19 Jul 2024 - The first real signs of tiredness, stance neutralNifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty managed to only gain 14pts ~ 0.06% this week, but we hit a new ATH on all 4 working days. The new ATH is 24854, but before we talk about that - the price action of 18th Jul requires special mention.
We fell 84pts ~ 0.34% between open & 09.35, then we went up 162pts ~ 0.66% by 10.11. We then fell again 173pts ~ 0.7% by 11.31 and then rose 332pts ~ 1.36% by 14.51. Down-up-down-up, we had 4 mutually contradicting price movements, these are not normal times & the traders who are facing these headwinds are not ordinary either. It really takes so much courage & inner peace to trade with a level head.
The price action that followed today was a one way trip, a decent 346pts ~ 1.39% intraday fall after hitting a new ATH of 24854. The only reason I am going neutral from the bullish stance is because of the intensity of the fall today.
If we notice further weakness, I would not relent to go short as well. Honestly, going short has never worked for me in the past 1 year or so - the puts just eat the dust every single time. A bear run will wake up all those dreamers, thats what I feel.
Niftyprediction
Nifty50 ( Provisional chart ) 15th July This chart is not final, will update as per today's closing
Closing sustains above 24176 -- 24163 in daily 🕯 then it could move upside to above levels marked ( 24646 -- 25027 ) within 15th july
Expecting a correction to lower levels 📉📉📉 after the above targets
Achieve.
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -19/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24800 level and then possible upside rally up to 24920 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24760 level then the downside target can go up to the 24640 level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 19.07.2024On Thursday, Nifty took support exactly at the 15m demand zone (24485 - 24516) mentioned in the last post, broke the previous high, and made a new all-time high of 24837.75 before closing at 24800.85. The weekly (50 SMA) and daily trends (50 SMA) are now overbought.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (30m): 24599 - 24648
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24504 - 24560
Major support/demand zone (125m) for weekly trade: 24193 - 24357
Major support/demand zone (Daily): 24141 - 24461
There is currently no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
Nifty Trade Setup: Wave 4th Selling Opportunity, 1:7 RR Nifty Wave Analysis: July 18th 2024
Nifty is going up in extension after the June 4th crash. It clearly looks like Wave 3, and Wave 4 is about to begin.
Short Entry : 24587
Stop Loss : 24680
Expected Destinations:
23862 (23.6%)
23370 (38.2%)
And max 50%
Wave 4 could be a sharp correction, but we can't ignore the possibility of a time-wise correction. Therefore, selling monthly CE with a hedge is safer or Short Nifty Future.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not for trading. Please do your own analysis before making any decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -18/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24630 level and then possible upside rally up to 24750 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24580 level then the downside target can go up to the 24460 level.
#Nifty directions and level for July 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 18th:
The global market has a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the Gift Nifty indicates a 20-point decrease.
Nifty:
In the previous trading session, Nifty opened with a gap-up but did not rise much higher. Structurally, it is showing consolidation, which is likely to continue in the same direction. However, this will only happen if it breaks the previous high.
Given that Gift Nifty suggests a gap-down opening today, the scenario changes slightly.
So, If the market declines initially, we can expect a 23% to 38% level of correction. After that, if it finds support at these levels, the consolidation may continue. For a continuation, it must break the 38% Fibonacci level solidly.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back, we can expect consolidation until it breaks the previous high. If it breaks the previous high with a solid candlestick structure, a rally continuation is expected, with some consolidations around the resistance levels. On the other hand, if it doesn't break with a solid candlestick structure, the market may continue in a diagonal pattern, meaning it won't generate much premium today. (I have plotted a bow and tie pattern).
