#Nifty directions and levels for January 8th, Wednesday:Good Morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 8th, Wednesday:
Market Overview:
The global market continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), and our local market is reflecting a similar outlook. Today, the market is likely to open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 20-point positive opening.
In the last session, Nifty and Bank Nifty opened with a gap-up but didn’t rally much. Based on the wave structure, the market seems to be in the 4th consolidation wave. Yesterday’s movement supports this view.
> Unless the market breaks the previous high, we can assume it is still in the consolidation phase. However, if it breaks the previous high, the trend may change. Usually, breaking the 38% Fibonacci level can push the market toward the 78% level.
> based on that if the market crosses yesterday’s high, we could see it move toward the 50% to 61% Fibonacci levels. This is the basic structure.
Chart structures were discussed in the previous session and remain unchanged, so we can follow yesterday’s sentiment today as well.
Niftytradesetup
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 7th January 2025Nifty opened with a minor gap-up, didn't sustain above our buy level 24055 and broke our sell level 23920 on the downside. Nifty made a low around 23550 and we saw good downside move today.
Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 23660 for the targets of 23710 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23550 for the targets of 23490 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 23660
Sell Below - 23550
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Jan 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Jan 2025
Bullish-Above 23800
Invalid-Below 23750
T- 24055
Bearish-Below 23550
Invalid-Above 23600
T- 23300
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.39% gain today, majorly contributed through gap up opening. It was just at 23700 zone. Tomorrow index may slide again below 23600 as index is in good bearish grip. However free fall scenario possible below 23550. In case 23800 is taken out in the higher side then it can test 24k once again.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23800 then we will long for the target of 24055.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23550. T- 23300
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Nifty directions and levels for January 7th, Tuesday:Good Morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 7th, Tuesday:
Market Overview:
The global market is maintaining a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market is has a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on the Gift Nifty showing an 70-point positive start.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a solid correction. what about next? even if it opens with gap-up start we can expect correction once if it rejects around the 38% mark. because if it takes pullback strucutrelly it couold be a 4th wave, 4th its a consolidation wave and the upcoming wave is 5th, 5th its a distribution wave so as per the structure the moment might be decrese during the 4th and 5th wave. lets look at the structure.
Nifty Current View:
The current view saying if the market opens with gap-up and its sustains then it could take 23 to 38% pullback in the minor swing. and structurally it could be a 4th wave. The 4th wave is a three-wave structure, and it could also be a consolidation wave. the 4th wave usually doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level. so once its started to reject there then we can expect correction. this is the basic structure. However, if the market experiences a strong pullback, it could reach the 50% mark.
Alternate View:
An alternate scenario suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain and breaks the previous low then we can expect correction to the level of 23460 to demand zone. if this happens we should consider thats a 5th wave. 5th wave its a distribution wave so if it finds support around 23460 or the demand zone. then we can expect min od 23 to 38% pullback in the overall swing.
(before entering the pullback entry pls check some reversal conformation.
Nifty 50 Analysis: Key Levels and Trends for January 2025The Nifty 50 Index has experienced notable downward momentum recently, currently trading at 23,581, marking a 1.77% decline. Here’s a breakdown of the technical outlook:
Channel Trends
Descending Channel: The index is trading within a downward sloping channel (blue). It has respected both the upper and lower trendlines, suggesting the bearish trend remains intact for now.
Broader Structure: The yellow trendlines highlight the long-term rising channel. Nifty remains well above the lower support of this broader channel, indicating a potential cushion if the selloff deepens.
Key Fibonacci Levels
The Fibonacci retracement and extensions indicate critical zones:
1.618 Level: 23,112, acting as immediate support.
3.618 Extension: 22,444, a deeper bearish target in case of further selloff.
Support and Resistance
Immediate Resistance:
24,791 (upper channel boundary).
Critical Supports:
23,112 (1.618 extension).
22,444 (long-term support).
Volume Analysis
Significant volume spikes are observed during major selloffs, suggesting heightened institutional activity. A continuation of higher volume at lower prices may signal capitulation or accumulation.
Outlook
Bearish Continuation: As long as Nifty trades within the descending channel, expect further downside with supports at 23,112 and 22,444.
Bullish Recovery: A breakout above 24,791 may signal a reversal, leading to potential upside targets near 26,000.
#Nifty directions and levels for January 6th, Monday:Good Morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 6th, Monday:
Market Overview:
The global market is maintaining a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market is also showing a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on the Gift Nifty showing an 80-point positive start.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a minor decline. However, the structures indicate a range-bound market, so until the range is broken, we shouldn't expect directional movement. Let’s look at the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view for Nifty suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up, 24072 will act as a resistance. This means that until this level is broken, the market will maintain a bearish bias. However, if it breaks 24072, then we can expect a minimum target of 24173, which is also a major resistance level.
