ICICI Bank — 200-DMA Rejection Keeps the Downtrend IntactMarket Context
ICICI Bank continues to trade inside a broad descending channel that has governed price since the 1500 peak. Every counter-trend rally has been corrective so far, and the recent recovery has shown the same character — overlapping candles, choppy subdivisions, and clear respect for channel resistance.
Key Technical Drivers
1. Rejection at the 200-DMA
The rally stalled exactly at the 200-Day Moving Average. This is the same zone where price lost momentum earlier, reinforcing that the long-term bias remains downward. A failed attempt to reclaim the 200-DMA in a corrective environment typically signals trend continuation rather than reversal.
2. Channel Resistance Still Untouched
Even though momentum carried the stock above short-term levels, the broader upper channel boundary continues to act as the main ceiling. Price behaviour near this level is corrective, not impulsive — another sign that the move is still part of a larger complex structure.
3. Structure Supports a Triple Zigzag (W-X-Y-X-Z)
This entire decline is best interpreted as a higher-degree W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
W bottomed at 1342.60
X rallied to 1445
Y bottomed at 1317.40
The ongoing rally fits well as the second X wave
Wave (c) of this X leg may be close to completion, but the subwaves allow room for a marginal push to retest the channel top before turning lower. Nothing in the current leg looks impulsive enough to suggest a larger trend reversal.
Trading Plan
Direction: Expect the next leg to unfold downward as Wave Z begins.
Target Zone: Break below 1317.40 is likely, with measured support near 1280–1300 at the lower boundary.
Invalidation: A sustained break above 1411.90 invalidates the bearish Z-wave view and opens the door for a trend reassessment.
Conclusion
The failed 200-DMA retest, corrective price structure, and channel resistance all point to the current recovery nearing exhaustion. Whether Wave X makes one more marginal high or not, the broader path remains lower toward the Wave Z terminal zone.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research before taking any trading decisions.
Parallel Channel
Maruti: Rising Flag, Dropping ProbabilityStructure
The decline into Wave W is complete as a Regular Flat.
The rebound is a corrective Wave X, fully overlapping and contained within a rising channel.
Bias remains bearish as long as price trades inside this channel.
Wave Y Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below the channel near 16000.
Entry: Preferable after a break and retest of the lower channel line.
Target: Toward 15,260 to complete Wave Y.
Invalidation: A decisive close above 16,549 invalidates the bearish view.
Summary
The current rise is a corrective phase, not a trend reversal. The higher-probability outcome is a continuation lower into Wave Y unless the channel breaks to the upside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Power Finance Corporation – Complex Correction Still in PlayAfter topping out near ₹580, Power Finance Corporation (PFC) has been locked in a prolonged corrective structure. The price action since mid-2023 suggests a triple correction (W-X-Y-X-Z) , with the final leg (Wave Z) now unfolding.
Technical View
Price broke down from a rising channel and is currently retesting the underside of that channel – a classic setup to watch for continuation.
Wave (c) of Z appears to be in progress, keeping the near-term bias tilted bearish unless price crosses above ₹438.35 (invalidation level).
A potential termination zone lies around ₹250–225, aligning with the highlighted support cluster.
RSI is hovering in the mid-40s, showing lack of upside strength and leaning toward further weakness.
Summary
Bias remains bearish while below ₹438.35. A deeper leg into the ₹250–225 support cluster cannot be ruled out before this complex correction completes.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 2The price faced resistance at 26320 and fall down towards support. Now the price is testing the double bottom support at 26120.
If the price opens gap down and shows a bullish sign around the 26040 zone, buy above 26060 with the stop loss of 26010 for the targets 26100, 26140, 26180 and 26220. Channel resistance will be there at the 26200 zone.
If the price opens flat, check how it is reacting around 26200 and if it shows bullish strength, buy above 26240 with the stop loss of 26190 for the targets 26280, 26320, 26360 and 26400.
Sell below 25980 with the stop loss of 26030 for the targets 25940, 25900, 25860 and 25820.
Please note if the price opens at the 25300 zone or 25200 zone and shows bearish strength, then it is a sell.
Expected expiry day range is 25900 to 26300.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty - Weekly review Dec 1 to Dec 5The price was rejected from the resistance at the 26300 - 26320 zone. Sustaining above this is important to move up further. The daily chart shows the price has formed an inside bar. This type of range, when broken with strength, can give good movement.
26000 is the nearby psychological support zone.
If the price opens gap down and takes support from the lower trend line of the channel, buy above 26150 with the stop loss of 26100 for the targets 26190, 26240, 26280, 26320, 26360 and 26420.
