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Practical Study On Supply and Demand Concept NSE:ICICIBANK Most traders fail at Supply & Demand for one simple reason: They draw zones… but don’t understand context, intent, or execution. Zones don’t make money. Decisions do. 📘 Supply & Demand – Practical Application All the charts are annotated in very much details no description is needed so study these charts in detail and that will be self-explanatory. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. Keep Learning, Happy Trading.
NSE:ICICIBANKEducation
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
2
DATAMATCIS GLOBAL SERVICE LIMITED ANALYSISTHIS IS MY CHART OF THE WEEK PICK FOR LEARNING PURPOSE DATAMATICS GLOBAL SERVICE LTD- The current price of DATAMATICS is 826.05 rupees I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows- 1. It's retesting the zone which acted as a good resistance in 2023. Before it acted as resistance and now it should act as some support. 2. This stock has seen some great buying since 2021. It has consolidated in between and continued it's run. It has got time correction which was required. 3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks. 4. The risk and reward is favourable. 5. The stock is one of the outperformers in this market. The structure is great as of now. It has also outperformed it's sector. 6. Another good part- The overall sector has shown some decent strength and have good momentum. I am expecting more from this in coming weeks. I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that. My SL is at 713.55 rupees. I will be managing my risk.
NSE:DATAMATICSLong
by Its_Bhushan
One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits💥 One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits – Education One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most exciting yet dangerous instruments in trading. Its high volatility offers massive profit potential—but one wrong move can erase all your hard-earned gains. Let’s break this down in detail. 1️⃣ Understanding Gold Market Volatility 🔥 Gold reacts sharply to geopolitical events, economic news, and central bank decisions. Price swings of 50–200 pips in a day are common. High volatility means both high reward and high risk—making risk management essential. Example: If you earned $500 in small, careful trades, one unexpected spike or wrong trade in XAUUSD could cost $600+, wiping out a week’s profits in minutes. 😱 2️⃣ Risk Management is Your Lifesaver 🛡️ Trading without protecting your capital is like walking on a tightrope without a safety net. ✅ Rules to Follow: Risk 1–2% of your account per trade. Always set a stop-loss and take-profit. Use a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3. Avoid over-leveraging—even small mistakes become huge losses with high leverage. Tip: A single trade should never threaten your entire weekly profit. 3️⃣ Emotions Can Kill Your Profits 😵🧠 Trading isn’t just about charts; it’s about psychology. One impulsive decision can erase a week of careful work. Avoid revenge trading after losses. Don’t chase trades that don’t meet your plan. Practice discipline and patience—stick to your strategy and setups. Reality Check: Emotional trades often ignore risk management, which is why one trade can wipe out a week of profits. 4️⃣ Timing is Everything ⏱️ Gold has major moves during: US session open 🌎 Fed announcements 🏦 High-impact economic news 📊 Avoid trading blindly during these times unless you are highly experienced. Pro Tip: Sometimes the best trade is no trade—waiting for clear setups can save your profits. 5️⃣ Technical Analysis Must Be Precise 📈🔍 Before entering a trade, confirm setups using: Order Blocks & Fair Value Gaps Momentum Shifts Volume & Price Action Confirmation Avoid: Entering on impulse or guessing the trend. Even a small error can result in losses bigger than weekly profits. 6️⃣ Practical Example: The “Profit Destroyer” Trade 💣 Imagine your trading week: Monday to Friday: 5 small, calculated trades → $500 profit 💰 Friday afternoon: Impulsive Gold trade without stop-loss → $600 loss 😱 Result? You’re down $100 for the week despite a strong start. Lesson: Protect your capital first. Profits come from consistent, disciplined trading—not luck. 7️⃣ Key Takeaways ✅ Gold = High Risk, High Reward ⚖️ Risk Management is Non-Negotiable 🛡️ Discipline Beats Emotions Every Time 🧘‍♂️ Wait for Clear Setups 🕵️‍♂️ One Wrong Trade Can Erase a Week of Profits ⚠️ Follow for More Gold & Forex Trading Insights! 🚀📈 Stay updated with XAUUSD tips, risk management strategies, and profitable trading setups. Don’t miss out—follow now and trade smarter every day! 💎🔥
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
Godrej Consumer Products: Weekly Accumulation Showing StrengthAfter weeks of quiet accumulation near the 0.618 retracement (~₹1,105) , the stock has now delivered a weekly close above the 50-week moving average — a constructive sign of improving sentiment. The move also puts price right at the descending resistance trendline , where follow-through buying will determine if this recovery extends further. The structure continues to look steadily constructive , with early signs of buyers regaining control. As long as the stock holds above the recent base, the bias leans cautiously bullish . Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:GODREJCPLong
by WaveXplorer
4
