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A DIRTY SCAM - DECODED BY GOOGLE GEMINI AIThe connection between Refex Industries and Gensol Engineering is not just a random business deal; it traces back to a tight-knit relationship between their promoters and a failed attempt to "bail out" Gensol from its mounting debt crisis.
The "smoking gun" is a specific transaction in early 2025 that was announced and then abruptly cancelled when regulatory heat increased.
The "Rescue Act" Chronology
1. The Personal Link (The Foundation)
The Players: Anmol Singh Jaggi (Promoter of Gensol & BluSmart) and Anil Jain (MD of Refex Industries).
The Connection: Anil Jain was an early angel investor in BluSmart, the ride-hailing app founded by the Jaggi brothers.
The Business: Refex Industries (via its subsidiary Refex Green Mobility) was already a vendor to BluSmart, leasing over 1,000 electric cars to them. This created a symbiotic relationship: Gensol made the cars (allegedly), and Refex leased them to the Jaggi brothers' other company, BluSmart.
2. The "Bailout" Attempt (January 16, 2025)
The Crisis: By late 2024, Gensol was drowning in debt and facing questions about "missing" EV assets. They needed to get debt off their books fast.
The Deal: Gensol announced it would sell 2,997 EVs to Refex Green Mobility.
The Catch: Refex wouldn't just pay cash; they agreed to take over ₹315 Crore of Gensol's loan liabilities.
The Optic: This would have instantly cleaned up Gensol's balance sheet, making it look debt-light to investors. Gensol stock jumped 7% on this news.
3. The Cancellation & SEBI Probe (March 28, 2025)
The Trigger: SEBI’s investigation deepened. The regulator found that Gensol had taken loans for 6,400 cars but only physically bought ~4,704. The "missing" cars were a major red flag.
The U-Turn: On March 28, just days before the SEBI interim order, Refex and Gensol "mutually cancelled" the deal.
The Result: Refex walked away safe. Gensol was left holding the toxic debt and the "ghost" assets. Gensol stock crashed 5% immediately.
The Verdict: Is Refex "Dirty"?
While Gensol is the primary offender (accused of fraud/diversion), Refex’s role raises valid concerns about Capital Allocation.
The "Friendly" Risk: Refex management was willing to take on ₹300Cr+ of debt from a related party (where their MD is an investor) just to help them out. This is a classic "Corporate Governance" yellow flag—using public company money to help a friend’s distressed company.
The Saver: To their credit, Refex did back out before the deal closed, protecting their shareholders from the actual loss. This suggests they have a "kill switch" when risks get too high, unlike Gensol.
Actionable Insight for You
Gensol: Uninvestable. The "missing cars" and SEBI ban on promoters are fatal flaws.
Refex: Watch with Caution. They are not "fraudulent" like Gensol, but their willingness to entertain such a risky deal suggests their Board might be too cozy with the Jaggi ecosystem. If you own Refex, monitor their Related Party Transactions closely in the next quarterly report.
26000 will act as a SUPPORT now!As we can see NIFTY managed to close itself above 26000 level which was both a strong resistance and psychological level and closes both in daily as well as weekly time frame. Hence, following the structure we can confirm the NIFTY’s breakout and we can expect NIFTY to take support at 26000 levels which previously acted as a resistance. So, one can plan their trades accordingly keeping SL on closing basis below 25800 .
Cupid Ltd.(CUPID)If you understand the time cycles of a particular stock, you can easily create your position on the chart by observing its nature and behavior. This is probably a very good way to manage your investments.
Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
NRB Bearings Ltd.(NRBBEARING)If you understand the time cycles of a particular stock, you can easily create your position on the chart by observing its nature and behavior. This is probably a very good way to manage your investments.
Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
Technical Analysis of Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM)Technical Analysis of Alkem Laboratories Ltd (NSE: ALKEM)
Current Price & Key Levels
Current close: ~₹5,704.50 (as shown on the chart)
All-time high region: ~₹6,000–6,400
Major horizontal support/resistance zone: ₹5,400–5,700 (thick red/blue band that has acted both as support and resistance multiple times in 2025)
Recent Price Action (Sep–Nov 2025)
Price broke down briefly below the lower trendline of the descending channel in Oct–early Nov but quickly recovered — this created a false breakdown / bear trap.
Since then, price has formed a smaller ascending/symmetrical triangle (labeled “Trend Channels” on the chart) inside the larger descending wedge.
The 7.58–8.91% measurements shown are typical triangle targets (measured move from the base of the triangle).
Most recent weekly candle (week ending 21–22 Nov) is a strong bullish marubozu closing right at the upper boundary of the ₹5,400–5,700 zone and challenging the upper trendline of the smaller triangle.
Breakout above the upper line of the smaller triangle + the ₹5,700–5,800 resistance zone would confirm the end of the 6–7 month correction.
