Crazy month expiry.!What a day...! Vix @ 21, a highly volatile day we all expected, exactly after the holiday, the nifty opened with a huge gap down, giving option sellers nightmares. After the gap, it keeps moving down. Look at the chart. It followed the trend line. Then once it broke the trend line, at the same time, Banknifty also took support at 37000, and a quick 1000 point move lifted Nifty up. Bank nifty good buying opportunity.😊It is budget week, so ahead. Lets keep an eye on both the Nifty and the Bank Nifty.
Coming to my option selling, I had17650 CE and 16550PE. Overnight position When the 200 point gap went down, my 16550 had a huge premium spike. and keep the book of CE profit. Then down my CE 17250 and 17200 at last. Once the recovery happened, I hold on to my 17200CE and kept my PE at 16750 and 16850. nifty keeps moving up one point, P & L show a 1% loss. Then I booked a profit on my PE side and I sold 17200CE heavily.
It is an aggressive trade. In trading, we have to be aggressive and defensive. It helped me end up with a nearly 2% profit. I hope everyone had a great expiry.
Optionselling
Going to end this month, Crazy expiry.Look at the chart and see where we are now and how we started this month. This month started with a positive note and kept moving up and up. It is a clear up trend. It took a nifty 14 days to reach 18350. Just five days to keep the nifty dragged down. We have multiple global news sources to follow the down move. But think about the option sellers who hold long positions, vix shoot up to 20+ all eyes on US fed meeting. let's see how it is going to end this month. It is very important that where nifty is going to open on Thursday, we have important levels to watch above 17350,17500,17550 below 17200 major level 17000,16800.
I have 17650 CE and 16550PE as well. I will keep book my profit already in 16100 PE and 18050CE, with 17950CE near 0.5%. My plan for Thursday is for the nifty to move up. I will keep 17650CE till the nifty crosses 17550-17500. Keep my PUT up. If it goes down, I will bring my CE down and adjust PE as needed. if there is a gap up or gap down opening above 17550 my limit, and below 16800 I will make adjustments accordingly. If things go well, I hope to exit with a profit.
Exit is more important than entry! NIFTY at 17750.It is a properly trending market and interesting as an option seller like me has to put so much work into it, not to make money but to protect the capital. That is what option sellers do. Looking at the chart, the Nifty now at a discounted price exactly took support at 17650. It is a major level because 50 EMA is there and a fib line. Let's see how it is going to react to nifty inflation worries and global clue.
Coming to my option, I was kind of proud of that position, till Nifty Broke 17770 (1 PM) . One it being taken out, just wash out my green P & L. 17750 premium spike a lot. In the meantime, I booked my call position and exited with a near 1% loss. You know, like I protect my capital well. On the call side, 18150, 18100, 18050, 17900, one point I sold, 17850, and ended up with a lot of positions this week only because of 17750PE.We have one more expiry for the month. This month was not that great for me. I hope everyone had a great month. Let's get to the last day of the month to end this month with just 1%.
crazy gap down, simple expiry.What an expiry today, with interest rate fear taking nifty down. Look at the chart. There was a huge gap between the opening and the consolidation. Looking at the nifty 5 minute chart, there is a strong upward trend, supporting 50 EMA. Every time the Nifty is at the 50EMA, good buying activity. At one point, it indicated that it was about to cross the 18000 mark. But as we saw, the channel was created with respect to Nifty, and yesterday it was above the line at 18,000. Price action is at an important level, and profit booking may begin from there. I was expecting that. In the coming days as well, I will closely watch the 18000 level. If it tests again, rejects, or consolidates below the level, it might break out from there again. But with a positive global clue, it's hard to bark at the 18000 level. Keep an eye on FII DII activity. If FII starts buying and DII is still buying, but if DII starts booking their profit, the power of the nifty might slow down. Let's keep an eye on all these activities.
When it comes to my weekly option selling this week, I am in the green. But I haven't booked the loss for the 13th expiry (17300 PE). If I book the losses, my net profit and loss will be close to 2%. This 50EMA buying activity helped me to get out of huge losses this week. And I had 17650 PE and my 13th expiry (17300 PE) yesterday. I booked other positions with Profit. Because I was expecting a retest, I took this safe position. The day began with a gap down, which allowed me to exit with a good profit. On the PE side, there is a premium spike, and there is a massive spike on the 17550, 17600, and 17650.
My plan for the 13th expiry (17300 PE) is to sell anything above it with a good premium to minimize the losses. I will keep adjusting on my call side as well. I hope I can manage a 2% loss while trying to keep the net P & L green.
Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders.
Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade.
Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.
Calm volatile expiry. NIFTY50Well, we can skip the gap up fear. It's nice to see such a peaceful volatile expiry today between 17350 and 17150. The bottom side was beautifully respected, 17000 till now. We can say the market respects price action as well. From here, the nifty will either consolidate or break imp levels. My eyes will When FIIs start to support the market, After the US announcement Keep an eye on IT stocks in the coming days; they appear to be doing well right now after NASDAQ showed a recovery.
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NIFTY POSITIONAL WEEKLY HEDGING - 12TH AUGUST EXPIRYSELL 2 LOTS 12AUG2021 16150PE AT 44
BUY 1 LOT 12AUG2021 16300PE AT 109
BUY 1 LOT 12AUG2021 16000PE AT 17
SELL 2 LOTS 12AUG2021 16350CE AT 45
BUY 1 LOT 12AUG2021 16200CE AT 113
BUY 1 LOT 12AUG2021 16450CE AT 20
Breakeven - 16082-16418
Margin - Approx RS. 66000
Risk Reward 1:1
Nifty Expiry Trendline Analysis_280121A hugely volatile day observed following global cues. Flag patter in observed on 1 minute chart with a downside breakdown however, it is near a support zone. Wish to see the support would be held and continue with sideways movement.
Breakout visible at the end of the screen capture!
Nifty Options Expiry Trade_210121Price action suggested a weakness in the index, hence continued to add more option selling at 14800 CE and bringing the hedge down from 14900 CE to 14850CE, thus reducing the risk in the trade and improving the risk-reward.
Gap up opening was a bit of a scare initially for the Call sold position, however there was no decisive upmove which was a saviour.
Nifty Call Option Shorting Idea_21012021Yesterday, we entered into a trade for tomorrow's expiry. We also discussed about the presence of strong resistance around 14650 to 14660 levels for Nifty50, that is where we have observed some correction or reversal. Our trade for Sell 14800CE is intact, while we have shifted the short position of 14150PE to 14250PE which is a safe bet.
BANKNIFTY Short Strangle Wed1) Wed Market is a PED(Premium eating day) - Bidirectional so short strangle works better
2) you can sell top 3 leg CE & bottom 3 legs PE
3) Green lines are safe zones
4) Usually market is range-bound from 11 - 12/1PM Major moves happend before 10 and after 1PM/ 2PM
5) so better to square off before 12PM / 1PM of conservative traders
6) SL/Exit whenever it touches a safe zone or loss goes > 3000
NIFTY CHART ANALYSIS FOR OPTIONS TRADINGNIFTY is currently in a tight spot between 11250 and 11000 .
The increasing number of corona cases seems to have already been factored in and hence not causing any weakness to the index.
The huge rally from 10750 to 11200 in almost a weeks time has dried out now and nifty is now in a consolidation phase. From here onwards we can expect nifty to either touch 11500 in the coming week if the quarterly results of nifty heavyweights such as reliance and HDFC are good, otherwise nifty can also retest its support at 10880 if no good news lifts up nifty .
At the present moment we can sell nifty 11600 CE and 10800 PE for august first week expiry or the present expiry though premiums are vey low now to be on the safe side. Given a choice it is better to stick to 11600 or 11500 CE sell as this week and the coming week a lot of quarterly results are in line and the markets can be very volatile. Also Dow jones and NASDAQ has been seen correcting for the past two days.
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Data indicates weakness embedding in the markets.Data indicates weakness embedding in the markets.
Markets did see support coming in at 9726 levels. This would be an immediate support for the market. However, if retested, it may be vulnerable.
Similarly, BankNifty saw support coming in at 19740, this would be an immediate support as well. If market stabilizes tomorrow, BankNifty may outperform Nifty.
Lot depends on how US closes today. Will have to pick up morning cues.
Though as of now a close range of 19500 and 20500 is playing on BankNifty and a close range of 9700 to 9900 seems to be active on Nifty (However, remember the wider range of 9500 to 10000 and 19000 to 21000)