Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 04th March 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index closed near 22955 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in March Month contract:
Call Writing
23000 Strike – 0.79 Lakh
23200 Strike – 0.71 Lakh
23500 Strike – 0.55 Lakh
Put Writing
23000 Strike – 0.85 Lakh
23200 Strike – 0.64 Lakh
22700 Strike – 0.60 Lakh
Index has resistance near 23075 - 23125 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 23250 - 23300 range.
Index has immediate support near 22850 – 22800 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 22700 – 22650 range.
Volatility expected due to imposition of import tariff by US on Canada Mexico and China with effect from 4th March 2025.
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Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 04th March 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index closed near 10865 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in March Month contract:
Call Writing
11000 Strike – 5.12 Lakh
11500 Strike – 2.98 Lakh
10800 Strike – 2.57 Lakh
Put Writing
11000 Strike – 4.90 Lakh
10500 Strike – 4.13 Lakh
10800 Strike – 3.88 Lakh
Index has immediate resistance near 10950 – 11000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 11150 – 11200 range.
Index has immediate support near 10700 – 10650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 10550 – 10500 range.
Volatility expected due to imposition of import tariff by US on Canada Mexico and China with effect from 4th March 2025.
BANKNIFTY 05-02-2025Downtrend Line: Price is struggling to break above the descending trendline.
Resistance Levels:
48,788.65 (Strong Resistance)
48,556.95 (Resistance-2)
48,327.65 (Resistance-1)
Breakout Level: 48,179.40 (Key breakdown level)
Current Price: 48,289.30 (Near Resistance-1)
Support Levels:
48,077.20 (Support-1)
47,893.45 (Support-2)
47,694.95 (Strong Support)
Conclusion:
Bullish Case: A breakout above 48,327.65 could lead to 48,556.95.
Bearish Case: If price rejects at the downtrend line and breaks 48,179.40, a decline to 47,700 is likely.
Currently, the trend favors bearish unless a breakout occurs. 🚨
NIFTY 05-03-2025Downtrend Line: A descending trendline is drawn, showing resistance at lower highs. A breakout above this trendline could signal a reversal.
Resistance Levels:
22,309.60 (Strong Resistance)
22,236.65 (Resistance-2)
22,147.90 (Resistance-1)
Breakout Level: 22,127.80 acts as an important level where a breakout could indicate a bullish move.
Current Price: 22,080.30, trading below the breakout level, indicating weakness.
Support Levels:
22,005.70 (Support-1)
21,963.10 (Support-2)
21,926.10 (Strong Support)
Bearish Projection: A measured move down shows a potential decline of -383.55 points (-1.72%) to the 21,926 level, indicating a bearish target.
Conclusion:
Bullish Case: A breakout above 22,127.80 and the trendline could lead to an uptrend toward 22,147.90 and higher resistances.
Bearish Case: If the price fails to break out and continues downward, it may test 22,005.70 and further support at 21,963.10.
BITCOIN IN TROUBLEBitcoin has closed below critical support zone of 88-90k on the monthly with a massive bearish engulfing. This lead to the break of the uptrend and trend line(green line) that was holding markets since the 70k breakout from downward trend line(red line). Bitcoin also clearly rejected the upward cyclic trend line (pink line) to perfection marking the pico top of this cycle.
The markets have now tested the broken support forming a lower high and heading down.The target for price in this bearish continuation is 68-72k BTC where lies critical support and is most likely a good area of interest for long positions.
BTCUSD WEEKLY GANN ANALYSIS UPDATED 04 MARCH 2025We are seeing a bout of profit booking on the BTCUSD with the long awaited 6 figure targets achieved on it. Earlier swing high of 69000 could be back tested if it sustains below 78000. 69000 was hit in Nov 2021.Recent ATH of 109,356 hit in Jan 2025. Swing low in between these two highs was 16256 in Nov 2022. I was looking for a high around 108362. we got 109,356 not bad with my targets achieved. Critical time to watch is second week of May 2025. Momentum can be seen above 104421 and downside can continue below 83260 levels. in between these range we can see consolidation. Caution below 83260. Time window to watch is between 10 March 2025 to 12 May 2025. It will be trader's paradise as it has always been in the recent past.