Measured targets from the large descending wedge reversal: ₹6,500–6,800 (adds the height of the wedge to the breakout point).
Additional target from the smaller triangle: ~8–9% from ~₹5,300 base → ₹5,900–6,100 zone.
Volume profile (not visible here) usually shows heavy volume around ₹5,000–5,500; clearing ₹5,800 with volume would be very bullish.
Bearish Case (Still Possible but Less Likely)
Failure to break ₹5,800 cleanly and rejection back into the ₹5,400–5,700 zone would keep the larger descending wedge intact.
Next downside target would be ₹4,800–5,000 (lower trendline of the big wedge and previous swing lows).
Conclusion
As of 23 Nov 2025, Alkem Labs is at a major inflection point. The price action strongly favors the bullish resolution:
A decisive weekly close above ₹5,800–5,850 would very likely trigger a multi-month rally toward ₹6,500+.
Stop-loss for longs can be kept below ₹5,400 (recent swing low).
Risk-reward looks attractive (risk ~5–6% for potential 15–25%+ upside).
So, bias is bullish above ₹5,700–5,800, targeting ₹6,200–6,800 in the coming months if the breakout sustains.
Bears Knocking, Then Reversal ? Weekly Wrap #Nifty50First Step of a successful trader is to build a Trade plan & review what he has done. (education purpose for all )
*Trend is rangbound, Short term Bearish.
*Trade plan: Sell on rise
* Critical Levels:
* Resistance:26135- 26200
* Support: 25960-25853
Jai Hind.
Disclaimer :
This video is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade.
Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. (ABCAPITAL)Friends, when you use two time cycles in the same chart, then the chart looks like this, where multiple two cycles meet at one place, that point becomes more vital.
Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
Nifty - This Market Needs Breadth, Not GuessworkStop Searching for Bottoms — This Market Needs Breadth, Not Guesswork
These days I see so many new traders jumping from YouTube videos to X posts trying to “catch the bottom” or find some magic trick to trade in a weak broader market with weak macros.
This is the wrong approach.
Unless breadth improves, no setup will work.
Stop consuming unnecessary content. Stop learning things you shouldn’t.
Over-knowledge is a drug. You get addicted to learning new things nonstop — but in trading, execution pays… not unlimited learning.
Now coming to the market:
NSE:NIFTY gave a perfect squat day on Friday exactly as planned on Thursday.
When the index behaves exactly according to the plan, it means the environment is perfect for my setups.
A squat gives both-side moves, so we traded both calls and puts on Friday.
Pivot has now shifted to 26099 and Nifty closed below this level — this indicates short buildup on the index.
Our Macro Index has also fallen for 3 straight days, confirming weakness.
Strong support sits at 26000. If this breaks, the next support is at 25970–25950.
Resistance is at 26100. Even if price rises above this, it can become a bullish trap unless 26200 is taken out.
So until 26200 breaks, every bounce stays a Sell-on-Rise opportunity.
Even a gap-down directly to the support will still keep the Sell-on-Rise plan valid because index health will turn Orange from current Green.
However, if Nifty closes above 26200, this entire plan becomes invalid — though the probability is low because the Macro Index is weakening.
NSE:BANKNIFTY also looks weak for the coming week with support at 58300–58200.
New traders should avoid equities completely right now as no proper swing structures are visible.
📊 Levels at a Glance:
Pivot: 26099
Support: 26000 / 25850/25700
Resistance: 26100 (26200 must break to turn bullish)
Bias: Sell on Rise until 26200 breaks
Sector View: Weak overall; avoid new equity swings
That will be all for the day. Take care. Have a profitable week ahead.
IPHL - Breakout SetupNSE:IPHL
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
RTL - Breakout SetupNSE:RTL
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
GBLOGISTIC - Breakout SetupBSE:GBLOGISTIC
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
UNIHEALTH - Breakout SetupNSE:UNIHEALTH
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
WOL3D - Breakout SetupNSE:WOL3D
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
GMR AIRPORT LTD ANALYSISTHIS IS MY CHART OF THE WEEK PICK
FOR LEARNING PURPOSE
GMR AIRPORT LTD- The current price of GMR AIRPORT is 104.05 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. It gave a good breakout and made a 17 year new high. It's coming out from a big base.
2. It got a good buying force in last 2.5 years and went up by almost 200+%
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks.
4. The risk and reward is favourable.
5. The stock has got a good catalyst and that is- Mutual Funds and FIIs have increased their stake in recent times.
6. Another good part- The stock has been of the laggards in last few years and it has done almost nothing in last 17 years, if it breaks 121 rupees then we can see more strength.
I am expecting more from this in coming weeks.
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 92.90 rupees.
I will be managing my risk.
