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Nifty: Sell Side Exhaustion — Sharp Move BrewingAfter falling for two consecutive days, Nifty’s sell-side volume now looks exhausted. On the intraday chart, a small base has clearly formed, which hints that selling pressure is reducing. The Pivot has shifted to 25840, and the Pivot Percentile is extremely tight at 0.08%. This combination usually leads to a sharp move — even a gap-up is possible. If NSE:NIFTY opens above or near the Pivot, we may see a bounce. Immediate resistance for that bounce is 25940. However, this bounce should not be treated as a buying opportunity. It will most likely become a shorting opportunity, but not immediately. I’ll wait for fresh intraday levels and confirmation before acting. Support is placed at 25767. If this level breaks, the index can quickly slide towards 25500. On the daily chart, bias and momentum both remain negative. So shorting on the rise will continue to be my primary strategy. Avoid equity trading for now. Capitulation is still going on and this phase often traps bulls. That said, a few setup-specific stocks can still perform well. Keep an eye on CR4 and CR7 structures tomorrow. That’s all for now. Take care. Have a profitable day tomorrow. 📊 Levels at a Glance: Pivot: 25840 Resistance: 25940 Support: 25767 Below Support Target: 25500 Pivot Percentile: 0.08 Bias: Sell-on-Rise Equity Trades: Avoid, except high-quality CR4 / CR7 setups
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Trendxinc
JSWSTEEL — Let Price Come to Me | Long or Short Only at My ZoneJSWSTEEL has been respecting this long-term rising channel for years. Every meaningful move in this stock has started only after price interacted with structure — not in the middle. Right now, price is not at my area of interest. I am not bullish or bearish here. I have no urgency to trade. My plan is simple: If price comes down into my marked zone and shows strength, I’ll consider longs. If price rejects this zone decisively, I’ll consider shorts. Until then, I wait.
NSE:JSWSTEEL
by siripireddyvenu
NIFTY Short-Term Compression – Breakout Direction ImminentOn the 1H timeframe, NIFTY is trading inside a tight contracting structure, where rising trend support is converging with a falling short-term resistance. This price compression clearly signals that the index is entering a decision-making zone. Price has again taken support near the lower trendline, which aligns with previous demand and short-term base formation. The repeated defense of this zone shows that buyers are still active and not letting the structure break easily. The upper trendline has capped multiple attempts in recent sessions, leading to sideways-to-corrective movement. However, this consolidation is happening within a broader rising channel, which keeps the higher timeframe bias positive. RSI is hovering near the mid-zone, indicating no momentum exhaustion on either side. Such neutral RSI during compression often precedes a sharp expansion move once price breaks out of the structure. A sustained move above the descending resistance can trigger a fast intraday rally towards the upper channel zone. On the other hand, a clean breakdown below rising support can lead to quick intraday volatility towards the lower demand area. The structure clearly suggests that volatility expansion is close.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Marketik
Btc swing trading layout Price was respecting an ascending trendline (higher lows). That trendline has now broken → structure shift from bullish to bearish. After the break, price is trying to move back up = pullback / retest phase. Retest / Supply zone: 87,800 – 88,800 This is the broken trendline + previous support turned resistance. Current price: ~86,700 (below the trendline → bearish bias intact) Major support: 84,800 – 84,000 Liquidity / HTF support: 80,600 – 80,500 (your marked low)
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDShort
by techtrader_ravi
Nifty50 at a Crucial Inflection Zone:Break Will Decide DirectionNifty 50 is currently trading near a well-defined horizontal support zone around 25,750–25,800, which has acted as a demand area multiple times on the 2-hour timeframe. After facing repeated rejection from the falling trendline resistance, the index has moved back into this support cluster, making the current zone extremely important from a short-term perspective. The broader structure shows a sequence of lower highs, with price respecting the descending trendline marked as resistance. Until this trendline is decisively broken, upside moves may face supply pressure near the 25,950–26,000 region. A clean breakout and sustained close above this resistance would signal a shift in momentum and can trigger a pullback-to-breakout move toward 26,200–26,300 in the next leg. On the downside, the support zone remains the key line of defense for bulls. If Nifty fails to hold the 25,750 area and breaks below it with conviction, the structure opens up for a deeper retracement toward 25,500 initially, followed by the broader downside target near 25,300. This would confirm continuation of the short-term corrective phase. Overall, Nifty is currently in a compression phase between falling resistance and horizontal support. A breakout on either side will define the next directional move. Traders should remain patient and let price confirm the bias, as this is a classic “decision zone” where volatility expansion is likely once the range resolves.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in INDIACEM BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:INDIACEM
by Kapil-Mittal
2
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Resistance Breakout in HINDZINC BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:HINDZINC
by Kapil-Mittal
4
Understanding Market Phases to Anticipate the FutureOutlook Cycle Secrets In the world of investing, trading, and economic decision-making, success is rarely driven by luck alone. It is shaped by the ability to understand where the economy and markets stand in a broader cycle and how that position influences future outcomes. The concept of the outlook cycle refers to the recurring phases through which economies, industries, and financial markets move over time. These cycles are not random; they are influenced by human behavior, policy decisions, capital flows, innovation, and external shocks. Unlocking the “secrets” of the outlook cycle allows investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed, forward-looking decisions rather than reacting emotionally to headlines. What Is an Outlook Cycle? An outlook cycle represents the collective expectations about the future—growth, inflation, profits, employment, and stability—and how those expectations evolve over time. Markets are inherently forward-looking. Prices today often reflect what participants believe will happen six months, one year, or even several years ahead. As expectations rise or fall, they drive asset prices, capital allocation, and risk appetite. Typically, outlook cycles align with broader economic cycles and can be divided into four main phases: recovery, expansion, slowdown, and contraction. Each phase carries distinct characteristics in terms of sentiment, liquidity, policy stance, and asset performance. Understanding these phases is the foundation of mastering outlook cycle dynamics. Phase One: Recovery – The Birth of Optimism The recovery phase begins after a downturn or crisis. Economic data is still weak, unemployment may be high, and corporate earnings are often depressed. However, the outlook starts to improve because the pace of deterioration slows. This is a crucial secret of the outlook cycle: markets often bottom out when conditions look the worst, not when they look good. During recovery, central banks usually maintain accommodative policies such as low interest rates and liquidity support. Governments may introduce stimulus measures to revive growth. Investor sentiment remains cautious, but early movers begin positioning for future improvement. Historically, equities and risk assets perform strongly in this phase because valuations are low and expectations are modest. The key insight here is that improving expectations matter more than absolute conditions. Those who wait for “clear confirmation” often miss the most powerful part of the cycle. Phase Two: Expansion – Confidence Takes Control Expansion is the most comfortable and visible phase of the outlook cycle. Economic growth becomes broad-based, corporate earnings rise, employment improves, and consumer confidence strengthens. Credit flows freely, business investment increases, and innovation accelerates. Market sentiment during expansion is optimistic. Risk appetite is high, and capital rotates into equities, commodities, and growth-oriented sectors. Media narratives reinforce positive outlooks, often highlighting long-term growth stories and structural transformations. However, one of the hidden secrets of the outlook cycle is that the seeds of future slowdown are often planted during expansion. Excessive leverage, asset bubbles, rising costs, and overconfidence can quietly build beneath the surface. While expansion can last for years, it is also the phase where discipline becomes most important. Phase Three: Slowdown – The Turning Point The slowdown phase is subtle and often misunderstood. Growth does not collapse immediately; instead, it decelerates. Inflationary pressures may rise, prompting central banks to tighten monetary policy. Interest rates increase, liquidity conditions tighten, and borrowing becomes more expensive. Corporate margins may start to compress as costs rise faster than revenues. Leading indicators—such as purchasing manager indices, yield curves, and credit spreads—begin to signal stress even while headline economic data still looks healthy. The critical secret in this phase is recognizing that markets respond to the rate of change, not the level. Even strong growth can lead to weak market performance if expectations peak and begin to decline. Defensive sectors, quality assets, and cash preservation strategies become increasingly important during this stage. Phase Four: Contraction – Fear and Opportunity Contraction is marked by falling economic output, declining profits, rising unemployment, and reduced consumer spending. Sentiment turns pessimistic, risk appetite collapses, and capital seeks safety. This phase often follows a policy mistake, financial imbalance, or external shock such as geopolitical conflict or a global crisis. While contraction is emotionally difficult, it holds some of the most powerful opportunities for long-term investors. Valuations reset, inefficient businesses are cleared out, and new cycles begin to form. Policy responses—rate cuts, stimulus packages, and reforms—lay the groundwork for the next recovery. The ultimate outlook cycle secret is this: every contraction contains the blueprint for the next expansion. Those who can detach emotionally and focus on long-term fundamentals are best positioned to benefit. The Role of Psychology in Outlook Cycles Human psychology plays a central role in shaping outlook cycles. Fear and greed amplify market movements, often pushing prices far beyond intrinsic value in both directions. During expansions, optimism can become complacency. During contractions, fear can turn into despair. Understanding behavioral biases—such as herd mentality, confirmation bias, and loss aversion—helps decode why outlook cycles tend to overshoot. Markets do not simply reflect economic reality; they reflect collective belief systems about the future. Using Outlook Cycles as a Strategic Tool Mastering outlook cycle secrets is not about predicting exact tops or bottoms. It is about positioning intelligently across phases. Traders may focus on short-term momentum shifts, while long-term investors align portfolios with the dominant phase of the cycle. Diversification, risk management, and flexibility are essential. As cycles evolve, so should strategies. Static thinking is one of the biggest enemies of success in cyclical markets. Conclusion: Thinking Ahead of the Crowd The outlook cycle is a powerful framework for understanding how economies and markets evolve over time. By focusing on expectations, sentiment, policy direction, and the rate of change rather than headlines alone, one can gain a meaningful edge. The real secret lies in thinking independently and ahead of the crowd—buying when optimism is scarce, exercising caution when confidence is excessive, and always remembering that cycles are inevitable. Those who respect the rhythm of the outlook cycle are better equipped not only to protect capital but also to grow it consistently across changing market environments.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Rising Wedge - Bearish setup🔎 Overview The Rising Wedge is a price structure that develops during an upward phase where price continues to make higher levels, but the rate of advance gradually slows. The narrowing structure reflects weakening participation as price moves higher, often signaling exhaustion rather than strength. ------------------------------------------------------------ 📘 Concept A Rising Wedge is formed when price creates Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) inside a tightening upward channel. Although price is still moving upward, each push higher covers less distance, indicating fading momentum and increasing imbalance between effort and result. ------------------------------------------------------------ 📊 Chart Explanation 1️⃣ Higher Highs & Higher Lows Price initially forms HH and HL, confirming an established upward structure and buyer control in the early phase. 2️⃣ Narrowing Upward Channel The distance between highs and lows contracts as price rises, showing slowing momentum and reduced follow-through at higher levels. 3️⃣ Consolidation Near the Upper Range Price pauses and compresses near the upper boundary of the wedge, highlighting balance and short-term indecision. 4️⃣ Momentum Weakening Repeated tests near the upper boundary fail to generate strong expansion, indicating declining buyer participation. 5️⃣ Structural Shift Confirmation • Weakening buyer strength becomes visible as price struggles to hold higher levels. • Successive candle closes below the lower wedge trendline confirm a structural shift and validate the bearish reversal. ------------------------------------------------------------ 📝 Summary Rising Wedge reflects slowing upside momentum within an upward structure. Price compression signals exhaustion rather than continuation. Consolidation near the top highlights market indecision. A confirmed close below the lower wedge line marks the directional shift. ------------------------------------------------------------ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by MarketAlgoBot
ETHUSD: Reversal or Another Bull Trap?Look at this: ETH played the trap perfectly. After pushing into the 3200–3400 resistance zone, price failed to sustain above it and rolled over, confirming that the move was distribution, not strength. Sellers stepped in exactly where a Wave 4 rally should fail. The rejection was followed by a clean breakdown of the parallel rising channel, which shifts the short-term bias back in favor of the bears. That channel was the last structure holding the corrective bounce together. Once it broke, the bullish case weakened sharply. This drop reinforces the view that the move up from 2620 was only a Wave 4 correction, not the start of a new trend. With Wave 4 likely complete, ETH appears to be transitioning into Wave 5 of the broader corrective decline. As long as price remains below the broken channel and prior resistance, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. The structure opens the door for a retest of 2620 , with a deeper extension toward 2465 if selling pressure accelerates. Until ETH reclaims the channel with strength and acceptance, this remains a sell-the-bounce environment. The warning came at the trap zone, and the market is now following through. Stay Tuned! Money Dictators, R.D :)
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Money_Dictators
Part 11 Trading Master ClassRole of Time and Volatility Two critical forces dominate option trading: Time Decay (Theta): As expiry approaches, the time value of an option erodes. Option sellers often benefit from this decay, especially in sideways markets. Implied Volatility (IV): IV reflects market expectations of future price movement. High IV means expensive options; low IV means cheaper options. Buying options in low IV and selling in high IV is a common professional approach.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
A Bullish Idea A relife Rally Idea, just an Idea BTC has not been able to push lower. The Low has been stuck for 3 weeks. We think we might have broken the rising wage. Ideas. 1. Might got to 91k - 98k. If you check the chart in 2021, exactly this kind of chart appeared, and BTC went straight to 69k from 41k. I am not saying the same thing might happen, I see a lot more liquidity building on top than bottom. 2. Some actual whales are still long from 90k 3. Falling Wage appears just today with 5 Elliot waves Correction Probability: 20%
Long
by rPathak_
RIL 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context (approx): RIL is trading near ₹1,540 – ₹1,550 intraday range today. 📈 1‑Day Resistance Levels These are levels where the stock may face selling pressure or pause on the upside: Intraday Daily Resistances (Pivots & Speed Levels): R1: ~₹1,549 – ₹1,550 R2: ~₹1,557 – ₹1,557 R3: ~₹1,562 – ₹1,563 (above current price) Extended intraday pivot R4 (if breakout): ~₹1,570+ (from broader pivot series) 📉 1‑Day Support Levels Key levels where buyers may step in on dips: Intraday Daily Supports: S1: ~₹1,536 – ₹1,537 S2: ~₹1,531 – ₹1,532 S3: ~₹1,523 – ₹1,524 (below current price) Weekly pivot support band (if selling accelerates): Around ₹1,531 – ₹1,505+ (broader support zone)
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Knowledgehub
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key NewsXAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key News During the Asian-European session, gold is likely to move sideways awaiting news as the market enters a sensitive phase with data and political factors, amidst a clearly formed short-term downtrend structure. PRIORITY SCENARIO Trading strategy according to the current structure, prioritizing short-term sell and buy at lower liquidity zones. Main sell zone: around 4323, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile. Technical context: price is moving below the equilibrium zone, clear H1 downtrend structure; the POC area often acts as a "pullback to sell" price zone. Expected movement: early European session may see a pullback of about 40–50 points, then price returns to sideways movement and faces downward pressure again. Position management: Sell should only be held short-term and tightly managed when price reacts at 4323. If price surpasses POC and holds above this zone, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell positions. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Strategy to buy at lower liquidity zones, suitable for medium-term trading. Buy zone 1: around 4242, important VAH zone. Buy zone 2: around 4215, Buy Zone according to Volume Profile. Technical context: these are two price zones with high liquidity density, often attracting buying force when the market needs to rebalance after a decline. Expected movement: price sweeps liquidity below, creating a new accumulation base and seeking recovery opportunities. MAIN REASON On H1, a downtrend structure has formed after a distribution phase, indicating short-term advantage leans towards the sell side. Volume Profile clearly identifies POC 4323 as a reasonable pullback zone to sell, while 4242 and 4215 are price zones with high probability of buying reaction. Sideways scenario before news fits the market context awaiting important macroeconomic and political information. MACRO CONTEXT AND POLITICAL NEWS Political factors are strongly impacting the currency market, especially the USD. The US is said to have proposed a security guarantee mechanism for Ukraine similar to NATO's Article 5 to promote negotiations to end the conflict with Russia, although territorial issues have not yet reached consensus. These signals are putting weakening pressure on the USD, thereby continuing to support gold in the medium term. However, in the short term, strong volatility around news release time is something to be particularly noted. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not prioritize trading when price is between the equilibrium zone and has not reached important Volume Profile levels. Sell orders should only be considered short-term trades before news, avoiding holding through data release or important political speeches. Medium-term buy strategy will have more advantage if price reacts clearly at 4242 or deeper at 4215. Closely monitor USD fluctuations as current political news is the main driving factor.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital