Nifty Intraday Level for 27-May-25Nifty closed at resistance level and formed Double Top Reversal Pattern may seen downside if resistance not broken else above resistance seen upsideknifty
Bearish < 24950
Bullish > 25125
Wait for Proper Rejection/Pattern :
@Support : Bullish
@Resistance : Bearish
Use Sl Trailing to reduce Risk
*All views for educational purpose only
Niftyoutlook
Nifty analysis for 26th May 2025Looks like Nifty has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern and it already broke the pattern moving upside.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
NIFTY50 Correction Mode over? Next move: 25200/26000 or 22500??1. On a daily time frame, Nifty50 formed a Head and Shoulders(H&S) pattern which is a bearish reversal pattern suggesting a potential downward trend. NIFTY broke the neckline and completed the H&S downside fall.
2. Now NIFTY is at a 0.618(22,435) Fibonacci Retracement level and is currently being tested as support. Next Fibonacci level on the downside is is at 22557.
3. A long-term trend ascending trendline may also act a dynamic support below 0.618 level. Overall NIFTY has a strong support zone from 22200-400.
4. With RSI at over sold levels, NIFTY may not retest 0.5 Fibonacci level and a good bounce can be seen from 22300-450 levels.
5. On the upside, strong resistance can be seen at 24100-150 levels.
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis - May 23, 2025Nifty 50 Technical Analysis - May 23, 2025
Current Market Overview:
Closing Price: The Nifty 50 closed at 24,637, Down 203 points.
Day Range: Low: 24,500.00 | High: 25,000.00
Market Sentiment: The market exhibited strong bullish momentum, driven by positive global cues, including a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and optimism around US-China trade negotiations
Chart for your reference
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 23-May-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 23-May-2025
Chart Timeframe: 15 Min | Reference Spot Price: 24,637
Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ Points
🚀 Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If Nifty opens above 24,737 (i.e., 100+ points higher), it will directly enter the critical Opening Resistance Zone: 24,761 – 24,790 .
🟥 This zone has historically shown supply pressure, and a direct gap-up into it might lead to either a quick rejection or consolidation.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Avoid immediate long trades at open if price opens inside this zone.
– Wait for a 15-min candle to close above 24,790 to confirm bullish strength. If successful, Nifty could aim for 24,974, the last intraday resistance.
– If a bearish rejection pattern forms (like an inverted hammer or bearish engulfing) in this zone, consider a sell-on-rise setup targeting a retest of 24,648 and possibly down to 24,577.
– Ideal stop loss for shorts: Above 24,800–24,810.
🎓 Educational Insight: Gap-ups into resistance zones often trap breakout traders. Patience is key—let price confirm before acting.
📈 Flat Opening (within ±100 Points from Previous Close)
If Nifty opens between 24,537 – 24,737, it will be inside the indecisive zone between support and resistance.
🟧 This is often a low-conviction zone where both buyers and sellers test each other, causing choppy price action in the initial 30 minutes.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Avoid trading in the very first 15–30 minutes; let the market provide direction.
– If price holds above 24,648 and breaks out of 24,761, it can extend toward 24,790, and possibly test 24,974.
– If price fails to hold 24,577 and slips below 24,521, expect downside toward 24,196, the major support zone.
– Inside this range, prefer to trade only on confirmed breakouts or breakdowns with volume support.
🎓 Educational Insight: In flat openings, fakeouts are common. Let breakout candles be confirmed with size and volume.
📉 Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If Nifty opens below 24,537 (i.e., near 24,500 or lower), it will be close to the strong Opening Support Zone: 24,521 – 24,577 .
🟩 This zone has previously acted as a demand area and could attract buyers trying to play a reversal.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Observe price behavior near 24,521.
– If bullish reversal patterns emerge (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), and Nifty holds above this zone, consider long trade setups targeting a move back to 24,648 and potentially 24,761.
– If Nifty breaks down with a 15-min close below 24,521, sellers may gain control. Look for a further decline to 24,196, the last strong support.
– Ideal stop loss for longs: Below 24,500.
– Ideal stop loss for breakdown shorts: Above 24,540.
🎓 Educational Insight: Don't blindly buy into support zones—watch for confirmation candles to avoid catching a falling knife.
🛡️ Options Trading – Risk Management Tips
✅ Trade with a predefined stop-loss based on spot levels, not just option premiums.
✅ Use ATM or slightly ITM options to minimize time decay and benefit from delta movement.
✅ Avoid buying OTM options at open, especially on flat or range-bound days .
✅ Don’t trade in No Trade Zones (24,577 – 24,648) unless a clear breakout/breakdown happens.
✅ Book partial profits and trail SL once your trade starts working.
✅ Never overleverage —risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
✅ Take a break after 2 stop-losses ; overtrading reduces clarity and increases risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🔹 Opening Resistance Zone: 24,761 – 24,790
🔹 Last Resistance: 24,974
🔹 Opening Support / Resistance Mid-Zone: 24,648
🔹 Support Zone: 24,577 – 24,521
🔹 Last Support: 24,196
🕒 First 15–30 mins are crucial . Let price action unfold before executing any trade.
🎯 Only enter trades after confirmation candles near key zones .
⚖️ Risk-to-reward setups are best near edges of the support/resistance levels , not in the middle zone.
📈 Trend confirmation + volume + candlestick patterns = High Probability Setup .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared for educational and informational purposes only. Always consult with a registered financial advisor before taking any investment or trading decisions.
Nifty Rising Channel Breaking Down? Shocking Market Analysis!If Nifty closes below 24,700 based on today's closing, it will confirm a breakdown of the rising channel. The minor support zone is around 23,910, and the next major support zone is near 22,930. With the breakdown of the rising channel, the short-term chart structure of Nifty will become quite weak.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 22-May-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 22-May-2025
Chart Timeframe: 15 Min | Reference Price: 24,800
Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points
🚀 Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If Nifty opens above 24,900+, the price is likely to open directly inside or just below the Opening Resistance Zone: 24,889 – 24,904 .
🟥 This is a supply area and could trigger initial selling if price shows signs of rejection (wicked candles, indecision). Traders must avoid chasing longs on open and instead wait for either a breakout or rejection.
✅ If price sustains above 24,904 with a strong bullish candle close (preferably 15min or 1hr), you can initiate long trades targeting the Intraday Resistance Zone: 24,974 – 25,021 . If momentum continues, watch for a potential rally toward 25,136.
