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GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2600OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!... Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating the Approaching ReversalHello dear readers, Today, let's delve into a detailed analysis of the GBP/USD chart to identify key points that might influence our investment decisions in the coming period. The current chart presents some intriguing technical signals that we should monitor closely. Overall Assessment: The 4-hour chart for GBP/USD is showing an upward trend, but the price is currently approaching a significant resistance area. This is a point where many traders might consider taking profits, which could introduce selling pressure at these higher levels. EMA Lines and Current Signals: The price is trading between the EMA 34 and EMA 89, with the EMA 34 approaching from below and possibly providing support if prices start to decline. The intersection of these EMAs could be a crucial signal for identifying a potential change in trend. Potential for Reversal: As the price nears this strong resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will test and possibly retreat from this level. If this occurs, we might see the price execute a pullback towards the nearest support line, formed by the ascending black trendline. Predictions and Strategy: If the price fails below the resistance and the EMA 34 does not hold as support, we could witness a more substantial price drop. The next target could be the lower support level of the ascending channel, where the price may find momentum for a recovery. Personal Insight: Given the current scenario, I would advise investors to closely watch the current resistance area and prepare for the possibility that the price could decline after touching this zone. Stop-loss orders should be cautiously placed to protect capital from potential volatility. For those looking to capitalize on a downward trend, waiting for a reversal confirmation before placing sell orders could be a prudent strategy. Wishing all our readers successful trading and stay tuned to market developments to seize beneficial opportunities.
Short
by Bo-Samson
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Forecast After Short-Term PullbackDear Readers, Today, let’s dive into the technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair and consider the possibility of a pullback scenario before the main downtrend continues. Resistance Zone and Pullback Potential: The strong resistance zone marked in pink on the current chart is the point at which EUR/USD has failed to overcome in recent attempts. This represents strong selling pressure at higher prices. In the short term, a pullback could occur when the price approaches this resistance zone again, attracting investors looking for an opportunity to sell. Support Line and Downtrend: The main support line, drawn in black, has kept the price from falling further since late November. The price has bounced from this support line a few times, but a pullback to the above resistance zone could be just a temporary sign before the main downtrend continues. EMAs and Price Action Prediction: EUR/USD is currently trading between the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, representing a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. A pullback could see the price approach or break above the 34 EMA before selling pressure returns, resulting in a fresh decline. Personal View: After the pullback is complete and the resistance level is not broken, EUR/USD is likely to resume its downtrend. The price could fall to the next support level at 1.04245 and could continue to fall to 1.03838. Traders should consider establishing short positions as the price approaches the resistance, with carefully placed stop-loss orders to protect capital. This could be a good opportunity to ride the long-term downtrend without getting caught in short-term rallies.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold --> Interest in this metal is growingGold continues to hold strong as the dollar faces a correction, with liquidity gradually diminishing. Friday’s trading in the US could play a pivotal role in shaping market dynamics. On the H1 timeframe, gold remains firmly within the boundaries of a local bullish channel, driven by the dollar's weakness, which stems largely from the ongoing inflationary environment. Adding to this momentum, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rate policy continues to act as a tailwind for gold prices. However, this factor appears to be taking a backseat for now. Meanwhile, the market spotlight is shifting toward the policies of the new US administration, which are expected to bring significant changes to the global economic landscape. These shifts could push central banks to bolster their gold reserves, potentially igniting a surge in central bank gold trading activity. With the fundamentals aligning for a bullish trend—supported by an ascending channel and strong macroeconomic factors—buying opportunities dominate the strategy. Ideal entries lie around the support zone (aligned with FVG levels) or upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance level. Price targets? Gold's climb toward 2678 and 2694 is drawing closer, signaling an exciting rally ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
4
Gold--> Trade inside from channel boundaryHi guys, Gold prices inched slightly higher to $2,650 following a breakout, spurred by political headlines, but the broader fundamental landscape remains clouded with uncertainty. Market liquidity is notably thin today due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, leaving the market ripe for sudden volatility. Geopolitical tensions continue to play a pivotal role, with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict maintaining a strong grip on sentiment. Adding fuel to the fire, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico are creating ripples across the market. “This has amplified concerns about potential fallout for these two nations, which in turn provides a key layer of support for gold,” analysts highlight. However, any push to elevate gold prices could face significant headwinds. Trump’s tariff policies, while unsettling, are seen as potential inflationary catalysts, which might force the Federal Reserve to rethink its trajectory of interest rate cuts. This tug-of-war keeps gold traders on edge. From a technical lens, gold is caught in a sideways grind. Traders are eyeing a local H1 channel between $2,660 - $2,618, with the broader D1 range extending from $2,690 (or $2,710) - $2,605. At this juncture, gold seems to be gravitating toward liquidity clusters above current levels. A potential false breakout at key resistance zones, followed by price consolidation in sell-heavy areas, could spell a sharp pullback toward the lower boundary of the sideways range. For savvy traders, this moment is not just about watching the charts but anticipating the narrative. A delicate interplay of technical setups and geopolitical uncertainties makes every move in the gold market an opportunity wrapped in risk. Will gold reclaim higher ground, or will it succumb to the gravitational pull of its range-bound rhythm? The answer lies just beyond the next breakout—or breakdown.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD capitalizing on the weakening of the US dollar and heading towards the areas of interest and liquidity at 2635 - 2639. But! There are signs that a flag pattern is forming. Theoretically, any attempt for gold prices to rise could be limited. PCE, GDP, and the resistance ahead... Meanwhile, sellers pause slightly amid concerns about trade wars, geopolitical risks, expectations that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, recently declining US bond yields, and the USD falling overnight to a two-week low. However, ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US, namely PCE and GDP, after a relatively quiet news week, volatility is likely to be unpredictable. The question now is whether the downward momentum will continue as the price reacts to a critical support zone. Technically, gold remains range-bound and is heading towards areas of interest from which a retracement could form. But this reaction also partly depends on the news.... The focus is on the imbalance zone, fibo 0.618 and fibo 0.5. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
2
Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Samson here! Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553. Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement). Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum. Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors... Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
3
My Analysis of EURUSD (1 Hour Chart)Hello everyone, Ascending Channel Formation: Price is moving within a clear ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming along the way. This structure suggests a temporary upside correction within the overall downtrend. EMA Dynamics: The 34 EMA (purple) is currently acting as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to break higher, as indicated by the red arrows. The 89 EMA (pink) is closely aligned, consolidating the resistance zone and signaling bearish momentum when the price is below these levels. Key Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the channel, near 1.0525, is a key resistance zone. This zone is consistent with the rejection from the EMA and is expected to limit upside momentum. Near-term Price Movement: I expect price to retest this resistance level and potentially fake out in the short term before moving lower. A break of the ascending channel to the downside would confirm a continuation of the decline. Target Level: The initial downside target is around 1.0450, near the middle of the previous range. If the decline continues, I expect the price to fall further towards the support level of 1.0352, which marks the lower boundary of my expected price. Risk Zone: A sustained break above 1.0550 would invalidate my bearish outlook and signal further upside. Conclusion: For now, I am watching how the price reacts at the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the EMA resistance zone. Any rejection or bearish candlestick pattern would confirm my short bias, focusing on the downside targets.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hi guys, Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark. Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations. Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday. Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form. Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663 Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600 If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Momentum ResumesEUR/USD is dominated by a long-term downtrend, with technical factors and market sentiment leaning towards the sellers. The possibility of the price breaking the 1.0430 support is not small, especially in the context that traders are waiting for clear signals from upcoming major economic events. Investors need to closely follow the price movements at important technical zones to make appropriate decisions, as EUR/USD is approaching a pivotal moment of the trend.
Short
by Bo-Samson
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?Hi guys, OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing... Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed. The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets. This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week. Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically: Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650 Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750 Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
3
Nifty Trading Strategy for 25th November 2024Nifty Trading Analysis & Key Levels . Current Value: The Nifty index closed at 23,907, indicating a strong bullish tone in the market during the last trading session. Key Levels to Watch: Buy Zone: Consider initiating long positions if the Nifty moves above 24,070, confirmed by a 15-minute candle close. This level may trigger further upward momentum as buyers dominate the market. Sell Zone: Look for opportunities to short if the Nifty falls below 24,742, confirmed by a 15-minute candle close. A breach of this level could signal bearish sentiment returning to the market. Nearest Resistance Levels: 24,225: This is the first major hurdle for the index on the upside. A strong breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains. 24,325: The next resistance level where selling pressure may emerge. Watch for price action around this level to assess market strength. Nearest Support Level: 24,600: This level acts as immediate support, and any move below it could signal a reversal in the current bullish sentiment. Traders should remain cautious if the index approaches this level. Market Sentiment: The market closed on a bullish note, suggesting a positive sentiment among traders. However, upcoming economic data, global market cues, or other news events could impact the trend. Monitor developments closely to adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Disclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered advisor. The information provided above is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading in the stock market involves substantial risk, including the loss of your capital. Always perform your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:NIFTY
by ramkkyy
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders, EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution. Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months. From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark. Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure. Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
1
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically... The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook. Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
ETHUSDT: Strong Growth Momentum, Ready to Hit New HighsBINANCE:ETHUSDT has surged from the $3,015 support zone and is currently trading around $3,148. The rally is supported by a solid price structure and positive technical factors. While many other cryptocurrencies are still struggling in the accumulation zone, Ethereum has proven its position by attracting strong inflows from both institutional and retail investors. If ETH breaks the current resistance, the rally could continue and help the price reach new historical levels. However, investors need to closely monitor macroeconomic fluctuations to optimize their trading strategies.
Long
by JerrytradingCR
Bitcoin -->Continues to GrowBINANCE:BTCUSDT reached $91,433, up $899 (0.99%) from the previous session. During the trading session, the highest price recorded was $92,654 and the lowest was $89,240. This growth was driven by factors such as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates unchanged and the increasingly widespread acceptance of Bitcoin in financial transactions. In addition, geopolitical tensions in Europe also caused investors to seek Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Experts predict that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could surpass the $100,000 mark in the near future.
Long
by JerrytradingCR
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Samson today! Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day. However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks. Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials. Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline. Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure. However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Short
by Bo-Samson