Happy Trading !!!
XAU#21: Gold is soaring. Will it break the top and trading plan💎 💎 💎 The "bulls" are back as analyzed in the previous article. The price OANDA:XAUUSD has passed the trendline and there is no sign of stopping. Let's plan the next trading FOREXCOM:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Warning of short-term inflation shock: The market is pricing in the US CPI to remain around 3% for the next 7 months, reflecting a sudden increase in inflation. The 25% tax on imports from Canada and Mexico could increase consumer costs, putting pressure on inflation.
🚀Unstable context: US tariffs, war in Ukraine, inflationary pressure ... are causing concerns about an economic recession. This has pushed the gold price up again in the past 2 days.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: The bullish price structure is still continuing, however, in my personal opinion, this increase is not sustainable.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The key down zone was broken last week and the price has returned to the resistance zone. The price reaction in this area is currently not positive. The bulls are still dominating as the previous H4 was a long-bodied candle.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The current price structure is bullish and there are no signs of a reversal.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ Although the price is in the resistance zone, the price reaction is weak enough to set up a SELL order. Currently, the fundamental information and short-term price structure are supporting the bulls. However, it should be noted that if the price increases continuously without recovering and breaks the peak once again, we will likely have a correction phase.
✅ BUY positions in the lower area can completely wait for better profits. In addition, when the price finds the support zones below, we can completely wait for the opportunity to establish the next position when the price structure appears in the smaller time frame. Note that
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
Voltas: Looking Bullish Sentiment Amid Strong Support LevelsTechnical Analysis:
After the announcement of Q3 FY25 financial results on January 30, the stock witnessed a two-day decline. However, on February 1 (Budget Day), the stock found strong support at ₹1135 and began appreciating. The most recent resistance was observed at ₹1430-₹1450. From February 17, over the past 15 days, the stock has been in a continuous uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
On March 3, the latest higher high was taken out, and the same level acted as support on the same day, confirming a strong bullish sentiment. The stock has been appreciating from this level, signaling further upside potential.
The key resistance levels to watch are ₹1440-₹1450 and ₹1560-₹1600. If these hurdles are breached, the stock may surge toward its all-time high.
Despite strong resistances, the overall structure remains bullish. Even in case of a retracement, the recent higher highs and higher lows will act as strong support levels. Traders and investors can place stop losses around ₹1322, with additional support at ₹1204 and ₹1135.
Fundamental Analysis:
Voltas has reported its Q3 FY25 earnings, showcasing strong financial performance. Below are the key financial metrics (values in ₹ crore):
Total Income: ₹3164 in Q3 FY25, ₹2725 in Q2 FY25, ₹2684 in Q3 FY24.
Total Expenses: ₹2941 in Q3 FY25, ₹2487 in Q2 FY25, ₹2624 in Q3 FY24.
Profit Before Tax: ₹223 in Q3 FY25, ₹238 in Q2 FY25, ₹60 in Q3 FY24.
Profit After Tax: ₹131 in Q3 FY25, ₹133 in Q2 FY25, -₹28 in Q3 FY24.
The company's total income has increased 16.1% QoQ from ₹2725 crore in Q2 FY25 and 17.9% YoY from ₹2684 crore in Q3 FY24. The profit before tax, though slightly lower than Q2 FY25, has shown a significant improvement YoY from ₹60 crore to ₹223 crore. Similarly, the profit after tax turned positive compared to Q3 FY24’s loss of ₹28 crore, reinforcing the company's financial strength.
Conclusion:
With a bullish technical pattern and strong financial results, Voltas presents a promising long-term opportunity. If the stock successfully breaks through its resistance zones, it has the potential for significant upside movement. Investors should closely monitor the breakout levels while considering key support levels for risk management.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Investors should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
The worst seems to be over for SWSOLAR ! CMP 250Technical Analysis:
Currently taking support at .78 fib we can expect a bounce from here or may consolidate for a while before making any further move.
