nifty 50 upcoming This research is based on the past data and rend of the market how the react at that points/ levels.
we are considering days wise research,
Valid for upcoming days (whole Novemberand mid of December2023)*until unless any big movement in market,
leave 1 new high in market 20450-500
level 2 20250
Niftyoutlook
Nifty 50 # A path for Next Move
- As you can see that, Nifty has broken ATH
- Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators are positive
- Momentum is Positive and Trend has strength
However, DO NOT EXPECT a straight Move towards 22K / 23K
- Nifty must consolidate for few weeks which will serve as a Base for Next Up Move
- Weekly Highs will act as a Resistance
- MACD to regain the Bullish Crossover, will take some time,
NEXT FEW WEEKS WILL BE RANGE BOUND, and WILL TRAP RETAILERS
SO TRADE SMARTLY !
#Nifty directions and levels for DEC 1st"Good morning, friends🌺! As of December 1st, the global market sentiment remains bullish, supported by the Dow Jones. However, our local market sentiment shows a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up, considering the GiftNifty value at +70.
After that, if the market sustains the gap up or consolidates, then we can expect a rally continuation.
On the other hand, if it doesn't sustain or if it rejects around the immediate resistance level, we can expect a correction of at least 38 to 78% in the minor swing."
Nifty Decemeber Outlook - 20473 or 19432?Nifty has been on an excellent bull run with good pullbacks and retracements for well over an year now.
Today , Nifty reclaimed 20000 mark once again and the real question is what will happen next?
In this educational article, lets decipher what is likely to happen in the month of December.
Analysis using Fibonacci Retracement:
Here is a snapshot of Nifty and we can see a great rally from March 27th to 18th September with no major retracements except few pullbacks here and there. However, Nifty underwent a good 38.2% retracement and bounced back to 20000 mark indicating that it is ready for next higher moves!
Retracement Gap Pending at TOP:
When the retracement move happened on 18th September, we can see a massive gap down occurred at the top. And this gap can be expected to fill first. The gap will be filled only when the Nifty touches 20142 and here is the screenshot
Reversal Gap Pending at Bottom:
Today as market opened straight above 19960 and there is a gap formed from previous close which will be a critical retest zone. A reversal gap will be completed only when it touches 19898.
Fibonacci Extension Targets Upside:
Positional analysis from march to September retracements suggests that Nify on higher side is likely to reach 20092(done), 20473, and 20855
Fibonacci Extension Targets Downside:
Positional analysis from march to September retracements suggests that Nify on Downside is likely to reach 19587, 19432 and 19277
20473 or 19432 -My Outlook:
This is only for educational purpose and sharing my outlook for learning purpose only. I am bullish for the following reasons
1. Retracement is done
2. Gap filling at top is pending which will attract since there is momentum, market will likely use it to fill the gap
3. A small gap at 19898 may pull Nifty to that level but positionally should continue making newer highs
4. A good retracement, consolidation and trading at peak entering into bullish December is a good sign for extended bullish run
Verdict:
20473 on cards for Decemeber and who knows we may see 21K for New year 2024!
FASP levels for Nifty 30/11/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 30-11-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NIFTY breakout prediction for today 29 Nov 23As we discussed yesterday, nifty broke the triangle range area and moved to the bullish zone. Now, it's likely that the momentum will continue to the upside till the next resistance level of 20000.
Reasons:
RSI break level 60 to upside now in bullish zone. (Bullish)
Triangle breakout to upside target is hight of the trangle. (Bullish)
Price > EMAs (Bullish)
PCR = 1.16 (Bullish)
19800 has Huge PE writing, and on the upside, we checked the main CE writing on 20000. If it breaks this level, it might continue to have higher highs and higher Lows.
Verdict:
Strong Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 19850 PE and buy 19900 CE
#Nifty Directions and levels for NOV 28"Good morning, friends🌺! As of November 28th, there is no significant difference in the global and our local market sentiments compared to the last session. The global market sentiment remains bullish, as indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market shows a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a slight gap-up or a neutral start, considering the GiftNifty value at +5.
Structurally, there is a distribution wave occurring. So, if the market experiences a pullback with grinding, we can expect rejection around the immediate resistance level. However, if the pullback forms a solid structure, we can consider that a bullish sign.
On the other hand, if the market opens with a gap-down or experiences sharp initial declines, the range-bound market is likely to continue."🤝
NIFTY Analysis for 27 Nov 23Nifty has been consolidating in a triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern. It will be sideways by the time it is inside the pattern; if it comes out of it, there is more chance that it will break upside. Once it breaks to the upside, make the entry; once it gives a little retracement, it can give a really nice bull target.
Reasons:
Ascending Triangle consolidation is about to break. (Bullish)
Downside trendline support, 200 EMA support, and minor flat zone support. Multiple support points can provide nice support. (Bullish)
PCR = 0.86 ( Mild Bullish)
Max Pain = 19800
RSI 40-60, which is moslty sideways. for bullish let it go above 60, and for bearish let it go below 40.
The upside is only a single resistance zone, which is highly volatile and has touched multiple times; if it breaks this time, there is a greater chance that it will continue the bullish momentum.
