STRKUSDT - Breakout SetupBINANCE:STRKUSDT
Charts are self-explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
1. What Is STRK / Strike
- Strike is a decentralized lending / money-market protocol on Ethereum.
- Users can supply assets (e.g., ETH, ERC-20s) and receive sTokens in return (like sETH). These sTokens accrue interest.
- Tokenomics:
Max supply = ~6,540,888 STRK
Some STRK is distributed via “liquidity mining” over time. According to the whitepaper, ~3.5 million STRK to be mined over ~8 years
According to the Medium post, there was no ICO / token sale — STRK was distributed to users (mined) rather than sold in a public sale
- The protocol is open-source; its smart-contract code is on GitHub.
2. Strengths / Key Positives (Fundamentals)
- Decentralized Governance: STRK holders have real voting power; the Governor model enables scalability in decision-making.
- Proven Money-Market Design: Strike is based on a model similar to Compound, a well-established DeFi lending protocol, The idea of sTokens (interest-bearing) is simple and tested.
- Limited Supply: With a capped supply (~6.54M), there is some scarcity.
- Smart-Contract Transparency: The protocol’s code is publicly auditable, Governance processes are clearly defined (voting, timelocks).
3. Key Risks / Challenges
- Adoption Risk
- Governance Centralization Risk
- Emission / Distribution Risk
- Smart Contract / Protocol Risk
- Market Risk
Community ideas
“LUPIN – Daily | Bullish Breakout Above ₹2005🧭 Chart Overview
Time Frame: Daily
Current Price: ₹2,033.90
Trend: Bullish breakout
📈 Technical Analysis
The stock has broken above a key resistance zone near ₹2,005–₹2,010, confirming a bullish breakout.
Volume expansion (if visible on TradingView) will further confirm strength.
The 9-day SMA (₹1,979) is acting as short-term dynamic support.
Previous resistance (₹2,005) will now act as immediate support.
🎯 Trade Setup
➡️ Entry: ₹2,020–₹2,035 range (near breakout confirmation)
➡️ Stop Loss (SL): ₹1,970 (below SMA & breakout base)
➡️ Target Levels:
T1: ₹2,075
T2: ₹2,115
T3: ₹2,165
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Part 11 Trading Master Class With Experts 1. What Is an Option?
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, indices, or commodities) at a fixed price within a specific time period.
The right but not the obligation makes options unique.
The underlying asset could be Nifty, Bank Nifty, stocks like Reliance or TCS, commodities like gold, etc.
The agreement is always between two parties:
Option Buyer (Right, Limited Risk)
Option Seller / Writer (Obligation, Unlimited Risk)
Technical View: CAPACITE Infraprojects Ltd.Overall Trend & Structure
The stock has been in a prolonged descending channel, forming a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
Recently, the formation of Lower Lows has stopped, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price has now broken out of the descending channel, showing early signs of bullish strength.
Breakouts & False Breakouts
Multiple false breakouts (both upward and downward) occurred earlier, showing indecision and liquidity hunts.
The recent breakout from the descending channel is the first clean breakout supported by:
Higher volumes
Strong bullish candles
This makes the breakout more reliable compared to earlier attempts.
Candlestick & Price Action
A Bullish Engulfing pattern formed near the bottom of the channel, signaling a strong reversal from demand.
Price has created Equal Lows near ~285–290, indicating a liquidity pocket that often precedes a bullish continuation.
Entry and Target
Entry upon retest of 295.00-300.00 INR. Target 1: 340.00 INR. Target 2: 396.45 INR. Condition: Sustained volume and general market strength in the infrastructure sector.
Disclaimer
This is educational analysis, not investment advice. Always manage risk and adjust position size according to your risk appetite.
Warning: $ETH Is About to Hit Its Most Critical Zone of 2025!Warning: CRYPTOCAP:ETH Is About to Hit Its Most Critical Zone of 2025!
Macro Structure
ETH remains macro bullish, currently in a healthy correction after rejecting the premium zone near $4,960.
The strong displacement from $1,577 (0.618 Fib) confirmed bullish structure, but price is now retracing into discount levels.
Key Fibonacci Levels
Measured from $879 → $4,960, ETH is deeply entering ICT discount territory:
0.382 – $3,048 (Tested)
0.500 – $2,622
0.618 – $2,256 ← Top probability zone
0.786 – $1,821
FVG & OB Zones (Major Decision Area)
1️⃣ Unfilled FVG → $2,875
👉 This is the most important decision point right now.