Expecting this to be a multibagger, looking at the order book and backing of RIL group
In the Q4 FY2024 earnings call, the company reported total order inflows of approximately ₹6,023 crores, marking a 37% increase compared to the previous fiscal year. Notably, Sterling and Wilson secured international orders from Spain and Italy after a three-year hiatus, aligning with their strategy to mitigate risks associated with module price fluctuations.
These developments indicate a robust order pipeline and strategic international expansion, potentially enhancing the company's revenue streams and market position in the renewable energy sector.
**SET50 Futures Market Analysis & Trading Plan (March 4, 2025)**
## **SET50 Futures Market Analysis & Trading Plan (March 4, 2025)**
### **Market Overview**
The **SET50 Index Futures (March 2025, TFEX, 1-hour chart, Heikin Ashi)** is currently in a strong **downtrend**, as indicated by several key technical factors:
- **BB 104 0.1 Downtrend Confirmation**:
The price is significantly below the **BB 104 0.1 (Upper: 793.1, Lower: 787.7)**, confirming a **bearish trend**. The slope of the **BB 104 0.1** also indicates a continuous downward movement.
- **Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 0.2) Show Weakness**:
The price is consistently near the **Lower Band (742.3)** of the **BB 20 0.2**, suggesting **selling pressure is dominant**.
- **SMA 104 Trend Confirmation**:
The price has been below the **SMA 104** for an extended period, further validating the **bearish outlook**.
### **Trading Plan (SBD Strategy)**
Given the **downtrend**, the **SBD (SMA 104 + BB + DMI Position Scaling Strategy)** approach will focus on **short trades** rather than long positions.
#### **1. Entry Strategy for Short Trades**
- **Primary Short Entry**:
- If the price pulls back to the **Middle Band (MB) of BB 20 0.2** (approx. **754-759**), this could present a good **short entry** opportunity.
- Confirmation should come from **-DI > +DI** (Directional Movement Indicator) and **ADX above 25** to ensure trend strength.
- **Scaling In Approach**:
- Initial position size based on **SMA 104 slope & DMI alignment**:
- **Strong Downtrend (ADX > 25, SMA 104 sloping downward)** → Open **2/3 of full position**.
- **Moderate Downtrend (ADX < 25, but still below SMA 104)** → Open **1/2 of full position**.
- **Sideways Movement** → Reduce size or wait for better confirmation.
#### **2. Stop Loss & Risk Management**
- **Stop Loss (SL)**:
- **Primary SL**: **BB 104 0.1 (Upper at 793.1)** → If price breaks above, it signals a weakening downtrend.
- **Alternative SL**: A close above **BB 20 0.2 Upper Band (759.3)** could indicate trend exhaustion.
#### **3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy**
- **First TP Target**:
- **Next support level around 730-735**, where potential buyers may emerge.
- **Extended TP Target**:
- If selling pressure remains strong, the next downside target could be **720-725**.
### **Final Thoughts**
This setup aligns well with the **SBD Strategy**, focusing on high-probability **short trades** in a confirmed **downtrend**. The key will be **waiting for a pullback** before entering a **short position**, ensuring risk is managed effectively.
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GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold traders SMC trading point ☝️ list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point 2920 ) Now Gold rejected point below 👇 supply zone 2892- 2875 FVG level up trand My target 🎯 point 2961 long Trade 🤝. First take short trend 📈 And buying it)
Key Resistance level 2915 + 2920 + 2956+ 2961
Key Support level 2892 - 2875
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Breakout & Breakdown Projection for Godrej PropertiesGodrej Properties (GPL) shares may be in focus on Feb 27 after ₹1,000 crore sales at the launch of Godrej Evergreen Square in Pune.
Breakout Scenario (Bullish Projection)
A breakout above ₹2,244 (key resistance level) would indicate strength and could trigger an upward move.
Target 1: ₹2,336 (+6.63% from CMP)
Target 2: ₹2,427 (+10.69% from CMP)
Extended Target (if momentum sustains): ₹2,718 - ₹2,804 (+35.73% from CMP)
Ultimate Target (Swing High FVG): ₹3,015 - ₹3,177 (+50.62% from CMP)
📌 Breakout Strategy:
Enter above ₹2,244, with stop-loss at ₹2,186 (previous resistance).
