Educational Purpose only!
On daily time frame yesterday nifty opened big gap up and formed inverted hammer. To digest that big momentum it has to go sideways so this is good oppourtunity for option traders, simply sell a infy 960 CE and wait for some days you will get theta value.
Markets opened with caution today, but gained ground through the day. in the second half though the banking stocks saw pressure and led to selling. Indices closed near the lower end of the trading range. Indicating caution.
Option data suggests a trading range of 9800 to 1000 for tomorrow. Bank Nifty seems to have a trading range of 19500 to 20500.
As usual lets...
20 day EMA stays below 50 day EMA signals the continuation of bearish sentiment. Evening star pattern in daily chart confirms the resumption of bearish sentiment. Expect the index to stay below 22000 level for this expiry.
Trend continued to be in bearish territory on back of EMA (20 EMA below 50 EMA). Recent correction from the resistance of 140 level where roof of the downward trend line hovers.
On contrary, as MACD above zero expect the price to find support around 120 levels. In the recent past, the price comfortably found support around the same level twice.
Expect a bounce...
NIFTY: Daily price action has created a resistance on the chart. Now 12015 (spot) levels will be acting as resistance. The dominant trend is up, the prices are trending above the kumo indicating strength. Momentum has slowed a bit, however it is expected to pick up in the coming sessions if 11820 holds on closing basis. Below 11820 Nifty may drift down 11560...
Stock tumbled from 310 level to 235 levels in the last 5 weeks.
Recently, it witnessed sharp bounce back from low around 235 by following a reversal double bottom pattern with volume. MACD also confirms the reversal.
Any fall could invite fresh buying in this stock. Expect the stock to expire above 230 level in Oct series. Lot size:2400
Price crossover above 200-EMA and 50-EMA signals that the trend in positive note. Expect the price to move upward in the coming days. Recent trough around 2500 level would lend necessary support in the coming days.
Expect the stock would expire above the support band of 2300 - 2400 levels for Aug series. Recommending option writers to sell 2300 Put Aug.
Trend is continued to be in consolidation phase between 310 and 400 levels. It wanders around 200 day EMA while MACD signals negative bias by staying below zero line. Expect it to stay below nearby resistance level of 370 till this expiry. As election result is on due, would like to adopt spread strategy. Lot size: 2667.
Trend continue to be negative as 50day EMA below 200day EMA. As well, MACD confirms the downtrend. Recent reversal from 200day EMA signals expiry would below 220.
By considering major event (Election Result) in the upcoming weeks, prefers to execute spread strategy rather using our regular naked strategy.
EMA 50-day and 200-Day signals the bearish trend. Recent reversal from 50-day EMA and MACD confirms the downward trend. In the coming days, the stock would retest the downside level of 200. Expect it to expire below 200-EMA which hovers around 240 level.
Recent bounce back from buying zone which is between 50-day and 200-Day EMA confirms the bullish trend. As well, MACD signals impetus of the existing trend. In the coming days, if any stay above 775 level would take the stock to next upside level comfortably. Expect it to expire above 700 level. Lot size: 1200
Outlook: Bearish. Trend is bearish as It continue to stay below 200-day EMA. As well, MACD signals bearishness by heading below zero. Expect this series would be below 72. Suggest to write 75 call @ 0.55.
As price continue to stay below short term downward trend line and close below 50-day EMA with bearish engulfing would keep the trend under bearish territory. Expect Nov series would expiry below 720 and would fetch return of more than 20%p.a post expenses includes brokerage and tax.
A small market update about what has been going on lately and what may happen later.
Ever since NIFTY BANK broke its two month long trend line upwards on 15th of June(Friday), the index has been seeing red till 20th of June(Wednesday).
Ever since that trend reversal, a bullish parallel channel has formed. It is shown with the blue dotted...