Get started

Priceactionanalysis

Will AI Rewrite the Timeless Story of Price Action?1.What is Price Action? Price action is the raw, unfiltered movement of a market’s price over time. It reflects the collective emotions and decisions of market participants—fear, greed, hope, and panic. At its core, price action carries the DNA of human psychology, making it timeless and universal. One fascinating element of price action is its asymmetry. When the market rises, it often does so in a gradual, orderly manner, driven by cautious optimism. But when the market falls, fear takes over, leading to sharp, sudden sell-offs. This is because humans are inherently more afraid of losing money than they are excited about gaining it. This emotional imbalance—fear of losses and greed for gains—creates the unique patterns we observe on charts. And here’s the remarkable part: the price action of the 1970 crash in S&P 500 looks very similar to that of 2008 NIFTY 50 crash (see the image below).Despite technological advancements, the charts of past decades echo the same fear-driven collapses and steady climbs we see today. Why? Because human emotions have not changed, and they remain the core drivers of price action. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2.How AI Is Changing the Game Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping the financial markets, from executing trades in microseconds to analyzing sentiment across vast datasets. High-frequency trading (HFT) and predictive AI models have revolutionized how markets operate. However, there’s a fundamental truth that often gets overlooked: AI is created by humans. The algorithms and codes powering AI were written by humans, meaning they inherently reflect human logic, biases, and assumptions. While AI can analyze patterns and react faster than any human, it is ultimately bound by the constraints of its programming. It cannot replicate the instinctive and emotional elements of human behavior that form the essence of price action. Even in 2024, with all the advancements in AI, the market’s movements are still influenced by the same human emotions that shaped the price action of the 1900s. The fear of missing out (FOMO), panic selling during a crash, or greed during a bubble are not going away. AI can respond to these behaviours, but it cannot replace them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3.The Future of Price Action AI is not here to erase price action; it’s here to evolve it. Traders will need to adapt to this new landscape, where algorithms coexist with human psychology. While traditional patterns may lose some reliability, opportunities will arise in new forms. Traders who combine human intuition with AI insights will have the edge. Fear and greed will always be present in the markets, shaping price action just as they have for decades. The challenge for traders is to navigate this evolving market environment while remembering that, at its core, price action is still a story of human behavior—no matter how advanced the technology becomes. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion: AI will change the way we trade, but it won’t change the emotional DNA of the markets. Price action will continue to tell the story of human psychology, with all its unpredictability and drama, ensuring that markets remain as fascinating as ever. What are your views on this? Do let me know in the comment section below.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
6
UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
2
Basic Understanding about Supply and Demand ZonesQ: What is a supply zone in trading? A: A Supply Zone is a Price level or Area on a chart where Selling pressure is expected to be strong enough to overcome buying pressure, causing prices to fall. It is typically identified by a concentration of previous price highs where sellers have historically emerged. Q: What is a Demand zone in Trading? A: A Demand zone is a Price Level or area on a chart where Buying pressure is expected to be strong enough to overcome selling pressure, causing prices to rise. It is usually identified by a concentration of previous price lows where buyers have historically stepped in. Q: How can traders identify supply and demand zones on a chart? A: Traders can identify Supply and Demand zones by looking for Areas where the price has previously made significant moves up or down. For Supply zones, they look for price peaks followed by sharp declines. For Demand zones, they look for price troughs followed by sharp increases. These zones are often marked by areas of consolidation or strong price rejection. Q: How do Supply and Demand Zones integrate with other Technical Analysis tools? A: Supply and Demand Zones can be used in conjunction with other Technical Analysis tools such as Trend lines, Moving Averages, and Candlestick Patterns. For example, a Supply zone that aligns with a Resistance level can provide a stronger signal for potential price reversals. Combining multiple tools can enhance the accuracy of trading decisions. Q: How can traders Manage Risk when trading Supply and Demand zones? A: Traders can manage risk by using stop-loss orders just outside the supply or demand zone to limit potential losses. They should also consider the size of the zone and the volatility of the scrips when determining their position size. Regularly reviewing and adjusting their zones based on market conditions can also help in managing risk effectively. Keep Practicing & Learning Price Ac tion concepts
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by Himanu_HATradeTalk1
Balaji Amines formed big positive candle after Q4 ResultsWithing 15 mins, the stock formed a significant candle of 12% Increased volatility around stock earnings is a common phenomenon in financial markets. As companies release their quarterly or annual earnings reports, big investors eagerly anticipate the results, which can lead to heightened trading activity. Positive earnings surprises may cause a surge in buying activity, driving up stock prices, while negative surprises can trigger selling pressure, leading to price declines. Consequently, during earnings seasons, markets can experience sharp movements in stock prices therefore short term trading becomes Risky around imp events.
