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Axis Bank | Intraday Price Behavior Using Square-Based GeometryDisclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is not financial advice.
Educational Case Study | 1 April 2024
This idea shares an educational intraday case study on Axis Bank, focusing on how price capacity and time awareness were observed using square-based geometric methods discussed in classical market studies.
The objective is to study historical chart behavior, not to suggest trades or outcomes.
📊 Chart Context
Instrument: Axis Bank Ltd. (NSE)
Date: 1 April 2024
Timeframe: 15-minute (Intraday)
During the early part of the session, Axis Bank showed upward movement. A structured framework was applied to observe how price interacted with predefined reference levels as the session progressed.
🔍 Observational Framework Used
The low of the initial intraday structure was treated as a reference point (around 1048)
From this reference, square-based projections were observed
A level near 1064 aligned with a 45-degree projection, often associated with normal intraday price reach in historical studies
A higher projection was noted only as a contextual boundary, not an expectation
All levels were considered potential reaction zones, not fixed resistance points.
📈 Observed Intraday Behavior
Price gradually moved toward the projected zone during the session
Near this area, the market showed temporary pressure and difficulty sustaining above the level
A short-term response was observed around the projected zone
Minor price variation around the level was consistent with normal market behavior
This observation aligns with how price has historically interacted with similar geometric areas.
📘 Educational Takeaways
Square-based geometry can help outline logical intraday price capacity
The 45-degree projection often acts as an area of interest, not a precise barrier
Time awareness adds structure when observing intraday movement
Small deviations around projected zones are normal and expected
This approach encourages rule-based observation rather than precision fixation
All insights are based on historical chart study only.
📌 Important Note
This case study is shared strictly for learning and research purposes.
Geometric levels and time windows do not guarantee outcomes and should be treated as contextual analytical tools.
Market behavior may include:
Temporary pauses
Short-term pressure
Continuation or expansion depending on broader structure
🚀 Summary
This intraday case study demonstrates how price geometry and time alignment can be used to observe market behavior objectively and systematically.
More educational chart studies will follow.
Axis Bank | Intraday Price Behavior Near Square-Based LevelsDisclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is not financial advice.
Educational Case Study | 8 April 2024
This idea documents an educational intraday case study on Axis Bank, focusing on how price–degree alignment and time awareness were observed using square-based geometric methods commonly referenced in classical market studies.
The purpose of this post is to study chart behavior, not to suggest or validate trades.
📊 Chart Context
Instrument: Axis Bank Ltd. (NSE)
Date: 8 April 2024
Timeframe: 15-minute (Intraday)
During the session, Axis Bank showed early upward momentum. A structured geometric framework was applied to observe how price behaved relative to predefined reference levels throughout the day.
🔍 Methodology (Observational Framework)
The session low was treated as a reference point for structure
From this reference, square-based projections were observed
A level near 1079 aligned with a 45-degree projection, often associated with normal intraday price reach in historical studies
Higher projections were noted only as contextual markers, not expectations
All levels were treated as potential reaction zones, not fixed barriers.
📈 Observed Intraday Behavior
Price approached the projected zone during mid-session
Near this area, the market showed temporary pressure and difficulty sustaining above the level
The broader intraday range remained contained within the projected boundary
This behavior aligned with previously observed historical responses around similar geometric zones
No execution, trade direction, or outcome is implied.
📘 Educational Takeaways
Square-based geometry can help define logical intraday price boundaries
Certain angles may act as areas of interest, depending on market context
Time awareness adds structure when observing intraday movement
This approach emphasizes price structure over indicators or signals
All insights are derived from historical chart observation only.
📌 Important Note
This case study is shared solely for learning and research purposes.
Geometric levels do not guarantee outcomes and should always be used as contextual tools.
Market behavior may include:
Temporary pauses
Short-term pressure
Range expansion or contraction depending on conditions
🚀 Summary
This intraday case study highlights how price geometry and time alignment can be used to observe market behavior in a structured and objective manner.
More educational chart studies will follow.
SILVER (XAGUSD) – Weekly Projection Analysis (24-01-26)
Overall Bias: 🔥 Strong Bullish
🔹 Market Structure
Price is clearly inside a bullish channel
Previous trendline break → clean retest
Retest aligns perfectly with 50% Fibonacci level
👉 This is a high-probability continuation zone
🔹 Key Levels
Support S2: ~96
Support S1: ~99–100
Entry Zone: Broken trendline + 50% Fibo (around 100)
Stop Loss: Below ~96 (structure protection)
Resistance R1: ~112–114
Target Zone: 115 – 120+ (New ATH zone) 🚀
🔹 Candle Strength
Strong bullish impulse candle confirms buyers’ dominance
No major rejection wick → momentum intact
🔹 Projection Logic
Trend continuation inside channel
Higher highs & higher lows
Retest confirmation + momentum breakout = buy-on-dips strategy
🧠 Trading Plan Summary
✅ Buy on retracement
✅ SL below structure
✅ Partial booking near R1
✅ Hold runner for ATH expansion
Natural Gas | When Volatility Gives Way to StructureNatural Gas has transitioned from extreme volatility into a clearly defined rising channel, signaling a shift from emotional price action to structured participation.
