Option
Nifty: Chart set up & potential trade strategyNifty
Closing Price 14199
Observations
- we see a co-relation in the 2 trending Zone between May 20 to July 20 and current trending zone from which started in late October
- Now if the pattern is to continue we might be in for a range bound market till March 2021...
Given the chart set up one may consider the following strategy for February series
Consider to
Sell Nifty 25 Feb expiry 14700 Call Option (Closing Price 240) &
Sell Nifty 25 Feb expiry 13400 Put Option (Closing Price 169)
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 30675/- per strategy trade till 25 Feb 2021 (20% max ROI potential till 25 Feb 2020)
Risks involved in the trade
- result calendar would start soon
- Budget event in February
The strategy provides a Risk cover for a rise in Nifty index price up to 15109
or drop in price up to 12991 till 25 Feb 2021
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer :
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Will Nifty see Year end Dhamaka rally...???Nifty
13749
2 trading sessions earlier, we had highlighted the possibility of Nifty re-testing at least previous highs
Although we did not take any fresh position in Nifty on weekly expiry day, we held on to our positions taken earlier.
Currently
- We observe Nifty moving in boxes
- Will we see a Year end rally now?
No it is not that since we are now just 250 odd points away that we are saying it...
Flashback … on August 04th, 2020, when Nifty was at 11000, this is what we had predicted… Nifty heading towards 14200 odd levels in next 6 months…
This was in the back drop of economy being at a standstill, and hence difficult for any one to even think of 12000. Many felt Nifty might head back lower sub 10000 levels and probably even towards 8000 levels.. It seemed ridiculous at that time, but here we are; 5 months down the line and Nifty very close to it. 😊😊
Click the link above and see how historical price pattern of 2006-2007 in Sensex price (very similar levels… very much similar magnitude of correction… and not much difference in time frame too) helped us envision this movement in Nifty. I am sure the co-relation would amaze you and help you realize the potential of Technical Analysis.
Coming back to our present day…
Chart and Data analysis suggest (for a detailed analysis report of FIIs and Retail participants kindly share your email address in comment below or in private message) there could be support at lower levels
On any dips in Nifty, one may consider selling Nifty 13600 Put option preferably around 60.
Max profit potential Rs 4500/- per lot.
More importantly, the strategy would have an in built loss protection for a fall in price up to 13540 till 31st December 2020.
We would update further on this idea, Monday morning in market hours.
Take care & safe trading…!!!
Wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy New year…!!!
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Our other ideas this week...
- LIC HSG FIN
- ONGC
- BHEL
- Tata Motors
- Adani power
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Writing was on the wall...!!!Nifty
The current drop might have surprised you but have a look at this data below and see for yourself how each participants had positioned themselves on Friday and decide for yourself if you had access to this valuable information before trade could you have done better...?
This data analysis will tell you how various participants Retail, FIIs and Proprietary traders positioned themselves on Friday and answer your questions as to What happened today?
Call Option data
- Retail participants added 2.17 lakhs Call option and added 1.85 lakh Call short position
- FIIs added 34.84 K Call Long and added 25.83 K Call Short position
- Proprietary traders added 62.4 K Call Long and added 1.03 Lakh Call Short position
Put Option data
- Retail participants added 1.18 Put Long option and added 1.44 Lakh Call short position
- FIIs added 27.63 K Put long & added 12.89 K Put short
- Proprietary traders added 35.96 K Put Long & added 24.8K Put Short position
If you see Retail participants were Call Buyers and Put sellers (which means they were super bullish)
where as FIIs and & Proprietary traders were more inclined towards buying Puts and selling Call Options (meaning they were bearish on the market)
- Who do you think so trades with more knowledge?
- who do you think so has more financial muscle?💪
We had 2 powerful sources the FIIs and Proprietary traders inclined towards Shorts and the Herd mentality of Retail Participants inclined towards Buy side...
What do you prefer?
