Federal Bank 152 CE OptionInverted HnS one of my favourite patterns.
Seldom has it disappointed.
However, early in the day momentum is the key.
Optionstrading
TATA POWER 410 CE OptionsConsolidation after a downtrend.
Trend change contender.
Waiting for upward trajectory to begin.
TATACHEM 1120 CERounding bottom pattern.
Simple analysis.
When momentum creeps in, this would be achieved.
15 Min chart - trigger based.
MARUTI240425C11900Apr could be rewarding for maruti
above 440 if sustain for 30 min
then keep sl of 380
06 Mar ’24 — Nobody believed us when we said Banks are bullish..BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
The major move in Banknifty in the opening hour itself. See the encircled region and see how the 47465 support came into play. Support and resistance have the highest weightage in my technical indicators arsenal. If you have been reading my reports - you may agree to it without doubt. The only thing is, you need to draw the horizontal lines carefully.
4mts chart
Two things happened when BN rallied 713pts ~ 1.5% in the opening hours. Firstly it gave so much of positive momentum to Nifty50 that even a laggard like NiftyIT had to reverse course and align with the GREENs. Secondly, it threw our algo positions under the bus. The swift movement ensured whatever MTM loss the positions went into, we were sure that the end was never going to be in green.
Not quite sure if we will take out the ATH tomorrow, but seems like we are going to have another green day tomorrow. As long as the support of 47465 is respected, the bulls are going to have a nice time.
63mts chart
–
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 19656. The opening hour casting its spell, the MTM loss was almost 65710 at a point, so we are quite thankful for the wonderful recovery we had post that trauma.
04 Mar ’24 — BankNifty still has to overcome the 47465 resistancBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty is still stuck at the 47465 resistance level and this according to me was the primary reason why even Nifty could not find the upward thrust. There were 4 specific instances when BN tried to break the resistance and move up but all of them got rejected. This does not really mean that the Bulls are tired or out of steam, it is just that they are unable to win the hand.
4mts chart
By this time, we all know what is going to happen next - A gap-up above the resistance line and then boom-boom. The gap-up will change the dynamics in the Bull’s favor and the short covering will give it a bit more thrust. The moment that happens, we will be able to change the stance from neutral to bullish. This would also mean Nifty50 would be scaling new heights. What is totally unpredictable is NiftyIT, playing hard to get. Seems like the fight to be the Nifty’s torch bearer is happening between IT and Banks.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 27037. We manually closed the day @ 11.15 as the MTM felt decent enough for the 2hrs of trade. We will only get to know if it was the right decision or not when we run the backtest.
I am a registered financial advisor & would be happy to assist with your queries or doubts. If privacy is required, you can DM me too.
BPCL Breakout target 900+Hi,
Eecepting NSE:BPCL to reach target of 900 Rs. in coming days/weeks. A very nice price action supported by good volume is seen in BPCL. It is also bullish on daily, weekly and Monthly MACD Charts. Expecting the momentum to continue...
NSE:BPCL is currently trading at very good buying levels.
This is for educational purpose only...
01 Mar ’24 — BankNifty gets an upgrade - from Bearish to NeutralBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty also gets a stance change today i.e. from bearish to neutral. All that is pending is to take out the 47465 resistance to go bullish. Most likely that should happen tomorrow and we are eagerly waiting to trade on another Saturday. BN closed the day with a gain of 1166 points ~ 2.53%. But unlike Nifty, BN is not near its ATH. We have some more distance to cover.
4mts chart
Look at the number of green candles in the higher time frame. 11 consecutive 63mts candles i.e. 693 hours of unchecked bull run. We are very sure if the same had happened yesterday - a lot of option traders would have tripled their capital. Expiries usually attract hero-zero traders and most of them prefer to load on BankNifty CEs and PEs. BN is safely out of the bearish channel and that is why the stance has been revised from bearish to neutral.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of Rs39177. It was on the expected lines as the algo is based on option selling and for strong directional move days like today - it will run into deep cuts. In a way, we are happy that the loss was not 63891.
I am a registered financial advisor & would be happy to assist with your queries or doubts. If privacy is required, you can DM me too.
Bank Nifty (Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
M1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
S1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends. Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank you
Medium Term Forecast-
Bank Nifty (Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
M1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
S1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast but trade always in direction of bigger cycles.
Any last minute update will be done on our tradingview live links.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends. Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank you
Medium Term Forecast-
Previous Forecast
15 Feb ’24 — Nifty within kissing distance of a Bullish breakoutNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “In the 63mts chart, see the encircled region — the strength of the green candles stands out prominently. This has given Nifty a total makeover, till yesterday we were neutral with a moderate bearish bias. Today we are still neutral but with a bullish bias — as the resistance of 21913 is much closer than the support of 21491.”
4mts chart
Nifty has lived up to the expectation today, the momentum it gained yesterday post 14.07 was legitimate. Not only did Nifty hold its ground today but showed intent to take out the 21913 resistance. The open was right at that zone but we quickly lost a few points. The candle at 09.47 carried the hidden message that a breakout was in the cards. That single candle had a swing range of 73 points. Even though we did not do anything unusual till 13.31 - the options premium was going crazy. One mistake I made was to switch to the next-weekly instead of the current one as I felt a breakout would happen post 3 PM. The break came early at 13.35 and what it did was shoot up the CE premiums, nothing unusual in that. But the PEs were not dropping in value. So on one side, my short CEs were trading in deep RED whereas the short PEs were not going into green.
Meanwhile, the breakout did not prove successful - but it definitely woke up the bulls. Almost all the top 8 components were reacting positively to this break. The final close was right near the 21913 SR zone. Over the last week, Nifty rose 166 points ~ 0.76% and if you notice the 63-minute time frame - it has formed a triple bottom-like formation on a descending trendline. Since Nifty already retraced back to the resistance level - we assume it is ready for the next leg of outperformance. The first thing it has to make sure tomorrow is to defend the 21913 levels - if it falls below that, the bullish breakout will not pick up pace. A gap-up is ideal as it will quickly tip the balance to the Bulls as short sellers will have to run for cover. We wish to change the status from neutral to bullish only if we get a 63mts candle above the 21913 resistance line.
63mts chart
13 Feb ’24 — Even after gaining 127pts, we are still neutral ➡️Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow we wish to keep our eyes open for any bearish clues although we wish to stay neutral to start with. As always, we prefer BankNifty to make its move first and then Nifty50 will align itself to that direction.”
4mts chart
We really thought the open may be flat and we would start falling, but to our surprise, we hit a session low of 21543 and then started climbing. By 11:11 Nifty had climbed an impressive 223 points ~ 1.04%. The options premium were totally weird today, an equidistant PUT and CALL options were trading highly skewed to the PUT side. Since we had some strangles on, we noticed even a premium spread of 1:2 wherein 1 lot of PE had the premiums of 2 lots of CE. Skews like these usually do not happen without a reason, in hindsight the reason was that the upside was capped. The PUT options were rightly priced and CALL premiums were not spiking - indicating that Nifty may not rise further. But this made no sense if you looked at the chart between 10 to 11 AM.
BankNifty proved to be a bigger disappointment today, despite gaining 620 points ~ 1.38% - it was unable to break the resistance. Just imagine, when was the last time an Index rallied greater than 1.3% and still had a bearish tone? NiftyIT had no plans of its own - it was jumping around from RED to GREEN for no reason whatsoever.
On the 63mts chart, Nifty is still neutral with no clear indication of the next direction. BankNifty is bearish and the chances of Nifty going down may be higher due to that. The first target to break should be 21491 below which the bearish momentum will pick up an avalanche effect.
63mts chart
Bank Nifty Expiry Trade Analysis!
As mentioned earlier post that might be today will be trend day or same tight sideways and it happend market didn't moved to new direction.
market players want to stop out as many players as possible before a breakout it started with morning flase break out then all went in a range
Bulls are facing strong resistance as they failed twice to break 45600 level and got weaker in later sessions
If open below 45200 then sellers will be strong
Resistance : 45600,45700
Support : 45200,44900
Banknifty/Nifty analysis for 10th Jan 2024 for educational purpBanknifty/Nifty analysis for 10th Jan 2024 for educational purpose only
This video is for educational purpose and my personal view . We are NOT SEBI registered Advisor, we only give the level on our practical trading experience. Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor. It is advisable to take the advice of SEBI registered advisor.
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Options: Buying vs. Selling - A Comprehensive GuideExploring the realm of options trading unveils two key players: Buyers and Sellers.
Each wields unique strategies with its mix of risks and rewards.
Let's break it down in simple terms.
# Option Buyers: Riding on Possibilities
Chances of Making Money (PoP):
Buyers aim for good market moves, counting on accurate predictions within a specific time.
Risk:
For buyers, risks are limited. Losses only go as far as the premium paid.
Time Pressure:
Buyers fight against time. Being right means aligning predictions with a set timeframe.
Volatility Impact:
Buyers gain when things get more uncertain, making their options potentially more valuable.
Market Moves Matter:
Buyers thrive when the market goes up or down; they bet on a specific direction.
Skill Needed:
While simpler than selling, buyers need a good sense of market trends.
# Option Sellers: Crafting Strategies with Care
Chances of Making Money (PoP):
Sellers prefer stable or slightly tricky markets, benefitting from time passing by.
Risk Check:
Sellers face unlimited risks if the market moves too much against them.
Time on Their Side:
Sellers like time passing; it works in their favor.
Volatility Impact:
Less drama is better for sellers; it makes their options lose less value.
Direction Doesn’t Matter Much:
Sellers can make money in quieter markets; they have more room to move.
Skill Level:
Selling needs more skill, involving clever strategies and calculations.
# What Decides Success: A Mix of Factors
Winning in the options game is about reading the market, knowing your risk appetite, and being smart with strategies.
- Chances of Making Money: Buyers look for clear market trends, while sellers like it stable.
- Risk Game: Buyers have limits on losses; sellers need to watch out for big market moves.
- Time’s Effect: Buyers fight against time; sellers make time work for them.
- Cost and Volatility: Buyers pay more, and gain from more drama. Sellers earn from premiums and like calm markets.
Succeeding in options trading is about thinking smart, adapting to what the market gives, and keeping your skills sharp.
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