Niftytrend
Professional Trading MindsetOne of the most important psychological characteristics of winning traders is the ability to accept (1) risk and (2) the fact that you may well be wrong more often than you are right in initiating trades. Winning traders understand that trade management is actually a more important skill than market analysis.
How to trade professionally?
Start with a clear and concise plan with proven strategies and then leverage the 20 rules that follow.
Stick to Your Discipline. ...
Lose the Crowd. ...
Engage Your Trading Plan. ...
Don't Cut Corners. ...
Avoid the Obvious. ...
Don't Break Your Rules. ...
Avoid Market Gurus. ...
Use Your Intuition.
Option Data Trading– Option Chain Analysis can be used to find out the actual trend of the particular stock or index. Usually institutions and big funds sell options. By finding out which strike has more open interest, we can actually understand the support and resistance levels of a security (be it stocks or indices) for that expiry.
How to do option analysis? Option analysis involves studying various parameters like strike prices, premiums, implied volatility, open interest, and time decay. Combining this data with technical and fundamental analysis helps assess potential trade setups and risks.
Data Trading Part -1 It proves useful for assessing the depth and liquidity of specific strikes. It aids traders to find option premium against its corresponding maturity date and strike price. Option chain serves as a warning against breakouts or sharp moves in the index.
How It Works: A long straddle options strategy involves simultaneously buying a call option and a put option on the same underlying asset with the same strike price and expiration date. This strategy becomes profitable when the stock significantly shifts in one direction or another.
Navigating the Bullish Surge: A Cautious Approach to InvestingThe Indian markets are experiencing an extraordinary rally, with major indices soaring to unprecedented heights. This surge is undoubtedly enticing for retail traders and investors eager to capitalize on the momentum. However, the pressing question remains: Are these elevated levels truly the right time to enter the market? Perhaps not.
To gain insight, we can turn to a diagram by Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue that illustrates the typical stages of a market bubble. When we overlay this framework onto the current landscape of Indian indices, it becomes apparent that we may be on the brink of significant market movement—potentially in the coming weeks.
History has shown us that markets can swing from euphoric bullishness to sharp corrections. Notable examples include the catastrophic crash of 2008 and the rapid declines during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. While we may not face declines as drastic as those events, it’s essential for retail traders to be proactive in safeguarding their investments.
One effective strategy to mitigate downside risk is to consider purchasing long dated put option. A put option provides the holder with the right to sell the underlying asset without the obligation to do so. This means that if the market experiences a downturn—whether in the immediate future or after a few weeks or months—the put option can yield significant profits during a substantial decline. On the flip side, if the market continues its upward trajectory, the put option will gradually lose value and may eventually become worthless as indices continue to set new records.
The key takeaway here is to keep your investment strategy straightforward and avoid unnecessary complexity. This is merely one of many strategies available for investors looking to protect their portfolios.
Final Thoughts: As we navigate these exciting yet unpredictable market conditions, it’s crucial to remain vigilant and informed. While the allure of all-time highs is compelling, prudent risk management is essential for long-term success in investing.
Disclaimer: All investments carry inherent market risks. This article is not a recommendation; please conduct your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions.
Rsi and Rsi Divergence #NSEThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator in technical analysis that helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. Here’s a brief overview:
Interpretation:
Overbought: An RSI above 70 suggests that the asset might be overbought and could be due for a pullback.
Oversold: An RSI below 30 indicates that the asset might be oversold and could be due for a bounce.
Usage: Traders often use RSI in conjunction with other indicators to confirm signals and make more informed trading decisions..
How To Draw Support and ResistanceHorizontal Support and Resistance Levels:
These are drawn using horizontal lines based on price points.
Support Levels: Identify areas where the market had difficulty breaking below. These levels often have a cluster of buy orders.
Resistance Levels: Represent price points where the market struggled to break above. Sellers tend to enter around these levels.
Round-Number Levels (Psychological Levels):
These occur around round exchange rates (e.g., 1.00, 1.10, 1.50).
Traders pay attention to these levels due to their psychological significance.
Trendline Support and Resistance:
Draw upward or downward sloping trendlines using at least two price points.
Trendlines help identify dynamic support and resistance.
ADVANCED PCR TRADING #NSE #BSE #Option'sWhat is the PCR Ratio?
The PCR measures the relative trading volume of put options (bearish bets) to call options (bullish bets) in the market.
