EURUSD: Defending the 1.0800 support levelHello comrades, today the EURUSD trading session kicked off with little changes. The currency pair is still gradually increasing and trading below the 1.0850 level in the Asian trading session on Monday. The US dollar is regaining its footing as it trades in the opposite direction in the Asian market, creating a sense of caution. Investors are still concerned about an important week ahead, focusing on the ECB's interest rate decision and Powell's testimony.
It is expected that this currency pair will continue to move sideways below the resistance level of 1.0856 before strong news impacts the trend as mentioned above. The support level of 1.080 continues to play a strong role for EURUSD during this time.
Wishing you all a successful and enjoyable trading week!
Optionsstrategies
GBPUSD: Is this week's trend up or down?RKarina sends greetings at the beginning of the week to everyone, wishing you all a smooth and exciting trading week.
Currently, GBPUSD is maintaining a fairly stable price around 1.266, recording a 0.08% recovery during the day. The GBP/USD pair has formed a good recovery on Friday from the level of 1.2600, which has been a low point for a week and a half, and has attracted some positive momentum.
In terms of trends, GBPUSD is still in a sideways state, but in the short and medium term, it seems that the buying side is holding strong with price increases after this currency pair tested the 34 and 89 EMA lines and continued to move up.
My goal for this week is for GBPUSD to continue rising with two main targets, namely 1.270 and 1.276. What about you? Do you have a goal for an increase or decrease in price?
USDJPYHello dear friends!
Today, the USDJPY pair continues to trade deeply around the 150.32 level and maintains a sideways trend. It is expected that there will be no significant breakthrough in price today as no information will be released during the day.
Resistance levels: 150.64, 150.800 Support levels: 149.95, 149.700
05 Mar ’24 — BankNifty Algos gave 50% profit in opening hour!BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
BankNifty gets a status change today to bullish. Look at the 12.47 candle that took out the resistance of 47465. Even the next candle formed was strongly bullish. We are now at a stage where BankNifty is strongly bullish and Nifty is showing some weakness due to the tech sector. If Nifty starts falling, there is no way BankNifty can remain in green, although it has happened many times in the past. Over the last many months, the IT sector has gained more weightage on Nifty50, I started noticing this after the inclusion of LTIM in the index.
4mts chart
On the higher timeframe, BankNifty managed to get 2 63mts candles above the resistance line. Our stance change came right after the 12.24 candle as the signs were pretty clear. On a normal day, a resistance break usually signifies a much more powerful breakout rally. We are quite not sure whether we will get that tomorrow as US markets are trading in deep RED.
If BN falls below 47465 or opens gap-down below this support level we will revert to a neutral stance. And since it is the weekly expiry tomorrow - we expect the premiums to pick up if that happens. As it stands the premiums of the OTM are not good enough for some serious speculation.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 17997 rupees. Again pulled the plug early today i.e. at 10.24. As per my backtests the max possible gain intraday is Rs36000 and since we hit 50% of that in the opening hour - decided to exit prematurely.
04 Mar ’24 — BankNifty still has to overcome the 47465 resistancBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty is still stuck at the 47465 resistance level and this according to me was the primary reason why even Nifty could not find the upward thrust. There were 4 specific instances when BN tried to break the resistance and move up but all of them got rejected. This does not really mean that the Bulls are tired or out of steam, it is just that they are unable to win the hand.
4mts chart
By this time, we all know what is going to happen next - A gap-up above the resistance line and then boom-boom. The gap-up will change the dynamics in the Bull’s favor and the short covering will give it a bit more thrust. The moment that happens, we will be able to change the stance from neutral to bullish. This would also mean Nifty50 would be scaling new heights. What is totally unpredictable is NiftyIT, playing hard to get. Seems like the fight to be the Nifty’s torch bearer is happening between IT and Banks.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 27037. We manually closed the day @ 11.15 as the MTM felt decent enough for the 2hrs of trade. We will only get to know if it was the right decision or not when we run the backtest.
I am a registered financial advisor & would be happy to assist with your queries or doubts. If privacy is required, you can DM me too.
Gold price increased dramatically at the end of the week!Hello dear friends, let's review the gold prices of the past week and discuss new strategies for the upcoming week with Kevin!
During the beginning of the week, gold prices remained relatively stable, mainly moving sideways around the $2030 mark with a resistance level at $2035. However, in the last two days of the week, gold gained strong buying momentum and broke through some significant resistance levels, continuously rising from $2025 to $2088 and currently pausing at $2082.
The international financial market has received economic updates from major economies such as the United States, Europe, and China. As a result, investors have been actively buying precious metals to protect their capital, pushing gold prices to the highest level in months.