NSE:BALAMINESEducation
by Himanu_HATradeTalk1
Balaji Amines formed BIg candle after Q4 Results Wihin 30 mins, the stock formed a significant candle of 12% Increased volatility around stock earnings is a common phenomenon in financial markets. As companies release their quarterly or annual earnings reports, BIg investors eagerly anticipate the results, which can lead to heightened trading activity. Positive earnings surprises may cause a surge in buying activity, driving up stock prices, while Negative surprises can trigger selling pressure, leading to price declines. Consequently, during earnings seasons, markets can experience sharp movements in stock prices therefore short term trading becomes Risky
NSE:BALAMINESEducation
by Himanu_HATradeTalk1
1
Understanding Price Action and Volume in TradingIntroduction: In trading, there are two main components to consider: the psychological aspect and the technical aspect. While this tutorial will focus on the technical part, it's important to note that the psychological aspect is also crucial for trading success. In the technical realm, two key elements to prioritize are price action and volume. By understanding and analyzing these factors, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics. This tutorial will provide an overview of price action and volume and explain their significance in trading. Understanding Volume Definition of Volume: - Volume represents the number of transactions in the marketplace. - Each unit of volume indicates a single transaction (e.g., a sale). Volume as an Indicator of Strength: - Volume does not indicate the presence of more buyers or sellers. - It reveals the level of aggressiveness exhibited by buyers and sellers. - Higher volume suggests greater interest or activity at specific price levels. - Lower volume may indicate a lack of interest or support at certain levels. Auction Market Theory: - The market functions as an auction place with buyers and sellers seeking price equilibrium. - Bid and ask prices reflect the orders placed by traders and institutions. - Understanding the auction market theory helps decipher the relative strength of buyers and sellers. - Level 2 data, including bids, asks, and time and sales, provide insights into order flow. Understanding Price Action Importance of Price Action: - Price action refers to the movement and behavior of price on the charts. - Analyzing price action helps identify trends, breakouts, and reversals. - Price action reflects market sentiment and the acceptance of certain price levels. Components of Price Action: - Candlestick patterns: Analyzing the shape and structure of individual candlesticks. - Supply and demand: Evaluating imbalances between buying and selling pressure. - Support and resistance: Identifying key price levels where buyers or sellers are active. Combining Price Action and Volume: - Integrating volume analysis with price action enhances trading decisions. - Volume confirms or contradicts price movements, providing validation or cautionary signals. - Analyzing price action and volume together helps identify strength, trends, and traps. Using Indicators Properly Limitations of Indicators: - Many indicators are lagging, meaning they rely on price data to generate signals. - Price action and volume are leading indicators that provide real-time insights. Simplifying Your Trading Approach: - Remove unnecessary indicators and clutter from your charts. - Focus on price action and volume as primary tools for analysis. - Develop trading strategies and playbooks based on these essential components. Conclusion: Mastering the technical aspects of trading requires a deep understanding of price action and volume. By simplifying your approach and focusing on these key components, you can develop a solid foundation for trading success. This tutorial has provided an introductory overview of price action and volume. In subsequent lessons, we will delve into more advanced topics such as order flow and deeper levels of analysis. Remember to avoid overcomplicating your trading and always seek continuous learning and improvement.