> After reaching 24173, if it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect further continuation of the pullback. Conversely, if it rejects this level, the range is likely to continue. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
An alternate scenario suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain and breaks the 38% mark on the downside, the correction will likely continue to the 50% mark. Based on the correction structure, if the correction has a solid structure, it will likely continue to 78%. Conversely, if it reaches 50% with gradual movements, we can expect a minor pullback.
Nifty key levels for 06.01.2025Nifty key levels for 06.01.2025
If nifty breaks the upper or lower range we can expect the momentum. Consolidation zone will be favour to option sellers. Either side breakout will help option buyers.
Disclaimer:
Views are purely educational in nature. You are solely responsible for any decisions you take on basis of my research
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 6 Jan 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 6 Jan 2025
Bullish- Above 24230
Invalid-Below 24180
T- 24500
Bearish-Below 23900
Invalid-Above 23950
T- 23650
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note last week but technically it is a neutral candle. In daily TF, 50 EMA is tested and got rejected. Now if index gives 50 EMA breakout then we will maintain buy on dips approach. 24250 is the last hourly swing high, an important level for bullish reversal.23200 is major weekly level, breakdown will lead to a short term crash.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24230 then we will long for the target of 24500+.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23900. T- 23650.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Nifty directions and levels for the second week of January:Nifty
Previous Week Recap:
Last week, Nifty moved in a three-way structure. It started on a negative note, shot up sharply midweek, and ended with a slight decline. Open interest indicates a bearish bias, but it hasn’t fully confirmed. This suggests a moderately bullish bias for now. Let’s examine the charts.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Nifty could reach a minimum of 23,624. After that:
* If it consolidates or breaks below this level, the correction may continue.
* However, if it holds above 23,624, it could turn into a range-bound market between the previous high and 23,624.
Alternate View:
If the market finds support around 23,934 and breaks the previous high, it could target 24,559–24,698. This range is a significant resistance, and the rally will continue only if it breaks this level. Otherwise, the market could remain range-bound.
Final Note:
* The US market has several major events this week, so each session may open with fluctuations.
* The local market is entering the earnings season.
* Charts: Both global and local markets are in a range.
* Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures as well as open interest.
Expectation: The market is likely to remain range-bound with a negative bias this week.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 6th January 2025 Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels
Buy Above: High of the 1-hour candle that closes above 24,080
Sell Below: Low of the 1-hour candle that closes below 23,930
Targets
Upside: 24,125, 24,170, 24,220
Downside: 23,880, 23,870, 23,745
Strategy Summary
Buy Signal: Initiate a buy order above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above 24,080. Aim for targets of 24,125, 24,170, and 24,220.
Sell Signal: Initiate a sell order below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below 23,930. Aim for targets of 23,880, 23,870, and 23,745.
Risk Management: Use a trailing stop-loss to manage risk and safeguard your capital. Make it a point to book profits at the specified levels.
Disclaimer
I am not SEBI registered. This strategy is derived from historical data and technical analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading is inherently risky, and you should only invest money that you are willing to lose. It's essential to conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions
Nifty 50 Friday analysis For YouNifty Analysis Friday
In the chart we shared yesterday in Nifty, you said that a good move can be seen after the breakout.
Nifty may open flat again today
There is a small resistance area around 24350
Right now the breakout level is above
If it sustains above the support level then it can go up side otherwise it can come down side again
#NIFTY50
02 Jan 25 - Direct stance change from bearish to bullish---
Nifty Stance Bullish ⬆
In the last post mortem report, I did indicate the change of stance if Nifty goes above 24177. Nifty has a close of 24188 (weighted average) and 24167 (traded value) - so I cannot say with a 100% guarantee if we got a real close above 24177 or not. The 445 pts ~ 1.88% move today gives nifty a direct stance change from bearish to bullish (no neutral stance).
We are up 409pts ~ 1.72% of which 445pts came today, which also means that the stance was bearish till the 2nd of Jan 2025. What happened today is beyond comprehension, I am almost sure that none of the traders were ready for the move like this.
Nifty has moved 728pts intra week of which 445pts came today.
The USDINR chart is also relevant here, especially the mega move once we got a governor change. I think this is an inflection point and a weakening rupee (no firefighting by the RBI) is good for inflows.
Returning to the Nifty report, a fall below 23931 will shift my stance back to bearish so it is pretty important that Nifty holds the level today. If we continue to go up the crucial resistance levels would be 24348 and 24547. I hope we do not go above 24650 for the current expiry.
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The change in regulations is hitting professional traders more than the entry level retail ones. SEBI's new set of rules was implemented to turn off the small traders and since most of them do the options buying, the impact is not that much. The professional traders on the other hand are really going crazy as the new margin requirements are not at all helping.