Looking ahead to the next week's strategy:
Based on chart analysis, gold has surpassed the $2065 resistance level and is approaching $2090, but it is encountering some limitations as indicated on the chart. It is expected to experience a slight retreat as the new trading week begins, with a projected range of 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (which means testing the new support area around $2065 and testing the 34 and 89 EMA lines as the price has gone too far).
Wishing you all successful and enjoyable trading!
EURUSD: Critical support level 1,080 remains strong!Hello everyone, let's discuss the new weekly strategy for EURUSD with RKarina!
Yesterday, EURUSD continued to maintain a fairly stable trading level around the psychological threshold of 1.080. The currency pair received support once again from the 1.080 level, as it bounced back after touching this threshold. It seems that the buyers are still making efforts to protect this support level and demonstrating their notable strength.
Currently, EURUSD has temporarily paused trading at 1.083 and is approaching a nearby resistance level. There is a high possibility of an increase in price as long as the 1.080 support level remains intact.
EURUSD: Pay attention to defending 1.0800Hello dear friends, it's RKarina here again! What do you think about the next trend for this currency pair?
EUR/USD remains stable, hovering around the 1.0850 level, especially after Tuesday's trading session, which saw minimal momentum for this currency pair due to a larger-than-expected drop in durable goods orders in the US for January. Now, all attention is focused on the upcoming release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on Wednesday.
From the chart: EURUSD is currently in a corrective phase, facing downward pressure from sellers as it approaches the resistance level at 1.0888. The current support level is set at 1.079, with a notable possibility of price recovery in this area. Within the range of 0.5 - 0.618, buyers are closely monitoring this zone for opportunities to maneuver and compete in this currency pair.
Gold price on the weekend of trading weekend!Hello everyone, let's strategize for the new day with RKarina! It can be observed that yesterday afternoon, the price of gold increased significantly, surpassing the important resistance level at 2035 USD and approaching the level of 2050 USD before stabilizing around the 2045 USD range in the first half of today.
In line with this, the core PCE of the United States decreased from 2.9% to 2.8% compared to the same period last year. The annual overall inflation rate also decreased sharply from 2.6% to 2.4%, in line with expectations. This data confirms that the process of inflation reduction continues, causing a decrease in US Treasury bond yields. As a result, financial investors are shifting their capital from bonds to precious metals. The price of gold in the world today has the momentum to continue rising.
XAUUSD: little volatility, quiet tradingHello dear friends! What is your prediction for the movement of gold today?
Last night, gold briefly touched the $2025 mark before quickly recovering to stabilize around the $2035 range, facing challenges around this resistance level. Due to the narrowing Bollinger Bands, it is predicted that gold will have minimal volatility today, possibly fluctuating between $2038 and $2025.
GBPUSD: The risk of a price drop lurksThe GBP/USD exchange rate is hovering around 1.2680 on Wednesday as markets seek new impetus from the Federal Reserve (Fed) as investors gradually shy away from high-interest rate cut bets. Data on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) inflation and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index will be released this week.
Data from the United Kingdom remains sparse this week, with the market focusing on important figures to update expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
As a result, GBPUSD is struggling to rise, with both short-term and medium-term corrections indicating a downward trend. The currency pair has already broken below the support level of 1.267. In the event that the next support level at 1.265 is breached, the possibility of a decline below 1.262 is entirely plausible as there will be no significant support points to prop up GBPUSD.
USDJPY: SELL OR BUY?Hello dear friends! Today, USDJPY continues to be limited below the resistance level of 150.750 in the early trading hours of the new week.
This currency pair is declining due to the decrease in US Treasury bond yields, amid cautiousness and concerns about inflation data in the United States. However, the recent appreciation of the US dollar may limit the downside of USD/JPY as long as the support level of 149.700 is well maintained, thus the possibility of a recovery for USDJPY is still considered high.
USDJPY: down sharplyDear friends,
USDJPY experienced a sharp decline today. The price has been consistently plummeting since reaching 150.844 and is currently hovering around 149.789 after half a day.
On the analysis chart: This currency pair has surpassed most of its important support levels, and there is still a favorable outlook for further price drops as the trendline has been broken. The defensive point and target for sellers are currently at 148.97.
GBPUSD : Slight discount !The GBP/USD pair broke free from the recent low around 1.2620 and rebounded to 1.2660 at the start of Thursday's Asian trading session. The demand for the US Dollar (USD) weighed heavily on the GBPUSD pair ahead of a significant event in the United States.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for January at the end of the day, hoping for fresh momentum.
EURUSD - Stable trading above the psychological level of 1,080Hello everyone, let's discuss EURUSD today with RKarina!
Currently, the EURUSD currency pair is trading quite calmly and there haven't been many price changes, with trading levels around 1.083 USD from the beginning of the week until now.
