Flagpole & Breakout – Bullish Continuation Setup🔎 Overview   
 The  Flagpole & Breakout  setup is a  bullish continuation pattern  that forms during strong uptrends.  
It represents a temporary pause in momentum where prices consolidate after a sharp upward move (flagpole) — before continuing higher.  
This pattern highlights a healthy market structure: strong impulse → controlled pullback → renewed breakout.   
____________________________________________________________
 📔 Concept   
 • The pattern starts with a sharp  upward surge  (Flagpole) driven by strong buying momentum.  
• After this, price enters a  consolidation phase  that resembles a small symmetrical triangle or a downward-sloping flag.  
• Buyers and sellers reach temporary equilibrium before the next impulsive leg.  
• A  breakout above the upper trendline  confirms the continuation of the prior uptrend.   ____________________________________________________________
 📌 How to Use   
 ✅  Validation  → When price closes above the upper trendline, confirming bullish continuation.  
❌  Devalidation  → If price breaks below the lower support line, pattern fails.   
____________________________________________________________
 📊 Chart Explanation   
 •  Flagpole  → Represents the strong initial buying momentum driving prices higher.  
•  Pennant / Flag  → The consolidation phase where the market takes a breather before the next move.  
•  Upward Move  → Indicates powerful buyer strength leading into the pattern.  
•  Consolidation Zone  → A tight price range where buyers and sellers balance before breakout.  
•  Breakout  → A bullish signal confirming the continuation of the prior trend.  
•  Key Insight  → The stronger the flagpole and the tighter the consolidation, the higher the breakout reliability.   
____________________________________________________________
 👀 Observation   
 The flag pattern reflects market psychology — after a surge, traders take profits, causing short-term consolidation.  
Once sellers are absorbed, a breakout occurs, attracting new momentum buyers and triggering trend continuation.  
High volume during the breakout adds confirmation and strength to the setup.   
____________________________________________________________
 💡 Conclusion   
 Flag and Pennant formations are among the most reliable  continuation patterns  in technical analysis.  
Recognizing them early allows traders to join the trend with defined risk and reward setups .  
____________________________________________________________
 ⚠️ Disclaimer   
 📘 For educational purposes only.  
🙅 Not SEBI registered.  
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.  
🧠 Purely a learning resource.  
📊 Not Financial Advice.  
Pennant
Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HINDCOPPER) Price Analysis   **Date:*#### **Current Price and Intraday Movement**
- **Latest Price:** ₹237.98 (+5.09% / +₹11.52) 
- **Day’s Range:** ₹225.50 – ₹240.10 
- **Open:** ₹227.60 
- **Previous Close:** ₹226.46 
- **Volume:** 1.63 crore shares (well above average daily volume of 55.89 lakh) 
#### **Technical Overview**
- **52-Week Range:** ₹183.82 – ₹381.90 
- **50-Day Average:** ₹216.99 
- **200-Day Average:** ₹260.58 
- **Market Cap:** ₹23,013 crore 
- **P/E Ratio:** 57.48 
- **EPS:** ₹4.14 
#### **Recent Performance and Trends**
- **Short-Term Trend:** The stock surged over 5% today, outperforming its sector and showing strong buying interest .
- **Volume Spike:** Today’s volume is nearly triple the average, indicating heightened trader participation .
- **Technical Position:** The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average but remains below the 200-day average, suggesting a recovery from recent lows but still under medium-term resistance .
- **Support/Resistance:** Immediate resistance is near ₹240–₹249 (upper circuit), with support at ₹225 and ₹216 (50-DMA) .
#### **Fundamental Snapshot**
- **Valuation:** High P/E ratio (57.48) signals expensive valuation relative to earnings .
- **Profitability:** EPS at ₹4.14; profit margins have been under pressure.
- **Industry Position:** Hindustan Copper is India’s primary copper producer, with exposure to global copper price trends and domestic infrastructure demand.
#### **Outlook**
- **Short-Term:** Strong momentum and volume could drive further upside if it breaks above ₹240, but overbought conditions may trigger profit booking near resistance.
