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Nifty Trading Strategy for 23rd December 2025📊 NIFTY 15-Minute Breakout Trading Strategy
🟢 BUY SETUP (Upside Breakout)
📌 Condition to Enter Buy
Wait for a 15-minute candle to CLOSE above 26220
Place BUY order above the HIGH of that breakout candle
📈 Targets
🎯 Target 1: +40 points
🎯 Target 2: +50 points
🛑 Stop Loss (whichever is LESS)
🔻 Fixed Stop Loss: 50 points
🔻 Low of the breakout 15-minute candle
👉 Always choose the lower risk stop loss to protect capital.
🔴 SELL SETUP (Downside Breakout)
📌 Condition to Enter Sell
Wait for a 15-minute candle to CLOSE below 26133
Place SELL order below the LOW of that breakout candle
📉 Targets
🎯 Target 1: +40 points
🎯 Target 2: +50 points
🛑 Stop Loss (whichever is LESS)
🔺 Fixed Stop Loss: 50 points
🔺 High of the breakout 15-minute candle
👉 Again, use the smaller stop loss for better risk management.
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
✅ Trade only after candle close, not during formation
✅ Avoid overtrading if levels are not clearly broken
✅ Follow strict stop loss discipline
✅ Risk only what you can afford to lose
✅ Best used during active market hours
🚨 DISCLAIMER
⚠️ This is only for educational and learning purposes.
⚠️ I am NOT a SEBI registered investment advisor.
⚠️ Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
⚠️ Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
⚠️ I am not responsible for any profits or losses.
Wave‑C Done? Glenmark Primed for Trend ResumptionGlenmark Pharma (NSE: GLENMARK) – Professional Chart Analysis, Price Path & Trading Advice (educational)
Market structure and thesis
The chart shows a completed impulsive advance into Wave 3, followed by a corrective a‑b‑c decline progressing into the Wave‑4 completion zone 1,698–1,921 that overlaps with a deeper Wave‑C completion band 1,728–1,774 . This clustering of supports, plus a prior change‑of‑character (ChoCH) earlier in the cycle, suggests the correction is maturing and a new advancing leg is probable if price holds above the invalidation.
Candles in the box are showing decelerating downside and overlapping ranges, consistent with late‑stage corrective behavior; a higher low inside 1,74x–1,82x followed by a break of recent swing supply would confirm a trend inflection toward Wave‑5 projections.
Key levels to watch
Demand zones: 1,728–1,774 (C completion), 1,698–1,921 (Wave‑4 box).
Trigger levels: Reclaim and daily close above 1,880–1,900 improves odds; a stronger confirmation is a close above 1,940–1,960 (box top/supply shelf).
Invalidation: Day close below ~1,691 cancels the bullish swing setup and opens risk to lower retracements.
Price movement prediction
Base case (probability favored): Stabilization above 1,74x–1,82x → break and hold above 1,900 → push to Short‑Term T1 ≈ 2,053 , then Short‑Term T2 ≈ 2,187 as supply pockets get cleared. Sustained momentum and broader sector tailwinds can extend toward a mid‑term Wave‑5 objective 2,345–2,410 .
Alternate (bearish): Failure to hold 1,74x–1,80x with a daily close below 1,691 shifts bias to distribution; expect a slide to prior swing supports before a fresh base is attempted. In this path, avoid bottom‑fishing and wait for a new ChoCH and higher‑low structure.
Trade plan ideas
Accumulate in parts: Stagger entries 1,74x–1,82x with a core risk defined by a day‑close stop below 1,691.
Confirmation add: Add on daily close above 1,900–1,920 and again above 1,940–1,960 if volume expands.
Profit taking: Scale 30–40% near 2,05x, another tranche around 2,18x; trail the remainder with a daily/weekly higher‑low stop for a potential run toward 2,35x–2,41x.
Logic and validation checklist
Confluence: Wave‑4 price box overlaps Wave‑C termination band → strong probability of correction end if defended.
Structure: Need a higher low plus break/retest of 1,90x–1,96x to confirm demand dominance.
Momentum: Look for improving RSI/MACD and rising green‑day volume on pushes through supply.