- trade against the powerful and lose
- or trade with winners and increase your chances of winning
This data can help you avoid Hope based trading and making mistakes. It's not too late. Start trading with knowledge. To get access to our detailed F&O data analysis on a daily End of Day basis Message in private
Only those who are serious may message
Others who don't want to change may kindly ignore 🙏
Best wishes
Follow and Hit the Like button...!!!
Nifty F&O Data analysis and trading viewNifty
13558
FIIs Net sold 8803 Contracts worth Rs 811.83 Cr
Futures Data
- Retail participants squared off 49 Long Contracts & squared off 6.48K Short contracts
- FIIs squared off 2.34K Long Contracts and added 6.54K Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 1.10K Long contracts and exited 1.35K Short contracts
Call Option
- Retail participants added 1.28 Lakh Call Long Contracts & added 1.15 lakh Call Short contracts
- FIIs added 10.5 K Call Long Contracts and added 16.45 K Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 34.46 K Call Long contracts and added 40.81 K Call Short contracts
Put Option
- Retail participants added 1.28 lakh Put Long Contracts & added 1.30 lakh Short contracts
- FIIs added 8.53 K Put Long Contracts and squared off 118 Put Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 28.14 K Put Long contracts and added 35.74 K Put Short contracts
Nifty closed the day in green yesterday, however volumes were down 31.73% compared to the day before and Open Interest reduced slightly
Bank Nifty volumes were 28.85% lower compared to the day before.
FIIs are slowly exiting Long positions and retail participants are buy calls and puts in expectations of big movements. For any underlying to move, we need strong volumes, which is missing. These are signs of distribution happening.
In our previous post also we had highlighted a range bound movement scenario for markets. And that is precisely what we are seeing. Nifty yo-yoing between 13400-13600. If blue line is taken out, we might see another move towards 13400 - 13380 level.
If you are trading in Futures and Options, trading without proper analysis, you are more risk.
If you want to get detailed report on a daily basis, message in private
Best wishes
Do Hit the Like button and Follow....
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
- We do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies
- The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors.
- Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or other damage arising from access to or use of data or information
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR MONDAYNIFTY extended their journey over sixth consecutive week and scaled to a fresh all-time high of 13579.
Going ahead, I believe 13600 would be the key level to watch, as only a decisive close above 13600 would lead to extension of ongoing rally towards 13900
mark as it is the 161.8% extension of the consolidation range (13200-12800), projected from breakout area of 13200, placed at 13847.
Failure to sustain above 13600 would lead to consolidation in the 13600-13200 range amid stock specific action
NIFTY TRADE SET UP FOR FRIDAYNIFTY trade setup.
1.if the market opens flat - then i will be on the positive side and look for a buying opportunity.
2. Gap Up - if the market opens Gap up i will be marked 15-minute swing low and look for buy.
3. gap down:- if the market gap down then i will mark 30 min high of the market and from there we will sell ce option.
gerally after a huge gap up or gap down market trade-in range . in that scenario just mark 30 min low and high.
on the low side sell a put option and on the high side sell a call option. if range breaks exit from respective side and carries on with one trade.
NIFTY EXPIRY DAY TRADENIFTY EXPIRY DAY TRADE
the nifty range would be 11100 - 11400. I will look for sell on rising till the market sustains below 11350. i personally do scalping both the side. like today we made money although if i could stay longer we could have made more money. but nevertheless, its good to make a small profit then losing the money.
strategy
1.i have a trend line according to which i plan my trade and keep support and resistance in mind. tomorrow is market expiry so the market will give momentum both the side.
2. if the market opens the gap down below the trendline and does not break the first 5 min candle high will continue on the sell-side till 11183 with trail stop loss. if the market breaks 11183 and reaches 11150- 11108, will sell the put option.
3. if the market opens gap up but will not cross 11350 will sell 11400 ce with 30 point sl.
4.if market keeps trading in a range ...will mark high and low of the range and sell both ce and pe option. whichever side the market will move to carry the opposite position.
tomorrow is the bank hearing so bank nifty would be volatile ..keep watch on bank nifty as well.