- **Medium-Term:** Needs to sustain above the 200-DMA (~₹260) for a confirmed trend reversal.
- **Risks:** High valuation and recent volatility; global commodity price swings can impact earnings.
---
**Summary:**  
Hindustan Copper is showing robust short-term momentum with strong volume and price gains, but faces resistance near ₹240–₹249. The stock remains fundamentally expensive, and investors should watch for sustained moves above the 200-DMA for a longer-term bullish signal .
TFCILTD Price Action## TFCILTD – Price Analysis (August 2025)
### Price & Market Metrics
- **Current share price:** ₹297.75 (as of August 13, 2025; latest close).
- **Market capitalization:** Approx. ₹2,757crore.
- **52-week range:** ₹122.32 (low) – ₹303.50 (high); new high reached in early August.
- **All-time low:** ₹4.45 (Sep 2001).
- **All-time high:** ₹303.50 (July–August 2025).
- **Day’s range (Aug 13):** ₹282.60–₹303.50.
- **Volume:** 3,955,421 shares traded on Aug 13.
- **Beta:** 1.24, showing moderate volatility.
### Returns & Volatility
- 1-week gain: Around 8.25%.
- 1-month gain: Approximately 4%.
- 1-year return: Roughly 67%.
- Daily moves of 5-6%; volatility is moderate to high recently.
### Valuation
- **Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio:** 31.10–31.47 (much higher than sector average of ~11.4).
- **Price/Book (P/B) ratio:** 2.69–3.14.
- **Book Value Per Share:** ₹94.80–₹110.54.
- **Dividend yield:** About 1.01%; ex-dividend date August 14, 2025.
- **EPS (TTM):** ₹9.46–11.77.
- **Intrinsic value estimate (GF Value):** ₹152.95—current price trades at a 95% premium over this fair value estimate.
### Financial & Business Highlights
- Revenue (TTM): ₹1.58billion.
- Net profit (TTM): ₹1.09billion.
- Net profit margin: Approximately 69%.
- Debt/Equity Ratio: ~70.9% (moderate leverage).
- Gross margin: 99% (financial lending business).
### Technical & Sentiment Overview
- Stock made a new all-time high in early August.
- Trend is bullish, supported by heavy volumes.
- Dividend payout scheduled for September 20, 2025.
- Overall business cited as "average growth, high valuation" in recent analysis.
***
## Summary
TFCILTD is trading near record highs at ₹297.75, well above its estimated fair value and sector norms. The stock’s valuation metrics—particularly its P/E and P/B ratios—are elevated, reflecting strong price momentum and investor enthusiasm. Financial performance shows very high profit margins and reasonable growth, but the premium to intrinsic value signals potential overvaluation risks. Volatility and recent price swings are moderately high. Investors should weigh current optimism and momentum against valuation concerns and sector returns.
Cupid Price ActionCupid Limited’s stock is trading around ₹158 as of early August 2025, having recently hit new record highs above ₹162. The share price surged over 45% in the past month and is up more than 100% year-to-date, significantly outperforming both its FMCG peers and the broader market. Volatility is high: daily moves of 5–6% are common, and intraday swings have reached as much as 8%. The stock is trading well above all major moving averages, reflecting strong buying momentum.
Long-term performance is outstanding: over 1,300% returns in three years and more than 2,100% across ten years. That said, short-term technical signals show that Cupid is “overbought” (very high RSI) and potentially due for a corrective pullback, though robust momentum could drive further gains. The high PE ratio near 104 and price/book around 21 indicate a rich valuation versus historic averages and sector norms.
Market capitalization is about ₹4,240 crore. Despite being expensive on most valuation models, the company is seen as fundamentally strong: steady operational performance, minimal debt, and no significant pledged shares. The company’s next earnings announcement is due August 8, and recent market behavior suggests results can drive significant further volatility.
Compared to other FMCG names, Cupid’s returns are exceptionally strong while most large and mid-cap sector players (like HUL, Dabur, and Colgate) have posted declines over the past year. Liquidity has increased with heavy volume spikes during rallies, supporting the uptrend.
In summary, Cupid is a high-momentum, high-volatility small-cap outperformer exhibiting extraordinary multi-year returns. The stock trades at elevated valuations and, while short-term corrections may occur, its leadership in the sector and technical strength continue to attract aggressive buyers.
ANANTRAJ Price Action 
## Current Price & Performance
- Last close was ₹607.20.
- Over the past week, the stock is up more than 10%, showing strong short-term momentum.
- Over the past year, it has gained nearly 25%, but suffered a sharp 32% drawdown over six months.
- The 52-week price ranged from ₹376.15 to ₹947.90, reflecting high volatility.
## Valuation and Metrics
- ANANTRAJ trades at a high valuation, with price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios above typical industry averages.
- Its market capitalization puts it among the stronger players in the real estate sector.
- Key valuation multiples such as PE and EV/EBITDA are elevated, indicating investors are paying a premium for expected growth.
- The stock’s PEG ratio suggests its growth is reasonably in line with its price.
## Analyst Sentiment and Targets
- Most analysts rate the stock as a strong buy, highlighting strong upside potential with target prices higher than the current market price.
- The consensus one-year price targets suggest potential returns ranging between 24% and 49% from current levels.
## Technical & Fundamental Observations
- Compared to sector peers, its PE is lower than certain high-flyers but remains above the overall industry average, making it expensive by historical standards.
- Return on equity has hovered around 8.5% recently, with efficient operating and employee costs supporting margins.
- A modest dividend has recently been declared.
- A slight increase in promoter holding indicates management confidence.
## Risk Factors
- Substantial volatility in recent months may raise concerns for risk-averse investors.
- Both intrinsic value models and relative measures suggest the shares may be overvalued by over 20% at current prices.
- While momentum and sentiment are positive, valuation risk remains a key factor for new investors.
## Conclusion
ANANTRAJ is benefiting from strong momentum and positive sentiment, with analysts forecasting further upside. However, current valuation levels are high, and investors should carefully weigh the potential for price appreciation against the risk of overvaluation and ongoing volatility. Consider both the fundamental strengths and the elevated price multiples before making an investment decision.
TDPOWERSYS Price Action## TDPOWERSYS Price Details (as of August 8, 2025)
### Market Metrics
- Current share price is ₹472.85.
- Market capitalization is ₹7,385crore.
- The 52-week price range is ₹293 to ₹552.75.
- Its all-time low was ₹14 in March 2020; all-time high is ₹552.75 in June 2025.
### Returns & Volatility
- 1-month return: -1.48%.
- 1-year return: about 18%-20%.
- 3-year return: over 300%.
- 5-year return: over 1,900%.
- Weekly volatility is 6%, which is above average.
- Beta is 2.04, indicating higher risk and volatility versus the overall market.
### Valuation
- Price/Earnings Ratio: 42.31, higher than sector average.
- Price/Book Ratio: 8.58, above sector average.
- Dividend yield is 0.25%.
### Company Fundamentals
- Trailing 12-month revenue: ₹13.77billion.
- Net Profit Margin: 13.75%.
- EPS: ₹12.12.
- Gross margin: 34.13%.
- Debt to equity: 1.4%, showing low leverage.
### Valuation Analysis
- Estimated intrinsic value is ₹258.02.
- Current price is about 45% over this value, meaning the stock is overvalued.
### Qualitative Notes
- Strong profitability and cash flow, but price reflects high growth expectations.
- High volatility, especially in the short term.
- Dividend policy: small but regular.
- Recent technical signals showed buy recommendations, but the stock has been correcting lately.
**Overall:** The stock is highly priced relative to its value and historical norms, with impressive growth but also increased volatility and a potential for continued price correction.
INDIANB Price ActionAs of July 24, 2025, Indian Bank (INDIANB) is trading around ₹639, showing strong momentum after recovering from recent declines. The stock is close to its 52-week high of approximately ₹658, indicating a robust upward trend in the public sector banking space.
The bank has demonstrated consistent financial growth, with a 14% year-on-year increase in both deposits and advances, currently standing above ₹63,000 crore and ₹53,000 crore respectively. Total business volume grew to over ₹1.16 lakh crore. Net profit for the last financial year increased by 11% to around ₹1,124 crore.
Asset quality has improved, with gross non-performing assets (NPA) reducing to 3.09% and net NPA to 1.25%. The provision coverage ratio is strong at 78%, reflecting prudent risk management. Net interest margin (NIM) is stable at approximately 3.6%, supporting healthy core profitability. The cost-to-income ratio is near 48%, indicating moderate operational efficiency.
Return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) stand around 1.55% and 12.6% respectively, highlighting solid returns relative to asset base and shareholder equity. Capital adequacy ratios remain comfortable under Basel III norms.
Technically, Indian Bank’s stock is trading above major moving averages (5, 20, 50, 100, 200 days), confirming positive price momentum. Year-to-date, the stock has delivered over 21% returns, outperforming many peers in the public sector banking segment.
Overall, Indian Bank presents a strong growth and stability profile with improving asset quality, stable margins, and expanding business volumes, making it an attractive candidate in the public banking sector for medium to long-term investors.
MEDANTA Price ActionMedanta (Global Health Ltd) is currently trading in the ₹1,300–₹1,335 range, having shown a notable run-up over the past six months, but with increased volatility in recent weeks. The stock reached a recent high near ₹1,393 and a low around ₹935 during the past year.
Fundamentally, Medanta continues to deliver robust revenue growth: annual revenues for FY25 rose to ₹3,692 crore, up approximately 13% from the previous year. Operating profitability remains strong, with margins in the 23% range and net profits exceeding ₹480 crore for the latest fiscal year. However, the most recent quarter saw a profitability dip due to a non-recurring expense, reflecting some variability in the bottom line.
On valuation, Medanta trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 73 and a price-to-book (P/B) above 11, both of which are elevated compared to sector averages. This premium reflects market optimism about its growth prospects but also limits the scope for immediate, significant upside. The company has a modest dividend yield and consistently generates healthy cash flows, contributing to financial strength.
The outlook from analysts remains moderately positive: one-year price targets are clustered around ₹1,300–₹1,500, with the company expected to benefit from long-term sector growth and its strong operating metrics. Near-term, the share price may consolidate after recent gains, with moves likely guided by the next round of earnings and overall market sentiment. Medanta’s key strengths are scale, profitability, and discipline, but its premium valuation requires steady execution and increasing returns to justify further appreciation.
MFSL Multi time frame AnalysisMulti-timeframe confluence analysis offers traders a robust edge through straightforward yet highly effective methodology.
Based on that MFSL is a strong Buy on dips stock based on powerful breakout of previous ATH and the current market structure.
Targets are derived from #Pattern #breakout and #Fibonacci levels.
Bullish Pennant in formation.
Disclaimer: Above analysis shared for educational purpose only.
NEWGEN – Demand/Supply Zones and VCP Pennant Formation This chart analyzes NEWGEN’s price action around significant demand and supply zones, with a focus on the ongoing pennant/VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) base near support. Key moving averages provide context for recent trend shifts, while the technical summary and quarterly performance box support deeper analysis. Watch for breakout moves above the pennant resistance or further demand zone reactions as these will determine the next directional bias.
NETWEB Price actionNetweb Technologies (NETWEB) is trading at ₹1,947.40 as of July 11, 2025. The stock has shown a strong short-term recovery, up about 7.4% in the last session and nearly 6.8% over the past week, but it remains down by over 25% in the past six months. The 52-week high is ₹3,060 and the low is ₹1,251.55.
Valuation-wise, NETWEB is trading at a high price-to-earnings ratio (around 90–96) and a price-to-book ratio near 20, indicating a premium valuation. The company’s market capitalization is approximately ₹11,000 crore. Promoter holding has slightly decreased in the recent quarter.
For the near term, technical targets suggest resistance around ₹2,000–2,040 and support in the ₹1,750–1,850 range. Analyst forecasts for the next year place price targets between ₹1,824 and ₹2,805.
