Part 2 Support and ResistanceRisks in Option Trading
Option trading can be rewarding but has risks:
1. For Buyers
High probability of premium loss (because theta works against them).
Market must move fast and in the right direction.
2. For Sellers
Unlimited loss possible (especially in naked selling).
Requires big margin.
High stress during volatile markets.
Community ideas
Part 1 Support and Resistance 1. Low Capital Requirement
You can control a large position with a small premium.
2. Hedging Risks
Investors hedge portfolios using Puts to protect against market drops.
3. Speculation
Traders predict short-term movements using calls and puts.
4. Income Generation
Sellers earn regular income from premium writing strategies (covered call, short straddle, iron condor, etc.).
5. Flexibility
Options allow bullish, bearish, neutral, and even volatility-based strategies.
Chapter 13 — The First Entry IllusionWhy the “first entry” is rarely the safest entry (NZDUSD • 1H case study)
Retail logic says: “First touch = best price.”
Institutional logic says: “First touch = highest uncertainty.”
On the 1H, the first interaction with a zone is usually where liquidity is collected, not where clean continuation is guaranteed.
1) What “First Entry Illusion” really is
The illusion is thinking that a level is an entry.
But the market doesn’t pay you for finding levels.
It pays you for entering after the market proves intent.
First touch is often used to:
trigger impatient entries
run tight stops (because everyone places SL at the obvious edge)
create the real fill for the move (after liquidity is harvested)
So the first entry becomes the best price… for the other side.
2) Read this chart like an institution (using the boards)
A) Context Board (where the bias is, but also the conflict)
From your panel:
Direction: Bearish
H1: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
H4: Neutral
Structure: Bull Struct
Momentum: BEAR
Short Score: 78 (A)
Liquidity Context: HIGH
MTF Status: MIXED
15m bias: Bearish | 5m bias: Bearish
Translation:
Bias is leaning short, but structure is not perfectly aligned (bull-structure tag + mixed MTF).
That’s exactly where the first-entry trap becomes likely.
B) Qualification Gate (this is the key proof)
From your gate:
SETUP: SHORT
HTF CONTEXT: WARN
STRUCTURE: BAD
MOMENTUM: OK
VOL/REGIME: OK
LIQUIDITY: HIGH
ALIGNMENT: 78 / 65
ENTRY PERMISSION: ENTER
This is the “First Entry Illusion” signature:
You can get “ENTER”…
while HTF is WARN and Structure is BAD
and Liquidity is HIGH (meaning: stop pools likely still active)
So the system is basically saying:
“Yes, the short idea is valid — but the environment is still capable of a shakeout.”
That’s institutional thinking: permission is not a promise.
C) Management Desk (why first entry needs management discipline)
From your desk:
Trade Status: VALID
Market Phase: CONTINUATION
Exit Pressure: LOW
Momentum Health: STRONG
Risk State: OVEREXTENDED
Trade Age: FRESH
Action State: HOLD
Translation:
The move is alive (strong momentum / low exit pressure), but risk is overextended → chasing first entry or late entry is expensive.
Institutions don’t “feel” that — they measure it.
3) The institutional sequence (what retail skips)
Retail tries to win by being early.
Institutions try to win by being right after proof.
The safer sequence:
1) Liquidity job happens (HIGH liquidity = expect raids / stop runs)
2) Displacement confirms intent (real push, not just a wick)
3) Retest gives controllable invalidation (this is where risk becomes clean)
4) Then execution (not before)
✅ Rule:
First touch = information.
Second interaction + proof = execution.
4) Practical “No-Trap” rule for Chapter 13 (viral simple, institutional true)
If LIQUIDITY = HIGH and STRUCTURE = BAD/WARN, treat the first entry as a probe, not a full position.
Your discipline upgrade:
First touch: small size / or no trade
Wait: displacement + retest (or structure repair)
Then: full entry with clean SL logic
That is the mindset shift:
From “I want the best price” → to “I want the safest permission.”
5) The real goal (mindset change)
My objective is not to excite retail traders with “early entries.”
My objective is to re-engineer retail behavior into an institutional execution mindset:
Permission > Prediction
Proof > Hope
Risk governance > emotional timing
The core mistake:
Retail thinks: “First touch = best price.”
Institutions think: “First touch = liquidity extraction zone.”
If liquidity is high, the first touch is often designed to punish impatience.
Mistake #1 — Treating a level as an entry
Retail behavior:
“Price reached my zone → I must enter.”
