Sideways September?
As marked on the Monthly time frame of Nifty
- During an upmove in the market when such hanging man pattern is formed,
- The following month has shown Bearish/Sideways movement in the market
- Similar "Hanging man" candle can be observed for the month of August
As of now since the commencement of September trading month we have seen a fall of 481 points / 1.9% from the ATH from 25333.65 to 24852.15
Bringing Nifty to its crucial level that acted as resistance for the month of August
- There's a possibility this level can turn into CIP and act as a support
- If this level breaks, next support can be seen at the levels of 24150 / Approximately 4.5% from ATH giving good buying opportunities in Equity as well
Nseindia
Nifty for the week starting 02 Sep 2024Nifty has been consolidating for last 7 trading hours. Any break below or above it will be the direction of the trend for Monday 2nd sep 2024.
In the daily chart Nifty had formed a doji.
Break above 25270 will ignite a new rally.
Break below 25190 will bring nifty level to 25000. A decisive break below 25000 will bring a correction.
Nifty Bank Index Technical Outlook: Awaiting a BreakoutThe Nifty Bank Index is at a critical juncture, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on its daily chart. This pattern, characterized by converging lower highs and higher lows, indicates a period of consolidation, with a potential breakout on the horizon.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
Ascending trendline from November 2022
Horizontal support around 51,173
Resistance:
Triangle’s upper trendline
Horizontal resistance near 51,699
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: A move above the triangle’s upper boundary could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, targeting levels above 52,500.
Bearish Breakout: A drop below the ascending trendline may trigger a decline towards the 50,000 mark or lower.
Volume Insight:
Recent spikes in volume suggest that a breakout—either up or down—might be imminent. Traders should keep a close watch on these levels for a confirmed move.
Conclusion: The Nifty Bank Index is poised for a significant move. A breakout from the symmetrical triangle will likely set the tone for the next major trend.
Balaji Amines - Long Term Channel - Potential breakout ahead?Balaji Amines Ltd (NSE: BALAMINES) has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel on the monthly chart. The stock has shown consistent growth, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
The stock has been trading within this ascending channel for over a decade. Recently, it has tested the lower boundary and seems to be gearing up for another upward move.
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the trendline shown. The upward trajectory in the channel suggests that the long-term trend remains bullish, but caution is advised if the support at the bottom of the channel fails.
If the price breaks out above the upper trend line, it could signal the start of another impulse wave, potentially testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
EIHOTEL Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have Stoping action and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase D, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Final View
Bullish on stock with entry marked on the chart
BPCL Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff method.Wyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have Stoping action and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase D, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
In Phase B we see increase in supply but the price is not able to go below the trading range, lot of effort to push the price down but fails, indicating effort vs result is not synced. Confirming the accumulation bias.
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Sign of Strength
we have Major sign of strength in phase D with good demand volume indicating institutions are present in buying.
Final View
Bullish on stock with entry marked on the chart
ANDHRA SUGARS By KRS ChartsDate: 22nd Aug 2024
Time: 9:30 AM
Why Andhra Sugars ❓❓
1. In Bigger TF, it is making Higher Highs and Higher Lows so All over Bullish Stock from Sugar Sector .
2. Recent Lows in April 24 and Jun 24 was inside 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci zone which is known for reversal zone and successfully sustain above those lows. 👍
3. On 10th Jun its Gap Up and Breaks the trendline with successful retest with today's move 🎇
Near possible Target is ATH price point 177 RS.
with SL of 94 Rs.
ETHOSLTD: Breakout and Retest Hey everyone! It's Afnan, and I’m going to share some cool stuff about a stock called NSE:ETHOSLTD .
on July 24, ETHOSLTD did something called a "breakout." It broke through its all-time high, which is like the highest point it has ever reached.
Now, after breakout, it came back down a little to the level where it broke out. If you look at the daily chart , you'll see that ETHOSLTD made a shape called a "rounding bottom." It’s like a big smiley face!
On July 24, this stock jumped over the top of this smiley face with a lot of people buying it (that's the volume part). When it came back down, not many people were selling it (the low volume part). This is cool because it shows that people aren’t really interested in selling the stock now.
This place where the stock bounced off is now a super important spot. It used to be a ceiling (resistance), but now it’s a floor (support). This change is called the "act of polarity" in technical terms.
So, here’s the plan: we can make a trade here because it’s a good spot to buy, hoping the price will go up again. For every bit we risk, we can aim to make at least double that (1:2 risk to reward).
That’s it for now! Let’s see how ETHOSLTD does. Happy trading!
ELECTCAST pattern looks like a "Cup and Handle" formation.1. **Cup and Handle Pattern**:
- The pattern looks like a "Cup and Handle" formation. The cup is the rounded bottom, and the handle is the slight consolidation or pullback after the cup's high point. This is generally a bullish continuation pattern.
- The breakout from the handle typically signals a bullish move.
2. **Trend Channel**:
- The price is moving within an upward sloping channel, with the upper and lower bounds of the channel being parallel.
- The current price is near the upper resistance of this channel, indicating that if the price breaks out, it might see a strong upward movement.
3. **Price Target**:
- Based on the height of the cup, the projected price target after a breakout appears to be around ₹275, which is a 31% increase from the current level of ₹210.
- This target is drawn vertically from the breakout point of the handle to the top of the potential move.
4. **Volume**:
- There seems to be a slight increase in volume as the price moved up, supporting the bullish sentiment. However, the recent drop in volume could indicate a consolidation phase before the next big move.
- The highest volume bar appears to correspond to a significant upward move, which is a positive sign.
5. **RSI**:
- The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 57.75, which is in the neutral zone but slightly leaning towards the bullish side.
- It’s not overbought or oversold, indicating that there might still be room for the price to move up.
### Conclusion:
The chart suggests a potential bullish breakout from the cup and handle pattern, with a price target of around ₹275. However, the price is currently at the upper boundary of the trend channel, so it's crucial to watch for a confirmed breakout with increased volume. If the breakout occurs, the price could move towards the target, but if the resistance holds, there might be a pullback.
Venkeys - Monthly Chart - Ascending Channel - LongVENKEYS is moving in a clear Ascending Channel with support at the bottom of the channel retested multiple times as shown in the chart.
The Price has again bounced after touching the bottom of the channel
Key Points:
Ascending Channel: The stock has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several years. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary, affirming strong support at this level.
Key Support Levels: The chart highlights multiple instances where the stock has found strong support at the bottom of the channel, reinforcing the robustness of this upward trend. Each bounce off the lower boundary has led to significant upward movements.
Disclosure: Invested at ₹1992.07
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Nifty 50 By KRS ChartsDate: 1st Aug 2024
Time: 9:12 AM
What is going on in NIFTY 50 ?
1. As we all know Indian markets in continuously in uptrend in recent times so nifty 50 too.
2. Nifty is recently moving in range but sideways with uptrend as we can see in charts for Hourly timeframe.
3. There are clear supports and Resistances are visible in Nifty 50, Today is open with Gap up and Breaks 25000 level for very first time.
4. Nifty can clearly go for 25226 but also it can reach above bigger Resistance too.
Nifty for the week starting 5th august 2024.On Friday Nifty opened with a gap on the down side and ended the day in Red with no signs of Recovery.
In one and four hour time frame Nifty has broken the trendline and is bearish.
If Nifty closes below 24650 on Monday they we can assume that the down trend has begun.
For Monday 5/8/24
Buy above 24780 for a target of 24820 , 24850.
Sell below 24650 for a target of 24610, 24580
Trident NSE Date - 22 March 2024
Time - 10:30 AM
WHAT is,
1. VAH& VAL- The upper limit of the Value Area is called Value Area High (VAH), while the lower limit is referred to as Value Area Low (VAL). These levels can serve as potential entry and exit points for trades.
2. POC- The price level for the time period with the highest traded volume.
-As we can see, since last year Trident is doing HH and HL. (Bullish)
-After using Fixed Range Volume Tool for both long and medium time periods we have find that 36-37 Rs is where long term VAH volume and medium term POC + 100 Ema is also meeting at same price and creating strong support.
-Today's price movement is confirming strong support at 36-37 Rs.
So, with a SL of 32.40 (Prev HL) We can LONG Trident for Medium Term.
Thank You!
Have A Good Day!
NIFTY VIEW FOR THE WEEK STARTING 22nd JUL 2024Nifty analysis is based on PEMA and Hull Moving Average. On Friday Nifty had formed a Bearish Engulfing Pattern. The trend or the direction of Nifty seems to be on the down side if it breaks 24500 and closes below it. Then we can see a level of 23200.
If it breaks the high of 24860 and closes above it , then the market turns Bullish and we can see new highs in the coming days.
NAVIN FLUORINE - Week - Bullish Divergence + Ascending TrendlineNAVIN FLUORINE INT. is displaying promising bullish signals on the weekly chart. The following analysis highlights key technical indicators and potential future movements:
Ascending Trendline - The stock is maintaining a strong ascending trendline, bouncing off this support multiple times (green arrows).
Bullish Divergence - The price made a lower low in March 2024, but quickly recovered. During the same period, RSI made a higher low, creating a bullish divergence (blue arrows).
RSI Analysis - The RSI is currently trending upwards, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
The stock is also moving in a clear Ascending Channel on the Monthly timeframe as shown above. Both the Top and Bottom of the channel has been tested multiple times over the years.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Laxmi Organic - Bullish Divergence and Breakout from TriangleWeekly Chart Insights:
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: Over the past years, Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd has formed a symmetrical triangle.
Breakout Confirmation: Recently, the price broke above the upper trendline of the triangle.
Retest of Breakout: The price action is retested the breakout at the Trendline and has moved upwards now.
Bullish Divergence:
Time Period - 26 March to 12th May
Lower Low in Price - Price went from 235.2 to 228.5
Higher Low in RSI - RSI went from 37.2 to 37.6
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
IndoBorax - Fibonacci Targets in sight after Breakout - DailyIndo Borax & Chemical Ltd. has recently broken out cleanly from a descending trendline. The Fibonacci retracement levels provide clear targets for the upcoming price action, making this an interesting setup.
Technical Analysis:
Descending Trendline Breakout: The stock has decisively broken out from a descending trendline, indicating a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent high to the low indicate potential resistance and support levels. Key observations include:
Support at Fib 1: The price took support at the 1.0 Fibonacci level (₹171.10) post-breakout and bounced off strongly.
Resistance at 2.618: The stock faced resistance at the 2.618 Fibonacci level (₹213.59) but has since taken support at the 1.618 level (₹187.33).
Potential Target Levels: A daily close above ₹213.59 opens up the 3.618 level (₹239.86), with the previous high acting as another target at ₹232.21.
Volume Analysis: The breakout was accompanied by a significant increase in volume. The Volume has spiked again today.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ₹171.10 (1.0 Fibonacci level) and ₹187.33 (1.618 Fibonacci level).
Resistance: ₹213.59 (2.618 Fibonacci level) and ₹232.21 (previous high).
Bullish Divergence on Weekly
On the Weekly chart, you will also notice that there has been a Bullish Divergence where the price made a Lower Low, while RSI made a Higher Low, shortly before the Breakout.
The RSI seems to be on an upward trajectory since, as you can see in the chart below.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.