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EURUSD: Bulls need validation from 1.1200 and Fed Chair PowellEURUSD is gaining support after falling from a 14-month high, as buyers wait for comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Upside remains favored The EURUSD pair is holding above a two-week rising support line and the 200-SMA, along with an upward trend line from late June, which keeps buyers optimistic. The steady RSI (14) also indicates a slow upward movement. Technical levels to watch Even with key support levels helping the EURUSD pair and the RSI suggesting an upward trend, the bulls may struggle to break through the horizontal resistance around 1.1200. If they succeed, the next targets could be the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions (FE) of the pair’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.1215 and 1.1265. The previous yearly high around 1.1275 is a crucial point for the bears; if that breaks, prices could reach the 2022 peak of 1.1495. Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers should look for a clear drop below the immediate rising support line around 1.1125 to enter the market. However, the 200-SMA and a three-month trend line near 1.1080 and 1.0950 will be important obstacles for sellers. If the price stays below 1.0950, it could fall further toward the previous monthly low of 1.0780. Charts, Powell in the spotlight Along with the technical factors, comments from Fed Chair Powell will be important for EURUSD bulls. The recent rise is driven by market expectations of two more 0.50% rate cuts from the US central bank in 2024. If Powell dismisses these expectations, which seems unlikely, a downward reversal in Euro prices could happen.
by MTradingGlobal
1
TECHNICAL VIEW ON XAUUSD ( ON DAILY TIME FRAME )1) Pivot point IS 1820.50 _R1 : 1828.64 | R2 : 1837.27 | R3 : 1845.24_ _S1 : 1795.44 | S2 : 1804.07 | S3 : 1812.04 _ 2) Moving average ( 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200) _MA5 : 1822.49(S), 1829.33(E) | MA10: 1851.61(S), 1847.47(E) | MA20: 1886.48(S), 1871.32(E) | MA50: 1907.15(S), 1900.34(E) | MA100: 1926.74(S), 1915.11(E) | MA200: 1927.75(S), 1906.52(E)_ 3) Trend analysis (MIN, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY ) 15MIN : DOWNTREND | HOURLY : SIDEWAY | DAILY : DOWNTREND | WEEKLY : DOWNTREND | MONTHLY : NEUTRAL 4) Technical analysis (ON DAILY TF) _RSI(14) 20.354 (Oversold) | MACD(12,26) -27.050 (Sell) | ADX(14) 49.810 (Sell) | ATR(14) 17.9862 (High Volatility)_
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by tradewith_ritik
EURUSD bears dominate ahead of EU GDP, US Retail SalesEURUSD portrays a bearish consolidation inside a seven-week-old descending trend channel ahead of the key Eurozone GDP for Q1 2022, the US Retail Sales for April and a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Although oversold RSI conditions challenge the pair’s further downside, a convergence of the stated channel’s resistance line and the 10-SMA, around 1.0500, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Even if the quote rises past 1.0500, the monthly high surrounding 1.0640 and March’s low of 1.0805 will challenge the upside momentum before welcoming the buyers. On the contrary, lows marked since 2017, around 1.0350-40, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.0300 threshold becomes imminent. However, a convergence of the aforementioned channel’s lower line and downward sloping trend line from late January, close to 1.0220-10, could gain the market’s attention before the 1.0200 round figure. It’s worth noting that the pair’s south-run past 1.0200 seems a slow grind towards the 1.0000 psychological magnet. Overall, the EURUSD pair’s downside has recently stalled but the trend remains bearish.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD rebound fades before Fed Chairman Powell’s speechEURUSD struggles to extend the strongest recovery in a month as anxiety over Evergrande test pair buyers ahead of a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. With this, the currency major steps back from the weekly resistance line, which in turn suggests further weakness towards the 1.1700 threshold. However, the quote’s downside past 1.1700 will not hesitate to refresh the yearly low near 1.1665. Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the immediate trend line hurdle surrounding 1.1745 will direct the quote towards a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1760. Even if the EURUSD bulls manage to cross 1.1760, 200-SMA and a descending resistance line from September 03, respectively near 1.1775 and 1.1785, will precede the September 17 peak of 1.1788 to challenge the pair’s further advances. Overall, EURUSD remains pressured but traders await key catalysts for fresh impulse.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
Nifty BREAKOUT!Nifty Index known as NSE or Nifty50 has or is experiencing a big breakout out if its much-expected consolidation phase. This is a big breakout is big because the market has become resilient to the Federal Reserve's decision to begin taper from November. If the Nifty50 index continues to hold above 17,620 it can well top 18K! Long positions should be made, do not wait. Market Mood Index shows it is in fear trajectory which is a positive note because the market is not overbought as it was 2 weeks ago. Nifty has all the top market movers so it will be a exciting game to watch as even ITC roars! New resistance at 18K because looking at it , the bulls are gonna break all records
NSE:NIFTYLong
by traderwithadream
New Zealand dollar jumps after FOMC meetThe New Zealand dollar has steadied on Thursday after posting strong gains a day earlier. Currently, NZD/USD is trading at 0.7260, up 0.07% on the day. The pair has climbed 0.85% so far this week. The New Zealand dollar continues to gain ground against the struggling US dollar. The kiwi has flexed its muscles in April, with sizzling gains of 3.97% this month, erasing the losses sustained in March. The FOMC meeting, which was passed without incident, saw the US dollar retreat broadly against the major currencies. The FOMC meeting did not contain any surprises, as the Fed remained in dovish mode. However, a close look at the language of the rate statement and Fed Chair Powell's follow-up remarks revealed a few subtle changes from previous meetings. The Fed acknowledged progress in the battle to control Covid-19 and the strengthening of the US labour market, stating: Amid progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity and employment have strengthened". When Powell was asked specifically about tapering, he replied that it was too early to have a conversation about that. This sent US yields lower, dragging down the US dollar. With the FOMC meeting out of the way, the markets can now focus on key economic releases. The US releases first-estimate GDP for Q1 on Thursday (12:30 GMT), and the consensus is for a strong gain of 6.8%, after a 4.3% gain for Q4, which was revised upwards from 4.0%. A print of 6.8% or higher could shake up the US bond market and send yields higher, which would likely give the US dollar a much-needed boost. In New Zealand, business confidence improved to -2, up from the preliminary reading of -8.4 points. With the global demand growing for New Zealand commodities and stable domestic activity, I would expect business confidence to continue to improve in the coming months. NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.7243. This is followed by resistance at 0.7291. There is support at 0.7135 and 0.7075
by OANDA
Australian dollar dips as inflation missesThe Australian dollar is down slightly in the Wednesday session. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7747, down 0.27% on the day. Australian CPI posted a gain of 0.6% in the first quarter of the year, down from 0.9% in Q4 of 2020. The read was certainly respectable, but underperformed, as the estimate stood at 0.9%. Trimmed CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, dropped from 0.4% to 0.3% and missed the forecast of 0.5%. The weak readings have sent the Australian dollar lower. The lower than expected inflation numbers will lessen any pressure that was on the RBA to tighten policy due to stronger economic conditions. Australia has extricated itself in admirable fashion from the downturn due to Covid, although the vaccine rollout has been sluggish. The RBA has been cautious and says that it does not expect GDP or employment to reach pre-pandemic levels until later in the year. Once the economy reaches that level, there is a good chance that the RBA could tighten policy, such as easing QE, as we saw with the Bank of Canada earlier this month. What can we expect from the FOMC meeting later today (18:00 GMT)? Expectations for a dramatic announcement are low, as the Fed does not appear in any hurry to tighten policy, even with a rapidly improving US economy. The market seems to have bought into the Fed's message that even though inflationary pressures are growing, QE will not be reduced for a while yet. In follow-up comments to today's meeting, Fed Chair Powell is likely to wax positive about the economy but simultaneously state that the economy is still in recovery mood and needs the Fed to keep its foot on the pedal. Unless the Fed surprises with a more hawkish rate statement than expected, it should be "business as usual" after the meeting, which means that the US dollar could find itself under pressure from the major currencies. On the upside, 0.7813 has some breathing room in resistance as AUD has lost ground. Above, there is resistance at 0.7887. On the downside, there are support levels at 0.7688 and 0.7627
by OANDA