Fundamental Development: Oil prices dropped on Monday, as weak manufacturing data from China and Japan for July weighed on the outlook for demand, while investors braced for this week's meeting of officials from OPEC and other top producers on supply adjustments. Brent crude futures were down 82 cents, or 0.8%, at $103.15 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $97.44 a barrel, down $1.18, or 1.2%. Fresh COVID-19 lock downs snuffed out a brief recovery seen in June for factory activity in China, the world's largest crude oil importer. The Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) eased to 50.4 in July from 51.7 in the previous month, well below analysts' expectations, data showed on Monday.

Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 98 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 98 to 98.25 and there is very strong resistance zone at 100.

Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 100 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 102 with the stop loss of 98.


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