RAIN: Turnaround Fundamental Play,Trendline BO,Chart of the WeekNSE:RAIN When Carbon Giants Face the Perfect Storm of Bearish Signals and Sectoral Headwinds NSE:RAIN showing signs of Fundamental Turnaround. Let's understand this week's "chart of the week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Long-Term Trend Structure: - The stock demonstrated a spectacular bull run from 2021 lows around ₹75-80 levels to highs of ₹272.75 achieved in mid-2021 - Post the euphoric rally, the stock entered a prolonged consolidation and distribution phase spanning from July 2021 to early 2024 - During 2022-2023, the stock oscillated in a broad range between ₹130 and ₹ 220, forming a rectangular consolidation pattern - From late 2023 onwards, the stock began showing signs of weakness with lower highs formation Current Breakdown Phase (2024-2025): - A decisive breakdown occurred in late 2024 when the stock breached the crucial ₹140-145 support zone - The stock has entered a steep declining phase, currently trading around ₹124.60 (as of Dec 20, 2025) - The recent price action shows a sharp downturn with the stock making new 52-week lows at ₹99.90 Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Trends: - A massive volume spike is visible in the most recent sessions, reaching approximately 36.64 million shares - This represents nearly 4x the average weekly volume of around 9.36 million shares - Historical volume analysis shows earlier spikes during the 2021 peak (around 80 million) and the 2024 rally attempts Key Technical Levels: Support Zones: - Major Support: ₹99.90 - The recent 52-week low and next critical support level - Psychological Support: ₹100 - Round number support with psychological significance - Ultimate Support: ₹80-85 zone - Corresponds to early 2023 lows Resistance Zones: - Immediate Resistance: ₹135-140 - Previous support turned resistance - Minor Resistance: ₹150-155 - Major Resistance: ₹165-170 - Strong Resistance: ₹180-185 - Breakdown point of the larger distribution pattern - Formidable Resistance: ₹200-210 - Multiple failed rally attempts from this zone Base Formation Analysis: - No clear base formation is visible in the current structure - The stock is in an active downtrend without any consolidation base - The previous base was formed between ₹140-180 during 2023-2024, which has now failed - A new base formation would require at least 2-3 months of sideways consolidation - An ideal base would form above the ₹100 psychological level with declining volume Sectoral Overview: Industry Classification: - Rain Industries operates in the Chemicals and Petrochemicals sector - Specifically focused on Carbon Products, Advanced Materials, and Cement segments - The company is a leading vertically integrated producer of calcined petroleum coke (CPC) and coal tar pitch (CTP) - Products serve the aluminium, steel, graphite electrodes, and construction industries Global Market Position: - Rain Industries is among the world's largest producers of calcined petroleum coke - The company is the largest coal tar distiller globally - Operations span across 14 locations in 8 countries across three continents - Annual production capacity: 2.4 million tons of CPC and 1.0 million tons of tar distillation Sectoral Challenges (2024-2025): - The aluminium industry, which accounts for approximately 42% of Rain's revenues, has faced headwinds - Global aluminium production continues to expand to meet growing demand, with LME aluminium prices trading around $2,600 per ton - European aluminium smelters face structural decline pressures due to high energy costs - Raw material availability constraints have impacted production schedules - Supply chain issues and challenges in securing raw materials could impact production and costs Sector Outlook for 2025-2026: - The global aluminium market is projected to reach $355 billion by 2030, expanding at a CAGR of approximately 4.8% - Demand growth expected from the automotive industry's lightweighting trend and electric vehicle adoption - Increasing emphasis on low-carbon aluminium and sustainability initiatives - Aluminium's recyclability has become significant, with recycling requiring only 5% of the energy needed for primary production - Infrastructure spending in India and globally should support aluminium and construction material demand Fundamental Backdrop: Recent Financial Performance: - Q3 FY2025 revenue stood at ₹44.76 billion with adjusted EBITDA of ₹6.48 billion - Q2 2025 showed revenue growth of 17% quarter-over-quarter, driven by higher CPC volumes and prices - The company operates at approximately 90% capacity utilization - For Q2 FY2026, the company posted a profit of ₹106.01 crore, reversing a ₹179.11 crore loss year-over-year Business Segment Performance: - Carbon Segment: Largest revenue contributor with sales volumes of 664,000 MT in Q2 FY2025 - Advanced Materials: Showed 317% EBITDA growth quarter-over-quarter due to improved seasonality - Cement Business: Faces challenges, but outlook is improving with infrastructure spending - Company approved ₹7.57 billion cement expansion with commercial operation date in H2 2027 Financial Health Concerns: - The company has a low interest coverage ratio and delivered poor sales growth of 4.46% over the past five years - Return on equity is negative at -0.31% over the last 3 years - Market capitalization as of November 27, 2025, stood at ₹3,619.08 crore - High net debt of $699 million could constrain