Big picture of India Inflation Rate
India inflation could be making a triangle ( leg 4 ) and leg 5 pending. Possibly it will go down to a low point and then some changes will make it to move up to create 9ish value.
The low point B can be in near future or may be 1.5 years ahead.
Note : There are assumptions in making the structure.
Community ideas
Gold Technical Analysis, February 17
📊Gold quickly recovered its early losses after testing 2878 in early trading and broke through 2893-2894 upwards, suggesting that the short momentum was exhausted. The 1-hour chart shows that it broke through the downward trend line + stepped back to the 0.618 Fibonacci level (2885), forming a short-term bullish structure. If it stands firmly in the middle track area of 2907-2911, the trend within the cycle will turn strong, otherwise the oscillating trend will continue.
🔴Upper resistance level:
-First: 2905
-Second: 2912
-Third: 2930
🟢Lower support level:
-First: 2885
-Second: 2878
-Third: 2865
✅Intraday trading strategy:
-If it effectively breaks through 2911, it can be regarded as a short-term bullish signal, with the target pointing to 2930-2940;
-If it falls under pressure, pay attention to the support strength of 2880-2878.
-If it effectively falls below 2860, we can short after the rebound, with the target of 2830-2800
-If the oscillating trend continues, we can buy low and sell high in the range of 2885-2905
✅Today is the President’s Day in the United States. The U.S. market will be closed. The trading volume in the gold market is very light. It is recommended to wait and see.
usdcad short📉 USDCAD Short Trade Alert! 🚀
🔻 I’m taking a SELL position on USDCAD based on strong supply & demand analysis. Here’s why:
✅ Key Resistance Zone: Price has reached a major supply zone, showing signs of rejection.
📉 Bearish Confirmation: Price action indicates a potential reversal with clear rejection wicks.
📊 Fundamental Factors: USD weakness + CAD strength aligning with my analysis.
🎯 Target Levels: Aiming for key demand zones with proper risk management in place.
🔔 Trade Smart! This is not financial advice—just my perspective based on price action. Always do your own research! 📊💰
#USDCAD #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #ForexSignals #TradeSetup #PriceAction 🚀
Nifty Future for 17 Feb 2025,For 17 Feb 2025, I spotted a seller level at 23080. Another level of 23000, I feel a balanced but decisive zone. So to summarise,
Above 23080, I will prefer a long
At 23080, I will sell
Near 23000, I will wait for price to stay sometime then above buy and below sell.
23000 being a round figure, highly decisive zone so don't jump too quickly into trade as buyers and sellers will fight in this zone.
(I am NOT sebi registered advisor so it's strictly for paper trade, don't use real money.)
Michael Steinhardt's Secrets to Macro Trading & Risk ManagementMichael Steinhardt: The Master of Macro Trading and Risk Management
Hello Traders!
Today, we’ll be diving into the trading journey of Michael Steinhardt , one of the most successful hedge fund managers of all time. Known for his macro trading strategies and exceptional risk management , Steinhardt built a fortune by analyzing global economic trends and capitalizing on large-scale opportunities. His ability to predict market movements and his contrarian approach made him a standout in the investment world.
Steinhardt’s philosophy has always been about staying ahead of the market by focusing on big-picture trends while managing risk. He believes in making large-scale bets that align with macroeconomic conditions and using strict risk controls to protect capital.
"The greatest investors know that it’s not just about making money, but managing your risk to ensure the longevity of your wealth."
Let’s explore Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading , risk management , and some of his most successful trades.
Michael Steinhardt’s Key Trading Principles
Focus on Macro Trends :
Steinhardt’s expertise lay in macro trading , where he used global economic and political events to guide his investment decisions. By focusing on major economic forces such as inflation, interest rates, and global conflicts, Steinhardt identified high-probability trades that aligned with long-term market movements.
Risk Management is Key :
For Steinhardt, risk management was always top priority. He made large bets, but always with a clear plan on how to minimize losses. He was never afraid to cut his losses quickly, ensuring that no single trade could threaten his capital.
Contrarian Betting :
Steinhardt often made contrarian bets , going against the prevailing market sentiment when he saw opportunities. This mindset allowed him to capitalize on market inefficiencies , especially when most investors were following trends blindly.
Stay Flexible and Adaptable :
Steinhardt’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions is one of his defining traits. He was never married to a single position and was always open to adjusting his strategy if the market environment shifted.
Large-Scale Opportunities :
Steinhardt focused on high-impact trades . Whether it was currency movements, commodities, or stock indices, he made calculated decisions that aligned with his macro view of the world .