Disclaimer: This post is for education only and not investment advice or a solicitation to buy/sell securities; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
TRENT : Right Time to Catch Wave?
### 🧠 Chart Context & Wave Overview
The chart of TRENT LTD (Daily Timeframe) displays a strong Elliott Wave corrective setup , where price action seems to have completed an extended retracement (113%–127%) of the previous swing low .
This zone often marks the final leg of a correction and can lead to the start of a fresh impulsive rally — possibly Primary Wave 5 .
📊 Key Observations:
* Price is consolidating inside the Extended Retracement Zone (₹4,249–₹4,357) .
* Intermediate Wave (a-b-c) structure looks complete.
* Breakout above the long-term trendline (Wave 2–4) will confirm bullish reversal.
---
### 📚 Educational Insights
💡 Extended Retracement Zone (113%–127%):
When corrections go beyond the usual 61.8%–78.6% retracement, it often represents an “overshoot flush” — a zone where weak hands exit and institutional buyers enter.
📘 Elliott Wave Psychology Recap:
Wave 4 corrections tend to be complex and deep , but they provide the last strong entry opportunity before the final impulsive move (Wave 5).
🔁 Character Change in Price Action (ChoCH):
A ChoCH above recent highs indicates the first structural shift — confirming that sellers are losing control and accumulation may be underway.
---
### 🎯 Projection & Price Prediction
* 🟢 Primary Support / Entry Zone: ₹4,249 – ₹4,357
* ⚙️ Extended Retracement Base: ₹4,012 – ₹4,261
* 🔴 Stop-Loss (Closing Basis): Below ₹3,929
* 🎯 First Upside Target: ₹5,850 – ₹6,059
* 🚀 Second Target: ₹7,471
Once the structure confirms reversal above ₹4,600–₹4,750, the probability for a Wave 5 impulse toward ₹7,400+ increases substantially.
---
### 💡 Trading Strategy (Educational Purpose Only)
📈 Entry Plan:
Watch for bullish reversal signals (Hammer / Bullish Engulfing / Double Bottom) in ₹4,250–₹4,350 zone.
Aggressive traders can accumulate early with SL below ₹3,929.
Conservative traders can wait for confirmation above ₹4,700.
🎯 Targets:
• Target 1 → ₹5,850 – ₹6,059
• Target 2 → ₹7,471 (Extended Wave projection)
⚖️ Risk Management:
• Risk only 1–2% per trade 💰
• Avoid aggressive averaging during corrections
• Wait for structure + volume confirmation before scaling
---
### 🧩 Educational Takeaways
✅ Extended retracement zones often represent strong demand and accumulation phases.
✅ A ChoCH or structure breakout gives early reversal confirmation.
✅ Wave 5 rallies are often sharp and impulsive — rewarding patient traders.
✅ Combining Elliott Wave + Fibonacci + Price Action improves accuracy and timing.
---
### 📊 Summary & Outlook
TRENT LTD is holding firm within its extended retracement base (₹4,250–₹4,350) , signaling exhaustion of sellers.
A breakout above the trendline resistance could trigger a strong Wave 5 impulse toward ₹5,850 initially and ₹7,400+ eventually.
Patience and confirmation remain key to capturing this move effectively. ⚡
---
### ⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst .
This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trading positions.
Buy Apollo TubesAPL Apollo Tubes has completed one full motive wave and related corrective wave in the form of a zigzag. All the wave markings are given in the chart.
One may consider going long on the stock with an initial target of 0.786 fibo retracement of the corrective wave. Stop loss is considered below 1.618 fibo retracement of Wave 2-3 to 4 of wave C of the corrective structure providing a risk-reward ratio of over 2.5x.
Will update the further targets as the stock waves unfold.
Happy Trading !!
Bank Nifty - 23rd December Levels with TrendLines Bank Nifty – 23rd December Levels with Trendlines
Yesterday, only supply was created.
On Friday, that supply turned into demand.
If the market opens with a gap-up, then 23rd December supply will act as demand.
Check my Fibonacci levels – they are the most important for understanding the overall monthly direction.