🔄 On the flip side, if the opening is followed by sharp rejection at 24,904 and the price falls back below 24,860, it may signal a failed breakout and can be a shorting opportunity back toward 24,800 and even the support zone at 24,738–24,718.
🎯 Plan of Action:
– Avoid impulsive longs at open.
– Long only on candle close above 24,904.
– Short if strong rejection appears and price falls below 24,860.
📈 Flat Opening (within ±100 Points)
If Nifty opens around 24,750 – 24,850, the price will be stuck between a crucial resistance (24,889–24,904) and support (24,738–24,718).
🟨 The initial price action will be range-bound. Let the market settle in the first 15–30 minutes and observe whether it breaks the upper resistance or support zones .
🟢 If price climbs and breaks 24,904 with a bullish confirmation candle, it opens the path to move higher toward 24,974 – 25,021, and eventually 25,136.
🟠 Conversely, if the price starts slipping below 24,718, and especially below 24,670.90 (last intraday support), sellers could gain control and drag the price toward the major demand zone 24,475 – 24,521 (Buyer's Support Zone).
🎯 Plan of Action:
– Wait for breakout from either 24,904 or breakdown below 24,718.
– Long trade setup above 24,904 with SL below breakout candle.
– Short setup below 24,718 with SL above breakdown candle.
📉 Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If Nifty opens around 24,650 or lower, it is opening directly near the Last Intraday Support: 24,670.90 .
🟦 This support can trigger a bounce if defended, and could present a quick long trade back toward 24,718 – 24,738 , possibly even 24,800 if momentum sustains.
🔻 However, if the price fails to hold this support and breaks below 24,670.90 early in the session, bears could take it down to the Buyer's Support Zone: 24,475 – 24,521 .
📌 Watch this green zone for possible bottom-fishing or reversal setups, especially if there’s a bullish reversal candle with volume. Otherwise, a clean breakdown below 24,475 could extend selling pressure further.
🎯 Plan of Action:
– If support holds → Buy on bullish reversal with tight SL.
– If breakdown below 24,670 → Short with target 24,475 zone.
– Below 24,475 → Avoid bottom fishing unless confirmed reversal.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
✅ Avoid buying deep OTM options at the open; they lose premium fast if the move doesn't come immediately.
✅ Position sizing is key —never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade.
✅ Use Stop Loss based on spot level breakout/failure , not on premium value.
✅ Don't average losing trades. Wait for structure re-entry if SL hits.
✅ Trail your profits if in the green—book partials or move SL to cost to protect gains.
✅ Avoid trading first 15 minutes unless you're experienced in handling volatility.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
– Opening Resistance: 24,889 – 24,904
– Intraday Resistance: 24,974 – 25,021 | Final Target: 25,136
– Opening Support: 24,718 – 24,738 | Last Intraday Support: 24,670.90
– Major Buyer’s Support: 24,475 – 24,521
🎯 Key Idea: Trade the reaction at zones, not the prediction. Let the price action confirm your bias. Don’t rush into positions at the open—wait for confirmation to improve your risk-reward ratio.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 21-May-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 21st May 2025
🕘 Timeframe: 15-Minute | 🧠 Approach: Structure + Reaction Zones + Momentum Psychology
📊 Key Price Zones to Watch:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance: 24,911
🔺 Breakout Resistance: 25,019
🟠 Opening Resistance: 24,818
🟢 Opening Support: 24,627
🟩 Buyer’s Demand Zone: 24,415 – 24,432
🧱 Critical Demand Base: 24,323
📈 Scenario 1: GAP UP Opening (🔼 100+ points) – Opening Above 24,818
If Nifty opens directly above the Opening Resistance of 24,818 due to a bullish gap-up, it enters a low-volume zone that could push prices toward 24,911 and even 25,019 .
Do NOT chase long entries blindly post gap-up. First 15–30 minutes will decide the strength of bulls.
If a strong 15-minute candle closes above 24,911 , a potential breakout to 25,019 may play out.
Only enter long trades if price holds above 24,911 with good volume.
If price faces rejection at 24,911 , short-term reversal trades back to 24,818 → 24,750 are possible.
Avoid overtrading above 25,019 ; it’s uncharted territory and momentum may fade quickly.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-ups often trap emotional buyers. Look for signs of sustainability before entering. If candles show exhaustion or long upper wicks, it's a red flag.
⚖️ Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (±100 points) – Between 24,627 to 24,818
A flat opening gives both bulls and bears room to maneuver, making it the most flexible condition to work with structure-based plans.
If price sustains above 24,750–24,760 (the pivot area), buyers may push toward 24,818 → 24,911 .
Clear bullish strength beyond 24,911 can target 25,019 , but only after volume confirmation.
On the flip side, if price breaks below 24,627 , short trades toward the Demand Zone: 24,415–24,432 become active.
Wait for bearish structure (e.g., breakdown + retest rejection) to confirm shorts.
Use the opening 15-minute candle high/low as your first trigger range for bias.
📌 Educational Note: Flat opens are all about who dominates first. Let the market decide. Don’t be early; price action is your teacher — not your ego.
📉 Scenario 3: GAP DOWN Opening (🔽 100+ points) – Opening Below 24,627
A gap-down opens doors to panic-selling but also offers opportunity if the demand zone absorbs pressure.
If price opens around 24,550–24,600 and forms a base, a bounce toward 24,627 → 24,750 is highly probable.
However, if price immediately slides into 24,415–24,432 (buyer zone), watch for reversal patterns like hammer, bullish engulfing, or double bottom.
If breakdown occurs below 24,415 , then 24,323 becomes the final lifeline. A close below this may trigger sharp intraday sell-offs.
Only short if 15-min candle closes below 24,415 and fails retest.
📌 Educational Note: Panic gaps test emotional discipline. Don't assume rebounds—wait for confirmation. It's okay to miss the first move and catch the trend later.
🛡️ Options Trading – Risk Management Tips:
✅ Avoid Far OTM Buying: Unless you see trending moves, far OTM options will decay quickly.
✅ Use Defined-Risk Spreads: Prefer Bull Call or Bear Put Spreads on breakout/breakdown confirmations.
✅ Keep SL Fixed in % Terms: Suggested: 30–40% SL of premium for option buyers.
✅ Use the Opening Candle High/Low: As SL reference for naked option positions.
