XAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–FiboAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–Fibo
🔍 Market Context (SMC)
The price has formed an upward BOS, confirming the short-term trend still belongs to the BUY side. The current decline is just a technical pullback to rebalance the cash flow, there is no bearish CHoCH → no reason to reverse the bias.
OB is below the current price, so this area is Demand (Buy Zone),
🟢 Primary Scenario – BUY according to Demand + GAP + Fibo
• Confluence Buy Zone:
Demand / Bullish OB + GAP (iFVG) + Fibo 0.5 – 0.618
→ price range: 4.40x – 4.39x
• Entry Logic:
The price retraces to the GAP not fully filled, coinciding with the Fibo retracement of the upward BOS → high probability of a BUY reaction.
• Target:
TP1: nearest previous peak
TP2: expand according to structure if there is a continued BOS
• Invalidation:
M30 candle closes below the entire Demand / GAP area → cancel the BUY scenario
⚠️ Secondary Scenario – Not prioritized
If the price does not retrace to GAP – Fibo but continues sideways or breaks the peak → stay out, do not chase BUY without a proper pullback.
📌 Summary
• Trend: Bullish after BOS
• Optimal BUY point: Demand + GAP + Fibo (0.5–0.618)
• Only SELL when there is a clear bearish CHoCH (currently none)
Community ideas
Part 1 Support and ResistanceHow Option Premium Works
When you buy an option, you pay a premium.
When you sell an option, you receive it.
The premium is influenced by:
i. Intrinsic Value
The real value if exercised now.
For Calls: Max(0, Spot – Strike)
For Puts: Max(0, Strike – Spot)
ii. Time Value
The extra value based on how much time is left before expiry.
More time → more value.
Closer to expiry → less value.
iii. Volatility
Higher volatility increases option premiums because prices may move dramatically.
iv. Interest Rates & Dividends
These impact pricing but are secondary for most intraday/swing traders.
Option pricing is usually calculated using models like Black-Scholes, but traders mainly use practical observation.
HDFCAMC Channel Structure – Watching price acceptance key levelHDFCAMC has been moving inside a well-defined descending channel, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
Recently, price attempted to reclaim an important horizontal level inside the channel. Instead of an impulsive move, the stock is now pausing and stabilizing above this area, which is a healthy behavior from a price-action perspective.
Key observations:
Clear channel structure controlling the trend
Price holding above a minor resistance-turned-reference zone
No aggressive rejection so far — suggesting balance and participation
Volume remains steady, supporting controlled price movement
At this stage, there is no urgency. The focus is purely on how price behaves and settles above this zone before any directional expansion.
As always — price leads, we follow.
MFSL | Uptrend Continuation?DISCLAIMER: This idea is NOT a trade recommendation but only my observation. Please take your trades based on your own analysis.
Points to note:
-----------------
1.Stock in a strong uptrend, and broken out of a Cup & handle consolidation that lasted.
2. The breakout is strong and firm, forming a pole. Currently price is consolidating inside a flag.
3. The breakout from this flag can lead to another good move up
4. The target price is the pole's height
Considering these points, the following trade:
Entry CMP, SL 1425, TGT 2310
TVSMOTORTVSMOTOR
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 3680/3690
Watch for a breakout above 3680/3700 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 3560/3600 and an uptrend from here.
BSE: Strong Breakout Followed by Healthy ConsolidationAfter a decisive breakout, the stock moved into a healthy consolidation phase. Instead of retracing deeply, price respected the breakout level and started forming a well-defined base support, indicating acceptance at higher prices.
The consolidation is controlled and structured, with price compressing inside a downward-sloping range while holding above the key horizontal level. This behavior often reflects absorption of supply and digestion of prior gains, rather than weakness.
Overall, the structure remains intact as long as the base support holds. This is a classic example of price stabilizing after expansion, offering clarity purely from price and structure, without relying on indicators.
