Nifty Intraday Levels | 4-DEC-2024Nifty Options Scalping
1️⃣ Zones to Watch:
👉Green Zone: Institutional support
👉Red Zone: Institutional resistance
👉Gap: 100-200 points between zones
👉Zone Creation: Based on pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Chart: Use Nifty futures chart for reference
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow: Triggers trades
👉Timeframes: 1-min & 5-min for scalping
👉Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2)
👉Strike Price: ATM or slightly ITM options
👉Position Sizing: Adjust to risk tolerance
3️⃣ Rules:
👉9:15 AM Sharp: Ready for market open
👉Risk Management: Top priority
👉Quick Trades: "Morning breakfast" scalps
👉Stop-Loss: 10 points
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Optionselling
15 Feb ’24 — Nifty within kissing distance of a Bullish breakoutNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “In the 63mts chart, see the encircled region — the strength of the green candles stands out prominently. This has given Nifty a total makeover, till yesterday we were neutral with a moderate bearish bias. Today we are still neutral but with a bullish bias — as the resistance of 21913 is much closer than the support of 21491.”
4mts chart
Nifty has lived up to the expectation today, the momentum it gained yesterday post 14.07 was legitimate. Not only did Nifty hold its ground today but showed intent to take out the 21913 resistance. The open was right at that zone but we quickly lost a few points. The candle at 09.47 carried the hidden message that a breakout was in the cards. That single candle had a swing range of 73 points. Even though we did not do anything unusual till 13.31 - the options premium was going crazy. One mistake I made was to switch to the next-weekly instead of the current one as I felt a breakout would happen post 3 PM. The break came early at 13.35 and what it did was shoot up the CE premiums, nothing unusual in that. But the PEs were not dropping in value. So on one side, my short CEs were trading in deep RED whereas the short PEs were not going into green.
Meanwhile, the breakout did not prove successful - but it definitely woke up the bulls. Almost all the top 8 components were reacting positively to this break. The final close was right near the 21913 SR zone. Over the last week, Nifty rose 166 points ~ 0.76% and if you notice the 63-minute time frame - it has formed a triple bottom-like formation on a descending trendline. Since Nifty already retraced back to the resistance level - we assume it is ready for the next leg of outperformance. The first thing it has to make sure tomorrow is to defend the 21913 levels - if it falls below that, the bullish breakout will not pick up pace. A gap-up is ideal as it will quickly tip the balance to the Bulls as short sellers will have to run for cover. We wish to change the status from neutral to bullish only if we get a 63mts candle above the 21913 resistance line.
63mts chart
Bank Nifty Analysis 17th Jan'24As mentioned previously avoid and beware of false break outs and traps same happend today in morning unable to break 48280 to 42300 false breakout and then back to days low at 48000
Stills looks buyer have controlled from falling below 48000. looks tomorrow may have gap opening in Bank nifty.
See Bank nifty also making range between support & resistance keep eye on opening for tomorrow also expiry may turned out to be trend day.
Support 48000
Resistance 48200 to 42300
Options: Buying vs. Selling - A Comprehensive GuideExploring the realm of options trading unveils two key players: Buyers and Sellers.
Each wields unique strategies with its mix of risks and rewards.
Let's break it down in simple terms.
# Option Buyers: Riding on Possibilities
Chances of Making Money (PoP):
Buyers aim for good market moves, counting on accurate predictions within a specific time.
Risk:
For buyers, risks are limited. Losses only go as far as the premium paid.
Time Pressure:
Buyers fight against time. Being right means aligning predictions with a set timeframe.
Volatility Impact:
Buyers gain when things get more uncertain, making their options potentially more valuable.
Market Moves Matter:
Buyers thrive when the market goes up or down; they bet on a specific direction.
Skill Needed:
While simpler than selling, buyers need a good sense of market trends.
# Option Sellers: Crafting Strategies with Care
Chances of Making Money (PoP):
Sellers prefer stable or slightly tricky markets, benefitting from time passing by.
Risk Check:
Sellers face unlimited risks if the market moves too much against them.
Time on Their Side:
Sellers like time passing; it works in their favor.
Volatility Impact:
Less drama is better for sellers; it makes their options lose less value.
Direction Doesn’t Matter Much:
Sellers can make money in quieter markets; they have more room to move.