How Michael Steinhardt Made His Fortune
Steinhardt’s hedge fund, Steinhardt Partners , was founded in 1967, and over the years, it became one of the most profitable investment firms in the world. His unique approach to macro trading allowed him to make massive gains during some of the most volatile periods in history, including the 1970s oil crisis and the 1987 stock market crash .
His contrarian strategies also led him to big profits in the currency markets and commodities during times of global economic unrest.
Risk Management and Flexibility
Steinhardt was well known for his aggressive risk management strategy . He used techniques like hedging and diversifying his positions to protect his capital from large market swings. This allowed him to stay in the game during times of market stress and continue making profitable trades.
He also emphasized flexibility . If an investment thesis was proven wrong, he was quick to exit the position and look for new opportunities. Adaptation and quick action became hallmarks of his successful trading approach.
What We Can Learn from Michael Steinhardt’s Trading Philosophy
Michael Steinhardt’s approach to trading is a fantastic lesson in macro analysis , risk management , and flexibility . Here are the key takeaways:
Focus on macro trends to make large-scale, informed trades.
Manage risk effectively to preserve capital and protect against unforeseen market shifts.
Don’t be afraid to go against the crowd when your analysis tells you a different story.
Adapt to changing market conditions and avoid sticking to rigid strategies that no longer align with the market environment.
Conclusion
Michael Steinhardt’s legacy as one of the greatest hedge fund managers comes down to his macro trading expertise , his strict risk management , and his adaptable mindset . He was able to navigate volatile markets by using his deep understanding of global trends and staying true to his analysis.
What’s your take on Michael Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading?
Let’s discuss in the comments below. Happy trading, and keep learning from the best!
Bullish reversal in #RelianceThere is a formation of Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily chart of Reliance. The left shoulder and the head are already formed. The right shoulder is also half complete. There are good chances that the shoulder will complete.
The neckline is at 1320 which is around 100 Rs far from CMP of 1225.
#reliance #bullish
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 17th February 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index closed near 22930 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in current weekly contract:
Call Writing
23300 Strike – 74.77 Lakh 23500 Strike – 64.00 Lakh
23200 Strike – 47.71 Lakh
Put Writing
22500 Strike – 66.69 Lakh
22800 Strike – 36.66 Lakh
23000 Strike – 30.79 Lakh
Bullish RSI divergence is being formed on the Index on 15 Minute chart which is signalling upside momentum.
Index has resistance near 23100 - 23150 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 23250 - 23300 range.
Index has immediate support near 22800 – 22750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 22650 – 22600 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 17th February 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index closed near 49100 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in February Month contract:
Call Writing
50000 Strike – 14.57 Lakh
49500 Strike – 10.69 Lakh 50500 Strike – 11.65 Lakh
Put Writing
49000 Strike – 13.18 Lakh
48000 Strike – 12.52 Lakh
50000 Strike – 8.47 Lakh
Bullish RSI divergence is being formed on the Index on 15 Minute chart which is signalling upside momentum.
Index has resistance near 49600 – 49700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 50200 – 50300 range.
Index has immediate support near 48500 - 48400 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 47800 - 47600 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 17th February 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index closed near 23185 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in February Month contract:
Call Writing
23500 Strike – 1.10 Lakh
23200 Strike – 0.70 Lakh
23400 Strike – 0.63 Lakh
Put Writing
23000 Strike – 1.25 Lakh
23500 Strike – 0.93 Lakh
23400 Strike – 0.53 Lakh
Index has resistance near 23300 - 23350 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 23500 - 23550 range.
Index has immediate support near 23050 – 23000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 22850 – 22800 range.
Shree Cement Q3FY25 Growth Outlook & Technical ViewQ3FY25 Performance
Sales volume: Up 15% QoQ, from 7.60 mn tonnes to 8.77 mn tonnes.
EBITDA: Jumped from ₹593 crore to ₹947 crore.
PAT: More than doubled from ₹93 crore to ₹229 crore.
Net revenue: Grew 14% QoQ to ₹4,235 crore.
Growth Outlook
Cement demand expected to rise due to:
1. Higher rural consumption (boosted by better farm cash flows).
2. Strong urban housing demand.
3. Increased government infrastructure spending.
4. Expansion plans: Adding 15.4 mn MT capacity (28% of current) by Q1FY26.
Technical View (Price at ₹28,200)
1. Key Resistance (Bearish OBs):
2. ₹28,555 – Immediate resistance.
3. ₹29,000 - ₹29,483 – Strong supply zone.
Support Levels (Bullish OBs & FVGs):
1. ₹27,021 - ₹27,274 – First support zone.
2. ₹26,800 - ₹26,611 – Strong demand area.
3. ₹26,000 – Deeper support if price declines further.