CHOLAHLDNG: Price Compression Under a Falling TrendlineCHOLAHLDNG is currently trading inside a well-defined compression structure. Price continues to respect a falling trendline on the upside, while the downside is being supported by a stable demand zone.
Multiple attempts to move higher have been capped by the trendline, yet sellers have not been able to break the base decisively. This behavior shows balance and absorption, not distribution.
Key observations from pure price action:
Lower highs confirm supply pressure
Flat support indicates buyer participation
Volatility is contracting, signaling compression
This is a wait-and-watch structure, where price action around the trendline and support will provide clarity. No indicators needed — the structure itself defines risk and context.
SMC Breakdown – US500 (15M)Price delivered a strong sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by an impulsive bullish displacement, confirming short-term bullish intent. Post-displacement, market respected structure and began forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating internal BOS to the upside.
Current price is reacting into a premium supply zone / HTF imbalance, aligning with prior distribution. This area is marked as a high-probability reaction zone, not an immediate entry.
IDBI BANKIDBI BANK
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 100/105
Watch for a breakout above 100/105 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 80/85 and an uptrend from here.
TFCI LTD. (Keep on radar)📊 TFCI – HTF Confluence Based Analysis (FVG + Fibonacci + RSI)
This analysis is based on historical price behavior, Fibonacci retracement, Fair Value Gap (FVG), and RSI mean-reversion characteristics.
🔹 Key Observations
1️⃣ RSI Behavior (Trend Context)
Historically, this stock has respected RSI 50–51 zone as a mean support in bullish phases.
RSI has reacted multiple times from this level, indicating trend continuation behavior, not exhaustion.
RSI here is used as a context filter, not a standalone buy signal.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement (Value Zone)
In past impulsive moves, price has consistently reacted from the 0.50–0.618 retracement zone.
This zone represents a healthy pullback rather than trend reversal.
Current retracement is approaching the same historical value area.
3️⃣ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A bullish FVG is present in the same price region.
Price is revisiting this imbalance after a strong impulsive move.
FVG + Fib overlap increases the probability of institutional interest / reaction.
🔹 Confluence Area
📌 FVG + Fibonacci 0.50–0.618 + RSI ~50
This overlap creates a high-probability reaction zone, provided price confirms via structure.
🔹 Trade Plan Logic (Execution Based)
Bias: Bullish as long as HTF structure holds
Zone: FVG overlapping with 0.50–0.618 Fib
Confirmation Required:
Structure shift on Daily or Hourly TF
Higher low / bullish engulfing / reclaim of minor resistance
RSI Role: Should hold near or above 50 during confirmation
⚠️ No aggressive entries without confirmation.
🔹 Invalidation
Sustained acceptance below the FVG + 0.618 Fib
Loss of higher-low structure on HTF
🧠 Conclusion
This is a confluence-based setup, not a prediction.
If price confirms strength inside the value zone, the risk–reward becomes favorable.
Otherwise, patience is required until structure validates the thesis.
I am not a SEBI Registered. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only.
If you gain some learning from this chart, then please like this post for more reach & also do comment if you have any questions regarding this.
Part 12 Trading Master ClassTypes of Options: Calls and Puts
Options are broadly divided into two categories:
A. Call Option
A Call option gives the buyer the right to buy an asset at a fixed price (strike).
You buy a Call if you expect the market to rise.
You sell a Call if you think the market will stay below the strike or go down.
B. Put Option
A Put option gives the buyer the right to sell an asset at a fixed price.
You buy a Put if you expect the market to fall.
You sell a Put if you expect the market to stay above the strike or move upward.
These two instruments allow traders to take directional views, hedge positions, or earn income through option writing.
TECHM with strong recoveryPrice is currently consolidating near 1608. Strong support lies at 1570–1550, which should act as a cushion for buyers. Immediate upside is capped at 1635. A decisive close above the 1640–1650 zone will likely attract fresh momentum, opening the path towards 1700+ levels. Traders may watch for sustained volume confirmation above the breakout zone to validate the move.