👉 High probability that ETH will fill this FVG.
👉 If price holds above this FVG, bullish continuation becomes very strong.
👉 If ETH fails to hold $2,875, expect the correction to deepen.
2️⃣ Next Major Support
Bullish OB: $2,622 – $2,256
→ Perfect confluence of Order Block + 0.5/0.618 Fib.
👉 This is the strongest demand zone on the entire chart and a top accumulation area.
Expectations
Most likely:
ETH fills the $2,875 FVG, then either bounces → resumes uptrend
or
breaks down → moves into $2,250–$2,620 OB to accumulate before the next macro leg.
Targets After Correction: $4,058 / $4,960 / $5,800 / $7,200 (1.618 extension)
Conclusion
ETH remains strongly bullish on HTF.
Watch $2,875 FVG as the key decision level.
If lost → $2,250–$2,620 OB becomes the premium accumulation zone before ETH heads toward new ATH.
NFA. DYOR.
Marico: Post-Results Rally Tests Resistance Zone🔍 Technical Analysis
Marico Limited showcases an impressive wealth creation journey spanning two decades. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from less than ₹12 to reaching ₹720 by 2024 - representing an extraordinary 60x growth over 20 years.
Since 2024, the ₹720-₹760 zone has acted as formidable resistance, tested multiple times without a decisive breakout. On November 14, 2025, the company announced its Q2 FY26 results. Responding to positive sales numbers showing 31% revenue growth, the stock shot up 2% and is now trading at ₹739.
Currently positioned near the upper end of the resistance zone, the stock is attempting another breakout. A decisive break above ₹760 with strong volume confirmation would signal the next major rally phase.
Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout above ₹760 with volume before initiating fresh positions.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹780
Target 2: ₹800
Target 3: ₹820
Risk Assessment:
No significant bullish expectations below the ₹720-₹760 resistance zone.
💰 Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25)
Total Income: ₹3,482 Cr (↑ +7% QoQ from ₹3,259 Cr; ↑ +31% YoY from ₹2,664 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹2,922 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹2,604 Cr; ↑ +36% YoY from ₹2,142 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹560 Cr (↓ -15% QoQ from ₹655 Cr; ↑ +7% YoY from ₹522 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹550 Cr (↓ -16% QoQ from ₹656 Cr; ↓ -0.4% YoY from ₹552 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹432 Cr (↓ -16% QoQ from ₹513 Cr; ↓ -0.2% YoY from ₹433 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹3.24 (↓ -17% QoQ from ₹3.89; ↓ -0.9% YoY from ₹3.27)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Marico delivered stellar Q2 FY26 performance with consolidated revenue soaring 31% YoY to ₹3,482 crore - the highest growth in 17 quarters. The company achieved underlying volume growth of 7% in India business and robust 20% constant currency growth in international markets, despite margin pressures from input cost inflation.
India business revenue jumped 35% YoY to ₹2,667 crore, aided by strategic price hikes in core portfolios. Digital-first premium personal care portfolio (Beardo, Just Herbs, Plix) crossed ₹1,000 crore annualized run rate, while foods portfolio grew 12% crossing ₹1,100 crore ARR with Saffola Oats retaining number one position.
Despite input cost pressures causing 810 bps gross margin contraction, the company increased brand investments with A&P spend rising 19% to ₹345 crore. EBITDA grew 7% to ₹560 crore with margins at 16.1%. Over 95% of portfolio gained or sustained market share while 75% strengthened penetration.
International business recorded 20% CCG with Bangladesh up 22%, MENA 27%, and newer countries/exports surging 53%. Rural demand outpaced urban 2x, with CEO Saugata Gupta confirming company is "on track for full-year aspirations" targeting revenue growth in thirties and 18%+ EBITDA margins in H2.
Avendus retained Buy rating with ₹832 target (raised from ₹810), while Motilal Oswal maintained Buy at ₹825 target. The stock gained 15% YTD outperforming Nifty FMCG's 10%. GST rate rationalization expected to benefit nearly 30% of portfolio, with strategic focus on digital acceleration (20% sales target by FY27) and sustainability initiatives.
✅ Conclusion
Marico's impressive 20-year journey from sub-₹12 to ₹720, backed by stellar Q2 FY26 showing highest revenue growth in 17 quarters at 31%, validates the FMCG leadership thesis despite flat PAT. Post-results 2% rally to ₹739 tests critical ₹720-₹760 resistance zone. Digital-first portfolio crossing ₹1,000 crore ARR, foods at ₹1,100 crore ARR, and 20% international CCG demonstrate diversified growth engines. Rural outpacing urban 2x and 95% portfolio gaining market share provide strong momentum. Breakout above ₹760 could trigger rally toward ₹820 levels with analyst targets at ₹825-₹832 supporting upside potential.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock markets are subject to risks.
AETHER Bullish Reversal Setup with Strong Risk-Reward PotentialAether Industries Ltd is showing signs of a potential trend reversal from a well-established support zone, supported by a descending triangle breakout pattern and improving technical indicators. This setup suggests a strong risk-reward opportunity for swing traders and positional investors.
⚡ Key Technical Points:
🔵 Descending Triangle Breakout Potential: The price is nearing a breakout from a long-term descending triangle. A breakout above the trendline (~₹778–₹790) could trigger a strong uptrend.
🟢 Strong Support Zone: ₹700–₹720 has held as solid support multiple times (as marked by green arrows), indicating strong demand at these levels.
🟩 Bullish Divergence on RSI: Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing higher lows while price remains flat or lower, indicating bullish divergence—a sign of potential reversal.
🟢 Favorable Entries: 735, 720
🔴 Stop-Loss: Below 695 (Strong breakdown confirmation)
📈 Target 1 – 838.05 (Previous key swing high)
📈 Target 2 – 943.60 (Next resistance level from historical price structure)
✅ Why This Is a Technically Strong Setup:
✅ Multiple Support Bounces: 700–720 zone has been tested at least 4 times in the last year, showing strength.
✅ Volume-Based Reactions: While volume is low now, past spikes at support zones suggest institutional interest.
✅ Clear Risk Management: Stop-loss is tight (~6–7%) with targets offering 1.5–3x risk-reward potential.
✅ Potential Trend Reversal: Break above descending trendline and moving averages could signal a shift to bullish structure.
✅ Long Base Formation: The stock has been consolidating for over a year—long base formations often lead to explosive moves.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research or consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H)
Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS.
Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG.
⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2)
1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following)
Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom)
Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline.
2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound)
Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom)
Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support.
🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus
Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold).
Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold.
Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
Muthoot Finance: Record 10% Surge After Stellar Q2🔍 Technical Analysis
Muthoot Finance Limited showcases one of the most impressive wealth creation stories spanning over a decade. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from less than ₹100 to reaching ₹3,400 by November 13, 2025 - representing an extraordinary 34x growth in just over 10 years.
On the evening of November 13, 2025, the company announced its Q2 FY26 results which exceeded market expectations significantly. The market's immediate response was spectacular - the very next day on November 14, the stock shot up 10% and closed at ₹3,725, hitting an all-time high of ₹3,755 during intraday trading.
This powerful breakout from ₹3,400 to ₹3,725 demonstrates strong institutional and retail buying interest, fueled by robust fundamentals and exceptional financial performance. The stock has now entered uncharted territory with strong momentum.
Entry Strategy: Current levels offer opportunity with strong momentum. Consider accumulation on minor dips.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹3,800
Target 2: ₹3,900
Target 3: ₹4,000
Risk Assessment:
No expectations below ₹3,400 level, which now acts as strong support post-breakout.
💰 Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25)
Total Income: ₹7,283 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹6,450 Cr; ↑ +48% YoY from ₹4,929 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹2,571 Cr (↑ +9% QoQ from ₹2,355 Cr; ↑ +42% YoY from ₹1,807 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹3,232 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹2,654 Cr; ↑ +80% YoY from ₹1,798 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,244 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹2,654 Cr; ↑ +80% YoY from ₹1,802 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,412 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹1,974 Cr; ↑ +83% YoY from ₹1,321 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹60.29 (↑ +20% QoQ from ₹50.22; ↑ +90% YoY from ₹31.67)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Muthoot Finance delivered spectacular Q2 FY26 performance with standalone PAT surging 87% YoY to ₹2,345 crore and total income jumping 56.5% to ₹6,461 crore, driven by robust gold loan demand amid soaring gold prices. The company achieved highest-ever loan AUM of ₹1,47,673 crore (up 42% YoY) and gold loan AUM of ₹1,24,918 crore (up 45% YoY).