✅ Avoid Overnight Carry: Especially for naked options—risk can be unlimited.
✅ Reassess After 2 Failed Trades: Market might be rangebound or volatile beyond logic.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
🔼 Above 24,911: Momentum bullish → Target 25,019
🔄 Between 24,627 – 24,818: Neutral zone → Let structure form
🔽 Below 24,627: Weakness → Test of 24,432 → 24,323 possible
📌 Core Principle: Let the market confirm your bias. Be a sniper, not a machine gunner. Clear structure = clear edge.
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This content is purely for educational and informational purposes [/b
NIFTY TO 25500!!! Don't miss.Price is now consolidating and trading inside the daily fvg.
For me today or tomorrow it will reach 25500 in points.
Just analysis and try to take a position by yourself model.
Or else just buy an ITM option and wait for price to reach 25500 literally+2% move.
It's your own risk, before take a trade , do your own analysis.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 20-May-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 20th May 2025
🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute | 🎯 Strategy Focus: Price Reaction Zones + Structure-Based Trading + Psychological Triggers
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
🔴 Resistance Zone: 25,081 – 25,101
🟠 Opening Pivot Zone: 24,960 – 24,980
🟦 Initial Support/Resistance: 24,862 – 24,878
🟢 Last Intraday Support: 24,732
🟢 Final Breakdown Support: 24,623
🔺 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,239
📈 Scenario 1: GAP UP Opening (🔺 100+ points) – Opening Above 25,050
If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up directly into or above the resistance zone 25,081 – 25,101 , it enters a supply zone from where reversals have occurred in the past.
Avoid rushing into long trades immediately after a gap-up.
Wait for a 15-minute candle close above 25,101 with strong follow-up buying volume to confirm breakout strength.
On confirmation, expect targets toward 25,180 → 25,239 (last intraday resistance) .
However, if price gets rejected from the resistance zone with upper wicks or bearish engulfing candles, then short trades toward 24,980 → 24,960 become favorable.
A failed breakout from this level often leads to a short-trap liquidation move.
📌 Educational Note: A gap-up into resistance is a liquidity magnet. Always seek candle confirmation before acting. Momentum traders should only participate if the breakout sustains with strength.
⚖️ Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within ±100 points) – Between 24,860 – 24,980
This scenario offers the most balanced opportunity to trade both sides, depending on where price moves post-opening.
If price sustains above 24,980 for 15–30 minutes, a breakout attempt toward 25,081 → 25,101 is likely.
A clear break and close above 25,101 may trigger long trades aiming for 25,180 → 25,239 .
On the downside, if price fails to hold above 24,960 and breaks below 24,878 , a slide toward 24,732 → 24,623 can unfold.
For rangebound movement, you may consider deploying neutral strategies like Iron Fly or ATM straddle with tight SLs.
📌 Educational Note: Flat opens are where the market seeks direction. Don’t trade the first candle — observe whether buyers or sellers dominate before committing capital.
📉 Scenario 3: GAP DOWN Opening (🔻 100+ points) – Opening Below 24,860
A gap-down below the initial support zone 24,862–24,878 sets a bearish tone, but it can trap emotional sellers if not confirmed.
If the price opens near 24,840–24,860 and shows early signs of holding, a short-covering move back to 24,960 is possible.
However, if price breaches below 24,732 (last intraday support) , the index could slide further toward 24,623 .
Avoid buying blindly just because it's a gap-down — instead, wait for a reversal confirmation (hammer, morning star).
Momentum traders can go short below 24,732 with SL above 24,780, targeting 24,650 – 24,623 .
📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic. Smart traders stay calm and react only when price gives clean structure — don’t bottom fish unless a reversal structure appears.
🛡️ Options Trading – Risk Management Tips:
✅ Respect the Premium Decay: Avoid buying far OTM options on Tuesday unless there's strong momentum confirmation.
✅ Set SL as a % of Premium: Use a 30–40% SL of premium for long option positions.
✅ Hedge Naked Options: If selling options, always hedge using defined-risk spreads.
✅ Use Time-Decaying Strategies: Calendar spreads or neutral plays work better in choppy zones.
✅ Position Sizing is Key: Don’t risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade — it protects your mental capital too.
✅ Avoid Holding Naked Positions Overnight: Carry only if hedged or directional clarity is backed by event data.
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
🔼 Above 25,101: Bullish momentum likely → Target 25,180 – 25,239
🔄 Between 24,862 – 24,980: Neutral zone → Wait for breakout or breakdown
🔽 Below 24,862: Bearish tone → Target 24,732 – 24,623 on confirmation
📌 Key Lesson: Let price confirm the move. React, don’t predict. Level-based action always wins over emotions.
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above content is shared purely for educational and informational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor or do your own research before taking any trades.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-May-2025📅 NIFTY 50 Trading Plan – 19th May 2025
⏰ Timeframe: 15-Minute | 🧠 Approach: Actionable, Risk-Reward Based, Psychological Zones
📍 Chart Key Levels:
🔸 No Trade Zone: 25,080 – 24,970
🟥 Opening Resistance: 25,081
🟧 Opening Support / Resistance: 24,970
🟩 Strong Support Zone: 24,862 – 24,805
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,136
🔺 Target/ATH Zone: 25,240 → 25,365
🟥 Breakdown Zone: Below 24,862 leads to weakness with next support at 24,629
📈 Scenario 1: GAP UP Opening (100+ Points Up) – Above 25,136 🚀
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 25,136 , prices will already be near or inside the resistance zone. Avoid chasing trades at open.
Wait for a 15-min candle to close above 25,240 . This confirms strength and opens the way toward the ATH zone of 25,365+ .
Book profits gradually near ATH zone, and expect possible selling pressure here.
If price fails to sustain above 25,240 , avoid fresh longs and look for rejection patterns (like bearish engulfing) for quick intraday shorts back to 25,136 .
📌 Educational Note: When the market opens in a resistance zone, let it settle for the first 15–30 minutes to avoid false breakouts.
📉 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within 50 pts of previous close) – Inside No Trade Zone (24,970–25,080) 🔄
Opening in this range creates confusion. This zone is best avoided for fresh trades unless a breakout/breakdown is confirmed.
If price breaks above 25,081 with strong bullish momentum, you may consider a long entry targeting 25,136 → 25,240 .
