GBPUSD_H4Analysis of GBP/USD Currency Pair Status
The GBP/USD currency pair resumed its downward trend after two days of gains, falling by approximately 0.3% and dropping below the 1.2500 level. Traders' attempts to sustain the bullish trend were thwarted by weak data and risk-averse sentiment. The economic data weakness in the UK, along with lower expectations for expansionary policies from the Bank of England, coupled with stronger-than-expected data from the United States, has put pressure on the pair.
Weak Annual Performance of the British Pound:
- Quarterly Downtrend: The pound ended 2024 with a quarterly decline and remains near its lowest levels in the past 9 months as the new year begins.
- Retail Data: The UK Like-For-Like retail sales index for December showed a 3.1% increase. However, this data failed to boost the demand for the pound.
Impact of U.S. Data:
- PMI and Business Costs: The release of U.S. PMI data showed that economic activity in the country remains strong, reducing expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the first half of 2025.
- Expectations for Employment: ADP Employment Change data, due to be released on Wednesday, could provide forecasts for the important NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) report.
Technical Analysis:
In the 4-hour time frame, we can observe that the bearish trendline, which has been in place for a month, was broken during this week's trading. This trendline, drawn using a linear chart, has sent a signal of a potential trend reversal upon its break.
Given the continued decrease in buying momentum on the 4-hour time frame, the overall trend still appears to be leaning towards a decline on lower time frames. However, it is important to closely monitor the price action around the key zone of 1.22579 - 1.23049. If reversal patterns are observed in this area, there is a possibility of support and a subsequent rebound.
Risk Disclosure Statement:
Since financial markets are influenced by various factors that are constantly changing, the analyses provided are solely for informational purposes regarding the general market situation and do not constitute any recommendation for buying or selling
Community ideas
BANKNIFTY at MAKE or BREAK level !! As we can see BANKNIFTY tried to break but couldn’t sustain below the demand zone and managed to close above the demand zone which shows chances of recovery in market but in any case breaks below and sustain then another sharp unidirectional rally can be seen in BANKNIFTY of more than 2000++ points in few trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Accuracy of Weekly/ Swing Zones on Silver Chart Silver gave a gap down opening, breaking the zone and gave sell side target & took proper bounce from the zone.
Our trading style emphasizes patience and precision. We only trade when the price reaches a key zone, observing for consolidation, reversal, or breakout/breakdown signals. Once these conditions are met, we take trades in the direction of the price. We avoid trading at random prices, prioritizing high-quality setups. With this approach, we aim to place small stop losses and target larger gains, focusing on fewer but more accurate trades.
I have explained here how we takes trades on basis of daily and weekly zones .
Todays trade Plan in niftyWe will wait for the price to reach a key zone either demand or supply . Observe price reaction at zone and trade in the direction of price reversal in both cases target will be next zone and sl will be above or below zone. Today the price is below a swing / weekly zone in this cases market is observed to be sideways until it gives break out or break down of a swing weekly zone.
Trade Plan in niftyTrade Plan in nifty . We will wait for price to reach a zone. If reaches supply on rejection on supply zone we will take a sell side trade targeting demand zone. If reached demand we will take buy side trade targeting supply zone. Sl will be below and above zone. Wait for the price to reach a key zone. Then only intitate a trade .
Equinox India - Finally got the NCLAT judgementAs previously shared this co..the NCLAT finally came in its favour..
The co is also declaring results extremely early..they usually never do that..
Long at current price and add more above 156 when a bigger breakout happens...
if the stock heads towards the upper part of the channel it'll be at 200++.
the 200monthly EMA is around 136 which could now act as a strong support and buying around that price on any bounces might be worth it too..
As long as the price stays above that it seems bullish..>!
NIFTY Recovery Outlook 2025-2026 Short-term dip: Nifty may drop 17.35% before stabilizing.
Gradual recovery: Recovery starts around Sep 2025, progressing slowly.
Long-term caution: Poor economic recovery limits upside potential.