Education
by Abbhishekumr
Rally Base Drop – Supply ZoneUnlike conventional Price Action Analysis, which relies on countless chart patterns, Supply Demand Strategy focuses only on four high-probability price formations. Rally Base Drop (RBD) is one of the four price formations which lay the foundation of the Supply Demand Trading Strategy. Rally Base Drop Pattern RBD is a reversal price pattern, which one can generally locate at market turning points. At areas where uptrends get exhausted and begin a new downward move. RBD occurs when prices have been rising, and peaking, followed by a sharp drop. This indicates that the sellers are now more aggressive and have overwhelmed the buyers to form a Supply Zone. Components of a Rally Base Drop Pattern This formation comprises three parts: 1. Leg-In Candle - Bullish Candle to the left-hand side of the base structure. It need not be an explosive candle. 2. Base Candles - Narrow range small-bodied candles which indicate that orders are potentially being accumulated by the institutions. 3. Leg-Out Candle – Huge Explosive Red candle with a sharp drop in price, which indicates the footprint of Institutional Selling activity. Steps to Identify a Rally Base Drop Pattern 1. Start with the Current Price on the Chart and go from Right to left 2. Look up and left until you find a strong Drop in the Price 3. Identify whether the formation is an RBD 4. Mark the Zone When marking the Zone, we need to watch for freshness and the strength of the Leg-Out Candle. Fresh Supply Zones are those where the price has never retraced after formation, they have the highest probability of having unfilled sell orders. Strong Explosive Red Leg-Out Candle indicates that supply and demand are totally out of balance and institutions have been aggressive sellers at that price zone. Trade Action at a Rally Base Drop Supply Zone RBD pattern is the footprint of Institutional selling activity, formed due to the sheer size of their sell orders. This implies that, when prices retrace back to the area, there is a strong likelihood that there will be a large number of pending sell orders. After identifying the supply zone, we as retail traders must wait for the price to retrace to the zone. The first retracement to the RBD supply zone is a high-probability sell opportunity. We can initiate a short trade on the pullback to the zone and in doing so participate along with the Institutions to the short side. Some past examples: Although RBD is a very powerful supply zone formation, it is highly recommended that one mustn’t trade it in isolation. Combining it with factors like a trend, trend exhaustion and location will improve the odds of the zones working in our favour.
NSE:POLYCABEducation
by MAKTradingSchool
Price Action Trading Using Supply & Demand ZonesSupply and Demand Trading Strategy is a price action strategy that focuses on identifying Institutional Buying & Selling Footprints on a Price Chart. This strategy doesn’t rely on any indicators or oscillators; entire focus is on Price Action. Owing to the sheer large size of their orders, Institutional buying or selling leaves behind certain footprints which create specific chart patterns. Price Action Trading Methodology relies on a vast number of Price Patterns, however Supply Demand Trading Methodology focuses only 4 Specific Price Formations. These are classified as Supply & Demand Zones. Supply & Demand Zones These zones are areas on a price chart where price in the past had spent very little time and had moved in an explosive manner. Such sharp moves in price is possible only because of Institutional buying or selling. Owing to the structure of these zones, there is a very high likelihood of having unfilled institutional orders in any zone. Demand Zone Formations Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) A Rally- Base- Rally is a price action pattern that represents the formation of a Demand Zone. It is generally found in strong uptrends, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. This type of pattern is characterized by a leg-in candle followed by a basing of candlesticks and then another Big Explosive leg-out candle. If you look at the leg out candle created in the chart below, it shows a strong vertical rally which is very likely due to institutional buying activity. Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) A Drop-Base-Rally is a formation that represents another Demand Zone pattern. It is a reversal formation, in which a drop is followed by a sideways price movement and then a strong bullish rally. The leg out candle ideally should be a big explosive move which will depict institutional buying activity. Supply Zone Formations Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) Drop-Base-Drop is a price action pattern that represents a Supply zone. A bearish drop followed by a basing or sideways price movement and then an explosive bearish continuation downwards. It is a continuation pattern which can be used to trade & participate in the down trend. Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) Rally-Base -Drop is a price action pattern that represents another supply zone. This formation is characterized by an upward move then a basing of candles and a strong explosive move downwards. Explosive drop after basing indicates the footprint of institutional selling activity. This formation is generally found at the end of an Uptrend signalling a reversal. Trade Action at Zones Supply & Demand trading methodology is a retracement strategy. Long trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Demand Zone & Short trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Supply Zone. However, all zone formations aren’t alike, one must qualify the zones based on factors like how Explosive was the move from the zone, how much time price spent in the zone & most importantly what Reward to Risk Ratios do they zones provide. These zone formations combined with Trend, Location & Multiple Time Frame Analysis lays down the ground rules for Supply Demand Trading.