financial flexibility - PE ratio of -104.48 indicates negative earnings Recent Developments: - The company declared a dividend of ₹1.00 per share in June 2025, yielding 1.58% - Safety performance improved significantly with the Total Recordable Incident Rate decreasing to 0.03 in H1 2025 - Management focusing on cost-saving measures, ESG compliance, and debt optimisation - Company investigating application of biocarbon materials in its product portfolio Valuation Metrics: - 52-week high: ₹180 (touched in early 2025) - 52-week low: ₹99.80 - Current price: ₹124.60 - Price-to-Book ratio: 0.60 (as of Dec 2025) - Stock down approximately -27.80% year-over-year, underperforming Sensex's 9.5% gain Risk Factors and Challenges: Operational Risks: - Dependence on raw material availability, particularly green petroleum coke - Energy cost volatility, especially in European operations - Capacity utilization challenges impacting profitability - Competition in battery materials and advanced materials segments - Planned maintenance activities disrupting production schedules Market and Sectoral Risks: - Aluminium industry demand uncertainty in the European and US markets - Geopolitical tensions affecting global trade and supply chains - China's production nearing regulatory ceiling could trigger market distortions - Regulatory changes and environmental compliance costs are increasing - Potential tariff impacts on international trade Financial Risks: - High debt levels constrain strategic flexibility - Negative operating cash flow concerns - Low profitability margins despite revenue growth - Currency fluctuation risks due to global operations - Interest coverage ratio remaining weak My 2 Cents: Fundamental vs Technical Divergence: - While the company shows operational improvement in recent quarters, market sentiment remains negative - The gap between fundamental progress and stock performance is widening - High debt levels and sectoral headwinds overshadow operational gains - Market positioning the stock as a value trap rather than a value opportunity currently - Investor confidence needs restoration through consistent delivery and debt reduction NSE:RAIN represents a classic case of a fundamentally improving company caught in a perfect storm of technical breakdown, sectoral headwinds, and erosion of sentiment. The chart structure has deteriorated significantly, with the stock breaking below multi-year support zones and displaying all characteristics of a sustained downtrend. While the aluminium sector outlook for 2025-2026 appears constructive and the company has shown operational improvements, the market is clearly sceptical about near-term prospects given the high debt burden and challenging market environment. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Rain Industries can stabilise around the psychological ₹100 mark or if further capitulation to ₹85-90 levels is in store. Only a decisive reclaim of ₹140 with volume would suggest that the worst is behind, making it a level to watch closely for any signs of trend reversal. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:RAINLong
by Karanshah137
4
Time cycle trading is a very unique and powerful approachTime cycle trading is a very unique and powerful approach because it focuses on "time" rather than "price." It is based on the belief that market history repeats itself and trends reappear after certain intervals. Its biggest advantage is that it can alert you before a trend even begins. Here are some key features of time cycle trading: TIME RULES TIME is the most important factor in forecasting market movements. While SPACE and VOLUME are important and momentum is also a factor to be considered, TIME will overbalance both SPACE and VOLUME and arrest momentum. DAILY TIME RULE A minor change occurs every 7, 10, 14, 20 and 21, 28 and 30 days. This time period is only a proportion of the major cycles. MONTHLY TIME RULE Changes in trend occur every 30, 60, 90, 120, 135, 180, 225, 270, 300, 315, and 360 days. The third and fourth months are the first of importance for a change in trend; the sixth next; then the ninth; and twelfth most important. 1. When to buy, not just what to buy. Most indicators (such as RSI or MACD) tell you whether the price will go up or down. But time cycles tell you when a change is likely to occur. Example: If the cycle is 20 days, you'll know that a market reversal is possible on the 20th day. 2. Predictive Nature (Prediction in advance) Indicators are 'lagging' (they give signals after the price has already moved). Time cycles are 'leading'. They help you determine the dates of upcoming turning points (highs and lows) in advance. 3. Precision in Entry and Exit When you combine Time Cycles with Price Action, your "Stop Loss" becomes smaller. You can try to enter very close to the bottom or top because you know that the cycle is about to end. 4. Psychological Edge The most tension in the market arises when we don't know when a sideways market will end. A time cycle trader knows that the "time" is not yet complete, so they can wait patiently. An Important Point Selecting the right stocks is the most important thing. Time Cycle trading doesn't mean you should trade blindly. Its effectiveness comes into play only when: Time + Price: When the cycle time is complete and the price is also at a support/resistance level. Confirmation: Confirmation from a candlestick pattern is essential.