Verdict:
Chances are to get bullish-breakout.
Plan of action:
Keep a neutral position inside the triangle pattern. If it breaks, adjust the position according to it.
Caution Ahead: Nifty Faces Bearish SignalsBearish Signals on NSE:NIFTY : Technical Analysis Points to Potential Downtrend Ahead
As the markets navigate through a sea of uncertainties, the NSE:NIFTY , a key benchmark index, is currently showing signs of a potential downturn. Traders and investors alike are closely monitoring the technical indicators, which are flashing bearish signals that may indicate a shift in market sentiment.
Nifty Live Intraday updates for 24-11-2023Nifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 19785
Sell below: 19785 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 19730
Target 2: 19640
#Resistance: 19835
Buy Above: 19835 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 19880
Target 2: 19930
=> # Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal and a pullback on either side so its better to make an habit to book profits at each targets and re-enter again after a breakout from the same with a proper stoploss as per your own risk appetite.
=> # Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always use stoploss in order to protect your capital.
=> #If you are Unable to trade properly and dissatisfied with your manual trading results due to psychological disadvantages or busy schedule or "Fear & Greed" emotions, then Algorithmic trading can be the most useful solution to overcome such problems. Kindly follow us and join us using details mentioned below the idea.
=> # Please refer our Indicators published on tradingview if you find it useful give it a like.
=> # Follow us for more such information and educational ideas and Indicators. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
#Disclaimer: This is just a view and published here only for educational purpose, this should not be considered as a buy or sell signal. Trading in stock market may involve financial risk therefore, do your own research before taking any position.
23rd Nov ’23 Nifty Postmortem - On the Cusp of breakout 🐂🐂🐂Nifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “I wish to continue my neutral stance till 19875 is not broken out above which I would go bullish. For a bearish stance, Nifty will have to take out the 19562 support.”
5mts chart link - click here
The opening minutes gave the impression that 19875 would be broken for good, but that firepower did not last. By 10.00 Nifty made up its mind and started trading sideways. After that initial acceleration, we had a boring price action for the rest of the day. One good thing is that we did not retest the 19776 support level - which shows some indication that we are gearing up for an up-move.
1hr chart link - click here
On 16th Nov we hit the 19875 levels and broke down, today we broke through that same SR level of 19776 before retesting the 19875. Yesterday’s 14.15 strong green candle read along with the opening price action of Today shows some signs that the bulls are trying to get their mojo back. If you have read my previous post-mortem reports, I have been staying neutral since the 17th and it looks like that is going to change tomorrow. As soon as 19875 is broken on the 1hr TF, I would prefer to go bullish. I will update you guys via the tradingview minds section if that happens tomorrow.
#Nifty directions and levels for NOV 23"Good morning, friends! As of November 23rd, there is no significant difference from the last session. The global market sentiment is bullish, as indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. It may open with a slight gap-up or a neutral start, as the GiftNifty indicates a value of +10. After that, even if the market takes a pullback, we can't expect a big move that doesn't break the immediate resistance. At the same time, if it rejects around the immediate resistance, then it will turn into a range market. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it opens gap-down, we can expect the same range market sentiment, and correction will occur when the market breaks yesterday's low."
22nd Nov ’23 - Nifty PostMortem - An Intraday W Pattern 📈Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “One thing is for sure, we would need BankNifty to fire up and reverse course for any further bullish stunts by Nifty. There is no way Nifty can do it without the support from the Banks. I would prefer to maintain my neutral strategy till we take out the 19875 levels. On the downside, I would prefer to go short if 19562 is taken out.”
5mts chart link - click here
My concept of having a neutral stance meant a day without volatility, not like a day today wherein we had sharp price movements with a flat closing. Nifty opened inline today, retested yesterday’s high, and then started falling. We fell approx 121pts ~ 0.61%. Once it broke the 19776 support line, the length of the red candles kept on increasing showing visible evidence of breakdown. At 12.25 we hit the low for the day and then started reversing.
Quite surprisingly the stop & reverse formed a W (double bottom-like pattern) on the 5mts TF and we took out the 19776 resistance with good-length green candles. Nifty retraced the entire fall and ended the day with a gain of 0.14% despite BankNifty staying down.
1hr chart link - click here
The 14.15 green candle is standing out today showing some evidence that Nifty has respected the 19776 support. No matter how hard Nifty50 tries, it cannot go up beyond a limit till BankNifty joins the rally. I wish to continue my neutral stance till 19875 is not broken out above which I would go bullish. For a bearish stance, Nifty will have to take out the 19562 support.
#Nifty directions and levels for NOV 22"Good morning, friends! As of November 22nd, the global market sentiment is bullish, as indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. It may open with a slight gap-up or a neutral start, as the GiftNifty indicates a value of +10. If the market breaks the immediate resistance, we can expect a pullback continuation. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it opens gap-down, we can expect a correction, but it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%."
NIFTY sideways prediction 22 NOV As we discussed yesterday, NIFTY is neutral. It was range-bound sideways with high volatility candles. Nifty seems to be mildly bullish for tomorrow. All important levels have been marked on the chart.
Reasons:
RSI is 40-60 mostly sideways.
19825 will be a good resistance and and 19670 will be acting as good support.
PCR = 0.89 (MIld Bullish)
Verdict:
Sideways
Plan of action:
Go with Short Straddle and cut off the leg if it breaks any side.
21st Nov ’23 - Nifty PostMortem 19776 is a strong SR zone 👈Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “So I would like to continue with my neutral stance till then. For bullish momentum to resume, Nifty will have to take out 19776 and 19875 in one go, but for a bearish signal a single support break would suffice.”
5mts chart link - click here
The open was right at the resistance level of 19776 and interestingly the day’s low was set in the opening 5mts itself. We kind of broke out from this support/resistance zone by 12.10 and hit an intraday day of 19829 by 12.25. Unfortunately, these extra gains did not get defended because Nifty50 closed right back at the SR level @ 19780.
One thing is sure, Nifty was not at all looking weak today - it defended its ground pretty well. As we discussed yesterday, we cannot go bullish until 19875 is taken out in a single attempt, today that did not happen hence it is better to look for non-directional theta decay strategies till we get a strong clue.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, we made an island formation today, the gap-up created that illusion. The orange support/resistance line is proving so vital now. One thing is for sure, we would need BankNifty to fire up and reverse course for any further bullish stunts by Nifty. There is no way Nifty can do it without the support from the Banks. I would prefer to maintain my neutral strategy till we take out the 19875 levels. On the downside, I would prefer to go short if 19562 is taken out.
Nifty Live Intraday Updates for 21-11-2023Nifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 19750
Sell below: 19750 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 19720
Target 2: 19680
#Resistance: 19800
Buy Above: 19800 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 19830
Target 2: 19880
=> # Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal and a pullback on either side so its better to make an habit to book profits at each targets and re-enter again after a breakout from the same with a proper stoploss as per your own risk appetite.
=> # Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always use stoploss in order to protect your capital.
=> #If you are Unable to trade properly and dissatisfied with your manual trading results due to psychological disadvantages or busy schedule or "Fear & Greed" emotions, then Algorithmic trading can be the most useful solution to overcome such problems. Kindly follow us and join us using details mentioned below the idea.
=> # Please refer our Indicators published on tradingview if you find it useful give it a like.
=> # Follow us for more such information and educational ideas and Indicators. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
#Disclaimer: This is just a view and published here only for educational purpose, this should not be considered as a buy or sell signal. Trading in stock market may involve financial risk therefore, do your own research before taking any position.
Nifty Elliott Wave AnalysisNSE:NIFTY near to completing a triple zigzag correction from the High of 18900 odd.
Market retraced 50% of the previous Rally from June - Dec 2022. Retracing back to sub wave 4 of previous impulse.
Momentum Divergence from RSI at oversold zone. A counter trend bounce looks imminent from these levels.
#Nifty directions and levels for NOV 21"Good morning, friends! As of November 21st, the global market sentiment is bullish, as indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. It may open with a slight gap-up, or a neutral start, as the GiftNifty indicates a value of +60. There is no significant difference compared to the last session. Structurally, we can expect a range-bound market, either if it undergoes a pullback or if the gap-up doesn't sustain. In my personal opinion, we should wait for confirmation at the immediate support or resistance levels before expecting the next move."
NIFTY prediction for 21st Nov NIFTY is neutral for now as it is roaming in the range of 19600-19800.
19800 is showing lots of OI, which will be acting as resistance. On the downside, 19600 will be acting as a support zone.
If the 19800 level breaks, then after retesting, you can easily go long Unless you keep a neutral trade of rangebound 19600-19800.
Reasons:
19617 is a Good price action support.
50 EMA also will be providing a nice support.
If that level breaks, the next strong support point will be 19500.
200 EMA downside at 19500 will be acting a strong support, also backed by price action support.
RSI Bullish Divergence and value is 40-60, usually sideways.
PCR = 0.73 (Neutral) with MAX PAIN = 19700.
Verdict:
Neutral Sideways unless it breaks to the upside.
Plan of action:
IRON Condor for 19600-19800.
Nifty Live Intraday Updates for 20-11-2023 !Nifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 19700
Sell below: 19700 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 19650
Target 2: 19610
#Resistance: 19750
Buy Above: 19750 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 19800
Target 2: 19860
=> # Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal and a pullback on either side so its better to make an habit to book profits at each targets and re-enter again after a breakout from the same with a proper stoploss as per your own risk appetite.
=> # Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always use stoploss in order to protect your capital.
=> #If you are Unable to trade properly and dissatisfied with your manual trading results due to psychological disadvantages or busy schedule or "Fear & Greed" emotions, then Algorithmic trading can be the most useful solution to overcome such problems. Kindly follow us and join us using details mentioned below the idea.
=> # Please refer our Indicators published on tradingview if you find it useful give it a like.
=> # Follow us for more such information and educational ideas and Indicators. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
#Disclaimer: This is just a view and published here only for educational purpose, this should not be considered as a buy or sell signal. Trading in stock market may involve financial risk therefore, do your own research before taking any position.