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Part 11 Trading Masster ClassRole of Implied Volatility (IV) and Open Interest (OI) Implied Volatility (IV): Indicates expected market volatility. Rising IV increases option premiums. Traders buy options during low IV and sell during high IV. Open Interest (OI): Reflects the number of outstanding option contracts. Rising OI with price indicates strong trend confirmation, while divergence signals reversals. These metrics help traders assess market sentiment and build informed positions.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Breakdown & Long Setup (15-Min Chart)The S&P 500 has completed a full five-wave impulsive decline and is now progressing through a corrective A–B–C structure, offering a potential long setup on the horizon. 🔍 Wave Structure Recap: - Wave (1) began on Oct 29, 2025, from a top of 6,920.33, and ended on Oct 31 at 6,814.27. - Wave (2) retraced to the 61.8% Fib level of Wave (1), topping at 6,879.01. - Wave (3) extended to the 161.8% Fib projection of Wave (1), bottoming at 6,707.52. - Wave (4) retraced between the 23.6%–38.2% Fib zone, peaking at 6,757.64. - Wave (5) concluded near the 61.8% extension, at 6,631.45. 📈 Current Setup: - The index is now completing corrective Wave A, currently in its final sub-wave (v), targeting the 38.2% projection at 6,734.47. - We anticipate a Wave B retracement toward the 50%–61.8% zone, near 6,670, which will be our entry level to go long and ride the upcoming Wave C. 🧠 Strategy: - Wait for Wave A to complete near 6,734. - Look for bullish confirmation around 6,670 during Wave B. - Target Wave C extension with trailing stops to capture the move.
TVC:SPXLong
by Rajnish_Jana_
BTCUSDT Outlook 08/11/2025So right now, what I’m seeing on crypto today — honestly, it’s the weekend, and that’s never the best time to look for high-probability setups. But if we ignore the timing for a second and just focus on structure, I’m leaning bearish. On the daily, the flow’s clearly bearish. ETH already cleared the daily FVG and showed SMT divergence with BTC, while Bitcoin couldn’t even take out the highs — basically an SMT sell setup between the two. On the H4, you can spot the second stage of SMT divergence — one up at the top, and another with the previous candle. Price looks like it wants to pull back and roll over from here. So yeah, I’m kinda expecting a red weekend for BTC, as long as this structure keeps holding
by Kshatriya99
Part 10 Trade Like InstitutionsOption Buying vs. Option Selling Option Buyers have limited risk (premium paid) and unlimited potential profit. However, time decay works against them as Theta reduces the option’s value daily. Option Sellers (Writers) have limited profit (premium received) but potentially unlimited risk. Sellers benefit from time decay and stable markets. In the Indian market, most professional traders and institutions prefer option selling due to the high success rate when markets remain range-bound.
NSEIX:NIFTY1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
Pat 9 Tradig Master ClassThe Greeks in Options The Greeks measure the sensitivity of an option’s price to various factors: Delta: Measures how much the option’s price changes for a ₹1 move in the underlying asset. Gamma: Measures the rate of change of delta; it helps traders understand how delta will change as the market moves. Theta: Measures time decay—how much the option loses value each day as expiration approaches. Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility changes. Rho: Measures sensitivity to interest rate changes. Understanding these helps traders manage risk and create balanced strategies.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
LT market structure shift LT bullish setup, 30 ema above 50 ema above 100 ema and market structure shift, stoploss below 50 ema closing basis, risk rewar 1:2 Larsen & Toubro (L&T) financial update and key features for 2025: Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹3.6 lakh crore Revenue (FY 2025): ₹2.26 lakh crore (~$27 billion), showing steady growth Net Profit (FY 2025): ₹16,000 crore+, reflecting solid profitability Earnings Per Share (EPS): Around ₹55-60 Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: In the range of 30-35, indicating reasonable valuation for the industrial sector Business Segments: Engineering & Construction, Manufacturing, Financial Services, IT and Technology Services Order Book: Strong and diversified, exceeding ₹5 lakh crore, underpinning future revenue visibility Dividend Yield: Around 1.2%-1.5% Long-term Growth Drivers: Large infrastructure projects in India, government focus on urbanization and defense manufacturing, digital & technology expansion Financial Health: Robust balance sheet with low debt and strong cash flows L&T remains one of India's premier conglomerates with a diversified portfolio and stable financial metrics, well-positioned to benefit from rising infrastructure and industrial spending
NSE:LTLong
by rajeshpgpg
Part 8 Trading Master ClassOption Pricing Option prices depend on several factors, collectively described by the Black-Scholes model. The main components are: Underlying price: The current price of the stock or index. Strike price: Determines whether the option is ITM, ATM, or OTM. Time to expiration: Longer duration means higher premium, as there’s more time for the market to move favorably. Volatility: Higher volatility increases premium since price movements are more unpredictable. Interest rates and dividends: These have smaller effects but are still part of option pricing. The relationship between these factors is known as the “Greeks.”
