Nifty - Expiry day analysis Feb 20Price was moving in a range for the past few days and in that process has created a channel pattern. Also I can see a triangle inside the channel.
Buy above 22920 with the stop loss of 22880 for the targets 22960, 23000, 23040, 23100 and 23160.
Sell below 22840 with the stop loss of 22880 for the targets 22800, 22760, 22700 and 22660.
As per daily chart price is at support.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Parallel Channel
Godfrey Phillips India: Strong Breakout & Impressive Q3 Results!Hello everyone!
I hope you all are doing great. Today, I bring you a high-potential trading idea in Godfrey Phillips India . The stock has broken out from a downward channel , which indicates a bullish reversal . If the price retraces to the breakout level, the 5,650-5,350 range could be a good entry point. Set a stop loss just below 4,949 , and target the levels of 6,690 , 7,600 , and 8,535 for potential gains. Make sure to follow the levels closely for confirmation.
Now, talking about the fundamentals , Godfrey Phillips has shown great results in its latest quarter. The company’s total income stood at Rs. 1,896.75 crore , which is a solid growth from Rs. 1,482.11 crore . Net profit has also increased to Rs. 332.33 crore , reflecting its strong performance. The EPS also jumped to Rs. 63.92 , showing the company’s ability to keep growing despite the market conditions.
To wrap up , this breakout from the downward channel, along with solid quarterly results, gives me confidence in this trade. The 5,650-5,350 range looks like a solid entry, with a stop loss below 4,949 to manage risk. Focus on the 6,690 , 7,600 , and 8,535 levels as your targets, and let’s watch this play out for solid returns!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Flag and Pole in Nifty. 22500 or 23500?After last week's Trending Pole, Nifty has been sideways this week trading in a range and creating a retracement flag.
Breakout on either side of the Range could lead to a trending move towards the Upper Limit of the Parallel Channel (Green) 23500 or The Midline of the Parallel Channel (Yellow) 22500.
RSI is divergent
Any dip towards 22500 could witness a decent buying.
Trade outside the Flag only.
NSE IOC – Approaching a Key Demand ZoneTimeframe: Daily
After reaching a high of 196.8, the price has declined by over 39% in 13 weeks. It is currently trading below the 50/100 EMA band, with ATR at 3.68 and ADX at 26.02 . According to the Elliott Wave projection, the peak of 196.80 can be identified as a wave ((3)). The security is currently undergoing the formation of a corrective wave (4).
Wave (B) formed at 185.97 , while wave 4 of wave (C) was completed at 145.10 . NSE IOC is now setting up for the final wave 5 of wave (C).
Two key Fibonacci relationships help estimate the end of the correction:
1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (A) at 106.54 (for wave C)
0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at 115.52 (for wave 5)
The price is expected to settle between 115 and 105 , which serves as a key demand zone for buyers. If the price breaks out and sustains above 129.75, traders can target the following levels: 139 – 156 – 172+.
we will update further information soon.
DLFPrice is moving in a steady down trend. And in that process, price has formed a descending triangle. 680 is the near by resistance and 660 is the near by support.
Buy above 685 with the stop loss of 680 for the targets 690, 695, 702 and 708.
Sell below 676 with the stop loss of 681 for the targets 671, 665, 659 and 652.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Bank Nifty - Weekly review Feb 17 to Feb 21Price gave nice fall from rising wedge pattern and in that process has formed a descending channel. Now price is testing the upper trend line of the channel. 49000 zone is the trend direction deciding zone.
Buy above 49040 with the stop loss of 48940 for the targets 49140, 49220, 49340, 49460, 49600, 49720, 49850, 49980. 50k is important zone and price may become volatile as buyers and sellers will try to show their strength at that zone. Sustaining above 50100 can give another 500 to 800 points move.
Sell below 48800 with the stop loss of 48900 for the targets 48700, 48580, 48500, 48360, 48200, 48040 and 47950.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Muthoot Finance | VCP Pattern in Play Muthoot Finance | VCP Pattern in Play 🔍
Technical Overview
📈 Trend: Uptrend, trading within an ascending channel.
🔄 Pattern: Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) in progress, signaling potential explosive movement.
📉 Correction: The stock corrected ~15% during the recent market sell-off but rebounded strongly, re-entering the channel. It’s now only ~9% off its recent ATH, showcasing resilience.
