XAUUSD M30 – Pullback BUY according to OB + GAP + Fibo🔎 Market Structure (SMC)
• Price has clearly BOS increased, confirming the short-term trend is still bullish
• Currently, the price is moving on an upward trendline, the decline is just a technical pullback
• No CHoCH decrease has appeared → no reversal signal yet
🟢 Key BUY Zone (Confluence Zone)
• Bullish OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618: 4,416 – 4,397
• This is a valid demand zone because:
OB is below the price
Coincides with the Fibo retracement of the BOS move
Located above the HL structure
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price retraces to this zone and a clear price reaction appears (reject / engulf / hold bottom).
🟡 Deep BUY Zone – GAP / FVG
• FVG – GAP not yet filled: 4,348 – 4,332
• This is a deep liquidity zone, only activated when:
The OB above is breached
The price has not yet broken the large frame upward structure
👉 Used for patient BUY, no FOMO.
🎯 Targets (Liquidity above)
• TP1: 4,490
• TP2: 4,514
• TP3: 4,533 – 4,553 (Liquidity Sell $$$)
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below the entire GAP zone (4,332)
→ Upward structure is broken, canceling the entire BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Bias: Bullish – Buy the dip
• Main BUY zone: OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618
• Deep BUY: FVG / GAP
• Do not SELL against the trend when there is no CHoCH decrease
Community ideas
XAUUSD liquidity changes amid 2026 Black Swan risksXAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Rotation Under Black Swan Risks in 2026
Gold is once again being driven by liquidity and macro uncertainty. While short-term price action is rotating around key Volume Profile levels, the broader backdrop for 2026 is increasingly shaped by underestimated systemic risks, often ignored during periods of market optimism.
TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
On H1, gold has completed a sharp downside liquidity sweep followed by a strong rebound, signalling aggressive absorption from buyers at lower levels.
Price is now rotating inside a short-term recovery structure, with liquidity clusters clearly defining where reactions are likely to occur.
The market is currently trading between sell-side liquidity above and buy-side liquidity below, favouring range-based execution rather than chasing momentum.
KEY LIQUIDITY ZONES
Sell-side liquidity / resistance:
4513 – POC sell zone
4487 – VAL sell scalping area
These zones represent heavy historical volume where sellers previously defended price. Reactions here may trigger short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Buy-side liquidity / support:
4445 – Buy POC
4409 – Major buy zone and liquidity support
These levels align with value areas where demand has stepped in strongly, making them critical zones for price stabilisation.
EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR
Short term: price is likely to continue rotating between buy and sell liquidity, creating two-way opportunities.
A sustained hold above buy-side liquidity keeps the bullish structure intact.
A clean break and acceptance above sell-side liquidity would open the path toward a retest of ATH levels.
MACRO & BLACK SWAN CONTEXT – WHY 2026 MATTERS
2026 is shaping up to be a year of hidden tail risks, including:
Increasing political pressure from President Trump on the Federal Reserve
Key elections in the US and multiple emerging markets
Elevated risk of an AI-driven technology stock bubble due to excessive valuations
Historically, environments marked by political stress, central bank credibility concerns, and asset bubbles tend to strengthen demand for hard assets, particularly gold.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Gold remains structurally supported by liquidity and macro uncertainty
Short-term price action is tactical and level-driven
Long-term, gold continues to act as insurance against systemic and political risk
When markets underestimate risk, liquidity quietly shifts. Gold tends to move first.
BITCOIN BACK TO 109K..... Bell is ringing....Through my analysis, weekly shows firm bullish.
Geo political uncertainty all over the world because venezuela president capture.
Join this with weekly bias leads to lot of upward momentum.
Bos happened in daily timeframe with good price momentum.
So the next resistance is 97k and then to 109k.
Mark my words it will reach in one or two weeks .
The ball and bat is in perfect place , SWING is guys.....
No regrets......
