ONGC
ONGC: The BreakOut TradeHi
I was looking for a harmonic pattern completion (on the downside) before getting involved in this stock. But the stock changed my bias by breaking above a falling trend line (red) and the cup and handle pattern neckline.
Long Idea
The Risk
For getting into this trade, the risk could be (traditional) low of the handle (162) or the more aggressive 170 (calling it a breakout failure).
Profit Targets
If this break holds (the stock sustains above 175), it may easily get us to 180-182.
Move above 182 will take the stock to 189, where it may face resistance.
The Cup and Handle Target comes at around 193 which is also a historical resistance.
Short Idea
Although the setup looks bullish, we never know what's gonna happen in near future. So one should get ready with a plan B.
If this breakout fails and the stock starts trading below 170, we may look for an aggressive short.
The Risk
We ll not keep this short above 177
Profit Targets
First target would be 163.
Below 161, we may look for 155
# In this case I may also consider the pattern completion on higher time frame (wait for update).
Let's see how this trade proceeds.
Enjoy the weekend.
Regards.
ONGC monthly chart study1) ONGC has broken the major support and now making a pullback.
2) Current bullish move appears to be a pullback and not reversal. Hence fresh buying has to be avoided for long term positional buyers.
3) The major trend line could now act as a resistance.
4) On day chart ONGC has broken the falling channel top.
ONGC1) Listing of ONGC Videsh on foreign exchange will reprice the stock
2) Iran sanctions coming up in Nov 2018 ; which shall increase global crude price
3) Stock has been undervalued for long time because of HPCL takeover and possibility of govt levying oil subsidy
4) stock has broke 5 months trendline with good volumes5
SL -170 Risk reward ratio looks favorable
My PredictiveEngine's Intraday call(08-Jun-18)-ONGC-LongBased on my PredictiveSystem's signals, its going to be a GREEN candle on 08-Jun-2018 for ONGC
Buy Above: 173.1 for targets -
T1: 174.4
T2: 175.2
T3: 176
SL: 171.7
Note: These calls are based on my own analysis. It may or may not work well for you.So please carefully consider whether it is suitable for you and please do your own research before attempting any. The profit/loss made by you due to this call, is solely your own responsibility. Thanks, All the best. Happy Trading. :-)