Key Levels to Watch
✅ Entry Point: Breakout above ₹2279 with strong volume and a wide-range candle.
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹2492 (R:R = 1:1)
T2: ₹3200+ (post-market stabilization, aiming for R:R = 1:2)
🛡️ Stop Loss: ₹2067.9 (below the most recent swing low to manage risk).
Strategy
1️⃣ Enter 30% position on a clean breakout above ₹2279. Wait for a retest and continuation to add the rest.
2️⃣ If the breakout is sharp and you miss the entry, wait for a retest and continuation before entering, do not enter in FOMO.
3️⃣ Once T1 is hit, book partial profits to lock in gains, given the weak market conditions.
4️⃣ Hold the remaining position as per your risk appetite and trail your SL to protect profits.
Why This Stock?
⭐ Resilience: Despite the correction, Muthoot Finance re-entered the channel, showing strength against market headwinds.
📊 Strong Indicators: RSI is rising, signaling bullish momentum, and the VCP pattern suggests tightening volatility before a potential breakout.
📉 Controlled Drawdown: From its ATH, the stock fell just ~9%, demonstrating relative strength compared to the broader market.
⭐Trading above Key DMAs
Key Risks to Consider
⚠️ Weak Market Conditions: Broader market trends remain bearish, trading below the 200 DMA, increasing the chance of a failed breakout.
⚠️ Volume Dependency: Strong breakout volume is essential to validate the pattern.
⚠️ Market Correlation: Any further market correction could pressure this trade setup and the probability of hitting the SL increases. So trade light.
Who Should Trade This?
1️⃣Aggressive Traders: Can follow the breakout strategy with proper position sizing.
2️⃣Conservative Traders: Wait for market stabilization and a close of NIFTY 50, Nifty 500 above the 200 DMA before entering any trade.
Actionable Insights
🔒 Lock Partial Profits at T1: Secure gains to mitigate risk in this volatile environment.
📈 Trail Your Stop Loss: Once T1 is achieved, manage the trade dynamically to maximize returns.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk.
Trade wisely and stay disciplined! 🚀📊
Tata Consumer: Healthy Correction Within an Uptrend Topic Statement:
Tata Consumer has undergone a healthy correction while maintaining its position within a broad up-trending channel, offering clear opportunities for channel trading.
Key points:
1. The stock is moving in a broad up-trending channel, making channel trading easy.
2. The stock receives heavy support when approaching or touching the 180-day moving average.
3. The company reported a 6% profit decline QoQ in the third quarter.
SRM CONTRACTORS - At Channel Support The stock has been travelling in an ascending channel respecting the borders in 4 previous instances. Within the channel, we have seen how the stock price action has been repeating itself. As the saying goes history repeats itself, this time again the stock has shown strength at the channel support which in my opinion seems to be indicating a possible rally towards the upper border of the channel. Only time will tell.
Company has reduced debt.
Company is expected to give good quarter
3 Years ROE 34 %
Mahindra & Mahindra: Navigating a Sideways Channel Topic Statement:
Mahindra & Mahindra's stock is rangebound, presenting clear opportunities for channel trading amidst stable third-quarter performance.
Key points:
1. The company reported a 21.7% profit growth in the third quarter.
2. The stock price is moving in a sideways channel, making channel trading straightforward.
3. Heavy resistance is observed at 3200, while 2700 acts as strong support.
PCR Option TradingWhat is a good PCR ratio? A good PCR ratio depends on the market context, but generally, a PCR below 0.7 indicates bullish sentiment (potential market rise), while a PCR above 1.2 suggests bearish sentiment (potential market decline).
The PCR ratio can be interpreted in the following ways: PCR < 1: When the PCR is less than 1, it indicates that there are more open call contracts than put contracts, which can be seen as a bullish sentiment in the market. Traders and investors expect the underlying asset's price to rise.
Divi's Laboratories - Stable PerformerTopic Statement:
Divi's Laboratories has shown resilience amidst the broad market correction, with stable price movements and potential for accumulation near the 180-day moving average.
Key points:
1. Company reported a profit growth of 64% QoQ for the third quarter.
2. Price broke down from the up-trending channel, transitioning into a sideways pattern.
3. Strong resistance is present at the 6000 level.
4. The stock repeatedly approaches the 180-day moving average, presenting a good buying opportunity.
#DVLDhunseri Ventures Ltd's its fundamental data:
- *Market Capitalization*: ₹1,224 crores
- *P/E Ratio*: 4.8
- *P/B Ratio*: 0.4
- *EPS (TTM)*: ₹49.83
- *Dividend Yield*: 1.4%
- *52-Week High/Low*: ₹543/₹302
- *ROA*: 9.8225%
Please note that the data might not reflect real-time changes, and it's always best to verify with a reliable financial platform for the latest information.
CarTrade Tech- CnH FnP. Keep on Radar📊 CarTrade Tech - Technical Analysis 🚗
Reason for Picking This Stock:
CarTrade Tech has been in an uptrend since March 2023, trading within a rising channel. The stock tends to take support near the 50 DMA and the channel bottom, showcasing strong demand in those areas.
✨ Key Highlights:
1️⃣ Breakout from 3.5-Year Resistance: The stock has broken above a significant 3.5-year-old resistance level of ₹1,622.85 and gave a weekly closing above it.
2️⃣ Chart Patterns:
Cup and Handle (CnH) formation near the 3.5-year resistance.
Flag and Pole (FnP) pattern adds conviction to the breakout.
3️⃣ No Overhead Resistance: The left side of the chart shows no major resistance, providing room for upside movement.
4️⃣ Relative Strength in Market Correction: The stock has held strong during the broader market correction.
🎯 Trading Levels & Risk-Reward (R:R):
Entry: ₹1,835
Stop Loss (Closing Basis): ₹1,514
Positional Target: ₹2,543
SL %: 17.5%
R:R: 1:2
📌 How to Trade:
✅ Wait for Confirmation: A clear breakout with volume and a wide-range candle will strengthen the setup.
✅ Small Position Size: As the market trend is bearish, trade with reduced risk.
✅ Pullback Entry: Look for a pullback to the 50 DMA region or channel bottom for better risk-reward entries.
✅ Add on Base Formation: If the stock consolidates above the breakout level and breaks out again, consider this as a further entry point.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
🚨 The broader market is trading well below the 50 DMA and 200 DMA, with a death cross in play. Committing large capital at this point may not be advisable.
🚨 This is a pure technical call on a fundamentally weak company. Perform your own due diligence before trading.
💡 Key Points to Watch:
1️⃣ Clear breakout from the Flag and Pole (FnP) and Cup and Handle (CnH) patterns.
2️⃣ The channel top may act as a resistance, so monitor price action near those levels.
3️⃣ Broader market stabilization above the 200 DMA and 50 DMA is crucial for larger capital deployment.
🚦 Final Thoughts:
CarTrade Tech is showing relative strength in a falling market—a key factor for stock selection during corrections. The intention is to highlight opportunities in stocks performing well despite broader market weakness. Trade cautiously and stick to strict risk management. 💪 and do not wait for target to be achieved in this market condition. Try to book partial and trail SL.
📉 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GOLD - TRADING AT CHANNEL RESISTANCE - TIME TO SELL?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2858
Gold has reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $2861 & trading at rising channel resistance, amidst heightened risks of tariff conflicts and persistent inflation, encountering resistance at the channel trend. However, due to potential political manipulation, the possibility of a market correction exists.
Currently, gold is consolidating above $2840 following its ATH, as it awaits key data such as US employment figures and speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Increased volatility has been observed, driven by conflicting statements regarding former President Trump's tariff policies: tariffs were initially imposed, only to be rescinded a few hours later, highlighting the influence of political decisions. Following a false breakout at the resistance of the ascending channel, gold is now undergoing a correction, partly prompted by news of the temporary suspension of tariff hikes by the United States. Despite these fluctuations, gold remains resilient, supported by the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.
Key Resistance levels: $2860 and $2872
Key Support levels: $2845, $2840, $2818
Should the price fall below the $2840 mark and consolidate beneath this level, a short-term correction towards $2824 - $2815 may occur. However, no significant trend reversal is indicated, and growth may resume from these key support areas.
DIVISLAB Flag and Pole FormationTrade Setup
Entry Level: ₹6,336 🚀
Stop Loss (SL): ₹5,323 (Closing Basis)
SL Percentage: -16.01% 📉
Target Levels:
T1 (Positional Target): ₹7,404 (+16.88%) 🎯
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:1⚖️
Technical Highlights
📌 Flag & Pole: The stock shows a strong flag and pole pattern, indicating bullish potential.