MMFL: Stage 1 to Stage 2 Breakout SetupThe Core Thesis: Change of Character (Weinstein Stage 1 Breakout)
After a prolonged period of underperformance and sideways consolidation (the "Stage 1 Base"), MMFL has shown a clear Change of Character. The stock is emerging from its long-term accumulation zone, supported by a significant "volume shocker" session that signals the start of institutional accumulation.
Technical Analysis & Breakout Factors
Stage 1 Accumulation Breakout: The stock spent months in a neutral range between ₹350 and ₹370. The recent move above ₹390 marks a clean breakout from this base, potentially initiating the Stage 2 Advancing Phase.
Moving Average Alignment: MMFL is now trading above all key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day lines. Weinstein’s strategy emphasizes price holding above a rising 30-week (or 150/200-day) moving average for a confirmed Stage 2 move.
Relative Strength (RS) Positive: While the stock was down -14.2% over the last year, its 1-week return (+10.2%) and 1-month return (+16.6%) show a powerful reversal in relative strength against the broader market.
Volume Confirmation: On the breakout day , the stock traded 1.09 million shares, which is more than 4x the weekly average volume of 2.62 lakh shares. This "volume spike" is a mandatory requirement for a valid Weinstein breakout.
Fundamentals: Management has guided for a "breakout year" in FY27, with the commissioning of a new 16,500-ton press expected to add ₹300 crore to the annual turnover.
Trade Recommendation: Long Position (Early Stage 2)
Action: BUY (Long Entry)
Entry Trigger: Daily Close above ₹401.00 (Confirmation of the recent intraday high and clear distance from the base).
Target 1 (T1): ₹430.00 (Immediate consensus analyst target).
Target 2 (T2): ₹475.00 – ₹485.00 (Testing the 52-week high resistance zone).
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹358.00 (Placed strictly below the first support zone and the recent base floor).
Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:2.3 (Risking ~₹36 to gain ~₹85).
Key Takeaway for Traders
MMFL has transitioned from a boring, sideways "Basing Area" to an active "Advancing Phase". The combination of a massive volume surge and a break above key moving averages suggests the start of a multi-month trend. Ensure the stock stays above its 30-week MA (approx. ₹360 zone) to maintain the bullish thesis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research before trading.
Part 11 Trading Master Class What Are Options?
An option is a contract between two parties:
Buyer (holder) – Pays a premium for rights.
Seller (writer) – Receives a premium and carries obligations.
Each option contract is linked to an underlying asset—commonly stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies. In most markets, one option contract represents a lot size (like 50 or 100 units of the underlying).
Options come with two important characteristics:
Strike price: The fixed price at which the underlying can be bought or sold.
Expiration date: The deadline after which the option becomes invalid.
Because options derive their value from something else (underlying asset), they are called a derivative instrument.
Tasty Bite >>> Positional Trade
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Comments are Most Welcome
Tasty Bite
Overview
Business
27.6% India
72.4% Rest of the World
Consumer Business
Since its launch in the US in 1995, Tasty Bite® has grown into the fastest-growing Asian food brand in the country.
What started with a handful of Indian entrées has expanded into a globally distributed portfolio offering a wide spectrum of ready-to-eat and easy-to-cook meals. Our products are known for their authentic taste, ease of use and clean-label ingredients allowing us to serve both nostalgic palettes and curious first-time tasters across continents.
From classic favourites like Bombay Potatoes and Madras Lentils to contemporary staples like Basmati Rice and Pad Thai, the brand continues to deliver flavourful, nutritious meals made from all-natural ingredients. Our offerings are available across major retail channels in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Germany and the UK.
Why We Stand Out?
100% Vegetarian Vegan Options Gluten-Free
No Preservatives Certified Organic (in relevant categories)
SCOT Analysis
Strengths
Opportunities
Challenges
Threats
• Strong brand reputation in the Ready-ToEat (RTE) segment.
• Wide international presence (USA, UK,Australia, etc.).
• Diverse product portfolio (RTE, frozen foods, sauces).