If price breaks down below 24,970 , you can initiate short positions with target toward 24,862 → 24,805 .
Avoid any position inside the orange zone until one side is clearly broken.
📌 Educational Note: No Trade Zones often result in whipsaw moves – stay disciplined and wait for clean direction.
📉 Scenario 3: GAP DOWN Opening (100+ Points Down) – Below 24,862 ⚠️
If the market opens below the key support zone of 24,862 , sentiment turns bearish.
Look for follow-through selling below 24,805 to target 24,629 .
However, any bounce-back from 24,805 – 24,862 zone with volume confirmation can be used for intraday reversal trades back to 24,970 .
Wait for a proper rejection candle or bullish engulfing pattern before taking reversal long trades.
📌 Educational Note: Strong support zones can lead to high risk-reward reversal trades if combined with proper price action.
💡 Options Trading – Risk Management Tips:
🛡️ Always hedge directional positions when holding beyond intraday.
⏳ Avoid buying options when IV is high, especially after gap-ups.
💰 Use defined SLs like hourly candle closes to avoid panic exits.
📉 If trading breakout with options, consider buying near the money for better delta impact.
📊 Summary:
✅ Above 25,240 = bullish continuation zone
⚠️ 25,081 – 24,970 = No Trade Zone
🔻 Below 24,862 = Trend reversal or fresh weakness
Wait for first 15–30 min candle to confirm trade direction. Avoid emotional entries and focus on clean breakout or reversal confirmation patterns.
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views shared are for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trades.
Nifty Breaks Past 25,000: Is a New High on the Horizon?Last week, Nifty broke above the psychological milestone of 25,000, shaking off market doubts and sparking fresh bullish momentum.
◉ Key levels to watch:
The zone between 24,750–24,850 now acts as immediate support, while 23,750–23,850 remains a major support.
This rally wasn't just a technical bounce — it was fuelled by meaningful tailwinds:
● India-Pakistan Ceasefire helped ease geopolitical concerns, calming the nerves of investors.
● Cooling inflation in both India and the U.S. sparked hopes of rate cuts, improving market liquidity.
● Strong corporate earnings from majors like Hero MotoCorp , HCL Tech , and Tata Motors lifted sentiment.
With continued FII inflows , the bullish momentum is expected to persist — potentially pushing Nifty toward its all-time high in the near term.
Nifty 50 outlook for the week of May 19–23, 2025
# The Nifty 50 index, a benchmark for the Indian stock market, has shown mixed signals recently, and the outlook for the week of May 19–23, 2025, depends on key technical levels, market sentiment, and global cues. Below is a technical analysis based on available data and trends, with a focus on price levels, support, resistance, and indicators.
Current Market Context
Latest Close (May 16, 2025): The Nifty 50 closed at 25,019.80, down 42.30 points (-0.17%).
Recent Performance: The index has shown volatility, with a strong rally of 550 points on May 15, closing above 25,000 for the first time in seven months, driven by FII buying (₹5,393 crore) and optimism around a potential US-India trade deal. However, it slipped slightly on May 16, testing the 25,000 mark.
Technical Analysis
Price Action and Trend
Current Trend: The Nifty is trading within an ascending channel on the daily chart, indicating a short-term bullish structure. However, it recently broke out of a descending channel on the 4-hour chart, suggesting potential for further upside if key levels hold.
Recent Volatility: The index experienced significant intraday volatility, closing at 25,062 on May 15 (up 395 points) but failing to sustain above 25,070 on May 16. This indicates profit-booking pressure at higher levels.
Sentiment: we suggest a cautious outlook, with some analysts pointing to a "breather-type chart pattern" for the upcoming week, indicating possible consolidation or a pullback before further moves.
Chart for your reference
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 16-May-2025📘 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 16th May 2025 (15-Min Structure Based)
📍 Nifty closed at 25,035.30 on 15-May-2025. Price is currently hovering around the Opening Resistance/Support Zone (25,030 – 25,134) , which has been marked as a No Trade Zone due to potential whipsaws and lack of clear direction.
As per your rule, a Gap Opening is considered ±100 points or more from the previous close.
Let’s break down the strategy into three possible opening scenarios:
🚀 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 25,135)
(Gap-up of 100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 25,135 , it will start trading near the Last Intraday Resistance zone at 25,243 . This zone may act as a strong supply area initially.
Price action near 25,243 must be closely watched. If there’s rejection or failure to sustain, a quick pullback toward 25,134 – 25,030 is possible.
However, if Nifty shows strength and sustains above 25,243 on 15-min closing basis with bullish structure, fresh long entries can be considered.
Upside targets will be 25,504 and potentially 25,609 , which is the Profit Booking / Last Resistance zone for a New All-Time High .
Risk increases if you chase long trades right at open without confirmation candles.
👉 📚 Tip: Prefer a breakout-retest strategy above 25,243 for cleaner long trades. Avoid buying at peak unless there’s strong momentum confirmation.
📊 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 25,030 – 25,134)
(Flat to minor gap opening)
This zone is marked as the Opening Resistance/Support Zone (25,030 – 25,134) and is a NO TRADE ZONE due to the likelihood of choppy moves and indecision.
Wait for a directional break — either above 25,243 for bullish trades or below 25,030 to consider bearish setups.
If price consolidates within this zone during the first 30 minutes, it’s best to stay patient and avoid noise trades.
A 15-min candle closing below 25,030 could trigger shorting opportunities with targets at 24,803 and then 24,625 .
Above 25,134 , longs should only be taken after a 15-min close above 25,243 to avoid being trapped.
👉 📚 Tip: This zone is not ideal for option buying as theta decay will hurt both sides. Let the direction become clear before entering.
🔻 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 24,935)
(Gap-down of 100+ points)
A gap-down below 24,935 pushes Nifty closer to Opening Support zone at 24,803 , which has the potential to act as a bounce area.
If price bounces from 24,803 with a bullish 15-min candle, a quick recovery toward 25,030 can be expected.
However, if Nifty breaks below 24,803 decisively with volume and a follow-up 15-min candle close, further downside may continue toward 24,625 (Last Intraday Support).
This zone may provide scalping opportunities on both sides but demands high discipline and tight SLs.
Aggressive traders may also look for PE buying or bear put spreads below 24,803 , targeting 24,625 and potentially further if global cues support weakness.