Skill Level:
Selling needs more skill, involving clever strategies and calculations.
# What Decides Success: A Mix of Factors
Winning in the options game is about reading the market, knowing your risk appetite, and being smart with strategies.
- Chances of Making Money: Buyers look for clear market trends, while sellers like it stable.
- Risk Game: Buyers have limits on losses; sellers need to watch out for big market moves.
- Time’s Effect: Buyers fight against time; sellers make time work for them.
- Cost and Volatility: Buyers pay more, and gain from more drama. Sellers earn from premiums and like calm markets.
Succeeding in options trading is about thinking smart, adapting to what the market gives, and keeping your skills sharp.
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19th Dec ’23 - BankNifty and NiftyIT collusion to get N50 to ATHBankNifty Analysis
Going neutral on BankNifty worked out pretty well today. But things were not looking in favor till we got the reversal at 10.03. Till then BN was following the falling price action from yesterday. I was kind of worried that we may even re-renter the ascending channel today.
4mts chart link - click here
How and why we got the reversal - No clue. But BN climbed an impressive 369pts ~ 0.78pts to 48010 levels before giving up gains to close flat. The final close is 0.01% - how much more neutral can we be??
4mts chart link - click here
The ATH on Nifty50 looks like was planted. NiftyIT was falling pretty strongly and it was looking like a one-way trip down. NiftyIT recovered an impressive 423pts ~ 1.21% to help N50 take out the ATHs. So the Sync between NiftyIT, Reliance, and BankNifty was perfectly aligned to get the job done. And after that - things went back to normal. NiftyIt gave up 239pts and BN also dropped 227pts.
63mts chart link - click here
The neutral zone is highlighted by 2 horizontal blue lines. Since tomorrow is BankNifty expiry - I am really looking forward to seeing a directional attempt. I wish to stay neutral till then. BankNifty options premiums were looking pretty good today and were unlike the usual Tuesdays we see. VIX near the 14 range is really helping the option sellers.
Indexes analysis for 18th December 2023 for educational purposeIndexes analysis for 18th December 2023 for educational purpose
This video is for educational purpose and my personal view . We are NOT SEBI registered Advisor, we only give the level on our practical trading experience. Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor. It is advisable to take the advice of SEBI registered advisor.
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As Per Data Market BearishAs Per Option Data Market Show Bearish . so Whats Plan For Tommrow If you Are a New Trader then I recommend not trading on Friday. Tomorrow's Market More Interesting As Per data CE Writer Today More At 44000 current Condition CE Writer Greater Then Pe Writer and Also
Retail Full Bearish At Future/ce/pe
DII Future Bearish
FII CE Bearish
What Is The Main Support Zone For Tomorrow in Bank Nifty 44000 is a Big Support For Bank nifty if Market Again Tomorrow then More Fall is possible In Upper Side market have To Much Resistance 44200/44300/44400/
We Only See a Good Move Above 44200 for Buying In Downside if the market Sustence Below 44000 then i not taking any support nearby
Expiry Day Special analysis || FinNifty Hero Zero Trade 01/08/23Hello Traders, Good Morning, i hope you will be doing good in your trading and your life as well as. I have done analysis on Finance nifty as today is weekly expiry. So let's start,,
We have seen some pull back in all indian indices in yesterday's session, i think this should continue, as global market also supporting. Finance nifty also done same, let's see what is going to happen today.
If i talk about support and resistance for Finance nifty, then There is support in the zone of 20175-20200 in downside and i think Finance nifty will give respect for this today's session. Guy's try to buy in support zone also, if you see any price reversal pattern on downside and keep stop loss at 20125.
For Resistance we can see in the range of 20358-20375, and if Finance nifty will break above these levels and trade at least for 30 mints then our buying order should triggered, as then we can see bullishness in Finance Nifty and that momentum will lead the rally towards 20450-20500 levels.
Important Levels for Finance Nifty:-
Buy above 20358, if levels got sustained at least for 30 mints.
Target we can see in upside 20441/20481/20537.
Keep stop loss at 20200.
Sale below 20200, if levels got sustained at least for 30 mints.
Target we can see in downside 20125/20065/20011.
Keep stop loss at 20358.