NSE:ASHOKLEYEducation
by MAKTradingSchool
2
Bullish and Bearish Harami candles concept Educational Post Bullish Harami Bullish Harami is candle stick pattern which shows counter attack by bull on bear entering the support zone. Significance of candle stick pattern is at support level of charts. Bullish(Green) candle should gap up from close of bearish(Red) candle and close should be above the median of bearish(red) candle with volume. Bearish Harami Bearish Harami is candle stick pattern which shows counter attack by Bear on bulls entering the resistance zone. Significance of candle stick pattern is at resistance level of charts. Bearish(red) candle should gap down from close of bullish(green) candle and close should be below the median of bull(green) candle with volume. If you like the post,Please follow,like and share it. Happy Trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Darshan_Panchal
Studing Consolidation Phase This is hourly timeframe. This is how I analyze the consolidation only technically. From fibo. recent top to bottom, Nifty is taking resistance 0.38 fibonacci level. Let's pointout the short trend and understand each. 1] Nifty started consolidating 6th May 2022. It started falling, gone sideways for sometime and gave bounce back. 2] And it tested the 16400 zone. As it was a straight one side move, it was obvious it will give a retracement. 3] But it was again a one side move, this time downward, and tested the recent bottom. Here, we witnessed a sharp upmove from bottom to top and again to bottom. 4] Again from 20th May, a sharp upmove towards resistance. 5] Tested and fallback this week. 6] Bounce backed again and now near resistance zone. In all of these short term trends, we can see thick bullish and bearish candles in phase 1 and 5. Though bulls failed in these phase. Almost each phase has 1) bullish and bearish belt hold 2) bullish and bearish marubozu Except phase 2,6 no bearish candlestick of this type. These opposite candlestick patterns occurance multiple times tells us that market is now choppy, highly volatile. Outcome of analysis: In current market situation, bulls and bear are almost equally powerful. Choopy moves indicates the aggression and dominating will. This how I analyze a consolidation. Breaks it down in trend zones and study each, and keep in back of the mind each one's outcome, and try to anticipate, every possibility. And how much is the chance of taking it place by looking at bull and bears behaviour. Note : This is my own analysis and is for information purpose only.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by AkshayAdak
A Comprehensive Guide to Rectangle Formation.Introduction: Price trends do not usually reverse on a dime. uptrend and downtrend are typically separated by a transitional period or trading range, and trading range formation signal trading opportunities for traders. The trading range separating rising and falling price trends discussed here is a pattern known as a rectangle. This post will cover these questions: 1. Types of a trend reversal. 2. Rectangle formation. 3. consolidation rectangles. 4. Significance of a rectangle pattern. 5. Retracement moves 6. What when a rectangle fails? 1.Trend reversal The turning point between the bull and bear phases is termed a reversal pattern. # Reversal patterns at market tops are known as distribution because the security is said to be “distributed” from strong, informed participants to weak, uninformed ones. # Price patterns, including rectangles, that develop at market bottoms are called accumulation formations where the security passes from weak, uninformed participants to strong, informed ones. a.Horizontal or transitional reversal. An oil tanker takes a long time to slow down and then go into reverse. The same is normally true of financial markets. Generally speaking, the longer the trend, the more time spent in the reversal (turnaround) process. This transitional or horizontal phase has great significance because it is the demarcation between a rising and a falling trend. b. Reversal on a dime without warning. This type of reversal is the exception to transitional reversal and they are the highly emotional market that changes without warning. 2. Rectangle formation. The figure shows the price action at the end of a long rising trend. price starts to move in a trading range between Point A and Point B. Point A can be identified as a resistance area after the price backed of two times from Point A. Point B can be identified as a support area after the price moved up two times from Point B. one can draw horizontal trendlines or Box on the chart to mark the level. At this point, the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the sellers whenever the price reaches A, and the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the buyers when the price reaches B. Finally, prices fall below point B signals a trend reversal and the sellers are dominating the market. 3. consolidation rectangles. If the rectangle following an uptrend is completed with a victory for the buyers as the price pushes through the upper line A , a reversal does not develop because the breakout above A reaffirms the underlying trend. In this case, the corrective phase (trading range) associated with the formation of the rectangle temporarily interrupts the bull market and becomes a consolidation pattern. In the figure, a breakout to the upside makes this pattern a continuation rectangle. #the prevailing trend is in existence until it is proved to have been reversed. 