MCX:SILVER1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
Expected eurusd sell upto April 2026Long term expectations for eurusd Forecasts suggest the EUR/USD pair is likely to remain under selling pressure until April 2026, with projections showing declines toward the 1.06–1.09 range before a potential rebound later in 2026. TICKMILL:EURUSD --- EUR/USD Sell Outlook up to April 2026 📌 Introduction The EUR/USD currency pair, often called the “fiber,” is the most traded forex pair globally. Its movements reflect the balance of power between the Eurozone economy and the United States economy. Traders, investors, and policymakers closely monitor this pair because it influences global capital flows, trade balances, and risk sentiment. As we look ahead to April 2026, multiple forecasts from financial analysts and institutions indicate a bearish trend for EUR/USD. This article provides a comprehensive 1500-word analysis of why the euro is expected to weaken against the dollar, the fundamental and technical drivers behind this outlook, and what traders should anticipate in the months leading up to April 2026. --- 📉 Forecast Data: EUR/USD Until April 2026 According to long-term projections: - December 2025: EUR/USD expected around 1.1207, down nearly 3% from earlier levels. - January 2026: Forecast at 1.0866, marking a 5.9% decline. - February 2026: Projected at 1.0673, continuing the bearish momentum. - March 2026: Expected to fall further to 1.0569, the lowest in this cycle. - April 2026: Slight recovery to 1.0698, but still well below 2025 highs. This data suggests a clear sell bias until at least April 2026, with EUR/USD struggling to hold above the 1.07 level. --- ⚖️ Fundamental Drivers of EUR/USD Weakness 1. Divergence in Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve (Fed): The Fed is expected to maintain a relatively hawkish stance, keeping interest rates higher for longer to combat inflation. Higher U.S. yields attract global capital, strengthening the dollar. - European Central Bank (ECB): The ECB faces slower growth and weaker inflationary pressures compared to the U.S. This limits its ability to raise rates aggressively, leaving the euro vulnerable. 2. Economic Growth Gap - U.S. Economy: Resilient consumer spending, strong labor markets, and technological investment continue to support growth. - Eurozone: Struggles with energy costs, sluggish industrial output, and geopolitical risks (e.g., Ukraine conflict) weigh on growth. 3. Energy Dependence The Eurozone remains heavily dependent on imported energy, particularly natural gas. Any supply disruptions or price spikes disproportionately hurt the euro compared to the dollar. 4. Safe-Haven Flows In times of global uncertainty, investors flock to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. This dynamic further pressures EUR/USD lower. --- 📊 Technical Analysis Outlook Long-Term Trend - Resistance Levels: 1.12 (December 2025), 1.10 (January 2026). - Support Levels: 1.06 (February–March 2026). - Trend Bias: Downward channel until April 2026. Indicators - Moving Averages: 200-day MA trending downward, confirming bearish sentiment. - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering near oversold territory, suggesting persistent selling pressure but potential for short-term corrections. - Fibonacci Retracements: Key retracement levels point to 1.056–1.07 as critical support zones. --- 🌍 Geopolitical and Macro Risks - U.S. Elections (2024 aftermath): Policy uncertainty may briefly weaken the dollar, but long-term fundamentals favor USD strength. - Eurozone Debt Concerns: Rising debt levels in Italy and Spain could undermine investor confidence in the euro. - Global Trade Tensions: Any escalation in trade disputes tends to benefit the dollar as a safe haven. --- 📈 Trading Strategies for EUR/USD Sell Bias 1. Short Positions: - Enter near resistance levels (1.11–1.12). - Target support zones (1.06–1.07). 