Net interest income (NII) rose impressive 58.5% YoY to ₹3,992 crore, driven by continued momentum in core gold loan segment and steady borrower activity. Net interest margin expanded significantly to 12.66% from 11.5% in Q2 FY25, indicating superior interest income growth and efficient capital deployment.
Gold loan AUM increased by ₹11,723 crore during Q2 FY26, registering 10% quarterly growth. Gold prices rallying over 40% in 2025 boosted customer confidence and loan demand. The board approved incremental fundraising up to ₹35,000 crore through NCDs and ₹500 crore equity infusion in subsidiary Muthoot Money Limited.
Asset quality showed remarkable improvement with Stage III loan assets declining to 2.25% from 4.3% YoY, while Stage II assets improved from ₹1,203 crore to ₹534 crore. Management upgraded AUM guidance to 30-35% growth, signaling high confidence in sustaining momentum through FY26.
Multiple brokerages turned bullish post-results: Nuvama raised target to ₹4,000 (from ₹2,993) maintaining Buy rating, Motilal Oswal increased target to ₹3,800 with Neutral rating, while Bernstein maintained Outperform at ₹3,400 citing 25% AUM CAGR potential over FY25-27E with 36% EPS CAGR and 24%+ ROE.
✅ Conclusion
Muthoot Finance's remarkable decade-long journey from sub-₹100 to ₹3,755 all-time high, backed by exceptional Q2 FY26 showing 83% PAT growth and 48% revenue surge, validates the gold loan leadership thesis. Post-results 10% surge to ₹3,725 demonstrates strong market confidence. Highest-ever AUM at ₹1,47,673 crore, NIM expansion to 12.66%, and asset quality improvement with 2.25% Stage III loans showcase operational excellence. Management's upgraded 30-35% AUM guidance and brokerage targets at ₹3,800-₹4,000 support bullish outlook. Gold price tailwinds and digital transformation initiatives provide sustained growth visibility toward ₹4,000 target.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock markets are subject to risks.
Understanding Long-Term Downtrends and Breakouts: IDEAFORGE📘 Understanding Long-Term Downtrends and Breakouts: A Case Study on IdeaForge Technology - Live Chart
In technical analysis, price charts often tell a story of investor sentiment and market psychology. One of the most powerful narratives is the long-term downtrend — a period where prices consistently move lower, reflecting sustained selling pressure. Recognizing when this trend might reverse is crucial for traders and investors. Let’s explore this concept using the Live Chart example of IdeaForge Technology, which has been in a downtrend since its first trade in 2023.
🔹 The Long-Term Downtrend
A downtrend is defined by lower highs and lower lows on the chart.
Since 2023, IdeaForge has consistently traded below its downtrend line on the weekly chart.
This line acts as a dynamic resistance, meaning every time the price approaches it, sellers regain control and push it lower.
For learners, the key takeaway is: the longer a downtrend persists, the more significant a breakout becomes when it finally occurs.
🔹 Attempted Breakouts
In June 2025, the price attempted to move above the downtrend line but failed.
Instead of making a fresh lower low after the failure, the stock only corrected mildly.
This subtle change in behavior is important: it suggests that selling pressure may be weakening, and buyers are beginning to challenge the trend.
🔹 The Role of RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI indicator is a simple yet powerful tool to measure momentum:
During the downtrend, RSI often dipped below 30, signaling oversold conditions and confirming weakness.
After the June 2025 breakout attempt, RSI did not collapse to new lows. Instead, it sustained around 50 and has now moved positively above that level.
For learners:
RSI below 30 → strong selling, oversold zone.
RSI around 50 → neutral ground, often a battleground between buyers and sellers.
RSI moving above 50 → momentum shifting in favor of buyers.
This shift in RSI behavior is a leading clue that the trend may be reversing.
🔹 Why This Matters
A breakout above a long-term downtrend line after years of weakness is not just another chart event. It signals a potential change in market psychology. When combined with improving RSI momentum, the probability of a sustained reversal increases.
Additionally, positive fundamental news (such as an current order win) can act as a catalyst, supporting the technical setup.
🔹 Key Lessons for Learners
Respect the Downtrend: Never underestimate the power of a long-term trend. Fighting against it prematurely often leads to losses.
Watch for Behavior Changes: Failed breakdowns or weaker corrections can hint at a shift in sentiment.
Use RSI Wisely: RSI is a simple momentum tool. Focus on its movement around 30, 50, and 70 rather than cluttering your chart with too many indicators.
Breakouts After Long Periods Are Powerful: The longer the consolidation or downtrend, the more meaningful the breakout.
🔹 Conclusion
IdeaForge Technology’s chart offers a textbook example of how to study a long-term downtrend, recognize breakout attempts, and interpret RSI signals. For learners, the lesson is clear: patience and observation are key. A breakout above a multi-year downtrend line, supported by improving RSI, can mark the beginning of a new trend — and understanding this process is essential for successful trading.
Live Chart Example
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behaviour is common during phases like:
Financial Crisis 2008
Early pandemic panic 2020
Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context
Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story.
Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term.
📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1)
After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure.
Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart.
Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets:
4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels.
OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally.
Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach.
🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference)
Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice.
Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell
Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104
SL: 4,110
TP levels:
TP1: 4,098
TP2: 4,077
TP3: 4,048
Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence
Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144
(confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo)
SL: 4,150
TP levels:
TP1: 4,133
TP2: 4,105
TP3: 4,088
TP4: 4,060
Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend.
⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View
As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase.
Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process.
“In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
________________________________________
3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
________________________________________
4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
________________________________________
5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 17.11.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 17.11.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
Sorry for the delayed post.
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
KOTAKBANK -Long - 2 Hour chartKotak Bank Analysis (2H Chart)
Trend: Price is still in an overall uptrend and has taken support exactly on the rising trendline. The recent fall looks like a normal pullback inside a falling wedge.
Volumes: Volumes were low during the fall, which shows sellers were weak. The latest green candle has slightly higher volume, showing buyers are coming back.
Divergence: RSI has formed a bullish divergence. Price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows. This signals a possible trend reversal on the upside.
RSI: RSI is near 58, which is a healthy zone. Momentum is improving and there is room for the price to move higher.
ADX: ADX is around 38, which means the stock is still in a trending phase. If the price breaks out from the wedge, the trend may continue.
Overall View: The chart is showing early signs of a bullish move from trendline support with divergence and improving momentum.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 17th November 2025📊 NIFTY Intraday Trading Plan (15-Minute Strategy)
🟢 BUY Setup (Long Trade)
📌 Condition to Enter
Buy only if the 15-minute candle closes ABOVE
👉 ₹25,987
This means buyers are gaining strength and price is breaking upward.
🎯 Targets
Target 1: ₹26,020
Target 2: ₹26,060
Target 3: ₹26,099
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss (SL)
Below the breakout candle or around ₹25,950
🔻 SELL Setup (Short Trade)
📌 Condition to Enter
Sell only if the 15-minute candle closes BELOW
👉 ₹25,840
This indicates sellers are taking control.
🎯 Targets
Target 1: ₹25,800
Target 2: ₹25,760
Target 3: ₹25,721
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss (SL)
Above the breakdown candle or around ₹25,880
📝 Simple Explanation (Novice Friendly)
Always wait for the 15-minute candle to close before entering the trade.
A candle closing above a level = breakout → buy trade.
A candle closing below a level = breakdown → sell trade.
Book profits at each target step-by-step.
Use proper stop loss to limit risk.
Avoid trading during big news events.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not investment advice.
You must do your own analysis before taking any trades.
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Trading in the stock market involves risk — trade carefully.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/11/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 26000 level, keeping price action inside the same tight range as yesterday. The index is currently trading near an important resistance cluster, so early candles may remain choppy and sideways until a clear directional move develops.
If Nifty sustains above 26,000, upside strength can continue toward 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. A breakout above 26,000 will act as the primary confirmation for long positions, indicating fresh buyer momentum.
On the downside, if the index slips below 25,950–25,900, a short setup may get activated toward 25,850, 25,800, and 25,750-. This zone has acted as support earlier, so a breakdown may lead to a quick intraday slide.
Overall, with a flat opening and no gap advantage for either side, Nifty remains in a reaction zone. Traders should wait for a decisive move above 26,000 or below 25,900 to catch a clean trend. Use strict SL as volatility may rise around resistance levels.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/11/2025)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. The index continues to hover around a key resistance–support cluster, so initial movements may remain sideways until a clear breakout or breakdown appears.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,500–58,550, upside momentum may build toward 58,750, 58,850, and 58,950+. A breakout above 58,550 will be the stronger confirmation for buyers, opening room for a broader upward move.
On the downside, if the index slips below 58,450–58,400, a short opportunity activates toward 58,250, 58,150, and 58,050-. A clean breakdown below 58,450 can trigger intraday profit-booking or a deeper pullback.
Overall, with a flat opening and no major gap expected, Bank Nifty remains in a reactive zone. Traders should wait for a decisive move above 58,550 or below 58,400 to catch trending momentum.
Titan Company: Supply Zone Test After Strong Q2 🔍 Technical Analysis
Titan Company Limited showcases one of India's most spectacular wealth creation stories spanning over two decades. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from less than ₹2 to reaching ₹3,886 in January 2024 - representing an extraordinary 1,900x+ growth over 20+ years.
The ₹3,886 level established in January 2024 has acted as formidable resistance multiple times. During the resistance phase, the stock corrected to ₹2,925 before regaining momentum. With strong Q2 FY26 performance providing fundamental support, the stock has climbed back to ₹3,877 and is now facing the resistance zone again.
The critical supply zone of ₹3,800-₹3,900 is being tested once more. A decisive breakout above this zone with strong volume confirmation would signal the next major leg of the rally. Currently trading near this resistance, the stock awaits the catalyst for a breakout.
Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout above ₹3,900 with strong volume before initiating positions.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹4,000
Target 2: ₹4,100
Target 3: ₹4,200
Risk Assessment:
Not expecting significant bullish moves below the ₹3,800-₹3,900 supply zone.
💰 Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25)
Total Income: ₹18,725 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹16,523 Cr; ↑ +29% YoY from ₹14,534 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹16,850 Cr (↑ +15% QoQ from ₹14,693 Cr; ↑ +27% YoY from ₹13,298 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹1,875 Cr (↑ +2% QoQ from ₹1,830 Cr; ↑ +52% YoY from ₹1,236 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,522 Cr (↑ +3% QoQ from ₹1,480 Cr; ↑ +61% YoY from ₹948 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,120 Cr (↑ +3% QoQ from ₹1,091 Cr; ↑ +59% YoY from ₹704 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹12.62 (↑ +3% QoQ from ₹12.29; ↑ +59% YoY from ₹7.93)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Titan Company delivered spectacular Q2 FY26 performance with consolidated PAT surging 59% YoY to ₹1,120 crore and revenue jumping 28.5% to ₹18,837 crore, driven by robust festive demand and strategic expansion. EBITDA rose 46.3% YoY to ₹1,987 crore with margins improving 209 bps to 12.1%.
Jewellery division remained the crown jewel with revenue growing 21% YoY to ₹14,092 crore. Domestic brands Tanishq, Mia, and Zoya grew 18% despite high gold prices, while CaratLane delivered exceptional 32% YoY growth. International jewellery business nearly doubled, surging 86% YoY to ₹561 crore, demonstrating successful global expansion.
The company expanded retail presence by adding 55 new stores in Q2, bringing total store count to 3,377 stores as of September 2025. Watches segment grew 12% with analogue watches up 17%, while emerging businesses including fragrances and bags surged 37% YoY.
Strategic initiatives included gold exchange campaigns, lower carat offerings, and retail expansion to combat high gold price challenges. Studded jewellery grew in mid-teens with double-digit like-for-like growth for both Tanishq and CaratLane, showing strength beyond store expansion.
Titan announced plans to acquire 67% stake in Dubai-based Damas Jewellery for international expansion across GCC countries. The company targets 40 new Tanishq store openings this year and maintains optimistic outlook for double-digit growth driven by festive momentum and premiumization strategy.
✅ Conclusion
Titan's remarkable 20+ year journey from sub-₹2 to ₹3,886, backed by exceptional Q2 FY26 showing 59% PAT growth and 29% revenue surge, validates the premium valuation thesis. The critical ₹3,800-₹3,900 supply zone breakout with volume confirmation could trigger rally toward ₹4,200 levels. Jewellery division's 21% growth despite high gold prices, CaratLane's 32% surge, and 86% international business growth demonstrate operational excellence. Damas acquisition and 3,377 store network provide strong growth visibility. Stock trading at ₹3,877 awaits breakout catalyst for next leg upward.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock markets are subject to risks.






















