ADANIENT – Options Trade Snapshot📄 ADANIENT – Options Trade Snapshot (Educational Analysis)
Date: 12 Aug 2025
Spot Price: ₹2,283.40
Market View: Bullish bias based on option data & price structure
Overall Sentiment: Positive – multiple Call short coverings and fresh Put short build-ups
Volatility (IV): 34.5% – 51.4% (moderate–high, suggesting option premiums are relatively elevated)
Analysis Purpose: For market study & understanding of option chain signals
1️⃣ Observed Bullish Setup – 2300 Call Option
LTP: ₹64.05
Breakeven (for understanding): ₹2,364.05
Notable Data Points:
Volume spike: 22,099 contracts (166% higher than usual)
IV decreased while price increased → generally indicates aggressive buying
Delta ~0.5 → option price moves about ₹0.50 for every ₹1 in underlying
2️⃣ Observed Neutral-to-Bullish Setup – 2250 Put Option
LTP: ₹51.55
Breakeven (for understanding): ₹2,198.45
Notable Data Points:
Large open interest addition (+105,600 contracts / +47.5%)
Many traders appear to be expecting price to remain above 2250
Theta ~ -2.84/day → higher time decay benefits sellers in such positions
3️⃣ Observed Bullish Spread Structure – 2300 CE + 2400 CE
Leg 1: 2300 CE @ ₹64.05
Leg 2: 2400 CE @ ₹28.40 (short)
Net Cost (for study): ₹35.65
Maximum Risk: ₹6,238.75 (per lot)
Maximum Reward: ₹11,261.25 (per lot)
Breakeven Level: ₹2,335.65
Why:
Limits risk vs naked CE buy while keeping upside potential until 2400.
OI data supports bullish trend above 2300, resistance near 2400.
Lower IV on CE side helps spread entry.
Suitable for moderate upside with controlled risk.
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The data presented is based on publicly available market information and represents a study of price action and option chain behaviour. Trading in securities/derivatives involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Optionstrading
Nifty July Iron Condor Strategy – Premiums are Still Attractive!Hello Traders!
After a strong April, May and June where all three our option writing strategies gave full profits, we are back again with the July edition. Market is respecting the range beautifully, and we are again going with a non-directional Iron Condor setup.
Let’s walk through the logic and setup, based on the recent chart and market behaviour.
Why This Strategy Now? (Based on Chart Analysis)
Resistance Zone: 25,667–26,267 (two-layer zone, minor and major resistance)
Support Zone: 24,240–24,892 (50-DEMA tested, strong support)
Nifty is hovering inside the range – no clear trend, perfect for sideways strategy
MACD has given bearish crossover – adds pressure on upside
Strategy Setup (Iron Condor – 31st July Monthly Expiry)
Sell 24900 PE (2 lots)
Buy 24500 PE (2 lots)
Sell 25500 CE (2 lots)
Buy 25800 CE (2 lots)
Payoff Graph for Strategy:
Why This Works (Logic + Technical View)
Strategy revolves around the 24,750–25,650 zone where Nifty is stuck
Support well aligned to 50-DEMA at 24,892 and 24,240 (intermediate support)
Volatility is neutral, data is range-bound – ideal environment for iron condor writers
No major events or newsflow – market likely to stay inside band
Risk Management & Exit Points
Exit if Nifty gives a clean breakout above 25,700 or breakdown below 24,250
If strategy gives 40–50% max profit early, consider booking
Always keep an eye on VIX and OI buildup for major trend shifts
Rahul's Tip
This strategy has worked beautifully for last 3 months. If you’ve been with me, you know how well Iron Condors can work when market ranges. So we ride the same logic again, until the breakout comes.
Once again – this is a low risk, range-bound iron condor setup with good risk-to-reward.
Have you ever tried a short iron condor on NIFTY? What was your experience? Drop your thoughts below!
If you liked this post, don’t forget to LIKE and FOLLOW!
Regular updates coming with chart tracking, P&L changes and smart exits.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Learn Advanced Institutional Trading🏛️ Learn Advanced Institutional Trading
Step into the world of professional-level trading and master how institutions control the markets.
This advanced level dives deep into:
Market Structure Mastery – Spot trends, breakouts & manipulation zones
Smart Money Tactics – Learn how big players accumulate & distribute silently
Volume & Liquidity Zones – Trade where institutions trade
Precision-Based Entries – No noise, just logic
Risk Management Systems – Protect capital like a pro
Avoid Retail Traps – Outsmart fakeouts, stop hunts & emotional trades
Whether you're trading options, futures, or intraday levels—this training gives you the edge to follow the real money and make consistent, calculated moves.
📌 Upgrade your strategy. Trade with purpose. Win like institutions.
Master Institutional Trading🎯 Master Institutional Trading
Master Institutional Trading means learning to trade like the top financial institutions – with precision, strategy, and data-driven decisions. It’s the highest level of trading where you think and act like banks 🏦, hedge funds 📊, and investment firms 💼.
This mastery involves:
🔍 Understanding how smart money moves
📈 Analyzing volume, liquidity zones, and order flow
💹 Executing large trades without impacting the market
🛡️ Applying risk-controlled option & futures strategies
🧠 Using advanced tools, indicators, and market depth
🔄 Adapting to news, events, and institutional triggers
To master this skill, traders must develop:
📊 Strong technical + fundamental analysis
🧘 Discipline and emotion control
🧾 A solid, backtested trading system
💬 Knowledge of macroeconomic impacts
🧮 Command over greeks, derivatives, and hedging
📌 In simple words:
Mastering Institutional Trading means stepping into the shoes of the pros – learning how the big money operates, and trading with structure, edge, and confidence.
HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base________________________________________________________________________________📈 HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Momentum Trade Setup with Defined Risk
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 Overall View
Spot Price: ₹5590
Trend: Bullish Bias – Price sustaining above 5500 with momentum
Volatility: IV ~26–29%, relatively stable with mild contraction
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional long with partial risk spreads
________________________________________________________________________________
1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5700 CE @ ₹60.75
Why:
• Long Build-Up (+11.91% OI) with price ↑6.49% = bullish conviction
• Strike just ₹110 above spot → good balance of delta (0.41) and premium
• High TTV (₹89.9 Cr) and stable IV (~26.6%) → institutional activity
• CE 5600 also active, but 5700 is cleaner structure due to fresh longs
________________________________________________________________________________
2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Contrarian Trade – if present)
Best PE: Sell 5500 PE @ ₹59.5
Why:
• Short Build-Up on 5500 PE (+118.7% OI), but price ↓45.84% → strong put writing
• Spot comfortably above strike (₹5590), adding margin of safety
• IV stable → theta decay benefits seller
• Acts as support-level hold strategy in case of mild retracement
________________________________________________________________________________
3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 5700 CE / Sell 5800 CE
→ ₹60.75 / ₹34.15
Net Debit: ₹26.60
Max Profit: ₹100 (spread width) – ₹26.60 = ₹73.40
Max Loss: ₹26.60
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 2.75 ✅
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹3,990
Max Profit: ₹11,010
📊 Breakeven Point: ₹5726.60
📉 Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹5550 (invalidates breakout + weakens CE 5700)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
• Strong Long Build-Up at 5700 CE, resistance only mild at 5800
• High IVs make selling 5800 CE favourable → lowers net debit
• Defined risk with RR ≈ 1:2.75 fits your trade rule
• Market supports bullish continuation over 5600-5650 levels
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2)(safe = 1:1).
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
Option Trading✅ What is an Option?
An Option is a financial contract between a buyer and seller based on an underlying asset (stock, index, commodity).
Call Option = You have the right to Buy.
Put Option = You have the right to Sell.
You pay a premium to buy this right. You are not obligated, but you have the option to buy/sell.
✅ Example (Simple):
You buy a Call Option on Reliance at ₹2500 strike price, paying ₹50 premium.
If Reliance goes to ₹2600, you profit (your option value increases).
If Reliance stays below ₹2500, you lose only ₹50 (the premium)
Types of Options
Call Option – Profit when the market goes up.
Put Option – Profit when the market goes down.
ITM (In the Money) – Strike price already profitable.
ATM (At the Money) – Strike price close to current market price.
OTM (Out of the Money) – Strike price away from market price
✅ Advantages of Option Trading
✅ Less Capital Needed
✅ Limited Risk (when buying)
✅ High Profit Potential
✅ Profit in All Market Types (up, down, sideways)
✅ Risks in Option Trading
❗ Premium can expire worthless (buyer loses money)
❗ Selling options carries unlimited risk (if done without strategy)
❗ Time Decay – value of options reduces as expiry nears
✅ Option Trading is Best for:
✅ Traders with small capital
✅ Stock market learners
✅ Part-time traders
✅ People who want to hedge portfolios
✅ Final Summary:
Option Trading is a smart way to participate in the market using strategies, risk control, and leverage. Start with Call and Put basics, then learn strategies like covered calls, spreads, and hedging to master the gam
UPL – Demand Zone Based Trade Setup________________________________________________________________________________📈 UPL – Demand Zone Based Trade Setup
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Min | 🗓 Date: 17th July 2025
🔍 Simple and Structured Setup for New Traders
________________________________________________________________________________
🚦 Key Zones to Watch
🔴 Top Range (Resistance) – 697.45
🟠 Mid-Level Zones – 685.60 | 673.75
🟢 Bottom Range (Support) – 661.95
📦 Possible Demand Zone – 671.95 to 669.70 (SL: 669 | Risk: 2.95)
________________________________________________________________________________
💡 What’s Happening on the Chart?
✅ Strong price rally from the demand area 📈
✅ Price is now consolidating just below major resistance (697.45)
✅ Volume spikes indicate strong participation
✅ Market respecting zones cleanly — ideal for zone learners 📚
________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 How to Plan Trades (For Educational Use Only):
🔼 Best Buy Setup:
• Entry: Near 671.95–669.70 (Demand Zone)
• Stoploss: 669
• Target: 685 / 697
• Why: Tested demand zone + strong uptrend + low-risk trade
🔽 Best Sell Setup:
• Entry: Near 697.45 (Resistance Zone)
• Stoploss: 699
• Target: 685.60 / 673.75
• Why: Top zone tested + price may reverse with exhaustion
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Learning Points for New Traders:
• ✅ Always trade with trend until you hit opposite zone
• 🧱 Focus on buying near support and selling near resistance
• 📊 Use volume and structure for entry confirmation
• 🧠 Risk should always be smaller than reward
________________________________________________________________________________
📦 Zone Summary for Quick Reference:
• 🔴 Resistance Zone: 697.45
• 🟢 Demand Zone: 671.95 – 669.70 (Risk only ₹2.95!)
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
________________________________________________________________________________
BALKRISIND – Zone Based Price Action Setup________________________________________________________________________________
📈 BALKRISIND – Zone Based Price Action Setup
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Min | 🗓 Date: 17th July 2025
🔍 Easy-to-Understand Setup for New Traders
________________________________________________________________________________
🚦 Key Zones to Watch
🔴 Top Range (Resistance) – 2779.00
🟠 Mid-Level Zones – 2730.30 | 2681.75
🟢 Bottom Range (Support) – 2633.20
________________________________________________________________________________
💡 What’s Happening on the Chart?