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd December 2025🟡 GOLD TREND TRADING PLAN ($)
📈 BUY SETUP
🟢 Entry:
Buy only if the 1-Hour candle closes above 4483
🎯 Targets:
T1: 4494
T2: 4505
T3: 4518
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Below 1-Hour candle low
Or fixed SL: 4468
📉 SELL SETUP
🔴 Entry:
Sell only if the 1-Hour candle closes below 4410
🎯 Targets:
T1: 4395
T2: 4380
T3: 4365
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Above 1-Hour candle high
Or fixed SL: 4425
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (15-MIN TIMEFRAME)
🔻 SELL SCALP
📌 Condition:
15-minute candle rejects from 4473 resistance
🔑 Entry:
Sell on break of the low of the rejection candle
🎯 Target:
8 – 15 points
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Above the high of the rejection candle
🔺 BUY SCALP
📌 Condition:
15-minute candle rejects from 4412 support
🔑 Entry:
Buy on break of the high of the rejection candle
🎯 Target:
8 – 15 points
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Below the low of the rejection candle
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Gold trading involves high risk, and prices can be volatile. Always trade with proper risk management. The author is not responsible for any profits or losses. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
INFY: Swing SetupAfter experiencing a sustained downtrend since February 2025, Infosys has recently shown signs of a potential reversal on the daily chart. The stock has managed to close above its 50-day EMA, indicating a shift in short-term momentum and suggesting that buyers are beginning to regain control.
The RSI is currently hovering near the 60 level, which reflects improving bullish sentiment without yet entering overbought territory. This positioning often precedes further upside if supported by volume and price action.
Additionally, today's price action saw Infosys touch the upper Bollinger Band, a technical signal that often precedes a short-term pullback or consolidation. However, it can also indicate strong momentum if the price continues to ride the band. This move suggests a potential retest of the recent swing high near ₹1480 .
From a structural standpoint, the next key resistance level is identified at ₹1648 , which aligns with previous supply zones and Fibonacci retracement levels. On the downside, a logical stop-loss placement would be just below ₹1417 , which serves as a near-term support and a level where the bullish structure would be invalidated if breached.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Carabao: The Thai march goes onThe Redoubling is my own research project on TradingView, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I'll try to add to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the initial buy limit price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice.
Here is a detailed overview of Carabao Group Public Company Ltd — a publicly‑listed Thai beverage company SET:CBG best known for its energy drinks, especially the Carabao Dang brand.
1. Main areas of activity Carabao Group Public Company Ltd is a Thailand‑based holding company primarily engaged in the production, manufacturing, marketing, sales, and distribution of energy drinks and other beverages. Its operations span domestic markets and international export channels, with products including energy drinks, functional/non‑carbonated beverages, sport drinks, drinking water, coffee products (instant and ready‑to‑drink), and distribution services for third‑party food and non‑food products.
2. Business model The Company generates revenue through a vertically integrated beverage business model. It manufactures its own branded drinks and beverages and sells them directly through its distribution network in Thailand and abroad. Additionally, it earns revenue by distributing both its own products and third‑party products across retail and modern trade channels. This includes revenue from finished beverage sales, distribution services, and sales of OEM/packaging products from its subsidiaries.
3. Flagship products or services Carabao’s flagship product is the Carabao Dang energy drink, marketed under the Carabao brand globally. Beyond energy drinks, the company offers electrolyte drinks (Carabao Sport), functional / vitamin‑enhanced beverages (e.g., Woody C+ Lock), drinking water, coffee 3‑in‑1 powder, ready‑to‑drink coffee, and other beverage formats. It also distributes third‑party consumer products in food and non‑food categories.
4. Key countries for business Carabao’s business is anchored in Thailand, which contributes the largest share of its revenue (about THB 15.35 billion of THB 20.96 billion in the latest financial year). It also operates in overseas markets across Southeast Asia (including Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam) and beyond, exporting energy drinks and beverages to around 42 countries.
5. Main competitors Carabao competes with both regional and global beverage brands, particularly in the energy drink segment. Major competitors include: Osotspa Public Company Ltd’s M‑150 — a leading Thai energy drink brand.
T.C. Pharmaceutical Industries’ Krating Daeng — the original Thai energy drink precursor to Red Bull.
