Big Fall in CrudeOilThe markets are falling down because of increased fear of recession. Recession affects everything, be it stocks or commodities like CRUDEOIL, NATURALGAS, SILVER, GOLD etc.
Energy sector fell drastically yesterday. Crude Oil fell about 11% whereas Natural Gas fell about 6%.
Crude Oil has a strong supply zone around 9300 according to the monthly timeframe from where it fell down.
In last month it tried to break the supply zone but it failed. It is clearly visible on weekly timeframe that it couldn't break the supply zone.
On the Daily timeframe we can see the formation of Head and Shoulder pattern from which it has broken down the neckline yesterday. Right shoulder was made from the strong resistance at 8850 from where it got rejected twice.
It is also forming a downward moving channel.
On 4 hour timeframe it has broken down the support with good amount of volume.
Today it is moving in lower part of the channel and I think the closing of the candle will be below 8100.
The MACD and RSI have turned bearish on multiple time frames. If the price of USOIL sustains below $100, we can see further down move in the coming weeks or months.
Disclaimer: This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Oil
Crude Oil Ichimoku BreakdownCrude Oil
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is below the Conversion Line
2). Cloud is broken with volume
3). Chikou span is slanting downwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at CMP,
and more bullishness will be visible after it cross 1300.
If 96$ is broken then 87$ is very much possible. If sustain above 102$ then regain at 109$.
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
# Rule Based Investing
# Ichimoku Cloud
# Ichimoku Followers
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What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Tuesday morning in Asia over supply tightness concerns as a strike in Norway threatened to disrupt oil and gas output. Brent oil futures rose 0.23% to $113.73 and crude oil WTI futures jumped 1.86% to $110.46. On Tuesday, Norwegian offshore workers began a strike that will reduce oil and gas output, according to Reuters. The strike expected to reduce oil and gas output by 89,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Oil production will cut by 130,000 barrels per day from Wednesday, accounting for around 6.5% of Norway’s production, according to Reuters.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 107.55. As per today 1-hour chart, my view is buy in deep strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 107.55 to 107.25 and there is very strong support zone at 106.55.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 106.55 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 105 with the stop loss of 107.75.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was down on Monday morning in Asia as fears of an economic slowdown outweighed the supply tightness amid lower output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).Brent oil futures inched up 0.05% to $111.66 and crude oil WTI futures inched up 0.01% to $108.42. In addition, a strong USD also weakens broad commodity markets, including crude prices.” In the U.S. and elsewhere, signs of economic weakness are becoming more apparent with U.S. consumer sentiment dropping to a record low in June. The U.S. Federal Reserve reiterated last week its resolution to bring down inflation, increasing concerns of a recession following interest rate hikes.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 105.85. As per today 1-hour chart, my view is buy in deep strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 105.85 to 105.55 and there is very strong support zone at 104.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 104 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 102 with the stop loss of 105.50.
Simple Trade Setup | Crude Oil | 04-07-2022 [INTRADAY]MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Trade Setup for 04-07-2022
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Crude oil eyes to revisit sub-$100 area as recession fears escalFailures cross the key SMAs join descending RSI line, not oversold, to keep crude oil sellers hopeful amid economic slowdown chatters. The black gold, however, needs to stay below the weekly support line, around $107.00 by the press time, to direct bears towards the last monthly bottom of $101.00. In a case where the energy benchmark fails to recover from $101.00, the odds witnessing a south-run towards May’s low of $97.57.
On the contrary, recovery moves remain less convincing until staying below the weekly top of $112.70. Ahead of that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of May-June upside and convergence of the 100-SMA, 200-SMA and 38.2% Fibo, respectively near $109.60 and $112.10-20, could entertain short-term buyers. Even if the crude oil prices cross the $112.70 hurdle, multiple resistances near $116.00 will challenge the commodity bulls before directing them to June’s peak of $121.43.
Overall, crude oil’s latest break of the short-term support line keeps sellers hopeful amid economic pessimism. That said, today’s Eurozone inflation and US ISM PMI will be important to watch for clear directions.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices edged higher on Thursday after dipping in early Asian trade, as concerns about global supply tightness outweighed a build in U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories. Brent crude futures for September, the more actively traded contract, rose 63 cents, or 0.6%, to $113.08 a barrel .The less liquidity traded August contract, which expires Thursday, was at $116.08, down 18 cents, or 0.2%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 49 cents, or 0.5%, to $110.27. Crude inventories fell by 2.8 million barrels in the week to June 24, far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 569,000-barrel drop, U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed, even as U.S. gasoline and distillate stockpiles climbed.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 109.45. As per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 109.30 to 109.45 and there is very strong resistance zone at 110.51.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 110.51 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 111.51 with the stop loss of 109.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Monday morning in Asia as investors are looking for more clues from the G7 meeting this week on Russian oil exports and a revival of the Iran nuclear deal. Brent oil futures inched up 0.06% to $109.16 and crude oil WTI futures stabilized at $107.62. Oil prices remained well supported above $100 a barrel as crude and oil product supplies remained tight after the West posed sanctions on Russian oil. Leaders of the Group of Seven (G7) expected to discuss ways to tackle rising energy prices. Measures include a possible price cap on Russian crude and oil products exports, which might curb Russia’s revenue and at the same time reduce the damage to other economies.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading at middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 105.45. As per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 107 to 107.25 and there is very strong resistance zone at 108.50.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 108.50 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 109.95 with the stop loss of 107.50.