4. Significance of a rectangle pattern. i. Time Frames The longer the time frame, the more significant the pattern. A pattern that shows up on a monthly chart is likely to be far more significant than one on an intraday chart, and so forth. the longer a pattern takes to develop in a particular time frame, the greater its significance within that time frame. # Most of the time the larger pattern will be more important, but not every time. In technical analysis, we are dealing in probabilities, never certainties. ii.Volume Considerations. volume is an important independent variable that can help us obtain a more accurate reflection of crowd psychology. volume shrinks during the formation of pattern and blastoff on successful breakout/breakdown of the price. iii. Measuring implications: The depth of the pattern is projected in the direction of the breakout from the breakout point 5. Retracement moves. Many times when the price breaks out from the rectangle, the initial move is followed by a corrective move back to the breakout point. This is known as a retracement move, and it offers an additional entry point for left out players who pushes the prices again in the breakout direction. 6. What when a rectangle fails? One of the first things that should be done upon entering any business venture is to weigh the possible risk against the potential reward. the same is true in the financial markets. *Amatures on breakout only focuses on potential profits. *Professionals always consider the risk as an equal. this means when opening a new position you have to consider the risk to reward ratio and decide prior to opening the position what type of price action would cause you to conclude that the breakout was a whipsaw. Some price action to consider to identify a whipsaw (fake breakout). a.50% rule. It very much depends on the chart. If there are no obvious support points, many traders believe that a penetration of the 50 percent mark is the place to exit. In this case, the 50 percent mark is the central point between the two horizontal lines that make up the rectangle. b. Trendline support using price action trendline to identify if the trend is valid or has been breached. c. Stop below/above the opposite line of breakout/breakdown. one can set a stop above the resistance line if the short-sell position is triggered. or set a stop below the support line if the long position is triggered. d. False breakouts: Shrinking volume on an upside/downside breakout. Hope you found this helpful and I sincerely hope you find a ton of good rectangle formations to trade-in! Happy Trading!
NSE:TITANEducation
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
30
The Ultimate Price Action Breakdown Strategy Preface Alright, the operation started after creating an extreme low at 120.20. Price has created an upward channel from the extreme low, where the equilibrium has occurred between bull and bear traders. Control line has given eleven touches, which shows the strong gravitation at the middle. Here, we can see four reversals on the upper band, and three reversal points occurred on the lower band. We have two opportunities: 1. Now, the price is on the H-line, and the breakout of the h line indicates the lower band touch. 2. Bull can buy at excess, or they can enter at reappearing in the value area for the target of the control line. Every beginner who wants to start trading with naked strategy (without indicator) can use this method because the price is the thing that will pay you. Let me explain to you important aspects of the breakdown strategy. Value area: A zone in which bulls and bears both are satisfied to stay within it. In this zone, supply and demand equally exist. Ascending Value area: Range-Bound Value area: Descending Value Area: Value area has two bands: Upper band: Upper band indicates demand-supply. In this chart, the price has taken four reversals from the upper band to maintain the equilibrium. The upper band put a stop to the bull power. Lower Band: The lower band indicates demand pressure. In this chart, the price has taken three reversals from the lower-band to maintain the equilibrium. The lower band put a stop to bear power. ------------------------------------------ No trading zone: In order to respond to either bull or bears initiative, the price creates an area. In which no trading activities have taken. It helps to find the weakness of any particular move. ------------------------------------------ H Line: After completing the last share move, the price creates the bulk trading activities, where bulls' power becomes dull. Breakout of the H-line indicates the cease of the particular move. ------------------------------------------ Excess: Excess is regret and fake-out. In simple words , price breaks the upper band and again re-enter into the parallel channel. Buying or selling at the excess is the perfect deal. An excess is a signal of reversal. The psychology behind the control line : Price is forming in the parallel channel, but bulls are not satisfied with the current trend. That's why bulls increase demand pressure to break the upper band of the value area. After breaking the upper band, bulls face some problems with profit booking. Now, bulls realize that the price is not going up. Bulls give up on the thought of trend change. Bears were watching this patiently. And after they realize that prices are too high, they increase supply pressure above the upper band of the channel. Now bulls are out of the market, and the seller has maintained the equilibrium & Vice versa. ------------------------------------------ Control line: The Control line is the gravitation point of any value area. We can draw by connecting the reversal points in the middle. The more the points are available, the higher the effectiveness. Please note that the price can not stay away from the control line of the value area. We can use it as a price target or breakout trade. Here, the price has given eleven touches on the control line. ------------------------------------------ Breakout or breakdown of the channel: Bulls and bears both disagree with the current price trend. Either bulls or breaks out the value area by giving consistent closing. It often happens after a complex correction or trend change. I will upload practical work on this idea. Kindly wait for the implementation. Thank you for your support. To be continued.....