NSE:BHARATFORGLong
by askbiswanath2025
TATA ELXSI: What Price and Volume Reveal After a DowntrendAfter a prolonged downtrend, Tata Elxsi started trading inside a well-defined falling channel. This phase represents controlled selling, where price continues to make lower highs and lower lows, but without aggressive expansion. That’s important — it shows selling pressure is present but not accelerating. As price approached the lower end of the channel, downside momentum started to slow. Candles became narrower and selling failed to push price further down. This is typically where supply begins to dry up. The key development came when price broke above the channel boundary with a clear increase in volume. This is not a random green candle — it signals that buyers stepped in decisively and absorbed the remaining supply that was controlling the trend. The volume spike confirms that the move is participation-driven, not a low-liquidity bounce. When price exits a falling structure with volume, it often marks a trend transition phase, not an immediate vertical rally, but a shift from distribution to stabilization. This chart is shared to highlight: How falling channels behave Why volume matters at structure breaks How trend control shifts from sellers to buyers
NSE:TATAELXSILong
by siripireddyvenu
APL APOLLO – Cup & HandleAPL Apollo spent several months correcting after a strong up-move and gradually formed a rounded base. This phase reflects distribution getting absorbed and weak hands exiting, not aggressive selling. Price then retraced back toward the prior resistance zone around 1820–1830, which acted as the rim of the cup. Instead of rejecting sharply, the stock moved into a shallow pullback (handle), showing that sellers were unable to push price meaningfully lower. The handle formed with controlled candles and steady volume, which is important. There was no panic selling or wide-range breakdown during this phase, indicating demand remained intact. The recent move back above the rim comes with visible volume expansion, confirming participation rather than a low-liquidity spike. This behaviour aligns with how continuation patterns resolve when supply is absorbed. The pattern itself explains the behaviour.
NSE:APLAPOLLOLong
by siripireddyvenu
4
AUROPHARMA – Structural Trend Shift After Base FormationAUROPHARMA went through a long corrective phase and built a base around the 1000–1050 zone. That phase ended when price started forming higher lows, followed by higher highs, confirming a structural change. The move above ~1225 is important because this level earlier acted as resistance. Price is now holding above it, which shows acceptance rather than rejection. This tells us supply at higher levels is being absorbed. The recent pullback is controlled, not impulsive. No sharp selling, no expansion in downside volume. This indicates sellers are not aggressive at current levels. Volume increased during the upward move and contracted during the consolidation, which is typical of a healthy trend transition. This chart is shared to highlight how markets shift from correction to trend through structure, not through indicators or news.
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by siripireddyvenu
3
METAL Index Holding Rising Channel – Next Leg Higher LoadingThe Nifty Metal Index is trading firmly inside a well-defined rising channel on the weekly timeframe, clearly indicating long-term strength in the sector. Price is currently consolidating near the upper half of the channel, which is a healthy sign after a strong uptrend. Despite multiple volatile phases, the index has consistently respected the lower channel support, showing strong buying interest on every dip. The recent sideways movement near the top suggests time correction, not trend weakness. Structurally, the index continues to form higher highs and higher lows, keeping the broader bullish trend intact. This consolidation near resistance usually acts as a launchpad for the next expansion, provided the channel structure holds. RSI is placed around the 60–65 zone, reflecting sustained bullish momentum without overbought pressure. This indicates the trend still has room to extend on the upside.