Trend Bias:
1. Bullish above ₹28,555, targeting ₹29,000+.
2. Bearish below ₹28,200, with possible retest of ₹27,021 & ₹26,800.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 17th February 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index closed near 11090 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in February Month contract:
Call Writing
11000 Strike – 6.30 Lakh
11500 Strike – 5.94 Lakh
11400 Strike – 4.08 Lakh
Put Writing
11000 Strike – 12.24 Lakh
10800 Strike – 3.75 Lakh
10900 Strike – 3.18 Lakh
Bullish RSI divergence is being formed on the Index on 15 Minute chart which is signalling upside momentum.
Index has immediate resistance near 11250 – 11300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 11450 – 11500 range.
Index has immediate support near 10950 – 10900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 10750– 10700 range.
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. – Technical and Fundamental OverviewFundamental Analysis:
1. Strong Earnings Growth: Net profit surged 49% YoY to ₹315.9 crore, driven by improved operational efficiency and sales performance.
2. Revenue Increase: Revenue from operations rose 27.43% YoY to ₹1,895.52 crore, indicating strong demand and market share expansion.
3. Positive Market Sentiment: Strong results boosted investor confidence, reflected in a 6% stock price rally on February 14, 2025.
Outlook: Consistent revenue growth and robust profitability signal a strong financial position and potential for future gains.
Technical Analysis Summary (Fibonacci, Order Blocks, Structure)
1. Fibonacci Retracements:
0.618 Fib (6000) : Key pivot zone; holding above signals bullish continuation, failure may lead to deeper correction.
0.786 Fib (~6380–6400): Next major resistance; overlaps with supply zone, expect selling pressure if reached.
2. Order Blocks (OB) & Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Upper Supply Zones (~6180–7000): Strong resistance area; potential for profit-taking or short entries.
Mid-Range FVGs (~5810 / ~5636 / ~5416 / ~5244): Price may revisit these “inefficient” zones before trend continuation; potential support levels on a pullback.
Lower Demand Zones (~5000 and below): Strong buyer interest; key support area if price breaks below mid-range gaps.
3. Overall Structure:
Trend: Strong bullish impulse from ~4200 to ~7000; currently retesting 0.618 Fib.
Key Resistance: 6000–6200 corridor; next hurdle at 6380–6580.
Key Supports: 5800 (FVG) and psychological level at 5000.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Weekly Wrap idea Got Confirm. Tradeplan #Nifty50 18th Feb2025First Step of a successful trader is to build a Trade plan & review what he has done. (education purpose for all )
*Trend is rangbound, Short term Bullish.
*Trade plan: Buy on dip.
*for Critical levels see the video
Jai Hind.
Disclaimer :
This video is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade.
Redington in Blue Sky With Vol Post Q3NSE:REDINGTON is now in blue sky with Vol. Post Q3. With RSI and MACD Trending Up.
About:
NSE:REDINGTON is a leading IT and mobility product distributor and a supply chain management solutions and support services provider in India, the Middle East, Turkey and Africa.
Trade Setup:
As it's in the blue sky, there is no target just wait for pullbacks and buy on dips keeping the mentioned Supports as Stop Loss.
Target(Take Profit):
Depends on your entry just keep 1:1 at least.
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low for Swing Trader and Recent Swing Lows for Positional Trader.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
IEX Bullish Base Formed NSE:IEX today gave a good up move, confirming the recent base as a strong bullish base, recently it posted its monthly volumes in Jan up 16% YoY.
About:
NSE:IEX provides an automated platform and infrastructure for trading electricity units for the physical delivery of electricity.
F&O Activity:
Long Buildup in Futures with 180 PE Gaining Significant OI.
Trade Setup:
Looks like a good 1:1 trade setup with the recent base as a strong support zone, RSI and MACD trending upwards.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 206 Levels for Swing & Positional Trader.
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low for Swing Trader and Recent Base for Positional Trader.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
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✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
PB Fintech Broke Base, Attempted but failed to go back inNSE:POLICYBZR today confirmed that it broke its base and while retesting it couldn't and faced supply with MACD getting Negative and 50 DSMA trending down.
About:
PB Fintech Ltd, popularly known as NSE:POLICYBZR is India’s largest online platform for insurance and lending products through its flagship brands - Policybazaar and Paisabazaar platform through which they provide convenient access to insurance, credit and other financial products.
F&O Activity:
Short Buildup in Futures with 1700 CE Gaining Significant OI.
Trade Setup:
It looks like a good 1:1 trade setup, with the recent swing high as a strong resistance zone, the MACD is Trending Down along with 50 DSMA.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 1354 Levels for Positional Trader and 1400 for Swing Trader.
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle High for Swing Trader and Recent Swing High or 1700 Levels for Positional Trader.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.