Why it fails (market mechanics):
A zone is only a location. Institutions still need inventory + liquidity.
So they often use the first touch to:
trigger breakout entries
trap reversal entries
sweep obvious stop placements
✅ MARAL solution: Qualification Gate separates “location” from “permission”
Even when SETUP = SHORT, MARAL exposes the danger when:
HTF CONTEXT = WARN
STRUCTURE = BAD
LIQUIDITY = HIGH
Translation: “You are early in a hostile environment. First touch is not a green light.”
Mistake #2 — Ignoring the Liquidity Job
Retail behavior:
Entering before the market raids nearby liquidity pools.
Why it fails:
When Liquidity = HIGH, the market is telling you:
“There are stop pools nearby. Price will likely interact with them before continuing.”
Most first entries get stopped because they sit exactly where liquidity is being harvested.
✅ MARAL solution: Liquidity Context becomes an execution filter
When LIQUIDITY = HIGH, MARAL forces a mindset shift:
First touch = observation / probe
Second interaction after proof = execution
This is institutional sequencing.
Mistake #3 — Thinking “ENTER” means “SAFE”
Retail behavior:
If a tool says “enter”, they go full size emotionally.
Why it fails:
A valid setup can still be a low-quality entry timing.
Market can be right — but the entry can be wrong.
✅ MARAL solution: Permission ≠ Promise (soul of execution)
MARAL gives permission, but the boards reveal risk context.
That’s why ENTRY PERMISSION can show ENTER while
HTF = WARN + STRUCTURE = BAD still exists.
Meaning: Trade idea may be valid, but first entry risk is elevated.
Mistake #4 — Using “tight SL at the obvious place”
Retail behavior:
Stops placed at the clean edge of the zone.
Why it fails:
The clean edge is exactly where the market expects stops to sit.
First touch often manufactures a wick to take those stops, then continues.
✅ MARAL solution: Management Desk converts entries into risk-governed positions
Use the desk like a professional:
If Risk State = OVEREXTENDED → don’t chase / don’t full size
If Trade Age = FRESH + Momentum Health = STRONG → hold winners logically, not emotionally
If Exit Pressure = LOW → avoid panic exits on noise
It’s not about “being right”. It’s about “staying right.”
Mistake #5 — No “Proof Step” (they skip confirmation)
Retail behavior:
They enter at touch. They don’t require displacement or structure repair.
Why it fails:
Without proof, first entry is just a guess.
✅ MARAL solution: Proof-based execution gating
MARAL’s institutional workflow is:
Context → Qualification → Management
So the correct approach is:
When Structure is BAD/WARN: demand proof (displacement / repair)
When MTF Status = MIXED: reduce aggression (no hero entries)
When Liquidity = HIGH: expect traps first
The MARAL “First Entry Protocol” (simple + viral)
When you see this combination:
✅ Setup: SHORT
⚠️ HTF: WARN
❌ Structure: BAD
🔥 Liquidity: HIGH
Your action is not “enter fast”.
Your action is:
1) No full size on first touch
First entry = probe or wait.
2) Require proof
Displacement + cleaner retest.
3) Let the market pay you for patience
Second interaction is usually safer than the first.
Closing line (institutional mindset)
Retail asks: “How early can I enter?”
Institutions ask: “Has the market earned my participation?”
Your goal is not to catch the first move.
Your goal is to catch the safest move.
#Trading #Forex #SMC #SmartMoneyConcept #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #MarketStructure #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingPsychology #TradingDiscipline #DayTrading
EUR/USD Complete PictureTechnically:
As per the Current Market Structure, EUR/USD looks weaker for an 1st Target of 1.15305 . Once Wave E is completed EUR/USD turns into buy side for an 2nd Target of 1.20300
Fundamentally: Change of Structure Possible on Jan23rd based on the data German and French Flash manufacturing which will decide the next move of EURO and Pound Pairs.
Part 2 Intraday Trading Master Class1. Option Buyer (Call Buyer or Put Buyer)
Pays premium.
Risk is limited to the premium paid.
Profit is unlimited (Call) or large (Put).
2. Option Seller/Writer (Call Writer or Put Writer)
Receives premium.
Risk can be unlimited (Call writer).
Profit is limited to the premium received.
3. Retail Traders
Most common segment in options.
4. Institutional Traders (FIIs, DIIs)
They use options for hedging and arbitrage with high capital.