Note:- Hero Zero Trade will be in 2nd half somewhere 1:15pm. So, we will update in afternoon according to price action, so stick with us and follow us to get notity at right time. Till then enjoy but don't overtrade and Always wait for the best entry or levels to execute trades. And always follow strict stop loss to save your capital from unexpected market direction.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
13 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty + Weekly expiry analysisNifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry & today, Nifty50 is actually down 40pts ~ 0.21%. That seems quite hard to believe especially when we had an ATH break today right?
The fact is N50 broke out from the 19500 levels today & that would have created the perception that nifty had a gaining week. Also on 7th July we had a red day and almost touched the 19300 levels. So credit goes to N50 since it recovered all its losses & hit a new ATH of 19567 today!
---
Nifty Daily Analysis
We had 2 strong moves today
A gap up open and then a race to take out the ATH, a total swing of 182pts ~ 0.94%
A similar fall of 180pts ~ 0.92% to touch the prev. close value
Both the directional move would have given ample opportunity for options traders to mint money today.
Final close was 0.15% higher mainly supported by the NiftyIT index. The dramatic inverted U shape price action was due to RELIANCE which fell from 2799 to 2743. HDFCBK, KOTAKBK & SBIN also dragged the index.
Trades Taken
Other than the regular expiry trades, I reopened a bullish PE credit spread between 10 to 10.30 AM. 19500/19400 PE for 67.45/40.65. This was taken when Nifty was at the ATH and due to the reversal this position is currently in loss.
Will take a decision tomorrow to hold on to bullish bias or exit at a loss.
When to adjust Options - 5 Guidelines to stop your lossesIn this video, I discuss 5 Options selling guidelines which you can use to exit your option trades when they go wrong.
Selling options come with the risk of unlimited losses . That's why, the main aim of adjusting options is to put a cap to the losses , reassess the situation and increase profitability.
Follow @piyushrawtani for more!
Cheers =)
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 24 APR 2023By 09.15 around 90% of traders would have guessed how NSE:BANKNIFTY is going to trade today. Thats because NSE:ICICIBANK had an excellent quarterly results to boast for.
The predictability of banknifty is, one leading bank is enough to pull up the sentiment of others. Same on the downside as well.
Opening was gap up at 42469, and it took a while before it started climbing to the resistance zone. Till 12.40 there was no directional bias - banknifty was maintaining the opening gap and not yielding ground.
There was no attempt to close the gap too, meanwhile NSE:NIFTY went to slightly negative zone. Just compare the price action of banknifty vs nifty50, banks did not show any weakness at all whereas nifty50 was unable to maintain the gap.
---
From 12.40 banknifty took-off breaking the resistance of 42576 very easily, It just required a small upmove of 287pts to get rid of this important resistance.
There was also a test of support at 14.35 to 15.05 - but the momentum was too strong and bank nifty held its ground.
I am starting to wonder how are these banks able to provide this stellar results? How are Indian firms able to outperform the global peers so efficiently and effortlessly? Unbelievable.
The global banking fear of Silvergate, SVB, Credit Suisse has not lifted a finger in India. Not even a glitch!
---
15mts TF get a new bullish tone after today's move and the resistance getting broker. This temporarily gives the bull the edge from the rangebound trade we had till 21st Apr.
---
1hr chart is scaling new heights, with the next resistance seen at 43012. You would have noticed banknifty usually uses gaps to move the distance from 2022 onwards. Only rarely we see banknifty making huge moves during the day.
This has cooled off the options premium again, I shorted few PUT options today very well knowing that they are already near the fair value. I was not surprised to end the day in losses as there was no further decay left in the options I traded. Literally pointing that option-selling is getting very unattractive at low volatility levels.
Basics of Option's Delta: With ExamplesOption's DELTA represents the change in price of an option with respect to change in price of an underlying.
Let's understand briefly with the help of Nifty example.
1️⃣
In the above Nifty example,
17750 is an At the Money CE option.
Delta of ATM CE is near 0.5
Which means that if spot moves 10 points, 17750 CE will move 5 points.
Normally ATM options are highly volatile options.
2️⃣
17700 is slightly In the Money CE.
Delta is 0.7, means if spot moves up 10 points, the CE option will move up by 7 points.
Volatility is fairly high in this one too but less compared to 17750.