NSE:CNXMETALLong
by Marketik
1
IT Index Near Long-Term Trendline – Breakout Setup FormingThe Nifty IT Index is trading at a very important technical junction, where price has climbed back to a major long-term descending trendline after a prolonged corrective phase. This trendline has acted as a strong supply zone earlier, making the current test extremely crucial. After forming a clear base near the rising support line, the index has started making higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. This shift in structure suggests that selling pressure has weakened and buyers are slowly gaining control. The recent move towards resistance is happening with steady momentum, not sharp rejection, which often indicates absorption of supply. Such price behaviour near a falling trendline usually precedes a trend reversal breakout rather than a deep pullback. RSI is holding above 65, confirming strong bullish momentum and showing no signs of bearish divergence. Momentum strength at resistance increases the probability of a sustained breakout if follow-through buying comes in. If the IT index manages to close decisively above this long-term resistance, it can trigger a fresh trending move, marking the end of the corrective cycle. Until then, this zone remains a make-or-break area, but structurally the setup is tilted in favour of the bulls.
NSE:CNXITLong
by Marketik
SMALLCAP Index at Make or Break Zone – Momentum Shift Brewing The Nifty Smallcap 100 index is currently trading at a critical confluence area, where a major horizontal support aligns with a long-term falling trendline resistance. After a prolonged corrective phase, price has shown a clear base formation near support, indicating selling pressure is gradually drying up. The recent bounce from the support zone suggests demand is stepping in, and price is now attempting to move back towards the descending resistance line. This structure reflects a compression setup, where volatility is shrinking before a directional move. RSI is still placed in the lower-neutral zone, but has started to curl up from oversold territory. This behaviour often precedes a trend reversal or strong pullback rally, especially when price is supported structurally. If the index manages to sustain above the current base and break the falling trendline, it can trigger a strong recovery leg, which is typical when smallcaps start outperforming after a consolidation phase. Failure to break, however, may lead to short-term range-bound movement.
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPLong
by Marketik
1
Most Traders Don’t Lose on Entries — They Lose on ExecutionOn higher timeframes like H4 Gold (XAUUSD), direction is rarely the real problem. Most traders can identify: bullish structure, bearish pullbacks, key levels, higher-timeframe bias. Yet despite this, execution errors repeat. This chart is a good example of a market that appears “clear,” but still creates hesitation, late entries, premature exits, and emotional decisions. (This chart is shared only as a visual reference to discuss execution behavior on higher timeframes.) Most traders spend 90% of their energy hunting the “perfect entry.” But the real account killer is what happens after a valid entry appears: entering late because the move “looks strong” holding through momentum decay adding size during uncertainty refusing to exit when risk expands trading in chop because “I need to do something” confusing trend bias with execution permission Valid setup ≠ valid execution. Execution is a decision system, not a feeling. The real problem (across every trader type) Whether you’re retail, institutional, or funded, the core pain is the same: You can identify direction. You struggle to answer what to do now. The market doesn’t pay you for being right on direction. It pays you for managing timing, risk, and behavior. Retail traders (most common failure) Retail usually loses from: FOMO entries (late chase) overtrading ranges emotional exits inconsistent risk per trade Retail doesn’t need more indicators. Retail needs permission and discipline. Funded traders (most common failure) Funded traders usually lose from: breaking rules under pressure revenge trades after a scratch “one big trade” mentality ignoring the firm’s drawdown mechanics Funded trading isn’t about prediction. It’s about rule-quality execution. Institutional mindset (what actually works) Institutions don’t trade “signals.” They trade a process: Directional context (bias) Structure context (where price is relative to key zones) Liquidity context (is price sweeping / trapped / absorbing?) Momentum quality (is follow-through healthy?) Volatility environment (is the market tradable or compressed?) Final permission (act vs wait) Post-entry management (hold / protect / partial / exit) That’s the difference. The solution: a Decision Framework (not a signal) Instead of asking, “Is this a buy?” Ask these questions for every candle: Should I act or wait? If I act, am I early, on time, or late? Is momentum improving or decaying? Is volatility supportive or compressed? Is the risk expanding (pressure) or stable? Do I have a reason to stay—or a reason to protect? The professional edge is not entries. It’s execution control. Practical checklist (simple, strict) If context is unclear, WAIT If momentum is weak and volatility is compressed → WAIT If price is extended / late → NO CHASE If risk rises after entry → PROTECT / PARTIAL / EXIT If your plan is not clear, DO NOTHING Doing nothing is a position. Discussion I’m interested in how other traders handle execution decisions : What makes you switch from “hold” to “protect”? What is your strongest rule for “do not trade”? Which is harder for you: entry discipline or exit discipline? Comments welcome—happy to discuss further. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is for educational discussion only. No financial advice. No guarantees. Always manage your own risk. # Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPsychology # Execution #RiskManagement #MarketStructure #TradingEducation #DiscretionaryTrading #ProfessionalTrading