It’s calculated as:PCR=Open Interest of Call Options / Open Interest of Put Options
Interpretation:
PCR > 1: Indicates bearish sentiment. More put options are being traded, suggesting traders are hedging against potential declines or speculating on downward moves.
PCR < 1: Signals bullish sentiment. More call options are traded, indicating traders expect price increases or are hedging short positions.
PCR = 1: Suggests a neutral sentiment where buying and selling pressures are balanced.
Why PCR Matters:
Sentiment Gauge: The PCR reflects market sentiment. Tracking changes helps you gauge optimism or pessimism.
Contrarian Indicator: Extremely high PCR may signal excessive pessimism, potentially leading to reversals.
Advanced Trading With DataBase Part -2 #Nse #BseDefine Your Risk Tolerance and Goals: Before diving into options trading, assess your risk tolerance and establish clear trading objectives. Understand how much risk you’re willing to take on and what you aim to achieve.
Diversify Your Options Strategies: Spread your risk by using various options strategies. Consider covered calls, protective puts, and other approaches to safeguard your investments.
Set Entry and Exit Points: Determine specific levels at which you’ll enter and exit trades.
Having clear guidelines helps you avoid emotional decisions during market fluctuations.
Limit Maximum Risk Per Trade: When buying options, consider using debit spreads. These allow you to define your maximum risk upfront while still benefiting from potential gains.
Allocate Capital Wisely: Allocate a specific portion of your capital to each trade. Avoid overcommitting to any single position.
Diversify Across Underlying Assets: Spread your options positions across different stocks or indices. This diversification helps mitigate risk associated with individual assets.
Monitor and Adjust: Stay informed about market conditions and adjust your positions as needed. Be flexible and adapt to changing circumstances.
Advanced Data Base Option's Trading #NSE #BSEInstitutional options trading refers to the buying and selling of options contracts by large entities such as banks, pension funds, hedge funds, mutual funds, and other institutional investors. These institutions accumulate funds from various investors to trade on their behalf.
Options are financial derivatives that give the holder the right (but not the obligation) to buy (call option) or sell (put option) an underlying asset (such as stocks, commodities, or currencies) at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specified time frame (expiration date).
Here are some key points about institutional options trading:
1.Institutional Traders vs. Retail Traders:
*Institutional Traders: These traders manage accounts for institutions or groups. They trade larger volumes and have access to more exotic products, including complex options.
*Retail Traders: These traders operate personal accounts and typically trade smaller sizes of assets.
2.Advantages of Institutional Trading:
*Access to a wide range of financial instruments, including exotic options.
*Ability to execute large trades efficiently due to their substantial funds.
*Influence on market prices due to their significant trading volumes.
3.Service Providers Used by Institutional Trading Firms:
* Bloomberg
* Thomson Reuters
* Factset
* Marketwatch
4.Educational Requirements and Job Opportunities:
*Becoming an institutional trader often requires a strong educational background in finance, economics, or related fields.
*Job opportunities include roles in trading, risk management, and portfolio management.
5.Earnings:
*Institutional traders can earn substantial salaries, but compensation varies based on experience, performance, and the institution.
Remember that institutional trading strategies involve careful analysis, calculated moves, and a long-term perspective, as these traders significantly impact market dynamics.
The Psychology of Money--The Psychology of Money --
1. Real wealth is the money that you don't see
2. Focus on lowering risk, not maximizing reward
3. Focus only on factors you can control
4. Compound interest x Time = wealth
5. Money doesn't get peoples' respect
6. Only take risks you can recover from
7. Never ever happened won't happen
8. Focus on your systems, not outcomes
9. Plan for when the plan goes sideways
10. Money only solves money problems
11. Your goals will not be the same forever
12. Don't take permanent decisions lightly
13. Money is just a tool, not the goal
14. Learn to say when you have "enough"
15. Talk is cheap, you are your actions
16. Decisions are never perfectly rational
17. Don't fear change. It will happen inevitably
18. Some lessons must be experienced to be understood
19. Desperate people believe whatever sounds like salvation
20. The best thing that money can buy is your freedom.
NIFTY 50 (BULLs VS BEARs) Date - 13th March 2024
Time - 10:05 AM
After seeing today's move of gap up opening and then filled the gap again.
FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE
1. This Volume indicator is more useful than ordinary horizontal and time base volume indicator.
2. Its Flexible to use and you can put wherever you want to identify at that particular time who are the dominators (BULLS OR BEARS), who made that particular move in market.
3. As we can see in chart, I have put 2 Fixed range volume tools for 2 different times, in that Red Lines come out it is showing POC (Point of Control) for that selected range.
4. If Current price is below POC line than we can say Bears are in Dominance , as per current situation in Nifty 50.
5. If Price roaming above POC line means Bulls are in all over Dominance so far.
So, after using this tool we can identify within dark volume range (shown in chart) sluggish movement expected and Until Price won't break POC line and High-volume range either side strong and rational move should not expected.
Lower the volume at any particular price faster the movement we can expect.
What you need to become a successful trader?here we have discussed what are the important things that you will need to become a successful trader.
1. Techinical Analysis Skill: Understanding the chart behaviour;
Price
Volume
Support and resistance
Trendlines
2. Risk Capability
How much money you can afford to lose on a single order, and on a single day.
3. Peace of Mind
Are you having a thought that might disturb your trade making decision. You must
have a calm and peaceful mind for being a successful trader.
4. Trade Managment
Trade management is the skill that gives you the power to make intelligent
decisions based on the analysis of which point is the best point to enter and
exit from the trade.
NIFTY DESCENDING triangle formationHere is my overview of descending triangle forming in the price levels.
WHAT IS DESCENDING TRIANGLE??
Formation: A descending triangle pattern begins to take shape after a prolonged downtrend. Traders and analysts notice a series of lower highs forming as the price of an asset consistently makes lower peaks. These lower highs are often seen as a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
Support Level: Simultaneously, a horizontal support level emerges as the price bounces off a particular price point multiple times, creating a horizontal line. This support level represents a significant area of demand, where buyers are willing to step in and prevent the price from falling below that level.
Triangle Shape: The pattern takes the form of a triangle as the descending trendline connecting the lower highs and the horizontal support line intersect. The descending trendline acts as a resistance level that keeps pushing the price down.
Bearish Bias: The descending triangle pattern suggests a strong bearish bias. As the price continues to make lower highs, it indicates that sellers are in control, and buyers are less willing to bid the price up. The horizontal support level becomes increasingly crucial as a decisive point where traders expect the price to either break down or reverse.
Volume Analysis: Volume analysis is essential when considering a descending triangle pattern. Typically, during the formation of this pattern, the trading volume tends to decrease. Lower volume indicates decreased interest in the asset and often precedes a significant price move. Traders often look for an increase in volume when the price breaks below the horizontal support, signaling a stronger confirmation of the bearish trend.
Confirmation and Entry Points: The descending triangle pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the horizontal support level. This breakdown is a bearish signal, and traders often look for this event to initiate short positions or to exit long positions. Entry points are typically just below the support level, and stop-loss orders are usually set just above the horizontal support or the descending trendline.
Price Target: To estimate the potential price target after a breakdown, measure the height of the triangle from the highest point (the first lower high) to the horizontal support. Then, subtract this measurement from the breakdown point. This gives you an approximate price target for the downward move.
Market Architecture By 👑Royal Trend👑👑Royal Trend👑
In this video we try to understand the Market Architecture.
How market really work with number's
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Nifty Index is a terrible investment during most market cyclesI explored a few stats that made me re think whether it made any sense to buy nifty futures, options. Here were a few (well shocking for me) statistics
CNX 500 has outperformed Nifty on an absolute basis for long periods of time
Bank Nifty has performed even worse than the Nifty - buying that is a losing game
Why? I dont know - maybe diversification , low representation of new age stocks, too much commodity / cyclical exposure
Nifty does great during bear cycles - fairly evident why - mutual fund managers like to smash it, buying puts, shorting futures to hedge their exposure
Bottom Line - Am only going to be looking at Nifty and bank nifty as hedging instruments unless proven otherwise. I do hope we have a CNX 500 Index coming soon.
Till then - buy strong stocks, growth names - and use the indices to hedge like the fund managers
How To Trade In Option's By Big Bulls🤑💸✔✔💲🙏#HDFCBANK #BANKNIFTY #NIFTY50 #NIFTY #SENSEX #TATA
Intraday trading involves buying and selling options within the same trading day, rather than holding them for an extended period. By adopting this approach, traders can make profits by capitalizing on the short-term price movements of the underlying asset.22-Apr-2023
Is option buying good for intraday?
Trading intraday options can be a great way to benefit from short-term market fluctuations and make quick money. Before you dive headfirst into the fast-paced world of intraday options, it's important to have a sound strategy with an understanding of risks and rewards.