⚡If you open the chart of the above options, you will see spikes with lot of wicks above and below the candles (if market stays around these levels). Also, there will be a lot of breakout/breakdown failures over the swing highs and lows in the intraday. This is due to highly volatile nature of ATM options.
3️⃣
17650 and 17600 are deeper In the Money CE options.
You can see that the delta is around 0.9
It means that if index moves 10 points, these CE option will move 8-9 points also.
These options are less volatile compared to ATM options.
⚡The deeper the CE option, the higher would be the delta, but the value of Delta never exceeds 1.
You should note that deep ITM options just behave like the underlying Futures. Means a 1-point movement in the underlying equals 1 point move in the option.
So, if you don't want to trade futures for some reason, you can trade with deep ITM options.
⚡⚡Remember that Delta varies as the market moves.
Ex if market moves down by 100 points, in this example, then Delta of 17650 CE will become 0.5 as it will be ATM at that point.
This behavior along with higher Theta of ATM needs more attention.
⚡Needless to mention, the Delta of Out of the Money CE options remains less than 0.5 and it keeps on decreasing as we move deeper into OTM CE options.
Ex Delta of 17900 CE is 0.05 while publishing this post on the expiry day. This is the reason that an OTM CE will have bare minimum movement with respect to movement in the underlying.
Disclaimer: I don't call myself an option expert and I am not much into complex option strategies. But this is the least that one should know as an option trader.
Do like for more informative posts in the future.
Regards
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 10 APR 2023I am making some changes in the chart layout from today's report. It will be in white background going forward. This is after the feedback I got from the kindle publishing team that images with dark layout will look awkward when made into paperback.
note: I will still continue to use the dark-mode chart for my trading purpose, only for the reports I will be using the white-mode
NSE:BANKNIFTY opened today at 41116, it might look as a gap-up open but when the price action is considered it looks perfectly in line.
The entire market was quite subdued today, the option premium at the lowest when we compare an average Monday. The good-friday holiday might have played its part, but I still think the premiums were restrictive for any option sellers to have made money today.
I waited till 10.45 to find any mis-priced option, the moment I saw the premiums were all dead - I called it a day. I was just waiting on the sidelines just waiting for something to happen.
From 10.10 to 11.35 NSE:BANKNIFTY tested its first support at 40880 but did not break it. The rejection came at 11.40 when a short surge helped it gain 192pts.
The real move came from 12.45 to 14.15, in fact the 5mt candle at 14.15 had a bid dip. In spite of this the options premium hardly felt any threat. I am referring to OTM premiums which captures the threat more evidently.
Now we have the 40880 support broken decently as the close was below that level. The next support 40704 did not break today, below which the bears would have exerted some additional pressure.
---
15mts TF does not look bearish yet, NSE:BANKNIFTY might be taking a small break before the bullish continuation.
It could also mean a short term top if the further trades are held below the current levels. Ideally this should be the case wherein the bears get some control on the market & drive up the premiums.
---
1hr was in a perfect downward trend till the moves from 27 March 2023 to 06 April 2023 ruined it.
As it stands we have just entered back the top level of the descending channel. Further trades below this channel will give the bears lot of confidence to push down the bank-nifty prices & drive up the options premium.
The implied volatility which is staying so low is causing all the trouble for the option sellers.
NIFTY VIEW FOR 9 JANUARY As we discussed in previous idea , if nifty break 18000 level we may see more selling to 17900-800 levels , as it did in friday trading session.
Now , you can see simple Resistance and Support area in the chart , we may expect this week in this zone , so try to buy at support level and sell at resistance level
let price make a reversal pattern at the support area or a Bullish candlestick pattern for the confirmation so that we can take entry at right time
or
we can use indicator for confirmation to activate entry
make sure to maintain your stoploss short
U turn expiry.Day to mark, when the market opens with a huge 400 point gap up, and profit booking kicks in. I have an overnight position of 16600CE and 15700PE, which is a huge premium spike that went MTM loss of 25X. It hit harder than the market moved down. When CE started to melt down, I lost 4% of my capital, but I had seen a 10% loss in my MTM, so I decided to book 4% and did not adjust any positions. I have already booked nearly 1.5% of the legs that I rolled up this week. managed to exit with a minimum loss. Let's see how it ends this week. The market is actually not in a good mood.
The week end on a high.The week ends on a high. i was expected that it would be a tricky expiry, but it could end up with nearly 2%. I haven't done any aggressive position yet, selling premium spike helped me get there. The week ends on a high. I expected that it would be a tricky expiry, but it could end up with nearly 2%. I haven't taken any aggressive positions yet, but selling premium spike helped me get there. Can I hold on to my 17500CE and 15400PE On Thursday, it absolutely melted. I could roll up my position to 16900CE and 16200PE to end the week. Let's keep a close look at the price action. vix on top and nifty in a negative trend. I will make a decision after watching below 16000 and above 16700. I hope everyone has a good week.
March is going to be crazy. We are up to the first week of March expiry. Last month we saw such crazy movements as gap up opening and gap down opening. As an option seller, it was really a roller coaster ride, but it could end with green last month. We all learn how to trade in such crazy movements. Looking at the chart, the uncertainty is still there. Any news can drive the market. VIX in the moon, PE side massive premium spike, what I look at the PE side, even the bloodbath. I am confident about the PE side because I can get good premium even far away Srikes. Nifty trading at a major level near 16850. as long as they are below the levels to watch out 16350, 16200, and 16000. If any trend reversal above 16850, the next levels are 17040 and 17250. This was my plan, not to carry a near strike price. We can see an easy 100 point movement in this scenario. Coming to my option of selling, I have an overnight position. CE 17500 and PE 15400. This trade gives more than a 1% Let's see how it is going to end this week and I will roll up my positions with caution.
Putin effect, Where we can expect expiry. Look at VIX. Where is it now. indicating the crazy movement will continue. Any news can drive the market's movement. stepping into the last week of the month with caution. Monday opened with a gap down and then started a recovery, then fell again. Today it opened with a huge 300 point gap. Think about it. Carrying over night positions is risky. As a trader, we have to look for good premiums everywhere. Make use of it and make sure you won't get stuck in volatility. Looking at the price action, it is good to see that 16850 took support and bounced back. When it comes below 17000, there is buying happening. A good sign. Also, keep an eye on that. If it breaks with strength, we can see a larger move. Above, there is a trend line. I will keep an eye on these levels. Below 16850 and above 17350.
Coming to my option selling, I am already sitting on top of nearly 1.5% profit, having booked 0.8% profit. I started selling calls on Friday and I expected negativity. I took 17850 CE at a good premium at the closing time. Monday gap down opening and the CE almost melted. I held on to it, and today I booked profit. I entered into the PE side at 15850 too far with a really good premium VIX spike to help get that and the CE side at 17550. The current position is good now, one point CE side give me bit worry. My plan for the week's PE side almost melted if Tmro gapped down. I will hold my PE and adjust only the expiry day and worry about my CE side because of the VIX spike. If my SL did not meet the price, then my plan was to hold the CE till 17450–17470 and roll up the PE to 16850. Otherwise, just make adjustments. expiry day only.Let's hope we can end this week on a high.
Not a calm expiry but a nifty pause Looking at the chart of 200 point intraday movement now becomes calm expiry. but it's good to see nifty in a range of 17400 to 17200. Option sellers make money, but premium spikes are crazy. Price action speaks. After a trending market, there is a consolidation. That is how the market behaves. The market is still not stable. Global clues are still confusing the market. We can see more news-driven movements. Let's keep an eye on 17450 and 17250 for the last 2 days, respected. Let's keep an eye on these levels. If any of these breaks, we can see another quick move from here.
Coming to my option of selling the sitting on top of near 2% profit this week. On Wednesday, the market gapped up, so I booked profit on my 16700PE. When the market started moving down, I was able to get the same position with a good premium, and I averaged the PE side twice, which added good profit to the PE side. I roll down to my CE of 17700. At the end of the day, I rolled my PE to 16900. At the end, my 16900 showed some red, but I had already booked some good profit from 16700, so the position was all good. I hold on to it. When the day started, my position almost melted away. I booked a profit. The market moved down and took support at 17250, a good premium spike of 17900, with the same safety roll down to my CE of 17600. I was expecting a quick down move, so I entered 17500CE and it went and hit SL. After that, it moved my positions to the downside, 17200PE and 17450CE, ending the week on a high. but i was bit worried about the premium spike SL set up saved from the volatile day. 17500CE only hit SL. End the week on a high.