👉 📚 Tip: Watch for volume and structure at 24,803 — it's a decision point. If it cracks, ride the trend but be cautious near 24,625 as it may trigger a short-covering bounce.
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT & OPTIONS TRADING TIPS:
⏰ Avoid trading within the first 15 minutes post-market open unless a clean breakout/breakdown is visible.
⚖️ Never trade both sides at once — choose the direction based on price structure and stick with it.
💼 Use ATM or ITM options to minimize theta impact during intraday trades.
📉 If the market consolidates, avoid buying options. Use spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) or wait for V-shaped moves.
🔄 Exit OTM options by 2:45 PM unless holding momentum trades.
📊 Keep SL on candle close basis (15-min preferred) and don’t average your loss-making trades.
👉 💡 Bonus Tip: For momentum confirmation, look for confluence of volume spike + candle body closing beyond marked zone.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
🔸 Bullish Breakout Trigger: 25,243 → Targets: 25,504 / 25,609
🔸 Bearish Breakdown Trigger: Below 25,030 → Targets: 24,803 / 24,625
🔸 Flat Zone: 25,030 – 25,134 → Avoid trading until a clear breakout or breakdown
🔸 Critical Supports: 24,803 (Gap-down cushion), 24,625 (last support zone)
🔸 Risk Focus: Wait for structure confirmation, don’t get trapped in emotional trades
📈 Nifty is currently poised near a decision zone. A clean breakout or breakdown can set the tone for the day, but avoid premature entries in the No Trade Zone. Let price confirm its intent, and then follow with disciplined execution.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only . Please conduct your own analysis or consult a registered advisor before initiating any trade. Trading carries risks – protect your capital at all times.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 15-May-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 15th May 2025 (15-Min Chart Structure Analysis)
Nifty closed at 24,685.75 on 14-May-2025. Based on the chart setup, price is attempting to break out from consolidation but still trades below the crucial resistance level of 24,752 . Support remains around 24,468–24,490 , and below that, a key demand zone lies at 24,313–24,356 .
We will consider a Gap Opening to be 100+ points as per standard practice.
🟢 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 24,785)
(Gap up of 100+ points above last close)
If Nifty opens above 24,785 , it enters the Last Intraday Resistance Zone of 24,878–25,026 .
A direct open into resistance could invite profit booking or a reversal unless bulls show strength.
Wait for the first 15–30 minutes — if Nifty forms a strong bullish candle and sustains above 25,026 , it confirms a continuation rally. You can consider a long entry with a target of 25,100+ and stop-loss below 24,950 .
However, if price struggles to cross or shows rejection candles around 24,878–25,000 , then look for shorting opportunities with downside targets of 24,752 and 24,690 .
Do not chase a gap-up at open. Let structure confirm strength before acting.
👉 Educational Insight: Gaps into resistance zones often get filled if early momentum fails. Price needs strong follow-through to avoid being faded.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 24,600 – 24,750)
(Minor move from previous close)
If Nifty opens between 24,600 and 24,750 , it remains within the previous range — suggesting possible sideways action or a breakout setup.
The upside breakout level is 24,752 . A candle close above this with volume can trigger bullish momentum towards 24,878 and 25,026 .
On the downside, support lies near 24,468–24,490 . If that zone breaks, Nifty may slip to 24,313–24,356 .
Ideal strategy: Wait for price to break above 24,752 or below 24,468 and then trade with the trend.
Inside this zone, avoid aggressive trades — let market establish a clear direction.
👉 Educational Insight: Flat openings after consolidation days can lead to strong trending moves once breakout levels are breached. Don’t preempt; react to structure.
🔻 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 24,590)
(Gap-down of 100+ points)
A gap-down below 24,590 brings Nifty closer to the key support zone of 24,468–24,490 .
If price opens and sustains below 24,468 , it confirms a breakdown and can extend losses toward 24,313–24,356 (Buyer’s Support Zone) .
Look for breakdown + retest structure. A bearish candle rejection near 24,468–24,490 post-open offers a high-probability shorting setup.
On the contrary, if price reverses from 24,468 or 24,313 with strong bullish candles (like hammer or engulfing), you can consider long trades for intraday pullbacks with targets back to 24,600–24,685 .
Avoid bottom fishing blindly. Let structure confirm reversal or continuation.
👉 Educational Insight: Gap-downs near support zones can trap both bulls and bears. Always let confirmation come through – don’t force entries on emotion.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT & OPTIONS TRADING TIPS:
⚠️ Don’t chase premiums in first 5–10 mins — let volatility settle.
📌 Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for intraday directional trades.
📊 Use spreads (e.g., Bull Call or Bear Put) to limit risk in breakout/breakdown setups.
⏳ Don’t hold out-of-the-money options too long — theta decay can erode value quickly.
📉 Always have a stop-loss or defined risk — either on candle structure or option premium basis.
💰 Risk only 1–2% of your trading capital per trade.
👉 Pro Tip: Treat option premiums like a stock — don’t average losers, and use trailing SL to lock profits when trades move in your favor.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
🔹 Immediate Resistance Zone: 24,752 – 25,026
🔹 Immediate Support Zone: 24,468 – 24,490
🔹 Trend Reversal Support: 24,313 – 24,356
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Above 25,026
🔹 Breakdown Confirmation: Below 24,468
🔹 No Trade Zone: Between 24,600 – 24,750 unless breakout confirmed
The market structure suggests a possible breakout or reversal in play depending on opening action. A patient trader should let the first few candles guide the direction. Stay disciplined, don’t predict — prepare, react, and protect capital.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared for educational purposes only . Please consult with your financial advisor or do your own analysis before taking any trades. Markets are uncertain — trade responsibly.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 14-May-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 14th May 2025 (15-Min Chart Analysis)
Nifty closed at 24,592.25 on 13-May-2025. As per the structure, the index is consolidating near its immediate support zone of 24,432–24,489 , while facing resistance from 24,759–24,881 . The opening on 14-May-2025 will play a crucial role in deciding the next directional move.
Gap threshold considered = 100 points+ (as per your preference).
🟢 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 24,692)
(100+ points gap-up from previous close)
If Nifty opens above 24,692 , price enters the Opening Resistance Zone of 24,759–24,881 , where sellers have been active previously.
Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to observe whether bulls are able to sustain above 24,881 (Last Intraday Resistance) .
If a strong bullish candle closes above 24,881 , you may consider going long with targets towards 25,000–25,234 and a stop-loss below 24,830.