Red Bull GmbH (global energy drink brand).
International players such as Monster Beverage and other beverage firms offering energy, functional, and ready‑to‑drink categories.
6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth External factors:
Growing beverage demand in Southeast Asia, driven by increasing energy‑drink consumption and retail expansion.
Export market penetration, especially in CLMV countries, supporting top‑line growth beyond Thailand.
Internal factors: Vertically integrated operations, including packaging and distribution capabilities, improving cost control and margin sustainability.
Strong domestic distribution network across traditional and modern trade, enhancing market coverage.
Diversification through entry into the beer segment: Carabao Group is investing in the development of its own beer brand, adding another revenue stream to its beverage portfolio. This move taps into the growing beer market in Southeast Asia and could reduce the company’s reliance on energy drink sales. A successful launch in the beer segment strengthens its overall retail presence and broadens its long-term growth opportunities.
7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline External factors:
Intensifying competition from entrenched local and global energy drink brands exerting price and market share pressure.
Raw material and packaging cost volatility, especially aluminum and sugar, can squeeze margins.
Internal factors:
Dependence on energy drink category makes the company sensitive to shifts in consumer taste toward healthier alternatives.
Profit volatility observed in recent earnings trends compared with industry peers.
8. Stability of management Executive changes over past 5 years:
Carabao Group’s leadership has remained largely stable with Sathien Setthasit as CEO and Executive Vice Chairman, and a consistent executive team across finance and operations. Key figures also include senior directors in sales and operations spanning several years.
Impact on corporate strategy and culture:
This stability supported long‑term strategy continuity, including consistent branding, distribution expansion, and diversification into functional beverages and new products. Extended leadership tenure likely contributes to cohesive corporate culture and strategic clarity.
The analysis indicates that earnings per share currently show no growth, but this is balanced by steady long-term total revenue growth and very strong high-priority indicators, including excellent days sales outstanding, a debt-to-revenue ratio that looks great, and operating, investing, and financing cash flows that all appear strong, supporting overall financial stability. Medium-priority indicators largely reinforce this assessment, with return on equity showing steady long-term growth, solid days payable and inventory-to-revenue positions, strong interest coverage, and a current ratio that shows no recent progress but does not signal stress, while margins and operating expense ratios remain flat. With a P/E ratio of 14, the valuation is considered acceptable and consistent with the company’s current growth and profitability profile. No critical news was identified that could threaten the business or raise concerns about insolvency. Given a diversification coefficient of 20 and a deviation of the current stock price from its annual average of more than 4 EPS, an allocation of 5% at the closing price of the last daily bar reflects a measured and cautious portfolio positioning aligned with diversification principles.
long unwinding or short covering ?bn future chart
tomarrow 1st move will be trap move, so 2nd move will be sharp real move , & 3 move retrace & sideways
both move possible , if retailers exit then short covering come,
if big players book thier brofit then long un winding comes
if first 2 hour sideways means , which side range will break that side move will come
90% bullish 10% bearish
follow , like , if you like my content
Shriram Finance Intraday Price Action AnalysisThis projection is valid till 24th Dec 2025 only.
Shriram Finance opened gap up today 22-Dec and remained bullish throughout the day. However 944 to 937 seems to be a hurdle for the bulls as they were not able to sustain 940 levels and the stocks closed at 934 levels with higher volms.
It could mean that selling may persist in 944-937 region till it fills the gap at 915-913 and onwards to the demand zone of 906-898.
If you plan to short as per the reference levels given on the chart, please keep SL at 950
Happy Trading!
Reliance(1H) Tests the Zigzag RulebookFrom the 1581.30 high , RIL kicked off a clear corrective phase. The first leg down unfolded in a clean 5-wave impulse , with a sharp Wave 3. That decline bottomed near 1517.60 , marking Wave A.
What followed is where things get interesting. The rebound since then has been overlapping, choppy — classic corrective behavior. This fits well as an internal (A)–(B)–(C) structure, with the current advance shaping up as a possible ending diagonal in Wave (C) , internally subdividing into three waves.