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by MARAL_Execution_Workflow
2
Final leg to the downside before see one last run to end cycleMarkets rarely witness deep crashes during an active bull run, yet history shows that major corrections often occur before the final and most impulsive leg of the cycle. Bitcoin’s 2021 bull market offers a clear example. On 12 April 2021, Bitcoin topped near $64,000, followed by a sharp 55% decline. After this liquidity reset, the market recovered and later printed a new high near $69,000, confirming that deep pullbacks can be structural rather than bearish. Applying this framework to the current cycle, if Bitcoin forms a macro top near $126,000, a 45–50% correction would naturally bring price into the $65,000–$60,000 range. Recent price action supports this possibility, as the market has started making steep lower lows alongside aggressive liquidity hunts on both sides, a typical sign of distribution and leverage cleanup. The $60,000 level stands out as a major liquidity zone where excess long positions are likely to be flushed and stronger hands can accumulate. Importantly, this technical setup aligns with macro pressure from Japan’s recent 75-basis-point interest rate hike. Historically, such hikes have been followed by 20–30% Bitcoin corrections. A 30% drop from $90,000 again targets the $63,000–$60,000 zone, reinforcing this area as a high-probability support. Taken together, historical precedent, liquidity behavior, and macroeconomic factors suggest a final corrective phase toward $60,000 before Bitcoin attempts its last impulsive rally of the cycle, potentially extending toward $140,000–$150,000. Rather than signaling weakness, such a correction may serve as the foundation for the market’s final expansion.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by animeshrajak5555
Persistent systems (W): Bullish - Coiling for BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock is in the final stages of a year-long consolidation (since the Dec 2024 ATH). It is currently forming a "base on top of a base" just below the critical resistance, backed by a major new AI partnership and positive sector tailwinds. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The technical "coiling" is supported by strong news flow: > DigitalOcean Partnership (Dec 16, 2025): Persistent announced a multi-year strategic tie-up with DigitalOcean to deploy AI solutions. This expands their addressable market in the AI infrastructure space. > Sector Tailwind: Strong guidance from global peers (like Accenture) has triggered a re-rating in Indian IT mid-caps, validating the demand environment for 2026. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Lid") > The Resistance: The ₹6,510 level has acted as a rigid ceiling. The failed breakout, where it popped up to ATH but fell back, cleared weak hands. > The Current Buildup: - Candles: The recent Hammer (showing buying at lower levels) followed by a Neutral/Doji (showing indecision/absorption) right under resistance is significant. - Interpretation: Sellers are trying to push it down, but buyers are stepping in immediately. This "tightening" often precedes an explosive move. > Volume: The "drying volume" observed is actually positive here. It implies that the supply (sellers) is exhausted. We now just need a volume spike to trigger the breakout. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) in Weekly/Monthly confirms the primary trend is UP. > RSI: Rising RSI indicates that internal momentum is building up for the push through ₹6,510. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed to challenge the ATH. > 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Daily/Weekly Close above ₹6,510 . - Target 1: ₹6,789 (The ATH). - Target 2: ₹7,700 . (If the stock enters "Blue Sky" discovery, this is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension). 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net): > Immediate Support: ₹5,920 . The stock must hold this to keep the bullish structure alive. - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹5,800 would invalidate the setup. Conclusion This is a High-Probability Setup . The "Hammer + Neutral" combo at resistance suggests the breakout is imminent. > Strategy: Wait for the close above ₹6,510 to enter. The DigitalOcean news provides the fundamental conviction to hold for targets beyond the ATH.
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
$XRP /USDT – Weekly Technical View (Short Analysis)#XRP has completed a strong impulsive move from long-term lows, topping near the 3.5–3.6 USDT resistance zone, which aligns with a major historical supply area. The rejection from this zone suggests a corrective phase is underway, forming a descending structure. Price is currently hovering around 1.9–2.0 USDT, testing a key Support-1 demand zone. As long as this support holds, a consolidation or corrective bounce is possible. However, a decisive breakdown below this range could open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower support box (~0.6–0.8 USDT), marked as wave (C). Overall bias: Long-term bullish structure intact, but medium-term correction ongoing. Watch how price reacts at the current support for the next directional clue. ~Disclaimer~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
by renderwithme