A breakout with strong volume could lead to ₹2,336 - ₹2,427 quickly. Breakdown Scenario (Bearish Projection)
A breakdown below ₹1,981 (recent bullish FVG support) would suggest further downside.
Target 1: ₹1,903 - ₹1,825 (-4.97% to -8.86% from CMP)
Target 2: ₹1,765 - ₹1,755 (-11.89% from CMP)
Extended Target: ₹1,650 (-17.63% from CMP)
Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any investment decisions.
Stock Analysis: Som Distilleries & Breweries Ltd. Introduction:
Som Distilleries & Breweries Ltd. is a prominent manufacturer of alcoholic beverages in India, specializing in the production and distribution of Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL) and beer.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 2,248 Cr.;
Stock P/E: 22.3 (Ind. P/E: 29.41); 👍
ROCE: 19.4% 👍; ROE: 18.4% 👍;
PEG Ratio: 0.63 👍
The stock is undervalued relative to its expected growth.
3 Years Sales Growth: 65% 👍;
3 Years Profit Growth: 62% 👍;
3 Years Stock price CAGR: 96% 👍;
Technicals:
Som Distilleries has been trading in a tight range between 104 and 119 levels since Dec 2024.
The stock price has not fallen significantly in the recent days in spite of deep correction in the majority of small-cap stocks.
Resistance levels: 119, 128, 149
Support levels: 108, 96, 86
Bajaj Auto Date 04.03.2025
Timeframe : Weekly
Bajaj Auto
Bajaj Auto Management Commentary
Domestic Sales
February saw a temporary slowdown across 2Ws
Quarterly trends matter more—6-8% growth expected in domestic Industry
Exports & Market Trends:
20%+ YoY export growth led by LaTAM; Africa stabilizing
Currency volatility & tariffs pose risks.
Asia market growth should return soon
EV Leadership:
Bajaj leads in sub-₹1 lakh EVs
Now gaining traction in premium segment
February Sales Numbers
Total sales at 3.52 lk units
Total Sales up 2% at 3.52 lk units vs 3.46 lk units (YoY)
Domestic Sales down 11% at 1.83 lk units vs 2.07 lk units (YoY)
Exports up 2% at 1.68 lk units vs 1.40 lk units (YoY)
Regards,
Ankur
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT
After the correction in the cryptocurrency market, a rebound occurred following Donald Trump's post about including not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in the U.S. national reserve. During this rebound, Bitcoin's price retested the key $95,000 level from below—a level that previously served as strong support but has now turned into resistance. However, buyers have not yet gained enough strength to break through it. The main reason for the current decline is the final approval of tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, and China.
If the correction continues and sellers manage to push through the $78,000 support level, we expect a further decline toward the 0.78 Fibonacci level and a retest of the support trendline in the $70,000–$75,000 range. Within the Imbalance 1W zone at $70,000–$73,000, there are significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations.
For BTC to resume its upward trend, the price needs to reclaim the 200 EMA and consolidate above the $95,000 resistance level. In this case, we expect further growth, with a retest of the psychological $100,000 level, a major resistance block at $105,000–$110,000, and a potential new all-time high.
📉 Bitcoin market global analysis.
On the daily logarithmic chart, Bitcoin’s price has fallen back below the 200-day moving average. As a result, a candlestick pattern of bearish engulfing of the last upward move has formed. If the daily candle closes below the 200 EMA, this would indicate a continuation of the correction and a potential retest of the global support trendline.
During Bitcoin’s rapid rally in November 2024, an Imbalance 1W zone formed in the $70,000–$75,000 range, featuring significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations. This zone aligns with the 0.61–0.78 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Once the correction is complete, Bitcoin’s next growth target could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline may occur around $120,000, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books.
💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels
The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear zone - 15.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped to $2.71 billion, and the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 61.39.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 70,000 - 80,000
🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 120,000
Levels for long positions:
78,000 - large support block
72,000 - downward trend line of support
70,000 - large support block
Levels for short positions:
100,000 - psychological resistance level
105,000 - large resistance block
110,000 - largest resistance block
120,000 - upward trend line of resistance
📊 Fundamental analysis
The stock and crypto markets experienced a sharp decline after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian and Mexican goods. Yesterday, Trump officially approved new trade tariffs for Canada, Mexico, and China, causing another wave of sell-offs in the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both fell by approximately 2% during the day.