Sell below 25980 with the stop loss of 26030 for the targets 25940, 25900, 25860, 25820, 25760 and 25720.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BPCL – Is a Double Combo Unfolding?After reviewing the recent price action in BPCL, the structure that initially looked like a potential impulsive rally has revealed a different internal behaviour upon closer inspection. The key deciding factor was the momentum profile at the recent high near 381.55 . Instead of showing the typical loss of strength expected at the end of a Wave 5, the RSI remained firm with no bearish divergence , which is a classic characteristic of a C-wave termination , not an impulsive fifth wave.
This prompted a reassessment of the entire advance.
Revisiting the Structure
From the March low near 234.01 , price advanced in a clear two-stage corrective manner. Both segments carried zigzag characteristics, aligning better with a W–X–Y double combo rather than an impulsive 1–2–3–4–5 sequence.
Wave W ended at 234.01 after a clean A-B-C decline.
The strong recovery that followed subdivided into two smaller zigzags, forming Wave X , which topped out at 381.55 .
The RSI behaviour at this point supported the corrective interpretation, showing strong momentum without the exhaustion typically seen at the end of an impulsive structure.
This combination lends weight to the view that the rally into 381.55 was corrective in nature.
Current Outlook – Wave Y in Progress
If the 381.55 high is accepted as the completion of Wave X, the decline from that point can be viewed as the early stages of Wave Y, which typically unfolds as another A-B-C structure.
The initial decline resembles a developing Wave A .
A corrective Wave B rebound can follow.
A deeper Wave C may then complete the entire double combo, with possible downside levels aligning toward the 240–260 region depending on the depth of the final leg.
These projected swings are guidelines, not certainties, and the internal structure of each leg must be monitored.
Invalidation Level
The critical level for this view is clear:
A decisive move above 381.55 invalidates the entire bearish W–X–Y expectation.
If price breaks and sustains above this level, the corrective interpretation collapses and a new bullish sequence would be favoured instead.
Conclusion
The internal characteristics of the rally—especially the RSI behaviour—support the idea that BPCL is unfolding a double combo correction rather than a completed impulsive advance. As long as the 381.55 level holds, the risk of further decline remains open, with a potential full completion of Wave Y lower.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
TCS – Supply Zone + Channel Resistance | Short Idea (4H)Price has reached a major supply zone aligned with the upper channel resistance, creating a high-probability rejection zone.
The confluence of:
Horizontal resistance
Supply zone
Rising channel top
makes this area a strong rejection point.
🔵 Reason for Short Setup
Price is reacting at a previous rejection zone
Clear bearish wick activity near resistance
Channel structure shows exhaustion at the top
Risk:Reward remains favorable
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Around current rejection zone
Stop-Loss: Above supply zone + channel breakout
Target 1: Mid-channel
Target 2: Lower channel support
🔍 Market Structure
4H trend is still forming higher lows, but momentum weakens at resistance
If price closes above the blue zone, setup becomes invalid
Watching for confirmation candle (bearish engulfing / rejection wick)
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 4H close above the blue resistance breaks the idea.
💬 Note
This is a pure price-action confluence setup. Will update once price reaches mid-channel target or shows breakdown signals.
BITCOIN NEED BREATHE CRYPTO:BTCUSD
BTC need take relief of selling because selling is continuously happened so one little bounce is possible and that bounce works as retest of channel breakdown.
Reverse Scenario:
Formation of any bottom pattern
V shape recovery
Long consolidation after with volume brake out.
All chances is possible but there are low possibility
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
If This Is Just Beginning Than End Is Danger.CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Weekly Closing Is Importance For Confirmation And If We Get Confirmation Than Follow Through Is Another Confirmation.
Channel breaking started. if we calculate channel target then around $45000 USD 💀
Please Do Your Own Research Before Talking Any Trade.
I am not finical advisor.
If you have any questions, please feel free to ask me.
Nifty 50 On UP Trend for 2026Nifty has formed a channel pattern for the past 1 year and in Nov 2025 it has broken the channel and has also done a retracement. Based on the height of the channel, we can expect Nifty to touch 29000, but maybe it can go beyond that and touch 30K by end of 2026 or early 2027.
Disclaimer: Kindly check with your financial advisor before taking any trade.
L&T Technology Services: Correction Complete Near Golden Ratio?After a textbook five-wave impulse from ₹2,924 (2022 low) to ₹6,000 (2024 high), L&T Technology Services appears to have completed a proportional A–B–C correction, finding support precisely near the 0.618 retracement (₹4,099) of the entire advance.
Wave Structure
The advance from the 2022 low unfolded as a clean 5-wave impulse, capped by Wave 5 near ₹6,000.
The subsequent decline subdivides neatly into A–B–C, with Wave C forming a perfect five-wave internal pattern.
Sub-wave (v) of C bottomed around ₹3,951 — just below (iii), confirming structural completion with ideal symmetry.
Fibonacci & Channel Confluence
The decline halted exactly at the 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse — a zone that often attracts buying in post-impulse corrections.
The downward-sloping corrective channel that’s guided Wave C is now flattening, with price repeatedly testing its upper boundary.
A sustained breakout above ~₹4,300–₹4,400 would signal that the market may be transitioning into a new impulsive phase.
Trade Perspective (Educational View)
Scenario 1 – Bullish:
A weekly close above ₹4,400 confirms breakout from the C-wave channel, opening the door toward ₹5,200 → ₹5,650 in subsequent impulsive waves.
Scenario 2 – Extended Correction:
Failure to clear the channel and a close below ₹3,950 would extend the correction toward deeper retracements near ₹3,600 or even ₹3,400.
Summary
L&T Technology Services has now checked every box of a mature corrective phase — Fibonacci alignment, structural symmetry, and wave alternation.
A breakout above the declining channel would be the first real hint that the larger uptrend is ready to resume. Until then, patience beats prediction.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
#ANGELONE: Big Swing Setup Inside Falling Channel#AngelOne | CMP: 2,793.40
Trading inside a falling channel , after a successful retest of the 1949–2022 breakout zone .
Dips toward 2,341 can be considered.
🛡 Supports: 2133–2101 / 2022–1949 (Major Zone)
🚧 Resistances: 3285 / 3503 / 3896 (ATH)
🎯 Falling Channel Target post Breakout: ~4,900 (+77% from CMP)
As long as 1,949 holds , structure stays bullish .
Massive swing opportunity forming. 🔥
#AngelOne #FallingChannel #ChartPattern #CandlestickPattern #PriceAction #SwingTrading
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Apollo Hospitals – Wave 5 Approaches Completion at ATH ZoneAfter a strong multi-year uptrend, Apollo Hospitals now trades inside the projected terminal zone of Wave 5. The stock has rallied from its Wave 4 low near ₹6,002 and is advancing toward the Fibonacci cluster between ₹7,542 – ₹8,494, where 1.0x and 1.618x extensions converge.
The long-term channel has guided price action well: Wave 4 respected the lower boundary, and now Wave 5 is pressing near the upper half of the channel.
However, the RSI tells a different story . Momentum has been stuck in a falling channel, even as price climbs higher. This bearish divergence signals exhaustion — a common occurrence when a fifth wave approaches completion.
Key Takeaways:
Wave 5 is nearing its potential terminal zone.
Price resistance sits between ₹7,542 – ₹8,494.
RSI falling channel highlights weakening momentum.
Signs of exhaustion suggest caution at current levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
JTEKT India Technical AnalysisHere's a comprehensive TradingView report for JTEKT India Limited:
Current Price:160.90
📊 TECHNICAL SETUP OVERVIEW
JTEKT India is displaying a compelling technical structure within a well-defined ascending channel pattern that has been in play since the 2020 lows. The stock is currently consolidating after a significant rally and appears to be setting up for the next leg of movement.
KEY TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS
1. Channel Pattern Analysis:
- Long-term Ascending Channel: The stock has been respecting a parallel channel since 2020, with clear support and resistance boundaries
- Current Position: Trading in the middle zone of the channel, suggesting room for movement in either direction
- Channel Support: Lower trendline around 120-130 zone
- Channel Resistance: Upper trendline projecting towards 220-240 zone
2. Moving Average Structure:
All major moving averages are sloping upward, confirming a strong bullish trend across multiple timeframes.
3. Price Action Patterns:
- Clear higher highs and higher lows formation since 2020
- Recent consolidation after touching 220+ levels suggests healthy profit-booking
- Volume expansion during rallies indicates strong buying interest
- Formation of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern on monthly timeframe
4. Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support Zones:
- S1: 148-150 (8/13 EMA cluster)
- S2: 134-135 (50 EMA + channel support)
- S3: 120-122 (psychological level + lower channel boundary)
Resistance/Target Zones:
- Target 1:188.50 (Previous swing high)
- Target 2: 209.71 (Major resistance + psychological 200 level)
- Target 3: 255.40 (Channel top + Fibonacci extension)
PROJECTION & TREND ANALYSIS
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability):
If the stock holds above 148-150 support zone:
1. First target: 188.50 (18% upside potential)
2. Breakout above 190 could trigger momentum towards 209.71
3. Ultimate target within channel: 255.40 (58% upside from current levels)
Bearish Scenario (Risk Assessment):
Break below 134 (50 EMA) could lead to:
- Retest of 120-122 zone (channel support)
- Deeper correction to 110-115 if channel breaks
- This would invalidate the current bullish setup
CONCLUSION
JTEKT India Limited presents a well-defined bullish channel with strong moving average support. The technical structure suggests the stock is consolidating before the next leg up, with multiple targets identified.
Accumulate on dips toward 148-150, add on strength above 170, with ultimate targets of 188, 210, and ₹255.
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Technical analysis should be combined with fundamental research, and proper risk management should always be employed. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#JTEKT #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #ChannelTrading #SwingTrading #NSE #AutoSector #MovingAverages #TrendAnalysis #IndianStocks
Asian Paints Turns Colorful Again!Hello Mates! Here’s a chart that really caught my attention this week Asian Paints showing strength after a long phase of quiet sideways movement. The structure is clean, the breakout is sharp, and the message from price action is clear momentum is shifting again.
After spending almost two years inside a broad consolidation zone between 3600 and 2600 (blue box), the stock finally formed a smaller accumulation base between 2200 and 2600 (green box). Within this base, price consistently made higher lows, hinting at renewed buying interest.
Now a strong breakout above the upper boundary of this smaller channel backed by volume confirms that buyers are regaining control.
A short term retest near 2650–2700 could offer an ideal pullback entry before continuation.
Technically two targets come into play-:
Target 1: The falling resistance trendline near ₹3100.
Target 2: falling resistance line breakout can lead this move toward 3600, which also aligns with the upper blue supply zone the same area that capped price for nearly two years.
Overall, this looks like a base-to-base transition where a fresh uptrend is emerging after a long consolidation. A sustained close above 3100 would further confirm this shift in structure.
Trading Insight-:
When higher lows meet a strong breakout, it often signals that the accumulation phase is ending and smart money is stepping back in.
Regards-- Amit.
Adani Enterprises Shares Jump After Fundraising - Chart AnalysisAdani Enterprises Limited – Technical Chart Analysis and Stock Update (November 2025)
Adani Enterprises shares surged by more than six percent today as investor sentiment turned positive following the company’s announcement of a massive Rs 24,930 crore rights issue.
This move marks the company’s biggest fundraising effort since its cancelled follow-on public offering (FPO) in 2023.
Over the last five years, Adani Enterprises has delivered a remarkable gain of more than 540 percent, reflecting strong growth across its infrastructure, energy, and renewable business segments.
The company continues to attract long-term investors due to its aggressive expansion strategy and focus on large-scale projects.
Technical View:
On the daily chart, Adani Enterprises is currently trading near Rs 2,484, showing a sharp upward recovery from its recent lows. The stock recently took support from the **Trend Line Support Zone** around Rs 2,350 – Rs 2,400 and has rebounded strongly with healthy volume.
The chart indicates a consolidation pattern between Support-1 (Rs 1,935 – Rs 2,013) and Resistance-1 (Rs 2,692 – Rs 2,769). A sustained move above Rs 2,770 could trigger further upside momentum toward the first target of Rs 2,990, as mentioned in the chart.
If the breakout above Resistance-1 is successful, the next key zones to watch will be Resistance-2 (Rs 3,252 – Rs 3,335) and Major Resistance (Rs 3,759 – Rs 3,914). These levels may act as potential profit-booking areas or supply zones in the short term.
On the downside, Support-1 remains a crucial base for the stock. Any closing below Rs 1,935 could invite weakness and may push the price toward the Major Support Zone near Rs 1,042 – Rs 1,159.
Pattern Observation:
Earlier this year, Adani Enterprises formed an upward channel pattern and later experienced a channel breakdown, leading to a corrective phase. However, the recent rebound from the lower trend line and today’s strong price action suggest renewed buying interest at lower levels.
The range between Support-1 and Resistance-1 currently acts as a consolidation zone , and a breakout from this zone could decide the next directional move for the stock.
Summary:
Current Market Price: Around Rs 2,484
Immediate Support: Rs 2,013 – Rs 1,935
Immediate Resistance: Rs 2,692 – Rs 2,769
Next Target (on breakout): Rs 2,990
Medium-Term Resistances: Rs 3,252 – Rs 3,914
Major Support: Rs 1,042 – Rs 1,159
Bias: Positive above Rs 2,770; neutral within the consolidation zone
Conclusion:
Adani Enterprises remains in focus after announcing its large-scale rights issue, signaling strong capital expansion plans.
From a technical perspective, the stock is trading near an important support trend line, and momentum indicators suggest potential strength if it sustains above Rs 2,770.
A breakout could open the path for a short-term rally, while strong supports below Rs 2,000 provide cushion for investors.
Bajaj Finserv rides a long-term bullish waveTopic Statement:
Bajaj Financial Services continues its evergreen bull run, supported by strong technical structure and improved affordability following its June 2025 stock split and bonus.
Key Points:
1. The stock is trading within a bullish up-trending channel, making it ideal for structured channel trading
2. Price rarely dips below the 200-day EMA, and such moments have historically been excellent long-term accumulation opportunities
3. Dips below the 50-day EMA offer favorable entry points for short-term swing trades or quantity accumulation
4. The stock faces stiff resistance at the 2000 level, which has historically acted as a ceiling
5. The June 2025 stock split and bonus have made the stock more affordable, resulting in increased volumes and improved liquidity
VIP Industries – Rising Channel Breakdown, Support Zone in FocusChart Structure
The stock completed a wave 3 advance up to 492.30. What followed is a corrective W–X–Y structure, which probably might test the previous breakout zone around 408–400. This aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and previous Wave 1 high, providing strong support.
Key Observations
The corrective leg has unfolded on weak volume, typical of a Wave 4 structure.
Recent breakdown from the rising channel suggests a final (c) leg of Wave Y into the blue support zone.
A possible wave (b) retest of the broken channel cannot be ruled out before the final dip.
As per Elliott Wave rules, Wave 4 must not overlap Wave 2 (391.85) – keeping structural integrity intact.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone: Strictly in the 408–400 support band.
Stop-Loss: 391.85 (under prior Wave 1 high, violation would invalidate the count).
Target: A new high above Wave 3, i.e., ≥492.30, as Wave 5 should extend beyond Wave 3.
Volume Insight
Correction is unfolding on weak volume – confirmation of Wave 5 will require a green volume expansion from the support zone.
Conclusion
As long as 391.85 holds, the Wave 4 correction is near its end. A rally into Wave 5 with targets above 492 remains the primary scenario. However, patience is key – entry only in the marked support band.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Testing Critical Resistance!CMP: $4.092
💥 Up +38% from mentioned support ( $3.013–$2.956 ) and +46% from lows in a month . 🚀
The falling wedge breakout played out strongly, and price is now testing the critical resistance of the falling yellow trendline near the previous swing high $4.067 .
A weekly close above this trendline will confirm a major breakout , potentially triggering the next leg higher.
📊 Key Levels:
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.013–$2.956 / $2.692–$2.643
🚧 Resistances / Targets: $5.125–$5.630 / $9.35–$10.00
Structure now forming a larger Symmetrical Triangle between rising and falling yellow trendlines — watch for breakout confirmation .
⚠️ Possible short-term pause/retest before continuation.
#NaturalGas #NG #Commodities #FallingWedge #RisingChannel #SymmetricalTriangle #ChartPattern #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Sensex - Expiry Day Analysis Nov 6The price faced resistance at 85k and falling from there inside a descending channel. The daily chart shows that the price is having bearish strength. Channel movement is tricky to trade. Observing how the price is reacting at the channel support/resistance is important to take a trade with conviction.
If the price opens a gap up or above the channel resistance, buy above 83760 with the stop loss of 83640 for the targets 83860, 83980, 84060, 84200 and 84360.
If the price faces resistance at the 83500 to 83600 zone and if it shows bearish strength, sell below 83500 with the stop loss of 83640 for the targets 83400, 83260, 83120, 83020, 82900 and 82780.
Expected expiry day range is 83100 to 83900.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Bharti Airtel climbs relentlessly but risks overbought correctioTopic Statement:
Bharti Airtel is on a strong bull run, maintaining momentum within a defined channel, though overbought conditions hint at a potential correction risk.
Key Points:
1. The stock is moving in a bullish up-trending channel, making it ideal for channel-based trading
2. Price generally remains above the 50-day EMA, signaling continued strength
3. The stock is currently highly overbought, and a sharp correction may be on the horizon as risk builds






















