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NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow | 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, Nifty had a sideways structure; it was sideways the whole day. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the range while taking good resistance at 200-EMA. The market is very volatile as VIX is 24.60. the market is trading in the range 22465 - 22639. If we look at the last two candles, it is a huge volume from the support zone as well as selling from the resistance zone. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.53, shows a market bullish structure. 22500 is going to be MaxPain. 23000 is very Hard resistance with heavy CE writing. I am expecting: Case 1 : Sideways in the range 22465 - 22639. Case 2 : If the market breaks 22465 to the downside or if the market breaks the upside, it will be bullish. Reasons: RSI < 50 shows a weak bull strength. Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish unless the market tends to form a Higher-High. PCR = 0.76 indicates neutral market behavior. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Sideways in range also can break to either side. Plan of action : Case 1: Sideways: Sell 22450 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 40/-) Case 2: Exit the loss-making leg once it breaks the channel.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
4
30 May 2024 - Nifty did not break the 22519 decisively, bearish Over the last 1 week, Nifty hits a new ATH of 23110 and falls 3% ~ 693pts. On a week-2-week basis, we have only fallen 395pts ~ 1.72%. What is more important is that we have started a nice reversal, what needs to be seen is if we get a stronger fall this time. On every other occasion, the dip buyers emerged and ensured our indices were continuing the one-way trip i.e. upwards. Usually, every bull run will have a healthy correction, but in our case - we never even had a decent fall.  Yesterday we went short on Nifty and stayed neutral on BankNifty. Quite happy to see those trades went quite well. Nifty went all the way down to 22417 before retracing the support level of 22519 to close above. If we closed below 22519 today - it would have given a lot of confidence to the bears. Nevertheless, our view still remains bearish for Nifty and neutral for BankNifty. The real momentum should pick up once BN also joins N50 by breaking its support of 48661.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 31 May 24As we discussed, Nifty had a bearish structure; It has fallen by 287 points. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the bearish zone below 200 EMA. The market has taken support from the 0.50 Fib level while making a Morningstar pattern with a very nice volume spike. Price is trading below EMAs, showing a weak bull structure. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.53, which has fallen from 0.63, shows a market bearish structure. 22500 is going to be MaxPain. There is significantly more CE writing than PE writing, which shows that, right now, big players are just pushing the market to the downside. I am expecting: Case 1: Inside the Orange trendline, the market is going to be sideways in the range 22465-22613. Case 2: If the market breaks 22465 to the downside, we might see more bearishness to lower levels of 22200. Reasons: RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength. RSI showing Bullish divergence. Price < EMA(13,200), which indicates a bearish market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish unless the market tends to form a Higher-High. PCR = 0.53 indicates huge bearishness. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. The market is making Morningstar star, which might force the market to hold the 22465 level. Verdict: Bearish or Sideways Plan of action : Case 1: Sideways: Sell 22450 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 30/-) Case 2: Bearish: 22400 CE (Hedge it with 30/- CE) if the market continues bearish momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
6
29 May 2024 - 22781 broken and we just went bearishOver the last 2 sessions, we tried to explain why we would have to go directly to bearish from bullish. One of the reasons was that we fell below the level that had 2 double tops in April & May. Secondly, there were no additional support/resistance points in between for a neutral zone. What I am not sure about is, whether we can continue the downward momentum, especially because June 4th is less than a week away. If BJP wins back the 3rd time, the markets should outperform. If they get a lower number of seats - we may lose a lot of ground. Hope my direction is right just in time, over the last 5 to 6 months, my directional strategies were just eating the dirt and bleeding RED. I am also quite aware that a move of 1000+ points could level the mounted losses. For tomorrow we wish to start with a bearish tone and go long if 22781 is breached in the 63mts TF.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 30 May As we discussed, Nifty had a bearish structure; It has fallen by 187 points. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the bearish zone. The market is trading near the 0.38 fib level, which might provide a good support zone. But I am expecting the market to further go down till fib 0.50 (22481) levels. All the important levels have been marked on the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.65 shows a market bearish structure. As tomorrow is NIFTY expiry, 22700 is going to provide a max-pain. There is more call writing on higher levels than PE writing on lower levels. The market is likely to end near 22500. Looking at the data, NIFTY might go bearish till 200 EMA. . Reasons: RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish. PCR = 0.65 indicates bearishness. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action : 22700 CE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum. Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
6
Nifty monthly expiry analysis for 30/05/24.Today nifty after a gap down opening has remained in a 100 points range closing 83 points lower. The daily candle is looking bearish and chance of testing 22580 levels are high, if it starts trading below today's low of 685. Nifty is trading between the moving averages and 20 ema is around the support zone. A bullish leg is there in the market and it is the retracement or profit booking before the election results. On fib levels it can test 38.2% levels. If the levels are breached soon, 580 levels will be tested . Major support levels :- 22680, 22620 Resistance :- 22800, 22880 Tomorrow is monthly expiry and upcoming week there is election results. Bullish reversal can be a possibility in case of a gap up opening. Flat to slightly gap down opening there will negative sentiment on intraday. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the markets.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 29 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 29 May 2024 Bullish-Above 23000 Invalid-Below 22950 T- 23230 Bearish-Below 22850 Invalid-Above 22900 T- 22630 NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.19% cut today. Index traded inside yesterday's range and did not trigger any trade. In the weekend we discussed that after ATH breakout, chance of a small pullback or consolidation is high which seems to be in action. Now 23110 will be trigger for a strong bullish impulse. If short triggers below 22850 then we will be alert near 22745 as it can act as a CIP support. Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23000 then we will long for the target of 23200+. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22850. T- 22630. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
28 May 2024 - Still Bullish on Nifty, 22781 laxman rekhaAfter we had a slightly red day, i am not changing my stance to bearish yet. I would prefer the 22781 critical support to be taken out before going short. I still believe N50 is catching its breath after the 1100+pts run from 16th May, but the moment we fall below 22871, we are going below the previous ATHs and that could prove quite tricky. In the last 2 instances i.e. on 10th Apr, 3rd May we had noticeable corrections - so the base case to go bearish may be profitable.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 29 May 24As we discussed, Nifty has a sideways or bearish structure; it ended sideways in 1st half, then bearish later 2nd half. If we look at the chart now: The market has broken 50 EMA and a good support zone to the downside. Also, an EMA(13, 50) bearish crossover is about to happen, which might lead to a bearish market structure. The market is making an HNS pattern and has broken the neckline to the downside, which might lead to a target of 22600 levels. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.80, which has fallen from 0.89, shows good CE writing at higher levels. 23000 will be acting as hard resistance at higher levels. Other than that, Nifty has good resistance at 23100, 23200, and 23300. Looking at the data, Nifty might go bearish in the upcoming session with a target of 22600 . Reasons: RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market. The market has formed a lower high that indicates the market is bearish. PCR = 0.80 indicates mild bullishness, but this has fallen from 0.89, which shows good CE writing at higher levels. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action : 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum. Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
3
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 28 MayAs we discussed, Nifty has completed its 2nd wave and touched the mentioned target. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in a heavy supply zone. Also, in the second half of today, the market had a huge PE windup. After this huge momentum, the market needs some consolidation to move on either side. There was a huge volume spike that shows the market is not yet ready to break 23000 levels. All important levels have been marked at the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.89, which has fallen from 1.28. shows a good PE wind-off. The market might take some consolidation in the range 22800 - 23100. 23000 is still the maximum amount of pain in the market. sufficient CE and PE are writing both sides. But CE is freshly written, which indicates bears are slowly increasing their position in the market. I expect the market to go sideways or bearish. Reasons: RSI < 50 falling from the upside shows a good reduction in the bull's strength. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market. The market is still making HH & equal low, which indicates a reduction in bull power. If it makes a lower low, the market will have a good fall. PCR = 0.98 indicates bullishness, but this has fallen from 1.34, which shows lots of profit booking on the upside. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish or sideways market. Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action : Sell 23000 CE and 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-) Note: Exit CE if nifty breaks 23000 to the upside & Exit PE if it breaks 22800 to the downside. But right now, there are more chances for the market to be sideways or bearish
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
2
23 May 2024 - Nifty almost kissed 23000 today, Bulls charged upNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Nifty had an impressive 417pts ~ 1.85% intraday rally, although the bullishness was predicted - I was quite surprised that we had such momentum today, and that too before election results. But if you look at the data objectively, what we had today was quite reasonable. After all, we were breaking out from the all-time highs and usually, that means a quick surge of which the excesses will be shaved off in a day or two. For tomorrow, our bullish stance continues and there are no more resistances above this level, meaning we would not really know where the next stop would be.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram