - 24,500 (first hurdle) • 25,000 - 25,100 (major barrier) Triggers You Can’t Ignore • No breakthrough in US–Iran talks. Risk sentiment is still fragile • Q4 earnings season begins. Expect sharp stock-specific moves • Crude oil volatility can shift sentiment quickly • FIIs are still net sellers. Liquidity pressure remains The Real Risk If the index fails to hold 24,000, the downside can open up fast. A move toward 23,000 is not out of the question. And that is where most late buyers get trapped. What Should You Do Now? This is not a market to get aggressive. • Avoid fresh buying at current levels • Stay patient and observe price action near key zones • Focus on protecting capital Because right now, survival matters more than opportunity.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
1
Six Weeks of Selling — Is Nifty Setting a Trap Now?Six straight weeks of decline. The Nifty 50 remained under pressure, closing at 22,713, down nearly 0.5% last week. Most investors are now turning cautious. Some are even turning bearish. But here’s the uncomfortable part: Markets don’t punish the majority — they trap them. What the Market Is Really Saying At the start of the week, Nifty broke below 22,500–22,400. Panic? Not quite. It quickly recovered and closed back above this level. Now think about that. If the market was truly weak… why did buyers step in at that level? So Is the Downtrend Over? Not Yet. The structure still shows pressure. Lower lows are forming. Momentum is not fully back. Which means: 👉 The market is not strong 👉 But it’s not as weak as it looks either This is where confusion builds — and volatility follows. Key Levels to Watch Out for From an open interest perspective, these are the zones that matter: 🔹 Immediate Support: 22,500 – 22,400 🔹 Stronger Support: 22,000 – 21,900 🔹 Immediate Resistance: 23,000 – 23,100 🔹 Major Resistance: 23,400 – 23,500 What Could Trigger the Next Move? • RBI policy outcome — rate guidance will shape sentiment • Ongoing Middle East tensions (US–Iran conflict) • Crude oil holding above $100+ levels These are powerful triggers. They can shift direction overnight. So What’s the Smart Play? This is not the time to be aggressive. This is the time to be selective and defensive. No need to predict the market. Let the market confirm first. Because right now: Chasing moves can hurt more than missing them.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty At near Crucial SupportHello Everyone, Nifty Spot 22350 trading almost at Support of trendline and near 200EMA/SMA line RSI is highly oversold in lowertimeframe also oversold in weekly timeframe as ongoing US-IRAN-esrail war conflict nifty corrrected over 15% from high and now goldman sach also downgrade indian equities in weekly timeframe chart it shows trendline and ema support along with rsi oversold in daily timeframe there is bullish reversal harmonic pattern. but as technicals wont work when theres is news flows here 200EMA is about to retest and it happens very less as historical chart only 2020 crash it happens and few other time.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finvestalgo
1
Nifty in Fifth Weekly Decline, Bearish Trend StrengthensIndian markets remained under sustained pressure last week, extending losses for the fifth consecutive week. The Nifty 50 declined nearly 1.3% to close at 22,819, reflecting continued weakness in market sentiment. Meanwhile, India VIX surged another ~17.5% on a weekly basis to 26.80, indicating rising fear and heightened volatility in the market. ◉ Technical Structure As discussed earlier, the market shifted into a bearish phase after breaking below the key trendline support. Since then, every bounce has faced quick rejection, keeping the overall pressure intact. ◉ Key Levels to Watch Support: 22,500 – 22,400: Immediate support zone Below 22,400: Downside may extend towards 22,000 Resistance: 23,000 – 23,100: Immediate Resistance 23,400 – 23,500: Strong Resistance zone ◉ Key Triggers 1. Geopolitics: Uncertainty around US–Iran developments and tensions near the Strait of Hormuz continue to keep global risk sentiment fragile. 2. Crude Oil: Elevated prices, with Brent holding in the ~$98–115 range, are adding pressure on inflation and macro stability. 3. Rupee Weakness: INR slipping past 94 against the USD signals persistent external pressure and capital outflows. ◉ Outlook Volatility is expected to remain elevated, especially with monthly expiry ahead and a shortened trading week due to holidays. The overall bias remains weak. A meaningful bullish reversal is only likely above the 24,000 mark. ◉ Trading Strategy This is not a market for fresh buying. Focus on capital protection. Use any bounce to reduce exposure and stay selective with positions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Stays Weak as Global & Banking Stress Weigh: What Next?The Indian markets remained weak through the week, slipping after an early recovery attempt and closing marginally lower. The Nifty 50 ended with a minor loss of -0.16% at 23,114, while India VIX edged higher to 22.81, reflecting elevated uncertainty. Global cues stayed negative as rising tensions in the US–Israel–Iran conflict kept sentiment under pressure. Domestically, a sharp sell-off in HDFC Bank—triggered by governance concerns after the resignation of Atanu Chakraborty—weighed heavily on the banking space and dragged the index lower. ◉ Technical Setup The weekly chart indicates a breakdown below key trendline support, signaling a bearish bias in the medium term. ◉ Key Levels Support: 23,000 – 22,800 → Immediate support zone Below this → downside may extend towards 22,500 Resistance: 23,500 – 23,600 → Immediate resistance 23,800 – 24,000 → Strong supply zone ◉ Key Triggers for the Week Ahead 1. Geopolitical Risk: Escalation in the US–Israel–Iran conflict continues to raise concerns over global stability and energy supply. 2. Crude Oil: Rising Brent crude oil prices above $100 may fuel inflation worries and pressure equities. 3. Rupee Weakness: The Indian Rupee hitting record lows amid FII outflows and high oil prices adds further stress to markets. ◉ Outlook Markets are likely to remain volatile and range-bound with a negative bias. As long as Nifty stays below 24,000, upside may face strong selling pressure. ◉ Trading Strategy Avoid aggressive buying until clear signs of stability emerge. Focus on capital protection and stock-specific opportunities. Use any bounce to reduce exposure rather than chase rallies.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Swing+Positional High Confluence Set_uPHello everyone, Nifty trading near 23100 corrected from 26400 (3400 points__around 13%) from high. At now US IRAN war panic now There is EMA 200 support with multiple trendlines support along with RSI about to 30 on weekly timeframe that is after covid 2020 crash first time nifty is about to touch RSI 30 on weekly there are multiple instances at covid 2020crash and beafore NIFTY weekly RSI and EMA 200 at conflunce and everytime nifty Bounce took reversal after that. nifty PE ratio also at good valued near at 20 same last 20 year average also same around 20.50 so its good value for swing+ positional opportunity
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finvestalgo
Oil Shock: Nifty Logs Worst Week in 3 Years — What’s Ahead?The Indian stock market just had one of its roughest weeks in recent history. The Nifty 50 plunged 5.3%, closing the week at 23,151, marking its worst weekly decline in more than three years. At the same time, volatility exploded. The India VIX surged 14% to 22.65, climbing close to 52-week high levels — a clear signal that uncertainty is dominating market sentiment. Rising geopolitical tensions pushed crude prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate briefly touched $98, while Brent Crude surged near $100 per barrel. For an oil-import dependent economy like India, this raises inflation risks, import costs, rupee pressure, and corporate margin concerns — triggering the sharp market sell-off. ◉ Technical Setup After forming a Head & Shoulders pattern, the index broke down from the neckline and witnessed a sharp correction. Momentum indicators currently suggest that bearish sentiment is still intact, and rallies may face selling pressure. ◉ Key Levels to Watch Support Zone 23,000 – 22,800 → Strong demand zone A breakdown below this area could trigger another round of selling pressure. Resistance Levels 23,500 – 23,600 → Immediate resistance 24,000 → Major resistance for the upcoming expiry ◉ Key Market Triggers This Week Middle East Conflict Escalating tensions in the middle east continue to keep global markets on edge. So far, no clear signs of a ceasefire, meaning oil volatility could persist. Crude Oil Prices Even though the United States Department of the Treasury recently announced a 30-day waiver allowing countries to purchase Russian oil currently stranded at sea, oil prices are expected to remain elevated in the near term. FII Activity Foreign Institutional Investors sold ₹52,704 crore worth of equities in the first half of March. Friday alone saw ₹10,717 crore outflow — the largest single-day FII selling of 2026. ◉ Market Outlook Volatility is likely to stay elevated in the coming week. After the sharp decline, the market may witness a short-term pullback toward 23,400–23,500. However, unless the index sustains above key resistance levels, this bounce could simply be a relief rally inside a broader bearish trend. ◉ Strategy for Traders The trend has turned bearish, so sell-on-rise remains the preferred approach. Watch the 23,400–23,500 zone for potential shorting opportunities and maintain strict risk management amid elevated volatility in the markets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [16/03/2026: Monday]Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights): (i) Monthly TF: The view is bearish. (ii) Weekly TF: The view is bearish. (iii) Daily TF: The view is bearish. (iv) 30-minute TF: The view is bearish. (v) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (23500 - 23100). (vi) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. (vii) Bullish Scenario Set-Up: If price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above level 23500, then the first bullish target would be 23650. If the price sustains above 23700, then further bullish targets would be 23800 and 24000. (viii) Bearish Scenario Set-Up: If price forms a lower lows and lower highs structure below level 23100, then the first bearish target would be 23000. If the price further gives a breakdown below the level 23000, then new targets would be 22900 and 22750. (ix) All the analysis would fail in case of a major gap up or gap down. NOTE: (i) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always practice RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL. (ii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe. (iii) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise. (iv) Every day is a new day. Therefore, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade with a new perspective. Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