Bearish Nifty ExpirySir/Mam,
My view for this expiry is bearish. "Buy ONLY PE"
Buy PE whenever it goes up. You will see the levels crossing below 26000 and 25800 till Tuesday.
"MARK MY WORDS"
For safe Option Traders buy CE and PE of strike price 26200 which is approx. 177+50 = 227. Book profit - 250 (23 points) 100%
Get back to me with your comments if this goes accordingly.
Stay safe and healthy.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 24th November 2025If NIFTY sustain above 26077/85 above this bullish then around 26097/ 26110 or 26132/42 above this more bullish then 26158/78 or 26200/223 strong level then above this wait more levels marked on chart
If NIFTY sustain below 26013 below this bearish then 25951/06 below this more bearish then 25849/40 strong level then very very strong level 25770 below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bearish tactical approach: sell on rise) expecting both side movements, with high volatility.
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
SUN PHARMA – Weekly Chart Analysis 🔵 Trend Structure
• The stock has been in a broad consolidation phase since late 2023.
• Price recently moved up strongly and is now testing a long-term descending trendline.
• This trendline has acted as resistance multiple times, making the current level crucial.
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🔥 Current Price Action (Bullish Attempt)
• Latest weekly candle shows strong buying with a close near the highs.
• Price is attempting a breakout above the descending resistance.
• Follow-through next week is important — a breakout ideally needs:
o Strong closing above the trendline
o No immediate rejection wick
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🧭 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Resistance Levels
• ₹1,812 – 1,832 → First supply zone
• ₹1,850 – 1,880 → Major resistance; previous swing highs
• ₹1,912 – 1,960 → Strong multi-year resistance zone
A breakout above ₹1,880 could open the path toward ₹1,960.
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🔴 Support Levels
• ₹1,740 – 1,755 → Immediate support (trendline retest zone)
• ₹1,580 – 1,555 → Major support cluster
• If the price falls below ₹1,555, the trend becomes weak on weekly timeframe.
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⚖️ Market Psychology
• Buyers are stepping in aggressively after multi-week accumulation.
• Sellers are defending the trendline, so the next 1–3 candles decide direction.
• A breakout will bring momentum traders & institutions, increasing volatility.
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📈 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout (Most likely if momentum continues)
• Weekly close above ₹1,810
• Retest of trendline → Support holds
• Targets: ₹1,850 → ₹1,880 → ₹1,960
2️⃣ Rejection from Trendline
• Wicks on top or red candle next week
• Price may fall back to ₹1,740 or deeper
• Loss of ₹1,740 increases risk of falling to ₹1,580
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🔍 Pro Trader View
• Trendline breakout is the trigger zone.
• Watch for:
o Volume expansion
o Strong closes above resistance
o No sharp rejections
Price trending above the descending trendline will shift the structure from consolidation to fresh uptrend continuation.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Always consult your financial advisor and do your own research before taking any trading decisions.
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading
Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one.
Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation.
As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
BTCUSD Liquidity Sweep Setup Before Bearish ContinuationBTCUSD Liquidity Sweep Setup Before Bearish Continuation
Overview
BTCUSD continues to display persistent downside pressure across the mid-term structure. Price action on the 3H timeframe shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting sustained bearish control. Despite short periods of stabilization, the overall market environment remains distribution-driven.
Market Structure
Recent price behavior confirms multiple break-of-structure (BOS) events, each reinforcing the broader downward momentum. Every attempt at upward expansion has been met with supply absorption, indicating that buyers are failing to regain initiative. The consolidation developing in the current region suggests an accumulation of short-term liquidity, but without structural evidence of reversal.
Supply & Liquidity Context
Price is positioned directly beneath a key supply zone highlighted on the chart. This zone remains unmitigated and acts as the primary area where counter-trend reactions are likely to be absorbed. The tightening range beneath this level indicates liquidity buildup, commonly preceding engineered sweeps by institutional players.
The current model suggests that the market may execute a short-term liquidity run above local highs before resuming its downward trajectory. Such a move would align with previous behavior in this trend cycle, where short-term rallies were primarily used to deliver liquidity into higher-timeframe supply.
Downside Expansion Risk
Should the market complete a liquidity sweep into the supply zone, the next phase of downside continuation becomes probable. The structural projection on the chart anticipates a revisiting of the lower demand region around 74,300 – 75,000, an area aligning with previous inefficiencies and untested demand.
This target supports the continuation of the broader bearish structure unless a significant shift in order flow emerges.
Summary
BTCUSD remains positioned within a well-defined bearish cycle, characterized by repeated structure breaks and unmitigated supply zones controlling price. Current compression suggests the market is preparing for another liquidity-driven move. Unless buyers regain structure above the key supply region, the market retains a high probability of extending toward lower demand zones.






