Part 1 Intraday Trading Master Class How Option Pricing Works
Option prices (premiums) depend on multiple factors:
1. Underlying Price Movement
Biggest factor.
CE rises when market rises.
PE rises when market falls.
2. Time to Expiry (Theta)
As expiry approaches, options lose value due to time decay.
Buyers suffer from theta.
Sellers benefit from theta.
3. Volatility (Vega)
Higher volatility = higher premiums.
4. Demand–Supply and Market Sentiment
Aggressive buying or selling changes premium rapidly.
ENGINEERS INDIA LIMITED (EIL) --------------------------------
1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
--------------------------------
Engineers India Limited (EIL) is a Government of India enterprise engaged in engineering consultancy, project management, and turnkey execution (LSTK/EPC) services. The company primarily operates in hydrocarbons, energy, fertilisers, infrastructure, and related sectors, with growing international presence.
EIL’s business is divided into:
- Consultancy & Engineering Services (asset-light, high margin)
- Turnkey / LSTK Projects (execution-heavy, lower margin)
--------------------------------
2. FUNDAMENTALS SNAPSHOT
--------------------------------
Financial Performance (Standalone)
H1 FY26:
- Revenue: ₹1,757 crore (↑ ~37% YoY)
- Profit After Tax: ₹185 crore (↑ ~38% YoY)
- EPS: ₹3.29
- Order Book (Sep 2025): ₹13,131 crore (all-time high)
Profitability & Balance Sheet:
- ROE (FY25): ~23%
- ROCE (FY25): ~25%
- Debt-to-Equity: ~0.01 (effectively debt-free)
- Dividend Yield: ~2%
Segment Economics:
- Consultancy Revenue Mix: ~46–48%
- Consultancy Margin: ~20–25%
- Turnkey Revenue Mix: ~52–54%
- Turnkey Margin: ~5–7%
Key Fundamental Observations:
- Strong revenue and profit growth in FY26 so far
- Margins led by consultancy business
- Balance sheet strength remains a key positive
- Order book provides multi-year revenue visibility
--------------------------------
3. TECHNICALS SNAPSHOT
--------------------------------
Current Price: ~₹200
Trend Indicators:
- EMA Structure: Mixed
- Short-term EMAs below long-term EMA
- Price vs EMA63: Slightly above
- RSI (14): ~50 (neutral)
- RS / ROC Quadrant: Weakening
- Volume: Below average
- 52-week range: ₹142 – ₹255
Technical Interpretation:
- Long-term structure remains intact
- Short-term momentum is weak
- No strong trend confirmation currently
- Stock is in a consolidation / digestion phase
--------------------------------
4. MANAGEMENT COMMENTARY (SUMMARY)
--------------------------------
Execution & Growth:
- Management reported strong execution in H1 FY26
- Revenue growth exceeded initial expectations
- Full-year growth guidance was revised upward after H1 performance
Margins:
- Consultancy margins guided and maintained in the 20–25% range
- Turnkey margins guided at 6–7%, with quarterly volatility acknowledged
- One-time provision write-backs impacted certain quarters
Order Inflows:
- H1 FY26 order inflow: ~₹3,765 crore
- International consultancy orders formed a meaningful portion
- Management indicated confidence in achieving full-year order inflow targets
Joint Venture Update:
- RFCL joint venture reported losses in H1 FY26 due to operational shutdowns
- Management indicated normalization in subsequent quarters
Management Tone:
- Guidance largely data-backed
- Conservative initial commentary followed by upgrades post execution
- Clear disclosure of one-off items and operational issues
--------------------------------
5. KEY RISKS TO MONITOR
--------------------------------
- Volatility in turnkey project margins
- Execution and recovery of joint venture operations
- Sustainability of high consultancy margins
- Timing of large project awards and execution milestones
- Market sentiment and broader PSU valuation cycles
--------------------------------
END OF REPORT
--------------------------------
Strong uptrend intact, consolidating near highs w bullish structKEI continues to trade in a strong uptrend and is currently consolidating near the highs after the recent move. Price is holding above key moving averages, indicating strength and buyer support on dips.
The current consolidation zone looks healthy and suggests a pause before the next move rather than distribution. As long as price holds above the support zone, the overall structure remains bullish.
Levels to watch:
• Support: 4,300–4,350
• Upside potential on breakout above consolidation zone
Overall, KEI remains well placed technically, especially from a medium-term perspective, with no major signs of trend weakness yet.
Short-term correction in play, 25,700–25,750 is key support Nifty is showing short-term weakness after slipping below the mid of the rising channel. Momentum is cooling and price is trading below key Fib levels.
I’m expecting a test of the 25,700–25,750 support zone, which aligns with demand + channel support.
A bounce is possible from this zone, but a daily close below it may lead to deeper correction.
Bias remains cautious until strength returns.
$BTC just lost its 1H MA200 and going for MA200 on 4hr timeframeCRYPTOCAP:BTC just lost its 1H MA200, and that’s a meaningful short-term shift. After failing to hold above the intraday support, price is now showing acceptance below the fast averages, which opens room for a continuation move toward higher-timeframe support.
What’s happening right now
1H MA200 lost → short-term trend weakness confirmed
Price rolling down with lower highs on 1H
Market now gravitating toward the 4H MA zone (MA99 + MA200) — a key reaction area
This zone often acts as a magnet during corrections.
🔽 Short scalp continuation
As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays below the 1H MA200:
Downside pressure remains active
Expect a move into the 4H MA99 / MA200 cluster
Momentum favors shorts on lower-timeframe pullbacks
This is a scalping environment, not a swing chase.
Quick reactions, tight risk, no emotions.
Gold (XAUUSD) — Bullish Trend Test Near Support Before BreakoutWhat are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold recently break resistance of range-bound consolidation phase successfully.
After breakout of resistance it is now forming pullback after the resistance.
Here our momentum is bullish
Recent events (e.g., U.S.–Venezuela crisis and broader political instability) have pushed investors into gold as a safe asset — lifting prices toward record highs. Gold traditionally rises when global risks increase because traders and institutions want to protect capital.
📌 Plan A — Bullish (Main Idea)
• Wait for pullback to trendline/support area — a good entry spot for a long (buy).
• Entry: near trendline/support check (price shows bounce pattern).
• Stop Loss: just below the trendline/support (risk control).
• Target: near the top resistance zone — move higher if breakout happens.
📌 Plan B — Breakout Buy
• If price breaks above the resistance zone with strength, enter on the breakout candle close.
• Stop Loss: just below breakout level.
• Targets: next resistance levels higher.
2026 NIFTY Yearly Levels After great 2023/2024/2025 Yearly Levels I am presenting 2026 Yearly Levels
Buy Above 26850.29
Buy Targets 28036.36 29215.97 30169.35 31122.73 32480.09 33304.20 36115.86 39202.23
Sell Below 25408.91
Sell Targets 24222.84 23043.23 22089.85 21136.47 19779.11 18955.00 16143.34 13056.97
See the reults of 2025 Levls impact
Tremendous FALL and RECOVERY of LMT on News & Sentiments1st News
- Donald Trump said that he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for U.S. defense companies until they fix military equipment production and delivery issues.
- Now it is required to understand that dividends are payouts to shareholders out of profits
- Generally, when dividends are not paid, the company uses the retained fund in its development, research, investing, etc.
But what's the matter? Why is he not allowing defense companies to pay dividends to their shareholders??
- Basically, he is criticizing the defense industry for prioritizing shareholder payouts over investing in factories, R&D, and faster production of military equipment.
- He also suggested capping executive pay until those issues are resolved.
Impact: The stock prices of LMT fell 7% during the regular trading hours upon the ban on shareholders' payout
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2nd News
President Trump announced that he is determined to increase the US Military budget to $1.5 trillion in 2027 due to “tremendous” tariff revenue.
This would be a near 70% increase from 2025 levels.
Impact: Later, in the extended trading hours, prices recovered substantially, rising ~8.30% on the announcement of a hike in the defense budget
Part 12 Trading Master Class Key Terminologies in Option Trading
1. Strike Price
The price at which the buyer can exercise the option.
2. Premium
The cost paid by the option buyer to the seller for the contract.
3. Expiry
The date when the option contract expires (weekly/monthly).
4. In-the-Money (ITM)
When the option has intrinsic value.
CE is ITM if underlying > strike.
PE is ITM if underlying < strike.
5. Out-of-the-Money (OTM)
When the option has no intrinsic value.
CE is OTM if underlying < strike.
PE is OTM if underlying > strike.
6. Lot Size
Options trade in fixed quantities called lots (e.g., NIFTY lot size = 50).
XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 08th - 09th JAN2026(3.30 am)XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 08th - 09th JAN2026(3.30 am)
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
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❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
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