However, if price faces rejection around 24,759–24,881 (e.g., long upper wicks or bearish engulfing), shorting opportunity opens up with target near 24,600 and 24,489 .
Avoid buying calls at open unless structure confirms breakout. Let the momentum build and structure get established.
👉 Educational Tip: Gaps near resistance zones often get filled. Waiting for a retest or breakout confirmation improves win probability.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 24,492 – 24,692)
(Minor change from previous close)
A flat opening between Opening Resistance (24,759) and Opening Support (24,432–24,489) suggests sideways bias.
Price action will likely chop between support and resistance unless a clean breakout or breakdown occurs.
Upside move will be considered only on a break above 24,759 , where one can go long with target near 24,881 . Stop-loss can be placed below 24,700.
If the price fails to hold 24,432 and closes below it, this breakdown may push Nifty towards 24,345 or even 24,166 (Last Intraday Support) .
Avoid trading in no-clear-structure zones. Let price establish a direction after opening range.
👉 Educational Tip: Flat opens after prior range-bound days often resolve into trending moves later in the session. Trade breakouts with volume confirmation.
🔻 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 24,492)
(100+ points gap-down from previous close)
A gap-down below the Opening Support zone b implies bearish control at open.
If Nifty opens below 24,432 and sustains, shorting opportunities arise with targets at 24,345 and 24,166 .
Do not short aggressively at open. Let the first 5–10 mins settle, and look for confirmation candles (e.g., breakdown + retest).
In case of a bounce back toward 24,430–24,460 , if price fails to break above this zone, it may act as a fresh supply area. Use this level to reinitiate short trades.
If price reverses from 24,345 or 24,166 with strong bullish structure, counter-trend buying is allowed with defined SL.
👉 Educational Tip: A breakdown of a key level on a gap-down day often accelerates momentum. Don’t chase – wait for pullbacks.
💡 OPTIONS TRADING & RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS:
📌 Trade near-the-money (ATM) or slightly ITM options for better delta exposure.
📌 Avoid deep OTM option buying unless breakout or breakdown is confirmed.
📌 Use multi-leg strategies (like spreads) to reduce risk in volatile conditions.
📌 Place SL based on structure (previous candle low/high or support/resistance).
📌 Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
📌 Do not hold losing options hoping for recovery. Theta decay is unforgiving.
👉 Pro Tip: In flat or slow sessions, switch to stock-specific option plays rather than forcing trades on Nifty.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
🔸 Opening Resistance Zone: 24,759–24,881
🔸 Opening Support Zone: 24,432–24,489
🔸 Breakout Confirmation: Above 24,881
🔸 Breakdown Confirmation: Below 24,432
🔸 Major Targets: 25,234 on upside, 24,166 on downside
🔸 No Trade Zone: Inside 24,489–24,759 unless price breaks out or down with volume
Nifty remains at a decisive support area. A trending move is possible if price breaks out of the current compression zone. Let the market lead — follow the levels, not the emotions. Focus on structure, manage risk, and stay alert for trap candles at open.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis is for educational purposes only . Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any trades. Trade at your own risk.
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis (as of May 12, 2025)Nifty 50 Technical Analysis - May 12, 2025
Current Market Overview:
Closing Price: The Nifty 50 closed at 24,924.70, up 916.70 points (+3.82%), marking its best single-day performance in four years.
Day Range: Low: 24,378.85 | High: 24,944.80
52-Week Range: Low: 21,281.45 | High: 26,277.35
Market Sentiment: The market exhibited strong bullish momentum, driven by positive global cues, including a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and optimism around US-China trade negotiations
Chart for your reference
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 13-May-2025📈 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 13th May 2025 (15-Min Chart Analysis)
Nifty closed at 24,920 on 12-May-2025. The recent structure shows a sharp bullish move with resistance forming near 25,234 and support around 24,670–24,768 .
The market is currently at a decision point, and the next move will depend heavily on where it opens. Below is a breakdown for each type of opening with actionable trade plans.
🟢 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Opening Above 25,020)
(Gap up of 100+ points from previous close)
A gap-up above 25,020 places Nifty near the Opening Resistance zone at 25,234 . This is a crucial level that must be watched for either rejection or breakout.
If the index opens between 25,020 and 25,234 , wait and observe the first 15–30 minutes. Avoid jumping into a trade unless a clear bullish structure is formed.
A breakout and sustained move above 25,234 with strong candles can trigger a rally toward 25,691 . In such a case, long trades can be initiated with SL below 25,180 .
If price shows signs of rejection (wicks, bearish engulfing) near 25,234 , aggressive traders can look for a reversal trade with targets around 24,920 – 24,768 .
Avoid initiating trades at the opening candle in this zone — wait for follow-through confirmation.
👉 Educational Insight: Gap-ups near resistance zones often trap early buyers. Let the market confirm direction before committing.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 24,820 – 25,020)
(Open within previous close ±100 pts)
Flat openings inside the current range should be treated cautiously. Price is already in an indecisive zone.
Watch price behavior near 24,920 (previous close). If the index builds higher lows and breaks 25,020 with strength, it may attempt to test 25,234 .
On the downside, if the structure weakens and slips below 24,820 , we can see a dip toward the Intraday Support Zone of 24,670–24,768 .
Only trade breakout above 25,020 or breakdown below 24,768 with structure confirmation. This avoids getting trapped in sideways moves.
Avoid trades in tight 30–40 point ranges — these tend to chop traders with frequent reversals.
👉 Educational Insight: During flat opens, it’s best to let the initial price range form before making directional bets. Often, first 30–45 mins help define the day’s range.
🔻 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 24,820)
(Gap down of 100+ points from previous close)
If Nifty opens below 24,820 , it will test the Intraday Support zone of 24,670 – 24,768 . This zone may offer a technical bounce.
Look for bullish reversal candles (hammer, morning star, bullish engulfing) in this zone. If seen, consider a long trade with target toward 24,920 and SL below 24,650 .
If this support zone breaks, and price sustains below 24,670 , expect further downside toward 24,449 .
In case of a breakdown below 24,670 followed by a retest and rejection from below, one may go short for intraday targets.
Avoid knife-catching on gap-downs. Let market absorb selling pressure first — wait for exhaustion or structure to form.
👉 Educational Insight: In gap-down scenarios, panic can create exaggerated moves. Patience and confirmation-based entries are key for safety.
🧠 RISK MANAGEMENT & OPTIONS TRADING TIPS:
Trade ATM or slightly ITM options to manage decay and increase responsiveness.
Never buy deep OTM options unless a very strong trending day is expected.
Use underlying index levels to define stop-loss — not just premium.
Keep maximum 2% of your capital at risk per trade .
Set alerts at key levels like 25,234, 24,768, and 24,670 to stay ahead of triggers.
Avoid overtrading. 1–2 good trades a day are more than enough.
Use a trailing SL once in profit zone to protect gains.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
🔸 Resistance Levels: 25,234 and 25,691
🔸 Support Zone: 24,670 – 24,768
🔸 Breakout Zone: Above 25,234
🔸 Breakdown Zone: Below 24,670
🔸 No Trade Zone: 24,820 – 25,020 (until clear move)
🧭 The market is currently resting just below a resistance zone. Confirmation-based breakout or pullback setups around key zones will offer the best opportunities. Don’t anticipate direction — let the market tell you.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above trading plan is shared solely for educational purposes. Always consult a registered financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decision. Trade at your own risk with proper analysis and risk control.
Nifty Reversal Watch: Key Demand Zones & Moving Average in FocusAs a pure technical analyst, I rely solely on what the charts reveal, ignoring the noise of news and fundamentals. Charts tell the story in advance.
As a demand and supply zone trader, my primary focus is on identifying key areas where institutional activity is likely to drive price action. Today, we’ll analyze the Nifty 50 through the lens of demand zones and then complement it with traditional technical analysis using moving averages. This analysis aims to provide clarity on potential reversal zones and market behavior.
📊 Demand Zones: The Foundation of Analysis
Monthly & Quarterly Demand Zones : On the monthly timeframe, I’ve identified a critical demand zone. When we zoom into the quarterly timeframe, this zone aligns perfectly, creating a high-confluence area. These zones represent institutional footprints (Banks, mutual funds, etc. ), indicating where smart money is likely to step in. These are not just traditional lines or boxes on the chart; they are the footprints of institutions that control the market.
Significance of Demand Zones : Demand zones are areas where buyers are expected to dominate, often leading to price reversals. The confluence of monthly and quarterly demand zones increases the probability of a strong support level.
Current Price Action : Nifty is currently hovering near these demand zones, suggesting a potential bottom formation.
📊 Traditional Technical Analysis: Moving Averages
Now, let’s analyze the market through the lens of traditional technical analysts who rely on moving averages.
EMA 20 on Monthly Timeframe : The 20-period EMA on the monthly chart acts as a reliable support level historically. Since 2004, price reversals have consistently occurred near this moving average, marked by green circles on the chart.
EMA 20 as a Magnet : The EMA 20 on the monthly timeframe is equivalent to the 400-period EMA on the daily timeframe, representing the average price of almost 400 days. In trending markets, price always reverts to its average, making this a critical level to watch.
Historical Exceptions : While there are rare instances (marked by red circles) where Nifty has broken below the monthly EMA 20, the presence of demand zones adds an extra layer of support, reducing the likelihood of a significant breakdown.
Current Price Action : Nifty is currently near the monthly EMA 20, which coincides with the monthly and quarterly demand zones.
📊 Combining Both Approaches
High-Confluence Area : The alignment of monthly and quarterly demand zones with the monthly EMA 20 creates a high-confluence area. This increases the likelihood of a strong support level and a potential Bottom.
Risk Management : While the setup appears promising, it’s crucial to manage risk effectively. Always use strict stop-loss orders and avoid over-leveraging. Even high-probability setups can fail, especially when market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative.
📊 Conclusion
The Nifty 50 is at a critical juncture, with multiple technical indicators pointing towards a potential reversal or consolidation. The confluence of demand zones and the monthly EMA 20 provides a high-probability setup. However, always remember that no setup is foolproof, and risk management is crucial, it’s essential to remain cautious as markets can sometimes defy all technical setups.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Lastly, thank you for your support.
"The market is a master of patience; trade with discipline, not emotion." 🚀📊
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 12-May-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan for 12-May-2025 (15-min Chart)
We’re currently trading near the 24,038 level . The chart suggests clearly defined support and resistance zones which will guide our trading actions depending on the opening. Remember: we define a gap opening as 100+ points away from the previous close.
🟢 SCENARIO 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 24,266)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above the Opening Resistance Zone (24,217 – 24,266) and sustains above it:
Watch for price action near 24,266 – if it holds, bulls might push toward the last intraday resistance of 24,450 .
Ideal entry: On retest of 24,266 with a strong bullish candle.
Targets: 🎯 24,375 – 24,450
Stop Loss: 🔻 Below 24,200 on an hourly candle close.
However, if price opens above but slips back below 24,217, it might indicate a false breakout. In that case, wait for confirmation before taking aggressive trades.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: Flat Opening (Between 24,038 and 24,100)
A flat opening would place us within the current trading range. This is a zone of indecision, so patience is key.
Observe how price reacts near the Opening Resistance Zone (24,217 – 24,266) and Opening Support Zone (24,005 – 23,974) .
Bullish bias above 24,100 with confirmation candle targeting 24,217 and eventually 24,266.
Bearish bias only below 23,974 – look for breakdown and confirmation for short opportunities.
Avoid trades within this tight zone until a breakout or breakdown happens with volume.
Wait at least 15–30 mins post-opening for direction clarity. Let the market show its hand.
🔻 SCENARIO 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,900)
This could lead to a test of the Last Support Zone: 23,682 – 23,771 . This zone is crucial.
If the index opens below 23,900 and heads toward 23,771–23,682, expect demand from this support.
Look for bullish reversal candles in this zone for a possible intraday bounce.
If breakdown happens below 23,682 with volume and a 15-min close, market could slide further towards 23,550–23,450 levels.
Avoid catching falling knives. Wait for confirmation (hammer, bullish engulfing).
Be cautious on put side here unless breakdown sustains – whipsaws are common near strong supports.
📘 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🧠
Avoid buying deep OTM options. Stick to ATM or slightly ITM contracts for better delta and lower decay.
Always define your risk with stop-loss based on candle closes (ideally 15 or 1-hour).
Don’t trade just on gap logic. Wait for the price to respect or reject key levels.