2. Risk Management: - Use tight stop-losses above 1.13. - Diversify with other USD pairs (USD/JPY, USD/CHF). 3. Hedging: - Consider long positions in commodities (gold, oil) to offset euro weakness. 4. Scalping Opportunities: - Intraday volatility around ECB/Fed announcements offers short-term sell trades. --- 📌 Outlook Beyond April 2026 While EUR/USD is expected to remain weak until April 2026, forecasts suggest a gradual recovery starting mid-2026: - May–July 2026: EUR/USD projected to rebound toward 1.16–1.17. - August–October 2026: Further recovery to 1.19–1.21, signaling a shift in sentiment. This indicates that the sell bias is temporary, and traders should prepare for a potential trend reversal after April 2026. --- 📝 Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is forecasted to remain under selling pressure until April 2026, with levels dropping toward 1.06–1.09. The bearish outlook is driven by monetary policy divergence, economic growth disparities, energy vulnerabilities, and safe-haven flows favoring the dollar. For traders, this period offers opportunities to capitalize on short positions, but risk management is crucial given pote TICKMILL:EURUSD ntial volatility. Beyond April 2026, a gradual recovery is expected, marking a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. --- ✅ ---
Short
by rfxsignals
PHOENIXLTD 1 Week Time Frame ✅ Current Context The stock is trading around ~ ₹1,750 – ₹1,770 region. Technical indicators show mixed signals: daily SMAs are around ₹1,575-₹1,600, meaning price is above medium-term averages. Momentum indicators: some overbought signals present; trend strength moderate. 🔍 My Derived Key Levels (for next 1-2 weeks) Given current price and the above pivots, useful levels to watch: Near-term support: ~ ₹1,700 – ₹1,730 (psychological + price above SMA) First major support: ~ ₹1,470 – ₹1,500 zone (around S1) Immediate resistance: ~ ₹1,800 – ₹1,820 Stretch target / higher resistance: ~ ₹1,640 + zone (~R2) if a pull-back happens and this acts as resistance on any retracement
NSE:PHOENIXLTDLong
by Knowledgehub
Part 7 Trading Master ClassBasic Terminology To understand option trading, one must know a few key terms: Strike Price: The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (call) or sold (put). Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for the option contract. Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires. In India, options typically expire every Thursday (for weekly options) or the last Thursday of the month (for monthly options). In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM when the market price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM when the market price is below the strike price. Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call is OTM when the market price is below the strike, and a put is OTM when the market price is above the strike. At-the-Money (ATM): When the market price and strike price are roughly equal.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
AMBUJACEM 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Key support / resistance & pivot levels According to Market Screener, short-term support is around ₹554.95 and resistance around ₹591.40. Weekly pivot levels from one source: Standard pivot ~ ₹575.17, support S1 ~ ₹554.03, resistance R1 ~ ₹587.83. Daily pivot for a shorter time frame: Pivot ~ ₹582.32, S1 ~ 575.69, R1 ~ 585.64. 🎯 Key levels to watch (for the upcoming week) Here are approximate levels you might monitor: Support: ~ ₹555–560 — if price dips, this zone may provide a floor. Resistance: ~ ₹590–595 — breaking above could open further upside. Pivot / midpoint: ~ ₹568–570 — the “centre” where short-term bias may shift.
NSE:AMBUJACEMLong
by Knowledgehub
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions. Macro Summary Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend. Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the most recent up wave: The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone. Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
NIFTY at a Crucial Zone - BIG MOVE COMINGNifty is standing at a crucial support zone, and the next few days will determine whether the market begins a fresh rally or breaks down for a deeper decline. At present, Nifty has taken support near 25320–25380. This area is critical for three reasons: Gap Support: There was a gap on the charts near 25320 from earlier trading sessions. That gap is now filled and is acting as a support level. Trendline Retest: This same zone also touches the long-term trendline that Nifty broke earlier. Retesting that trendline is a common technical behaviour before the next big move. 50% Fibonacci Retracement: If we measure the recent rally from 24600 to 26100, then the 50% retracement level also comes exactly around 25,350. This means the market has corrected half of its move and is now testing buyers' strength. So, this area between 25320–25380 is a major support zone where buyers are expected to defend the market. Current Market Behaviour For the last few sessions, Nifty has been falling, but it is still holding this support. If the market takes support here and starts going up, it can trigger short covering. Many short traders are keeping their stop loss near the previous candle highs, which are around 25550. If Nifty breaks above 25550, these stop losses will get hit, and that can lead to a sharp rally due to short covering. Upside View (If Nifty Moves Up) If Nifty crosses 25550 and sustains above it, we can expect a good upside move: First target: 26470 – 26500 Next target: 26900 This move can happen quickly because short sellers will exit their positions and buyers will enter aggressively. Downside View (If Support Fails) If Nifty breaks below 25320 and closes below it: Next support is near 24600, but this level has already been tested earlier, so it has become a weak support now. If 24600 also breaks, the next possible target is 24000. This will mean that the market has entered a deeper correction phase. Volatility & India VIX Right now, India VIX is around 12.55, and it is slowly moving up. This increase in VIX means uncertainty is rising, which usually supports a downside or volatile market. If VIX cools down near 11, it will show that fear is reducing, and the market can again aim for new highs. But if VIX keeps rising toward 15, expect more pressure and a possible fall. Final View Nifty is at a point where either fresh buying starts or the market breaks down. All major indicators (trendline, gap, Fibonacci, and previous support) are pointing to this being a decisive zone. Traders should watch 25320 on the downside and 25550 on the upside - whichever breaks first will set the next trend. Stay patient and avoid emotional trades here - this is where big moves begin.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TradingBaniya
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points. However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one. 🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction. 🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region. Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region. Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD SHOWS WEAKNESS – SELL THE RALLY TOWARD DEMAND!📅 WEEKLY PLAN – November 8, 2025 🚀 HOOK TITLE: 🔥 GOLD SHOWS WEAKNESS – SELL THE RALLY TOWARD DEMAND! 🔥 📊 Market Analysis: Gold continues to respect a bearish market structure, showing clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) patterns on the 2H chart. After multiple rejections from the upper zones, price is likely forming a lower high before heading to retest the demand below. The market is currently consolidating between 4020–3980, suggesting a potential liquidity grab before the next impulsive drop. 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔹 Setup 1 – Sell Zone (4037–4039) Entry: 4037–4039 SL: 4043 TP1: 4018 TP2: 3976 TP3: 3931 🔹 Setup 2 – Sell Zone (4018–4020) Entry: 4018–4020 SL: 4024 TP1: 3976 TP2: 3931 TP3: 3929 🔹 Setup 3 – Buy Reaction Zone (optional scalp) Entry: 3931–3929 SL: 3923 TP1: 3974 TP2: 4018 (Only consider if strong bullish rejection or FVG fill appears) 📈 Outlook: Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and closes above 4043 (invalidating lower-high structure). Smart traders should sell into strength, waiting for confirmation wicks or bearish engulfing on lower timeframes (M15–M30) inside the marked zones. 📌 Weekly Bias: 🟥 SHORT / SELL MODE Targeting the imbalance fill toward 3930 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Anneliese_Engel
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options? An option is a financial derivative whose value is based on an underlying asset—such as stocks, indices, or commodities. The two main types of options are: Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a specific price (called the strike price) before or on the expiration date. Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a specific strike price before or on the expiration date. The buyer of an option pays a premium to the seller (writer) for this right. The seller, in return, assumes an obligation—if the buyer exercises the option, the seller must fulfill the contract terms.
NSE:KOTAKBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
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