✅ Strong Up-Move seen from the support zone 📈
✅ Price is now consolidating below a tested Supply Zone (2779 - 2758)
✅ Volume spike shows interest near breakout
✅ A clean structure for price action-based planning 🔍
________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 How to Plan Trades (Educational Purpose Only):
🔼 Best Buy Setup:
• Entry: Above 2779 (Breakout signs)
• SL: Below 2730
• Target: R:R 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Reason: Trend continuation + price holding above key levels
🔽 Best Sell Setup:
• Entry: Near 2775–2780 (Supply Zone)
• SL: 2781.30
• Target: R:R 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Reason: Strong supply zone tested + limited upside + defined risk
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Simple Learning Points:
• ✅ Trade with the trend until price reaches an opposing zone
• 🧱 Use zones (not random entries) for planning
• 📉 If price enters Supply → look for bearish signs
• 📈 If price pulls back to Demand → look for bullish setups
________________________________________________________________________________
📦 Zone Markings for Reference:
• 🔴 Supply Zone: 2779 – 2758.20
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
________________________________________________________________________________
KEI – Bullish Continuation Setup with Breakout Potential________________________________________________________________________________
🚀 KEI – Bullish Continuation Setup with Breakout Potential
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Defined-Risk Bullish Spread (Short-Term Swing with OI Confirmation)
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 Overview
Overall Bias: Bullish with supportive Put buildup
Spot Price: ₹3933.3
Trend: Sustained uptrend with OI buildup on CE/PE sides
Volatility (IV): 40–42%, stable with light compression
Ideal Strategy Mix: Defined-risk bullish strategy like vertical call spread
________________________________________________________________________________
1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 3900 CE @ ₹145.05
Why:
• Highest OI among CEs (7.05L) with strong Long Buildup
• Good volume and premium correction (▼16.32%) = cheaper entry
• Spot just above strike → early breakout zone
• Stable IV (40.34) gives clean delta tracking
________________________________________________________________________________
2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 3850 PE @ ₹82.65
Why:
• Long Buildup (OI ↑10.3%) on PE shows bullish support
• Strike sits just below spot → safety buffer
• IV stable and theta erosion beneficial
• Rich premium for selling with bullish bias intact
________________________________________________________________________________
⚙️ 3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 3900 CE / Sell 4100 CE
Net Debit: ₹145.05 - ₹62.35 = ₹82.70
Max Profit: ₹200 - ₹82.70 = ₹117.30
Max Loss: ₹82.70
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 1.42 ✅ Within range
Lot Size: 175
Total Risk: ₹14,472.50
Max Profit: ₹20,527.50
Breakeven Point: ₹3982.70
Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹3879.32 (bullish spread invalidation below support)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
• Strong Long Buildup on 3900 CE and 4100 PE creates clean structure
• Risk:Reward = 1:1.42 fits strategy filters
• IV cooling supports call spread entry
• Breakout continuation likely with defined risk
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).(Safe R:R – 1:1)
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊________________________________________________________________________________
PRESTIGE – Bullish Continuation with Aggressive Call Build-Up________________________________________________________________________________📈 PRESTIGE – Bullish Continuation with Aggressive Call Build-Up
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Options Trade Setup
________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹1,783.2
Trend: Uptrend resumption with aggressive Call OI build-up
Volatility: IV slightly falling in puts, rising in calls → good for defined risk bullish setups
Ideal Strategy Mix: Bullish with defined reward → Bull Call Spread or Naked CE
________________________________________________________________________________
1. 🔼 Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 1800 CE @ ₹49.10
Why:
• Strong Long Build Up with OI up 225%
• Massive volume (1.78L contracts) and ₹33.2 Cr TTV → clear interest
• Decent delta (approx. 0.5–0.55) → good sensitivity to price movement
• Strike closest to spot + high liquidity = ideal for directional trade
________________________________________________________________________________
2. 🔽 Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 1740 PE @ ₹28.6
Why:
• Price down 46% with high volume (4.2L) = put writing
• OI dropped 6.94% → likely unwinding from short bias
• Deep OTM with stable delta (-0.25 approx)
• Favorable if bullish view sustains and price stays above ₹1,740
________________________________________________________________________________
3. ⚙️ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Call Debit Spread → Buy 1780 CE + Sell 1820 CE
Net Debit: ₹57.3 - ₹41.1 = ₹16.2
Max Profit: ₹40 (spread) - ₹16.2 = ₹23.8
Max Loss: ₹16.2
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 1.47
Lot Size: 450
Total Risk: ₹7,290
Max Profit: ₹10,710
Why:
• 1780 CE shows explosive Long Build Up (OI ↑1031%) → active strike for bulls
• 1820 CE also shows strong Long Build Up (OI ↑1000%) → defined bullish target
• Much better R:R than 1800–1840 while staying aligned with trend
• Defined risk with improved capital efficiency and lower theta burn
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).(Safe R:R – 1:1)
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊________________________________________________________________________________
HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume📈 HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Short-Term HNI Swing Setup
__________________________________________________________________________________
📝 Price Action Summary – HDFCAMC
HDFCAMC has delivered a textbook price action breakout, marked by a wide-range bullish candle on 3x average volume — confirming strong institutional participation. After weeks of tight consolidation and multiple failed attempts near the ₹5,385 resistance zone, the price finally broke out with a clean close near day’s high, indicating minimal selling pressure and clear buyer dominance. The breakout follows a classic compression-before-expansion setup, with the previous range acting as a base for momentum. Importantly, the absence of upper wick, strong follow-through, and volume-backed surge signal genuine strength — not a false breakout. Price has now entered a discovery phase with open space toward ₹5,673–₹5,800. As long as ₹5,385 holds as support, the bulls remain in control, and dip buying remains a high-probability setup. This is a classic case of price action speaking louder than indicators — structure, strength, and story all aligned.
__________________________________________________________________________________Trade Logic – Why This Setup:
Strong Price Structure: The stock has formed a bullish candle backed by a 20-day volume breakout, closing near the highs—indicating strong, sustained demand.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has cleanly broken out from a short-term base formed by multiple candle congestion. It's also trading above the prior resistance level of ₹5,385, confirming breakout strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Indicator Confluence: The RSI stands strong at 72, signaling bullish momentum. Additionally, the stock is breaking out of a Bollinger Band squeeze—an early sign of a potential momentum ignition. MACD, CCI, and Stochastic indicators are all aligned in bullish zones across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
EMA Alignment: The stock is trading above all major exponential moving averages (9, 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMA), suggesting healthy trend harmony and support at every timeframe.
VWAP Positioning: Current price action remains well above the daily VWAP, indicating buying interest from institutional players and strong demand zones building underneath.
Volume Spike: Today's volume was 1.61 million, compared to the 10-day average of 452,000—more than a 3x surge, confirming strong buyer conviction and institutional participation.
Open Upside Potential: There are no significant supply zones visible until ₹5,800–₹6,000, offering a clear path for price expansion and swing targets.
Sector Tailwinds: The financial services and AMC sector is witnessing renewed traction after positive earnings and improved fund flow trends, supporting broader strength in related counters.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Would I Enter Now?
