PERSISTENT : Coming out from the ZONE!Key Observations:
Price Action Context:
The stock is currently trading at ₹5,306, showing a strong +2.78% intraday move.
This price action is occurring within what appears to be an extended retracement zone of the prior swing, suggesting a possible consolidation before continuation.
Wave Analysis (Elliott Wave Perspective):
Wave C appears to have completed in the ₹3,234 – ₹5,464 zone, which is typically where corrective waves terminate before a new impulsive move begins.
The current structure hints at a bullish Wave 5 extension, with a projected completion zone between ₹5,104 – ₹5,229.
Key Levels:
Support (Demand Zone): ₹5,104 – ₹5,229
Resistance (Profit Targets): ₹6,032 (initial) → ₹6,222 (extended)
Invalidation Level: Daily close below ₹5,104
Why This Setup Matters:
Legalarity Concept (Consolidation Before Breakout):
The stock is forming a legalarity structure, which refers to a period of sideways price action after a strong trend.
This often precedes a continuation move if support holds.
Momentum Confirmation:
Today’s bullish candle (+2.78%) suggests buying interest near the support zone.
A decisive break above ₹5,464 (Wave C high) could confirm the next leg up.
Risk Management:
Since no trade setup is perfect, we must define where we’re wrong.
If price closes below ₹5,104, the bullish structure weakens, and traders should reconsider.
Trade Plan (Educational Breakdown):
Entry Logic:
Aggressive Entry: Near current levels (₹5,300 – ₹5,400) with tight stops.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to ₹5,104 – ₹5,229 support zone.
Profit Targets:
First Target (₹6,032): Partial profit booking level.
Second Target (₹6,222): Extended swing high, where resistance may appear.
Stop Loss:
Daily close below ₹5,104 (invalidates the bullish structure).
Risk-Reward Assessment:
If entering at ₹5,300 with a stop at ₹5,100:
Risk = ₹200 per share
Reward (to ₹6,222) = ₹922 per share
Risk-Reward Ratio = ~1:4.6 (Favorable for swing trades)
Seasonal & Macro Factors:
Historical Trends: The stock has shown strength in Sep-Dec (year-end rally tendencies).
Current Market Sentiment: A breakout above ₹5,464 could attract momentum buyers.
Educational Takeaways:
✅ Always define support/resistance before trading.
✅ Use invalidation levels to manage risk.
✅ Wave analysis helps anticipate where trends may resume.
✅ Risk-reward should justify every trade.
Disclaimer: This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own analysis.
#NSE #PERSISTENT #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #StockMarket
How to Use This Analysis:
Watch for confirmation above ₹5,464 for higher conviction.
Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance.
Track price action near targets for exit signals.
Persistentsystem
Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout & Pullback Pattern in Persistent.Hello Traders & Investor,
I have brought another analysis on Persistent System which has given a neat and clean breakout of BULLISH FLAG PATTERN , after that price has pullback to retest the breakout zone. Now it is ready to fly in blue sky..Well Guy's i already have told earlier about this flag pattern but still i will tell you all in short here,
Q:- What is a flag pattern?
Rahul:- A flag is a formation in the technical chart representing a period of temporary consolidation or pause before the trend continues to move either upward or downward.
I hope you have got it.
So, guy's whenever you see this pattern, wait for breakout and then take entry or you can enter after retest the levels (Pullback). The risk and reward is really very favorable if you take entry after any bullish flag pattern breakout.
ABOUT COMPANY:-
Persistent Systems provides software engineering and strategy services to help companies implement and modernize their businesses. It has its own software and frameworks with pre-built integration and acceleration. It also has partnership with providers such as Salesforce and AWS.
Market Cap
₹ 45,375 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 5,899
High / Low
₹ 6,035 / 3,611
Stock P/E
45.2
Book Value
₹ 574
Dividend Yield
0.68 %
ROCE
30.3 %
ROE
25.3 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Debt
₹ 555 Cr.
EPS
₹ 128
PEG Ratio
1.84
Promoter holding
31.1 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 2,371
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
26.6
PROS
Company is expected to give good quarter
Company has delivered good profit growth of 24.6% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.6%
Company's median sales growth is 17.4% of last 10 years
CONS
Stock is trading at 10.3 times its book value
Important levels for .PERSISTENT SYSTEM LTD.
Buy in between 5915-5850.
Targets we can see 6370/6883+
Keep Stop loss at 5599.
Price is above 200 EMA
We have seen Proper Breakout of Bullish Flag Pattern in daily timeframe.
with Good Volume
Price is sustaining above breakout of Flag Pattern and it has given pull back to retest the levels
MACD and RSI has given bullish crossover (I have not placed RSI here as i want chart neat and clean but i have analysed already)
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.