Trail your profits instead of aiming for unrealistic targets. Consistency > Jackpot.
Position sizing is key. Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
Key Levels to Watch: 👀
🔸 Opening Resistance Zone: 24,217 – 24,266
🔸 Opening Support Zone: 24,005 – 23,974
🔸 Major Support Area: 23,682 – 23,771
🔸 Upside Resistance: 24,450
This is a day to let the market settle in early trades. Direction will be determined by breakout or breakdown from the marked zones . Don’t chase; instead react to the market’s structure with discipline.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views shared here are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any position. Trade at your own risk.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 09-may-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan for 09-May-2025
Timeframe: 15-Min | Previous Close (Approx.): 24,153.20
🔎 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
🔴 Opening Resistance: 24,290
🟧 Opening Support / Pivot Zone: 24,115 – 24,147
🟩 Immediate Support Zone: 24,000 – 24,032
🟦 Last Intraday Support Zone: 23,679 – 23,769
🟢 Major Support Level (Further Down): 23,191
📌 Sideways Resistance Zone (Higher Resistance): 24,434 – 24,480
🟢 1. Gap-Up Opening (📈 Opening above 24,253 — Gap of 100+ Points)
If Nifty opens significantly above 24,253, it will likely be challenging the Opening Resistance level of 24,290 from the start. A gap of this nature indicates strong initial buying interest.
✅ Plan of Action:
- If Nifty opens and sustains above 24,290, the initial move might extend towards the Sideways Resistance Zone (Higher Resistance) of 24,434 – 24,480.
- Educational Insight: When a gap up occurs directly into a resistance level (like 24,290), it's crucial to observe the first 15-30 minutes. Look for either:
- Continuation: Strong bullish candles breaking above 24,290 with good volume, confirming buyer strength. In this case, longs can be considered with a stop-loss below the opening range low, targeting 24,434.
- Rejection: If Nifty struggles at 24,290 or shows signs of weakness (e.g., long upper wicks, bearish engulfing patterns on the 15-min chart), it could be a sign of profit-booking or sellers stepping in. Shorts could be initiated below 24,250 (confirming the gap fill has started) for targets of 24,147 and then the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032.
- Avoid chasing the gap immediately. Wait for price to settle and provide a clear signal. A retest of the breakout level (24,290 if breached) from above would offer a better risk-reward entry for longs.
🟡 2. Flat Opening (🔄 Between 24,053 – 24,253)
A flat opening, likely within the range of the Opening Support / Pivot Zone (24,115 – 24,147) and the Opening Resistance (24,290), suggests initial indecision. The previous close of ~24,153 falls into this scenario.
✅ Plan of Action:
- The zone of 24,115 – 24,147 will be key.
- Bullish View: If Nifty holds above 24,147 and shows strength, longs can be initiated for a target of the Opening Resistance at 24,290. A convincing break above 24,290 could then target the Sideways Resistance Zone of 24,434 – 24,480.
- Bearish View: If Nifty breaks below 24,115 and sustains, it would indicate weakness. Shorts can be considered with targets at the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032.
- Educational Insight: Flat openings often lead to range-bound behavior initially. It's wise to wait for a breakout from the first 30-60 minutes range. Trading within the range can be risky unless clear support/resistance flips are observed on smaller timeframes. The direction of the break from this initial balance will likely set the tone for a significant portion of the session.
🔴 3. Gap-Down Opening (📉 Opening below 24,053 — Gap of 100+ Points)
A gap-down opening below 24,053 would mean Nifty is opening near or below the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032. This indicates significant selling pressure from the outset.
✅ Plan of Action:
- If Nifty opens below 24,032, watch how it reacts to this level.
- Potential Reversal: If the market finds support around 24,000 – 24,032 (e.g., forms a hammer, bullish engulfing, or double bottom on the 15-min chart), a bounce-back towards the gap-fill (towards 24,115 – 24,147) can be anticipated. Longs can be taken with strict stop-loss below the day's low.
- Continuation of Selling: If Nifty decisively breaks below 24,000 and sustains, further selling pressure can drag it towards the Last Intraday Support Zone of 23,679 – 23,769. In this case, short positions can be considered on a pullback to the breakdown level (around 24,000) or on continuation patterns.
- Educational Insight: Large gap downs can sometimes lead to sharp, short-covering rallies if they land in a strong support area. However, it's crucial not to try and "catch a falling knife." Wait for the price to stabilize and show signs of reversal (like a clear basing pattern or bullish candle formations) before considering long trades. If selling momentum is strong, attempting to go long too early can lead to quick losses.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
📏 Position Sizing is Key: Never allocate more than a small percentage of your trading capital (e.g., 1-2%) to a single trade. This helps in surviving drawdowns.
🎯 Define Stop-Loss Before Entry: For option buyers, this could be a percentage of premium (e.g., 20-30%) or based on the underlying spot Nifty level. For sellers, define the maximum acceptable loss or the spot level at which you'll exit.
⏳ Be Mindful of Time Decay (Theta): Especially when buying options, time decay accelerates as expiry approaches. Avoid holding onto losing OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options for too long, hoping for a turnaround.
🛡️ Consider Hedging for Volatility: If volatility is expected to be high or if you are unsure of the direction, consider strategies like spreads (bull call spread, bear put spread) or iron condors to limit risk.
💨 Don't Fight Strong Momentum: If the market is trending strongly, trading against the trend (e.g., buying puts in a strong uptrend) is generally a lower probability trade for option buyers unless a clear reversal is confirmed.
📖 Understand Option Greeks: A basic understanding of Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega can significantly improve your decision-making in options trading.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
Nifty stands at a point where the immediate direction will be heavily influenced by the opening. The pivot zone around 24,115 – 24,147 is crucial for flat openings.
For Gap-Up openings , the ability to conquer and hold above 24,290 will be tested, with 24,434 – 24,480 as the next target. Failure could lead to a gap fill.
For Flat opens , range-bound action between 24,032 and 24,290 is possible initially. A breakout from this range will offer clearer directional cues.
For Gap-Downs , the 24,000 – 24,032 support zone is critical. A hold could offer a bounce, while a break could accelerate selling towards 23,679 – 23,769.
Always prioritize setups that offer good risk-reward ratios, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk diligently.
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above trading plan is intended purely for educational and informational purposes. It is based on technical analysis of the provided chart and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in the stock market involves significant risk, and you may lose money. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.