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Niftyoutlook

Nifty50: We are at The Cusp of a mega PRE-ELECTION Rally !!NSE:NIFTY as per EW on hourly charts is suggesting that terminal 5th pattern is ongoing. Short term correction is going on downside in form of wave 4 of Terminal pattern and then wave 5 can start which can be the final rally, you can also call it as a pre election rally before a major top is in place for 2024. A meaningful top can be form after summer solstice which is due in June 2024. The summer solstice marks an important change of season, when scientists describe the sun to stand still at a point in the horizon where it appears to rise and set, before moving off in the reverse direction. This cosmic two-step stealth pattern, of a momentary rise, followed by a sharp reversal, is in-line with our bearish projected roadmap for the equity market, here and now. We had also shared the diametric pattern outlook in our earlier forecast seems it will play out in late June. So rally possible till election outcome followed by a meaningful top in late June.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Chinmayonniftyy
1
NIFTY Prediction for tomorow 29 Apr 24As we discussed the market in the live session, it was bearish. After that, it gave a nice fall. If we look at the chart now: Price is Making continuous HH and is not able to make HL. Price is taking support at 200 EMA. This level is also fibbed at 0.23 level, which is considered with 200 EMA, making it a good support zone. 22374 is also a good price action level, and the market has received multiple-time support. RSI has also given a breakout to the upside. That means the market might take support here. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.76, there is a huge CE writing at higher levels that indicates 22500 is going to be MaxPain. There is not much PE writing today. This indicates that bulls are not very sure the market is going to take support. If we look at today's OI, it is heavy CE writing, which shows bears are making strong levels on the higher side. If we look at the FII and DII data: FII and DII is strong bearish while Client is strong bulllish, that means market is going to open gap-down. The market is at a crucial point right now. there can be 2 cases Case 1: If the market breaks 22360 to the downside (Bearish) Case 2: If takes support at 200 EMA (Sideways) Reasons: Price ~= EMAs, indicates the market can take support at 200 EMA. (Sideways) RSI < 50 shows weak bulls, indicating a sideways market. (Sideways) RSI trendline break might activate some bulls might lead to sideways market. ( Sideways) OI = 0.76 has a fall from 0.96, which means bears are increasing their positions. (Bearish) Price < VWAP indicates the bearish market structure. (Bearish) Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action: Case 1: If breaks to downside -> Sell 22400 CE (Hedge it with 15/- CE premium) Case 2: If it takes 200 EMA support -> Sell 22400 CE & PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
1
25 Apr 2024– Nifty50 gets a stance upgrade, bullish! 🐂🐂🐂Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the neutral stance and look for bearish opportunities if 22295 is getting broken. If the index moves up, 22519 would be our first level to watch for." Kotak Bank started the day with cuts of -10% due to the RBI news impact from yesterday. The spillover effect was visible on all Nifty components prompting a gap down open. It was the consensus trade and we were all ready for it. The first surprise came when we closed the gap by 09.43 even while Kotak was at -10%. The excess trade due to the short-covering bounce was visible between 10.19 to 10.51. The second surprise came when Nifty started rallying from 22400 levels to 22625 between 12.59 to 14.35. This is the 2nd expiry in which Nifty has gone ballistic. I am not sure if it was SL hunting, but it messed up my Algo trades and had to close at a loss of Rs43092 on Nifty. The 321pts intraday rally has ensured N50 gets a stance upgrade to Bullish with the next target being the ATH. If it takes out the ATH, then we can safely remove the double top pattern.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#Nifty directions and Levels for April 25th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 25th: The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a decrease of -70. Nifty had closed with consolidation in the last session. In this session, if it opens neutral to gap-up, then we can expect a range breakout, but GiftNifty indicates a slightly negative start. So, it might take a little correction, retracing to a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci level. If this happens, don't take any advance long positions around the 38% level because the structure may not be clear here compared to BankNifty. so If it consolidates around the 38%, then the correction continues further, and you can fix the next target Fibonacci level at 50% The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation. However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
24 Apr 2024– Neutral and Out of steam, what is next? Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow we wish to start the day with a neutral stance and look for bullish opportunities as soon as it reaches for the 22519 levels." Another flat day, but the options premiums were not behaving as usual. The blame may be on VIX as the premiums were dead low that even a small 50+ points move created a huge skew between the Put and Call prices. India vix staying @ 10.2 levels is not a good sign for professional options traders as a small move will upset the premiums. A better alternative is you use spreads like credit/debit spreads - buy a strike, sell strike+1 etc, so that the premiums move in tandem and the volatility contraction may not impact that much. But I assume most of the Algos may not have spreads as the core strategy, to begin with. For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the neutral stance and look for bearish opportunities if 22295 is getting broken. If the index moves up, 22519 would be our first level to watch for. Algos ended up gaining Rs5496 today.