After forming a long-term base, price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries multiple times — confirming this as an active trend, not random movement.
The recent sharp move reflects momentum expansion, but what matters now is how price behaves within the channel, not the spike itself.
From here, two outcomes remain valid:
• Acceptance above the mid/upper channel keeps the trend healthy
• Rejection leads to rotation back toward channel support
No forecasts, no headlines — structure defines risk, and reaction defines opportunity.
In commodities, volatility attracts attention — but structure pays.
Sensex - Weekly Review Jan 26 to Jan 30.The price opened with a gap up on Friday, but it was unable to sustain and fall down. Now it has formed a descending triangle pattern. Sustaining the current levels and breaking the trend line can make the price bullish.
Buy above 81640 with the stop loss of 81500 for the targets 81760, 81900, 82040, 82200, 82380, 82600, 82780, 82940 and 83120.
Sell below 81400 with the stop loss of 81560 for the targets 81280, 81140, 81000, 80880, 80700, 80540, 80380, 80200 and 80060.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Bandhan Bank | Long-Term Downtrend | Decision ZoneBandhan Bank continues to trade inside a long-term falling channel, with price now near the lower boundary / support zone (~₹140–150).
This area is critical as it may act as either a base or a breakdown trigger.
🔍 Technical View:
• Strong descending channel intact
• Series of lower highs & lower lows
• Price approaching long-term demand area
• Momentum weak, no confirmed reversal yet
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish: Hold above ₹145–150 → short-term pullback / base formation
❌ Bearish: Breakdown below ₹145 → continuation of downtrend
📊 Key Levels:
• Resistance: ₹170–190
• Support: ₹150 / ₹140
📌 Bias: Cautious | Reactive at levels
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
#BandhanBank #Downtrend #DecisionZone #StockMarketIndia #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BankingStocks
Crude Oil: The Market Is Revisiting the Scene of the BreakdownCrude Oil is revisiting a level where a major structural breakdown occurred in the past.
Markets don’t forget such zones easily. What once triggered aggressive selling often turns into active supply when revisited.
The recent move is not random strength — it’s a retest of prior imbalance, followed by a reaction.
From here, price has two honest options:
• Accept above the breakdown zone and build continuation
• Reject again and rotate back into the range
No prediction, no bias — only structure and reaction.
In commodities, headlines explain moves after they happen.
Structure explains them before.
Chambhal Fertlizer - looks good for long termThe stock hit 700 levels in May 2025, currently trading around 430 with a fall of more than 40%, last few week the stock taking support around 420 levels, fundamentals are better. Technically, stock looks weak. Long term investors can focus the stock between 385-430.
ICICI Bank | Range Compression → Decision ZoneICICI Bank is currently trading inside a tightening range, supported by a rising trendline from below and capped by a declining trendline from above.
This structure suggests volatility compression, often followed by a directional move.
🔍 Technical View:
• Rising trendline acting as immediate support (~₹1,335–1,345)
• Falling trendline acting as overhead resistance (~₹1,420–1,440)
• Price holding above demand zone but lacking momentum
• Breakout or breakdown likely soon
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish: Sustained close above ₹1,440 → move toward ₹1,500+
❌ Bearish: Breakdown below ₹1,330 → retest of ₹1,280–1,250
📊 Key Levels:
• Resistance: ₹1,420–1,440
• Support: ₹1,345 / ₹1,330 / ₹1,280
📌 Bias: Neutral | Trade only on confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
#ICICIBank #DecisionZone #RangeBound #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BankingStocks
Bank Nifty | At Fibonacci Golden ZoneBank Nifty is trading near the Fibonacci golden retracement zone (0.618–0.65) after a strong rally.
This area often acts as a high-probability reaction zone, making it a crucial decision point.
🔍 Technical View:
• Price testing 0.618 retracement (~58,400–58,500)
• Confluence with rising trendline support
• Volume expanded on the recent move → volatility ahead
• Directional move likely after confirmation
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish: Hold above 58,400 → bounce toward 59,800–60,400
❌ Bearish: Breakdown below 58,400 → deeper retracement toward 57,500
📊 Key Levels:
• Resistance: 59,800 / 60,400
• Support: 58,400 / 57,500
📌 Bias: Neutral → Reactive at levels
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
#BankNifty #Fibonacci #GoldenZone #IndexAnalysis #StockMarketIndia #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
deciding zone📊 AU Small Finance Bank | Deciding Zone ⚠️
AU Small Finance Bank is trading at a critical support–resistance cluster after a strong up-move.
Both 1H and Daily charts suggest this is a make-or-break zone for the next directional move.
🔍 Technical View:
* Price at key demand zone around ₹960–965
* Rising trendline support tested
* Volatility expansion after sharp rally
* Directional clarity only after confirmation
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish: Hold above ₹965 → bounce & trend continuation
❌ Bearish: Breakdown below ₹960 → deeper pullback likely
📊 Key Levels:
* Resistance: ₹1,000–1,020
* Support: ₹960–950
📌 Bias: Neutral | Trade only on confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
#AUSmallFinanceBank #DecidingZone #MakeOrBreak #StockMarketIndia #IntradayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Dabur India Ltd: A Double Zigzag Within DistributionThe rally into the 577 high marked the completion of a mature advance, with momentum clearly fading near the top. Since then, price action has transitioned into a corrective phase.
The decline from 577 is unfolding as a higher-degree W–X–Y correction . Within this structure, the bounce from 479.15 has been overlapping and choppy, lacking impulsive strength. Structurally, this recovery is shaping into a double zigzag , reinforcing that the move is corrective.
This is a distribution phase, not accumulation.
The market is rotating out, not building fresh long exposure.
If this interpretation holds, the entire correction from 577 is expected to complete as a W–X–Y double zigzag , effectively forming a double zigzag within a higher-degree double zigzag — a structure typically seen during extended distribution phases.
From a Fibonacci perspective, the final leg of the correction is projected to terminate near the 0.786 retracement around the 464 zone , where price, structure, and retracement align. This zone becomes the most logical area for the correction to fully mature.
Until price shows clear impulsive behavior and breaks above key resistance, rallies should be treated as corrective bounces within distribution , not trend continuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD DAILY ANALYSIS Continuing to rise in a volatile manner, expected to break through the $5,000 mark next Monday.
FOMC on Wednesday.
Everyone talking tough about inflation…
but markets are quietly asking one thing:
Is the printer about to warm up again?
Let’s see what the Fed does — not what it says.
Looking for more buying opportunities in gold next week...5200 target for the next week.
Intraday Institutions Trading Option Pricing – How Premium Moves
Factors affecting premium
Underlying price movement.
Volatility levels (IV).
Time remaining for expiry.
Demand–supply and liquidity.
Strike price distance from spot.
How premium reacts
If underlying moves towards strike → premium increases.
If underlying moves away from strike → premium decreases.
Sharp move + low IV = huge premium expansion.
Sideways market = premium decay.
Before major events = IV rise → premium rise.
After events = IV crush → premium collapse.
Fear vs Facts: Decoding the Adani Move Beyond HeadlinesIn January 2023, the sharp crash in Adani stocks was triggered by an external activist report (Hindenburg) that alleged manipulation and accounting irregularities.
That event came as a shock to the market and resulted in panic selling, forced unwinds, and algorithm-driven liquidation across the entire group.
Today’s move is structurally different.
There is no new activist report, no sudden discovery, and no overnight collapse in operations.
The current decline reflects markets pricing in uncertainty around an ongoing legal and regulatory process that has been publicly known for over a year.
What we are witnessing now is risk re-assessment, not blind panic.
Markets don’t wait for final outcomes — they react to ambiguity, headlines, and probabilities first.
Price moves ahead of clarity.
This is why it’s critical to separate:
Shock vs uncertainty
Panic vs process
Headlines vs structure
The chart shows volatility.
Understanding the reason behind it is what separates reaction from insight.
Part 5 Advace Option Trading Selling Options – Explained in Points
Benefits of Selling Options
High probability trading (65–80% win rate for many strategies).
Premium decay works in your favour.
Suitable for sideways markets.
Big institutions prefer selling options.
Income-generating approach for experienced traders.
Risks of Selling Options
Unlimited loss potential.
Requires high margin.
Big trending days can cause huge losses.
Not suitable for beginners.
When to Sell Options
When market is range-bound.
IV is high (premiums inflated).
OI built-up shows strong resistance/support.
During consolidation around value areas (Volume Profile).
On weekly expiries where theta decay is fastest.






