The long black candlestick is 'the mother' and the small candlestick is 'the baby'. The smaller the second candlestick, the stronger is the reversal signal. The shadows of the second candlestick do not have to be contained within the first candle's body.
Which candle is best for option trading?
Here are the top 5 candlestick patterns that traders must know:
Doji. The Doji pattern is formed when the Open Price and Close Prices are the same or almost the same, and there is Low and High Price, so the candle has nearly nobody with a lower and upper wick. ...
Hanging Man. ...
Hammer. ...
Morning Star and Evening Star.
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
RBI Forex Reserve Grow is this Good or Bad ?
1st 140 Billion loss hua hai or ab 20 Billion Grow hua hai to hai to abi bhi loss mai
Gover..t abi losss mai hai
Power of 25, 75, and 125-Minute Timeframes in the Indian MarketSelecting the right time frame for technical analysis is a crucial decision for any technical analyst. In the Indian market, the trading session lasts for 375 minutes, starting from 9:15 AM and ending at 3:30 PM. While many traders commonly use the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour time frames, these intervals often result in incomplete candles, which can distort the accuracy of the analysis. Instead, opting for the 25-minute, 75-minute, and 125-minute time frames can provide more complete data, leading to more informed trading decisions.
Drawbacks of traditional time frames:
When using a 30-minute time frame, there are 13 candles formed, with the last candle representing only 15 minutes of trading. This disrupts the technical analysis process. By switching to a 25-minute time frame, traders can overcome this issue and work with 15 complete candles per trading day.
Traditional 1-hour time frames produce 7 candles, including a final 15-minute candle, which interrupts the smooth flow of technical analysis. By adopting a 75-minute time frame, traders can obtain 5 complete candles, offering a more comprehensive perspective on price movements.
Instead of confining analysis to a 2-hour time frame, which results in an incomplete final candle, traders can harness the power of a 125-minute time frame. With 3 complete candles per trading session, each representing a 125-minute interval, a more comprehensive understanding of price dynamics can be achieved.
Benefits:
Enhanced accuracy in analysing price action, as each candle represents a complete interval of 25, 75, or 125 minutes.
Reduced gaps in price action, as each candle becomes a complete unit of time.
Clearer depiction of trends with fewer distractions from incomplete candles.
Improved visibility of trends, as each candle provides a more representative snapshot of the price action.
A more holistic view of the market, aiding in the identification of key support and resistance levels. If you utilize concepts like RBR, RBD, DBR, and DBD, it is recommended to use these time frames, as the presence of an incomplete candle can inadvertently impact your analysis. You may mistakenly consider the last incomplete candle as a base or leg candle, which can affect your overall analysis.
Conclusion:
In the Indian stock market, precision and accuracy are vital for successful trading. By embracing unconventional time frames like 25 minutes, 75 minutes, and 125 minutes, traders can enhance their technical analysis capabilities and gain a competitive edge. Although these specific time frames are available through TradingView's paid plans, traders without access can still utilize traditional time frames. However, it is essential to recognize the limitations and potential disruptions caused by incomplete candles. Embracing the power of these alternative time frames unlocks a clearer and more comprehensive view of the market, empowering traders to make confident trading decisions.
This article is written by Afnan Tajuddin with the aim of encouraging Indian traders to adopt powerful timeframes commonly used by professional traders, to enhance their technical analysis skills.
If you found this article helpful, please consider following me for more analysis and educational articles. Your likes and comments are appreciated, as they motivate me to provide more analysis for you. If you have any questions, feel free to ask in the comment box below.
Thank you for reading this educational article.
8 new price lines candlestick pattern 1. It occurs in an uptrend.
2. The pattern is characterized by 8 candlesticks with higher highs.
3. Closed off the candle should be above the previous candle stick body
If this occurs, there are more chances that there will be a rise in Prices. If the Close is below the Top of the Real Body of the Previous Candle , there are more chances that there will be a fall in Prices.
Correlations between Nifty and DXY studyHello Friends, here we had shared just an observation on correlation between NIFTY and DXY which are clearly showing opposite directional runs from last couple of months, also we are assuming the wave counts on both, which are suggesting same patterns ahead along with good support by this correlation, this increases good chances of winning probabilities of our forecasting and analysis, this whole scenario helps in view building and analyzing charts.
I'll mention that this is for educational purpose only, and this is not for trading purpose . Thanks
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.