For a zigzag to remain valid , Wave B must stay below the start of Wave A , which sits at 1581.30 . That level also acts as the hard invalidation / stop . With price currently hovering around 1576.60 , this setup is literally hanging by a thread.
Two scenarios from here:
If price rolls over and opens below 1581.30 , the risk-reward improves nicely, opening the door for a Wave C decline toward the support cluster near the Wave A low .
If price pushes above 1581.30 , this entire zigzag thesis gets invalidated immediately . No debate,count gets invalidated.
Bottom line:
This is a conditional setup , not a blind short. Entry only makes sense if tomorrow’s price action stays below the invalidation level .
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD (H4): When the Chart Looks “Clear,” Execution Errors BTCUSD H4 often appears readable—swing structure is visible, levels look obvious, and bias feels “easy.”
That is exactly why it traps traders.
Most losses here don’t come from missing direction.
They come from acting without permission: entering into compression, chasing late expansion, or holding after momentum turns into drift.
Core idea: Bias is not an edge.
Execution control is the edge.
A Professional Read: Structure → Liquidity → Regime
This is the simplest framework that stays consistent under pressure.
1) Structure: What must hold for the narrative to remain valid?
Use only swing-confirmed information:
Identify the last protected swing (the level that, if violated, changes the story).
Separate continuation from rotation:
Continuation: impulse → controlled pullback → renewed impulse
Rotation: overlap, repeated failed breaks, two-sided wicks
Rule: Don’t trade opinions. Trade structural confirmation.
2) Liquidity: Where is the market likely to “collect” first?
H4 traps are built around obvious liquidity:
equal highs/equal lows (crowded stops)
prior swing points and breakout levels
“clean” trendline breaks that invite late entries
Rule: Near obvious liquidity, assume two-sided risk until proven otherwise.
3) Regime: Is the market paying trend traders right now?
The trend-friendly regime shows:
displacement + follow-through
pullbacks that remain orderly (low overlap, controlled wicks)
continuation that respects the broken area
Chop/compression shows:
heavy overlap
alternating wicks through both sides
frequent failed breaks (false continuation)
Rule: If the regime is choppy, your edge is selectivity, not activity.
Execution Permission: A Strict 4-Gate Checklist
Before any entry, force a sequence. No exceptions.
Intent confirmed?
Do we have displacement (not just a marginal break)?
Acceptance confirmed?
Does price hold above/below the key area on retest (not instant rejection)?
Is the risk location valid?
Can invalidation sit beyond structure (not inside noise)?
Reward path clean?
Is there space to the next liquidity/obstacle, or are you entering into a wall?
If any answer is “no,” → WAIT.
Waiting is a position.
Post-Entry Management: The Real Skill
Even with correct bias, trade quality changes candle-by-candle.
Use state-based management:
Momentum improving and structure intact: hold/trail logically
Momentum decaying: protect / partial / tighten risk
Volatility expanding against you: reduce/exit (don’t negotiate)
Price returns to compression: stop expecting continuation; reassess
Key principle: Structure alignment does not override risk expansion.
One Question (Execution-focused)
What is your #1 rule to avoid trading chop on H4—and how do you confirm it?
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational discussion only. Not financial advice. No signals, no guarantees. Always manage risk and use your own judgment.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #MarketStructure #Liquidity #RiskManagement #TradingPsychology #Volatility #PriceAction #DiscretionaryTrading
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 22 – 23✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Strong Bullish Continuation, but Entering a High-Sensitivity Zone
Price has rallied continuously, with candles moving higher along the moving average structure, maintaining a clear bullish trend. However, price is now trading near previous highs and in an area driven by strong market sentiment, where upside momentum is starting to slow marginally.
2️⃣ Moving Average Structure: Well-Aligned Bullish Setup
MA5, MA10, and MA20 are in a bullish alignment, with price holding above all key moving averages. MA20 continues to provide effective support on pullbacks, indicating that the medium-term trend remains bullish.
