NIFTY 50 Shorting strikes based on Vix 🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18300 CE and Short 17900 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18300-17900 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18230 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18300
if breakdown happens at 17950 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 17900
🛑 Take Position after 11 to 11:30 AM if market still in between our range ie . 18230 - 17950.
- from 11:30 Am here afterwards volatility will starts to cool off
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
Niftyshort
NIFTY 50 Shorting strikes !!!🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18400 CE and Short 19000 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18400-18000 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18350 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18400
if breakdown happens at 18000 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18000
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY Shorting Strikes !!🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18400 CE and Short 18000 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18400-18000 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18350 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18400
if breakdown happens at 18050 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18000
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY Shorting Based On VIX !!🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18500 CE and Short 18100 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18500-18100 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18500 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18500
if breakdown happens at 18180 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18100
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY 50 Shorting Strikes !!🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18600 CE and Short 18200 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18600-18200 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18600 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18700
if breakdown happens at 18300 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18200
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY Shorting strikes !🛑 Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18700 CE and Short 18300 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18700-18300 ,only When there's no Volatility .
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18600 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18200
if breakdown happens at 18270 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18700
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY Shorting Strikes using Vix !Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18500 CE and Short 18150 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18500 - 18150 , When there's no Volatility.
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18400 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18500
if breakdown happens at 18150 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18100
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY Shorting strikes based on Vix!Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18300 CE and Short 18000 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18300 - 18000
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout happens at 18220 then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18300
if breakdown happens at 18050 then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 18000
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day..
NIFTY 50 Shorting strikes based on Vix Shorting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18150 CE and Short 17850 PE
🛑 India Vix helps to calculate the expected volatility for shorter time period
- currently india vixis at 15.85 down by -1.49% which means premium is declined in both CE as well as PE
- drop in premium bcz declined in volatility
- what is 15.85 ?
- well, it is expected volatility for next one from today it means nifty can go up by +15.85 % or it may can go down by - 15.85% (for next one year)
- it doesn't include any global sentiment or news
-now we can calculate expected volatility for next one month and even we can calculate for next day also
- Question is what is the use from it ?
- well, it tells us that it may can stays in between mine range when market is choppy / range bound
- we get that one point it is so much help full in side ways market , right ?
yeah
- if you needed range for next one month then , use this formula
Vix/sqrt (12) = x%
where - 12 is number of month ( standard vix is calculated for one year )
for ex, vix = 15.85 , sqrt(12) = 3.46
15.85/3.46 = 4.5 %
means from today's market close to next one month nifty can go up by +4.5% or it may can go down by -4.5% .
using this we can do short strangle for one month as we know as expiry appears premium will fall , or bcz of time decay / theta
caution it doesn't include any global , investors sentiment
- calculation for next day
if needed short strangle strikes for next day use this formula
- Vix/sqrt(365) =Y%
where 365 is number of days in one year
now for example (which is exactly given below)
Vix= 15.85 , sqrt (365) = 19.1
15.85/19.1 = 0.829% (149 points)
it means nifty can go up by +0.82% or it may can go down by -82%
- in other words nifty can go up by +149 points or it may can go up to max ie. 18150 (17991(previous close)+ 149 (expected points))
- and it may can down by -149 points or it may can go up to max ie. 17850 (17991-149)
now,
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18150 - 17850
- so , i will exit from one side position if any breakout/ breakdown happens (just to reduce the risk in one side )
i will exit only when support/resistance breakout (if you need resistance / support scroll down mine profile)
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout at 18050 happens then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18100 - 18150
if breakdown at 17850 happens then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 17750
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day
17217 ! The Absolute Top for Nifty - Target 15735 - October 31Nifty made its absolute Top.
You can buy monthly puts of September and October at cheapest prices premiums can go from 3x to 5x in next 2 months . Agressive selling coming from tommorow.
Upside limited Downside unlimited .
Ankit Tyagi - Stock Data Science
Levels for - 12 Oct 2021EXPLANATION : This is a 15 min time frame chart of NIFTY . It has been taking Support from Trendline / 50 EMA / Demand zone , If give a strong breakdown and broke its Trendline / 50 EMA / Demand zone with high volumes and retest the same , I am bearish on NIFTY . I am seeing very good selling opportunity in NIFTY target will be 200 EMA .