NIFTY 50 Price Structure Analysis [13/03/2026: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 13th of March 2026. The day is Friday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: Red marubozu. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Minor support 23500. Major resistance 24000. The view is bearish. (2) Weekly Time Frame: Bearish gravestone doji. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Minor support 23500. If level 23500 is broken, then level 23000 is very possible. Major resistance 24000. The view is bearish. (3) Daily Time Frame: Today's candle is a bearish long-legged doji. The downward trend is intact. Minor support 23500. If level 23500 is broken, then level 23000 is very possible. Major resistance 24000. The view is bearish. (4) 30-minute Time Frame: Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Minor support 23500. If level 23500 is broken, then level 23250 is very possible. Major resistance 24000. Presently, level 23800 is a very strong resistance. The view is bearish. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (23800 - 23600) . Events: No major events. No expiry. No holidays. Friday is the last day of the week. War uncertainty continues. Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights): (i) Monthly TF: The view is bearish. (ii) Weekly TF: The view is bearish. (iii) Daily TF: The view is bearish. (iv) 30-minute TF: The view is bearish. (v) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (23800 - 23600). (vi) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. Price's sustainability above or below the opening price would dictate session bullishness or bearishness, respectively. (vi) Bullish Set-Up Scenario: The zone (23800 - 23750) would act as a major resistance zone. Bulls are trapped at 23800. Price must break out above the level 23800 and form a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 23800. Short-term bullish targets above 23800 are 23900 and 24000. (vii) Bearish Set-Up Scenario: Level 23600 is acting as a minor support. If price breaks below 23600, then level 23500 is the short-term bearish target. Next, if the price further breaks down below the level 23500, then new bearish levels would be 23400. (viii) All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up or gap down. NOTE: (i) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always practice RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL. (ii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe. (iii) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise. (iv) Every day is a new day. Therefore, do not carry the baggage of past successes and failures. Always trade with a new perspective. Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [12/03/2026: Thursday] Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 12th of March 2026. The day is Thursday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: Back-2-back 4 months red candle. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Major resistance is at 24500. Major support is at 23500. No sign of bullishness. The view is bearish. (2) Weekly Time Frame: A long-legged doji. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. No sign of bullishness. Major support is at 23500. Price is below 100 EMA (flatish). Price might reach 23000 (150 EMA). Doubt every up move. The view is bearish. (3) Daily Time Frame: Today's candle is a red marubozu. Level 24300 would be a major resistance. There is no strong support till 23500. No sign of bullishness. Doubt every up move. The view is bearish. (4) 30-minute Time Frame: Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Level 24300 would be a major resistance. Minor support levels are - 23800 and 23700. Strong support is at 23500. No sign of bullishness. Doubt every up move. The view is bearish. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (24300 - 23800). Events: SENSEX weekly expiry. No high-impact event. However, war uncertainty continues. Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights): (i) Monthly TF: The view is bearish. (ii) Weekly TF: The view is bearish. (iii) Daily TF: The view is bearish. (iv) 30-minute TF: The view is bearish. (v) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (24300 - 23800). (vi) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. Price sustainability above or below the opening price would dictate bullish or bearish sentiment, respectively. (vii) Event: SENSEX weekly expiry. Expect a price anomaly. (viii) Bullish Set-up Scenario: Price must break out above level 24300. (ix) Bearish Set-up Scenario: Price breaks down level 23800. Then the first target would be 23700. If the price further breaks down to level 23700, then new targets like 23600 and 23500 would be reached. (x) All the analysis would fail in case of a massive gap up or gap down. NOTE: (i) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always practice RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL. (ii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe. (iii) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise. (iv) Every day is a new day. Therefore, don't bring the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
