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Overbought

Reliance Industries downfall is about to startReliance Industries which in the past 3-4 days has increase by 3-4 % continuously due to its excellent quarterly results. But the security is overbought in the market. Stock price has crossed the upper risk band, volume oscillator is decreasing and RSI has gone in the overbought zone. Last but not the least stock has given a doji candlestick on last trading day. So traders you can short RIL today around 1240 keep stoploss at 1260 and target at 1210
BSE:RELIANCEShort
by Anshulamrit
Shorting opportunity in BEML on NSE (INDIA)This is daily chart of BEML on NSE (INDIA) with CMP @ 700.45. It seems to be a good shorting opportunity based on following observations: 1. It is downtrend and price is still trading below SMA200/SMA100. 2. A trendline drawn on the chart shows resistances where price rejections are shown by arrow. Now again, price has tested this trendline and also SMA100 and showing rejection after consolidating during 12th Nov to 15th Nov 2018. Now bearing engulfing is formed on 16th Nov 2018. 3. RSI is also retracing from overbought area (similar to formation in the 1st week of Aug 2018) 4. Also price is showing retracement from 61.8% All other observations are shown with horizontal line and arrows. In view of above, it looks a good opportunity to short this scrip with SL @ 739 ( above the high of bearing candle on 16th Nov 2018). Happy trading...
NSE:BEMLShort
by DEVERAMA
Stochastic: Oscillate the Right Way – A study of SBIDeveloped by George Lane in 1950 – Stochastic (SO) is a momentum oscillator, that is, it follows the momentum of price. Its value oscillates between 0 to 100. The general interpretation of SO is that stock is overbought when SO value is above 80 and oversold below 20. But to what extent this interpretation is correct? Let’s find out. I am taking State Bank's weekly chart (random pick) 2013 onwards. Although the study is applicable to all time frames yet it is more reliable on larger timeframes. The smaller timeframes can always be used for better entries and exits. I am taking only %D line which is 3 period MA of %K (not showing here on SO chart) which represents the current value of SO. The reason for choosing %D is that it is smooth and less noisy. A cross of %K over %D is used as buy and sell signals. But a lot of false signals are generated through this system as it noisy in case of volatile stocks, so I am ignoring this system in this study. Overbought Zones and Rallies Let’s first concentrate on points where SO cross above 80 Point C: Stock rallied 57% Point E: Stock rallied 20% Point I: Stock rallied 29% Point K: Stock rallied 7% Oversold Zones and Falls Now concentrate on points where SO value crossed below 20 Point a: Stock fell -25% Point c: Stock fell -9% Points e,f: Stock almost flat Point g: Stock fell -11% Point h: Stock fell -33% So is it a good practice to sell a stock because SO is above 80? Absolutely not, rather when SO value crosses 80 a buy should be triggered because stock is in bullish momentum. Same is true for SO cross below 20, it generates sell signal. Divergence and Price oscillation: Another Interpretation Another interpretation of SO is through Divergence. Means when price is making higher peaks but SO is making lower peaks or stock making lower troughs and SO making higher troughs. Between points b and d: huge divergence on SO, Price flat at D1; rally 93% At F: Divergence with rising price (D2); initial fall 23%, total fall 55% At i: Divergence with price fall (D3); rally 80% At J: Divergence(red line) with price rise (D4), fall 16% but SO didn’t touch 20 this time, while it did in above 3 cases At L: Divergence(red line) with price rise (D5); Fall so far 10% So will it be right to trust divergence? Absolutely, as it is followed by massive price movement. But will be right to trust only divergence for buy or sell? Absolutely not, it should always be used in conjunction with other price action signals. And now the big question, what is the present scenario in this chart? Look at the divergence on SO (thick yellow line) and the price movement of the stock and interpret yourself. Play safe, stay healthy and like if u can.
NSE:SBINEducation
by Bravetotrade
10
70% returns in 3 months - Opportunity for a short correctionDCB Bank has eclipsed its all time high that it reached back in late 2007 when the GFC unfolded. The stock gave a return of 70% in the last 3 months alone to its rewarding shareholders with many expecting for it to go even higher from here. 3 Months back one can argue that the stock might be undervalued but the rate of increase at this pace would have made most of them surprised. This seems like a good opportunity to short the stock considering the good run majority of the banks have had in the last one year since the 2015 onslaught.
NSE:DCBBANKShort
by UnknownUnicorn299787