NSE:INDUSTOWEREducation
by forextidings
55
Role of Support Resistance in Breakout tradingWhat is Breakout Trading ? A breakout is a potential trading opportunity that occurs when a share price moves above a resistance zone or moves below a support zone on increasing volume . For trading breakouts one should be aware of support and resistance . It acts as the backbone of Price Action trading. What is Support & Resistance ? Support is a place where a stock price stop moving downwards. It is a horizontal area on a chart, where price experience buying pressure and tends to move up. Resistance is a place where a stock price stop moving upwards. It is a horizontal area on a chart, where price experience selling pressure and tends to move down Why are these support and resistance formed? Support and resistance are formed only due to our own emotions at points around high supply or demand zone . For instance, if a price falls from high 100 to 50 then in and around that price (50) there will be lots of buyers ready to buy assuming it to be very cheap price and same goes for resistance where lot of traders would like to offload their positions considering that price to be too high for the stock and good time to book profit. Why do we need Support and Resistance? Support and Resistance often helps to set 1)Target, 2)Entry and 3)Stop loss. Guidelines for Drawing Support and Resistance: For the same chart if we ask 10 traders to draw support and resistance area, we will get 10 different result. So, what are the important things to consider ? I always prefer drawing rectangular zone instead of drawing single line to make chart look clean and easy to understand the area of supply and demand . *Always Use Higher Time frame to draw Support and resistance area. * Draw a zone using rectangle which shows multiple touches. While, this zone act as great support and resistance area compare to few touches which was due to volatility . * While drawing zone make sure to cover shadows in all previous touches Things to know: * The more times the S&R zones are tested in a short period of time, the weaker they become & the greater the likelihood it will break. Rules for Positional breakout : 1)Candle closing is mandatory to trade breakouts. 2)Wait for the retest, if the price closes too far from the breakout level. 3)There should not be HTF support/resistance near the breakout level. Types of breakout Patterns : 1)Rising & Falling Trendline 2)Rising & Falling Channel 3)Rectangular Channel 4)Ascending , Descending & Symmetrical Triangle 5)Head & Shoulder 6)Support & Resistance Breakout Hope it was helpful to you, Happy Learning & Profit making :) Thanks & Regards Divyaapugal
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Divyaapugal
77
Understanding patterns - PART 1Patterns have been in use for as long as technical analysis have existed and are working today also, traders all over the world try to find patterns in chart to anticipate the possibility of the next move for any Index or stock. Pattern have a reason for working this greatly because all the patterns have an underlying psychology behind it and all these are driven by none other than the human emotions that lie behind them. What are patterns? According to John J Murphy "Price patterns are pictures or formations, which appear on price charts of stocks or commodities, that can be classified into different categories, and have a predictive value." Putting it simply these are formations of candles which take a special shape when seen together and give you an idea of the future possible move of any script. Why do patterns work? Patterns work because they are the depiction of human emotions in the market and clearly shows what the traders in the market want a stock or commodity to do in a particular timeframe, now it must be odd and you may be thinking that how can a simple pattern or movement of the candles can tell you what is going inside the minds of people. Let me give you an idea so that you understand what is it that I mean by reading the minds of the traders using pattern and understanding what they want a particular stock or commodity to do. The chart that you see above is hindalco which is listed on NSE. To understand this let me tell you about the white lines you see, these are called trendlines and are made by connecting highs to highs or lows to lows to get an idea of the trend on current ongoing move or to make a pattern. The pattern you see above is called ascending triangle pattern and is a bullish structure that when gives a breakout the stock or commodity gives a run for the upside. Now the answer to the the question why ascending triangle pattern is bullish and how we get to anticipate the future movement lies in the human emotion or psychology that made this pattern in the market and it will also explain how you understand the human emotion in the market depicted as pattern. This ascending triangle pattern is made by joining two line which I have named as trendline 1/resistance & trendline 2/support. Trendline 1/Resistance shows us that the bears are not willing to let the price go beyond the levels of 470 and are shorting the stock near that price. Bears are wanting the stock to remain below the 470 price level. Trendline2/Support tells us that the bulls are buying the stock on higher prices again and again that's the reason the trendline is inclined, bulls are wanting the stock to go up. Now all of this tells us that right now bulls are more aggressive than the bears as bears are not willing to short below the price of 470 but bulls are ready to buy the stock at higher price and are the reason the price keeps surging up. There comes a time when both the lines meet and there is no buffer space left between buyers and sellers and the price can now only go in single direction now, so bulls being more aggressive breaks the resistance of 470 and the price moves above it. Now there are two things that are going to happen: 1. More buyers will come in to buy as the resistance is broken making the price rally even more. 2.Short positions will have to be covered for, which will yet again make the price move up. So that is how a mere pattern of a triangle joined by two line made you see the emotions of the traders inside the market and thus anticipate the future movement of price. Now this concept applies to all of the patterns there are in the market, some will be as simple as this one while others being more complex but all of these will make you a better trader letting you anticipate the movement. This was the end of Part one of this series in which I'll be trying to make you understand patterns and trade more effectively using them. The Next part will be the two main categories of pattern which will be in more depth and will actually help you anticipate the prices and add these pattern into your trading style. If you have read it far enough so please give it a like and do follow me for the next part which I'll try to drop on the next weekend.