Note: You can follow the same sentiment if it opens with a gap-up movement.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 18.07.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap up and reached a new all-time high of 24,661.25 before closing at 24,613. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, while the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,485 - 24,516
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24,331 - 24,395
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
There is no supply/resistance zone visible on the chart at the moment.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -16/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24600 level and then possible upside rally up to 24720 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24570 level then the downside target can go up to the 24450 level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.07.2024On Monday, Nifty opened gap-up, reached a new all-time high of 24,635.05, and closed at 24,586.70. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,485 - 24,516
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24,331 - 24,395
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Currently, there is no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
Short term trading opportunity in Quess Corp. for 15% UpsideHi,
An bullish on-neck Breakout pattern emerged on the Daily chart of NSE:CHAMBLFERT
MACD on daily, weekly and monthly time frame is on the bullish side and also expecting the bullish setup to continue.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Jul 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Jul 2024
Bullish-Above 24640
Invalid-Below 24590
T- 24825
Bearish-Below 24520
Invalid-Above 24570
T- 24325
NIFTY has closed with a slight gain of 0.35% today. It was more or less non-directional day as where it opened is the same place where it closed EOD with an overall range of almost 100 points. It has formed a neutral doji candle in daily TF. Now below its low this candle will act as a reversal trigger. Also if it closes below 24500 then bulls may give up. Above 24640 there can be bullish move. We need a bearish price action in daily TF for a confirmed reversal.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24640 then we will long for the target of 24825.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24520. T- 24325.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Ujjivan Small Finance bank good to study NSE:UJJIVANSFB
Its on Near to support of FIB ZONE
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
Nifty50 (15th July) 1/2Above dash line is still pending to test
Before moving upside to 24670
It could 📉 to 24460 to HUNT STOP LOSS and from there could bounce to 24670
If 24460 below hourly 🕯 closes then more 📉 fall is expected to 24364
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Prediction for today 15 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY took support at 24344 and had a good bullish run, broke resistance, and sustained to the upside, showing a good bullish nature.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in the uptrending parrell channel, which has HH and HL, which have a bullish structure.
Support levels: 24429, 24128, 23985
Resistance levels: 24577 and Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.86 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24500 is Max pain. Lower levels have significantly higher PE writing than CE writing on higher levels, making a bullish market structure.
I am expecting the market to be sideways in the uptrend line channel. If the channel breaks down to the downside, a good bearish momentum can be seen till 24188.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows the market has a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 0.86 indicates market-bullish sentiments.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24500 levels, and make your positions accordingly.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -15/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24540 level and then possible upside rally up to 24660 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24490 level then the downside target can go up to the 24370 level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 15.07.2024On Friday, Nifty opened gap-up and made a new all-time high of 24,592.20 before closing at 24,502.15. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,331 - 24,384
Far support/demand zone (5m): 24,201 - 24,235
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Resistance Levels:
Near small supply/resistance zone (15m): 24,560 - 24,580
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Jul 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Jul 2024
Bullish-Above 24600
Invalid-Below 24550
T- 24780
Bearish-Below 24450
Invalid-Above 24500
T- 24275
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.73% gain last week. On 10 Jul it closed below PDL so as per the method we were following to ride the bullish move is now invalid. But now lets come to the 2nd validation point. Now if at all there is a bearish price action in daily TF then we will call it bearish and a confirmed reversal. Also this reversal confirmation will be updated through these trade setups. 24600 and 24450 are levels to watch out for tomorrow.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24600 then we will long for the target of 24780.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24450. T- 24275.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Will NIFTY & Bank Nifty's have a Tight Rangebound Movements ?Nifty looks stronger rather then Bank nifty overall in the charts, Nifty above 24600 will open doors fro 24800 levels above the new range till 25200 levels. SUpport is at 24150-24250, below this price should see 23980 level.
Bank Nifty has given a breakout from falling wedge, support at 52000-51900 levels, upside till 53200 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -12/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24360 level and then possible upside rally up to 24480 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24310 level then the downside target can go up to the 24190 level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.07.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened a gap-up inside the 15m supply zone mentioned in the last post and fell below 24,200 before recovering at the end. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (5m): 24,201 - 24,235
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
There is no major supply/resistance zone on the chart as of now.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Jul 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Jul 2024
Bullish-Above 24470
Invalid-Below 24420
T- 24595
Bearish-Below 24190
Invalid-Above 24240
T- 24030
NIFTY has closed on an absolute flat note today. It opened with a gap up of 70 points and 10 o'clock range broke downside below 24310 and made a low of 24190. It has formed an inside candle, possibly suggesting a consolidation before any big now. Also a triangular consolidation is in formation, breakout will give us possible hint of direction. However our key levels will be trade points- 24470 and 24190.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24470 then we will long for the target of 24595.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24190. T- 24030.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.