NIFTY CHART ANALYSIS FOR OPTIONS TRADINGNIFTY is currently in a tight spot between 11250 and 11000 .
The increasing number of corona cases seems to have already been factored in and hence not causing any weakness to the index.
The huge rally from 10750 to 11200 in almost a weeks time has dried out now and nifty is now in a consolidation phase. From here onwards we can expect nifty to either touch 11500 in the coming week if the quarterly results of nifty heavyweights such as reliance and HDFC are good, otherwise nifty can also retest its support at 10880 if no good news lifts up nifty .
At the present moment we can sell nifty 11600 CE and 10800 PE for august first week expiry or the present expiry though premiums are vey low now to be on the safe side. Given a choice it is better to stick to 11600 or 11500 CE sell as this week and the coming week a lot of quarterly results are in line and the markets can be very volatile. Also Dow jones and NASDAQ has been seen correcting for the past two days.
For more interesting content head onto my youtube channel bania trader which I've created specially for those people who don't have time for intraday trading and would rather do swing trading.
Nifty trading range for weekly expiry 18th JunMarkets opened with caution today, but gained ground through the day. in the second half though the banking stocks saw pressure and led to selling. Indices closed near the lower end of the trading range. Indicating caution.
Option data suggests a trading range of 9800 to 1000 for tomorrow. Bank Nifty seems to have a trading range of 19500 to 20500.
As usual lets see the opening of the market and global cues coming in for tomorrow morning.
For more details read the blog -
equitycompound2.blogspot.com
Data indicates weakness embedding in the markets.Data indicates weakness embedding in the markets.
Markets did see support coming in at 9726 levels. This would be an immediate support for the market. However, if retested, it may be vulnerable.
Similarly, BankNifty saw support coming in at 19740, this would be an immediate support as well. If market stabilizes tomorrow, BankNifty may outperform Nifty.
Lot depends on how US closes today. Will have to pick up morning cues.
Though as of now a close range of 19500 and 20500 is playing on BankNifty and a close range of 9700 to 9900 seems to be active on Nifty (However, remember the wider range of 9500 to 10000 and 19000 to 21000)
Nifty F&O data analysisNifty closed the day 313 points lower. Let us analyse the data for the day.
FIIs sold 16996 contracts in Index Futures worth 803.13 Cr
Futures data
Retail participants added 9.08K Long contracts & squared off 3.87K short contracts
FIIs squared off 1.05K Long contracts & added 15.94K Short contracts
Pro traders added 8.08K Long contracts & added 3K Short contracts
Call Option data
Retail participants bought 2.46 Lakh Call options & 1.54 Lakhs Calls were shorted by them
FIIs bought 10.3K Call options & 20.93K Calls were shorted by them
Pro traders bought 8K Call options & 87.90 K Calls were shorted by them
Put Option data
Retail participants bought 23.75K Puts and 22.69K Put Contracts were Shorted by them
FIIs bought 12.59K Puts & 12.24K Puts were Shorted by them
Pro traders bought 9.2K Puts & 11.61K Puts were Shorted by them.
All in all, Retail participants have gone aggressive on the Long side.
Net long in Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 0.94
Net Long in Call options
Net Short in Put options
FIIs are Net Short Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 2.58
Net neutral in Call options &
Net Long in Put Options
Pro traders are Net long in Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 0.55
Net Short in Call option
Net neutral in Put option
With Overall PCR at 0.77 & SGX showing a bumper opening, will retail traders win the battle tomorrow?
Majority of Call activity happened at 9000 & 9200 Strike price
Important levels for Nifty on the upside 9105 / 9253 / 9307 / 9334
Important levels for Nifty that should be watched 8960 / 8905
Take care & safe trading…!!!
srtransfin levels & multiple cases i tried to plot possible trades for intraday and positional , importsnt level as per my marked
also possible cases
F&O data analysis & Nifty strategy for 16th April weekly expiryIn our previous post we had highlighted the importance of 8986-9027 level. That level is still being respected. Nifty has closed in the said range at 8993.
