Get started

Nitinspiners

NITINSPIN - Long Setup, Move is ON..NSE:NITINSPIN ✅ #NITINSPIN trading above Resistance of 338 ✅ Next Resistance is at 434 Related charts: Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:NITINSPINLong
by Sandeep_Aggarwal
NITINSPIN - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Nitin Spinners Limited Ichimoku Cloud Setup : 1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line 2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish 3). Chikou span is slanting upwards All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price and more bullishness AFTER crossing 250 #This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market. # Cloud Trading # Ichimoku Cloud # Ichimoku Followers I hope you all like my analysis. Please do share your thoughts into comment section. Please give a like, share & subscribe for daily analysis.
NSE:NITINSPINLong
by nikunjbhadja
Nitin Spinners Ltd Investment IdeaNitin Spinners Ltd, promoted by the Nolkha family of Bhilwara, is one of the leading manufacturers of cotton yarn, knitted fabrics, greige and finished woven fabrics and a Government of India-recognized export house. Established in 1992, NSL started operations with open end spinning with 384 rotors. Currently, the company has an integrated textile complex with over 3 lakh spindles, 3488 rotors, 63 knitted machines and 168 air jet weaving machines. Product Portfolio Nitin Spinners was incorporated in 1993 in Bhilwara as a small-scale unit with a capacity of only 384 rotors. Over the years, Nitin Spinners has expanded the operations to include open end yarns, multi-fold open end yarns, ring spun combed yarns, multi-fold ring spun yarns, compact yarns, fancy slub yarns, core spun yarns, S and Z twist yarns, dyeable cheese cones and organic cotton yarns and blends. Their product range in knitted fabrics include single jersey, pique structures, inter-lock structures, rib structures and three thread fleeces. Capacities Nitin Spinners has an installed capacity of 2,23,056 Spindles and 2,936 Rotors, producing 50,000 tons of yarn per annum. No of installed spindles between FY16 to FY21 increased by 2x. No of installed rotors & knitting machines between FY16 to FY21 increased by 1.2x & 1.3x respectively. As of FY21 it has 168 looms for Woven fabrics and processed woven fabrics with dyeing, finishing & printing capacity of 30 mn MTS/PA. Thus, increasing contribution of value-added products going forward. Clients The customer base of the company is diversified with top ten customers accounting for only 16% of the total income of the company in FY21 (PY: 18%), with each customer having less than 5% share of the total income. NSL supplies its products to some of the renowned brands like Raymond, Donear, D’Decor, Siyaram’s, Welspun etc in domestic market and Zara, United Colors of Benetton, Hennes & Mauritz (H&M), Marco Polo in the international market. The company enjoys good relationship with these customers and receives repeat orders from them. As on December 31, 2021, the company had nearly 2.5-3 months of orders on hand. FY21 Revenue Break-up Growing contribution of Value-added products. -Yarn: 68% (FY20 73%) -Woven Fabrics: 15% (FY20: 9%) -Knitted Fabrics: 11% (FY20: 11%) -Others: 6% (FY20: 7%) FY21 Revenue Geography-wise -Export: 63% (FY20: 55%) -Domestic: 37% (FY20: 45%) Capex Capex done in 2020 Integrated Textiles Complex at Begun, Chittorgarh, by setting up 76,992 Spindles for manufacturing Cotton & Blended Yarns. 552 Rotors for Blended Open end Yarn. 168 Air-Jet Weaving Machines along with facilities for Dyeing, Printing & Finishing of Fabrics. Fresh capex of 950 cr. announced in December 2021 which should finish in 20 months with additional capacity in spinning (from 75'000 TPA to 110'000 TPA), knitted fabrics (from 8'500 to 11'000 TPA) and woven fabrics (from 30 to 40 million m/pa). On January 2022, ICRA reaffirmed Nitin Spinners Ltd’s ratings as stable. Following are the excerpts from the credit rating report: - Key Rating Strengths Experience of promoters in the textile industry - NSL was promoted by the Nolkha family in 1992. Mr. R. L. Nolkha, Chairman, has an experience of over four decades in the textile industry. At present, he is also the Vice Chairman of Confederation of Textile Industries (CITI) and a member of the Board of Governors of Textile Skill Development Council. Mr Dinesh Nolkha, Managing Director, has around three decades of industrial experience and handles yarn marketing, finance and general administration. He is also Chairman of Northern India Textile Research Association (NITRA) and a committee member of Rajasthan Textile Mills Association (RTMA). Mr Nitin Nolkha, Joint Managing Director, has around two decades of industrial experience, and looks after marketing of fabrics, procurement of materials and implementation of projects. Long and established track record with integrated nature of operations in textile industry - NSL has a track record of around three decades of operation in the Indian textile industry. The company has presence in more than 60 countries globally, deriving more than half of revenue from exports. Further, NSL is continuously investing in the latest technologies, resulting in delivering quality products. Furthermore, NSL has various accreditations pertaining to quality management (ISO 9001:2015), energy management (ISO 50001), environmental management (ISO 14001: 2015) and occupational