Markets Stay on Edge as Oil Rally and War Risks Pressure NiftyIndian equity markets witnessed heavy selling pressure last week, with the Nifty 50 declining 2.9% to close at 24,450. Volatility was a key theme throughout the week. The India VIX surged nearly 45% to 19.8, reflecting a sharp rise in investor nervousness as global uncertainties intensified. ◉ Technical View From a technical standpoint, the index is hovering just above its immediate support at 24,400. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a further decline toward 24,000. On the upside, 24,900–25,000 remains a strong resistance zone. Until the index moves decisively above this range, overall market sentiment is likely to stay cautious and fragile. ◉ Key Triggers This Week 1. Middle East Conflict Rising tensions involving the US–Israel–Iran conflict remain a major global risk factor. Any escalation could increase risk aversion in global markets, which may spill over into Indian equities. 2. Oil Prices Oil prices have surged sharply. Brent Crude is trading around $91 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate is near $90, after jumping 30–35% last week. Higher oil prices are typically negative for the Indian economy, as they increase inflation risks and put pressure on the current account balance. ◉ Market Outlook Looking ahead, elevated oil prices and potential pressure on the rupee could continue to weaken market sentiment. Monday’s opening may be crucial, as it could set the tone for the market’s next directional move. In addition, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are unlikely to return as aggressive buyers until there is greater clarity on geopolitical developments and some cooling in crude oil prices. ◉ Trading Perspective Given the current setup, caution remains the best strategy. Traders should avoid aggressive fresh buying until the market shows clear stability near key support levels. With global uncertainties still high, volatility is likely to remain elevated in the near term.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
JWLJWL is showing strong reversal with volume from strong support level. Price should retrace around the reversal level. We would see are rejection, this rejection may even happen before support level. So please keep close eye on the rejection/entry model formation. Please do follow me if you liked the idea💡... Disclaimer ⚠️:This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions ⚠️⚠️.
NSE:JWLLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Pressure Builds: Turbulent Week Ahead for Dalal StreetIndian markets stayed under stress last week, with BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 ending nearly 1% lower on Friday. Escalating geopolitical tensions and a sharp surge in crude oil prices weighed heavily on sentiment. Volatility cooled slightly, with India VIX down 4.6% to 13.70 — but price action remains weak. ◉ Technical Setup Nifty has decisively broken below 25,500 — a negative signal. Immediate downside: 25,000–24,900 If this breaks: 24,500 could come into play Momentum clearly favours the bears for now. ◉ Key Triggers This Week 1. Israel–Iran Conflict Escalating tensions are lifting global risk and could keep sentiment fragile. 2. Crude Oil Spike Any disruption in oil supply could send prices soaring — a direct negative for India’s import-heavy economy. ◉ Outlook The market is likely to remain negative to neutral this week. If geopolitical risks intensify, a deeper correction cannot be ruled out. ◉ Trading View Stay cautious. Avoid aggressive fresh longs unless Nifty reclaims 25,800 with strength. Selective trades and strict risk management are key.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Pre-Market - Report.. 🔖 VERDICT: CHOPPY Bias: Neutral (Bearish Undertone) Weak global cues and selling by both FIIs and DIIs indicate downside pressure, but positive Gift Nifty suggests possible recovery attempts, leading to a choppy session with downward bias. 🌍 Global Cues (Live Context) • US Markets: Weak close S&P 500: -0.29 Dow: -0.54 Nasdaq: -0.31 → Risk-off sentiment • Asia: Broadly negative Nikkei: -1.31 Hang Seng: -0.69 → Regional weakness • Gift Nifty: +0.22 → Indicates gap-up / recovery attempt vs weak globals • Commodities & Dollar: Crude: Elevated (~66.64) → inflationary pressure Dollar Index: 97.67 → strong, negative for equities Context: Global setup is bearish, but Gift Nifty divergence suggests intraday volatility rather than trend. 🧾 Latest FII/DII Flows (Last NSE Session – Confirmed) Date: 19-Feb-2026 • FII: -₹880 Cr (Selling) • DII: -₹596 Cr (Selling) Interpretation: Both FIIs and DIIs selling → distribution phase signal Lack of institutional support → limits upside sustainability ➡️ Net impact: Bearish undertone 📰 Critical Overnight & Early-Morning News • India-France defence collaboration (Rafale manufacturing) — long-term positive • Reliance planning $110B AI investment — structural growth positive • Markets expected flat after recent rally — near-term consolidation view • Brokers seeking pause on new RBI rules — regulatory uncertainty Inference: News flow is structurally positive, but not strong enough to offset weak global cues and selling flows today. 📊 Support & Resistance (Manual Levels – Price Action Based) Spot Reference: 25,454 ⚠️ Manual Level Conflict Identified Provided levels: S1: 25,300 S2: 25,000 ➡️ As per validation rules: supports must be below spot Corrected Structure (Adjusted for Validity) Support (Below Spot) • 25,300 — Immediate support • 25,000 Resistance (Above Spot) • 25,800 — Immediate resistance • 26,000 — Major resistance ⚠️ Level vs Global Conflict Analysis Global cues: Bearish FII/DII: Bearish Gift Nifty: Positive divergence Price: Near lower band (closer to support) ➡️ Conflict: Weak global + selling vs possible gap-up Conclusion: Expect pullback rallies to be sold, unless sustained buying emerges. 📈 Expected Day Range 25,000 – 25,800 (Downside protected by support, upside capped by weak sentiment) 🧠 Simple Trading Strategy Primary Strategy: Sell on Rise (Preferred) • Sell near 25,700 – 25,800 if rejection seen • Target: 25,400 / 25,300 • Stop loss: Above 25,900 Dip Buying (Cautious) • Buy near 25,300 only if strong support confirmation • Quick bounce trades only — avoid positional longs Breakdown Trade • Below 25,300 → downside opens towards 25,000 • Follow momentum on breakdown 📍 Overall Sentiment Choppy Session with Bearish Bias Weak global markets and institutional selling indicate downward pressure, but Gift Nifty divergence may create intraday volatility, resulting in a non-directional, choppy market with sell-on-rise behavior. Please do follow me if you liked the idea💡... Disclaimer ⚠️:This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions ⚠️⚠️.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Bulls on the Backfoot as Nifty Breaks Key Support - What Next?After trading in a narrow range, Indian markets finally cracked under pressure from weak global cues and rising concerns around AI’s long-term impact on global outsourcing demand. The Nifty 50 slipped nearly 0.9% for the week, closing at 25,471, while volatility spiked sharply. The fear gauge, India VIX, jumped 11% to 13.29 — a clear sign that nervousness is creeping back into the system. ◉ Technical Structure Nifty oscillated within roughly a 570-point range last week but ended below the crucial 25,500 level, which had previously acted as immediate support. This breakdown slightly weakens the short-term setup and shifts the tone from neutral to cautious. ◉ Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: 25,500 – 25,600 Strong Resistance: 26,000 – 26,100 Strong Support Zone: 25,000 – 24,900 ◉ Key Triggers for the Week Ahead 1. IT Stocks in Focus The IT sector was the worst performer, falling over 8% last week. Investors are increasingly worried that generative and agentic AI technologies may structurally reduce demand for traditional outsourcing services — impacting long-term earnings visibility. If IT continues to weaken, index recovery may remain capped. 2. US Fed Minutes Markets will track the latest policy minutes from the Federal Reserve, along with upcoming U.S. GDP data. Any hawkish surprise could add to global pressure. 3. RBI MPC Minutes The Reserve Bank of India will release its latest MPC minutes this week. Investors will look for clarity on inflation outlook, liquidity conditions, and future policy direction. ◉ Outlook The index now appears vulnerable near current levels. A test of 25,350–25,300 looks possible in the near term. Failure to hold that zone may push Nifty toward 25,000. Until the index sustains above 25,600, upside momentum is likely to remain limited. Traders should focus on protecting gains and maintaining disciplined risk management rather than aggressively chasing longs.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Weekly Analysis with buy/Sell scenarios in Nifty👋👋👋 Friends, What's your view on Nifty??? Last week, the Nifty 50 closed with a negative bias, slipping around 1% and failing to sustain above the 26,000 resistance, with selling pressure intensifying toward the latter half and the index ending near 25,450; institutional flows remained a key drag as FIIs were net sellers for the week (approx. ₹-3,508.38 Cr outflow estimated from daily trends) while DIIs provided partial support with net buying of ~₹11,208.74 Cr, including a sharp buy figure of about ₹5,500 Cr on 13 Feb alone against FII selling of ~₹7,400 Cr , reflecting continued domestic absorption of foreign outflows. In terms of positioning, FII derivatives data indicated a cautious to bearish stance with hedging visible in index options, while cash market selling suggests lack of directional conviction; delivery data (cash segment participation) remained moderate, indicating limited carry-forward conviction and more short-term trading activity rather than aggressive positional buying, which aligns with the broader “sell on rise” structure. Overall, unless Nifty reclaims the 25,900–26,000 zone with sustained FII buying and improved delivery participation, the market bias remains sideways to negative in the near term. Critical points ………………. 1. Week closed strong bearish and price at critical level of 25450. 2. This level is forming cluster of key levels; hence this may act as consolidation zone or a short term pullback. 3. If price closes below this level and sustain. It may then target next level of 25000. 4. Till the price is running below 26000, we should look for sell on rise. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Weekly Analysis with buy/Sell scenarios in Nifty👋👋👋 Friends, What's your view on Nifty??? Nifty was in big pressure during previous weeks because of global events and higher tariffs from US. But last week was good recover week because of big events of IndoEU trade deal and more importantly confirmation on IndoUS FTA. These events pushed positivity in the market and price shown upside move of ~1500 points and finally closed above 25600 (@25693) On Tuesday Price gaped up ~1200 points and fell sharply losing ~ 600 points from high of the day. Price went on range bound for remaining three days, however price closed in slightly positive mode on Friday. FIIs/DIIs both were net buyer at the end of week. FIIs - 2,645.53 and DIIs - 2,892.14. Considering all these factors Nifty should move up side. Our first target level should be 26000 and then all-time high. Critical points ………………. 1. Price closed positively after sharp fall from the high of Tuesday. 2. Currently price at critical level and most probably it will go upside. 3. Critical Support level is 25500. 4. We should see some really good bullish price formation if price willing to go upside. 5. We should patiently wait for the formation of entry model at least at 1H/15m) 6. If Global sentiments are positive and price gets support from volume at key level, we may see some really good buy scenarios. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Nifty Slides on Budget Shockwave: What’s Ahead for Markets?Indian equity markets faced sharp volatility following the Union Budget 2026, as the increase in Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on F&O trading weighed heavily on market sentiment. In the special Sunday session, Nifty declined 495 points (-1.96%), closing at 24,825. Market uncertainty rose sharply, with India VIX climbing to 15.10, marking an 8-month high. ◉ Technical Setup Nifty has broken below its rising channel, confirming that this isn’t just a healthy correction. The structure now points toward a positional downtrend, with sellers firmly in control. ◉ Key Levels to Watch Support Levels 24,500 – 24,400: Immediate support zone 24,000 – 23,900: Strong demand area with significant put writer positioning Resistance Levels 25,000 – 25,100: Near-term resistance 25,500 – 25,600: Major supply zone ◉ Key Triggers for the Week RBI Monetary Policy Meeting (Feb 4–6) The RBI is widely expected to pause rates, after cutting 125 bps since Feb 2025, bringing the repo rate to 5.25%. Q3 FY26 Corporate Earnings A busy earnings calendar may influence index movement. Key companies reporting include State Bank of India NSE:SBIN , Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL , LIC NSE:LICI , Adani Enterprises NSE:ADANIENT , and RVNL $NSE:RVNL. Institutional Flows After turning net sellers on Budget day, FII-DII activity will be closely watched. ◉ Weekly Outlook The near-term outlook remains cautiously bearish with elevated volatility. Nifty is expected to consolidate in the 24,500–25,100 range. A sustained move above 25,200 is required to improve the technical outlook. Until then, upside attempts may face selling pressure. ◉ Trading Perspective The market currently favours a sell-on-rise approach. Aggressive long positions should be avoided unless Nifty closes above 25,200 on a daily basis.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty weekly analysis - Detailed Last week Nifty had strong downfall of ~3% because of various factors including global events and selling of FIIs. Week closed with a strong bearish candle with heavy volume showing further downside pressure targeting near draw on liquidity of ~24600. This level has highest volume, which will act as magnet for price. Order flow is also downside creating lower highs. Currently price is inside weekly price imbalance zone and at a psychological number of 25000. So, we can expect a pause at this level for few days. So next week may go in range bound mode to bearish. Over all sentiments are bearish until there is a big positive change appears in global politics. Critical points ………………. • Support zone: 24,580–25,050 • Resistance zone: 25,550–25,600 • Bias: Range-bound to mildly bearish for the coming week. 1. If breakout support with volume we may see 24600 levels soon. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah