NZDJPY Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDJPY (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 44 - 26 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price tested resistance of channel and dropping after rejection. Price has already dropped till 0.382 Fib level on monthly bullish impulse.
W > Price tested resistance level thrice and faced rejection creating triple top. We can see a W formation and expect price to drop and test its neck. However for last 4 months price is moving in a range of about 300 pips.
D > Price dropped till weekly demand zone again and faced rejection creating double bottom. Price moved up to test weekly supply zone and after rejection started dropping again. We will continue with 3 bearish targets identified last week.
1. Weekly demand zone where price created double bottom last time.
2. Demand zone at odd candle (66.67) on D chart, above neck of W formation.
3. Neck of W formation. Drop till this level will create an inverted H & S pattern.
As per COT NZD saw closure of both Long and Short positions further improving net positions, whereas ZXY was weak during the said week but it gained strength last week. JPY saw closure of Long and addition of major Short positions reducing net positions further however N-R added few Long and closed major Short positions. JXY during the said week ended in a Doji but improved its position last week.
NZD has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020 which is not in line with our target. However JPY being a safe heaven can strengthen on account of short term uncertainty till outcome of US election. We will hence identify invalidation level for bearish target.
4H > Price is currently back again to test weekly supply zone. A break to the downside will confirm bearish move but a break to the upside till daily resistance will invalidate our target.
Pair Correlation > NZDJPY has positive correlation with NZDUSD, AUDUSD and AUDJPY and negative correlation with EURAUD.
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AP17FX
NZD (New Zealand Dollar)
GBPNZD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of GBPNZD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 44 - 26 Oct
M > Market is moving in a rising channel. Price reached support of channel coinciding with monthly support, faced rejection and started upward move creating a double bottom.
W > Price pulled up till 0.618 Fib level on last weekly bearish impulse and faced rejection. This level also coincided with weekly support, now turned resistance.
D > Price created an M formation during bearish move and we can expect it to make an upward move to test its neck. Price also created a W formation and as expected it dropped to test its neck before continuing with upward move. Price is moving to the upside creating HH and HL and we can expect it to move towards our target.
As per COT GBP saw addition of Long and closure of Short positions further improving net positions though still in -ve. BXY however weakened during the said week and ended last week in a Doji after strong buying pressure during start of the week. NZD saw closure of both Long and Short positions further improving net positions, whereas ZXY was weak during the said week but it gained strength last week. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020.
4H > Price is rising in an upward wedge creating HH and HL with small dips in middle of the wedge. Price is currently testing bottom of wedge as support and we will for reversal confirmation to compound our position with a Long.
Pair Correlation: GBPNZD has positive correlation with GBPCAD, GBPAUD and negative correlation with EURGBP and NZDCAD.
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AP17FX
NZDCHF Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDCHF (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 44 - 26 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel with few breakouts. Price moved up to test previous support now turned monthly resistance and faced rejection.
W > We can notice that price is facing rejection from supply zones that turn into resistance. Price moved up to face rejection in 1st week of June and supply zone created in last week of June that turned into resistance for price in August and September.
D > After creating double top at daily resistance level price is dropping in a downward channel. Price has completed W formation as expected and it dropped last week to test weekly demand zone, faced rejection and moved upward till resistance of channel. We expect price to drop to test weekly demand zone again.
As per COT NZD saw closure of both Long and Short positions further improving net positions, whereas ZXY was weak during the said week but it gained strength last week. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. CHF saw addition of more Long than Short positions, improving net positions whereas Commercials also added few Long and more Short positions increasing net open positions. However SXY was weak during the said week but it gained strength last week.
4H > Price has faced rejection at resistance of channel and is currently testing 4H supply zone. We expect price move to the downside.
Pair Correlation > NZDCHF has positive correlation with NZDCAD and NZDUSD and negative correlation with EURNZD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
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AP17FX
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCADTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (0.875). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDCAD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 66. a
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.8790
TP2= @ 0.8825
TP3= @ 0.8862
TP4= @ 0.8940
TP5= @ 0.9010
SL= Break below S2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in EURNZDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.7813). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. EURNZD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.7680
TP2= @ 1.7583
TP3= @ 1.7468
TP4= @ 1.7330
TP5= @ 1.7162
SL: Break Above R2
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.663). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6575
TP2= @ 0.6545
TP3= @ 0.6510
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.663). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6570
TP2= @ 0.6510
TP3= @ 0.6445
TP4= @ 0.6375
TP5= @ 0.6240
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Ascending Triangle in GBPNZD- "Learn More Earn More" With USAscending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs
when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows .
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An uptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market
and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern .
If price can break through the resistance level, that level will now act as a support level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically,
upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance.But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong, and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows .
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDNZDTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (1.0851).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDNZD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 66.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.0905
TP2= @ 1.0933
TP3= @ 1.0957
TP4= @ 1.0993
TP5= @ 1.1041
SL= Break below S3
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💡 Two Sell opportunity in NZDUSD , Mid-Term & Short-TermMid-Term Forecast:
Second Chance Trade Setup summary:
Profit targets= 3923 pip = { TP1=104 + TP2=219 + TP3=344 + TP4=579 + TP5=639 + TP6=789 + TP7=1249 }
Stop Loss = 497 pip
Reward/Risk > 7.9 : 1
New Trading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.6719) again.
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
New Take Profits:
TP1 = @0.6615
TP2 = @0.6500
TP3 = @0.6375
TP4 = @0.6240
TP5 = @0.6080
TP6 = @0.5930
TP7 = @0.5470
TP8 = Free
SL= Break above 0.6790
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Current Status of First Sell:
Total Profit: 570
Closed trade(s): 52 Profit
Open trade(s): 518 Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 8 Sell trade(s) @ 0.6667 based on 'previous Forecast' at 09.21.2020:
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 0.6615 touched at 2020.07.28 with 52 Profit.
Open Profit:
Open trade is 0.6593(current price) - 0.6667(open price) = 74
7 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 74 x 7 = 518
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 44.
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Short-Term Forecast
Trading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.6614).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 38.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6575
TP2= @ 0.6500
TP3= @ 0.6446
TP4= @ 0.6375
TP5= @ 0.6333
SL: Break Above R2
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDSGDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.909). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDSGD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 55.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9026
TP2= @ 0.8995
TP3= @ 0.8968
TP4= @ 0.8930
TP5= @ 0.8890
SL: Break Above R3
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Don't miss the great buy opportunity in GBPNZDTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (1.9407). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. GBPNZD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 45.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.9480
TP2= @ 1.9582
TP3= @ 1.9660
TP4= @ 1.9747
TP5= @ 1.9828
SL= Break below S2
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Two great sell opportunities on this chart for NZDUSDMid-Term Forecast:
Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 0.6790, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 0.6585 breaks.
If the resistance at 0.6790 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 0.6790 on 09/02/2020, so more losses minimum to Major Support (0.6585) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 62.
Take Profits:
TP1 = @0.6585
TP2 = @0.6500
TP3 = @0.6375
TP4 = @0.6240
TP5 = @0.6080
TP6 = @0.5930
TP7 = @0.5470
TP8 = Free
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Intraday Forecast:
Trading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.6705).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 24.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6665
TP2= @ 0.6655
TP3= @ 0.6640
TP4= @ 0.6600
SL: Break Above 0.6750
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Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCHFTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (0.5965). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDCHF is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 70.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6045
TP2= @ 0.6090
TP3= @ 0.6165
TP4= @ 0.6222
TP5= @ 0.6295
SL= Break below S2
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDNZDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.096). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDNZD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 50.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.0900
TP2= @ 1.0855
TP3= @ 1.0830
TP4= @ 1.0800
TP5= @ 1.0763
SL: Break Above R2
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDNZDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.102). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDNZD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 37.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.0965
TP2= @ 1.0925
TP3= @ 1.0910
TP4= @ 1.0880
TP5= @ 1.0845
SL: Break Above R2
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Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (0.654). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 60.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6600
TP2= @ 0.6625
TP3= @ 0.6690
SL= Break below S2
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDJPYTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (69.55). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. NZDJPY is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 36.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 69.00
TP2= @ 68.69
TP3= @ 68.12
TP4= @ 67.36
TP5= @ 66.78
SL= Break above R2
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