Looking at the prospects from today's short-term analysis chart: This currency pair has experienced a pullback above the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci level, indicating that the selling side seems to have an advantage during this period. However, it is still operating weakly as the price continues to hover and align with the two EMA lines, namely the 34 and 89.
If everything goes well and meets expectations, after a slight sideways movement, this currency pair will aim for the next target at the resistance level of 1.086. Let's wait and see the results!
Xauusd todayHey everyone, let's delve into the current gold prices!
During the previous trading session, the price of gold remained steady, ranging from $2022 to $2025. Investors are eagerly awaiting fresh economic data from the United States in order to assess the future direction of interest rates as determined by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
At the moment, gold finds itself in a temporary stalemate, torn between expectations regarding interest rates and the demand for a safe haven amidst geopolitical tensions. The latest minutes from the Fed's policy meeting have revealed a general concern among policymakers regarding the risks associated with premature interest rate cuts, which has exerted significant pressure on gold.
In my opinion, there is a possibility that gold prices could rise to a range of $2040 - $2042 before experiencing a correction if it reaches the limit of its downward trend.
Gold price today: Trading is quietHello everyone, gold traded relatively calmly today at a high level after breaking out of the previous downtrend.
Today, the price of gold was supported by the decline in US Treasury bond yields. As a result, the US dollar (USD) weakened as the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks this currency against six other currencies, fell by 0.05%.
From the analysis chart: Gold is trading sideways as XAU/USD has been unable to surpass the psychological resistance level of $2,035 for the past 12 days. However, the upward trend is still intact, and if buyers reclaim the $2,035 level, it could open up an opportunity to challenge the psychological level of $2,050.
GBP/USD: maintain good growth rateThe GBP/USD pair continues its upward momentum below the psychological barrier of 1.2700 in the early Asian trading session on Tuesday. The FOMC minutes indicated that the Fed has reaffirmed its data-dependent approach, leading to a more dovish outlook. This has weighed on the US Dollar (USD) and created a favorable environment for this currency pair.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2685, up 0.02% for the day. My expectation is that the price will continue to rise after finding support at the 34 and 89 EMA levels.
EURUSD: Uptrend continues above 1.0800Hello Traders! Today EURUSD continues to trade in an upward trend.
As long as EUR/USD trades above the 34.89 EMA Simple Moving Average, the outlook for the pair is likely to remain constructive.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, a slow return appears to have taken place so far. The next upside barrier is 1.0888, ahead of 1.0897 and 1.0932.
Gold price today February 27: Great leap forward?Dear beloved friends, yesterday's gold trading session was relatively calm with no significant fluctuations. At present, the price is still hovering around $2033 and maintaining support at $2025.
In the short and medium term, the upward momentum of gold is still highly regarded. From today's chart, the two main targets for buyers are $2037 and $2041.
Regarding predictions, the market is awaiting the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report. This crucial inflation data is expected to provide investors with further clues about the future direction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve. The report is scheduled to be released on Thursday, with a projected monthly increase of 0.4%. If the PCE data exceeds expectations, gold prices may decline. However, this precious metal is still expected to remain above $2000 per ounce.
XAUUSDHello dear colleagues, what do you think the closing price of gold will be today?
Last night, the price of gold decreased despite the sharp decline in the US dollar. Normally, a weaker US dollar would support an increase in the price of gold. However, in the last session, it defied market norms with a decline in the USD due to forecasts showing durable goods orders in the US dropping from 0% in the previous month to -4.7% in January, and core durable goods orders falling from 0.6% to 0.2%.
Despite gloomy economic forecasts, the stock market remains surprisingly optimistic. Globally, US and Japanese stocks have been continuously setting new records at the beginning of this year. With a 7% increase since the end of 2023, money is shifting from traditional safe havens like gold to stocks, potentially setting the stage for a recovery in the price of gold.
GBPUSD: stable daily recovery streakHello dear traders, today GBPSUSD continues its winning streak during the recovery process, with trading levels around 1.266 and remaining within an upward price channel with stability.
It is expected that the price will continue to recover after the correction phase and reach the lower limit of the ascending channel, while also testing the EMA 34 and 89.
XAUUSD: price increase but not sure yet!Hello traders, what do you think about GOLD?
The fear of risk has driven the demand for US government bonds, contributing to the prolonged weakness of US Treasury bond yields across the yield curve. The slight decrease in US Treasury bond yields helps limit the adjustment of Gold prices.
In the coming days, the momentum of the US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields, along with the risk sentiment, will impact Gold price action as traders consider the US New Home Sales data for trading cues.
Gold is supported and has been growing as it touches the bottom of a descending channel. It is expected to decrease back to the channel bottom after reaching the resistance zone.