YES – Enter Now or on Dip
Reason: Price has just cleared a major volume cluster with strong momentum. Waiting too long might mean missing the breakout. The best approach would be:
• Enter 50% now
• Add 50% near ₹5,495–₹5,485 if there’s an intraday dip
__________________________________________________________________________________ 📈 Resistance Zones
• 🔴 R1: 5,591.5 (possibly weak)
• 🔴 R2: 5,673
• 🔴 R3: 5,797
📉 Support Zones
• 🟢 S1: 5,385
• 🟢 S2: 5,261
• 🟢 S3: 5,179
__________________________________________________________________________________ Direction: Buy (Bullish Bias)
Entry Price: ₹5,510 (Current Market Price)
Alternate Entry: On slight dips to ₹5,485–₹5,495 (ideal risk-managed zone)
Stop Loss: ₹5,385
Reason: This is Support 1 and a key VWAP-based level from the recent volume structure. A breach here invalidates the bullish strength.
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:1 | 1:2 | +
__________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹5,510
Trend: Strong upward momentum
Volatility: Slightly cooling IV (esp. in puts), but still elevated → good for defined-risk strategies
Ideal Strategy Mix: Naked CE or Call Debit Spread (defined-risk bullish strategy)
1. 🔼 Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5400 CE @ ₹197.95
Why: Strong long buildup with rising OI, high volume, and solid delta — indicating institutional interest and momentum-backed directional strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ 2. 🔽 Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 5200 PE @ ₹26.5
Why: Strong put writing seen with rising OI and price drop, suggesting low downside risk and income potential if bullish trend holds.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. ⚙️ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Call Debit Spread → Buy 5400 CE + Sell 5600 CE
Net Debit: ₹197.95 - ₹92.6 = ₹105.35
Max Profit: ₹200 (spread) - ₹105.35 = ₹94.65
Max Loss: ₹105.35
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 0.9
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹15,802.5
Max Profit: ₹14,197.5
Why: This call spread is ideal because both the 5400 CE and 5600 CE are showing strong long build-up, indicating that traders expect the price to move higher. The 5600 CE has a sharp 168% jump in open interest with high volume, suggesting it’s a realistic target zone. By using a spread (buying 5400 CE and selling 5600 CE), we reduce the upfront cost and limit losses while still capturing upside. It also protects against time decay if the stock consolidates before moving up.
__________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
__________________________________________________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
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🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
__________________________________________________________________________________
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Caution: This is a result based stock
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KOTAKBANK 1D TimeframeWhy KOTAKBANK?
Kotak Mahindra Bank is one of India’s most reputed private banks. It’s known for its conservative lending practices, healthy balance sheet, and strong retail plus corporate banking mix. Over the past few quarters, the bank has focused on digital transformation, stable asset quality, and maintaining margins despite rising interest rate pressures. Because of this, it’s always on the radar of long-term investors.
Now in 2025, with the financial sector showing resilience, KotakBank is gaining attention again—especially among those looking to buy on dips or add during consolidation phases.
✅ Current Price Range
As of mid-July 2025, KotakBank is trading near ₹2,185–₹2,190.
On the 1-day chart, it is showing signs of sideways consolidation with support at lower levels and limited upside pressure—this is perfect for long-term accumulation.
🔍 Key Investment Levels (Support & Resistance)
Let’s break it down into zones:
🟩 Support Zones (Ideal Buy Areas)
These are the levels where buyers often enter and prices tend to bounce back.
₹2,160 – ₹2,175
→ This is your first buy zone. It’s a cushion where the price may fall and stabilize before heading back up. Great for small quantity entry.
₹2,140 – ₹2,154
→ A stronger support zone. If the stock dips further, this is where serious long-term buyers often start accumulating. This level has held up multiple times in the past few months.
₹2,125 – ₹2,130
→ This is the last major support level on the daily timeframe. If the price falls below this zone, it might signal short-term weakness, and one should be cautious or wait for stability.
🟥 Resistance Zones (Profit Booking Areas)
These are levels where the stock might face selling pressure, especially short-term traders looking to book profits.
₹2,194 – ₹2,196
→ This is the first resistance area. If you’re already holding from lower levels, consider partial profit booking here.
₹2,209 – ₹2,228
→ A stronger resistance zone. This has acted as a ceiling for the stock recently. If KotakBank closes above this with strong volume, it may break out for fresh highs.
Above ₹2,228
→ If the stock closes above this level on the daily chart, it could start a new rally towards ₹2,260–₹2,300 zone. This level becomes a breakout confirmation point.
🧠 How to Use These Levels (Simple Plan)
🟢 If You’re a Long-Term Investor:
Start buying small quantities if KotakBank dips to ₹2,160–₹2,175.
Add more at ₹2,140–₹2,154 only if market sentiment remains stable.
Stop-loss: If price goes below ₹2,125 and stays there, pause further buying. It may need time to consolidate.
🔵 If You Already Hold the Stock:
Watch for price to approach ₹2,194–₹2,228.
Book partial profits if you’re short-term focused.
If it breaks above ₹2,228, consider holding more or adding for the breakout rally.
Keep trailing your stop-loss upward as the price moves.
📈 Price Behavior (Technical Summary)
Trend: Currently neutral to slightly bullish.
Volume: Not too aggressive, but steady—shows strong hands are holding.
Momentum: RSI (Relative Strength Index) near 50–55 zone on daily timeframe; neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility: Controlled; perfect for accumulation, not short-term speculation.
📝 Final Thoughts – Human Summary
KotakBank is not in a breakout mode right now, but it’s forming a base.
If you’re a long-term investor, this is the kind of setup you wait for: clear supports, low volatility, and no hype.
The ₹2,140–₹2,175 area is your opportunity zone.
Just make sure to manage your risk below ₹2,125 and don’t go all-in at once. Gradual accumulation works best in these setups.
If it breaks ₹2,228, get ready for action. That’s your green signal for the next rally
BANKNIFTY 1D TimeframeCurrent Context
The index is trading near 56,900 – 57,000. Overbought signals have appeared but the overall trend remains bullish to neutral
🔄 Classic Pivot Points for Bank Nifty (Today)
Level Value Description
R1 57,323.5 First resistance—sell/reduce on strength
Pivot 57,180.7 Central bias: above = bullish, below = cautious
S1 57,070.75 First support—gentle dip-buy zone
S2 56,927.95 Deeper support—stronger buy zone
S3 56,818 Last buffer before bearish risk increases
🛡️ Support Zones (Where Buyers Typically Step In)
₹57,070 – ₹57,080 (S1): Good for light entries on dips
₹56,930 – ₹56,940 (S2): Solid zone to add more
₹56,818 (S3): Final defense—watch carefully for breakdown risk
🚧 Resistance Levels (Where Profit Booking May Kick In)
₹57,323 (R1): Near-term ceiling—consider booking profit
Above ₹57,323 with follow-through: Momentum may push toward R2 (~57,600–57,700)
🎯 Simple Strategy Guide
✅ If You’re Holding:
Stay invested while above 57,070.
Consider trimming near 57,320–57,400, especially if signs of overbought persist.
🟢 Looking to Buy the Dip?
Start buying at dips to 57,070–57,080 (S1).
Add more near 56,930–56,940 (S2) if momentum stays healthy.
🔵 Breakout Play:
A clean close above 57,323 with volume could open momentum to 57,600–57,700.
You can add post-breakout with confidence.
🛑 Risk Control:
If Bank Nifty closes below 56,818 (S3), reel in exposure—market direction may turn uncertain.
🧭 Quick Snapshot
Support: 57,070 → 56,930 → 56,818
Resistance: 57,323 → 57,600+ on breakout
Action Zones:
Buy zones: 57,070 / 56,930
Book profits: ~57,323
Add on breakout: above 57,323
🧠 Why Use These Levels?
Pivot-based zones are widely used by traders and algos, acting as natural turning points in daily price action
. Combining them with observed overbought conditions gives you a structured approach: buy smart, book gains, and manage risk effectively.
Technical Class📘 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis is the study of past market data — mainly price and volume — to forecast future price movement. Unlike fundamental analysis (which looks at company financials), technical analysis focuses entirely on what is happening on the chart right now.
It’s based on three core principles:
Price Discounts Everything
Price Moves in Trends
History Repeats Itself
By mastering this, you can trade like a professional — with logic, structure, and discipline.
🔧 What You’ll Learn in the Technical Class
This class covers all the essential tools, techniques, and strategies used by full-time traders and institutions. Key topics include:
🔹 1. Charting Basics
Types of charts: Candlestick, Line, Bar
Timeframes: 1-min to monthly charts
How to set up charts for analysis
🔹 2. Candlestick Patterns
Bullish and bearish candlesticks
Reversal vs. continuation patterns
Psychology behind candlestick formations (e.g., Doji, Engulfing, Hammer)
🔹 3. Support & Resistance
How to identify key price levels
Role of horizontal zones and trendlines
Breakout and retest strategies
🔹 4. Chart Patterns
Double Top & Bottom
Head and Shoulders
Flags, Pennants, Triangles
Price action and pattern recognition techniques
🔹 5. Technical Indicators
Moving Averages (SMA, EMA)
RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands
Volume Profile, VWAP
When to use and when to avoid indicators
🔹 6. Trend Analysis
Identifying uptrends, downtrends, sideways movement
Using higher timeframes for confirmation
Entry and exit based on trend strength
🔹 7. Volume Analysis
Importance of volume in confirming moves
Volume spikes and trap zones
Institutional activity detection
🧠 Why Technical Analysis Matters
Most professional traders rely heavily on technicals for:
Short-term and intraday trading
Identifying breakout and breakdown zones
Predicting reversals and continuation setups
Aligning with smart money and institutional behavior
It is one of the most practical skillsets you can learn in trading.
🎯 Who Should Join This Class?
Beginners in the stock market
Aspiring intraday/swing traders
Investors who want better timing
Crypto, forex, or index traders
📈 Conclusion: Read the Market Like a Pro
The Technical Class will give you the confidence to read charts, spot opportunities, and manage trades with structure — no more relying on tips or guesswork.
You’ll walk away with real, practical skills that you can apply in any market, any timeframe, any strategy
Options Strategy Breakdown – For Educational Purpose Only________________________________________
📈 Options Strategy Breakdown – For Educational Purpose Only
🧠 Learn to Structure a Bull Call Spread Strategically
________________________________________
🔹 Stock Name: BSE
🔹 Spot Price: ₹2546
🔹 Lot Size: 375
🔹 Number of Lots: 1
🔹 Expiry Date: 31-July-2025
🕒 DTE (Days to Expiry): 16 Days
💡 Strategy Type: Bull Call Spread – Limited Risk | Limited Reward Option Structure
________________________________________
📘 Strategy Construction (Illustrative Example):
1️⃣ Buy Call Option – Strike: ₹2500 | Premium Paid: ₹125
2️⃣ Sell Call Option – Strike: ₹2600 | Premium Received: ₹76
🧮 Net Premium Outflow: ₹49
(₹125 - ₹76 = ₹49 * 375 = ₹18,375)
________________________________________
📊 Payoff Metrics (Illustrative & Hypothetical):
• 🔹 Breakeven Point: ₹2549.00
• 📈 Maximum Profit: ₹19,125 (When Spot ≥ ₹2600)
• ⚠️ Maximum Loss (Capital Deployed): ₹18,375 (if Spot ≤ ₹2500)
• 🔄 Real-Time PnL: Subject to market movement
• 🎯 Suggested Profit Booking Threshold: ₹18,375 (illustrative target)
• 🛑 Reversal Exit Point (Invalidation): Spot < ₹2487.75 (Support Violation)
________________________________________
📌 Why Learn This Strategy?
The Bull Call Spread is a risk-defined options strategy designed for moderately bullish views. It reduces premium cost compared to naked options and has a clearly capped loss and reward, making it suitable for learning proper risk management in derivatives trading.
________________________________________
🔍 Key Educational Takeaways:
• Helps manage premium exposure in trending markets
• Builds awareness of breakeven levels and invalidation points
• Encourages use of defined-risk structures over naked positions
• Promotes discipline and technical level-based exits
________________________________________
⚠️ Educational Disclaimer:
📢 This post is intended purely for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or solicitation to trade.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. All data shared above is illustrative and should not be considered as buy/sell advice.
Trading in derivatives involves risk. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any financial decisions.
📘 Past performance or setup structure does not guarantee future results.
Always do your own research and use strict risk management.
________________________________________
💬 Want more educational breakdowns like this?
Drop a comment or message!
🔁 Share this with fellow learners to help them build structured option strategies.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
________________________________________
HEROMOTOCO – Option Chain + Price Action Intraday Setup________________________________________
📊 HEROMOTOCO – Option Chain + Price Action Intraday Setup
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Min Timeframe
📅 Date: July 15, 2025
🎯 For Educational Purpose Only
________________________________________
🔍 Chart Observations:
• Clean rally supported by increasing volume.
• Price nearing the Top Range / Resistance at ₹4465.
• A visible Demand Zone formed between ₹4328.80–₹4310.70 with a strong bounce.
• Volume spike confirms strong buying interest near demand levels.
________________________________________
🔢 Option Chain Insights:
🔼 Call Side Activity:
• 4500 CE: Massive Long Build Up — OI +111.76%, premium ₹52.3 → Suggests strength.
• 4450 CE: Also saw strong Long Build Up with rising premium.
• 4400 CE: Witnessed aggressive Short Covering, adding fuel to bullish momentum.
📈 Interpretation: Option writers are unwinding shorts on 4400, and 4500 is seeing heavy buildup — bullish sentiment.
🔽 Put Side Activity:
• 4400 PE: Sharp Short Build Up, IV at 34.5 → Puts being sold aggressively = Bullish bias.
• 4300 PE: Also saw strong Short Build Up, with OI rising despite falling premiums.
📉 Interpretation: Put writers are confident on downside support holding.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Plan Breakdown:
🔼 1. Best Buy – "Buy on Dip to Demand"
• Entry: ₹4328 – ₹4310 (Demand Zone)
• SL: ₹4306
• Risk Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Logic: Re-entry near demand zone + strong put writing + bullish volume = trend continuation
________________________________________
🔽 2. Best Sell – "Fade the Supply"
• Entry: ₹4460 – ₹4465 (Supply Zone)
• SL: ₹4475
• Risk Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Logic: Price near resistance with possible exhaustion. CE premiums elevated → good short-risk area
________________________________________
🟢 3. Best CE – "Momentum Play Above ₹4465"
• Strike: 4500 CE
• Trigger: If price breaks above ₹4465 with volume
• Logic: LTP ₹52.3 with Long Build Up, high delta (0.47) → Ready for breakout rally
________________________________________
🔴 4. Best PE – "Rejection Trade Below ₹4430"
• Strike: 4400 PE
• Trigger: If spot breaks below ₹4430
• Logic: LTP ₹95.75, Short Build Up suggests hedge-unwinding or trap possibility on failure
________________________________________
📦 5. Applicable Demand and Supply Zones
• Demand Zone: ₹4328.80 – ₹4310.70 (SL: ₹4306.30)
• Supply Zone: ₹4460 – ₹4465
• Mid-level Zones:
o Watch for support at ₹4373.15
o Breakdown area at ₹4281.60
• Bottom Range Support: ₹4190.00
________________________________________
💬 STWP Summary View:
The sentiment is strongly bullish, backed by long buildup in calls and short buildup in puts. If price breaks above ₹4465, momentum CE trades can fly. But supply pressure could give quick fade setups for scalpers too.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Read Before Trading):
• This setup is shared for educational purposes only.
• No investment advice or trade recommendation is being made.
• Always use proper risk management.
• STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• Markets involve risk. Trade with a plan, not with emotions.
________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions below ⬇️
🔁 Share with your trading circle to help them navigate zone-based trades.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for smart charts, clean setups & demand-supply backed analysis.
📊 Let the price guide you — trade with patience, charts, and clarity!
________________________________________
Banking & Financial Sector Near All-Time High in 2025 What Is the BFSI Sector?
BFSI stands for Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance. It includes:
Private and public sector banks (HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, etc.)
NBFCs (Non-Banking Financial Companies) like Bajaj Finance, M&M Finance
Insurance companies like LIC, HDFC Life
Financial service firms like HDFC Ltd (pre-merger), IIFL, and brokers
Together, these companies form the backbone of India’s economy, handling everything from loans, credit cards, mutual funds, and insurance to rural financing and digital banking.
Current Market Position (July 2025)
Bank Nifty is trading above 54,000 – just below its all-time high of around 54,500+
Nifty Financial Services index is also hovering near its peak, led by strong performances from key stocks.
This means:
Banking stocks are leading the overall market rally.
Big money — from FIIs, mutual funds, and even retail — is flowing into BFSI.
Investors believe the sector will outperform in the upcoming quarters.
Why Is the Banking Sector So Strong Right Now?
1. Strong Earnings Growth
Most banks reported record profits in Q1 FY26
Examples:
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank: Strong credit growth and low NPAs
SBI: Continued momentum in retail and agri-loans
Banks are making more money from both lending and investment services.
2. Improved Asset Quality (Low NPAs)
NPA = Non-Performing Asset (a loan that’s not being repaid)
In 2020–21, NPAs were a huge issue due to COVID.
Now in 2025, NPAs are at multi-year lows.
Better risk management + tech-based collections = fewer defaults.
This has improved investor confidence in banks.
3. Credit Demand Is Booming
India’s economy is growing at 7%+ GDP.
People are borrowing more:
For homes, education, business, and consumption
Corporates are also taking loans for:
Expansion, capex, and mergers
More loans = more interest income = better profits for banks and NBFCs.
4. Digital Banking Explosion
UPI, online lending, digital onboarding = huge cost savings
Banks like Kotak, ICICI, and SBI have aggressively expanded digital operations
NBFCs like Bajaj Finance and Paytm (financial arm) are leveraging tech to reach small towns
This is creating massive scale and reach with low overhead costs.
5. FII & DII Buying in Banking
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have returned in 2025
They prefer BFSI because it offers:
Liquidity
Consistent profits
Strong management
Domestic funds (DIIs and mutual funds) are also overweight on banking because it remains a core component of India’s growth engine.
Key Stocks Driving the Rally
🏛️ Private Banks
Stock Strength Points
HDFC Bank Post-merger synergy, retail + wholesale growth
ICICI Bank Best-in-class digital, strong balance sheet
Axis Bank Loan growth, improving CASA, strong NIM
Kotak Bank Conservative but profitable, strong capital base
IndusInd Bank Retail comeback, strong rural reach
🏦 Public Sector Banks (PSBs)
Stock Strength Points
SBI India’s biggest bank, strong rural and retail
Bank of Baroda Re-rating play, improved asset quality
Canara Bank PSU momentum + rising profitability
💳 NBFCs & Financial Services
Stock Focus Area
Bajaj Finance Consumer lending, digital
M&M Financial Rural auto + tractor finance
IIFL Finance Gold loan, home loan
🛡️ Insurance & AMC Stocks
Stock Focus
HDFC Life Long-term savings + insurance
SBI Life Market-linked insurance growth
LIC Recovery play post-IPO
Technical Picture: Bank Nifty (as of July 2025)
Resistance: 54,500 (All-time high zone)
Support levels: 53,300 and 52,700
Trend: Bullish (price above 20, 50, 200 EMA)
Volume: Rising, especially in HDFC, Axis, and SBI
Technical traders expect:
A breakout above 54,500 could take Bank Nifty to 56,000–57,000
A rejection might lead to healthy pullbacks before the next leg
What Traders Should Do
Intraday/Options Traders:
Focus on Bank Nifty index options on weekly expiry days (especially Thursdays)
Watch for breakout levels and OI build-up
Popular strategies:
Straddle at key resistance
Bull call spreads after breakout
Momentum scalping on ICICI, Axis, SBI
📆 Swing Traders:
Look for range breakouts on daily/weekly charts
Example: Entry on Axis Bank above ₹1,200 with SL at ₹1,160
Hold for 5–10% swing moves
🧾 What Long-Term Investors Should Do
✅ Continue SIPs in BFSI Mutual Funds
Most mutual funds (like SBI Bluechip, Axis Banking ETF) have high exposure to HDFC, ICICI, SBI, etc.
These are long-term wealth builders.
✅ Buy on Dips
If stocks fall 5–10% due to market-wide correction — it's often a buying opportunity, not panic time
Example: HDFC Bank falling from ₹1,800 to ₹1,650 is often bought by institutions
✅ Diversify within BFSI
Mix large-cap banks, PSU turnaround stories, and NBFCs for better returns with less risk
❌ Risks to Be Aware Of
Even though things look great, no rally comes without risks:
Risk Impact
Global Recession Could reduce FII flow
Rate Hikes (Globally) May reduce credit demand
Political Uncertainty 2026 elections might cause volatility
Asset Quality Shock If any hidden NPAs come up
Overvaluation in Mid NBFCs Some stocks may be overheated
💬 Expert Views
Most brokerage houses like ICICI Direct, Kotak Securities, and Motilal Oswal have bullish ratings on top banks.
They expect 10–15% upside in BFSI stocks over the next 6–12 months.
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are overweight on India’s banking sector in their Asia portfolio.
✍️ Final Thoughts
The Banking and Financial sector in India is booming for all the right reasons:
Strong economy
Clean books
Digital transformation
Massive credit demand
If you’re a trader — this sector offers great volatility and opportunity.
If you’re a long-term investor — this is where India’s structural growth is most visible.
HDFCBANK 1D Timeframe📊 Current Snapshot
Price: Around ₹1,995 (~₹1,990–₹2,000 range)
52-week range: ₹1,588 – ₹2,027 — just below the recent high
✅ Technical Momentum
Overview: Daily technical summary is a "Strong Buy", with moving averages and indicators like RSI (55.3), Stoch, ADX, and CCI all in buy territory
Pivot Level Support: Standard pivots are around ₹1,995
RS Rating (ADR): Strong (83) — above the 80 mark, but extended — suggesting good trend; watch pullbacks
🛡️ Key Price Zones
Support / Buy-on-Dip Areas
₹1,995–₹1,998 – Daily pivot zone
₹1,982–₹1,990 – Standard S1 support
₹1,960–₹1,970 – Deeper Fibonacci/S2 pivot zone
₹1,932–₹1,940 – Strong long-term support (S3–S4 levels)
Resistance / Profit Exit Zones
₹2,007–₹2,015 – Immediate upside pivot resistance (R1–R2)
₹2,024–₹2,025 – R2 zone
₹2,030+ – R3/R4 zone — breakout territory
🧭 Action Plan
1. Currently Holding?
Stay invested — indicators are still bullish.
Think about taking partial profits in the ₹2,015–₹2,025 range, especially if the market overall gets choppy.
2. Planning to Buy?
Best entry: around ₹1,982–₹1,990 (safe zone).
If broader markets dip more, ideal accumulation range is ₹1,960–₹1,970.
Aggressive buying can start near ₹1,995 but keep stop-loss close.
3. Breakout Strategy
A clean, daily close above ₹2,025–₹2,030 on good volume opens up fresh upside toward all-time highs (~₹2,027+).
Can add more after breakout with confidence.
4. Risk Management
Entry around ₹1,982–₹1,990 → set stop-loss below ₹1,960.
If buying near ₹1,960–₹1,970 → stop-loss could be ₹1,930.
SENSEX 1D Timeframe📊 Current Snapshot (As of July 15, 2025)
Recent Close: ~₹82,250
Downside Trend: Sensex has fallen ~1,459 points over the past four trading days, dragging along Nifty—mainly driven by global trade fears, foreign fund outflows, and weakness in IT stocks
Chart Context: The index is approaching its key support area, making now a crucial moment for decision-making
🛡️ Key Support Levels (Buy-on-Dips Zones)
₹82,000 – ₹82,100
A recent intraday low and a likely pivot for the index.
Buying dips here can be a conservative entry for risk-averse investors.
₹81,200 – ₹81,400
Deeper support zone: acts as a cushion in case of broader market drops.
₹80,000 – ₹80,500
Major psychological and technical floor.
Ideal for strong, long-term buying if global headwinds intensify.
🚧 Resistance Levels (Where Pressure May Build)
₹82,450 – ₹82,500
Immediate resistance zone.
A daily close above here could indicate a relief rally.
₹83,000 – ₹83,100
A significant hurdle.
Clearing this, with volume, could trigger a larger bounce.
₹83,400 – ₹83,500
Heavy resistance.
Crossing this opens potential moves toward previous highs (~₹84,000+).
✅ What You, the Investor, Should Do
1. Already Holding?
Stay invested. Trend remains broadly positive unless Sensex closes below ₹81,200.
Consider partial profit-taking near ₹83,000–₹83,100 if you're risk-conscious.
2. Thinking of Buying?
Best zone: ₹82,000–₹82,100 — go slow and buy in tranches.
If deeper pullback: accumulate more near ₹81,200–₹81,400.
3. Playing a Bounce?
If Sensex closes firmly above ₹82,500, that’s a sign of relief.
You could add exposure aiming for ₹83,000+, with a stop-loss below ₹82,000.
4. Protecting Your Position
Stop-loss: consider exiting if Sensex closes below ₹81,200, which would suggest deeper weakness.
🧭 Your Daily ABCs for Sensex
A (Add): Buy near ₹82k and ₹81.2k – ₹81.4k
B (Breakout): Watch for close above ₹82.5k → opens path to ₹83k
C (Cut-loss): Exit below ₹81.2k to avoid deeper downside
KOTAKBANKKotak Bank has been weak for a while but now it's trying to form a bottom. The stock is not yet in a strong uptrend, but it's showing early signs of a possible recovery.
Good Price to Invest
If you're looking to invest, a good range to start buying is around:
Here are the current daily price levels for Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTAKBANK) on NSE:
Last traded price: ₹ 2,220.60, up
Today's range: ₹ 2,198.60 – ₹ 2,225.00
52‑week range: ₹ 1,679.05 – ₹ 2,301.90
Intraday Pivot Levels (Approximate)
According to Equity Pandit, today's pivot-based support and resistance likely fall at:
Immediate Supports:
• S1 ≈ ₹ 2,204
• S2 ≈ ₹ 2,188
• S3 ≈ ₹ 2,178
Resistances:
• R1 ≈ ₹ 2,231
• R2 ≈ ₹ 2,241
• R3 ≈ ₹ 2,257
Drilling deeper, a key intraday level is ₹ 2,184:
If the stock closes below ₹ 2,184, the short-term trend could weaken—potential signal to lighten downside risk.
As long as it stays above ₹ 2,184, the positive momentum may hold.
Maruti - Strong Option Chain Signals for Potential Trade Setups________________________________________________________________________________
MARUTI
Bias: Bullish Bias
Strong Long Build-Up across Call strikes (12700–13500)
Simultaneous Short Build-Up on Puts — classic bullish confirmation
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Best CE:
Strike: 12800
LTP: ₹138.3
OI: 5,14,100 (+78,350 | +17.98%)
Volume: 17,570
Build-Up: Long Build-Up
Interpretation: High OI addition + price rise = active bullish bets at 12800
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Best PE:
Strike: 12600
LTP: ₹159
OI: 1,05,700 (+76,600 | +263.23%)
Volume: 10,114
Build-Up: Short Build-Up
Interpretation: Strong put writing at 12600 suggests immediate support here
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Best Strategy:
Bull Call Spread or Naked Call Buy
(Buy 12800 CE, Sell 13200 or 13500 CE for risk-defined play)
- Directional bullish play
- Room to run till 13200–13500 zone based on fresh CE buildup
- Ideal if Spot sustains above 12600
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Why:
- Long Build-Up seen from 12700 CE to 13500 CE
- Spot = ₹12650, and 12600 PE has heavy Put writing → firm base
- Call Short Covering seen at 12500, 12600 → unwinding resistance
- IVs are rising on PEs, falling on CEs → supports bullish sentiment
- 12800 CE has highest Long Build-Up + Volume → key upside breakout strike
- Above 12800, next resistance zones visible around 13200–13500 based on CE action
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⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
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Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 11 july 2025🔴 Resistance & Shorting Zones:
25,620.00
🔹 Above 10m Closing = Short Cover level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Safe Zone
25,518.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold CE by Entry level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Risky Zone
25,420.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold Positive Trade View
🔹 Below 10m = Negative Trade View
⚖️ Neutral / Opening Zone:
25,348.25 (CMP)
🔸 Above Opening S1 = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below Opening R1 = Hold PE by Level
🟠 Intermediate Support/Resistance:
25,260.00
🔸 Above 10m = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below 10m = Hold PE by Level
🟢 Support & Unwinding Zones:
25,178.00
🔹 Above 10m = CE by Safe Zone
🔹 Below 10m = Unwinding Level
📌 Summary:
A move above 25,420 may shift view to bullish/intraday CE hold.
Below 25,260 suggests weakness, possible PE play.
Major support at 25,178, breakdown below this might trigger heavy unwinding.
KOTAKBANK – Strong Call Long Build-Up________________________________________________________________________________
📈 KOTAKBANK – Strong Call Long Build-Up Signals Possible Upside Attempt
🕒 Chart: 15-Min | 📆 July 8, 2025
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🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye:
Buyers are aggressively building positions in multiple Call strikes from ₹2200 to ₹2320, hinting at bullish sentiment returning.
________________________________________________________________________________📌 What We’re Watching For:
If price sustains above ₹2240–₹2241.5, we may see a move toward ₹2300+ in the short term.
________________________________________________________________________________📌 OI Inference:
Call side is witnessing Long Build-Up (2240–2320, even 2400 CE), while Put side is under Short Build-Up, showing Put sellers are confident the downside is limited.
________________________________________________________________________________🔁 Trend Bias:
🟢 Bullish to Range-Bound – as long as price holds above ₹2200 with rising Call OI and falling PE premiums.
________________________________________________________________________________🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning:
• Major Call strikes like 2240, 2260, 2300 under Long Build-Up
• 2200 CE shows Short Covering – a sign of prior bearish positions being exited
• Puts are mostly under Short Build-Up = downside cushion building
• Volatility is low = option buyers betting on directional breakout
________________________________________________________________________________📍 Important Levels to Mark:
🔺 Top Range (Resistance): ₹2241.5
🔻 Bottom Range (Support): ₹2111
🟢 Demand Zone: NA
🔴 Supply Zone: NA
________________________________________________________________________________🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
✅ Buy (Equity): Above ₹2241.5 with strength and follow-through
✅ Sell (Equity): Only below ₹2200 if fresh PE Long Build-Up appears
✅ Best CE to Buy: ₹2240 CE or ₹2260 CE if price sustains above ₹2240
❌ Avoid Put Buying: Most Put options are under Short Build-Up (bearish bets getting closed)
📌 Strategy Idea (Low Risk):
Bull Call Spread – Buy ₹2240 CE, Sell ₹2300 CE
→ Works well if stock rises, and risk stays limited
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Invalidation Levels:
🔻 Below ₹2200 = Long view weakens
🔺 Above ₹2241.5 = bullish breakout confirmed
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is only for educational purposes.
STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
Please consult a financial advisor before making trades.
STWP is not responsible for any trading decisions based on this content.
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💬 Will KOTAKBANK break out above ₹2240 or stay stuck?
⬇️ Share your view in the comments!
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