When you take out the professional traders from the equation, they would prefer to trade on forex, crypto or the US options than the Indian counterpart. It is just a matter of time before we see the intellectual migration to the mother market. The whine and the roar on X is proof that influencers have started talking about alternate trading options. Personally, I feel if most of them get access to a stable market - they would not hesitate to migrate.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 03 JAN 24As we discussed, the NIFTY has been in sideways accumulation phase, it has broken to upside.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at 50 EMA (1D-tf) and 200 EMA (4H-tf) resistance levels. Also, the market has given good bullish momentum today. Tomorrow might be a small side day. Also, the market is trading near the resistance level, which is going to provide good resistance. Important levels and trendlines have been marked on the chart.
Support levels: 200 EMA, 23950, 50 EMA (23800)
Resistance levels: 24167, Trendline (PINK), 24330
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.2, which shows a good bullish structure in the market. The market has 24200 as max pain. As it is the very beginning of the weekly expiry, OI data is not going to play a very crucial role. Lower sides 24000, 23900, and 23800 have very good PE writing, so bulls are quite strong on lower levels. On higher levels, 24500 has good CE writing, which is going to provide good resistance.
I am expecting
The market is to be sideways unless it breaks the PINK trendline.
Reason:
RSI = 77 shows a bullish structure. (Bullish) -
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good Bullish structure. (Bullish)
PCR = 1.2 indicates bullish direction in the market.
Price > VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 24200 CE and Sell 24200. PE holds it in the range. Exit one leg if it breaks to one side.
Nifty weekly expiry analysis for 02/01/2025.Tomorrow is nifty first weekly expiry of the year.
A consolidation is going on in the index and today also it closed in a range.
If there is break out of the trendline on the upper side, chances of market retesting 24k levels are high.
In case of a fail and market trading downside, a trend downside possibilities are there.
20-EMA and 50-EMA are acting as a resistance and once cleared higher EMAs can be tested.
Option buyer be cautious of the expiry premium decay. Only trade the momentum.
Major levels
Upper resistance :- 24850, 24080
Lower support :- 23550, 23330.
NIFTY50 - REVERSAL SWING TRADE ON LONG SIDESymbol - NIFTY50
NIFTY is currently trading at 23585
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying NIFTY Futures at 23585
I will add more long position at 23435, if comes.
Holding with SL of 23275
Targets I'm expecting are 24080 - 24210 - 24400
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty Trading Strategy for 30th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,940
Sell Below: The low of the 1-hour candle that closes below 23,750
Targets:
Upside Targets: 23,979, 24,022, 24,080
Downside Targets: 23,727, 23,684, 23,630
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,940, aiming for targets of 23,979, 24,022, and 24,080.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below 23,750, aiming for targets of 23,727, 23,684, and 23,630.
Trailing Stop-Loss: Use a trailing stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Book Profits: Regularly book profits at the specified resistance and support levels.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This strategy is based on historical data and technical analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves risk, and you should only invest money that you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for Friday, December 27th:Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for Friday, December 27th:
Market Overview
The global market shows a moderately bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones), but our local market is leaning toward a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open neutral or slightly gap-up, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 40-point positive start.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in different directions; however, by the end of the day, both closed near the middle of their respective ranges. We are still in a range-bound market, and until the range is broken, we cannot expect any significant directional movement.
What about today?
It’s a bit difficult to say because Nifty is showing signs of a pullback move, while Bank Nifty is indicating a downtrend. How can we interpret this? Whenever the market exhibits such conflicting signals, it mostly leans toward consolidation. However, if both indices move in the same direction and a proper signal occurs, we can consider taking a position.
This is the basic structure. Let’s analyze the chart for more insights.
Nifty Current View
The current view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a pullback toward 38% on the upside. After that, if rejection occurs at this level, a correction can be expected. On the other hand, if the pullback has a solid structure and is followed by a range breakout (above 38%), the pullback is likely to continue further.
Alternate View: If the market declines after the gap-up, the range-bound scenario will likely persist. In this case, the corrective targets are expected to reach a minimum of 23,609.
26th Dec '24 - Last Expiry of Calendar year, Nifty is bearishNifty Stance Bearish ⬇
On a week-to-week basis, we only fell 204pts ~ 0.85%, but things definitely did not look good last Friday. We could have easily taken out the 23350 levels but the reversal on Monday halted the momentum. I guess the sellers will have to rally the market again to push it down later.
On Friday, Nifty had a high of 24065 and a low of 23537, a spread of 528 points. Everything pointed southward and our bearish plan was getting executed as per the script.
On Monday, we had a temporary retracement - maybe the excess shorts would have covered, this took us to almost 50% of the Fibonacci fall levels of the previous day. Unfortunately on Tuesday, we did not have that continuity and Wednesday was a holiday due to Christmas. I thought we might have a trending day today, but that plan also failed.
I have still my hopes pinned on further bearish moves, but not before we go up a little bit because at current levels I do not see any one-sided momentum. The catch is if we fall from the current levels without a trigger, then the downward push will be much more brutal. 24177 would be a resistance above which I would go bullish.