NSE:VOLTASEducation
by this_is_shoaib
How to identify Breakout - Price ActionFor the purpose of demonstrating how one can identify a trend change using Support - Resistance and Price Action, I have taken the daily chart of IEX. I had also identified and posted about it before the recent rally. The first step is to establish a clear support and resistance line. In case of a breakout, I like to keep my target at around the same price difference range between old support and old resistance after it bounces from the resistance. The crucial thing lies in identifying the candlestick pattern around the support - resistance. In our case, when the price first hit the resistance, it formed a clear Bearish Engulfing and the next time, it formed a healthy dark cloud cover followed by an engulfing. These are clear red flags when a trader should start booking profits. Similair bullish patterns can be identified at support region like the Morning Star pattern as in the above chart. In order for the price to give a breakout, Volume & Momentum play a very crucial role. A rising volume with price rise builds momentum, and increases the chances of a breakout. Another important observation is to see HOW STRONG did the PRICE BOUNCE from the support. Long wicks, very less or almost no consolidation around the support and a bounce back from an area above the support instead of retracing all the way back to the support are clear indications of trend reversal from Bearish to Bullish. Also notice how the candle formed a Morning Star during the bounce, this further strengthens our conviction that the trend is changing. Observe how the red candles grow smaller and smaller as they approach support, this indicates weakening of the bearish momentum. Also the Resistance was approached in a very aggressive foray this time with clear long green candles indicating a very strong pent up demand. I hope this analysis provides some insight into how the Price action gives an early indication of the future price movement. Thanks for reading! Keep Learning :)
NSE:IEXEducation
by Aayush_Rungta
36
Pure Price Action Trading - Nifty/Banknifty Hello Traders! Here we gonna learn how one can trade Nifty/Banknifty using pure price action and get better results Assuming that one knows what is Support and Resistance & know about candlesticks So traders, all you need is to draw the support/resistance levels on your chart, here I've draw S/R levels in Banknifty and timeframe I'm using is 15 mins for Intraday trading. After plotting the Support/Resistance levels once the market opens we'll observe the market trend and we'll trade as per the trend. So here we can see on 15 mins time frame that #Banknifty was making Higher high and Higher low so as per that we can say it's a short term uptrend and on the current day the market opens below the previous swing high and candle formation open = high indicates selling pressure So here after the 15 min 1st candle closes on the small time frame of 5 min we can see a candle rejection from S/R zone here we can take entry, it's #Banknifty so as an option buyer we'll short market by buying a PUT of near Out of the Money After we'll set out stop loss before the entry candle in 5 min time frame and lot size is according to risk management then here comes a flip zone, a S/R zone which act as flip zone that market can reverse or continue, at here we'll trail our SL to cost, and on the chart one can see the candle gave a small pullback from flip zone S/R level but pullback was weak and market continued to fell from broken support zone Later we can see how prices reacting from support/resistance levels and finally it reversed from support zone Price action is beauty, one can draw support/resistance levels and take action as per the price movement, candlesticks and trend play an import role
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by realashishdave
2
Phillips Carbon - Positional - a mistake I corrected Sharing a mistake I made and how I corrected it. On Weekly chart, I saw a nice rounding botton pattern and stock close to ATH with a BO candle of 26 July 2021. I also saw volume expansion on that day as well as expansion since the candle of 18 January 2021. I went long at approx. 270. Although RSI was above 60, what I failed to see was RSI High was flat. And price was making a high with flat RSI. That was my first mistake. The second mistake was my decision was based on upward slope of MA line and entry price was roughly 25% away from 30 Weekly MA. The third mistake I made was I have a rule where I add 20-25% corpus on BO with Volumes and slowly add the rest on retracement based on price action. In this case, I added 75% at one go. I also didn't see the Daily chart for entry. A lower timeframe is recommended as ideal for entry, so for someone like me who invests positionally basis Weekly charts, I should have taken cognizance of the price action on Daily. We don't know what will happen in future. Nifty 50 is on steroids and maybe price will go up or it may retrace and form a cup and handle pattern which is a better confirmation in terms of probability. At my entry price my risk was way too high to add 75% at one go (If I had added only 20-25% this would be a safe trade). And as investors and traders, we have to manage risk and protect capital. You may wonder why did I do this? It was my mind that was excited and momentarily I saw a prominent site where the stock had made the day's high. I make a conscious effort to not follow the calls given by research agencies or stock news sites. There is a reason behind this- news comes later, charts inform us earlier. I exited a part at cost and remain invested only 25% of my corpus for this stock. If stock retraces to the area of better Risk Reward zone, I will add more. Disl: This is not an investment or trading buy / sell advice. The purpose of this is educational- to share knowledge and learn from the community members. Please consult your investment advisor for any investment related advice.