📌 Key DMAs: Trading comfortably above key moving averages (DMAs), adding strength to the setup.
📌 Pullback Bounce: Well-supported bounce after pullbacks.
📌 Volume: Needs improvement for stronger confirmation.
📌 RSI: Decent, supportive of the setup.
Key Strategy
⚡ Wait for Volume Confirmation: Entry should be accompanied by increasing volumes to ensure breakout sustainability.
⚡ Tight Monitoring: Since the R:R is moderate, ensure disciplined adherence to the SL.
⚡ Partial Booking at ₹7,000: Optional for risk reduction before T1.
Risks:
1️⃣ Volume Concern: Weak volume might fail to sustain breakout.
2️⃣ Broader Market Trends: Adverse market movements may impact performance despite strong technicals.
💬 Execute cautiously, and ensure disciplined trading!
⚠ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please consult your advisor before trading.
MUTHOOTFINThe chart is self-explanatory and shared for educational purposes.
The most prominent feature is the clear upward-trending channel that the stock price has been respecting. This is a significant bullish indicator, suggesting consistent upward momentum. The recent price action shows the stock price touching the bottom of the channel line. This suggests a potential bounce-back towards the upper channel line, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment implied by the channel.
The alignment of the 50-day, 150-day, and 200-day moving averages, with the 50-day being highest, followed by the 150-day, and then the 200-day, is often considered a sign of a potential upward trend.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage potential losses.
NIfty at Channel & 200Ema support in 15 minsHello,
Nifty spot made high around 23800 after the 2025 budget now delhi elections exit polls and some selling there nifty in 15 mins trading at near channel support and there is Ema 200 line along with slow selling volume is not seen as needed for short opportunity RSI adjusting and oversold in 15 mins overall bullish set up forming.
$NSE:LTF NSE:LTF
📊 **L&T Finance Stock Chart Analysis** 📉
In the L&T Finance stock chart, I can identify a clear descending channel pattern forming in recent months (visible from October 2023 to January 2025). This pattern is characterized by:
- Two parallel descending trendlines containing the price action.
- The upper trendline connecting the lower highs (around 151.95, 145.87).
- The lower trendline connecting the lower lows (134.10, 129.20).
Currently, the price appears to be testing the upper resistance line of the channel around the 146 level. The channel has a slight downward slope, indicating an overall bearish bias during this period. However, the recent price action shows some bullish momentum as it's moving towards the upper boundary of the channel. The trading volume has been relatively consistent throughout this pattern formation, with some notable spikes during key price movements. The RSI indicator shown at the bottom also suggests increasing momentum with the recent upward movement. 📈
### Potential Breakout Analysis 📊
- The current price (146.07) is testing the upper resistance line of the descending channel.
- The RSI is showing strength, moving above the 50 level with positive momentum.
- Volume has increased recently, supporting the upward price movement.
### If a Bullish Breakout Occurs Above 146-147 Levels 📈
- **First Target:** Around 151.95 (previous swing high).
- **Second Target:** Could extend to the 159-160 zone (based on previous support turned resistance).
- The height of the channel is approximately 16-17 points (145.87 - 129.20), so projecting this from the breakout point gives a potential target of 162-163.
### Key Points to Watch 👀
- **Volume Confirmation:** Should see above-average volume on breakout.
- **RSI:** Should maintain above the 50 level.
- **Price:** Should close above the channel resistance for confirmation.
### Risk Management ⚠️
- Strong support exists at the 140-141 zone.
- Stop loss can be placed below the 134-135 level (channel support).
**Disclaimer:** These are technical projections and actual price movement may vary. It's important to use proper risk management and not solely rely on technical analysis for trading decisions. 📉📈
ICICI Prudential: Oversold and Poised for Recovery Topic Statement: ICICI Prudential Life Insurance has made a healthy correction, positioning itself near strong support levels within an up-trending channel.
Key Points:
1. The company reported a robust 43% profit growth QoQ.
2. The price is moving in an up-trending channel, providing clear trading opportunities.
3. The stock is taking support at the lower end of the channel, indicating oversold conditions.
4. The price is near the 180-day moving average, reinforcing the oversold status.
5. Weekly MFI is at 34 which also indicates the price being oversold.