3️⃣ Price Rhythm: Post-Rally High-Level Consolidation
After the sharp advance, H4 candles show signs of high-level consolidation and brief hesitation. This suggests that the bullish trend is not over, but the market has entered a profit-digestion phase, making it unsuitable to chase prices higher.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Short-Term Structure: Bulls Still in Control, but Momentum Is Slowing
H1 maintains a rising consolidation structure, with higher highs and higher lows. However, repeated tests around the 4420–4430 zone indicate that short-term buying interest is becoming more cautious.
2️⃣ Moving Averages & Price Rhythm: Pullback-and-Go Structure
Price continues to rebound after pullbacks to MA5 / MA10, confirming short-term bullish control. That said, the increasing frequency of pullbacks suggests that the risk-reward of chasing longs is deteriorating.
3️⃣ Key Observation: Ability to Hold Above High Levels
If H1 fails to hold firmly above 4430, price is likely to shift into high-level consolidation or a corrective pullback.
🔴 Resistance Levels:4420–4423 / 4440–4450
🟢 Support Levels:4380–4390 / 4335
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Trend-Following Approach (Buy on Pullbacks)
📍 Look for long opportunities if price pulls back to 4380–4390 and holds
Condition: Structure remains intact and price stabilizes after the pullback
🔰 Defensive Approach (High-Level Pullback Shorts)
📍 If price repeatedly fails in the 4440–4450 area, short-term pullback shorts can be considered
If H1 holds firmly above this zone, abandon the short bias
✅ Trend Summary
👉 Medium-term trend: Bullish remains intact
👉 Short-term condition: High-level consolidation + slowing momentum
👉 Strategic focus: Do not chase longs; trade pullbacks or high-level structures only
👉 Key defense level: As long as 4335 holds, the bullish structure remains valid
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 23-Dec-2025BANK NIFTY Trading Plan for 23-Dec-2025
(Chart reference: 15-min | Gap criteria considered: 200+ points)
Key Levels from Chart
Opening Resistance / Pivot: 59,349
Last Intraday Resistance: 59,632
Major Upside Resistance: 59,746
Opening Support Zone: 59,136 – 59,192
Last Intraday Support: 59,054
Lower Support: 58,857
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (200+ Points)
If BANK NIFTY opens above 59,349, price will immediately face a critical supply and decision zone.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
A 200+ point gap-up usually reflects strong overnight cues, but opening near resistance often invites profit booking by smart money. Sustainable rallies happen only when price accepts above resistance, not just spikes above it.
Plan of Action:
If price sustains above 59,349 for 10–15 minutes, look for pullback-based long entries.
Upside momentum can extend toward 59,632, the last intraday resistance.
Acceptance above 59,632 opens the path toward 59,746 (major supply).
Strong rejection or exhaustion near 59,632–59,746 can trigger a pullback toward 59,349.
Option buyers should avoid chasing CE at the open; confirmation and retest are mandatory.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open near 59,250–59,320 keeps BANK NIFTY inside a consolidation zone.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat openings indicate balanced order flow. In such conditions, institutions wait for liquidity before committing. Direction emerges only after a clear break of the opening range.
Plan of Action:
Sustaining above 59,349 shifts momentum in favour of buyers, targeting 59,632.
Failure to cross 59,349 keeps price vulnerable to pullback moves.
Breakdown below 59,136 signals weakness toward 59,054.
Bullish rejection from 59,136–59,192 can offer low-risk bounce trades.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ Points)
If BANK NIFTY opens below 59,136, early sentiment turns clearly weak.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Large gap-downs are often emotional. However, strong historical supports attract buyers and short-covering. Selling blindly into support zones increases risk of sharp reversals.
Plan of Action:
First support to observe is 59,054 — watch price behaviour closely.
Breakdown below 59,054 opens the path toward 58,857.
Strong reversal signals near 58,857 may lead to a fast intraday bounce.
Any pullback toward 59,136 after breakdown becomes a selling-on-rise opportunity.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🛡️
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes during 200+ point gap days.
Never buy options at resistance or sell at support without confirmation.
Use time-based stop loss (15–20 minutes) if premium doesn’t move.
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.
Prefer ATM options or defined-risk spreads to manage theta decay.
Book partial profits near marked resistance/support zones.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 59,349: Bulls stay active; targets 59,632 → 59,746.
Between 59,136–59,349: Market remains range-bound; patience required.
Below 59,136: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 59,054 / 58,857.
Focus on price behaviour at levels, not prediction or emotion.
Consistency comes from discipline, not overtrading.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
RVNL – Technical Setup Analysis RVNL has been in a sustained downtrend over the past few weeks, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Recently, the selling pressure has started to fade near the ₹300 zone, leading to price stabilization and consolidation.
On the daily chart, ₹300 has emerged as a very strong support level, as the stock has repeatedly taken support from this zone in the past. This level also coincides with earlier demand areas, making it a high-probability support region.
The stock has now broken above the falling trendline, indicating a potential trend reversal or pullback rally after a significant correction. The breakout is accompanied by improving price structure and better momentum, suggesting renewed buying interest.
RVNL is also trading above its short-term moving averages, reflecting strength returning to the bulls. As long as the stock sustains above the breakout zone and the ₹300 support holds, the technical setup remains positive.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: ₹300 (strict daily/weekly closing)
A decisive close below ₹300 would invalidate the bullish setup; strict stop-loss discipline is advised.
Trade with proper risk management.
NIFTY : Trading level and Plan for 23-Dec-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 23-Dec-2025
(Chart reference: 15-min | Gap criteria considered: 100+ points)
Key Levels to Track (from chart)
Opening Resistance: 26,266
Last Intraday Resistance: 26,331
Opening Support Zone: 26,100 – 26,147
Last Intraday Support: 26,010
Lower Support: 25,900
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens above 26,266, price will directly face a strong overhead supply zone.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-up openings reflect bullish overnight sentiment, but when price opens near resistance, profit booking and supply absorption usually occur. Smart traders avoid chasing and wait for acceptance or retest confirmation before committing.
Plan of Action:
Sustaining above 26,266 for 10–15 minutes allows pullback-based long entries.
Upside potential remains toward 26,331, the last intraday resistance.
Acceptance above 26,331 may extend the rally further; trail stops tightly.
Rejection near 26,266–26,331 can trigger a pullback toward 26,147.
Option buyers should avoid aggressive CE buying at the open; confirmation is key.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open near 26,150–26,200 keeps NIFTY inside the Opening Support Zone.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat opens represent balance between demand and supply. Direction emerges only after a clear breakout or breakdown. Trading inside the range without confirmation often leads to whipsaws.
Plan of Action:
Sustaining above 26,266 turns momentum bullish, targeting 26,331.
Failure to cross 26,266 keeps price vulnerable to consolidation or pullback.
Breakdown below 26,100 shifts control to sellers toward 26,010.
Bullish rejection patterns near 26,100–26,147 provide low-risk bounce trades.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 26,100, early sentiment turns cautious.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-down openings are often driven by fear. However, strong demand zones usually attract short-covering and value buying, leading to intraday reversals. Selling blindly at support increases risk.
Plan of Action:
First support to watch is 26,010 — observe price behaviour carefully.
Breakdown below 26,010 opens the path toward 25,900.
Bullish reversal signals near 25,900 may trigger a sharp bounce.
Any pullback toward 26,100 after breakdown becomes a selling-on-rise opportunity.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🛡️
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes on gap days.
Never buy options at resistance or sell at support without confirmation.
Use time-based stop-loss (15–20 minutes) if premium stalls.
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Prefer ATM options or spreads to manage theta decay.
Book partial profits near key resistance/support levels.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 26,266: Bulls remain active, targeting 26,331.
Between 26,100–26,266: Market stays range-bound; patience required.
Below 26,100: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 26,010 / 25,900.
Trade price behaviour at levels, not emotions or predictions.
Consistency comes from discipline and risk control.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
CRISIL cmp 4322.10 by Weekly Chart viewCRISIL cmp 4322.10 by Weekly Chart view
- Support Zone 3960 to 4300 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 4600 to 4940 Price Band
- Support Zone tested retested for 3rd week now
- Rising Support Trendline seems to be well respected
- Volumes are keeping well above average traded quantity
- Continued Selling but Buying keeps Price above Support Band
- Price reversal from Support Zone maybe in making by Chart Status






















