Oscillators
Bearish Divergence XAU 27.11.2024A bearish divergence has appeared: the price forms a new higher high, while the oscillator forms a lower high.
As a result, I decided to take profit to secure gains with a 1:3 Risk-Reward ratio.
There's a possibility of a reversal or sideways movement, so I'll need to wait for further confirmation before making the next move.
Positive RSI Divergence As it can be seen on the Daily Time frame chart
The price has moved down from 55165 to 53833 (-1332 points)
during the time period of 25/10/24 to 13/11/24
While during the same time period the RSI has moved
upwards from 28.99 to 30.66
It is a 13 bar divergence
If the RSI crosses and sustains the level of 40 on Daily time frame ,
we could expect an upmove towards 55230 / 56500 levels respectively.
Xero Ltd: A Low-Volatility Buy with Strong Growth PotentialASX:XRO has reached an all-time high (ATH) with a strong weekly breakout and higher relative strength, indicating bullish momentum. The company’s impressive gross margin and relatively low PE ratio compared to near-term earnings growth add to its investment appeal. Additionally, Xero generally trades with low volatility, making it an attractive option for risk-averse investors
Fundamentals:
Impressive Gross Margin: Reflects strong profitability
Low PE Relative to Near-Term Earnings Growth: Suggests potential undervaluation
Low Volatility: Typically stable, reducing risk for investors
Technical:
Strong Weekly Breakout: Signals a strong upward trend
All-Time High (ATH): Reaching new highs, confirming bullish momentum
Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of a long-established channel, reinforcing the bullish signal
Higher Relative Strength: Outperforming compared to the broader market, indicating strength
NIFTY Bearish Trend EMA50 Testing Weekly corrected 2400 points Posted Chart on 29th september that Nifty Near to Channel Resistance with RSI overbought and small negative Divergence, Price is 2000/4000 point away from EMA 20/50__after every trending move price is reverse to its ema line(MEAN reversion)+ also if making of flag then sideways to small correction can expect_____
Now after Retest Of EMA20 on weekly Nifty Still facing selling Pressure from higher levels now previous swing low is broken EMA50 is nearby 23300 and channel support at nearby 22700.
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USDINR at lifetime high @84.40 overall negative momentum.
ERIS Breaking RangeSL Day candle close only, Target Trigger Price
All detail for chat. good entry at mark price only. and must stoploss minimum risk and good profit. risk ratio 1:1 to manage modified SL. This is not call, Just my idea. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions
BITCOIN FORMED BULLISH DIVERGENCE FUELING TO 75KScenario 1: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moves Up with Strong Volume After a Rate Cut
Bullish Divergence Support: The bullish divergence suggests that #Bitcoin is gaining strength, indicating a potential upward move.
Volume Confirmation: If BTC moves up with solid volume post-rate cut, it could break through 74k and potentially head higher. Increased volume after the rate cut could be a sign that institutional or retail investors are confident in the rally, driving prices above previous resistance levels.
Target: If this scenario plays out, BTC could surpass the 74k mark, especially if the broader market sentiment is favorable post-rate cut.
Scenario 2: BTC Reaches 73k, Then Faces Another Correction
Resistance at 73k: If BTC reaches 73k but struggles to break above it, this would indicate a strong resistance zone. A pullback could follow as the market hesitates or prepares for another consolidation phase.
Correction Potential: In this case, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may correct before attempting another rally. This could be a short-term dip that sets the stage for a more significant breakout once the market rebalances.
Target: If the price reaches 73k but can't break it, then a pullback would likely bring BTC back into a lower range for a while before making another attempt at the next breakout.
Key Factors to Watch:
1. Volume: As you noted, volume is crucial. A strong volume push above resistance (like 73k) would favor Scenario 1.
2. Macro Events: The rate cut and overall macroeconomic factors could heavily influence the market. If the rate cut signals more liquidity or favorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin, Scenario 1 becomes more probable.
3. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in both crypto and traditional markets will play a role. If broader financial markets are stable or bullish, Bitcoin could push past the resistance levels.
Ultimately, monitoring the price action around the 73k and 74k levels, as well as volume trends, will help clarify which scenario is more likely.
It can give 13% from NowYes, As per my technical analysis If any stock which trade over RSI 60. it will go up by 13%.
Same situation happens in AMBER.
AMBER gives breakout with RSI in last month. also it generates the cup pattern.
So the target will be 5610
Note: this is not a stock recommandation for buy or sell. this post for learning purpose only.
India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least.
Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal.
So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe.
As it's evident:
In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region.
Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return.
Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered.
Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery.
The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations:
19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level.
Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000).
Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800.
It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence
My Expectation:
There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550).
Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level.
We shall see what will happen next.
So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO.
Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see.
Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
INTERGLOBE AVIATION (INDIGO)Technical:
• After reaching a fresh high of near 5,000, the stock has reversed from that level, indicating a potential change in character, a term often used in technical analysis to denote a shift in trend or momentum.
• The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has dropped below 50, signaling a potential weakness in momentum and a bearish outlook in the near term.
• Support Levels:
• Minor support is at 4,500, a level that may provide temporary relief.
• Major support lies at 4,200, a critical level to watch if the weakness continues.
Fundamental:
• The escalating conflict between Israel-Iran has driven up crude oil prices due to concerns about supply disruptions.
• As a major airline, IndiGo is sensitive to rising fuel costs, which directly impacts its operational expenses. The increase in crude oil prices might weigh heavily on the stock in the near term, adding to the existing technical weakness.
• Given the geopolitical situation and its impact on crude prices, IndiGo could face additional selling pressure if oil prices remain elevated, further amplifying its decline.
In summary, IndiGo is showing signs of technical weakness with bearish momentum indicators, coupled with fundamental risks tied to rising crude oil prices, which could lead to more downside pressure in the coming days. Keep an eye on the 4,200 level for strong support. View neglected if price breaks above 5,000 zone.
#Indigo #stocks #investing #crudeoil #usoil #war #aviation






