Nibe Ltd – Elliott Wave UpdateNibe Ltd – Elliott Wave Update
Nibe Ltd has reversed decisively from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, completing a textbook ABC corrective structure. The reversal was accompanied by clear bullish divergence on RSI and MACD, confirming exhaustion of the corrective phase.
Following the reversal:
Wave 1 of the new impulsive structure is complete
Wave 2 has unfolded as a shallow, time-wise correction
Price is now trading in Wave 3, supported by expanding momentum and rising volume
As long as price holds above the recent swing low (~₹1,030), the impulsive structure remains valid. Momentum indicators continue to support further upside, suggesting the trend is in an acceleration phase rather than exhaustion.
Trend Bias: Bullish
Structure: Impulsive (Wave 3 in progress)
Minimum Target: ₹1,700
Invalidation Level: Below the Wave-2 low
Nifty Metal Index- Momentum is turning positive📊 Nifty Metal Index -Momentum is turning positive with strong follow-through.
🎯 Target: 11,600
🛑 Stop-loss: Below 10,333
If metals sustain above the breakout zone, the move can extend fast.
Keep an eye on volume confirmation.
#NiftyMetal #MetalStocks #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #IndianMarkets
Divergence Secrets Leverage: Control Big Value With Small Capital
Options are inherently leveraged instruments, meaning you control a large contract value by paying only a small premium.
Example:
Suppose Bank Nifty is at 49,500.
Buying the index in futures may require a margin of ₹1.5–2 lakh.
But buying a 49,500 CE may cost only ₹200–₹300 per lot.
This means a trader can participate in the same price move with:
10x–50x lower capital
Better capital efficiency
More flexibility in managing risk
Leverage is a double-edged sword, but when used with discipline and structure, it can generate powerful results.
Introduction to Option TradingUnderstanding the Foundation: What Makes Options Special?
Before diving into the benefits, it’s important to understand why options are structurally different from other trading instruments.
An option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price before a specific time.
Call Option: Right to buy
Put Option: Right to sell
This right without obligation is the core feature that creates asymmetric returns.
When you buy an option:
Your maximum loss is capped at the premium paid.
Your profit can be extremely large, depending on the underlying move.
This asymmetric nature—limited downside, unlimited upside (for calls)—makes options fundamentally attractive.
XAUUSD H1 - Liquidity reaction post-geopolitical spikeGold surged strongly at the start of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts continued to support the broader bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, price is now reacting around key liquidity and Fibonacci zones rather than trending impulsively.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing.
Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels.
The market structure favors selling on rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers.
KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOR
Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence):
4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area)
4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance)
These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds.
Lower buy-side liquidity:
4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone)
This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower.
EXPECTED PRICE FLOW
Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely.
A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity.
If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move.
FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors:
Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support.
Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation.
Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move.
Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
ShortKey Points About Strategy
1. Identify breakouts using recent pivot highs and lows.
2. For entry or exit, wait for the candle to close above or below the given level; do not wait for the target.
3. Obey the risk–reward ratio strictly.
4. Do not create positions that you cannot manage, and avoid taking multiple positions beyond your capacity.
5. You cannot predict the market in advance—news, results, or corporate actions don’t matter.
Essential Disclaimer:
For education only—this is not financial advice. Always research and consult a licensed advisor.
All trades are your responsibility; I am not liable for any outcomes.
IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS
Technical Outlook
CMP : 520.9
Chart Pattern
Stock has formed a cup and handle formation and looks poised to scale greater heights.
The stock has almost neatly recovered the March'24 Gapdown zone
Once it is completely recovered, I expect that stock to move towards its ATH
On weekly charts ,
EMA21 is approching EMA 63 and with the momentum, EMA21 should cross above EMA63 making LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(weekly)=72 , MACD line > MACD Signal and positive
On daily charts
LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(daily) =75, overbought and MACD line has just crossed above MACD Signal
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - FINANCIAL SERVICE/NBFC
IIFL's Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 107.xx, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 102, relatively Strong momentum compared to Nifty 500
IIFL is amongst the top performing NBFC's in the last 20 days based on normalised returns.