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty monthly expiry levels for intraday trade 25/04/24.The index for last 2 trading session is consolidating in a range between 22350-22480 and is sustaining above the moving averages. A halt candle has been formed after a gap down opening which signifies that the market may give a trending move in coming days. The drop in the VIX has killed the option premiums and there was option buyers are waiting for a buying opportunity in the market. Tomorrow is the monthly expiry for the index and as the market is behaving a move can be seen, if there is a slight gap up/down or a flat opening. If there is a flat opening and consolidation in the first half, the break out or break down in the second half can give a trending move. Major Support levels:-22330, 22240 Resistance levels :- 22480, 22610 Market has remained volatile this whole month. For last 3 months dojis can be seen on the charts showing confusion among the market participants. Wait for the market to clear the trend for positional trades. Price action around the levels should be there for entering a trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by Mambotrade
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22450 Invalid-Below 22400 T- 22665 Bearish-Below 22340 Invalid-Above 22390 T- 22140 NIFTY has closed on a flat note today. Index opened with a 100 points gap up and then index turned sideways. 10 o'clock range was to be used as per trade setup but index did not break and traded within a tight range of less than 100 points. VIX crashed drastically and by this index once again is not good for intraday traders. VIX above 15-16 will bring intraday tradable environment. Index looks week below 22340 and this looks probable tomorrow. Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22450 then we will long for the target of 22665. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22340. T- 22140. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
Nifty is near resistance area - 22390 - 22400Nifty is near resistance area - 22390 - 22400 for 2 reasons, In charts its at reversal fib level of 0.618 and in derivatives data showing more call writers in Nifty and BN Index and in most of the BN - bank derivatives. I am not sure how index is going to fall in next 2 to 3 days remaining in this April contract. Either fall will be steep and faster or else break out will be with big green bars and bear gang including me has to book some losses in case of further strong upmove.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by venkatfx
22 Apr - Nifty50 gets a stance change, not bearish - but neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "I strongly think it was an intense short covering that fueled this rally and hence does not wish to alter my bearish stance. If we get past 22295 on Monday or Tuesday, I would change the stance to neutral." Nifty snaps out of bearishness by breaking the 22295 resistance. Even though we had an unusual gap-up, we ended up almost closing it by 09.47. However, the Bears were not able to drive down the prices further indicating a lack of conviction.  Nifty spent considerable time at the 22295 zone, visible from the blue encircled region before breaking out at 14.39. Just think about it, N50 came from 21777 to 22375 today in just 2 sessions, close to 600 points. The 63mts time frame is not bullish yet, but we are not bearish now. The best we can think of right now is to go neutral. If we fall back below 22295 tomorrow, we might even go short. 22519 would be an interim resistance on the upside above which we would like to go long. --- Algo trading - ended up losing 6003 on N50 algo trades today.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty intraday levels for 23/04/24.Nifty has been trading in the bearish zone and might be this is the retest as it has closed around 61.8% fib level. Market has taken support from the previous low of around 21800 and recovered closing around 22300 levels. There was a consolidation after a gap up opening and it closed around the opening price. If the market gives a gap down opening, there will be chance of bearish move as the market recovered quickly from the low. Major support levels :- 22160-230, 22000 (round number) The market on the hourly charts has closed above both the moving averages which shows some positiveness in the market. Resistance levels :- 22500, 22620 Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market. Gaps can alter the trading plan. Watch the price action around the levels and trade accordingly.
NSE:NIFTY
by Mambotrade
Island Top - Reversal Pattern, Rsi DivergenceIsland Reversal,  A significant gap up, or sharply higher price at the open, follows an upward price trend, then reverses to a bearish price trend.  Rsi divergence implies a change in relative strength as compared to price movement.  The price has come out of the regression channel. Probably we are in the 4th wave, which means we have completed the top of the 3rd impulse wave. This would be confirmed if it closed below 21550 in the coming weeks. 
NSE:NIFTY1!
by OK_Rane
#Nifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease. GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline. My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for April 18th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 18th: Nifty and BankNifty both consolidated in the previous session, so structurally, if the gap-up doesn't sustain then we can expect further consolidation for correction. On the other hand, if the market initially takes a pullback, the 23% Fibonacci level will act as crucial resistance. This means that after the pullback, if it rejects around the Fibonacci level of 23%, it will continue the range between the previous bottom and the recent high, and it may undergo correction. On the other hand, if it breaks or sustains (around fib 23%), then we can expect further continuation, and we can fix our next target at 38%. If we want to simplify it, this is a range market, so we can try range breakout entries."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders