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TVS Electronics: Falling Wedge Breakout (Volume Confirm Pending)The Technical Setup TVS Electronics (NSE: TVSELECT) has been in a corrective structure for months, forming a classic Falling Wedge Pattern. This pattern typically signals that selling pressure is exhausting. Current Observations: Structural Break: The price has successfully closed above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge (~500 levels). Momentum Divergence: While the price has broken out, the volume is currently below the 30-day average. The Missing Link: For a high-probability reversal, we typically look for a "Volume Expansion" to prove institutional interest. The current move is price-led, not participation-led. Key Levels to Watch: Invalidation Zone: If the price slips back inside the wedge (below ~480), the breakout may be a "False Move." Confirmation Zone: A strong daily close above the recent swing high (~525) with rising volume would validate the reversal. Technical Resistance: Structurally, the previous supply zones exist near 630 and 670. Risological View: This is a "Watchlist Candidate." The structure is perfect, but the fuel (Volume) is missing. We are waiting for the "Smart Money" footprint before considering the trend changed.
NSE:TVSELECTLong
by Risological_Algo
Supreme Industries: Constructive Breakout from Falling WedgeThe Technical Context Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) has been navigating a corrective phase for several weeks, forming a well-defined Falling Wedge Structure. Historically, market technicians view this pattern as a sign of decreasing selling pressure. Technical Observations: Structure Break: The price action has breached the upper resistance trendline of the wedge. Volume Confirmation: The breakout is accompanied by a noticeable uptick in volume ("Decent Volume"), suggesting institutional participation rather than just retail activity. Momentum Shift: The sequence of lower highs appears to be disrupted, indicating a potential change in the short-term trend. Key Technical Levels: Immediate Support: The upper trendline, which acted as resistance, may now act as support during a pullback. Trade Invalidation: The bullish thesis would be structurally compromised if the price closes back inside the wedge or falls below the recent swing low (below ~3,200 zone). Technical Resistance (Upside): If momentum sustains, the chart structure suggests potential supply zones near the previous swing highs (e.g., the origin of the wedge). Risological Note: We are observing the "Expansion" phase following a period of "Contraction." The wedge breakout is the first technical evidence that buyers are regaining control.
NSE:SUPREMEINDLong
by Risological_Algo
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 17✅ 4-Hour (H4) Trend Analysis Overall Structure: High-level consolidation, bullish structure intact After a complete rally from 4180 → 4353, gold has entered a phase of high-level consolidation and corrective pullback. Price is currently oscillating around the 4300 area (pivot approximately 4303), which represents post-rally consolidation rather than a trend reversal. MA10 / MA20 remain upward-sloping MA20 ≈ 4313, with price repeatedly consolidating around this level The 4275–4255 zone remains the key H4 trend support area ✅ 1-Hour (H1) Trend Analysis Overall Structure: Rebound capped, range-bound and slightly weak Gold found support near 4271 and rebounded, reaching a high around 4342, but failed to hold above this level. Price then quickly pulled back below 4310, indicating persistent selling pressure at higher levels. The current H1 structure shows: 👉 Failed rebound after higher lows + renewed pullback 👉 The short-term market remains in a corrective consolidation phase, with no clear one-directional trend yet. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels ◾ 4315–4325 (H1 MA20 + short-term resistance) ◾ 4335–4345 (Pullback from previous highs + strong resistance zone) ◾ 4350–4365 (H4 upper band area, extremely strong resistance) 🟢 Key Support Levels ◾ 4300–4295 (Short-term bull–bear pivot) ◾ 4275–4255 (H4 Bollinger mid-band + core trend support) ◾ 4210 / 4170 (Trend defense zone — only a break below signals structural weakening) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Sell on Rallies (Primary Strategy | Short-term) 📍 If rejection signals appear in the 4335–4345 zone, consider light short positions 🎯 Targets: 4310 / 4300 / 4275 ⛔ Protection: A sustained break above 4350 🔰 Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy | Swing) 📍 After stabilization in the 4275–4255 zone, consider light long positions 🎯 Targets: 4300 / 4330 ⛔ Protection: A decisive break below 4245 ✅ Trend Summary 👉 H4: Bullish trend with high-level consolidation 👉 H1: Range-bound and slightly weak, rebounds capped 👉 Short-term bearish bias, medium-term bullish bias 👉 Key approach: Trade within the range — sell high, buy low; avoid chasing moves 👉 4300–4275 is the key bull–bear pivot: ◾ Holding above → consolidation with bullish bias ◾ Breaking below → deeper corrective pullback ✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Ingersoll Rand: When the Bullish Wedge Fails (Bearish Breakdown)The Setup Traders often look at Falling Wedges and blindly assume a bullish reversal is coming. Ingersoll Rand (NSE: INGERRAND) has just provided a textbook example of why "Assumption" is dangerous in trading. Instead of breaking out to the upside, the price has sliced through the Lower Support Trendline on the Daily timeframe. Technical Breakdown (The "Trap"): Pattern Failure: The stock was forming a Falling Wedge (usually bullish). The market expected a bounce from the lower support. The Invalidating Move: The recent heavy-volume candle breaking below the wedge support changes the structure entirely. Psychology of the Short: Bulls who accumulated at the support line are now trapped. As their Stop Losses get hit, it creates a cascade of selling pressure (Long Liquidation). Trade Management (Bearish): Signal: The daily close below the wedge support (Current levels: ~3,438). Conservative Entry: Wait for a "Retest" of the broken trendline from below (proving old support has become new resistance). Trend Invalidation: A daily close back inside the wedge (above ~3,550). If it re-enters, the breakdown was a "Bear Trap." Potential Target: Since this is a continuation of the downtrend, we look at the next major structural support zones (Psychological levels like 3,200 or 3,000). Risological Note: We trade what we see, not what the textbook says should happen. A failed bullish pattern is often a stronger bearish signal than a standard downtrend.
NSE:INGERRANDShort
by Risological_Algo
NIFTYBANK 4H: Dual Regression Structure Explains Failed DownsideNIFTYBANK on the 4-hour timeframe is trading within a well-defined ascending regression channel , reflecting a controlled higher-timeframe uptrend. Price action over recent sessions has transitioned into a secondary, narrower regression structure near the upper region of the primary channel, indicating consolidation rather than trend reversal. The presence of two overlapping regression trends suggests volatility compression and balance between buyers and sellers. Importantly, price continues to respect the median and lower boundaries of the broader regression, keeping the higher-timeframe structure intact. Despite multiple attempts, downside expansion has failed to develop . Pullbacks remain corrective and overlapping, with no impulsive bearish continuation. This behavior signals absorption of supply and a lack of aggressive distribution at current levels. Why the Downside Rally Failed • Price continues to respect the median and lower bounds of the higher-timeframe regression channel • No impulsive bearish structure has formed on the 4H timeframe • Pullbacks remain overlapping and corrective rather than trend-expanding • Momentum indicators remain supportive, not divergent This behavior indicates absorption of supply , not aggressive selling pressure. Key Insight (Trader’s View) From the current structure: • BankNifty is not an optimal long-buy candidate at this stage • Volatility compression favors options premium selling strategies • Relative strength rotation suggests NIFTY offers a better directional opportunity Hence, in this environment, strategy selection matters more than direction . Options Strategy View (BankNifty) Given the range-bound behavior inside the regression structure: • Short Straddle / Short Volatility setups are favored • Expectation remains that price stays contained without meaningful expansion This may appear counter-intuitive, but current structure supports non-directional premium decay . Directional Trade (Relative Strength – NIFTY) While BankNifty consolidates, NIFTY presents a comparatively cleaner structure. Trade Plan (NIFTY): • Entry: 59,050 • Stop-loss: 58,800 • Target: 59,550 This setup aligns with relative strength divergence between the indices. Invalidation • A strong 4H close outside the primary regression channel • Or an impulsive breakdown with volume expansion Until then, the consolidation bias remains valid . Risk Note This idea is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only . It does not constitute financial advice. Options strategies involve risk, including the potential for unlimited losses. Please manage position sizing and risk according to your own framework. Timeframe NIFTYBANK – <=4 Hour
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by Shreyash_Shah
XAU/USD: Trendline support awaits confirmation for gains.◆ Market Context (M30) The price is maintaining an uptrend with higher lows, supported by the rising trendline. After a correction, the market reacted with buying at Support ~4,275, indicating that the flow of funds protecting the structure is still present. Currently, the price is entering the Liquidity + Fibo zone—a decisive area for the next move. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The uptrend structure remains valid as long as the trendline + support 4,275 is held. • Liquidity + Fibo ~4,300 is a short-term reaction zone (prone to fluctuations). • Supply Zone ~4,349 is the upper liquidity target; reactions here need to be observed. • A clear break of 4,275 will weaken the short-term uptrend structure. ◆ Key Levels • Support: 4,275 • Liquidity + Fibo: ~4,300 • Supply / Target: 4,349 • Invalid: clear break below 4,275 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for price holding reaction around 4,300 (or slight pullback to trendline) • Condition: candle rejects decline / holds HL • Targets: ▪ 4,330 ▪ 4,349 (Supply) ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price closes candle above 4,300 • Follow the trend up to 4,349, manage risk at Supply ➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive) • If 4,275 is broken • Price may return to test lower areas → stay out/wait for new bullish CHoCH ◆ Summary • Trend: Bullish when > 4,275. • Decisive zone: Liquidity + Fibo ~4,300. • Upper target: 4,349. • Avoid FOMO; prioritize pullback along trendline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
2
A Bullish Idea A relife Rally Idea, just an Idea BTC has not been able to push lower. The Low has been stuck for 3 weeks. We think we might have broken the rising wage. Ideas. 1. Might got to 91k - 98k. If you check the chart in 2021, exactly this kind of chart appeared, and BTC went straight to 69k from 41k. I am not saying the same thing might happen, I see a lot more liquidity building on top than bottom. 2. Some actual whales are still long from 90k 3. Falling Wage appears just today with 5 Elliot waves Correction Probability: 20%
Long
by rPathak_
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 16The price is facing strong resistance at the 26040 - 26060 zone. Tomorrow, if the price opens gap up and shows bullish strength, then there will be movement towards 26200. Buy above 26060 with the stoploss of 26000 for the targets 26100, 26160, 26200, 26240 and 26280. Sell below 25950 with the stop loss of 26000 for the targets 25910, 25860, 25820 and 25780. If the price had a gap-down opening at support and if it shows bullish strength, then it can move up. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by vanathi
4
Silver Price Action set up with double bottomThe current price analysis for XAGUSD (Silver against US Dollar) in early November 2025 reveals a mixed but cautious outlook. Silver prices are moving within a corrective phase after exiting a bullish channel, trading approximately in the $47.50 range. Technical indicators such as moving averages currently suggest a bearish to neutral trend, with the price testing key resistance levels around $48.45. Price momentum shows attempts to push higher, but resistance near $48.45 may lead to a price pullback or consolidation. If silver breaks above the critical resistance at $50.45, it could signal a renewed upward trend targeting levels around $52.35. Conversely, a failure to hold support near $46.75-47.00 may accelerate declines towards below $41.45, indicating a bearish phase. Fundamentally, silver is influenced by the strength of the US dollar, industrial demand recovery (notably from solar energy and electronics sectors), and safe-haven buying amid global market uncertainty. The metal’s sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy and economic indicators continues to drive short-term volatility. Traders should watch for sustained moves beyond the $48-$49 resistance or breakdown below $46.75 to gauge next directional trends. Overall, silver price dynamics suggest potential for both short-term rallies and corrections, dependent on macroeconomic cues and technical breakouts.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by KamalKJoshi
BTC Weekly market update !BTC on the weekly just broke the uptrend line that’s been protecting price for months. When this happens on higher timeframes, the next move usually isn’t random — it often decides the next major leg. 📌 2. Pattern Overview We’re looking at a weekly trendline break + shift in control. Buyers were consistently defending the rising support, keeping pullbacks shallow. Now sellers have pushed price below that support, which often signals the uptrend is weakening. The common next step is a retest: old support can turn into new resistance, and that reaction tells us whether BTC is continuing lower or recovering back into the trend. 📉 3. Key Levels Support 86,326 — current weekly decision level. If this fails, downside opens up quickly. 83,222 → 80,242 — next demand zone. This is where buyers need to show real strength or the market can reprice lower. Resistance 96,192 — first reclaim level. If BTC gets back above this and holds, bearish pressure weakens. 99,346 — major ceiling. Reclaiming this flips the weekly tone back toward bullish continuation. 📈 4. Market Outlook Bias stays slightly bearish while price is below 96K–99K. Momentum shifts bullish only with weekly acceptance above 96,192, ideally followed by strength through 99,346. What smart money often waits for here: a retest into 96K–99K to see if sellers defend it, or a sell-side sweep into 83K/80K before a larger rebound. 🧭 5. Trade Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario Entry trigger: Weekly hold above 86,326 + weekly break/close above 96,192 First target: 99,346 Second target: Extension above 100K if 99K flips into support Reasoning: If BTC reclaims 96K after the break, the move can become a bear trap, and trapped shorts can fuel upside. 🔻 Bearish Scenario Breakdown trigger: Weekly close below 86,326 Targets: 83,222, then 80,242 Why this happens: Losing 86K confirms sellers in control and price often drops into the next major liquidity/demand zone before stabilizing. ⚠️ 6. Final Note Don’t chase moves in either direction — wait for a weekly close around these levels, because BTC loves fakeouts during transition phases. Are you watching for a 96K retest rejection, or a clean break below 86K first?
Short
by Jitendra_Verma
XAU/USD: Rejected at Sell, Awaiting Support Reaction◆ Market Context (M30) Price has twice swept Liquidity Sell around the peak area but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure at premium. Previously, the market had a Liquidity Sweep + Trap at the bottom, then created an upward BOS, so the current decline is seen as a rebalancing pullback, not yet a confirmed reversal. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The upper Liquidity Sell area has been completed → profit-taking pressure appears. • Price is returning to Support Zone 4,275 – 4,270, where it previously held and created BOS. • Below is a large OB 4,216, acting as a liquidity attraction area if the current support is broken. • The FVG + Fibo Sell area above is a reaction zone if the price retraces. ◆ Key Levels • Liquidity Sell (swept): 4,345 – 4,350 • Current Support: 4,275 – 4,270 • Lower OB: 4,216 • Supply / upper target (if rebound): 4,330 → 4,360+ ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Await reaction at Support 4,275 – 4,270 • Condition: maintain structure, appearance of rejection candle / buying reaction • Targets: ▪ 4,305 ▪ 4,330 ▪ extended: 4,360+ • Invalid if clearly breaks 4,257 ➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback • If Support 4,275 is lost • Monitor reaction at OB 4,216 • Only BUY when a new upward CHoCH appears ➤ Scenario C – Short-term Sell Retracement • If price retraces to FVG + Fibo Sell but does not break the peak • Observe rejection signals for short-term SELL back to the support area ◆ Summary • Context: upper Liquidity Sell swept → prioritize waiting for pullback. • Decisive area: 4,275 – 4,270. • Losing this area → potential liquidity attraction to 4,216. • Avoid FOMO BUY at premium; wait for clear reaction at support/OB.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
4
NIFTY Weekly AI Bands | Mid-Week Structure & Trade ContextWe are in middle of week and Wednesday market trading hours are going to close soon. This chart shows weekly NeuralFlow AI bands plotted on a 15-minute NIFTY chart. These are contextual levels, not signals, designed to define where price matters as the week progresses. By Wednesday, market behavior around these levels usually sets the tone for Thursday–Friday. What These AI Bands Measure The NeuralFlow Forecast Engine™ is a proprietary Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify rebalancing zones, not breakout targets. It maps auction behavior, not trader sentiment. The bands highlight: Where price prefers to stabilize Where expansion starts losing strength Where moves historically exhaust ................................................................................................................. Key Weekly AI Levels (This Week) Upper Structure Predictive Rail (Upper): 26,146 Outer / Extreme Upper Zone: 26,400 – 26,700 Balance AI Equilibrium: 25,955 Mid-Equilibrium: 25,910 Lower Structure Outer Lower Zone: 25,483 Extreme Lower Zone: 25,293 Please NOTE: These are weekly reference levels, not intraday targets. ............................................................................................................. Mid-Week Read (Wednesday) Earlier this week, NIFTY moved above equilibrium (25,955) but failed to hold. Price has since: Rotated back below equilibrium Stabilized in the lower half of the weekly range Shown controlled selling, not panic This suggests value is shifting lower, not a trending breakdown. ............................................................................................................... How to Use These Levels Below Equilibrium (Below 25,955) Long trades have lower probability Rallies toward 25,955–26,146 are corrective Prefer sell-on-rallies, not breakout longs Middle of the Range (25,700–25,900 approx.) Choppy price action High stop-loss risk Avoid trading here Lower Zones (25,483 → 25,293) Risk becomes better defined Avoid fresh shorts into these levels Watch for slowing momentum or rejection These zones often produce end-of-week responses. What Would Change the Structure? Acceptance above 25,955 → Balance restored, longs regain edge Acceptance below 25,483 → Downside discovery toward lower extremes Rejection from 25,293–25,483 → Likely rotation higher, not trend reversal Acceptance means holding, not just touching. ................................................................................................................ Thursday–Friday Playbook Below 25,955 → Prefer selling rallies → Avoid chasing upside moves Above 25,955 with acceptance → Shorts lose edge → Upside rotations toward 26,146 possible Near 25,483–25,293 → Reduce shorts → Watch for bounce or range formation Final Takeaway NIFTY has: Tested fair value at 25,955 Failed to accept it Settled lower in the weekly structure ................................................................................................................ The goal is not prediction.The goal is trading only at meaningful levels. Wait for price to reach where risk makes sense. Everything else is noise. Happy trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by NeuralMarkets
1
Nifty - 25 Min Demand Zone Re-Rest Setup | Gap Filling TargetOn the NIFTY 25-Minute Chart, price is trading close to a strong intraday demand zone between 25,677 – 25,741. This zone has acted as a buyer reaction area earlier, where price showed a quick bounce. Currently, Nifty is consolidating just above this zone — if buyers defend it again, we may see a short-term pullback towards the gap-fill area near 26,013. That gap acts as the first resistance and logical target for this setup. ⚙️ Trade Plan (For Educational Purpose Only): 📍 Time Frame: 25-Min Chart 📈 Entry Zone: 25,677 – 25,741 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 25,670 🎯 Target: 26,013 (Gap Fill Area) ⚖️ Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 2:1 💡 Technical Summary: ✅ Demand Zone Support ✅ Gap Above as Target ✅ Bullish Re-Test Setup ✅ Clean Structure with Defined Risk ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only — not a buy/sell recommendation. Always do your own analysis and follow proper risk management before trading. 🔖 Tags: #NIFTY #NSE #PriceAction #DemandZone #GapFill #25MinChart #SwingTrading #IntradaySetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingEducation #TradewithSahil #AkitenAcademy
NSE:NIFTYLong
by SahilArora077