However, on March 2, 2025, a post appeared on TruthSocial, where Trump revealed details about the formation of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. According to him, the initiative will not be limited to BTC but will also include several altcoins: ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA. Experts anticipate that additional assets, such as LINK, ONDO, and Litecoin (LTC), may be added in the future. The administration plans to freeze the acquired cryptocurrencies for 20 years. Supporters of this initiative argue that over this period, Bitcoin’s price appreciation could help the U.S. pay off its national debt.
Additionally, the White House is preparing to host its first major cryptocurrency summit on March 7, bringing together industry giants and political figures from Trump’s administration. However, critics argue that including altcoins in the crypto reserve raises concerns about potential insider trading by U.S. authorities. Moreover, there are currently not enough votes in Congress to pass these controversial laws.
Bitcoin’s further growth will also depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy and U.S. regulatory decisions. If the government adopts a crypto-friendly stance, BTC’s price could rise. Otherwise, regulatory resistance may lead to a correction.
🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy
We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates:
➤ 7.03, 16:30 - US Cryptocurrency Summit at the White House.
➤ 07.03, 16:30 - U.S. Unemployment Rate (Jan).
➤ 10.03-14.03 - Senate Banking Committee to Vote on Stablecoin Bill.
➤ 12.03, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI).
➤ 19.03, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision.
➤ 21.03 - SEC to hold first of five roundtables on cryptocurrency issues.
🚀 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator:
📈 In February 2025, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways movement for a long time, then a sharp correction began. Our trading indicator gave 5 signals with the most profitable entry points and minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals became profitable, and the built-in anti-flat protection prevented losses from manipulative market movements.
- Total price movement for all signals for the month: + 35.92%
- Maximum price movement for one signal: + 17.89%
- Average price movement for signals: + 7.18%
In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
Nifty Bank IndexNifty Bank Index Trade Setup - Key Levels to Watch! 📊🚀
Index: Nifty Bank (NSE)
Timeframe: 1H Chart
Current Price: ₹48,232.75
Entry Zone: ₹48,200 bellow close
Stoploss: ₹48,295.05
Target : 47500 and 385
🎯 Bullish Targets:
✅ Immediate Resistance: ₹48,567.60
✅ Final Target: ₹49,627.25
🔻 Major Support: ₹47,404.85 - ₹47,385.85
📌 Holding Above Key Zone = Bullish Momentum Expected!
Gold Intraday view for today 4th March 2025
My weekly bias for gold is bearish, but my intraday view for today based on MSNR is as follows :
Looking for sell @ 2897.58
Looking for buy @2878.475 , 2871.030, 2860.35 and 2860.085
In all 4 buy limits and 1 sell limit.
SL for all will be 32.5pips and TP will be 100 pips.
RR : 1:3.08 for all trades.
Risk management is the key.
Will trail SL as soon as price moves 1:1 in my direction.
All the best.
BSE Midcap AnalysisSimilar to the charts I shared earlier, the index has taken support. This time the support is on the earlier trendline and 0.5 retracement is marginally lower. Here as well the bounceback is not high in volumes to change the trend. Looks possible a new sell starts here and 0.5-0.618 support will come. Will go long after 3 green candles
Smallcap sees some respite but overall trend seems to be downBSE smallcap took support at 0.5 retracement support levels. The bounceback is decent but i only see broader distribution happening and not a strong comeback. Will wait for 3 green candles before going long.
If this bounceback is sold, can see lower level including possibly a support at 0.618 retracement
InfosysDate 04.03.2025
Infosys : day chart
Remark :
Emerging death crossover !
1 A death crossover occurs when 20 ema crosses from above to below 200 ema.
2 Death crossover is considered more significant when accompanied by high trading volume.
3 Keep a watch on open interest data as well as put call ratio (pcr)
4 Wat till EOD & if death crossover completes then if price goes todays low, short
5 Support/resistance zone is critical as stoploss for swing traders
Regards,
Ankur