• Focus on quality, safety and sustainability.
• Steady growth in revenue and profitability.
• Rising demand for healthy, organic and plantbased RTE foods.
• Expansion in tier-II and tier-III Indian cities.
• Growth in food service and cloud kitchen sectors.
• Potential for innovation in product variants and packaging.
• Increasing global preference for Indian cuisine.
• Price sensitivity in both domestic and global markets.
• Dependence on external suppliers for raw materials.
• Managing supply chain disruptions and inflation.
• Complexity in complying with food safety and labelling regulations.
• Workforce retention and skill shortages.
• Intense competition from both domestic and global food brands.
• Volatility in currency exchange rates affecting exports/imports.
• Operational risks like product recalls or quality issues.
• Impact of geopolitical issues or trade regulations.
• Environmental risks and climate impact on agriculture
CMP 7777
Following Regression Channel & Currently Close to its critical Support Zone
Buy on Dips till 6750
SL WCLB 5500
Expected Tgts from 9K upto Last ATH & Probably MORE
RR Ratio is SOLID / Mind-Blowing
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
💬 Comment below if you want me to analyse any stock for you 🔍
Redington TGT-380 , sl-270can see consolidation ,
based on pattern tgt -380
resistance around 300-310
support 260-270
below 260 weak
company upate will see growth in uae, and in upcoming 3 quaters
Disclaimer- Just my view and opinion ,trade at your own risk not an investment advice ,these are only for educational purposes
JAYBARMARUJAYBARMARU
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
ascending triangle pattern
BUYING RANGE 100/105
Watch for a breakout above 100/105 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 75/85 and an uptrend from here.
BPCL 1 MOnth Time Frame 📌 Live / Current Price (Approx)
• BPCL share price is around ₹368–₹382 on NSE at the latest available updates.
📈 Key Short‑Term Levels (1 Month)
🔹 Resistance Levels (Where stock may face selling pressure)
Primary resistances:
1. ₹385–₹389 — near recent short‑term swing highs.
2. ₹390–₹396 — next resistance cluster based on Fibonacci/volume profile.
3. ~₹407+ — extended upper zone if bull momentum increases.
Bullish breakout watch: A sustained move above ₹390–₹395 may open upside toward ₹400+ in the next few weeks.
🔻 Support Levels (Where buyers may step in)
Immediate supports:
1. ₹377–₹373 — near pivot and daily support zone.
2. ₹370–₹367 — strong near‑term support used in short‑term pivots.
3. ₹363–₹358 — deep support range; a break here signals weakness.
Bearish breakdown watch: A close under ₹367 with volume could pull price toward ₹358–₹350.
🧮 Short‑Term Technical Signals
Moving averages (20, 50, 200 SMA/EMA) are currently supportive for a short‑term uptrend.
Indicators like RSI/MACD presently lean mildly bullish (suggesting momentum still intact).
TMPV 1 Day Time Frame 📍 Live / Current Price
Approx Last Traded Price: ~ ₹368 – ₹370 range in recent sessions (this is the most recent available live price area).
🔑 **Key 1‑Day (Daily) Support & Resistance Levels
(Based on recent intraday price action & pivot‑like daily zones)
🟥 Resistance Levels
1. Immediate Resistance: ₹370 – ₹372 daily zone (recent intraday high area).
2. Next Upside Resistance: ₹375 – ₹376 (swing resistance from recent action area).
3. Higher Resistance: ₹380 round psychological level.
🟩 Support Levels
1. Near‑term Support: ₹365 – ₹366 intraday support.
2. Secondary Support: ₹362 – ₹364 (recent volume/level cluster).
3. Major Support Zone: ₹359 – ₹360 territory.
📊 Daily Range Trading View (Short‑Term)
Typical Daily Fluctuation: ~ ±₹7 – ₹8 from close — i.e., ₹363 – ₹371 expected 1‑day swing range.






