Fundamentally, the company is considered overvalued at current levels, despite strong recent profit growth. The stock’s premium valuation and recent volatility suggest caution for new investors, with further upside dependent on continued earnings momentum and broader market sentiment.
PRAENG Price Action
### Market & Price Metrics
- **Current share price:** ₹17.81 as of August 8, 2025.
- **Market capitalization:** ₹125crore.
- **52-week range:** ₹12.85 (low) to ₹22.80 (high).
- **Recent movement:** Price has declined by about 2.7% in early August, reflecting ongoing downward trend.
### Returns & Volatility
- **1-month change:** Negative, with price down from approximately ₹19.9 in early July.
- **1-year trend:** Down over 49% from August 2024.
- **Price swings:** High volatility, often 3-5% daily moves.
### Valuation
- **PE Ratio:** Not meaningful due to consistent losses (latest EPS: -₹4.29 for FY 2025).
- **Book Value Per Share:** Estimated near ₹38 but reflecting asset sales.
- **Dividend yield:** Nil – no payouts in recent years.
### Company Fundamentals
- **Revenue (FY 2025):** ₹57.5crore, little change over previous year; long-term growth remains muted.
- **Net Profit Margin:** Deeply negative, with net loss of about ₹30crore for FY 2025.
- **EPS:** Negative, improved (less loss) from previous FY (-₹4.29 vs -₹5.57).
- **Net Worth:** ₹486crore.
- **Total Assets:** ₹839crore.
- **Debt/Leverage:** Total outside liabilities ₹352.8crore; interest coverage very weak.
### Cash Flow & Profitability
- **Operating cash flow:** Positive at ₹19.2crore for FY 2025.
- **Free cash flow:** Volatile — positive some years, negative in others.
- **Return on Equity (ROE):** Negative.
- **Return on Assets:** Negative, driven by losses.
### Business & Qualitative Notes
- **Growth:** Minimal and below industry norm; 5-year annual revenue growth less than 3%.
- **Market share:** Continues to decline.
- **Profitability:** Negative margins and earnings; unable to achieve sustainable profitability.
- **Dividend:** No payout record; losses preclude distributions.
- **Shareholding:** Promoters hold about 36.8%, retail and others 63.2%.
### Technical & Sentiment
- **Trend:** Bearish in recent months; repeated breakdowns at support levels.
- **Analyst view:** Sentiment remains negative — company lacks near-term growth catalysts; high risk.
***
**Summary:** PRAENG is a deeply distressed small-cap real estate company, trading near multi-year lows after sustained losses, high volatility, and deteriorating fundamentals. No dividends, weak sales trends, and negative returns underscore significant investment risk at current prices.
TIMETECHNO Price ction
### Market Metrics
- **Current share price:** ₹458.10.
- **Market capitalization:** ₹10,396crore.
- **52-week price range:** ₹306.60 (low) to ₹513.55 (high).
- **All-time low:** ₹17.55 (Feb 19, 2009).
- **All-time high:** ₹513.55 (Dec 13, 2024).
### Returns & Volatility
- **1-week change:** Down 1.98%.
- **1-month change:** Up 4.83%.
- **1-year return:** Up 43.18%.
- **Recent volatility:** Daily moves between ₹451.70 and ₹466.10 common.
- **Beta:** Not specified, but price swings indicate moderate volatility for sector.
### Valuation
- **Price/Earnings Ratio:** 26.79, above sector average.
- **Price/Book Ratio:** 3.88, also higher than sector average.
- **Dividend yield:** 0.55%.
### Company Fundamentals
- **Revenue (Trailing 12 months):** Approximately ₹54,570million.
- **Net profit margin:** 7.1%, improved over last year.
- **EPS (Trailing 12 months):** ₹17.10 (16.29% YoY growth).
- **Book value per share:** ₹118.21.
- **Return on Equity:** 13.3%.
### Growth & Profitability
- **Annual earnings growth:** 25% (past year), average 25.4% over 5 years.
- **Net profit for Q1 2025:** ₹10,952lakhs, up 18.6% YoY.
- **Free cash flow remains positive; margin improvement noted over 5 years.**
- **Return on assets:** 9.04%.
### Valuation Analysis
- **High PE and PB ratios indicate the stock is priced above sector averages.**
- **Recent buy recommendations from analysts; fair value status varies by source.**
### Qualitative Notes
- **Strong earnings and steady sales growth, but trading above intrinsic metrics.**
- **Growth momentum has slowed versus earlier years, though above industry norm.**
- **Stable dividend payout policy, but yield remains modest.**
- **Technical signals ranged from neutral to bullish in July and August 2025.**
**Summary:** The stock is trading at a high valuation given its growth history and sector performance. Investors should consider recent price corrections, volatility, and elevated PE/PB ratios before entering at current levels. The company maintains strong growth and profitability but is subject to valuation risk if sector trends reverse.
GODFRYPHLP Price Action## Trend Overview
Godfrey Phillips India (GODFRYPHLP) is showing a volatile but overall bullish structure on the daily chart. The stock recently hit an all-time high near ₹9,645 and is currently trading around ₹8,687. After a strong rally over the past year, the price has entered a consolidation phase, with short-term corrections and profit booking visible.
## Price Action & Momentum
- The stock has gained over 100% in the last year, reflecting strong long-term momentum.
- In the short term, the price has pulled back from its peak and is trading below key resistance levels, indicating some selling pressure.
- Despite the pullback, the broader uptrend remains intact as the price is still above major moving averages.
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages:** The daily price is above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, supporting a positive long-term bias. Shorter-term averages (20-day and 50-day) are converging, suggesting consolidation.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI is in the neutral zone, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This points to a potential pause or sideways movement before the next trend.
- **MACD:** The MACD indicator has shown a weak sell signal, but the overall momentum loss is mild, not confirming a strong reversal.
- **Bollinger Bands:** The price is in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a cooling-off period after a sharp rally. Volatility remains high.
## Support and Resistance
- **Immediate Support:** Around ₹8,500, where the stock has found buying interest in recent sessions.
- **Major Support:** Near ₹8,000, which coincides with the 50-day moving average and a previous breakout zone.
- **Immediate Resistance:** Near ₹8,900 to ₹9,000, which aligns with recent swing highs.
- **Major Resistance:** The all-time high at ₹9,645.
## Volume and Sentiment
- Recent sessions have seen higher volumes on down days, indicating profit booking.
- Long-term sentiment remains positive, but short-term traders are cautious due to the recent correction and volatility.
## Summary
GODFRYPHLP remains in a strong uptrend on the daily timeframe, but the current phase is marked by consolidation and profit-taking after hitting record highs. The price is holding above key supports, and as long as it stays above the 50-day moving average, the broader bullish structure is intact. Short-term movements may remain range-bound with a slight downward bias until a clear breakout above resistance or breakdown below support occurs. Risk management is advised due to elevated volatility.
JMFINANCIL Price Action ## JM Financial Limited – Price Analysis (August 2025)
### Price & Market Metrics
- Current share price: ₹186.95.
- Market capitalization: Approximately ₹17,875 crore.
- 52-week price range: ₹78.00 (low) to ₹189.90 (high).
- Day's trading range recently: ₹163.60 to ₹189.90.
- Significant price increase noted recently, with a 14.87% rise on the day observed.
### Returns & Volatility
- The stock has gained about 69% over the last 3 months.
- 12-month return is roughly 97%, showing strong growth.
- 3-year return stands near 182%.
- Recent intraday volatility with daily price swings within a wide range.
### Valuation Metrics
- Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Around 16.23.
- Earnings per share (EPS): ₹11.52.
- Price/Book (P/B) ratio: Approximately 1.52.
- Dividend yield: Around 1.46%.
### Financial & Business Notes
- The company has posted moderate sales growth (around 5% year-over-year as per last known data).
- Profitability remains solid with steady net income growth.
- Market sentiment has been strongly positive, driving recent price appreciation.
- Technical indicators show the stock trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling bullish momentum.
### Summary
JM Financial is currently trading near its 52-week high with strong recent price performance and solid returns over multiple timeframes. The valuation metrics like P/E around 16 and P/B near 1.5 suggest relatively reasonable valuation for a financial services firm with stable profitability. The significant price gains recently reflect positive market sentiment and business fundamentals, though some volatility is present. Investors should consider the solid growth and moderate valuation in the context of overall sector and market conditions when evaluating the stock.
ITDCEM Price Action## ITD Cementation India Limited (ITDCEM) Price Analysis (August 2025)
### Price & Market Metrics
- **Current share price:** Around ₹793 (NSE, August 13, 2025).
- **Market capitalization:** Approximately ₹13,622 crore.
- **52-week range:** ₹467 (low) to ₹944 (high).
- **Day's trading range:** ₹762–₹804.
- **Recent price change:** Up about 4.5% on the day.
- **Average volumes:** About 762,000 shares traded daily in recent periods.
### Returns & Volatility
- The stock has seen a strong rebound from lows around ₹467 in the past year to near ₹793 currently.
- Price movements recently show moderate volatility within a range of about 5% intraday.
- The 52-week high near ₹944 was achieved recently in July 2025.
### Valuation Metrics
- Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Approximately 33.3, which is moderately high.
- Earnings per share (EPS): ₹23.83.
- Dividend yield is low at around 0.25%.
- The stock currently trades above its 50-day average price (~₹812) and significantly above its 200-day average (~₹612), indicating recent bullish momentum.
### Financial & Business Highlights
- ITD Cementation is in the infrastructure sector, focusing on construction and civil engineering.
- The company is supported by a solid order book and infrastructure demand growth.
- Market sentiment has been positive with institutional investor meetings scheduled mid-August 2025.
### Technical Sentiment
- The stock price has recently pulled back slightly from highs but remains strong overall.
- Moving averages suggest upward momentum.
- Volume patterns indicate active trading and buyer interest.
***
### Summary
ITDCEM is trading near its upper range for the year, with a current price around ₹793 and a strong market capitalization above ₹13,000 crore. The valuation is moderately high with a P/E above 30 and EPS near ₹24. Recent price momentum is positive supported by infrastructure sector tailwinds and investor interest. While the stock has experienced some volatility, the technical indicators point to sustained buying at current levels. Dividend yield remains low, consistent with growth-oriented infrastructure companies. Investors should consider valuation moderately stretched but justified by growth prospects and market position. Caution is advised for short-term price swings given past volatility.
SKIPPER Price Action## SKIPPER Price Analysis (August 2025)
### Price & Market Metrics
- Latest share price is approximately ₹538.75.
- Market capitalization stands around ₹6,074–6,085crore.
- The 52-week low is ₹341.55 (April 2025) and the high is ₹665.00 (December 2024).
- Recent price trend: Strong rebound from April lows, with current price near the top of the recent trading range.
- Day range on August 13: ₹505.10 – ₹538.20.
### Returns & Volatility
- 1-month gain: About 12%.
- 1-year return: Roughly 33–35%, outperforming broader indices and sector averages.
- 3-year return: Over 880%.
- Skipper often sees daily volatility in the 2–6% range, especially during August. Historically, Augusts show flat average returns but are characterized by abrupt price changes both upward and downward.
### Financial Performance
- Trailing 12-month EPS: ₹14.37.
- TTM net profit: About ₹158.9crore.
- Net sales for the last reported quarter (June 2025): ₹1,253.86crore, up 14.85% YoY.
- Consolidated net sales (March 2025): ₹1,287.75crore, up 11.64% YoY.
- Profit margin is moderate—company has low interest coverage and return on equity relative to valuation.
### Valuation
- P/E ratio: 35–37, well above sector average.
- P/B ratio: About 5.1.
- Dividend yield is very low, with most earnings retained.
- Book value per share: ₹105.69.
### Qualitative & Technical Notes
- The company’s growth is supported by solid export and infrastructure orders, but margins and returns remain modest compared to peers.
- Promoter holding is robust (around two-thirds of shares).
- Technical trend is positive, with outperformance versus sector and key moving averages, but sharp swings are common and corrections have occurred previously after strong rallies.
- Stock currently trades above estimated fair value and sector multiples.
***
### Summary
SKIPPER has rebounded powerfully from earlier lows and is now trading near multi-month highs, supported by strong sales growth and consistent profitability. However, the valuation has become elevated with respect to sector and intrinsic value metrics, while dividend yield remains nominal. Daily volatility and historical instability in August should be considered alongside strong long-term returns and positive business momentum—investors should be alert to potential price corrections or swings at these levels.
SPMLINFRA Price ActionSPML Infra Ltd (SPMLINFRA) is exhibiting notable momentum and price appreciation in 2025:
- **Current Price**: Around ₹289–₹308 as of August 2025.
- **Performance**:
  - 1-year return is strong at about 45.5%, with a **21% increase in the past month** and **3.6% in the past week**.
  - Recent volatility: The price has fluctuated from lows around ₹136 up to a high of ₹323 in the last year.
- **Valuation**:
  - **P/E Ratio**: Approximately 42, indicating aggressive pricing compared to earnings.
  - **P/B (Price to Book)**: Around 2.6, reflecting the market’s willingness to pay a premium over the company’s asset value.
  - **Market Cap**: About ₹2,038 crore.
- **Profitability**:
  - **ROE** (Return on Equity): ~8% for the last year, but 3.7% over the past three years, which is modest.
  - **EBITDA Margin**: About 5.5%.
  - **Strong Profit Growth**: 49% CAGR over 5 years; sharp turnaround recently, although past sales growth has been negative.
- **Concerns**:
  - **Sales Growth**: Negative (-15% CAGR over 5 years).
  - **High Promoter Pledge**: About 27% of promoter shares are pledged, which may be a risk.
  - High debt and debtor days remain elevated.
- **Dividend**: No dividend payout.
- **Momentum Rank**: Among the top 21% companies showing bullish momentum currently.
**Conclusion**: SPML Infra’s stock price reflects recent bullish momentum, despite muted sales growth and some balance sheet risks. Profit growth and operational improvements have buoyed sentiment, but the high valuation metrics and promoter pledging warrant caution. The stock is considered volatile, and investors should monitor fundamentals alongside price trends.
HESTERBIO – A Pattern Inside a Pattern Inside a Pattern!🔍 Here’s what stands out on the Weekly Chart:
1️⃣ Broadening Pattern – Larger structure with higher highs and lower lows, indicating expanding volatility.
2️⃣ Counter Trendline Break – A smaller, random pattern within the broadening formation showing V-shape recoveries and trend shifts.
3️⃣ Bullish Pennant – A compact consolidation pattern just before a strong breakout leg.
This is a great example of how multiple time-frame structures and nested patterns can co-exist—each adding another layer to market behavior.
Radico Price ActionRadico Khaitan’s stock is trading around ₹2,840 as of early August 2025, having climbed sharply from about ₹2,700 in July and near ₹2,050 back in February. The share price hit an all-time high at the start of August and has more than doubled over the past 12 months, outperforming its peers in the spirit and beverages sector.
Recent price momentum has been driven by strong financial results: for the quarter ending June 2025, Radico reported net sales of over ₹1,500 crore, a year-on-year increase of more than 32%. Market capitalization is robust and the stock is actively traded, with volumes surging during rally periods. However, valuation is elevated: the price-to-book ratio is around 14 and price-to-earnings is at the high end for its segment, reflecting rich investor expectations.
Operationally, Radico maintains steady margins and has shown above-average revenue growth, consistently launching new premium products and expanding distribution. The company’s return on equity averages about 11–12% over three years, slightly below top FMCG performers but stable.
Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend, trading well above major moving averages, but may be considered overbought in the very short term after recent rapid gains. Liquidity remains healthy, supporting continued volatility and trading opportunities.
In summary, Radico Khaitan is a high-growth, well-established spirits company with strong recent sales and a share price at historic highs. While fundamentals support continued strength, caution is warranted given expensive valuations and the potential for short-term corrections following such a swift rally.






















