Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hi guys,
Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark.
Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations.
Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday.
Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663
Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600
If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
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EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Momentum ResumesEUR/USD is dominated by a long-term downtrend, with technical factors and market sentiment leaning towards the sellers. The possibility of the price breaking the 1.0430 support is not small, especially in the context that traders are waiting for clear signals from upcoming major economic events.
Investors need to closely follow the price movements at important technical zones to make appropriate decisions, as EUR/USD is approaching a pivotal moment of the trend.
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?Hi guys,
OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing...
Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed.
The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets.
This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week.
Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically:
Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650
Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750
Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750...
Nifty Trading Strategy for 25th November 2024Nifty Trading Analysis & Key Levels .
Current Value: The Nifty index closed at 23,907, indicating a strong bullish tone in the market during the last trading session.
Key Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone: Consider initiating long positions if the Nifty moves above 24,070, confirmed by a 15-minute candle close. This level may trigger further upward momentum as buyers dominate the market.
Sell Zone: Look for opportunities to short if the Nifty falls below 24,742, confirmed by a 15-minute candle close. A breach of this level could signal bearish sentiment returning to the market.
Nearest Resistance Levels:
24,225: This is the first major hurdle for the index on the upside. A strong breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains.
24,325: The next resistance level where selling pressure may emerge. Watch for price action around this level to assess market strength.
Nearest Support Level:
24,600: This level acts as immediate support, and any move below it could signal a reversal in the current bullish sentiment. Traders should remain cautious if the index approaches this level.
Market Sentiment:
The market closed on a bullish note, suggesting a positive sentiment among traders. However, upcoming economic data, global market cues, or other news events could impact the trend. Monitor developments closely to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Disclaimer:
I am Not SEBI Registered advisor. The information provided above is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading in the stock market involves substantial risk, including the loss of your capital. Always perform your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Adani Buy 2400 Call Sell 2600 Call : Buy Call SpreadAdani Buy 2400 at 164 Call Sell 2600 Call 88.
This is a defined profit defined loss trade, net debit trade, however see a good upside and can gan give good return.
TnC for options apply, these both can be zero and then also the net loss will be 88 aprox
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders,
EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution.
Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark.
Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure.
Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
EUR/USD: Bearish Trend Continues to PrevailEUR/USD is in a strong downtrend with momentum from both price action and technical indicators. The sellers continue to control the market and the main target is still the $1.0449 area, followed by $1.0300. Traders need to monitor price action at support/resistance zones to find suitable entry points and manage risk carefully.
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically...
The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
ETHUSDT: Strong Growth Momentum, Ready to Hit New HighsBINANCE:ETHUSDT has surged from the $3,015 support zone and is currently trading around $3,148. The rally is supported by a solid price structure and positive technical factors. While many other cryptocurrencies are still struggling in the accumulation zone, Ethereum has proven its position by attracting strong inflows from both institutional and retail investors.
If ETH breaks the current resistance, the rally could continue and help the price reach new historical levels. However, investors need to closely monitor macroeconomic fluctuations to optimize their trading strategies.
Bitcoin -->Continues to GrowBINANCE:BTCUSDT reached $91,433, up $899 (0.99%) from the previous session. During the trading session, the highest price recorded was $92,654 and the lowest was $89,240.
This growth was driven by factors such as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates unchanged and the increasingly widespread acceptance of Bitcoin in financial transactions. In addition, geopolitical tensions in Europe also caused investors to seek Bitcoin as a safe haven asset.
Experts predict that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could surpass the $100,000 mark in the near future.
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Samson today!
Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day.
However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks.
Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.
Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline.
Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure.
However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Nifty Trading Outlook for 11th November 2024Nifty Trading Signal:
Buy above 24,220
Target: 24,300
Sell below 24,100
Targets: 24,050, 24,890
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. This trading analysis is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets involves substantial risk and may result in significant losses. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
ADVANCED OPTION TRADING Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.
An option chain will consist of both call and put options, along with other details. Option chain trades are more informed, as investors can compare different contracts. It can help investors view the strike price, bid price, ask price, volume, and other details for available contracts.
Technical Analysis Part - 3Volume can confirm divergence signals by indicating the strength and conviction behind price movements. High volume during divergence signals strengthens the reliability of the signal, while low volume may indicate weaker market sentiment.
The basic rule of thumb is that an RSI value over 70 indicates a stock is “overbought” and may see its price fall in the future. Meanwhile, an RSI value of 30 or lower can mean that the price could go up. An RSI of 50 is often seen as neutral, meaning the stock has not been either overbought or oversold.
Technical Analysis Part - 2The RSI provides immediate signals for buying and selling, helping you understand whether an asset is overbought or oversold. RSI readings below 30 signal buy opportunities, indicating the asset is undervalued. Conversely, RSI readings above 70 signal sell opportunities, suggesting the asset is overvalued.
Volume can confirm divergence signals by indicating the strength and conviction behind price movements. High volume during divergence signals strengthens the reliability of the signal, while low volume may indicate weaker market sentiment.
Professional Trading MindsetOne of the most important psychological characteristics of winning traders is the ability to accept (1) risk and (2) the fact that you may well be wrong more often than you are right in initiating trades. Winning traders understand that trade management is actually a more important skill than market analysis.
How to trade professionally?
Start with a clear and concise plan with proven strategies and then leverage the 20 rules that follow.
Stick to Your Discipline. ...
Lose the Crowd. ...
Engage Your Trading Plan. ...
Don't Cut Corners. ...
Avoid the Obvious. ...
Don't Break Your Rules. ...
Avoid Market Gurus. ...
Use Your Intuition.
Technical Class 1 #SMC1In finance, technical analysis is an analysis methodology for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume.
Technical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
Option chainAn option chain is a comprehensive list that shows you all available option contracts for a given stock. These are sorted by their expiration date, which is the last day you can trade or use the option, and strike price, which is the price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put) the stock.
An option chain is a valuable tool for traders who want to make informed decisions about their investments. It provides information on the strike price, expiration date, and the price of each option.
PCR Part - 1What is PCR in share market? A Put-Call Ratio is a technical indicator used in derivative markets. It gauges market sentiment by comparing the open interest or trading volume of put options to call options. A high ratio generally suggests a bearish outlook, while a low ratio indicates a bullish sentiment.
A PCR value below 1 is indicative of the fact that more Call options are being purchased relative to the Put options which signals that investors are anticipating a bullish outlook for the markets ahead.