Simple Trade Setup | CRUDEOIL [JULY22 FUTURE CONTRACT] |INTRADAYMCX:CRUDEOILN2022
b]Trade Setup for 27-06-2022
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was down on Friday morning in Asia as fears of slower demand from slowing U.S. economic growth and supply concerns weighed on the market. Brent oil futures inched down 0.09% to $109.94 and crude oil WTI futures gained 0.14% to $104.42. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) producers including Russia will likely stick to a plan to increase output by 648,000 barrels a day in August, which is hoping to bring down crude prices as U.S. President Joe Biden plans to visit Saudi Arabia, according to Reuters. Wednesday’s U.S. crude supply data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a build of 5.607 million barrels for the week ended June 17.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 103.75. As per today 1 hour chart my view is sell on rise, this strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 104.75 to 105 and there is very strong resistance zone at 106.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 106 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 108.64 with the stop loss of 104.75.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was down on Thursday morning in Asia as investors are worried that tightening monetary policy could trigger a recession and dampen fuel demand. Brent oil futures fell 2.31% to $109.16. In addition, crude oil WTI futures divided 2.61% to $103.42. Investors are concerned about a recession caused by tightening monetary policy. U.S. Federal Reserve is not trying to trigger a recession to tame inflation but is fully committed to bringing down prices, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday. U.S. President Joe Biden called on Congress to suspend a federal tax on gasoline to bring down soaring fuel prices and offer some relief to American families before summer peak.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 104.35. As per my view buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 103 to 102.75 and there is very strong resistance zone at 102.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 102 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 100 with the stop loss of 103.25.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was down on Wednesday morning in Asia as U.S. President Joe Biden is set to push for U.S. fuel cost cuts. Brent oil futures slid 3.03% to $111.18 and crude oil WTI futures dived 3.37% to $105.83.U.S. President Joe Biden is expected on Wednesday to call on Congress to temporarily suspend a federal tax on gasoline to bring down soaring fuel prices and alleviate the pressure on consumers. Seven oil companies are set to meet Biden on Thursday, under pressure from the White House to bring down fuel prices.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 108.30. As per my view sell on rise, strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 107 to 107.25 and there is very strong resistance zone at 108.50.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 108.50 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 109.50 with the stop loss of 107.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices rose 1% on Tuesday, clawing back more of last week's losses as investors focused on tight supplies of crude and fuel products rather than concerns about a recession dampening demand going forward. Brent crude futures rose $1.08, or about 1%, to $115.21 a barrel, adding to a 0.9% gain on Monday. The benchmark contract fell 7.3% last week in its first weekly fall in five. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for July, which expires later on Tuesday, rose to $112.01 a barrel, up $2.45, or 2.2%, from Friday's close. There was no settlement on Monday, which was a U.S. public holiday. WTI dropped 9.2% last week.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading Upper line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 108.30. As per my view buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 108.30 to 108 and there is very strong support zone at 106.75.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 106.75 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 105.25 with the stop loss of 108.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices edged lower on Monday, reversing earlier gains, as concerns about slowing global economic growth and fuel demand outweighed worries about tightening supplies. Brent crude futures slipped 3 cents to $113.09 a barrel, after rising as much as 1% earlier. Front-month prices tumbled 7.3% last week, their first weekly fall in five. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $109.42 a barrel, down 14 cents, or 0.1%, after rising more than $1 earlier. Front-month prices dropped 9.2% last week, the first decline in eight weeks. Oil from Russia, the world's second-largest exporter, remains out of reach to most countries because of Western sanctions over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, actions that Russia calls a "special operation".
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below pivot level 110.48. As per my view sell on rise, strategy is good for XTIUSD. Selling range of XTIUSD is 110.48 to 110.75 and there is very strong resistance zone at 112.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 112 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 113.50 with the stop loss of 110.85.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was down on Friday morning in Asia, weighed down by demand concerns following global interest rate hikes. Brent oil futures were down 0.62% to $119.07 and crude oil WTI futures were down 0.69% to $116.78. The Bank of Japan Friday decided to keep policy ultra loose despite rising inflation while some other global central banks are adopting tight monetary policies. The U.S. imposed sanctions on Chinese, Emirati companies, and a network of Iranian firms that help with Iran’s petrochemicals exports, aiming to pose pressure on Tehran to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above pivot level 113.50. As per my view buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buying range of XTIUSD is 113.50 to 113 and there is very strong support zone at 112.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 112 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 110.75 with the stop loss of 113.75.
USOIL Trading Plan - 16/Jun/2022Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USOIL to go UP after correction here.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea