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Parallel Channel

Netflix: Wave Z or a Surprise Truncation Ahead?After a textbook W–X–Y–X structure, Netflix now appears to be sketching the final leg “Z” inside a well-defined descending channel. Each corrective wave has respected the parallel boundaries — a sign of structural discipline rather than chaos. The latest drop to $1,087.30 tagged the channel’s lower rail and the Major Pivot near $1,064.50, precisely where the RSI has also reached its long-term support zone. This alignment hints that the market may be nearing exhaustion — but whether it’s the end of “Z” or just a pause before one more flush remains the key question. A sustained break below the pivot confirms completion of the triple correction, while a sharp rebound from here could mark a truncated Z, setting the stage for a larger recovery. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by WaveXplorer
Indus Towers: Channel Breakout Meets Wave TheoryA simple but powerful concept from classical technical analysis — the channel breakout target — plays out beautifully here. This idea, also discussed by Dr. Sudhir Dixit in his book on breakout signals, gives traders a disciplined way to estimate post-breakout targets. After a steady five-wave advance from ₹312.55 to ₹369.55, Indus Towers entered a clean descending channel , forming the corrective Wave 2. The breakout that followed came with a strong volume surge , confirming a clear shift in trend direction. Concept Recap In a channel breakout, the target can be derived by measuring the height of the channel (distance between support and resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point. That gives the 1:1 projection , while stronger rallies often stretch toward 2:1 or 3:1 multiples of that range. Wave Perspective Elliott Wave traders can interpret this breakout as the early phase of Wave 3 , which typically extends 1.0 to 1.618× Wave 1 . In this case, the 1.0× projection aligns near ₹395, while higher targets in the ₹412–₹430 zone fit naturally within Wave 3–5 progression. Key Chart Highlights Descending channel breakout — trend shift confirmed Volume surge validates breakout strength Wave 3 minimum extension ≈ ₹395 Stop-loss below ₹359 keeps the structure intact Takeaway: Even without labeling waves, the logic of a channel breakout offers a structured, rule-based method for identifying profit zones. Combine it with wave theory, and you transform a simple pattern into a roadmap for impulsive rallies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:INDUSTOWERLong
by WaveXplorer
2
Federal Bank: Wave 4 Triangle Near Completion, Wave 5 AheadAfter a clean five-wave impulse from the 2020 low near ₹35.70 to the 2024 peak at ₹220, Federal Bank appears to be transitioning into a larger corrective phase. Weekly Outlook The broader structure suggests the start of a 5-3-5 zigzag correction , marked as A–B–C . Wave A is still unfolding — only Wave 4 of A appears complete, with Wave 5 expected next to finish the first leg of the correction. Once Wave 5 concludes, price could rebound toward the lower channel trendline to form Wave B, a counter-trend rally within the broader correction. Thereafter, a deeper Wave C decline may follow, potentially stretching into the ₹149–₹128 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement range of the 2020–2024 advance. This developing structure reflects a natural pause after a long impulse cycle, with the market now transitioning into a corrective rhythm. Daily Chart Details Zooming in, the internal structure of Wave A shows a clear five-wave drop, with Wave (4) evolving as a contracting triangle pattern. The MA50 has started curling toward the MA200, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a classical confirmation of trend transition. If price breaks below the triangle base, Wave (5) could extend toward ₹186–₹178, derived from Wave 1 projected from Wave 4’s end. The targets will be adjusted once the final (e)-wave of the triangle is confirmed, as a minor uptick remains possible. A sustained move above ₹206.39 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and delay the decline. Conclusion: Federal Bank’s structure aligns with a typical post-impulse correction, and the interplay between Elliott Wave and moving averages provides a clear framework to track this phase. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:FEDERALBNKShort
by WaveXplorer
Tata Steel – Consolidation Breakout with VolumeAfter weeks of sideways price action, Tata Steel has broken out of its consolidation phase with a powerful surge in volume. The breakout candle not only cleared the consolidation range but did so with conviction — volume spiked to multi-week highs, confirming participation. If price holds above the breakout zone, immediate resistances are lined up at ₹170 and ₹178. Trade Plan Entry on retest near ₹165.8. Target: ₹178. Stop-loss: ₹162.4. Invalidation A close below ₹162.4 would weaken the breakout narrative and invalidate this setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TATASTEELLong
by WaveXplorer
1
ICICI Bank marches upward, nearing major Fibonacci resistanceTopic Statement: ICICI Bank continues its long-term bull run, supported consistently by technical levels, but now approaches a key resistance near the 1500 mark. Key Points: 1. The stock trades reliably within a well-defined up-trending channel, maintaining long-term bullish structure 2. Price is repeatedly supported by the 50-day EMA, acting as a dynamic floor throughout its rallies 3. It has only dipped below the 200-day EMA during rare deep corrections, like the COVID crash of 2020 4. Based on the Fibonacci levels plotted from the 2020 correction, the 423.6% extension lies near 1500 — a level already reached, where the stock may now face stiff resistance
NSE:ICICIBANK
by yogeshwar
Flag breakout inside a long-term rising channel NIFTY spent the last few months in a falling/sideways range (highlighted box) within a larger rising channel. Price has broken out on the upside and is pushing above the box top / local supply. A classic measured-move from the height of the box projects ~3,650–3,700 pts higher, aligning with the upper channel—pointing to ~29,400–29,600. Why it works Structure alignment : Local flag breakout with the primary up-channel. Confluence : Measured move ≈ upper channel touch, giving a logical exhaustion zone for profit-taking. What can go wrong False breakout : Quick rejection and close back under 25,700. Macro/event risk : Gap moves around data/events can bypass stops—position accordingly. Bias: Bullish while above 25,700 on daily closes. This is a technical study for educational purposes, not investment advice. Manage risk.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Jofy_Baby
BTC : RISING CHANNEL BREAK DOWN WITH 1:4 RR• BTC is trading inside upward trending channel from 17th October. • Tried to break the channel top at 8.30 P.M. 21th October IST however breakout failed • Big boys use this fake BO as liquidity trap and entered short. continuous selling there after and now market testing the channel low. • Underlying volume confirms the big boy's signature. • At IST 11 a.m. market is trading near channel bottom. • Go short if a candle close below 107450 with a sl 108250. • All the three-target mentioned in the chart • Trade with position sizing and psychology. • Education purpose only. • Happy trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by trader_ghosh
Reliance eyes breakout as bulls return post earningsTopic Statement: Reliance has gained bullish momentum following strong earnings and a market rally, now approaching a key resistance zone with breakout potential. Key Points: 1. The stock is climbing toward a triple top formation, which carries a high probability of a bullish breakout 2. It is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating strength but also making it relatively expensive in the short term 3. Price continues to move comfortably within its established up-trending channel, maintaining a well-supported bullish structure
NSE:RELIANCE
by yogeshwar
Can Fin Homes: Fifth Wave Ignites with Volume BoostAfter completing the third wave advance up to ₹817 and a corrective Wave (4) near ₹708, Can Fin Homes has broken past the prior swing high with a clean volume expansion. Wave Structure Impulse sequence from ₹615 (Wave 2) to ₹817 (Wave 3), followed by a deep yet proportional Wave 4. The current move looks like Wave (5) unfolding with minor waves 1-2-3 already visible. Price has cleared the swing barrier at ₹826 — watch for a healthy retest near ₹826–₹830 before Wave 4 of (5) and a final push higher. Momentum Check The volume spike adds conviction to the breakout, signaling genuine demand rather than a one-day pop. Targets Fibonacci projection 1.618 ≈ ₹932 marks the next logical resistance zone. Invalidation A sustained drop back below ₹817 would question the breakout and delay the fifth-wave progression. Strategy Stay bullish, but don’t chase — let price retest the breakout zone before fresh entries. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CANFINHOMELong
by WaveXplorer
CEAT (D) - Critical Crossroads: Breakout vs. Channel ReversalAfter a multi-year uptrend, CEAT Ltd has arrived at a major inflection point. While it has broken a key horizontal resistance and hit a new all-time high, it has also run into the upper boundary of a long-term channel, a point that has historically marked a reversal. This creates a classic standoff between two powerful technical signals. The Bullish Case: The Breakout The primary argument for the bulls is the recent show of strength and the clearing of a significant hurdle: - New All-Time High (ATH): The stock has successfully pushed into new territory, which is an inherently bullish sign. - Horizontal Breakout: It has decisively broken out and closed above the horizontal resistance line formed by both the previous ATH and the upper limit of its recent consolidation phase. - Consolidation & Dry Volume: Prior to this move, the stock was in a healthy consolidation phase since April 2025, during which volume was drying up . This is a classic sign that selling pressure was diminishing, often setting the stage for an upward move. The Bearish Case: The Channel Resistance Despite the breakout, the stock is still operating within the rules of a much larger, long-term pattern: - The Parallel Channel: Since April 2020, the stock has been trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel . It has consistently respected the upper trendline as a point of strong resistance and the lower trendline as support. - Rejection at the Top: Today, by hitting its new ATH, the stock has also simultaneously hit the upper resistance trendline of this channel . Historically, every time the price has reached this boundary, it has reversed and trended back down towards the channel's support. Conclusion and Key Scenarios to Watch The price action in the next few trading sessions is critical and will likely resolve this technical conflict. - Bullish Breakout Scenario: For the uptrend to accelerate, the stock must do something it has never done: achieve a decisive, high-volume close above the upper trendline of the parallel channel . If this occurs, it would invalidate the channel pattern and could signal a powerful new leg up, with a potential target of ₹5,100 . - Bearish Reversal Scenario: If history repeats itself and the channel resistance holds, the stock will likely be rejected from this level. A failure to stay above the recent horizontal breakout would be the first sign of weakness, potentially leading to a reversal back down to the channel's median, around the ₹3,725 level. In short, the market is at a "prove it" moment. The bulls have broken a minor resistance, but the bears are defending a major long-term boundary. The winner of this battle will likely dictate the trend for the coming months.
NSE:CEATLTDLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
L&T Technology Services: Correction Complete Near Golden Ratio?After a textbook five-wave impulse from ₹2,924 (2022 low) to ₹6,000 (2024 high), L&T Technology Services appears to have completed a proportional A–B–C correction, finding support precisely near the 0.618 retracement (₹4,099) of the entire advance. Wave Structure The advance from the 2022 low unfolded as a clean 5-wave impulse, capped by Wave 5 near ₹6,000. The subsequent decline subdivides neatly into A–B–C, with Wave C forming a perfect five-wave internal pattern. Sub-wave (v) of C bottomed around ₹3,951 — just below (iii), confirming structural completion with ideal symmetry. Fibonacci & Channel Confluence The decline halted exactly at the 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse — a zone that often attracts buying in post-impulse corrections. The downward-sloping corrective channel that’s guided Wave C is now flattening, with price repeatedly testing its upper boundary. A sustained breakout above ~₹4,300–₹4,400 would signal that the market may be transitioning into a new impulsive phase. Trade Perspective (Educational View) Scenario 1 – Bullish: A weekly close above ₹4,400 confirms breakout from the C-wave channel, opening the door toward ₹5,200 → ₹5,650 in subsequent impulsive waves. Scenario 2 – Extended Correction: Failure to clear the channel and a close below ₹3,950 would extend the correction toward deeper retracements near ₹3,600 or even ₹3,400. Summary L&T Technology Services has now checked every box of a mature corrective phase — Fibonacci alignment, structural symmetry, and wave alternation. A breakout above the declining channel would be the first real hint that the larger uptrend is ready to resume. Until then, patience beats prediction. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:LTTS
by WaveXplorer
Eternal (D) - Hits New High But Stalls at Channel ResistanceZomato has been trading in a predictable, well-defined pattern, but recent price action, including a new all-time high today, is showing significant signs of exhaustion that could signal a short-term reversal. The Ascending Channel Since July 2025, the stock has been trading within a clear ascending channel , consistently respecting the upper boundary as resistance and the lower boundary as support. This pattern has provided a reliable roadmap for the stock's trajectory. Today (Tuesday, October 14, 2025), while the stock did register a new All-Time High (ATH), it importantly failed to break out of the channel's resistance and was rejected from this upper boundary. This price action suggests that selling pressure is emerging at this predictable level. Warning Signs of Waning Momentum Several indicators support the view that the current up-move is losing steam, despite the new high: - Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in a "lowering state" while the price is making new highs. This is a classic bearish divergence , a strong indicator that the underlying momentum of the trend is weakening. - Declining Volume: The recent rally towards the top of the channel has been accompanied by decreasing volume, which suggests a lack of strong conviction from buyers at these higher levels. While the short-term EMAs remain in a bullish state, the rejection at resistance combined with these warning signs presents a compelling case for a potential pullback. Outlook Based on the consistent channel pattern and the clear signs of weakening momentum, the most probable scenario is that Zomato will reverse from this resistance level and trend down towards the channel's support line. The key action to watch for in the coming days is a confirmation of this reversal, such as a close below today's low or the formation of a strong bearish candle. A decisive, high-volume breakout above the channel's resistance would be needed to invalidate this bearish outlook.
NSE:ETERNALShort
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
HCLTech shows signs of reversal after global-policy-driven correTopic Statement: HCLTech, like other IT peers, has been dragged down by global economic policies but now shows early signs of recovery from key support levels. Key Points: 1. The stock corrected down to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1385, where it found strong support 2. Price reversed after touching the lower boundary of its bullish channel, reinforcing the trend structure 3. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock is oversold in the short term and presents a possible accumulation opportunity
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by yogeshwar
Siemens Down to Support zone??!!Siemens has been travelling inside a Ascending Expanding Channel Pattern(bold yellow line) from March 2025( making higher highs and higher lows ) Now it is in the down move to making a higher low (to support level) This down move is being done by market in the form of Descending channel pattern making lower highs and lower lows(shown as purple line) There is also a Head & Shoulders pattern ...which has given BREAKDOWN with Good Volume support (yesterday-13-10-2025) Siemens is looking to take support at 2900 levels(2920) SL can be bit choppy (either the high of Breakdown candle/high of right shoulder) Bearish view can be negated once the red dotted line breaks!!! Let's wait and watch!!! Thank you!!!! Just my view...not a tip nor advice!!!!
NSE:SIEMENSShort
by mmjimm
2
BTC: TEST OF RISING CHANNEL TOP AND POSSIBLILITY OF FREE FALL• BTC is trading in an upward trending channel for the last 4 years. • It has recently tested the channel top in the last 4 months. • 3 attempts made to break the channel top, but it fails to sustain above 125000. • Aggressive selling happens in last week pushing the price near short term channel bottom. in.tradingview.com • Looking at the intensity of selling it seems it would break the short time frame channel bottom near 108500. • Long term short position could be initiated with a target of T1 near channel mid-point and T2 near channel bottom 55000. • Like to sell long team CE with high premium once the short term channel bottom broken. • Play with money management and keep psychology intact. • Educational purpose only. • Happy trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by trader_ghosh
4
India Hotels enters bearish zone under heavy selling pressureTopic Statement: India Hotels has faced persistent selling since the start of the year, breaking its uptrend and entering a bearish phase. Key Points: 1. The stock is now moving within a down-trending channel, making channel-based trading effective 2. Price is trading below both the 50 and 200-day EMAs, marking it as highly oversold in the short to medium term 3. Strong support has been established at the 700 level, which serves as a key accumulation zone for long-term investors
NSE:INDHOTEL
by yogeshwar
Axis bankPrice faced resistance at the 1200 - 1220 zone and falling. In higher time, the price is moving inside an ascending triangle. In a lower time frame, a falling wedge has formed. Both are bullish patterns. Holding 1160 is important for bulls. Buying is risky if the price dont have volume strength. Buy above 1168 with the stop loss of 1161 for the targets 1174, 1182, 1190, and 1198. Sell below 1156 with the stop loss of 1164 for the targets 1148, 1140, 1132, and 1126. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:AXISBANK
by vanathi