Let’s see what data has to say for the expiry week 16th April 2020.
FIIs sold 8.46K contracts worth 474.69 Cr.
FIIs booked profits and squared off 7489 Long Contracts and they added just 979 Short contracts.
Retail Clients added 5507 Long contracts and exited 11312 contracts from Short position.
Pro traders squared off 2226 Long contracts and added 4181 Short contracts.
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Option Data Analysis
On the Call option front FIIs bought 7318 Long Contracts and added 6010 Call Short Position.
Retail traders were again active in Call Options adding 1.06 Lakhs Long contracts and adding 89.3K Short contracts.
Pro traders bought 21.6K Call Long and also created fresh 40.50K Short Contracts.
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On the Put Option front, FIIs bought 8565 Put Long contracts and also added 5466 Put Short contracts.
Retail traders added 93.7K Put Long and created 85.2K Put Short contracts.
Pro traders have bought 23.9K Put Contracts and added 35.5K Put Short Contracts.
Prima facie, it looks like Retail traders are expecting a big move, although, are not sure in which direction. FIIs are still playing it light and Pro traders are playing for a range bound movement.
The broader range is 8500-9500. However, considering Tuesday is a holiday and looking at the activity there is a strong probability of expiry between 8788 on the lower side & 9185-9233 levels on the upper side.
So that's our view.
Aggressive traders may consider the following strategy
Sell Nifty 8800 Put option 16 April expiry
Price range: 100-120
& simultaneously
Sell Nifty 9200 Put option 16 April
Price range : 90-100
The strategy will have maximum profit potential of Rs 14250 – Rs 16500/-
In built loss protection for a fall up to 8610-8580 or for a rise up to 9390-9420 in Nifty levels on 16th April 2020.
Tomorrow being a holiday Will update further in this thread on Wednesday morning.
Keep watching... Do hit the Like button and comment below
Take care & safe trading…!!!
Nifty Short Idea: Everything Explained in the chartthis is my view on nifty for next week.
below EMA 50 and the 8500 support that we have if it breaks 7100 is the target for me .
follow the chart for all the price action .
Like Share if you like my work , will continue doing this.
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If you are not following me, you are missing big trades on BN.Bang On Labels:- BN 19th Feb’20 BNTrading on Telegram:-
The BN opened (Open:- 30661.5, High:- 30692.75, Low:- 30252.45, Close:-30,562.5) above our weekly support zone (30,521-30,630) and breached the support zone is first 10 mins, 3rd 5 min candle tried to enter and made a high of 30,522 and was never was able to enter the zone.
There was clear short below 30,521 and short was covered in the monthly support zone (30,300-30,320) around 12:30 PM. At 1:38 PM the price left the support zone for upside movement, we went long with SL of 30250 and kept on trailing the SL, the price touched the upper level of resistance zone 30,630 and closed.
Almost all the downsize and upside was captured by our traders in our group, trader' s made 2x to 5x profit in options.
The trend will change above 30,758 to positive and super bullish above the zone 31,113-31,185.
## Daily/Weekly/Monthly Resistance:- 31,467, 31650-31750 / 31905 (23.6% retracement of 32613 & 29612).
## Daily/Weekly/ Resistance / Supply Zone :- 31113-31183
## Tomorrow Resistance / Supply Zone :- 30946-31010
## Weekly Resistance:- 30521-31630
## PIVOT:- 30,362-30,454
## Weekly/ Monthly Support:- 30,250-30320.
There are two types of trades:- Range Trading and Breakout Trade.
1. Range Trade:- Buy/SELL in above or below Pivot Zone & GREEN Zones, SL is zone lower point, T 100 to 300 points/resistance zone.
2. Breakout Trade:- Once a pivot/zone is broken, keep SL as lower / upper end of the zone for next zone as the target or target 100 -300 points.