health and safety management (OHSAS 18001). As a part of value addition and widening of its product range, the company has set up an integrated textile complex at Begun (District: Chittorgarh, State: Rajasthan) equipped with modern spinning, weaving, dyeing, finishing and printing facilities along with compliance with pollution control norms. NSL’s plant is capable of producing wide range of yarn as per the market demand. Furthermore, the company has also set up a 10.5 MW thermal power plant and 8.5 MW rooftop solar power plant for captive consumption ensuring consistent power supply. Moreover, the company is also planning to set-up another 6 MW rooftop solar power plant over a period of next 2 years to reduce its power & fuel cost. diversified product profile with large share of revenue contributed by cotton yarn - NSL is engaged in manufacturing of wide variety of cotton yarn, knitted fabrics and finished woven fabrics. Cotton yarn accounts for most of the revenue generated by the company registering around 68% of the sales in FY21 and H1FY22 (FY20: 73%) followed by woven and knitted fabrics. NSL is continuously focusing on providing value added products to its customers. It provides wide range of yarn to meet its customer requirement both for woven fabric and knitted fabric. Healthy growth in TOI (Total Operating Income) along with significant improvement in its profitability - during H1FY22 NSL’s TOI grew by 88% on y-o-y basis and stood at Rs.1,219 crore during H1FY22 largely due to significant improvement in the average sales realization of cotton yarn and knitted fabrics amidst strong export demand. It was also aided by the lower base of H1FY21 which was impacted adversely by the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic. The company has witnessed healthy growth in its export revenue as it earned 73% of its revenue from export market during H1FY22 as compared to 63% in FY21 and 54% in FY20. The sales realization of cotton yarn and knitted fabric improved by 41% and 40% respectively during H1FY22 as compared to FY21. PBILDT (profit before interest, lease, depreciation and tax) margin of the company also witnessed significant improvement by nearly 1,300 bps and 900 bps to 25% during H1FY22 as compared to H1FY21 and FY21 respectively on account of sizable jump in the spread between cotton and cotton yarn along with improved operating efficiency led by better capacity utilization. With healthy growth in scale of operation coupled with improved profitability margin, the gross cash accruals (GCA) of NSL grew by 293% on y-o-y basis and stood at Rs.197 crore during H1FY22. Improvement in leverage and debt coverage indicators during H1FY22 - The capital structure of NSL marked by overall gearing and TOL/TNW (Total Outside Liability to Total Net Worth) improved and stood at a moderate 1.05 times and 1.35 times respectively as on September 30, 2021 as compared to 1.71 times and 1.88 times respectively as on March 31, 2021 backed by healthy accretion of profit to reserves coupled with reduction in total debt level. Debt level of the company stood at Rs.734 crore as on September 30, 2021 as compared to Rs.962 crore as on March 31, 2021 primarily due to scheduled repayment of term debt coupled with lower utilization of working capital utilization as on even date in light of healthy cash accruals during H1FY22. With improvement in profitability, the debt coverage indicators also improved marked by PBILDT interest coverage and Total Debt/PBILDT of 11.02 times and 1.20 times respectively in H1FY22 as compared to 4.20 times and 3.72 times respectively in FY21. However, the capital structure and debt coverage indicators are again expected to deteriorate marginally in the medium term due to the planned large size debt-funded expansion project and expectation of higher utilization of its working capital limits considering envisaged internal accruals to be deployed for capex. Further, post commissioning of project, the company would also require additional working capital borrowing to fund its incremental working capital requirement which may also lead to some moderation in capital structure and debt coverage indicators. Key Rating Weaknesses Implementation and saleability risk associated with large size proposed debt funded capex - NSL has planned to enhance its capacity through brownfield expansion at its existing location in Rajasthan with acquisition of land adjacent to its existing plant, as company is currently running at optimum utilization of its existing capacities. The capacity addition is also proposed to meet increasing demand, penetrate newer geographies, aid widening of product portfolio and to bring competitive cost advantage by having economies of scale. The estimated cost of the project is Rs.950 crore (1.35 times of tangible net-worth as on September 30, 2021) which is to be funded through term loan of Rs.650 crore and remaining through internal accruals translating into project debt-equity ratio of 2.16:1 times. NSL has envisaged to complete the project in phase-wise manner over a period of next 20-24 months. Phase-I of the proposed capex is expected to commence from September 2023 (i.e. Q2FY24) and project is expected to be fully commissioned fully from FY25 onwards. As informed by the management, the financial closure of the project is yet to be achieved. The company is envisaging to avail term debt of Rs.650 crore for a door-to-door tenor of around 9 years (including implementation and moratorium period) along with expected benefits of interest subsidy. However, due to the large debt-funded expansion project and expectation of higher utilization of its working capital limits, the leverage and debt coverage indicators of the company are expected to remain at an elevated level, contrary to earlier expectation of improvement. Furthermore, such large size projects are susceptible to inherent implementation risks and consequently any delay in execution of the project may result in cost overrun and impact the currently envisaged timelines for cash flow generation. Apart from that, demand for cotton yarn is driven by international demand-supply dynamics and susceptible to economic cycles. Historically, the textile industry has witnessed high cyclicality wherein demand shoots up and then falls rapidly. Hence, there is a salability risk associated with the project in case of sudden drop in demand which may adversely impact the credit profile of the company. Timely completion of the project within envisaged cost parameters and realization of envisaged benefit therefrom would be a key rating sensitivity. Susceptibility to volatility in the raw material prices and foreign exchange rate fluctuations - The basic raw material consumed by NSL to produce yarn is raw cotton, which accounts for more than 90% of the total cost of production. The prices of raw cotton are volatile in nature and depends upon factors like area under production, yield for the year, vagaries of the monsoon, international demand-supply scenario, inventory carry forward from the previous year and minimum support price (MSP) decided by the government. Prices of raw cotton have been volatile over last couple of years, which translates into risk of inventory losses for the industry players; albeit at times it also leads to inventory gains. Collectively, these factors along with intense competition in the industry contribute to low bargaining power of yarn manufacturers and volatility in profitability. Further, NSL is also exposed to foreign currency rate fluctuation as the company derives significant portion of its revenue from the export market (exports accounted for 73% of the total revenue in H1FY22 and 63% in FY21). Thus, profitability margins of the company remain susceptible to any adverse movement in the foreign currency. However, the company has a policy to hedge its foreign currency exposure through forward contracts mitigating the forex exposure to an extent. Presence in fragmented, cyclical and competitive textile industry - NSL operates in a cyclical and fragmented textile industry marked by presence of many organised as well as unorganised players leading to high competition in the industry. Apart from competition, the relatively commoditized nature of cotton yarn also limits the pricing ability of the industry players to an extent. Further, textile industry is inherently cyclical in nature and closely follows the macroeconomic business cycles. The prices of raw materials and finished goods are also determined by global demand-supply scenario, hence any shift in macroeconomic environment globally also impacts the domestic textile industry. Liquidity: Adequate The liquidity of NSL remains adequate backed by healthy cash accruals and cash flow from operation apart from cushion in the form of undrawn working capital limits. Further, the liquidity of the company is envisaged to remain adequate on account of expected healthy GCA as against relatively moderate debt repayment obligation over the next one year. Furthermore, the cash accruals are likely to remain adequate to fund its proposed capex. Moreover, its current ratio improved to 1.58 times as on September 30, 2021 as compared to 1.27 times as on March 31, 2021. The average utilization of its working capital limits stood moderate at 64% for trailing six months ended November 2021. In October 2021, SEBI warned the company over violation in company's RPT policy in relation to Regulation 23 of the SEBI LODR regulations (2015). Financial information : - Ten year CAGR sales and profit at 20% and 101%. Five year CAGR sales and profit at 24% and 42%. TTM sales growth at 66% and TTM profit growth at 380%. Average Roe for last 10 years at 22%, last five years at 21% and for last three years it has been 24%. Debt to equity at 0.79 (less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 10.2 (greater than 3 is good), Current ratio at 1.83 (greater than 1.5 is good). Debtor days improved to 33 in March 2022 from 39 in March 2020. Promoter holding increased from 55.82 in December 2019 to 56.25 in December 2021. FII stake increased from 1.23 in June 2021 to 4.84 in March 2022. On the chart I have tried to pinpoint the confluence of multiple supports and resistances as demand zones. These demand zones can prove to be good areas to accumulate this stock but prices can go down below these support levels too and stay there for many months. Buy at your own risk. One will do good if he/she can find the demand zones with at least three supports and three resistances and buy there. 200 week moving average also acts as a good support. Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. Do trade or invest at your own risk, I am not responsible for any losses and won't claim anything from your profits either. Take financial advices from your advisors before jumping in.
NSE:NITINSPINLong
by akashbothra