Its beaten the returns from the likes of BAJFINANCE, SHRIRAM FInance and Chola Finance among others
Future outlook
520>535>560>625>680>Blue Sky (NEW ATH)
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
JIOFIN 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Price (Approx):
~₹297.7–₹300.5 range this morning on NSE (latest intraday data)
📊 🔹 Daily Technical Levels (1‑Day Timeframe)
Pivot & Range (Today)
Pivot Point: ~₹300
Day Low / High Today: ~₹296.7 – ₹302.3
Resistance Levels
1️⃣ R1: ~₹305
2️⃣ R2: ~₹308
3️⃣ R3: ~₹312
Support Levels
1️⃣ S1: ~₹297
2️⃣ S2: ~₹293
3️⃣ S3: ~₹290
📈 How to Use These Levels Today
✔ Bullish scenario:
A sustained break above ₹305‑₹308 with volume can push price higher to ₹312+.
✔ Bearish scenario:
A breakdown below ₹297 could expose ₹293 and further ₹290 supports.
✔ Key pivot to watch:
₹300 — above keeps short‑term neutral/bullish; below may skew bears.
🕒 Intraday Context
Price is trading mixed around ₹298–₹302, indicating a neutral bias today unless levels are decisively broken.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 06/01/2026
1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
– D1 momentum is currently rising
– It may take another 1–2 D1 candles for momentum to enter the overbought zone
– This suggests the current bullish move still has room to extend and may last another 1–2 days before a clear reversal signal appears
H4 Timeframe
– H4 momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing for a bearish reversal
– In the near term, H4 is likely to form a corrective move / bearish reversal
– This downside move is expected to last at least several H4 candles once the momentum reversal is confirmed
H1 Timeframe
– H1 momentum is still rising
– However, only 1–2 more H1 candles are needed for momentum to enter the overbought zone
– Therefore, a short-term bearish reversal on H1 is highly likely
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
– The D1 structure remains within the purple wave Y
– Price is likely forming wave 1 or wave A of the bearish leg within wave Y
– The completion of wave 2 or wave B is likely to coincide with the next bearish reversal of D1 momentum
H4 Timeframe
– The structure of purple wave Y is more clearly visible on H4
– H4 momentum is currently preparing for a bearish reversal, suggesting a downside move ahead
– Confirmation requires at least one bearish H4 candle
– Once confirmed, the Sell scenario will continue to be prioritized
H1 Timeframe
– The current recovery move is forming a 3-wave ABC structure
– Price has already exceeded the Fibonacci target zone outlined in yesterday’s plan
– Price is now approaching a major liquidity zone at 4471
3. Liquidity Zones & Price Scenarios
– The major liquidity zone is highlighted by the red box on the chart
– This zone is located between 4471 – 4521
Primary Scenario
– When price first approaches the outer edge at 4471, a bearish reaction is highly likely
– This area is considered a preferred zone to look for a potential top
Bullish Continuation Scenario
– If H4 momentum reverses lower and moves into oversold territory
– While the corrective decline does not close below 4398
– Then we should prepare for another bullish continuation toward the 4471 – 4521 liquidity zone
Strong Bearish Scenario
– If price closes below the 4398 level
– Or even moves into the lower liquidity zone at 4348 – 4317
– Then the market is likely to enter a strong bearish phase toward deeper targets of wave Y
4. Trading Plan
– Sell Zone: 4470 – 4472
– Stop Loss: 4490
– TP1: 4405
– TP2: 4348
– TP3: 4072
➡️ Overall Strategy
– Continue to prioritize Sell setups around the 4471 area as planned
– Wait for additional confirmation from H4 and H1 momentum to enter trades with higher probability
PCJEWELLER 1 Month time Frame 📊 📌 Current Price Snapshot
Approx current price: ~₹10.14–₹10.30 per share (Jan 5–6, 2026) based on live market data.
52‑week range: ₹8.67 low → ₹19.65 high.