Policy impact: Fast growth policies could boost recovery; delays worsen outcomes.
Critical phase: Sep 2025–May 2026 is key for market stabilization.
Dow Jones: Ready for a Bull Run?! Dow Jones is testing critical levels as it approaches a descending trendline. With strong support below and bullish momentum building, the question remains—will it break out for a rally or face resistance again?
Key levels:
1. Resistance Zones:
- 43,400.00
- 43,346.03
- 43,063.60
2. Support Levels:
- 42,815.04
- 42,450.00
- 42,229.91
3. Current Setup:
- The price is moving within a defined structure and testing the trendline resistance.
- A successful breakout above the trendline could signal the start of a bullish run.
- On the flip side, rejection at the resistance might lead to a retest of lower support zones.
How to Trade This:
- Bullish Strategy:
- Watch for a breakout above 43,063.60 with strong volume.
- Targets: 43,346.03 and 43,400.00.
- Stop Loss: Below 42,815.04.
- Bearish Strategy:
- If the price gets rejected near 43,063.60, consider short positions.
- Targets: 42,815.04 and 42,450.00.
- Stop Loss: Above 43,063.60.
Bottom Line:
Dow Jones is at a critical juncture. A breakout could lead to a significant upward rally, while failure to clear the trendline resistance may bring the price back into its support range. Stay alert and trade the breakout or rejection based on confirmation! 📈📉
DJ:DJI BLACKBULL:US30 DJ:DJI TVC:DJI
Oil India Bullish Breakout with Strong Technical and FundamentalHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought the daily chart of Oil India Ltd, which looks very promising with a solid mix of technical and fundamental strength. Let me break it down for you guy's:
Technical Analysis
Trendline Analysis:
The stock has been respecting a long-term upward support trendline, bouncing off it multiple times (marked with green circles). This shows strong buyer interest and confidence, especially from institutional players.
The recent breakout from the falling resistance trendline is a game-changer, signaling the start of a bullish phase.
Breakout Confirmation:
What makes this breakout special is the retest near the best entry zone (₹492–480), which adds reliability to the move.
The bullish candlestick pattern near the support further strengthens this setup.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is the backbone of every breakout, and here it hasn’t disappointed. A significant volume spike during the breakout shows strong buying interest.
Historical volume patterns also show increased activity near critical levels, indicating accumulation by smart money.
Key Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹438
Immediate Resistance: ₹533
Targets:
1st Target: ₹533
2nd Target: ₹587
3rd Target: ₹630
Long-Term Target: ₹911
Stop Loss:
Short-term: ₹438
Long-term: ₹362
Indicators:
RSI: Recovering beautifully from oversold levels and showing bullish divergence—this is a good sign of momentum shifting upward.
MACD: Crossed above the signal line, further confirming the bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: The stock has climbed above key short-term EMAs (e.g., 21-day), giving more confidence in the uptrend continuation( Note:- I have not placed any 21 day ema line to keep chart clean, but i have done analysis for this . )
Fundamental Analysis
Industry Overview:
The energy sector is buzzing, with rising energy demand and stable crude oil prices driving growth. Oil India, being a leading exploration and production player, is well-positioned to ride this wave.
Revenue & Profitability:
The company has shown strong revenue growth, benefiting from the favorable pricing environment.
Their solid net profit margins highlight operational efficiency, which is always a big plus.
Dividend Yield:
Oil India is known for consistently rewarding its investors with a great dividend yield, making it a go-to stock for long-term portfolios.
Debt Levels:
A healthy balance sheet with manageable debt is another feather in their cap, ensuring they can weather market volatility.
Future Prospects:
With expansion in exploration projects and increased production capacity, Oil India is set up for solid growth.
Government policies supporting domestic energy production act as an added tailwind for the company.
Oil India Ltd is shaping up to be a great opportunity for both short-term traders and long-term investors:
Technically, the breakout from the falling resistance trendline, supported by volume and strong indicators, sets the stage for further upside.
Fundamentally, the company’s financial health, growth prospects, and attractive dividend yield make it a solid long-term bet.
If the stock sustains above ₹533, we could see strong momentum toward higher targets. For long-term investors, any dips toward the ₹480–492 range may be a good chance to accumulate.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always do your research and manage your risk.
Don’t forget to like and follow for more trading ideas like this. Check out my profile @TraderRahulPal for other detailed insights into technical and fundamental setups. Let’s grow together!
Swing Trading Idea for NSE:SAHGartley Harmonic Pattern Suggests a Potential Reversal
On the daily timeframe, NSE:SAH has formed a Gartley Harmonic Pattern , indicating a possible bullish swing setup. Here’s the detailed breakdown:
Pattern Details:
Entry Zone: Around ₹89.
Stop Loss (SL): ₹79 (below the pattern's invalidation zone).
Target Levels:
Target 1: ₹97
Target 2: ₹106
Target 3: ₹120
Relative Strength Indicator Signals:
123-Period RSI: Recently crossed above 0, suggesting a potential reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
55-Period RSI: About to cross above 0, which could strengthen bullish momentum.
Key Support Zone:
Price is holding firmly above the critical support level at ₹85.47, further confirming a strong base for the upward move.
Company Overview:
Incorporated in 1992, Sah Polymers Ltd specializes in the manufacturing and marketing of Flexible Intermediate Bulk Containers (FIBC) and other flexible packaging products. Recognized as a Star Export House by the Government of India, the company has a market capitalization of approximately ₹224 crore and a current stock price around ₹87. However, it's noteworthy that the company has reported a low return on equity of 4.85% over the past three years, and debtor days have increased from 60.1 to 74.8 days, indicating potential challenges in receivables management.
SCREENER
Trade Plan:
Entering near ₹89 with a strict stop loss at ₹79 and partial profit booking at ₹97, ₹106, and ₹120 seems to be the idea.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only, purely based on Harmonic Patterns and does not constitute any types of investment advice. Trading stocks and other financial instruments involves 100% risk and can result in financial loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
$BTC Forms Triple Bottom Pattern - Key Levels to Watch!#Bitcoin has formed a triple bottom pattern. To validate this pattern, BTC needs to hold the $91,500 level. A potential scenario is a bounce from the oversold RSI area, which could lead to a retest of $101,750 or even a breakout toward the $115,000 region. However, if BTC loses the $91,500 level, the next major support is at $90,000. A breakdown below that could see BTC dipping to $85,000, $80,000, or even $75,000. Let's see how the price action unfolds!
long - 93000$
short - 90000$
NIFTY BANK: Will It Bounce Back or Continue Falling? NIFTY BANK remains trapped in a falling channel, with key support and resistance levels coming into play. As the price consolidates, traders are watching closely for signs of a breakout or further downside movement.
Key Points:
1. Resistance Zones:
- 50,926.75
- 50,689.45
- 50,444.40
- 50,204.15
2. Support Levels:
- 49,957.80
- 49,721.60
- 49,473.10
- 49,259.55
3. Current Setup:
- NIFTY BANK is trading within a falling channel, indicating bearish momentum.
- The recent bounce from the lower support zone suggests possible short-term recovery, but resistance levels overhead could limit upside moves.
- Key Fibonacci retracement levels align with the channel's resistance, adding weight to the potential breakout or rejection.
How to Trade This:
- Bullish Strategy:
- Look for a breakout above 50,204.15 with strong volume.
- Targets: 50,444.40 and 50,689.45.
- Stop Loss: Below 49,957.80.
- Bearish Strategy:
- If the price fails to sustain above 49,957.80, consider short positions.
- Targets: 49,721.60 and 49,473.10.
- Stop Loss: Above 50,204.15.
Bottom Line:
NIFTY BANK is at a critical juncture, with the potential for either a breakout to the upside or a continuation of the downtrend. Keep an eye on key levels and trade with caution, as the next move could be decisive!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
Only for educational purposes.
This content is not a recommendation to buy and sell.
Not SEBI REGISTRAR.