If you like this analysis give a Like // Follow for more updates , let me know in comments below :)
NIFTY 50 Shorting strikes using Vix !horting strikes purely based on india vix volatility index
- we can short one side either CALL or PUT side / if we do both then we can conclude that it is short strangle
- Short 18100 CE and Short 17750 PE
🛑 we can observe that market may be stays in between with the range of 18100 - 17750
- if short both side / if we did short strangle
if breakout at 18100 happens then we can exit from short CE position and hold short PE until achieve the target of 18100 - 18150
if breakdown at 17800 happens then we can exit from short PE position and hold the short CE until achieve the target of 17750
i hope that it will help a lot ,
if you like it do follow for more,
have nice day
NIFTY SHORT IDEA. PRICE ACTION ANALYSISNifty has bounced off from the above supply turned demand zone and then closed below this zone.
As observed, the price took a stop at 3.618 retracement of ABCD pattern. But looking at the DJI index, nifty is likely to open with a gap down.
Here, 17400,17300, and 17200 have a good OI on the put side, meaning they are good supports. This has to be interpreted in the right way.
1) For the 17400 put writers exit, there will be a bounce if the market opens with a gap down.
2)If the price breaks the 17300 level, long unwinding could take the price near the demand zone but shall have already broken the trendline.
3) There will be an exit way for 17300 put writers as well. The price may bounce from the demand zone for their exit.
4) After breaking this zone, the price may come to test the 17200 level which is also has a huge OI on the put side. The fall could be up to 17120 if this level is broken.
5) As the volatility is high, expect the market to move violently. But get the swings right for good profits and be patient for the right entries.
All the other data is mentioned on the chart.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes.
NIFTY PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS. SHORTNifty is currently trading at the potential reversal zone formed by the XABCD bearish Shark pattern.
If the marked trendline is broken after the price gets rejected from the PRZ, short Nifty and target zone would be the 0.5-0.618 fib retracement zone of CD swing.
The stop loss must be strictly followed, above this level ( 17266), shorts are going to be trapped.
The levels are mentioned on the chart.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes.
Nifty Overvalued on Monthly ChartCondition:
If Nifty is more than 60% away from its 91Days Moving average on monthly chart. We tend to see a correction of around 20-30% from Top.
Explanation:
As seen on Chart there are 7 scenarios (numbered on chart black 1-5 and Red-1 & -2 ) where Nifty’s Monthly High was more than 60% away from its monthly 91Days Moving average.
Every time Nifty has an over Up run it tends to fall and loose at least 20-30% from the Top.
In Event based Scenarios (Dot Com bubble, Lehmann Crises and Covid Fall) Nifty has even fallen below 91 EMA (Monthly) (Marked with RED Circle on Chart).
Only twice (in May 2006 and Jan 2007) the said condition was fulfilled and nifty fell only 8-12%. (Marked with -1 and -2 on Chart)
Rare Case: Jan2020 where Nifty was just 38.5% above 91Days Moving average and still fell below its 91 EMA (Monthly). Note here our condition was not fulfilled and still fall happed. (Covid fall)
Rest all the cases (marked on chart without numbers) nifty High is less than 60% away from its 91 EMA (Monthly) nifty did not give any correction.
Conclusion:
If we seen current scenario, Nifty is already 64% away 91Days Moving average. Hence, going forward Bullish Traders needs to be careful. A sharp correction of 20-30% is due in market.
I am “not saying” that correction will happen this month or next month or next quarter. But there is a high probability that it may happen soon since Nifty / Market cannot keep running up in straight line.
And if we notice monthly charts, since April 2020 Nifty has not shown correction in any month and just running in straight line which is Insane.
Note:
I am still bullish (as per shorter time frame), but expecting a Sideways or correction move soon.
Nifty Elliott wave analysis 6Sep 2021 onwardIn this 45min chart impulse wave started from 15513 wave (1), (2), (3) and (4) is completed at 15817, 15746, 16702 and 16376 respectively.
from 16376 61% projection of wave (5) is already achieved and it is in extended zone.
After completion of wave (v) started from 17055 nifty can give sharp decline towards 16376.
Nifty Future Heavy Shorting Zone 16965 - Stock Data ScienceNifty is flowing in the channel pattern and performing a Bull trap Now .
Resistance is around 17100 of the upper channel trendline but 17000 is a psycological barrier . By september second week it can panic fall 500 points easliy .
Kepp shorting :)
NIFTY TRADEING SETUP VIEW|27-8-2021As Describe In Chart
Trade Accordingly.
Support And Resistance
Lines Plot On Chart.
Once You Buy or Sell
Then Always Book Partial Profit.
Do Not Wait For Final Target.
Note: As We Seen Today After Opening Market Continue Sell Off In That Case Wait For Sometime To Take Entry In Either BUY Or SELL Side.
Thanx.