Recent trend: Up from late‑Dec lows but still below major longer moving averages.
📈 1‑Month Technical Levels
🛑 Resistance (Upside)
These are levels where sellers might step in:
₹10.55–10.60: 1st resistance area (near recent daily pivots).
₹10.85–11.25: Next resistance cluster from pivot calculations.
Above ₹11.30: More structural resistance — recent EMA/SMA levels (50‑100 day) lie around this broader zone.
💡 A break above ~₹10.85–11.25 with strong volume would be needed to shift momentum more bullishly in the next few weeks.
🧱 Support (Downside)
Key floors where buyers might appear:
₹9.85–9.96: Immediate support, including pivot support and volume accumulation zone.
₹9.45–9.50: Secondary support below near recent lows.
₹8.80–8.70: Strong broader support near 52‑week range lows (bearish fallback).
📌 Trading Range Summary (1‑Month View)
Scenario Level
Immediate Support Zone ₹9.85–₹9.96
Bearish Break Support ₹9.45 → ₹8.80
Resistance Zone ₹10.55–₹10.85
Bullish Break Target Above ₹11.25
CNXFINANCE - Bullish setup CNXFINANCE
CMP 26724
Has formed an inverted head and shoulder pattern with key resistance sloping down.
In this last week, CNX finance has decisively broken above this resistance and today this was tested and CNX Finance did well to hold above 26550-26575 levels and closed at 26724.
Confirmations :
Price action in the last week has reinforced this bullish notion with all LTP trading above all EMAs. LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200
Daily MACD Line > MACD Signal > 0 and trending up , Weekly MACD Line is slightly below MACD signal , however its trending up and above 0
I expect CNXFINANCE to continue doing well and reach 28000 levels by the end of this year.
Leading stocks include : CHOLAFIN,MCX,SBICARD,BAJFINANCE
Improving stocks include : SBILIFE
Weakening stocks include : AXISBANK,PFC,ICICIGI,SHRIRAMFIN,KOTAKBANK,MUTHOOTFIN
Lagging stocks include : RECLTD,HDFCAMC,ICICIPRULI,BAJAJFINSV,HDFCLIFE,ICICIBANK,HDFCBANK
Do your own research before acting on this view. This is not investment advice.
Disclosure 1 - Invested in select stocks
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
XAUUSD (H2) – Buying priority todayGold holds above 4,400 on safe-haven flows | Trade liquidity, don’t chase
Quick summary
Gold started the week with strong momentum and pushed above 4,400 during the Asian session as global markets rotated into safe-haven assets. Geopolitical risk is the key driver after reports of US ground strikes in Venezuela and the detention of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife. With that backdrop, my plan today is simple: prioritize BUY setups at liquidity zones, and avoid FOMO while the price is elevated.
1) Macro context: Why gold is supported
When geopolitical risk escalates, capital typically flows into gold.
Headline-driven sessions often bring:
✅ fast pumps, ✅ liquidity sweeps, ✅ larger wicks/spreads.
➡️ The safest execution is waiting for pullbacks into predefined buy zones, not chasing highs.
2) Technical view (based on your chart)
On H2, gold has bounced sharply and your chart highlights clear execution areas:
Key levels for today
✅ Buy zone: 4340 – 4345 (trend/structure pullback zone)
✅ Strong Liquidity: lower support band (marked on chart)
✅ Sell zone: 4436 – 4440 (near-term supply / reaction area)
✅ Sell swing / target: 4515 – 4520 (higher objective / profit-taking zone)
3) Trading plan (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback into 4340–4345
✅ Buy: 4340 – 4345
SL (guide): below the zone (adjust to spread / lower TF structure)
TP1: 4400 – 4410
TP2: 4436 – 4440
TP3: 4515 – 4520 (if momentum continues with headlines)
Logic: 4340–4345 offers a cleaner R:R than chasing above 4,400.
Scenario B: If the price holds above 4,400 and only dips lightly
Look for a buy only on clear holding signals near the closest support/strong liquidity (M15–H1).
Still not recommending FOMO entries in headline volatility.
Scenario C: SELL reaction (scalp) at supply
✅ If price tags 4436–4440 and shows weakness:
Sell scalp: 4436 – 4440
SL: above the zone
TP: back toward 4400–4380
Logic: This is a near-term supply area — good for quick profit-taking, not a long-term reversal call.
4) Notes (avoid getting swept)
The Asian session can spike hard on headlines → wait for pullback confirmations.
Reduce size if spreads widen.
Only execute when price hits the level and prints a clear reaction (rejection / engulf / MSS).
What’s your plan today: buying the 4340–4345 pullback, or waiting for price to push into 4515–4520 before reassessing?
US OIlafter highs of 78 in June 2025 we had steep fall in prices towards April 2025 lows 55 lots of consolidation have been seen in zone 62-55 from oct 25 to dec 25 . For the first time yesterday close has closed above downtrend line of last 7 month that also with bullish reversal candela . so now 55 -56 zone becomes important support as far as weekly and monthly closes concerns .if holds this level probability of strong positive momentum towards 65-70 levels in next 3-4 month cannot be ruled out . Bulls momentum view fails if weekly or monthly close start below 55-56 support zone .
RECLTD 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Latest Price (daily close / recent session): ~ ₹380–₹381 on NSE (previous close ~₹367.70; intra‑day ranged ~₹369.5–₹384).
📊 Daily Time‑Frame Key Levels
🎯 Pivot Levels (from recent pivot data)
Daily Pivot (PP): ~ ₹378.0–₹382.1
🚀 Resistance Levels
1. R1: ~ ₹383–₹386 — 1st resistance zone facing immediate sellers.
2. R2: ~ ₹392–₹393 — next resistance above near recent highs.
3. R3: ~ ₹401–₹402+ — strong resistance region above recent consolidation.
🛡 Support Levels
1. S1: ~ ₹372–₹374 — first key support near intraday consolidation.
2. S2: ~ ₹363–₹365 — secondary support zone from pivots/EMA/SMA clusters.
3. S3: ~ ₹332–₹338 — major lower support (52‑week lows zone).
📌 Interpretation (Daily Time Frame)
Above pivot ~₹380 → short‑term bullish bias; buyers prefer R1→R2 targets.
Below pivot (~₹378) → risk of pullback toward S1/S2.
Strong break below ₹365 → deeper correction potential toward ₹350+ region.
**Upside break above ₹392–₹395 → momentum can extend toward R3 near ₹400+.
AXISBANK 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Price (Approx)
• Axis Bank NSE price ~ ₹1,270 – ₹1,285 range (latest available live price on NSE)
📊 Daily Pivot & Standard Levels (1D Time Frame)
🔹 Pivot Point (Daily): ~ ₹1,271 – ₹1,275
📈 Immediate Upward Targets / Resistances:
• R1: ~ ₹1,277 – ₹1,280
• R2: ~ ₹1,288 – ₹1,295
• R3: ~ ₹1,300 – ₹1,305
📉 Support Levels:
• S1: ~ ₹1,260 – ₹1,265
• S2: ~ ₹1,250 – ₹1,255
• S3: ~ ₹1,240 – ₹1,245
📈 Additional Notes
• According to technical analysis sites, the short‑term trend has mixed signals (some oscillators show neutral to buy bias).
• RSI/MACD and moving averages (like 5/20/50 DMA) can add confirmation before breakout or breakdown.
🧠 How Traders Use These Levels Today
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above pivot (~₹1,271–₹1,275) and breaks R1 (~₹1,277–₹1,280) with volume → watch R2/R3 (~₹1,288–₹1,305) zones for profit‑taking.
Bearish Scenario:
Sustained close below pivot with low volume → watch S1/S2 (~₹1,260–₹1,255) for intra‑day support tests.






