PEducation
by culturalDealer79974
3
Ascending Triangle BreakoutOBEROIRLTY: Swing trade Ascending Triangle Breakout In Ascending triangle pattern the upper trendline is flat, while the lower line is rising. This pattern indicates that buyers are more aggressive than sellers. It is considered a bullish pattern and is usually resolved with a breakout to the upside. The pattern is completed on a decisive close above the upper line. This breakout should see a sharp increase in volume . The upper resistance line should act as support on subsequent dips after the breakout. Ascending Triangle Measuring Technique For the ascending triangle, traders can measure the distance from the start of the pattern, at the lowest point of the rising trendline to the flat support line. That same distance can be transposed, later on starting from the breakout point and ending at the potential take profit level. The illustration above shows the distance from A to B can be transferred higher up, from C to D, in order to project a possible take profit level. How to trade Ascending Triangle Pattern After viewing a strong break above resistance, traders can enter a long position, setting a stop at the recent swing low and take profit target in line with the measuring technique. Note- False breakouts are possible (traders need to manage risk accordingly ) My advice is to risk only 2% of your trading capital. Buy 30% of your position at CMP & if price respect levels of 676 then execute your 70% position. The whole idea is to lose less money when you are wrong and to win more money when you are right.
NSE:OBEROIRLTYEducation
by Indrajit08
1
Reason Behind Nifty Future Touching 16,546 Explained + Examples!Today, NSE:NIFTY1! technically hit an ATH of 16,546.50, nearly 5% more than the opening price. Why did this happen? What's the reason? And how do buyers and sellers work? Basically, buying increases prices. As long as buying is strong, prices will increase. As soon as sellers start taking control from buyers, price will first slow down then stop going up and then come down. That's, in essence, what we saw today.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by MarketsWithKR
A Positional trade Setup This post I have created for education purpose for the beginners. This is simple analysis without using any indicator. One should use 30 min timeframe for intraday only just to see what's happening on big timeframe. 30 min TF is not good for intraday and I wouldn't suggest this to anyone. My stoploss would be below the breakout candle also because it is below support now. Some people may keep below the support line of pattern. That differs person to person as per their risk management. First learn to analyze the message of the candlesticks and their formations. And then step up on the indicators, cause indicators are build up on candlesticks, so understand the chart message and then see what other things (indicators) are indicating(if you want to use). And also you should also see the market indices, cause they may impact. Indices, sectoral indices should be in trend favour too.
NSE:BAJAJFINSVEducation
by AkshayAdak
Nifty 50 Chart Analysis 07-04-2021Two Critcal Points. By Analyzing Nifty 50 Chart on 07-04-2021 1) Wide Demand Zone, But Weak Support Area. 14263 - 14517 If Price breaks any of the nearest Trend Line, In Days Closing Then, It is expected The price will fall to this support Area. 2) Strong Supply Zone, And Strong Resistance.14829 - 14881 If Price breaks this resistance at Days Closing, Then The Ascending Triangle Pattern will be broke and index may become bullish. Disclaimer : All Views are Personal And Educational Purpose Only. You are exclusively responsible for your Profits and Losses. Use the Ideas with your own Risk.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by aravindkamath99